South Pacific Basin Research Articles

Elemental composition of smectite minerals in continental rise sediments from the Amundsen Sea, West Antarctica, as a tool to identify detrital input from various sources throughout late Quaternary glacial-interglacial cycles

Detrital smectite is a ubiquitous clay mineral in marine sediments and has a variable total Fe, Al, and Mg composition depending on the source, i.e., bedrock or unconsolidated sedimentary strata, the smectite is derived from. Analyses of elemental composition of smectite minerals in marine sediments can help to differentiate the smectite sources and, thus, sediment provenance, with potentially far-reaching paleo-environmental implications. In this study, we investigated the smectite compositions of modern-latest Holocene seafloor surface sediments deposited offshore from the Amundsen Sea drainage sector, where the West Antarctic Ice Sheet is currently unstable and losing mass due to ocean-forced melting, to detect and understand the variabilities of their elemental composition and geographical distribution. The smectite composition in continental rise sediments was compared to that of potential source areas on the Amundsen Sea continental shelf and in the sub-Antarctic South Pacific basin. Furthermore, we analyzed the smectite composition of sediments in continental rise cores deposited during the last glacial and last interglacial periods to reconstruct source variations over glacial-interglacial cycles. In particular, high contents of Al–Fe-rich smectite indicate that the glacial sediments had been supplied from the coastal region around Pine Island Bay by the cross-shelf advance of the West Antarctic Ice Sheet during the last glacial period. This clearly contrasts with the smectite minerals in rise sediments deposited during the present and the last interglacial periods that are composed of two distinct smectite types (Mg-rich and Al-rich, respectively), indicating their supply from multiple sources. During interglacials, Mg-rich smectite is probably transported by Circumpolar Deep Water from the sub-Antarctic South Pacific basin to the continental rise, while Al-rich smectite is supplied as part of ice rafted debris and by marine currents from the coasts around the Amundsen Sea embayment. Our research demonstrates that analysis of the elemental composition of smectite minerals on the Amundsen Sea continental margin provides a valuable tool to trace variations in sources for detrital sediment components and their pathways throughout glacial-interglacial cycles.

Evaluation of Parametric Tropical Cyclone Surface Winds over the Eastern Australian Region

Abstract Hazard studies based on thousands of synthetic tropical cyclone (TC) events require a validated model representation of the surface wind field. Here, we assess three different TC parametric vortex models with input from four along-track parameter studies of the TC size and shape, based on statistical formulation of the relationships to observed TC intensity, geographic location, and forward transition speed. The 12 model combinations are compared to in situ 10-min observed surface mean wind speeds for 10 TCs that made landfall over Queensland, Australia, which occurred over the period 2006–17. Empirical wind reduction factors to reduce gradient winds to the surface are recalculated for the more recent TCs at both offshore (ocean, small islands, reefs, and moorings) and onshore (land) locations. To improve the wind comparisons over ocean and land, a secondary reduction factor was developed based on an inland decay function. Pearson correlations for the unadjusted modeled peak wind speed from 118 instances of a TC passing a weather station sit between a range of 0.57 and 0.65 for the 12 model combinations. Using the secondary reduction factor based on the inland decay function increases the range of correlation to 0.74–0.81. Based on the assessment of the instances of peak surface wind speed correlations, bias, and root-mean-square error, along with the correlation 48 h around the peak, the top-ranked performing model combination for the region was an along-track parameter study with a double-vortex model, both previously tested for the South Pacific basin. Significance Statement When assessing tropical cyclone hazards, users are presented with several simplified parametric models to describe the surface wind field of tropical cyclones. These parametric models are used routinely for risk assessment of cyclonic winds, as well as for input to surge and wave models used in coastal hazard assessments. Differences between the models include the formulation of the parametric cyclone model, the way winds above the boundary layer are specified at the surface and along-track parameters that describe the cyclones’ size and shape. Of the 12 model combinations investigated in this study, the top-ranked performing model combination for the region was an along-track parameter equation with a double-vortex model, which were both tested previously for the South Pacific basin. Analysis is performed to show unadjusted modeled winds overestimate observed 10-min surface winds over the ocean by around 13% (median) and over land by around 73.9% (median), which is resolved in this study with a secondary empirical wind reduction factor. These findings will support future modeling of tropical cyclone winds for multiple applications, including regional risk assessment and coastal hazard studies.

