State Estimation Error Research Articles

Adaptive Generalized Extended State Observer for a Single Phase PV Grid-connected System Operating Under the Sudanese-Sahelian Climate of Cameroon

Knowing the health of a system allows to guarante its efficiency and sustainability. The state observer is one of several techniques used by authors to estimate system state. This paper focuses on the problem of simultaneous states estimation of DC (Direct Current) and AC (Alternating Current) sides of a single-phase Photovoltaic (PV) grid-connected operating under the Sudanese-Sahelian climate of Cameroon. A generalized extended state observer (GESO) has been designed to simultaneously estimate the three states and the three disturbances of the system. A good estimation of the state and disturbances is achieved by the appropriate choice of the observer gain and the disturbance compensation gain resulting from the correct pole placement. The GESO robustness has been tested by varying the PV voltage and grid voltage. When there are no input fluctuations, the estimation errors of nominal states and disturbances converge to zero. The fluctuation in PV voltage resulting from partial shading has a significant impact on the boost converter current. The boost converter current varies proportionally with the drop in voltage due to partial shading from 55% to 59%. Under the grid voltage fluctuation, the boost converter current remains stable while the DC bus voltage and inverter current are significantly affected. The proposed GESO prove its robustness to perturbations from the PV array and grid side into the Single-Phase PV Grid-connected System. This paper contributes to the study of observers applied to the PV system and points the way to future work on diagnosing faults in PV systems operating in Cameroon's Sudanese-Sahelian climate.

Joint optimal PMU and DULR placement in distribution network considering fault reconstruction and state estimation accuracy

Due to the rapid development of the distribution network, there is an urgent need for high-precision state estimation and safe and stable operation, this paper proposes a joint optimal placement method for Phasor Measurement Unit (PMU) and Dual Use Line Relay (DULR) in distribution networks considering fault reconstruction and state estimation accuracy. The proposed method aims to minimize the cost of PMU and DULR configuration. Based on the known pseudo-measurements and Supervisory Control and Data Acquisition (SCADA) measurements, we use the E-optimal standard design of the state estimation error covariance matrix to form the state estimation accuracy index and take the relay protection function of Feeder Terminal Unit (FTU) device and DULR device into consideration of the fault reconstruction. By solving the mixed integer semidefinite programming (MISDP) model, the optimal placement result is obtained, so that the network under normal condition and the network after multiple fault reconstruction can meet the constraints of state estimation accuracy and load loss rate respectively. The proposed method is tested on IEEE 33-node, 123-node systems as an example. The experimental results show that the proposed method is effective and practical.Note to Practitioners—This study is stimulated by the need for optimizing the placement of Micro-PMU (µPMU) in distribution network. Since the new µPMU device DULR has the same relay protection function as FTU, and distributed generation can supply power to the island after failure, this paper adds the load loss rate to the constraint conditions to study the influence of fault reconstruction on the placement scheme. A new two-step SE method considering mixed measurements was used in this paper to improve the computational efficiency of real-time SE of large-scale system while ensuring the accuracy of the calculation results. We have conducted tests in IEEE-33 and IEEE-123 systems. After preliminary verification, compared with the single fault scenario, we find that the placement scheme considering multiple fault scenarios can effectively improve the accuracy of state estimation and reduce the load loss rate of each fault scenario and only increase the cost a little. The increase in the number of DG and contact lines in the network will also effectively improve the feasibility of the placement scheme. The increase of the number of FTU configurations can effectively reduce the configuration of DULR by adding a small amount of µPMU, reduce the total cost as a result. In future studies, we will further consider the integrated configuration of µPMU, DULR and FTU, to meet more failure scenarios while reducing costs.

