Soil Organic Carbon Sequestration Potential Research Articles

Maps of Soil Organic Carbon Sequestration Potential in the Russian Croplands

Adoption of the farming systems that aim to sequester carbon in agricultural soils is one of the ways to mitigate global climate change. This study focuses on the estimation of organic carbon sequestration potential of the Russian croplands in the upper (0–30 cm) soil layer by creating a set of maps using the data from global and national databases as the input data. The maps are generated within the FAO Global Soil Organic Carbon Sequestration Potential Map (GSOCseq) project according to the unified methodology using the RothC model to predict the rate of carbon sequestration in 2020–2040 under a business as usual scenario (BAU), as well as under sustainable soil management scenarios with additional different C input (+5, +10, and +20%) resulting from the use of sustainable soil management (SSM) scenarios. The total potential sequestration rate by the croplands of the Russian Federation in the 0–30-cm layer under a BAU scenario is assessed at 8.5 Mt/year and the estimate under SSM scenarios, up to 25.5 Mt/year. The carbon sequestration by the cropland of each soil ecological zone (except for the light chestnut (Eutric Cambisols (Protocalcic)) and brown semidesert (Luvic Calcisols) soils, where it is around zero) and on a national scale is positive. The Altai krai, Omsk oblast, Novosibirsk oblast, and Krasnoyarsk krai have the greatest potential for sequestration. Several subjects of the Russian Federation—Krasnodar krai, Republic of Crimea, Rostov oblast, Primorskii krai, Republic of Adygea, and Kaliningrad oblast—demand the adoption of sustainable management of soil resources.

Carbon sequestration potential and its main drivers in soils under alfalfa (Medicago sativa L.)

As a perennial forage crop, alfalfa (Medicago sativa L.) has been extensively utilized for the vegetation restoration of degraded soil and provides feedstock for forage. Its high usage can be attributed to its high yield potential and the increasing soil organic carbon (SOC) sequestration of alfalfa cultivation. However, the impact of land conversion to alfalfa on SOC content and its underlying drivers remain unclear. We performed a meta-analysis at the global scale to explore the quantified effects of alfalfa cultivation on SOC content and identify its controlling factors. We employed 1699 pairwise data points from 90 publications based on cropland/abandoned land conversion to alfalfa. Globally, cropland (cropland-alfalfa) and abandoned land (abandoned land-alfalfa) conversion to alfalfa enhanced SOC content by 12.1 % and 13.7 %, respectively. Alfalfa exhibited greater SOC content benefits in the surface soils (0–20 cm) with a lower level of initial SOC (<16 g kg−1), regardless of the land conversion type. Cropland-alfalfa was observed to increase SOC content with fertilization, irrigation, and conventional tillage in the long term (>5 years). Furthermore, abandoned land-alfalfa enhanced SOC content in the absence of alfalfa biomass removal and for longer cultivation durations (>5 years). Boosted regression tree analyses indicated variations in soil properties (75 % for cropland-alfalfa and 65 % for abandoned land-alfalfa) as the primary factors driving changes in SOC content. The dominant drivers were determined as the soil layer (51.6 %), cultivation duration (13.1 %), and initial SOC (12.9 %) for cropland-alfalfa, and initial SOC (43.7 %), soil layer (24.6 %) and cultivation duration (17.1 %) for abandoned land-alfalfa. Land conversion to alfalfa has great potential for SOC sequestration, particularly in low-fertility soils. Therefore, alfalfa cultivation is highly recommended for degraded lands due to its SOC sequestration benefits in vegetation restoration.

Estimating soil organic carbon sequestration potential in the Chinese Mollisols region