Plankton community structure in response to hydrothermal iron inputs along the Tonga-Kermadec arc

The Western Tropical South Pacific (WTSP) basin has been identified as a hotspot of atmospheric dinitrogen fixation due to the high dissolved iron ([DFe]) concentrations (up to 66 nM) in the photic layer linked with the release of shallow hydrothermal fluids along the Tonga-Kermadec arc. Yet, the effect of such hydrothermal fluids in structuring the plankton community remains poorly studied. During the TONGA cruise (November-December 2019), we collected micro- (20-200 μm) and meso-plankton (>200 μm) samples in the photic layer (0-200 m) along a west to east zonal transect crossing the Tonga volcanic arc, in particular two volcanoes associated with shallow hydrothermal vents (< 500 m) in the Lau Basin, and both sides of the arc represented by Melanesian waters and the South Pacific Gyre. Samples were analyzed by quantitative imaging (FlowCam and ZooScan) and then coupled with acoustic observations, allowing us to study the potential transfer of phytoplankton blooms to higher planktonic trophic levels. We show that micro- and meso-plankton exhibit high abundances and biomasses in the Lau Basin and, to some extent, in Melanesian waters, suggesting that shallow hydrothermal inputs sustain the planktonic food web, creating productive waters in this otherwise oligotrophic region. In terms of planktonic community structure, we identified major changes with high [DFe] inputs, promoting the development of a low diversity planktonic community dominated by diazotrophic cyanobacteria. Furthermore, in order to quantify the effect of the shallow hydrothermal vents on chlorophyll a concentrations, we used Lagrangian dispersal models. We show that chlorophyll a concentrations were significantly higher inside the Lagrangian plume, which came into contact with the two hydrothermal sites, confirming the profound impact of shallow hydrothermal vents on plankton production.

Nutrients and seabird biogeography: Feather elements differ among oceanic basins in the Southern Hemisphere, reflecting bird size, foraging range and nutrient availability in seawater

AbstractAimBiodiversity hotspots in wide‐ranging marine species typically overlap with regions of high productivity, which are often associated with nutrient‐rich waters. Here we investigate how element concentrations in feathers vary among highly mobile seabirds in global seabird biodiversity hotspots.LocationSouthern Hemisphere.Time periodContemporary.Major taxa studiedFifteen species in the order Procellariiformes.MethodsWe collected data on the concentration of 15 elements in feathers for 253 seabirds sampled across Australia and New Zealand and compared the “fingerprint” of micronutrient element profiles to feathers of related seabirds from global hotspots using principal component analysis (PCA), cluster analysis and permutational analysis of variance (PERMANOVA).ResultsBreast feather concentrations of some elements, including aluminium, iron, cobalt, chromium, manganese, nickel, arsenic and cadmium, were tens‐to‐hundred‐fold higher in smaller (<400 g) than larger species (≥400 g). We suggest these results reflect the dominance of pelagic crustaceans in the diet of smaller seabirds, blooms of which are influenced by input of limiting ocean nutrients. Cluster analysis revealed three broad groups of feather elements: large seabirds, and small seabirds in each of the South Pacific and South Atlantic Ocean basins. High concentrations of some elements in feathers match seawater availability and are detectable in lower‐trophic feeding seabirds with local movements. Conversely, the element fingerprints of longer‐distance, higher‐trophic foragers, including albatrosses, do not match availability in seawater at the collection site.Main conclusionsThe feather element concentrations of shorter‐range foraging, lower‐trophic feeding seabirds vary significantly among ocean basins, reflecting availability in seawater, while longer‐range, higher‐trophic species do not. We propose that geographically diverse availability of micronutrients, in addition to primary productivity, may play an underrecognized role in seabird biogeography and intra‐hemispheric migration, though more research is needed. This study has important implications, considering the role of element availability in supporting biodiversity hotspots for dispersive marine predators and for the designation of protected areas.

Reconstruction of tropical cyclone and depression proxies for the South Pacific since the 1850s

Southwest Pacific nations are highly vulnerable to extreme weather and climate events, particularly those associated with synoptic-scale systems such as tropical cyclones (TCs) and depressions (TDs). This study utilises the Okubo–Weiss–Zeta parameter (OWZP) method to reconstruct historical records of both TCs and TDs for the South Pacific basin using state-of-the-art NOAA-CIRES Twentieth Century Reanalysis (20CR) product. Extensive statistical assessments of these reconstructions are carried out using observational records for the satellite period (i.e., 1979–2014) as ‘ground-truths’. Results show that 20CR-derived TCs and TDs resemble several key characteristics of the observational records, including spatial distribution of genesis locations and track shapes. This gives us confidence that the 20CR-derived long-term records of TCs and TDs can serve as an effective tool for examining historical changes in various characteristics of TCs and TDs, particularly in the context of anthropogenic climate change.