Adaptive Event-Triggered Consensus Control of Nonlinear Multi-Agent Systems via Output Feedback Methodology: An Application to Energy Efficient Consensus of AUVs

For dealing with the energy consumption in multi-agent systems (MASs), an event-triggered (ET) methodology is promising, which relies on the activation of communication devices only when communication of data is needed. This paper explores the leaderless consensus for nonlinear MASs using an adaptive ET approach via an output feedback methodology. This adaptive ET scheme is preferred as it can adapt to the environment through setting a communication threshold. The proposed approach renders the observed states of agents by use of nonlinear observers in an output feedback control dilemma, making it more practical. Simple Luenberger observers are developed to avoid the problem of always measuring agents’ states. The strategy of adaptive ET-based control is employed to minimize resource use and information transmission. Design conditions for the observer-based adaptive ET consensus control of nonlinear MASs have been derived via a Lyapunov function, containing state estimation error, consensus error, adaptation term, and nonlinearity bounds. In contrast to the existing methods, the present approach applies a more practical output feedback schema, uses adaptive ET proficiency, and deals with nonlinear agents. An example of a formation of autonomous underwater vehicles achieving the basic consensus realization between displacement and velocity is included to illustrate the viability of the resultant approach.

Neural‐Network‐Based Finite‐Horizon Estimation for Complex Networks With Probabilistic Quantizations and Sensor Faults

ABSTRACTIn this article, the problem of finite‐horizon state estimation is studied for a class of time‐varying complex networks with sensor faults. The phenomenon of measurement quantization is considered such that the measurements are quantized probabilistically before transmitted to the state estimator. To deal with the unknown sensor fault, a neural network is introduced to appropriate the sensor fault whose weights are updated based on estimation error and the gradient descent method. Our aim is to design state estimators so that the state estimation errors are finite‐time bounded. First, sufficient conditions are established to ensure the existence of the desired state estimators. Then, the gains of the state estimators are derived in terms of the solutions to a set of recursive matrix inequalities. Finally, the usefulness of our estimation approach is confirmed by an illustrative example.

Finite-time optimal control for a class of nonlinear systems with performance constraints via critic-only ADP: Theory and experiments

This paper addresses the optimal control problem within the framework of adaptive dynamic programming (ADP) for a class of nonlinear systems subjected to performance constraints. A new finite-time optimal control scheme is developed to stabilize the system by using the critic-only neural network ADP method. Compared with the existing ADP-based optimal control methods with uniformly ultimately bounded stability, the provided control scheme ensures that the controlled system's state and neural network weight estimation error are finite-time stable. It can ensure optimality, prescribed performance, and finite-time stability of the closed-loop control system simultaneously through an integration of ADP, the prescribed performance control technique, and Lyapunov theory. The designed adaptive neural network weight update law can relax the persisting excitation condition. The proposed control scheme is implemented on a robotic experiment platform to achieve trajectory tracking and verify its effectiveness.

Edge Computing Method for False Data Injection Attack Detection in Electromechanical Transient Simulation Grid

Because edge computing is close to the terminal, it has significant advantages of low latency and high-security realtime control and has huge application prospects in the current popular smart grid. Because its edge side is close to the terminal, it can also effectively avoid the risk of information leakage when control instructions or communication data are transmitted to remote cloud center servers over a long distance. However, edge devices have a greater probability of encountering false data injection attacks (FDIAs) from illegal terminals because of their proximity to terminals. The transient electromechanical situation of the smart grid due to FDIAs is analyzed under edge computing. Due to the characteristics that the status values of grid nodes have temporal correlation before and after and spatial correlation between nodes, the Long Short-Term Memory (LSTM) for training time series data is selected to predict the status values of grid nodes in advance. The FDIA detection method is also proposed based on the LSTM network. By calculating the predicted value at each historical moment and the root means square error (RMSE) of the system state estimation at that moment, the detection threshold of the scheme is calculated through the cumulative distribution function of RMSE. Simulation experiments are conducted on the Institute of Electrical and Electronics Engineers (IEEE)-14 node standard system. The detection rate is as high as 99.71%, which verifies the effectiveness of the proposed FDIA detection scheme. This paper studies the security threat of FDIA to the stable power system operation and provides theoretical analysis and practical reference for other power grid security protection strategies.

