Significant Predictor Of Disease Progression Research Articles

Plasma Cell-Free Adenomatous Polyposis Coli Gene Promoter Methylation as a Prognostic Biomarker for Hepatocellular Carcinoma

Introduction: Hepatocellular carcinoma (HCC) is a leading cause of cancer death worldwide. Lack of biomarkers for follow-up after treatment is a clinical challenge. DNA methylation has been proposed to be a potential biomarker in HCC. However, there is still a lack of evidence of its clinical use. This study aimed to evaluate the value of using plasma Adenomatous Polyposis Coli promoter methylation level (APC-MET) as a potential biomarker in HCC treatment. Method: A total of 96 patients with HCC at BCLC stage B who underwent local tumor ablation treatment were prospectively included in this study. APC-MET was examined in the plasma of each patient before and 1 month after treatment. The prediction value of APC-MET for survival outcome and disease status after treatment was analyzed and adjusted with alpha-fetoprotein and protein induced by vitamin K absence-II using Cox regression analysis. Results: Univariate Cox regression analysis showed preoperative APC-MET >0 (HR, 2.9, 95% CI: 1.05–8.05, p = 0.041) and postoperative APC-MET >0 (HR, 3.47, 95% CI: 1.16–10.4, p = 0.026) were both predictors of death, and preoperative APC-MET >0 was a predictor of disease progression after treatment (HR, 2.04, 95% CI: 1.21–3.44, p = 0.007). In multivariate models, preoperative APC-MET >0 was a significant predictor of disease progression after adjusting with the other two traditional biomarkers (HR, 1.82, 95% CI: 1.05–3.17, p = 0.034). Conclusions: Hypermethylation of APC promoter appears to be a potential biomarker that could predict patient survival and disease progression outcomes in patients with intermediate-stage HCC after local ablation treatment.

The association between patient and disease characteristics, and the risk of disease progression in patients with prostate cancer on active surveillance.

The objective of this study was to identify and assess patient and disease characteristics associated with an increased risk of disease progression in men with prostate cancer on active surveillance. We studied patients with low-risk (ISUP GG1) or favorable intermediate-risk (ISUP GG2) PCa. All patients had at least one repeat biopsy. Disease progression was the primary outcome of this study, based on pathological upgrading. Univariate and multivariate Cox proportional hazard analyses were used to evaluate the association between covariates and disease progression. In total, 240 men were included, of whom 198 (82.5%) were diagnosed with low-risk PCa and 42 (17.5%) with favorable intermediate-risk PCa. Disease progression was observed in 42.9% (103/240) of men. Index lesion > 10 mm (HR = 2.85; 95% CI 1.74-4.68; p < 0.001), MRI (m)T-stage 2b/2c (HR = 2.52; 95% CI 1.16-5.50; p = 0.02), highest PI-RADS score of 5 (HR 3.05; 95% CI 1.48-6.28; p = 0.002) and a higher PSA level (HR 1.06; 95% CI 1.01-1.11; p = 0.014) at baseline were associated with disease progression on univariate analysis. Multivariate analysis showed no significant baseline predictors of disease progression. In AS patients with low-risk or favorable intermediate-risk PCa, diameter of index lesion, MRI (m)T-stage, height of the PI-RADS score and the PSA level at baseline are significant predictors of disease progression to first repeat biopsy.

Analysis of progression after elective distal ureterectomy and effects of salvage radical nephroureterectomy in patients with distal ureteral urothelial carcinoma

We compared the progression patterns after radical nephroureterectomy (RNU) and elective distal ureterectomy (DU) in patients with urothelial carcinoma of the distal ureter. Between Jan 2011 and Dec 2020, 127 patients who underwent RNU and 46 who underwent elective DU for distal ureteral cancer were enrolled in this study. The patterns of progression and upper tract recurrence were compared between the two groups. Progression was defined as a local recurrence and/or distant metastasis after surgery. Upper tract recurrence and subsequent treatment in patients with DU were analyzed. Progression occurred in 35 (27.6%) and 10 (21.7%) patients in the RNU and DU groups, respectively. The progression pattern was not significantly different (p = 0.441), and the most common progression site was the lymph nodes in both groups. Multivariate logistic regression analysis revealed that pT2 stage, concomitant lymphovascular invasion, and nodal stage were significant predictors of disease progression. Upper tract recurrence was observed in nine (19.6%) patients with DU, and six (66.7%) patients had a prior history of bladder tumor. All patients with upper tract recurrence after DU were managed with salvage RNU. Elective DU with or without salvage treatment was not a risk factor for disease progression (p = 0.736), overall survival (p = 0.457), cancer-specific survival (p = 0.169), or intravesical recurrence-free survival (p = 0.921). In terms of progression patterns and oncological outcomes, there was no difference between patients who underwent RNU and elective DU with/without salvage treatment. Elective DU should be considered as a therapeutic option for distal ureter tumor.