NOAA's operational satellite ocean heat content products

ABSTRACT NOAA generates a suite of Ocean Heat Content (OHC) products for the North Atlantic and the North and South Pacific basins on a daily basis. Knowledge of the upper Ocean Heat Content is a critical aid in assessing the ocean's impact on Tropical Cyclones (TCs) and weather events. In-situ and satellite measurements of Sea Surface Temperature (SST) and Sea Surface Height Anomaly (SSHA) are used to generate the OHC product suite. The evaluated suite includes the 20°C (D20) and 26°C (D26) isotherm depths, the mixed layer depth (MLD) and mapping errors. Two cases are presented within the context of situational awareness showing the underling oceanic variability during the lifecycles of TC's Irma and Dorian.

Unveiling four decades of intensifying precipitation from tropical cyclones using satellite measurements

Increases in precipitation rates and volumes from tropical cyclones (TCs) caused by anthropogenic warming are predicted by climate modeling studies and have been identified in several high intensity storms occurring over the last half decade. However, it has been difficult to detect historical trends in TC precipitation at time scales long enough to overcome natural climate variability because of limitations in existing precipitation observations. We introduce an experimental global high-resolution climate data record of precipitation produced using infrared satellite imagery and corrected at the monthly scale by a gauge-derived product that shows generally good performance during two hurricane case studies but estimates higher mean precipitation rates in the tropics than the evaluation datasets. General increases in mean and extreme rainfall rates during the study period of 1980–2019 are identified, culminating in a 12–18%/40-year increase in global rainfall rates. Overall, all basins have experienced intensification in precipitation rates. Increases in rainfall rates have boosted the mean precipitation volume of global TCs by 7–15%/year, with the starkest rises seen in the North Atlantic, South Indian, and South Pacific basins (maximum 59–64% over 40 years). In terms of inland rainfall totals, year-by-year trends are generally positive due to increasing TC frequency, slower decay over land, and more intense rainfall, with an alarming increase of 81–85% seen from the strongest global TCs. As the global trend in precipitation rates follows expectations from warming sea surface temperatures (11.1%/°C), we hypothesize that the observed trends could be a result of anthropogenic warming creating greater concentrations of water vapor in the atmosphere, though retrospective studies of TC dynamics over the period are needed to confirm.

Distribution and abundance of planktonic mollusks along a longitudinal gradient in the Southeastern Pacific off Chile

The objectives of this research were to estimate the abundance of the main groups of planktonic mollusks (meroplanktonic larvae, holoplanktonic gastropods and cephalopod paralarvae), and relate these groups to the physical-chemical water properties along a longitudinal gradient between Caldera, on the coast of mainland Chile, and the Easter Island ecoregion (Rapa Nui Island and Salas y Gómez Island), in the Southeast Pacific Ocean. Plankton samples were collected over the course of the CIMAR 21-Islas Cruise, from October to November 2015, at 33 oceanographic stations via vertical hauls of a WP2 net (180-µm mesh size) from a maximum depth of 300 m to the sea surface. Mollusks were sorted, counted and initially assigned to Class rank, later being identified to lower taxonomic ranks. Planktonic mollusks were obtained at all stations, and were composed of 92.7% of Gastropoda and 7.3% of Bivalvia. The total abundance of mollusks varied between 55 and 4,922 individuals 100 m-3.Euthecosomate gastropods exhibited the highest occurrence within the oceanic area. Meanwhile, no paralarvae were captured. Differences in the composition of planktonic mollusks between the continental and oceanic zones were evident. Bivalve larvae increased their abundance in warmer, salty and vertically mixed waters. These results are the first record of meroplanktonic mollusks in waters near the Chilean oceanic islands, and suggest that planktonic mollusks display spatial variation at the scale of the South Pacific Basin, which could be related to the hydrographic conditions and the water column structure.