AbstractMollisols region of China is a ballast stone of Chinese food security. In this study, 484 soil organic carbon (SOC) data points from the documented soil surface (0–20 cm) samples in the typical Chinese Mollisols region were selected. The regional soil fertility was divided into high, medium, and low levels based on the SOC content from the long‐term positioning fertilization stations in Shenyang, Harbin, and Hailun of Northeast China. Furthermore, the regional SOC balance point (SOCb) model was built driven by the factors of annual mean temperature, annual precipitation, annual effective accumulative temperature, the ratio of precipitation and temperature, soil clay content, and pH. Using geographic information systems (GIS) interpolation method, the regional mean SOCb and SOC sequestration potential (SOCsp) at the SOCb's status were simulated to be 40.10 g kg−1 and 10.71 kg m−2, respectively. Moreover, the SOC content increased (SOCc) and the SOC sequestration capacity increased of medium‐ or low‐fertility soil were evaluated by GIS subtraction. Consequently, the means of SOCc in medium‐ and low‐fertility soils could be 16.88 g kg−1 and 26.79 g kg−1, respectively. Furthermore, the means of SOCsp in medium‐ and low‐fertility soils could be 4.30 kg m−2 and 7.43 kg m−2, respectively. The sensitivity analysis of this model showed that the high SOCb area was distributed in study region with low temperature, dry, high clay content, and low pH. The results provide an actual perspective on estimating regional SOCsp and soil fertility promotion target induced by the different soil fertility levels.

The Effect of Long-Term Crop Rotations for the Soil Carbon Sequestration Rate Potential and Cereal Yield

Depending on the type of agricultural use and applied crop rotation, soil organic carbon accumulation may depend, which can lead to less CO2 fixation in the global carbon cycle. Less is known about organic carbon emissions in different crop production systems (cereals, grasses) using different agrotechnologies. There is a lack of more detailed studies on the influence of carbon content in the soil on plant productivity, as well as the links between the physical properties of the soil and the absorption, viability, and emission of greenhouse gases (GHG) from mineral fertilizers. The aim of this study is to estimate the long-term effect of soil organic carbon sequestration potential in different crop rotations. The greatest potential for organic carbon sequestration is Norfolk-type crop rotation, where crops that reduce soil fertility are replaced by crops that increase soil fertility every year. Soil carbon sequestration potential was significantly higher (46.72%) compared with continuous black fallow and significantly higher from 27.70 to 14.19% compared with field with row crops and cereal crop rotations, respectively, intensive crop rotation saturated with intermediate crops. In terms of carbon sequestration, it is most effective to keep perennial grasses for one year while the soil is still full of undecomposed cereal straw from the previous crop. Black fallow without manure fertilization, compared to crop rotation, reduces the amount of organic carbon in the soil up to two times, the carbon management index by 2–5 times, and poses the greatest risk to the potential of carbon sequestration in agriculture.

Assessment of carbon sequestration potential of mining areas under ecological restoration in China

Mining activities aggravate the ecological degradation and emission of greenhouse gases throughout the world, thereby affecting the global climate and posing a serious threat to the ecological safety. Vegetation restoration is considered to be an effective and sustainable strategy to improve the post-mining soil quality and functions. However, we still have a limited knowledge of the impact of vegetation restoration on carbon sequestration potential in mining areas. In this pursuit, the present study was envisaged to integrate the findings from studies on soil organic carbon (SOC) sequestration in mining areas under vegetation restoration with field monitoring data. The carbon sequestration potential under vegetation restoration in China's mining areas was estimated by using a machine learning model. The results showed that (1) Vegetation restoration exhibited a consistently positive impact on the changes in the SOC reserves. The carbon sequestration potential was the highest in mixed forests, followed by broad-leaved forests, coniferous forests, grassland, shrubland, and farmland; (2) The number of years of vegetation restoration and mean annual precipitation were found to be the important moderating variables affecting the SOC reserves in reclaimed soils in mining areas; (3) There were significant differences in the SOC sequestration potential under different vegetation restoration scenarios in mining areas in China. The SOC sequestration potential reached up to 9.86 million t C a−1, when the soil was restored to the initial state. Based on the meta-analysis, the maximal attainable SOC sequestration potential was found to be 4.26 million t C a−1. The SOC sequestration potential reached the highest level of 12.86 million t C a−1, when the optimal vegetation type in a given climate was restored. The results indicated the importance of vegetation restoration for improving the soil sequestration potential in mining areas. The time lag in carbon sequestration potential for different vegetation types in mining areas was also revealed. Our findings can assist the development of ecological restoration regimens in mining areas to mitigate the global climate change.

