The purpose of this study is to prove the feasibility, efficiency and selectivity of lithium recovery from waste lithium-ion batteries (LIB) via sulfuric acid roasting-water leaching by thermodynamic analysis and experimental verification. The feasibility was proved by Gibbs free energy calculations and experiments. Then, the effects of H2SO4 concentration, roasting temperature and roasting time were assessed on the leaching rate of valuable metals. The results indicate that the leaching efficiency of lithium increases firstly and then decreases with the increase of H2SO4 concentration, roasting temperature and roasting time, more than 91 % lithium are leached under optimized experimental conditions: 50 wt% H2SO4, roasting temperature of 650°C, and roasting time of 2 h. Meanwhile, the selectivity of lithium is up to 88 % which means overwhelming majority lithium have been separated completely. In addition, the factors which cause sintering phenomenon such as high temperature and longtime roasting will change the microstructure of roasted product extremely, which is inconducive to the subsequent water leaching. The investigations of the phase conversion mechanism by thermodynamic simulation and instrumental characterization indicated that the leaching behaviors of valuable metals might be influenced by the different reaction pathways of the compounds while changing roasting conditions. The recovery process can be divided into two stages: the partial structure of LiNixCoyMnzO2 was destroyed to form metal sulfates at ambient temperature and the solid phase reaction between unreacted LiNixCoyMnzO2 which contained Li+ in the unstable layered structure with transition metal sulfates at high temperature. The fully reduced low-valence states are mainly (NiO)0.75(MnO)0.25 and CoO, and basically all Li within the crystalline LiNixCoyMnzO2 was de-intercalated and transformed to soluble Li2SO4. These results further confirm the advantages of H2SO4 roasting on selective Li recovery, and provide a better understanding of conversion mechanism by combining theory and experiments.