Allogeneic Transplant for CLL Richter's Transformation: Single Center Retrospective Analysis

Introduction: Richter transformation (RT) describes the emergence of an aggressive lymphoma in the setting of chronic lymphocytic leukemia (CLL). The prognosis is poor, with a median overall survival (OS) of 10 months. Treatment of RT is still challenging despite the availability of novel agents, and stem cell transplant (SCT) is commonly used as a consolidation strategy. Data on outcomes post-allogeneic-SCT for RT is limited. The OS on these reports' ranges from 41 to 75%. Methods: We conducted a retrospective study of patients diagnosed with RT at our center who underwent allogeneic SCT between 2005 and 2022. We evaluated predictors of outcome using Cox's proportional hazards regression analysis for overall and progression-free survival (PFS) and Fine and Grey regression for disease progression and non-relapse mortality (NRM). Results: 88 patients were identified, 85 had a diffuse large lymphoma histology and 3 Hodgkin's lymphoma. The median age was 61 years (range 25-74), and the majority (n=61, 69%) of patients were in complete response (CR, N=21) or partial response (PR, N=40) pre-SCT. Median follow-up among survivors was 74 months (range: 8-168); all outcomes are reported at 6 years. Overall, OS was 45% (95% CI: 34-56), and PFS 32% (95% CI: 22-43). The cumulative incidence of disease progression was 41% (95% CI: 31-53) and NRM 25% (95% CI: 17-36). In the univariate analysis, response prior to transplant was the most significant predictor of disease progression, OS, and PFS. Patients in CR/PR had a lower rate of disease progression (32% vs. 61%, HR: 0.2, 95% CI 0.2-0.6, p=0.002) and higher OS (59% vs 16%, HR: 0.3, 95% CI 0.2-0.5, p&amp;lt;0.001, Figure) and PFS (44% vs. 6%, HR: 0.2 (0.1-0.4), p&amp;lt;0.001) compared with those advanced (&amp;gt;CR2)or progressive disease. In addition, the presence of deletion 17p (del17p) or TP53 mutation was associated with a higher rate of disease progression (HR=3.1, 95% C 1.3 -7.3, p=0.01), but not with PFS or OS. The use of reduced intensity regimens resulted in favorable OS (HR=0.5, 95% CI 0.3-1.0, p=0.05) as compared to non-myeloablative conditioning. Age, HCT-CI score, donor type, donor-to-recipient gender, cell source, and graft-versus-host disease prophylaxis, or the presence of other cytogenetic abnormalities were not significantly associated with OS, PFS, disease progression, or NRM. There was also no advantage for any outcome when comparing individuals who achieved CR versus PR pre-SCT. The independent predictive value of CR/PR was confirmed in multivariate analysis for OS (HR=0.3, 95% CI 0.2-0.5, p&amp;lt;0.001) and disease progression (HR=0.4, 95% CI: 0.2-0.8, p=0.01), after adjusting for conditioning intensity for OS and deletion 17p (del17p) or TP53 mutation for disease progression. Discussion: In this single center series of patients treated with allogeneic SCT as consolidation for RT, disease status prior to SCT (CR/PR) emerged as a strong independent predictor of outcomes. The influence of tumor burden prior to SCT may be related to disease biology (e.g., patients not in CR/PR may have more aggressive RT) or may be related to decreased graft-versus-lymphoma effect. Based on our findings, we recommend that aggressive control of the disease with the goal of achieving a CR or PR should be attempted before allogeneic stem cell transplantation in patients with Richter transformation.

Efficacy of Pirfenidone According to Dose in Patients with Idiopathic Pulmonary Fibrosis: A Prospective, Observational, Single-Center Cohort Study.

Idiopathic pulmonary fibrosis (IPF) is a progressive fibrotic lung disease with a poor prognosis. Pirfenidone is approved and widely used for the treatment of IPF and reduces lung function decline. The aim of this study was to evaluate the efficacy of different doses of pirfenidone for the prevention of disease progression in patients with IPF. This was a prospective, observational, single-center cohort study conducted in Haeundae Paik Hospital, Republic of Korea, from April 2021 to March 2023. IPF patients were assigned to three groups according to the dose of pirfenidone (600 mg, 1200 mg, 1800 mg). Disease progression was defined as an absolute decline to ≥5% of forced vital capacity (FVC) (% predicted value) or an absolute decline to ≥10% of diffusing capacity of the lung for carbon monoxide (DLco) (% predicted value) over 12 months. The primary endpoint was to evaluate the clinical effects of pirfenidone of each dosage on disease progression in IPF patients by comparing the FVC (% predicted value) and DLco (% predicted value) values over 12 months. The secondary endpoint was to evaluate the prognostic value of Krebs von den Lungen-6 (KL-6) in the disease progression in IPF patients using the baseline KL-6 value and the change in KL-6 values between the baseline and 12 months. A total of 44 patients were enrolled, of whom 39 completed the study, with 13 patients assigned to each of the three groups. The median age was 71.7 years, and 79.5% of patients were men. The baseline characteristics were similar across groups, except the 600 mg group was older (75.9 vs. 69.2 vs. 68.2 years, p = 0.016). The overall median change in FVC and DLco over 12 months was -2.7% (IQR: -9.1%, -1.2%) and -3.8% (IQR: -13.6%, -3.7%), respectively. There was no difference in the decline in FVC (change in FVC, % predicted value: -3.23 vs. -4.08 vs. -1.54, p = 0.621) and DLco (change in DLco, % predicted value: 0.00 vs. -3.62 vs. -3.15, p = 0.437) among the three groups. Fourteen patients (35.9%) suffered disease progression. The rate of disease progression did not differ according to the dose of pirfenidone (38.5 vs. 38.5 vs. 30.8%, p = 1.000). In multivariable logistic regression analysis, KL-6 was not a statistically significant predictor of disease progression. In our study, regardless of dose, consistent pirfenidone use for 12 months resulted in similar efficacy for the prevention of disease progression in patients with IPF. Large-scale, randomized, double-blind, placebo-controlled clinical trials are needed.