Responses of SOC, labile SOC fractions, and amino sugars to different organic amendments in a coastal saline-alkali soil

Organic amendment combined with mineral fertilizer is known as an effective management practice to improve soil carbon (C) sequestration in cropland. We evaluated the effects of three organic amendments combined with mineral fertilizer on soil organic carbon (SOC), labile SOC fractions, amino sugars, C mineralization, and C-cycle enzyme activities in a coastal saline-alkali soil. The three amendments, including straw (C/N of 75.5:1), straw biochar (C/N of 43:1), and soybean cake (C/N of 7.4:1), were continuously added into the soil at an equal C amount of 2250 kg C ha−1 for four years. Compared to mineral fertilizer alone, the contents of SOC in plots receiving straw, straw biochar, and soybean cake were increased by 7.6%, 17.3%, and 12.7%, respectively. The amendment of straw biochar mainly increased easily oxidizable carbon (EOC), particulate organic carbon (POC), and fungal-derived glucosamine, whereas straw and soybean cake mainly increased dissolved organic carbon (DOC), microbial biomass carbon (MBC), and bacteria-derived muramic acid. Meanwhile, the activities of C-cycle enzymes and C mineralization were higher in straw and soybean cake treatments than in straw biochar treatment. EOC and POC, but not DOC and MBC, were strongly positively correlated with fungal-derived glucosamine and SOC, suggesting that EOC or POC could be used as appropriate indicators to predict SOC sequestration potential. In addition, the C/N ratio of organic material did not affect SOC and its components. In conclusion, straw biochar promotes the maximum accumulation of SOC through increasing EOC, POC, and fungal necromass.

Soil taxonomical classification and organic carbon sequestration potential of coastal acid sulfate soils: Kari and Kayal ecosystems of Kerala, India

Soil taxonomical classification and organic carbon sequestration potential of coastal acid sulfate soils: Kari and Kayal ecosystems of Kerala, India

Effects of land use/cover changes on soil organic carbon stocks in Qinghai-Tibet plateau: A comparative analysis of different ecological functional areas based on machine learning methods and soil carbon pool data

Understanding the process of land use/cover changes (LUCC) can provide experience on the enhancement of soil organic carbon (SOC) stocks and carbon sequestration potential for different areas. This study is uniquely to divide different ecological functional areas, and originally combine the machine learning method and soil carbon pool dataset for regional comparative analysis, to compare and quantitatively analyze the drivers of LUCC and the changes in SOC stocks effected by LUCC over 30 years. The results show that topography and climate changes are the main drivers affecting LUCC in four natural areas, while soil factors and population changes do not cause significant effects. The total SOC stocks in Qinghai was increased by 71.18 Tg C and 107.19 Tg C in 0–30 cm and 0–300 cm layers, respectively, and the highest SOC stocks within 0–300 cm were in Pastoral area. Desert and Gobi area had the lowest SOC stocks in both 0–30 cm and 0–300 cm layers. SOC stocks increased in both 0–30 cm and 0–300 cm layers only in Sanjiangyuan Natural Reserve, while the Desert and Gobi area showed a decrease in both over 30 years. This study emphasizes the significant impact of grassland changes on SOC stocks, indicating the importance of considering these changes in land management and ecological protection policies. The initial and original SOC stocks of pre-LUCC may influence the SOC stocks in post-LUCC. The response of SOC stocks changes to LUCC was varies in different areas. The heterogeneity of different ecological functional areas is affected by multiple factors and SOC stocks will become more complex among these areas in the future. These findings contribute to the development of ecological protection policies and the enhancement of regional land management strategies.

Temporal and vertical dynamics of carbon accumulation potential under grazing-excluded grasslands in China: The role of soil bulk density

Despite the progress made in understanding relevant carbon dynamics under grazing exclusion, previous studies have underestimated the role of soil bulk density (BD), and its implications for potential accumulation of soil organic carbon (SOC), especially at regional scale over long term. In this study, we first constructed a database covering a vast majority of the grasslands in northwestern China based on 131 published literatures. A synthesis was then conducted by analyzing the experimental data to comprehensively investigate the mechanisms of vegetation recovery, carbon-nitrogen coupling, and the importance of changed soil BD in evaluating SOC sequestration potential. The results showed that although the recovery of vegetation height and cover were both critical for improving vegetation biomass, vegetation height required a longer recovery period. While the SOC accumulation was found to be greater in surface layers than deeper ones, it exhibited a reduced capacity for carbon sequestration and an increased risk of SOC loss. Grazing exclusion significantly reduced soil BD across different soil profiles, with the rate of change influenced by soil depth, time, geographical and climatic conditions. The potential for SOC accumulation in the top 30 cm of soil based on data of 2003–2022 was 0.78 Mg ha−1 yr−1 without considering BD effects, which was significantly underestimated compared to that of 1.16 Mg ha−1 yr−1 when BD changes were considered properly. This suggests that the efficiency of grazing exclusion in carbon sequestration and climate mitigation may have been previously underreported. Furthermore, mean annual precipitation represented the most relevant environmental factor that positively correlated to SOC accumulation, and a wetter climate may offer greater potential for carbon accumulation. Overall, this study implies grazing exclusion may play an even more critical role in carbon sequestration and climate change mitigation over long-term than previously recognized, which provides essential scientific evidence for implementing stepwise ecological restoration in grasslands.

