Insomnia, i.e., difficulties in sleep onset and sleep maintenance, may increase the risk of anxiety symptoms, although long-term follow-up studies are rarely reported. Here, we examined whether insomnia symptoms may predict anxiety symptoms in a 9-year follow-up, and whether inflammation may play a mediating role. Data from 1355 participants (63.44 ± 7.47 years, 55.1 % females) from the English Longitudinal Study of Ageing (ELSA) were analysed. Insomnia symptoms were assessed in 2012/13. High-sensitivity C-reactive protein (hs-CRP), a marker of systemic inflammation, was measured in 2016/17. Anxiety symptoms were assessed in 2020/21. After adjusting for confounders and baseline levels, structural equation modelling (SEM) revealed that insomnia symptoms significantly predicted anxiety symptoms (β = 0.357, p < .001) but not hs-CRP (β = −0.016, p = .634). Similarly, hs-CRP was not related to anxiety symptoms (β = −0.024, p = .453). The hs-CRP mediation hypothesis was therefore rejected (β = 0.0004; 95 % BCI -0.001 to 0.005), and multi-group SEM showed that sex did not moderate these paths. However, baseline diagnoses of anxiety disorders prospectively predicted higher hs-CRP (B = 0.083, p = .030). Results of the current study suggest that individuals with baseline anxiety disorders may be at higher risk of developing low-grade chronic inflammation. Several alternative psychophysiological mechanisms linking insomnia and anxiety symptoms should be explored, including autonomic and cortical pre-sleep arousal, cortisol reactivity, and pro-inflammatory cytokines. Finally, insomnia symptoms may be a treatment target to lower the risk of anxiety symptoms in elderly.
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