Rational-quadratic kernel-based maximum correntropy Kalman filter for the non-Gaussian noises

In this paper, a rational-quadratic kernel-based maximum correntropy Kalman filter (RKMCKF) algorithm is proposed to improve the estimation accuracy for non-Gaussian noise interference. Firstly, the RKMCKF algorithm is derived to eliminate the singular matrix produced by multi-dimensional non-Gaussian noise disturbance. Secondly, the upper limit is analyzed to provide a theoretical range for kernel bandwidth, which is beneficial for the selection of proper kernel bandwidths and boosting the precision of state estimation. Furthermore, the boundness of the state estimation error is verified to manifest the RKMCKF algorithm stability. Finally, under different types of non-Gaussian noise, the proposed RKMCKF algorithm is demonstrated to promote the accuracy of state estimation compared with the conventional Kalman filter, Gaussian sum filter, Huber filter, and maximum correntropy Kalman filter through the simulations.

Recursive state estimation for delayed complex networks with random link failures and stochastic inner coupling under cyber attacks

This paper focuses on the filtering issue regarding a class of uncertain time-delayed complex networks (CNs) subject to random link failures (RLF) and stochastic inner coupling (SIC) under cyber attacks, where the attacks occur in a random way with uncertain occurrence probabilities. The phenomena of RLF and SIC are described via a Bernoulli distributed random variable and a Gaussian noise, respectively. The former reflects the presence or absence of connections between different nodes, while the latter presents the uncertainty of the inner coupling strength. In addition, denial of service attacks (DoSAs) and false data injection attacks (FDIAs) are both taken into account in the discussed cyber space, where the switching behavior of attack modes is described by two independent Bernoulli distributed random variables. A novel recursive estimator is constructed with consideration of RLF, uncertain time-delay, SIC and cyber attacks, wherein a state estimation error covariance upper bound (SEECUB) is obtained. And such upper bound is minimized via reasonable design of the estimator gain. Through theoretical deduction and analysis, it is proved that the presented SEECUB is uniformly bounded under certain conditions. Finally, the availability of the proposed filtering strategy and the gained results are verified through simulation examples.

Robust Matrix Completion with Heavy-Tailed Noise

This article studies noisy low-rank matrix completion in the presence of heavy-tailed and possibly asymmetric noise, where we aim to estimate an underlying low-rank matrix given a set of highly incomplete noisy entries. Though the matrix completion problem has attracted much attention in the past decade, there is still lack of theoretical understanding when the observations are contaminated by heavy-tailed noises. Prior theory falls short of explaining the empirical results and is unable to capture the optimal dependence of the estimation error on the noise level. In this article, we adopt an adaptive Huber loss to accommodate heavy-tailed noise, which is robust against large and possibly asymmetric errors when the parameter in the Huber loss function is carefully designed to balance the Huberization biases and robustness to outliers. Then, we propose an efficient nonconvex algorithm via a balanced low-rank Burer-Monteiro matrix factorization and gradient descent with robust spectral initialization. We prove that under merely a bounded second-moment condition on the error distributions, rather than the sub-Gaussian assumption, the Euclidean errors of the iterates generated by the proposed algorithm decrease geometrically fast until achieving a minimax-optimal statistical estimation error, which has the same order as that in the sub-Gaussian case. The key technique behind this significant advancement is a powerful leave-one-out analysis framework. The theoretical results are corroborated by our numerical studies. Supplementary materials for this article are available online, including a standardized description of the materials available for reproducing the work.