Crop yield increments will enhance soil carbon sequestration in coastal arable lands by 2100

Coastal lands are crucial arable land reserves that play a vital role in ensuring future global food security. In arable coastal lands, low soil quality often results in limited crop yield and soil organic carbon (SOC), making them promising sites for enhancing both soil carbon sequestration and agricultural production. However, a scarcity of long-term site experiments has led to a research gap regarding SOC sequestration in coastal arable lands, leaving potential uncertainties due to variations in planting systems, crop yields, and the influence of climate change. In this study, we focused on the Yellow River Delta (YRD) in China, which is a typical coastal agricultural area. We verified the adaptability of the Denitrifcation-Decomposition (DNDC) model in coastal farmlands based on an 11-year long-term observation experiment and continuous sampling survey data. We further explored the spatiotemporal changes of regional SOC stocks under two Shared Socio-Economic Pathways (SSPs) scenarios based on five Global Climate Models (GCMs) derived from the Coupled Model Intercomparison Project Phase 6 (CMIP6), along with three yield increase scenarios from 2020 to 2100. The results indicated that promoting single-cotton cultivation in coastal saline–alkali lands would result in at least 88.2% of farmland being converted into carbon sinks. In contrast, promoting the cultivation of a wheat–maize rotation system can promote regional SOC sequestration as a whole, with a maximum increase of 31.90 Mg C ha−1. By 2100, the SOC stocks decreased in cotton and wheat–maize rotation farmland by 3.9% and 11.6%, respectively, in the SSP585 scenario compared with that in the SSP126 scenario. Except for farmlands with wheat-maize rotation cropping system under the SSP126 scenario, the SOC stocks in all other scenarios are projected to reach their theoretical maximum values before 2050. Additionally, when reaching the North China Plain (S1) and national (S2) high-yield levels of farmland, the SOC stocks in cotton farmland by 2100 increased by 16.7% and 21.6%, respectively, whereas the SOC stocks in wheat-maize farmland increased by 1.8% and 4.8%, respectively. Our study revealed the mutually beneficial relationship between yield increment and SOC sequestration in coastal farmlands under climate change, as well as the potential for future SOC sequestration. We provided scientific support for land management and climate change mitigation strategic decision-making in coastal saline–alkali farmlands.

The response of crop yield, carbon sequestration, and global warming potential to straw and biochar applications: A meta-analysis

Organic materials play an important role in improving crop yield. However, due to variations in natural and field management practices, the impact of straw incorporation (NS) and biochar addition (NB) on soil organic carbon (SOC) sequestration and global warming potential (GWP) remains uncertain. This meta-analysis synthesizes the findings from 112 published studies, encompassing 897 samples, to assess the effects of NS and NB on crop yield, SOC, and GWP. The results reveal that Northeast China has the highest SOC stocks (40.80 Mg ha−1) and annual SOC sequestration (4.27 Mg ha−1 yr−1) compared to other regions. Notably, the NS and NB differ in their effect sizes on improving crop yield (7.68 % and 8.23 %, respectively) and SOC (6.92 % and 30.72 %, respectively), with opposing effects on GWP (increasing by 37.69 % in NS and decreasing by 23.94 % in NB). Following organic material application, climatic conditions, crop and field type, and soil properties affected SOC content and GWP. The main factors influencing variations in crop yield, SOC, and GWP were mean annual temperature and precipitation, initial SOC content, and soil pH, accounting for 57.46 %–60.29 %, 54.75 %–58.52 %, and 61.81 %–65.11 %, respectively. Considering the need to balance food demand, soil fertility and environmental benefits, biochar emerges as a recommended strategy for advancing future agriculture goals. In summary, this study quantitatively assessed the impact of organic material on crop yield, SOC, and greenhouse gas emissions, offering a scientific foundation for optimizing these factors under diverse regional conditions.