Altered neural activity in the reward-related circuit associated with anhedonia in mild to moderate Major Depressive Disorder

BackgroundAnhedonia is a significant predictor of disease progression and treatment outcomes in Major Depressive Disorder (MDD), linked to reward network dysfunctions. However, understanding of its underlying neural mechanisms remains limited. This study aimed to investigate the brain functional mechanisms underlying MDD with anhedonia using resting-state functional magnetic resonance imaging (rs-fMRI). MethodsThe Snaith-Hamilton Pleasure Scale (SHAPS) was used to evaluation MDD with anhedonia (anMDD) and non-anhedonia MDD (non-anMDD). Forty-eight patients with anMDD, Forty-four patients with non-anMDD, and Fifty healthy controls (HCs) were enrolled for the fMRI scans. A seed-based functional connectivity (FC) method was employed to explore reward network abnormalities. ResultsanMDD patients exhibited lower FC values in Ventral Striatum (VS), right lateral Ventral Tegmental Area (VTA_R), left Thalamus (THA_L), and higher FC values in Ventromedial Prefrontal Cortex (vmPFC), left Anterior Insula (AI_L), and Presupplementary Motor Area (Pre-SMA) compared to HCs. Comparing anMDD to non-anMDD, significant differences were observed in FC values of VS, vmPFC, Pre-SMA, and THA_L regions. Correlation analysis revealed positive correlations between FC values of VS_R and NAc_R, as well as THA_L and Cerebellum_Crus1_L, with SHAPS scores. Negative correlations were observed between FC values of Pre-SMA and the right caudate, and between vmPFC and Frontal_Mid_Orb_L, and SHAPS scores. ConclusionBoth anMDD and non-anMDD groups demonstrated abnormal FCs in the reward network. These findings indicate distinct roles of reward-related circuits in the two subtypes, contributing to a refined understanding of depression phenotypes and potential directions for targeted interventions.

Factors affecting progression of non-Alzheimer dementia: a retrospective analysis with long-term follow-up.

Non-Alzheimer's dementias, including vascular dementia (VaD), frontotemporal dementia (FTD), Lewy body dementia (LBD), and Parkinson's disease dementia (PDD), possess unique characteristics and prognostic factors that remain poorly understood. This study aims to investigate the temporal course of these subtypes and identify the impact of functional, neuropsychiatric, and comorbid medical conditions on prognosis. Additionally, the relationship between hippocampal atrophy, white matter intensities, and disease progression will be examined, along with the identification of key covariates influencing slow or fast progression in non-Alzheimer's dementias. A total of 196 patients with non-Alzheimer's dementias who underwent at least three comprehensive evaluations were included, with proportions of VaD, FTD, LBD, and PDD being 50, 19.39, 19.90, and 10.71%, respectively. Patient demographics, comorbidities, neuropsychiatric and neuroimaging parameters, and global evaluation were analyzed using appropriate statistical methods. The study followed patients for a mean duration of 62.57 ± 33.45 months (ranging from 11 to 198 months). The results from three different visits for each non-AD dementia case demonstrated significant differences in various measures across visits, including functional capacity (BDLAS), cognition (MMSE), and other neuropsychological tests. Notably, certain genotypes and hippocampal atrophy grades were more prevalent in specific subtypes. The results indicate that Fazekas grading and hippocampal atrophy were significant predictors of disease progression, while epilepsy, extrapyramidal symptoms, thyroid dysfunction, coronary artery disease, diabetes mellitus, hypertension, stroke, hyperlipidemia, sleep disorders, smoking, and family history of dementia were not significant predictors. BDLAS and EDLAS scores at the first and second visits showed significant associations with disease progression, while scores at the third visit did not. Group-based trajectory analysis revealed that non-AD cases separated into two reliable subgroups with slow/fast prognosis, showing high reliability (Entropy = 0.790, 51.8 vs. 48.2%). This study provides valuable insights into the temporal course and prognostic factors of non-Alzheimer's dementias. The findings underscore the importance of considering functional, neuropsychological, and comorbid medical conditions in understanding disease progression. The significant associations between hippocampal atrophy, white matter intensities, and prognosis highlight potential avenues for further research and therapeutic interventions.