Collision probability sliding mode guidance for spacecraft autonomous obstacle avoidance under state uncertainty

Spacecraft must possess the capability of autonomous obstacle avoidance to ensure flight safety. Currently, the available methods for obstacle avoidance guidance are primarily deterministic and will fail with large state estimation errors, which necessitates the robustness of guidance algorithms towards uncertainties. A collision probability sliding mode guidance method is presented for the autonomous obstacle avoidance of spacecraft. Based on the multiple sliding mode surfaces guidance law, a sliding mode structure is proposed to realize obstacle avoidance in the presence of state uncertainty, taking into account the collision probability constraint. First, A multiple power reaching law is designed to enhance the convergence speed of the first sliding mode surface, so that the spacecraft system reaches the target state within a finite time. Subsequently, the collision probability gradient information function is defined according to the relative relation between the spacecraft and obstacles. This function is then combined with the improved reaching law to develop the second sliding mode surface. The sliding mode surface can quantify the collision probability in real-time, and generate corresponding obstacle avoidance guidance commands to prompt the spacecraft to move away from the obstacles according to the magnitude of collision probability, which is robust to the state uncertainty. The capability of the proposed guidance algorithm is validated by a series of simulations, including scenarios involving asteroid landing and spacecraft rendezvous, and the effectiveness and robustness in the face of uncertainties are confirmed.

Finite-Time Fault-Tolerant Control via Fully Actuated System Approaches.

In this article, a finite-time fault-tolerant controller based on the fully actuated system (FAS) theory is presented to realize system stabilization and trajectory tracking. Paralleling to first-order nonlinear state space theory, the high-order FAS (HOFAS) theory contains rich controller design approaches. The existing FAS approaches can only give general global asymptotic stability results. In order to enhance the applicability of FAS approaches in fast control systems, a parameterized FAS stabilization controller based on the homogeneity principle is established for global finite-time stability. Moreover, a finite-time FAS tracking controller based on a finite-time observer is proposed for a HOFAS model with process faults. The proposed observer can yield zero-value convergence of state estimation error and fault estimation error in a finite time, and the proposed fault-tolerant controller can yield zero-value convergence of tracking error in a finite time. The main results are proved theoretically and illustrated experimentally.

Unscented Schmidt-Kalman filter on Lie groups with application to spacecraft attitude estimation

This paper addresses the estimation problem of nonlinear systems evolving on Lie groups with unknown parameters. More precisely, some parameters in the equations of motion or sensor measurements are unknown, such as gravitational anomalies and measurement biases, and are infeasible to estimate with available observations. The unscented Schmidt-Kalman filter (USKF) approach in Euclidean space is incorporated with exponential maps from Lie algebra to Lie groups, to develop USKF algorithms on Lie groups. Two types of USKFs are derived, respectively, from left-invariant and right-invariant state estimation errors. The two USKFs, not only account for the effect of unknown parameters but also provide estimates preserving the geometry of state manifold. They are advantageous over the extended Schmidt-Kalman filter for nonlinear systems in the sense of avoiding the computation of Jacobian and achieving higher or comparable estimation accuracy depending on the magnitude of parameters uncertainties. The proposed method is then applied to a spacecraft attitude estimation problem based on quaternion representation, where the magnitude of the gyroscope bias noise is unknown. Simulations are conducted to illustrate the effectiveness of the proposed algorithms in comparison with other methods.

An Adjustable Parameter-Based Robust Distributed Fault Diagnosis for One-Sided Lipschitz Formation of Clustered Multi-Agent Systems

This paper addresses the challenge of distributed fault diagnosis in the context of the one-sided Lipschitz formation of agents. Each agent integrates an observer to detect and estimate both linear and non-linear faults in its attitude control subsystem. A robust design configuration is also developed to account for external perturbations. The robust observer utilized in this study is an unknown input observer (UIO), designed to mitigate the impact of disturbances on fault and state estimation errors. The observer’s parameters are determined using linear matrix inequalities (LMIs). Furthermore, a UIO incorporating an adjustable parameter (AP) is introduced to enhance fault diagnosis accuracy. Simulation results for two satellite clusters, consisting of five satellites with varying dynamics due to external disturbances, are presented to validate the approach. Instead of equipping every agent with an observer, specific agents can be equipped with observers to detect faults throughout the constellation, thereby reducing computational demands in configurations with numerous agents. Finally, a comparison is made between the proposed AP-based UIO and a standard UIO. The comparison findings reveal a noteworthy average of a substantial 56.61% reduction in root mean square error (RMSE) employing AP-based UIO compared to the utilization of standard robust UIO.