Soil carbon sequestration potential of cultivated lands and its controlling factors in China

Understanding soil organic carbon (SOC) stocks and carbon sequestration potential in cultivated lands can have significant benefit for mitigating climate change and emission reduction. However, there is currently a lack of spatially explicit information on this topic in China, and our understanding of the factors that influence both saturated SOC level (SOCS) and soil organic carbon density (SOCD) remains limited. This study predicted SOCS and SOCD of cultivated lands across mainland China based on point SOC measurements, and mapped its spatial distribution using environmental variables as predictors. Based on the differentiation between SOCS and SOCD, the soil organic carbon sequestration potentials (SOCP) of cultivated land were calculated. Boosted regression trees (BRT), random forest (RF), and support vector machine (SVM) were evaluated as prediction models, and the RF model presented the best performance in predicting SOCS and SOCD based on 10-fold cross-validation. A total of 991 topsoil (0–20 cm) SOC measurements and 12 environmental variables explaining topography, climate, organism, soil properties, and human activity were used as predictors in the model. Both SOCS and SOCD suggested higher SOC levels in northeast China and lower levels in central China. The cultivated lands in China had the potential to sequester about 2.13 ± 0.96 kg m−2 (3.25 Pg) SOC in the top 20 cm soil depth. Northeastern China had the largest SOCP followed by Northern China, and Southwestern China had the lowest SOCP. The primary environmental variables that affected the spatial variation of SOCS were mean annual temperature, followed by clay content and normalized difference vegetation index (NDVI). The assessment and mapping of SOCP in China's cultivated lands holds significance importance as it can provide valuable insights to policymakers and researchers about SOCP, and aid in formulating climate change mitigation strategies.

Unleashing the sequestration potential of soil organic carbon under climate and land use change scenarios in Danish agroecosystems

Future global climate changes are expected to increase soil organic carbon (SOC) decomposition. However, the combined effect of C inputs, land use changes, and climate on SOC turnover is still unclear. Exploring this SOC-climate-land use interaction allows us to understand the SOC stabilization mechanisms and examine whether the soil can act as a source or a sink for CO2. The current study estimates the SOC sequestration potential in the topsoil layer of Danish agricultural lands by 2038, considering the effect of land use change and future climate scenarios using the Rothamsted Carbon (RothC) model. Additionally, we quantified the loss vulnerability of existing and projected SOC based on the soil capacity to stabilize OC. We used the quantile random forest model to estimate the initial SOC stock by 2018, and we simulated the SOC sequestration potential with RothC for a business-as-usual (BAU) scenario and a crop rotation change (LUC) scenario under climate change conditions by 2038. We compared the projected SOC stocks with the carbon saturation deficit. The initial SOC stock ranged from 10 to 181 Mg C ha−1 in different parts of the country. The projections showed a SOC loss of 8.1 Mg C ha−1 for the BAU scenario and 6 Mg C ha−1 after the LUC adoption. This SOC loss was strongly influenced by warmer temperatures and clay content. The proposed crop rotation became a mitigation measure against the negative effect of climate change on SOC accumulation, especially in sandy soils with a high livestock density. A high C accumulation in C-saturated soils suggests an increase in non-complexed SOC, which is vulnerable to being lost into the atmosphere as CO2. With these results, we provide information to prioritize areas where different soil management practices can be adopted to enhance SOC sequestration in stable forms and preserve the labile-existing SOC stocks.

Legume cover crops enhance soil organic carbon via microbial necromass in orchard alleyways