MiRNAs: novel noninvasive biomarkers as diagnostic and prognostic tools in neonatal sepsis

The study aimed to assess the diagnostic and prognostic value of 3 specific microRNAs (miRNAs) in early-onset neonatal sepsis (NS). We examined miR-1, miR-124, and miR-34a in 70 NS patients upon admission and compared them to 70 healthy controls by RT-PCR. The main finding of the study was the difference in miRNA expression levels between NS patients and controls. Higher expression levels of miR-1 and miR-124 were significantly associated with NS, while miR-34a expression was reduced. Among the studied miRNAs, miR-34a exhibited the highest specificity (97%) as a confirmatory test for NS. In the multivariate model, miR-1 and miR-124 were found to be significant predictors of disease progression or mortality. Overall, the study suggests that miR-1, miR-124, and miR-34a could serve as potential biomarkers for diagnosing and predicting outcomes in early-onset NS.

Seasonal changes in the abundance Fusarium proliferatium, microbial endophytes and nutrient levels in the roots of hybrid bamboo Bambusa pervariabilis × Dendrocalamopsis grandis.

Plant root pathogens invade the soil around plant roots, disturbing the systemic balance, reducing plant defenses, and causing severe disease. At present, there are few studies on the severity of plant diseases caused by pathogen invasion in different seasons and how pathogens affect root microecology. In this study, we compared the levels of nutrients in the root tissues of the two groups of plants. We used 16S and ITS amplicon sequencing with Illumina NovaSeq 6000 to compare seasonal changes in the composition and structure of microbial communities from healthy roots of bamboo Bambusa pervariabilis × Dendrocalamopsis grandis and roots infected by the soilborne pathogen Fusarium proliferatum. We have found that the invasion of the pathogen led to a substantial decrease in nutrient elements in bamboo roots, except for nitrogen. The pathogen presence correlated with seasonal changes in the bamboo root microbiome and decreased bacterial richness in diseased plants. The root microbial community structure of healthy plants was more stable than that of their diseased counterparts. Furthermore, we identified the lesion area and relative abundance of F. proliferatum were significant predictors of disease progression. The potassium tissue content and the disease lesion area were identified as factors linked with the observed changes in the bamboo root microbiome. This study provides a theoretical foundation for understanding the seasonal dynamics F. proliferatum, an economically important soilborne pathogen of hybrid bamboo grown in Sichuan Province, China.

Clinical characteristics of familial and sporadic pediatric cerebral cavernous malformations and outcomes.

Cerebral cavernous malformation (CCM) is a subtype of the vascular malformations found within the cerebral cortex. Although rare and usually discovered incidentally, these vascular abnormalities can predispose patients to spontaneous cerebral hemorrhage and subsequently lead to a myriad of neurological symptoms at presentation such as seizures and other focal neurological deficits. Although the symptoms and presentations of CCM have been adequately described in the adult population, disease characteristics and outcomes have not been extensively described in the pediatric population. Furthermore, the etiology of CCM-e.g., familial versus sporadic disease, as well as the risk factors for hemorrhage and neurological deficits and predictors of clinical and surgical outcomes-has not been adequately explored in the pediatric population. The current study attempts to classify and characterize differences in the clinical presentation, characteristics, and outcomes of CCMs between familial and sporadic cases within the pediatric population. A retrospective review identified 131 pediatric patients with radiographically confirmed diagnosis of CCM. All pertinent demographic and clinical variables were collected. CCM lesions were characterized using T2-weighted and susceptibility-weighted angiography (SWAN) MRI. Statistical analysis was conducted using the t-test for continuous variables, whereas categorical variables were analyzed with the Fisher exact test or chi-square test. Multivariate analysis was performed using a Cox proportional hazards model with R version 4.2.0. This retrospective study identified 131 pediatric CCM patients with a mean age of 8.4 years, and 54% (n = 71) were male. Twenty-seven percent (n = 35) were identified as cases with familial CCM, with the remainder classified as sporadic. The most common symptoms at presentation included generalized symptoms (headaches, nausea, and vomiting) or seizures, with a large proportion of patients also presenting as asymptomatic. No significant differences were observed in severity of symptoms between patients harboring different forms of the disease. Patients with familial CCM were noted to have a larger lesion size on average (5.26 cm3 vs 1.6 cm3, p = 0.047). These patients also had a shorter progression-free follow-up interval, with 50% of patients showing progression by 888 days, compared with only 15% of sporadic CCM patients during the same period (p = 0.0019). Familial etiology of the disease and larger average lesion volume were independent, significant predictors of disease progression (p = 0.001, HR 3.29, 95% CI 1.65-6.54) and future hemorrhage (p = 0.023, HR 1.1, 95% CI 1.01-1.10), respectively. Familial and sporadic CCMs tend to present with similar characteristics within the pediatric population. Patients with the familial form of the disease have an increased risk of progressive disease in terms of further hemorrhagic events.