The Influence of South Pacific Convergence Zone Heating on the South Pacific Subtropical Anticyclone

AbstractSubtropical anticyclones and midlatitude storm tracks are key components of the large-scale atmospheric circulation. Focusing on the Southern Hemisphere, the seasonality of the three dominant subtropical anticyclones, situated over the South Pacific, South Atlantic, and south Indian Ocean basins, has a large influence on local weather and climate within South America, southern Africa, and Australia, respectively. Generally speaking, sea level pressure within the Southern Hemisphere subtropics reaches its seasonal maximum during the winter season when the Southern Hemisphere Hadley cell is at its strongest. One exception to this is the seasonal evolution of the South Pacific subtropical anticyclone. While winter maxima are seen in the South Atlantic and south Indian subtropical anticyclones, the South Pacific subtropical anticyclone reaches its seasonal maximum during local spring with elevated values extending into summer. In this study, we investigate the hypothesis that the strength of the austral summer South Pacific subtropical anticyclone is largely due to heating over the South Pacific convergence zone. Using added-cooling and added-heating atmospheric general circulation model experiments to artificially change the strength of austral summer diabatic heating over the South Pacific convergence zone, our results show that increased heating, through increased upper-level divergence, triggers a Rossby wave train that extends into the Southern Hemisphere midlatitudes. This propagating Rossby wave train creates a high and low sea level pressure pattern that projects onto the center of the South Pacific subtropical anticyclone to intensify its area and strength.

Increasing frequency in off-season tropical cyclones and its relation to climate variability and change

Abstract. This article analyzes the relationship between off-season tropical cyclone (TC) frequency and climate variability and change for the Pacific Ocean and Atlantic Ocean basins. TC track data were used to extract the off-season storms for the 1900–2019 period. TC counts were aggregated by decade, and the number of storms for the first 6 decades (presatellite era) was adjusted. Mann–Kendall nonparametric tests were used to identify trends in decadal TC counts and multiple linear regression (MLR) models were used to test if climatic variability or climate change factors explained the trends in off-season storms. MLR stepwise procedures were implemented to identify the climate variability and change factors that explained most of the variability in off-season TC frequency. A total of 713 TCs were identified as occurring earlier or later than their peak seasons, most during the month of May and in the West Pacific and South Pacific basins. The East Pacific (EP), North Atlantic (NA) and West Pacific (WP) basins exhibit significant increasing trends in decadal off-season TC frequency. MLR results show that trends in sea surface temperature, global mean surface temperature and cloud cover explain most of the increasing trend in decadal off-season TC counts in the EP, NA and WP basins. Stepwise MLR results also identified climate change variables as the dominant forces behind increasing trends in off-season TC decadal counts, yet they also showed that climate variability factors like El Niño–Southern Oscillation, the Atlantic Multidecadal Oscillation and the Interdecadal Pacific Oscillation also account for a portion of the variability.

Tropical cyclone formation regions in CMIP5 models: a global performance assessment and projected changes

Tropical Cyclone (TC) formation regions are analysed in twelve CMIP5 models using a recently developed diagnostic that provides a model-performance summary in a single image for the mid-summer TC season. A subjective assessment provides an indication of how well the models perform in each TC basin throughout the globe, and which basins can be used to determine possible changes in TC formation regions in a warmer climate. The analysis is necessarily succinct so that seven basins in twelve models can be examined. Consequently, basin performance was reduced to an assessment of two common problems specific to each basin. Basins that were not too adversely affected were included in the projection exercise. The North Indian basin was excluded because the mid-summer analysis period covers a lull in TC activity. Surprisingly, the North Atlantic basin also had to be excluded, because all twelve models failed the performance assessment. A slight poleward expansion in the western North Pacific and an expansion towards the Hawaiian Islands in the eastern North Pacific is plausible in the future, while a contraction in the TC formation regions in the eastern South Indian and western South Pacific basins would reduce the Australian region TC formation area. More than half the models were too active in the eastern South Pacific and South Atlantic basins. However, projections based on the remaining models suggest these basins will remain hostile for TC formation in the future. These southern hemisphere changes are consistent with existing projections of fewer southern hemisphere TCs in a future warming world

Interdecadal variability of tropical cyclone genesis frequency in western North Pacific and South Pacific ocean basins