Cover crops may enhance soil organic carbon (SOC) sequestration, but the links among SOC fractions, microbial necromass carbon (C), and SOC sequestration potential in legume and non-legume cover-cropped orchards are unclear. We leveraged data from seven orchards with varying climatic and edaphic properties in China to assess the effects of legume and non-legume cover crops on SOC and microbial necromass C in bulk soil, particulate organic matter (POM), and mineral-associated organic matter (MAOM). Legume cover crops led to a significantly greater increase in SOC than non-legumes (23 % vs. 2 %), compared with no cover crops. The MAOM-C with legumes and non-legumes were similar but were both significantly greater than the control plots without cover crops. Legume cover crops positively influenced bacterial and fungal necromass C in all SOC fractions, while non-legume cover crops only affected fungal necromass C in bulk soil and MAOM. The effect of cover crops on the microbial necromass C to SOC ratio was negligible. Fungal necromass contributed most of the microbial necromass C to SOC accumulation, particularly in MAOM. Linear regression showed SOC, POM-C, and MAOM-C accumulated with increasing microbial necromass C. Microbial necromass C was the key factor explaining the variation in POM-C and MAOM-C compared to other climatic and edaphic factors. Partial least squares path modeling showed a causal relationship among cover crops, climate, soil substrates, soil properties, microbial necromass, and SOC and SOC fractions. Our study suggests that changes in microbial necromass C and composition may explain most of the increase in SOC in cover-cropped orchards and that MAOM-C is the principal sink of microbial necromass. This information is valuable for improving our understanding of the potential impact of microbial necromass C on enhancing SOC sequestration potential in orchard soils under cover crop management.

Potential of soil minerals to sequester soil organic carbon

The capacity of soil to sequester carbon (C) is a key process that promotes the reduction of CO2 in the atmosphere. Soils can absorb as much as 20% of anthropogenic carbon emissions, which can contribute to mitigate climate change. This capacity relies on the organo-mineral association, which includes different minerals, Fe and Al oxides, which have a critical soil organic carbon (SOC) sorption surface. Based on an equation of the potential C saturation deficit of fine soil particles (<20 μm/silt and clay fractions) for tropical regions, this study investigated the SOC sequestration potential of the clay fraction for soils in Piracicaba region, São Paulo State, Brazil as influenced by the clay minerals. This potential was fitted to a spatial regression model for soil depths 0–20 cm and 80 to 100 cm. In the surface layer, the sequestration potential was mostly explained by the relative abundance of soil minerals (Kaolinite, Hematite, Goethite and Gibbsite) determined using vis-NIR-SWIR spectroscopy. A direct relationship was observed with Goethite and Gibbsite, indicating that low concentrations would reduce the sequestration potential. At 80 to 100 cm depth, Kaolinite and Hematite explained most variation in SOC sequestration potential. Additionally, the C associated with the mineral fraction and the C saturation potential as a function of minerals were modeled and a strong importance of hematite in the C sequestration and stabilization cycle was identified at both depths. The individual mineral contribution to SOC sequestration potential was also mapped, which identified high contributions of goethite and gibbsite for deep soil layers. The influence of land use on the carbon sequestration potential of minerals was observed, with the greatest potential being found in areas with pasture and cropping mosaics and grassland and forest mosaics, with a high presence of kaolinite and hematite. These minerals have a greater potential for carbon sequestration at greater depths and, therefore, could be critical in climate change mitigation strategies.

Assessing the carbon sequestration potential and identifying influential factors of cultivated soils in Northeast China

Cultivated lands play a crucial role in terrestrial carbon cycle, and enhancing soil organic carbon (SOC) sequestration in these areas can help effectively mitigate the rise of atmospheric CO2 concentration. In this study, topsoil (0–20 cm) saturated SOC and its density of cultivated soil in Northeast China were mapped using a boosted regression trees (BRT) model. The distribution of the SOC sequestration potential was also calculated based on the difference between saturated SOC and SOC density in ArcGIS. Nine environmental factors including climate, topography and lengths of cultivation data (LCD) and 197 soil samples are used. A 10-fold cross-validation technique is applied to derive four statistical indices - mean absolute prediction error (MAE), root mean square error (RMSE), coefficient of determination (R2) and Lin's consistent correlation coefficient (LCCC) to verify the model performance. The model explains 81% and 85% of the spatial variation of saturated SOC and SOC density, respectively. Mean annual temperature and mean annual precipitation are key factors controlling SOC density and saturated SOC distribution. In addition, LCD showed a similar spatial pattern to SOC sequestration potential, influencing the distribution of SOC density and saturated SOC in the study area. We recommend LCD as an important factor to consider in saturated SOC and SOC density predictions, especially in the farmland ecosystem with a long reclamation history. Accurate mapping SOC sequestration potential and identifying environmental factors will help manage land use and promote soil quality evaluation and improve soil carbon sequestration in this region.