COVID-19 symptom-onset to diagnosis and diagnosis to treatment intervals are significant predictors of disease progression and hospitalization in high-risk patients: A real world analysis

BackgroundCoronavirus disease (COVID-19) is overwhelming healthcare systems worldwide. This study aimed to elucidate factors that influence disease progression to pneumonia and hospitalization before and after antiviral treatment for COVID-19 in an outpatient setting. MethodsA total of 206 high-risk patients with COVID-19 were treated with sotrovimab, remdesivir, and molnupiravir at the Toshiwakai clinic between January 4 and April 30, 2022. Of these, 49 patients visited the Toshiwakai clinic directly and were treated immediately after diagnosis (Toshiwakai-clinic study group). The remaining patients were diagnosed elsewhere, and of these, 102 patients were quarantined at home (health-center study group) and 55 at designated facilities (quarantine-facility study group) before being referred to Toshiwakai clinic. Patients were categorized into those with mild and moderate COVID-19, based on the presence of pneumonia at the initial visit to Toshiwakai clinic. ResultsThe symptom-onset-to-diagnosis and diagnosis-to-treatment intervals were significant predictors of moderate disease. Age, dyspnea, and diagnosis-to-treatment interval at the first visit to Toshiwakai clinic were significant predictors for hospitalization even after antiviral treatment. Although the symptom-onset-to-diagnosis interval did not differ among the three study groups, the diagnosis-to-treatment and symptom-onset-to-treatment intervals were significantly longer in the health-center and quarantine-facility study groups than in the Toshiwakai-clinic study group. ConclusionThe symptom-onset-to-diagnosis and diagnosis-to-treatment intervals reflect diagnostic and interventional delays, respectively, which are closely related to the current COVID-19 clinical management protocol. Easy access to the clinics and immediate antiviral treatment after diagnosis may be the best methods to prevent disease progression and hospitalization in high-risk patients.

P734 A single measurement of fecal calprotectin, particularly if combined with hemoglobin and C-reactive protein levels, predicts Crohn’s disease prognosis - a prospective study

Abstract Background Early flare prediction is essential for the timely management of Crohn’s disease (CD) patients, allowing to optimize the available therapeutic toolbox and to decrease the disease burden. We aimed to evaluate the performance of readily available biomarkers (when evaluated at least once or more frequently during follow-up) and to develop risk matrices to predict CD progression. Methods CD patients receiving infliximab (IFX) as maintenance therapy (n=289) were followed up for 24 months; those patients were enrolled in DIRECT, a prospective, multicenter real-world study. Disease progression was evaluated using two composite outcomes incorporating clinical and drug-related factors, the first including also IFX dose and/or frequency adjustments. Univariate and multivariable logistic regressions were used to calculate the odds ratios (OR) and to develop risk matrices. Results The isolated presence of anemia at least once during follow-up was a significant predictor of disease progression (OR 2.436 and 3.396 [p≤0.001] for composite outcomes 1 and 2, respectively), regardless of confounding factors. Levels of C-reactive protein (CRP) above 10.0 mg/L or fecal calprotectin (FC) above 500.0 µg/g, in at least one visit, were also significant predictors, while milder elevations (3.1-10.0 mg/L and 250.1-500.0 µg/g) were only relevant when found in at least two visits (consecutive or not). The risk matrices combining the different non-invasive biomarkers had a good ability to predict CD progression. Indeed, patients simultaneously presenting anemia, CRP&amp;gt;10 mg/dL and FC&amp;gt;500.0 µg/g at least once had a probability of disease progression that ranged between 42 and 63%. Conclusion The combined evaluation of FC, hemoglobin, and CRP in at least one time point and their incorporation into risk matrices seems to be the optimal strategy for CD management, as data from additional visits did not meaningfully influence the predictions and may delay decision-making. This is one of the first studies developing risk matrices to predict the occurrence of composite outcomes in CD patients, providing an easily applicable tool for CD clinical management.

Longitudinal nonlinear mixed effects modeling of EGFR mutations in ctDNA as predictor of disease progression in treatment of EGFR‐mutant non‐small cell lung cancer

Correlations between increasing concentrations of circulating tumor DNA (ctDNA) in plasma and disease progression have been shown. A nonlinear mixed effects model to describe the dynamics of epidermal growth factor receptor (EGFR) ctDNA data from patients with non‐small cell lung cancer (NSCLC) combined with a parametric survival model were developed to evaluate the ability of these modeling techniques to describe ctDNA data. Repeated ctDNA measurements on L858R, exon19del, and T790M mutants were available from 54 patients with EGFR mutated NSCLC treated with erlotinib or gefitinib. Different dynamic models were tested to describe the longitudinal ctDNA concentrations of the driver and resistance mutations. Subsequently, a parametric time‐to‐event model for progression‐free survival (PFS) was developed. Predicted L858R, exon19del, and T790M concentrations were used to evaluate their value as predictor for disease progression. The ctDNA dynamics were best described by a model consisting of a zero‐order increase and first‐order elimination (19.7/day, 95% confidence interval [CI] 14.9–23.6/day) of ctDNA concentrations. In addition, time‐dependent development of resistance (5.0 × 10−4, 95% CI 2.0 × 10−4–7.0 × 10−4/day) was included in the final model. Relative change in L858R and exon19del concentrations from baseline was identified as most significant predictor of disease progression (p = 0.001). The dynamic model for L858R, exon19del, and T790M concentrations in ctDNA and time‐to‐event model adequately described the observed concentrations and PFS data in our clinical cohort. In addition, it was shown that nonlinear mixed effects modeling is a valuable method for the analysis of longitudinal and heterogeneous biomarker datasets obtained from clinical practice.