Variability of tropical cyclone (TC) genesis frequency in the western North Pacific and South Pacific ocean basins in the interdecadal scale is studied. It is demonstrated that the TC genesis frequency in these ocean basins experienced an abrupt decrease near the end of the 20th century. The decreased occurrence of TC genesis in the two recent decades is mainly located in the low-latitude regions at the eastern side of the two ocean basins. It is also shown that a significant part of the decreased TC genesis occurred during October to December, i.e. the post-peak season in the western North Pacific ocean basin and the pre-peak season in the South Pacific ocean basin. The interdecadal trend of variation in the TC genesis frequency in these adjacent two ocean basins seems to be mainly due to a common mechanism, i.e. the variation in the atmospheric vorticity. In contrast to the decrease in the total TC genesis, the intense typhoon occurrence frequency experienced an interdecadal increase during the same period. This trend for intense typhoons is particularly clear in the western North Pacific ocean basin. The zonal distribution of the increased number in the intense typhoon occurrence shows a similar pattern to the increased value of the sea surface temperature. It is then suggested that the variation in the intense typhoon occurrence frequency in the western North Pacific ocean basin is related to a change in the La Niña-like sea surface warming pattern.

Impact of projected sea surface temperature biases on tropical cyclones projections in the South Pacific

Climate model projections generally indicate fewer but more intense tropical cyclones (TCs) in response to increasing anthropogenic emissions. However these simulations suffer from long-standing biases in their Sea Surface Temperature (SST). While most studies investigating future changes in TC activity using high-resolution atmospheric models correct for the present-day SST bias, they do not consider the reliability of the projected SST changes from global climate models. The present study illustrates that future South Pacific TC activity changes are strongly sensitive to correcting the projected SST changes using an emergent constraint method. This additional correction indeed leads to a strong reduction of the cyclogenesis (−55%) over the South Pacific basin, while no statistically significant change arises in the uncorrected simulations. Cyclogenesis indices suggest that this strong reduction in the corrected experiment is caused by stronger vertical wind shear in response to a South Pacific Convergence Zone equatorward shift. We thus find that uncertainty in the projected SST patterns could strongly hamper the reliability of South Pacific TC projections. The strong sensitivity found in the current study will need to be investigated with other models, observational constraint methods and in other TC basins in order to assess the reliability of regional TC projections.

Interior Water-Mass Variability in the Southern Hemisphere Oceans during the Last Decade

AbstractUsing an Argo dataset and the ECCOv4 reanalysis, a volume budget was performed to address the main mechanisms driving the volume change of the interior water masses in the Southern Hemisphere oceans between 2006 and 2015. The subduction rates and the isopycnal and diapycnal water-mass transformation were estimated in a density–spiciness (σ–τ) framework. Spiciness, defined as thermohaline variations along isopycnals, was added to the potential density coordinates to discriminate between water masses spreading on isopycnal layers. The main positive volume trends were found to be associated with the Subantarctic Mode Waters (SAMW) in the South Pacific and South Indian Ocean basins, revealing a lightening of the upper waters in the Southern Hemisphere. The SAMW exhibits a two-layer density structure in which subduction and diapycnal transformation from the lower to the upper layers accounted for most of the upper-layer volume gain and lower-layer volume loss, respectively. The Antarctic Intermediate Waters, defined here between the 27.2 and 27.5 kg m−3 isopycnals, showed the strongest negative volume trends. This volume loss can be explained by their negative isopyncal transformation southward of the Antarctic Circumpolar Current into the fresher and colder Antarctic Winter Waters (AAWW) and northward into spicier tropical/subtropical Intermediate Waters. The AAWW is destroyed by obduction back into the mixed layer so that its net volume change remains nearly zero. The proposed mechanisms to explain the transformation within the Intermediate Waters are discussed in the context of Southern Ocean dynamics. The σ–τ decomposition provided new insight on the spatial and temporal water-mass variability and driving mechanisms over the last decade.