State estimation based on measurement from a part of nodes for a delayed Itô type of complex network with Markovian mode-dependent parameters

This article is devoted to coping with the state estimate problem for a class of Itô stochastic complex network. The target network under consideration is a hybrid system involving Markovian jumping parameters and mode-dependent distributed time-delays, and the system noise is characterized by the Brownian Motion. The problem addressed is to design a state estimator to track the states of target network under the assumption that the network outputs are from only a portion of network nodes. By utilizing the Lyapunov stability method and the Itô stochastic differential equation theory, sufficient conditions are educed so that the state estimation error of the estimator is mean-square exponentially ultimately bounded. In particular, in the case that the system is noise-free, the derived conditions can ensure the state estimation error is mean-square exponentially stable. Furthermore, the estimator design can be made by solving a set of matrix inequalities. Lastly, a numerical example is exploited to indicates the validity of the theoretical results.

Less conservative robust reference governors and their applications

The applications of reference governors to systems with unmeasured set-bounded disturbances can lead to conservative solutions. This conservatism can be reduced by estimating the disturbance from output measurements and canceling it in the nominal control law. In this paper, a reference governor based on such an approach is considered and time-varying, disturbance and state estimation errors bounding sets are derived. Consequently, the traditional implementation of a reference governor, which exploits a constraint admissible positively-invariant set of constant commands and initial states, is replaced by one which utilizes a time-dependent sequence of similar sets (which are not necessary nested). Examples are reported which include two applications to longitudinal control of aircraft that illustrate handling of elevator uncertainty and wing icing.

Estimation and prediction method of lithium battery state of health based on ridge regression and gated recurrent unit

AbstractThe health state of lithium‐ion batteries is influenced by the operating conditions of energy storage stations and battery characteristics. It is challenging to obtain real‐time characterisation parameters like maximum discharge capacity and internal resistance. It is necessary to extract sensitivity indicators from electrical parameters such as voltage, current, and temperature. Utilising the Stanford‐MIT Research Institute battery dataset, this paper selects batteries with over 1000 cycles and five distinct charging and discharging strategies as samples. During the daily operation and maintenance of the energy storage station, health indicators are extracted from the voltage, current, and temperature curves within the state of charge range of 20%–80%. The ridge regression method is used to establish the health status estimation model. The gated recurrent unit (GRU) model is leveraged for health state prediction. Simulation results demonstrate that the proposed health indicators effectively assess lithium battery health, the health state estimation errors mean absolute error (MAE) and root mean squared error (RMSE) based on the ridge regression model are within 1.5% and 2%, and the health state prediction errors MAE and RMSE based on GRU model are within 1%. This approach exhibits stability, high accuracy, and strong generalisation capabilities.

Nonlinear disturbance observer-based finite-time prescribed performance control for MSVs with input saturation

ABSTRACT A finite-time prescribed performance control scheme based on an improved nonlinear disturbance observer is proposed for tracking the trajectory of marine surface vessels (MSVs) under the disturbance of the marine environment. The objective of this paper is to design a nonlinear disturbance observer based on state estimation error feedback that accurately estimates and compensates for the unknown disturbance problem. An adaptive law is applied to estimate the upper bound of its error, removing the requirement of a priori knowledge of the unknown lumped disturbance upper bound. This paper also introduces a non-logarithmic performance function in order to efficiently solve the problem of considering both transient and steady state MSVs performance simultaneously. In addition, the adaptive dynamic system is introduced to overcome the adverse effects caused by nonlinear saturation factors for the input-constrained problem. With this control strategy, the system output error converges to a pre-defined region within a finite amount of time and meets the prescribed performance requirements. Finally, simulation and comparison verify the control scheme's effectiveness and superiority.