Prognostic Value of the Largest Lesion Size for Progression-Free Survival in Patients with NET Undergoing Salvage PRRT with [177Lu]Lu-DOTATOC.

Simple SummaryPeptide receptor radionuclide therapy (PRRT) using radionuclide-labeled somatostatin analogues is based on the overexpression of somatostatin receptors on neuroendocrine tumors and is shown to have a good safety profile and efficacy in different types of metastatic neuroendocrine tumors. As this therapy is usually not curative, most patients experience disease progression after initial PRRT. In these cases, retreatment with PRRT, also called salvage PRRT, can be a treatment option, but little is known about the efficacy and possible risk factors. In this retrospective study that included 32 patients, we found that the size of the largest lesion is a significant predictor of disease progression after salvage PRRT. This risk factor is easy to obtain and can help identify patients who may benefit from intensified follow-up strategies.(1) Background: retreatment with radionuclide-labeled somatostatin analogues following disease progression after initial treatment cycles is often referred to as salvage peptide receptor radionuclide therapy (salvage PRRT). Salvage PRRT is shown to have a favorable safety profile in patients with metastatic neuroendocrine tumors (NETs), but numerous questions about the efficacy and prognostic or predictive factors remain to be answered. The purpose of this study was to evaluate two parameters that have shown prognostic significance in progression-free survival (PFS) in initial PRRT treatment, namely the size of the largest lesion (LLS) and the De Ritis ratio (aspartate aminotransferase (AST)/alanine aminotransferase (ALT)), as prognostic factors in the context of salvage PRRT. In addition, the PFS after initial PRRT was evaluated as a predictor of the PFS following salvage PRRT. (2) Methods: retrospective, monocentric analysis in 32 patients with NETs (gastroenteropancreatic, 23; unknown primary, 7; kidney, 1; lung, 1) and progression after initial PRRT undergoing retreatment with [177Lu]Lu-DOTATOC. The prognostic values of LLS, the De Ritis ratio, and PFS after initial treatment cycles regarding PFS following salvage PRRT were evaluated with univariable and multivariable Cox regression. PFS was defined as the time from treatment start until tumor progression according to RECIST 1.1 criteria, death from any cause or start of a new treatment due to progression of cancer-related symptoms (namely carcinoid syndrome). (3) Results: progression after salvage PRRT was observed in 29 of 32 patients with median PFS of 10.8 months (95% confidence interval (CI), 8.0–15.9 months). A higher LLS (hazard ratio (HR): 1.03; p = 0.002) and a higher De Ritis ratio (HR: 2.64; p = 0.047) were associated with shorter PFS after salvage PRRT in univariable Cox regression. PFS after initial PRRT was not associated with PFS following salvage PRRT. In multivariable Cox regression, only LLS remained a significant predictor. (4) Conclusions: the size of the largest lesion is easy to obtain and might help identify patients at risk of early disease progression after salvage PRRT. Validation is required.

PSA Nadir and Time to PSA Nadir Following Androgen Deprivation Therapy are the Predictors for Castration-Resistant Prostate Cancer in Patients with Metastatic Prostate Cancer

Purpose: To evaluate the influence of nadir prostate-specific antigen (PSA) level and time to PSA nadir following androgen deprivation therapy (ADT)on disease progression of castration-resistant prostate cancer (CRPC) in patients with metastatic, hormone-sensitive prostate cancer (mHSPC). Patients and methods: A total of 90 patients with metastatic, hormone-sensitive prostate cancer treated with androgen deprivation therapy in our hospital were included in our retrospective study. Patients’ characteristics, PSA at PADT initiation (initial PSA), PSA nadir, TTN, follow up time, CRPC event were analyzed using Kaplan-Meier analysis and Cox regression model. Results: At a median follow-up of 12 months, 57 patients (63.3%) showed disease progression of CRPC Both PSA nadir and time to PSA nadir (TTN) was independent and significant predictors of CRPC event. Patients with higher PSA nadir (≥0.2ng/dL) and shorter time to PSA nadir (TTN &lt;6 months) had significant shorter time to CRPC. Meanwhile, the Gleason score, age and initial PSA werenot significant predictors of disease progression. In the combined analyses showed patients with higher of PSA nadir and shorter TTN had significantly higher risk for CRPC event compared to lower PSA nadir and longer TTN (HR 69.243, p-value&lt; 0.001) Conclusion: We concluded that both higher PSA nadir and shorter time to PSA nadir are significant predictors of CRPC in patients with metastatic, hormone-sensitive prostate cancer receiving ADT.

Enumeration and molecular characterization of circulating tumor cells enriched by microcavity array from stage III non-small cell lung cancer patients.