On the Differences Between the South Pacific Meridional and Quadrupole Modes

AbstractThe South Pacific quadrupole (SPQ) and South Pacific meridional mode (SPMM) are the dominant modes of South Pacific sea surface temperature (SST) variability. Both SST modes have been found to affect the occurrence of El Niño‐Southern Oscillation (ENSO) events. In this study, the authors examine the differences between the SPQ and SPMM in terms of their spatial structure, temporal variations, and impacts on ENSO using observational and Coupled Model Intercomparison Project Phase 5 (CMIP5) model data. As a local SST mode defined in the subtropical southeast Pacific, the SPMM has large‐amplitude SST anomalies (SSTAs) mainly confined in the southeast Pacific. In contrast, as a basin‐scale SST mode defined in the South Pacific basin, the SPQ has large‐amplitude SSTAs over the southeast Pacific as well as over the southwest Pacific and high‐latitude South Pacific. In addition, the SPQ has its temporal variability independent of the SPMM, and the occurrence of strong SPQ events is not always simultaneous with strong SPMM events. The SPQ is more closely linked than the SPMM to ENSO, possibly because the SPQ includes an additional component of SSTAs in the southwest Pacific and high‐latitude South Pacific. These findings suggest that compared with the SPMM, the SPQ may act as an improved precursor signal for ENSO events. The results have implications for understanding the respective roles of SSTAs over different regions of the South Pacific in influencing ENSO.

Deep circulation in the Lau Basin and Havre Trough of the western South Pacific Ocean from floats and hydrography

A system of meridional ridges in the western South Pacific Ocean frame the Lau Basin and Havre Trough, and form a barrier to direct communication between the far western South Pacific basins and the interior South Pacific Ocean. The eastern side of this system comprises the Tonga and Kermadec Ridges, the location of the main deep western boundary current entering the Pacific Ocean. Observations from floats released in the Lau Basin as part of the RIDGE2000 program suggested the presence of a western boundary current along the Lau Ridge exiting into the North Fiji Basin. Those observations, together with Argo sub-surface float data and repeat hydrographic sections, confirm and expand the boundary current observations along the Lau Ridge throughout the Lau Basin and into the Havre Trough, along the Colville Ridge. The observations also reveal two previously unrecognized westward flowing jets bisecting the Lau Basin and Havre Trough. Using an extension to the classic Stommel-Arons abyssal circulation model, the predicted strength and location of these boundary currents and their bifurcation is compared with the float observations. The model provides a simplified view of the dynamics controlling the boundary current structure in the deep basins. A comparison of transport within the western boundary current derived from float data, hydrographic sections, and the idealized analytical model indicates that roughly 4 Sv (below 1,000 db) is transported northward through the Lau Basin, exiting into the North Fiji Basin.

Dominant scales of subtidal variability in coastal hydrography of the Northern Chilean Patagonia

Abstract The Chilean Patagonia, on the southeastern Pacific Ocean, is one of the largest fjord systems in the world. Its complex topography harbors an aquaculture industry that is among the top exporters of salmon and mussels worldwide. However, little is known about the scales of environmental variability of this region and how climate-related changes can alter the current conditions. This study provides a baseline understanding of the dominant scales of subtidal variability in meteorological forcing and water properties along and across the region that encompasses northern Patagonia and specifically the Inner Sea of Chiloe (ISC). We examined multiple datasets spanning multiple spatial and temporal scales. Reanalysis wind time series were combined with satellite-derived data (MODIS-Aqua) and in situ hydrographic records from the mussel farming industry as well as from instruments moored at various locations in the ISC. We assessed the influence of large-scale forcing on the variability of local conditions and used the assembled datasets to find modes of variability at interannual, seasonal and intraseasonal scales. The patterns of atmospheric and oceanographic variability along northern Patagonia are heterogeneous both in time and space. Long-term sea surface temperature (SST) averages revealed two areas with colder temperatures and attenuated seasonal variability that can be associated with stronger vertical mixing. These areas have been previously related to hotspots for whale sightings and might be important as bottom-up controls of Patagonian food webs. Northern Patagonia is strongly affected by large-scale processes at the South Pacific basin scale. Long-term wind data show a poleward displacement of the transition between upwelling and downwelling favorable conditions during spring-summer months for the last decade. The intraseasonal time scale was dominated by a band centered at 30 days that can be attributed to atmospheric variability driven by the Baroclinic Annular Mode (BAM), which induces the periodic mixing of the water column, but with substantial interannual variability. Variability in local conditions was found to closely track the large-scale variability, even in the small channels and bays. These findings highlight the strong connection between large-scale processes and the conditions faced by aquaculture in the ISC, and the need to consider such scales of variability - as well as climate trends - in planning and management decisions.

