Abstract Background Numerous studies have demonstrated an association between systemic inflammation and mortality in patients with COVID-19. However, it is unclear how neutralizing antibody to severe acute respiratory syndrome related coronavirus 2 (SARS-CoV-2) associates with outcomes. Further, how systemic inflammation impacts neutralizing antibody production is relatively poorly understood. The aim of this study was to determine the association between the neutralizing antibody response to SARS-CoV-2, inflammatory markers, and clinical outcomes in a cohort of hospitalized patients without prior exposure/vaccination. Methods This prospective observational study approved by the Washington University IRB included adults admitted through the ED at Barnes Jewish Hospital between 10/2020 and 10/2021 with symptomatic RT-PCR confirmed SARS-CoV-2 infection. A total of 395 serial samples were assessed from 208 patients without previous vaccination or documented exposure to SARS-CoV-2. Neutralization of SARS-CoV-2 was assessed using the Architect ACE2 binding inhibition assay (Abbott, Research Use only) which measures the % inhibition of interactions between antibodies and the SARS-COV-2 viral Spike Receptor Binding Domain. While 12.5% inhibition of ACE2 was considered positive >80% neutralization is the expected standard. CRP was assessed using the Architect Multigent CRP assay with 9.6mg/dL as the categorical cutoff for risk and interleukin 6 (IL-6) was assessed using the Alinity IL-6 assay (Abbott, Research Use Only) using 30 pg/mL as the threshold for risk in categorical analyses. The electronic medical record (EPIC) was interrogated for comorbidities, age, gender, 30-day mortality, 10-day intubation, and pharmacological interventions. Correlation between biomarkers was assessed using Spearman r. Kaplan-Meier curves and Cox proportional hazards models were constructed for 30-day mortality and 10-day intubation. Results 37 of 208 (18%) of patients died within thirty days of ED presentation and 59 (28%) required intubation within 10-days. There was a significant correlation between IL-6 and CRP (r=0.34) but not with ACE-2 binding (Spearman r <0.06 for both IL-6 and CRP). There was significantly higher CRP in those that died (median = 14 mg/dL, IQR = 8-21) than those that survived (5 mg/dL, 2-11). IL-6 was higher in patients that died (344 pg/mL, 0-870) than those that survived (65 pg/mL, 28-140). Median ACE-2 inhibition trended higher in those that survived (18%, 0-65%) than those that died (3%, 0-48%). Survival curves demonstrated that patients with IL-6 > 30 pg/mL, CRP > 9.6 mg/dL, and ACE2 binding <12.5% at baseline were more likely to die within 30-days. Multivariate modeling found that only IL-6 (Hazard Ratio, 1.28, 95%CI 1.08-1.52 for each doubling) and age (1.04, 1.01-1.08) were significantly associated with 30-day mortality. Conclusions Systemic inflammation measured by IL-6 and CRP upon admission is highly associated with 30-day mortality from SARS-CoV-2 infection. While ACE-2 inhibition was lower in those that died from COVID-19 at admission, it was not independently associated with mortality or correlated with inflammatory markers. This implies an importance of other aspects of the immune response for mediating inflammation and reducing risk of mortality from SARS-CoV-2.
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