Optimal Joint Defense and Monitoring for Networks Security under Uncertainty: A POMDP-Based Approach

The increasing interconnectivity in our infrastructure poses a significant security challenge, with external threats having the potential to penetrate and propagate throughout the network. Bayesian attack graphs have proven to be effective in capturing the propagation of attacks in complex interconnected networks. However, most existing security approaches fail to systematically account for the limitation of resources and uncertainty arising from the complexity of attacks and possible undetected compromises. To address these challenges, this paper proposes a partially observable Markov decision process (POMDP) model for network security under uncertainty. The POMDP model accounts for uncertainty in monitoring and defense processes, as well as the probabilistic attack propagation. This paper develops two security policies based on the optimal stationary defense policy for the underlying POMDP state process (i.e., a network with known compromises): the estimation-based policy that performs the defense actions corresponding to the optimal minimum mean square error state estimation and the distribution-based policy that utilizes the posterior distribution of network compromises to make defense decisions. Optimal monitoring policies are designed to specifically support each of the defense policies, allowing dynamic allocation of monitoring resources to capture network vulnerabilities/compromises. The performance of the proposed policies is examined in terms of robustness, accuracy, and uncertainty using various numerical experiments.

Outlier‐resistant state estimation for complex networks with random false data injection attacks under encoding–decoding mechanism

SummaryThis article focuses on the outlier‐resistant state estimation problem for discrete time‐varying complex networks (TVCNs) affected by random false data injection attacks (FDIAs) under an encoding–decoding mechanism (EDM). From the perspective of information security, a uniform‐quantization‐based EDM is employed to encrypt the transmitted data. During the data transmission process, a set of independent random variables governed by Bernoulli distribution is introduced to characterize the occurrence of random FDIAs. For the purpose of alleviating the passive impact of potential measurement outliers, a saturation structure is adopted during the estimator design. The gain matrix is given by minimizing the upper bound of estimation error covariance. According to the stochastic analysis method, it is shown that the state estimation error is bounded exponentially in mean‐square sense by providing new sufficient condition. It should be noted that we make the first attempt to develop new outlier‐resistant state estimation method with performance evolution criterion in the time‐varying perspective for TVCNs with random FDIAs under EDM. Finally, a simulation example with comparative experiment is presented to illustrate the effectiveness of the newly presented outlier‐resistant estimation algorithm.

Refined Aircraft Positioning Based on Stochastic Hybrid Estimation with Adaptive Square-Root Unscented Particle Filtering

The positioning of civil aviation aircraft relative to a geographic reference point on Earth in a Cartesian frame is significant to detect the deviations from the desired path, especially for high-altitude airports or special airports based on performance-based navigation (PBN). To obtain these critical deviations during aircraft approach and landing, it is fundamental to estimate the continuous flight variables and discrete flight modes simultaneously with enough accuracy. With the coordinate conversion between the North, East, and Down (NED) frame and the geographic coordinate system based on World Geodetic System 1984 (WGS-84) considered, this study proposed a non-linear stochastic hybrid estimation algorithm with adaptive square-root unscented particle filtering (ASR-UPF) to estimate the true path. The probabilities of mode transition, represented by the normal cumulative density function of continuous states, determine whether to proceed with mode transitions. In addition, the adaptive update characterized by tracking variable noise and the importance sampling distributions based on the results of square-root unscented Kalman filtering (SR-UKF), as a comparative study of continuous system filtering, were used. The experiments illustrated the ASR-UPF is able to reduce the state estimation error more effectively, and more promptly track the error caused by incorrect mode estimation with adaptability compared to the SR-UKF. A further test with real flight data indicates that the proposed method gives the refined estimation of position and azimuth in NED frame.