BackgroundVarious methods of liquid biopsy through the sampling of blood in cancer patients allow access to minuscule amounts of tumor that can easily be sampled repeatedly throughout therapy. Circulating tumor cells (CTCs) represent shed tumor cells that can be characterized by imaging or molecular techniques using an amenable enrichment platform. Here we validate the Hitachi Chemical Micro Cavity Array (MCA) for the enrichment of CTCs from the blood of patients diagnosed with stage III non-small cell lung cancer (NSCLC). MCA is a semi-automated filtration system that enriches CTCs on the basis of size and membrane deformability rather than a biased selection of surface antigens.MethodsCTCs were enriched from the peripheral blood of 38 patients diagnosed with stage III NSCLC at the start of chemoradiation. Two tubes of EDTA blood were collected from each patient and processed through MCA in parallel. In the first tube, CTCs were identified as pan-cytokeratin (CK)+ CD45− nucleated cells and enumerated. The second tube was depleted of leukocytes using CD45 antibody-coated magnetic microbeads before enrichment by MCA, followed by quantitative reverse transcription polymerase chain reaction (qRT-PCR) to interrogate CTC-enriched lysates for expression of 16 target mRNAs from a panel of epithelial, mesenchymal, stem-like, and cancer signaling-related genes. CTC-enriched lysates from similarly prepared peripheral blood samples from 18 healthy donors were used to define positive gene expression.ResultsCTCs were identified by imaging in 30 of 38 patient samples (79%). At least 1 target gene was positively expressed in 23 of 25 (92%) patient samples that was subjected to molecular characterization. A CTC count of ≥7 was associated with poor progression-free survival (PFS) [hazard ratio (HR) 4.24, 95% confidence interval (CI), 1.73–10.40, P=0.020] and poor overall survival (HR 8.17, 95% CI, 2.87–23.26, P<0.001). Expression of BCL2 by MCA-enriched CTCs was associated with poor PFS (HR 3.11, 95% CI, 1.18–8.22, P=0.022). Individually, CTC count and expression of BCL2 each remained statistically significant predictors of disease progression and overall survival in multivariate analysis.ConclusionsThis is the first demonstration that lysates of MCA-enriched CTCs are amenable to molecular characterization. CTCs enriched by MCA are an independent prognostic marker in NSCLC.

Clinical Course and Management of Dengue in Children Admitted to Hospital: A 5 Years Prospective Cohort Study in Jakarta, Indonesia.

Dengue incidence is rising globally which was estimated 100 million per year, whereas in Indonesia was estimated 7.5 million per year. Dengue clinical course varies from mild dengue fever (DF) to dengue hemorrhagic fever (DHF) or dengue shock syndrome (DSS). Patients, clinicians and care facilities would benefit if reliable predictors can determine at admission which cases with clinically suspected dengue will progress to DHF or DSS. From 2009 through 2013, a cohort of 494 children admitted with clinically suspected dengue at a tertiary care hospital in Jakarta, Indonesia, was followed until discharge. We evaluated the clinical course and disease outcome of admitted patients and estimated the burden of dengue cases hospitalized over time. Of all 494 children, 185 (37%) were classified at admission as DF, 158 (32%) as DHF and 151 (31%) as DSS. Of DF patients, 52 (28%) progressed to DHF or DSS, 10 (5%) had other viral diseases. Of DHF patients, 9(6%) progressed to DSS. Of 33 routinely collected parameters at admission, duration of fever ≤4 days was the only significant predictor of disease progression (P = 0.01). Five cases (3%) admitted with DSS died. Between 2009 and 2013, annual dengue admissions declined, while distribution of disease severity remained stable. Almost a third of children admitted to tertiary care with clinically suspected DF progress to DHF or DSS. Among routinely collected parameters at admission, only fever duration was significantly associated with clinical progression, emphasizing unpredictability of dengue disease course from parameters currently routinely collected.

CtDNA as a noninvasive monitoring tool in metastatic melanoma.

9548 Background: The field of liquid biopsy provides a promising alternative to standard tissue biopsies. Previous work has shown that plasma circulating cell-free DNA (ctDNA) can reflect the heterogeneous spectrum of mutations in cancer including metastatic melanoma. Our project aimed to establish and statistically validate plasma-based assays for tumour load and therapy monitoring in melanoma. Methods: On a large cohort of stage III and stage IV melanoma patients (N = 96) who received signalling targeted or immune checkpoint inhibitors we showed that the most common oncogenic drivers of this disease such as the BRAFV600E, NRASQ61 and the TERTC250T and TERTC228T promoter mutations (termed TERTprom) can be analysed in ctDNA with highly sensitive droplet digital PCR technology (detection of mutant ctDNA down to 0.01% analytical sensitivity). Results: Our research has demonstrated that ctDNA (irrespective of the genotype) significantly correlates with tumour stage (P &lt; 0.05). Using receiver operating characteristics (ROC) analyses thresholds were established for risk stratification and response prediction. Elevated ctDNA at baseline was a significant predictor of disease progression compared to elevated LDH or S100 in multivariable cox proportional hazards model (Hazard ratio [HR] 7.43, P = 0.05). During therapy, patients with low ctDNA load (below the ROC threshold) had significantly better radiological outcomes and prolonged progression free survival (PFS) compared to patients with high ctDNA load (P &lt; 0.0001). Our findings were confirmed on an independent cohort of metastatic melanoma patients (N = 35) treated with immune checkpoint inhibitors, where also during therapy low ctDNA load correlated with prolonged PFS (P = 0.003). An added benefit of ctDNA was demonstrated in about 80% of the patients, where ctDNA analyses preceded the radiological diagnosis of response or relapse. Progression was detected in plasma ctDNA in average 3.5 months earlier as compared to routine imaging techniques. Finally, we demonstrated that the occurrence of NRASQ61 mutation in BRAFV600-inhibitor treated patients at therapy baseline was associated with treatment failure. The sub-clonal NRASQ61 mutation at therapy baseline was an independent predictor of shorter PFS (HR 2.69, P = 0.02) as compared to BRAFV600E patients without the NRASQ61 mutation at therapy baseline. Conclusions: In sum, our results support the value of ctDNA as a sensitive biomarker for real-time therapy monitoring and early detection of disease progression.