Soil organic carbon sequestration potential for croplands in Finland over 2021–2040 under the interactive impacts of climate change and agricultural management

Soil organic carbon sequestration potential for croplands in Finland over 2021–2040 under the interactive impacts of climate change and agricultural management

Soil organic carbon sequestration potential for croplands in Finland over 2021–2040 under the interactive impacts of climate change and agricultural management

CONTEXTCropland soil organic carbon (SOC) stock can be increased by agricultural management, but is subject to various factors. The extent and rates of SOC sequestration potential, as well as the controlling factors, under different climate and management practices across a region or country are important for policy-makers and land managers, however have been rarely known. OBJECTIVEWe aim to investigate the extent and rates of SOC sequestration potential over 2021–2040 under different scenarios of climate change and Sustainable Soil Management (SSM) practices, and quantify the impacts of climate change and SSM practices on the SOC sequestration potential, for croplands across Finland at a spatial resolution of 1 km. METHODSRothC model is run iteratively to equilibrium to calculate the size of the SOC pools and the annual plant carbon inputs. Then, it is applied to investigate the SOC sequestration potential over 2021–2040 under different scenarios of climate change and SSM practices. Finally, facorial simulation experiments are conducted to quantify the impacts of climate change and SSM practices, alone and in combination, on SOC sequestration potential. RESULTS AND CONCLUSIONUnder the combined impacts of climate change and SSM practices, the SOC sequestration potential during 2021–2040 relative to 2020 will be on average − 0.03, 0.007, 0.05, and 0.13 t C ha−1 yr−1, respectively, with carbon input being business as usual, 5%, 10%, and 20% increase. This is equivalent to an annual change rate of −0.04%, 0.009%, 0.07%, and 0.17%, respectively. Therefore, a 20% increase in C input to soil will not be enough to obtain a 4‰ increase per year over the 20-year period in Finland. Carbon input will promote SOC sequestration potential; however, climate change will reduce it on average by 0.28 t C ha−1 yr−1. Across the cropland in Finland, on average, the relative contributions of C input, temperature, and precipitation to SOC sequestration potential in 2021–2040 will be 56%, 24%, and 20%, respectively, however there is a spatially explicit pattern. The SOC sequestration potential will be relatively high and dominated by C input in west and southwest Finland. By contrast, it will be relatively low and dominated by climate in north and east Finland, and the central part of southern Finland. SIGNIFICANCEOur findings provide the information as to where, how much, and which SSM practices could be applied for enhancing SOC sequestration at a high spatial resolution, which is essential for stakeholders to increase cropland SOC sequestration efficiently.

Soil organic carbon sequestration potential for croplands in Finland over 2021–2040 under the interactive impacts of climate change and agricultural management

Soil organic carbon sequestration potential for croplands in Finland over 2021–2040 under the interactive impacts of climate change and agricultural management

On-farm soil organic carbon sequestration potentials are dominated by site effects, not by management practices

Although conservation agriculture practices evidently facilitate the build-up of soil organic carbon (SOC), the sequestration potential of arable soils is strongly mediated by edaphic attributes; so far, their interplay is not well understood. Deciphering these drivers is however important to correctly estimate SOC storage potentials in arable soils and to derive effective strategies for the implementation of successful measures. By using an on-farm approach, we conducted a pairwise comparison of 21 conventional and highly innovative ‘pioneer’ farms across a wide range of arable soil types and evaluated the leverage of site attributes and management practices such as crop diversity, reduced tillage, organic fertilization, cover cropping and inter cropping on the SOC sequestration potential.While most pioneer management practices proved beneficial for the sequestration of SOC – particularly cover cropping and crop diversity – our results clearly show that soil texture was the most significant shaping factor. Coarse-textured soils had a significantly higher potential for SOC accrual compared to medium- and fine-textured soils. The initial SOC content also had a significant effect on prevalent sequestration potentials. Based on the fact of a clear predominance of natural site conditions over management impacts in enhancing SOC storage of arable soils, we call for a critical discussion of carbon farming schemes. As similar efforts and costs of implementing carbon farming measures will have distinctive carbon gains, dependent on environmental constraints beyond farmers’ influence, we advocate for strategies harmonizing both activity- and results-based approaches to maximize the ecological effectiveness and the spatial dissemination of soil health innovations. Carbon farming schemes thus need reconsideration within the state-of-the-art scientific framework of carbon saturation behaviour in order to properly account for biophysical constraints when formulating soil-related climate change mitigation policies.