BackgroundThe triglyceride-glucose (TyG) index is a new and good biomarker of insulin resistance (IR). The prognostic utility of the TyG index for patients with type 2 diabetes mellitus (T2DM) remains uncertain. Our study seeks to elucidate the connection between the TyG index and adverse renal outcomes within a T2DM population, while also examining if these relationships are influenced by subgroup variations.MethodsWe analyzed data from the Action to Control Cardiovascular Risk in Diabetes (ACCORD) trial, involving 10,196 T2DM participants, to assess the link between triglyceride-glucose levels and adverse renal outcomes. This evaluation included Restricted Cubic Spline (RCS) analysis, Kaplan–Meier survival analysis, and Multivariate Cox proportional regression. Additionally, we examined the interaction between subgroups concerning adverse renal outcomes.ResultsDuring a 7-year follow-up, 5824 patients (57.1%) experienced worsening renal function, 2309 patients (23.2%) developed albuminuria, and 280 patients (2.7%) advanced to renal failure. After adjusting for a range of confounding variables, triglyceride-glucose levels were significantly linked to both worsening renal function (p < 0.001) and the onset of albuminuria (p = 0.020). Nonetheless, no significant association was observed between triglyceride-glucose levels and renal failure (p = 0.247). Furthermore, there was no significant subgroups interaction to the associations between TyG levels and adverse renal outcomes.ConclusionOur study underscores the significant relationship between the triglyceride-glucose index and the risk of adverse renal outcomes in patients with T2DM. The TyG index, as a readily calculable measure, offers clinicians a valuable tool for anticipating the risk of adverse renal outcomes in this patient population.