The added value of IMERG in characterizing rainfall in tropical cyclones

Heavy rainfall associated with landfalling tropical cyclones (TCs) is responsible for significant societal and economic impacts. Improved characterization and description of how rainfall during these storms changes as a function of distance from the center of circulation are critical to increase our preparedness against this natural hazard. Since March 2014, the hydrometeorological community has benefitted from the Global Precipitation Measurement mission (GPM), especially with its gridded-rainfall product IMERG (Integrated Multi-satellitE Retrievals for GPM), which offers global rainfall estimates with a spatiotemporal resolution of 0.1°×0.1° every 30 min, on a near-real time basis.We analyze here 166 TCs worldwide from March 2014 through March 2016. For every TC, we extract from IMERG V04 a 2000 km rainfall swath along the TC track. This allows us to characterize with great accuracy the spatial structure of TC-rainfall, from its development all the way to its landfall and dissipation. We stratify the analyses by basin of origin, intensity of the storm, and whether the TC was over ocean or land. We find that the South Pacific, West Pacific, and North Indian basins yield (median) rainfall intensities between 6 and 7.5 mm⋅h−1 at radii ∼50 km. These intensities are for TCs over ocean, and in most cases they are twice (or more) as high as the median intensities for TCs over land (∼3.0 mm⋅h−1). For the North Atlantic, South Indian, and East Pacific basins the oceanic (median) rainfall intensities are between 4 and 5 mm⋅h−1. Upscaled IMERG estimates (0.25°×0.25° every 3 h) do not capture the rainfall structure within the eyewall (i.e., for radii < 50 km), especially for the South Pacific, West Pacific, and North Indian basins.

Impact of Large-Scale Dynamic versus Thermodynamic Climate Conditions on Contrasting Tropical Cyclone Genesis Frequency

Significant advances have been made in understanding the key climate factors responsible for tropical cyclone (TC) activity, yet any theory that estimates likelihood of observed TC formation rates from mean climate states remains elusive. The present study investigates how the extremes of observed TC genesis (TCG) frequency during peak TC seasons are interrelated with distinct changes in the large-scale climate conditions over different ocean basins using the global International Best Track Archive for Climate Stewardship (IBTrACS) dataset and ERA-Interim for the period 1979–2014. Peak TC seasons with significantly high and low TCG frequency are identified for five major ocean basins, and their substantial spatial changes in TCG are noted with regionally distinct differences. To explore the possible climate link behind such changes, a suite of potentially relevant dynamic and thermodynamic climate conditions is analyzed. Results indicate that the observed changes in extreme TCG frequency are closely linked with distinct dominance of specific dynamic and thermodynamic climate conditions over different regions. While the combined influences of dynamic and thermodynamic climate conditions are found to be necessary for modulating TC formation rate over the North Atlantic, eastern Pacific, and southern Indian Oceans, significant changes in large-scale dynamic conditions appear to solely control the TCG frequency over the western Pacific and South Pacific basins. Estimation of the fractional changes in genesis-weighted climate conditions also indicates the coherent but distinct competing effects of different climate conditions on TCG frequency. The present study further points out the need for revising the existing genesis indices for estimating TCG frequency over individual basins.

Early migration and estuary stopover of introduced chinook salmon population in the Lapataia River Basin, southern Tierra del Fuego Island

Established populations of chinook salmon (Oncorhynchus tshawytscha) have recently been reported in South America, at both Atlantic and Pacific basins. Several studies have evaluated different aspects of their life histories; however, little is known about the use of the estuaries by the juveniles of these populations. We examined spawning time, seaward migration timing, growth rate, scale patterns, diet, and geometric morphometric, contrasting the early life history during freshwater and estuary residence of a chinook population established in Lapataia Basin. Fall run spawning took place in March–April and the parr emerged in September. Two distinct seaward migration patterns were identified from sein net fishing records: one population segment migrating earlier to the estuary in October and a second group migrating later in February. The growth rate of fish captured at the estuary was significantly higher than the fish captured in freshwater. In addition, higher scale intercirculi distances were observed in estuary fish showing differences in growth rate. The feeding habitat in fish captured in both environments changed through time from bottom feeding to surface feeding and from significant diet overlap to no overlap. The morphology of the fish captured at the estuary was associated with the elongation of the caudal peduncle and a decrease in the condition factor index, both changes related to smolt transformation. The earlier migration and the higher growth rate of juveniles in the estuary together with fish of 1 + yo captured in this environment reveal that the estuary of Lapataia Basin is not only a stopover for the chinook salmon, but also a key habitat to reside and feed previous to the final seaward migration.