Clinical Course and Management of Dengue in Children Admitted to Hospital; A 5 Years Prospective Cohort Study in Jakarta, Indonesia.

Dengue incidence is rising globally which was estimated 100 million per year, whereas in Indonesia was estimated 7.5 million per year. Dengue clinical course varies from mild dengue fever (DF) to dengue hemorrhagic fever (DHF) or dengue shock syndrome (DSS). Patients, clinicians and care facilities would benefit if reliable predictors can determine at admission which cases with clinically suspected dengue will progress to DHF or DSS. From 2009 through 2013, a cohort of 496 children admitted with clinically suspected dengue at a tertiary care hospital in Jakarta, Indonesia in, was followed until discharge. We evaluated the clinical course and disease outcome of admitted patients, and estimated the burden of dengue cases hospitalized over time. Of all 496 children, 185 (37%) were classified at admission as DF, 158 (32%) as DHF and 153 (31%) as DSS. Of DF patients, 52 (28%) progressed to DHF or DSS, 10 (5%) had other viral diseases. Of DHF patients, 9(6%) progressed to DSS. No patients died. Of 33 routinely collected parameters at admission, duration of fever ≤ 4 days was the only significant predictor of disease progression (p= 0.01). Between 2009 and 2013, annual dengue admissions declined, while the distribution of disease severity remained stable. Almost a third of children admitted to tertiary care with clinically suspected DF progress to DHF or DSS. Among routinely collected parameters at admission, only fever duration was significantly associated with clinical progression, emphasizing the unpredictability of dengue disease course from parameters currently routinely collected.

Influence of baseline neurologic severity on disease progression and the associated disease-modifying effects of tafamidis in patients with transthyretin amyloid polyneuropathy

BackgroundEmerging evidence suggests that several factors can impact disease progression in transthyretin amyloid polyneuropathy (ATTR-PN). The present analysis used longitudinal data from Val30Met patients participating in the tafamidis (selective TTR stabilizer) clinical development program to evaluate the impact of baseline neurologic severity on disease progression in ATTR-PN.MethodsA linear mixed-effects model for repeated measures (MMRM) was constructed using tafamidis and placebo data from the intent-to-treat Val30Met population of the original registration study as well as tafamidis data from the two consecutive open-label extension studies. The second extension study is ongoing, but a prospectively-planned interim analysis involving a cleaned and locked database was conducted (cut-off: December 31, 2014). Val30Met patients are presented by treatment groups as those who received tafamidis during the registration and open-label studies (T-T group), or who received placebo during the registration study and were switched to tafamidis in the open-label studies (P-T group). Neurologic functioning was assessed at baseline and subsequent visits using the Neuropathy Impairment Score–Lower Limbs (NIS-LL). The analysis focused on the disease trajectory over the first 18 months of treatment.ResultsThe T-T (n = 64) and P-T (n = 61) cohorts were predominantly Caucasian and presented with early-stage neurologic disease (mean [standard deviation] baseline NIS-LL values were 8.4 [11.4] and 11.4 [13.5], respectively). The MMRM analysis demonstrated that baseline severity is an independent significant predictor of disease progression in addition to the treatment effect: patients with a lower baseline NIS-LL showed less progression than those with a higher baseline NIS-LL (p < 0.0001). Neurologic progression in the T-T group was less than in the P-T group across all levels of baseline NIS-LL (p = 0.0088), and the degree of separation increased over the 18-month period. Similar results were seen with the NIS-LL muscle weakness subscale.ConclusionsThis analysis of patients with Val30Met ATTR-PN demonstrates that neurologic disease progression strongly depends on baseline neurologic severity and illustrates the disease-modifying effect of tafamidis relative to placebo across a range of baseline levels of neurologic severity and treatment durations. These data also underscore the benefit of early diagnosis and treatment with tafamidis in delaying disease progression in ATTR-PN.Trial RegistrationNCT00409175, NCT00791492 and NCT00925002 registered 08 December 2006, 14 November 2008 (retrospectively registered), and 19 June 2009, respectively.