Significant Predictors Of 5-year Survival Research Articles

Clinicopathological Analysis of Pediatric Posterior Fossa Tumors: Insights from a National Neurosurgical Center

BACKGROUNDː Pediatric posterior fossa tumors are the significant cause of morbidity and mortality in children and adolescents. This study aimed to investigate the characteristics of the patient population and report the experience in managing and treating children with these tumors, as well as their survival outcomes in Kazakhstan.<br /> METHODSː This retrospective study analysed data from the archives of the Pediatric Neurosurgery Department and included 214 pediatric patients with PFT in the period from January 2015 to December 2020.<br /> RESULTSː The study included 214 patients with a mean age of 7.29 ± 4.26 years. The most common tumor pathology observed in this study was medulloblastoma (33.18%). Grade I tumors showed a notable median survival of 56.64 months (95% CI, 53.93-59.35), surpassing Grade II tumors at 50.38 months (95% CI, 40.57-60.2). Grade III and IV tumors had median survivals of 38.64 months (95% CI, 31.11-46.17) and 38.76 months (95% CI, 33.96-43.56). Multivariate analysis using Cox regression model revealed significant predictors of overall survival. Grade III-IV tumors (RR = 0.577, 95% CI 0.462-0.720, p = 0.000), delayed resection (RR = 0.950, 95% CI 0.717-1.104, p = 0.000), and brainstem tumors (RR = 2.454, 95% CI 1.791-5.751, p = 0.000) had poorer survival. Tumor volume, age, and adjuvant chemotherapy were not significant predictors of 5-year survival (p > 0.05).<br /> CONCLUSIONSː The study found similar death rates in children with pilocytic astrocytoma compared to other population studies. Regrettably, the 5-year survival rate for medulloblastoma and ependymoma indicates a poorer outcome compared to previous reports.

Предиктори 5-річного виживання хворих із хронічною серцевою недостатністю зі зниженою фракцією викиду лівого шлуночка залежно від наявності в них цукрового діабету 2-го типу

The aim – to determine the predictors of 5-year survival of patients with CHF and reduced LV EF depending on the presence of type 2 diabetes mellitus.Materials and methods. 490 case histories of patients in the period from 2011 to 2018 with CHF, 40–80 years of age (median – 64 years), II–IV NYHA functional class, LVEF ≤ 40 % were analyzed. For the analysis of all patients with CHF and reduced LV EF were divided into two groups: Group I included 338 (69 %) patients without diabetes mellitus type 2, group II consisted of 152 (31 %) patients diagnosed with diabetes mellitus type 2. To measure the values ​​of the independent predictors, we calculated the value of the odds ratio (OR) with a 95 % confidence interval. To determine predictors of mortality/survival of the studied patients, was calculated the Хі-square criterion. Additionally, we calculated the estimate of the frequency difference between the groups, the odds ratio, the confidence interval for the odds ratio, the Pearson correlation coefficient r, for all the calculated characteristics we determined the probability of error of the first kind p. As a result, we formed a final table of indicators-predictors of mortality/survival of patients with CHF with reduced LV EF with and without diabetes mellitus type 2 for which there is a statistical relationship between mortality / survival and the studied indicator.Results and discussion. In patients without diabetes, many indicators are associated with the prognosis of long-term survival. These include hemodynamic parameters (heart rate, the left atrium size (LV) and indexed left ventricular (LV) volumes, LV myocardial mass index, right ventricular size (RV) and LV ejection fraction, renal function parameters (microalbuminuria (UIA), glomerular filtration rate (GFR), urea nitrogen), systemic inflammatory marker (C-reactive protein (CRP)), markers of systemic oxidative stress (myeloperoxidase, citrulline, uric acid) and antioxidant defence – SOD, as well as the N-terminal fragment of the precursor of natriuretic peptide (NT-proBNP), flow-dependent vasodilatory response (FDVR), high-density lipoprotein cholesterol (HDL), insulin and the relative content of lymphocytes in the blood. Patients with diabetes had significantly fewer such predictors: in addition to parameters of intracardiac hemodynamics and heart modeling, other significant predictors of 5-year survival were daily UIA level, CRP, SOD, HDL, insulin and the lymphocyte level.Conclusions. Quantitative predictors of poor 5-year survival prognosis among patients with CHF and reduced LV EF with and without concomitant diabetes mellitus type 2 are parameters of heart remodeling, LV systolic function-EF, UIA level, antioxidant stress marker (SOD), HDL level, blood lymphocytes and the level of circulating insulin. Patients without diabetes are characterized by a wider range of poor long-term survival predictors, which include indicators of renal nitrogen function, markers of systemic oxidative stress (myeloperoxidase, citrulline, uric acid), flow-dependent vasodilatory response and circulating NT-proBNP. The determined quantitative predictors can be used in algorithms of individual prediction of the course of CHF and reduced LV EF, which should be created separately for patients with and without concomitant diabetes mellitus type 2

Prognostic factors for mortality in middle-aged and older hemodialysis patients: a 5-year observational study.

Clinical guidelines for hemodialysis therapy have been described in an evidence-based manner with most evidence from randomized control trials or retrospective studies in which all generations of the hemodialysis patients were enrolled. Therefore, the question still remains whether these guidelines can be applied to increasing older patients. This study is an observational study, including 735 patients who received maintenance hemodialysis in April 2006. At baseline, the participants' age was 62.1 ± 12.8years (mean ± SD). Hemodialysis duration was 103.7 ± 89.3months. In a 5-year observation period (actual follow-up period: 1551 ± 499days), 175 patients died. Prognostic factors were investigated by multivariate analysis with Cox proportional hazard model. Next, we stratified the patients according to their age. 363 patients were included in the middle-aged patient's category between 40 and 64years, and 314 were involved in the older patient's category between 65 and 84years old. As a subanalysis, significant predictors of 5-year survival were examined in the age-stratified cohort. Then, Kt/V, serum β2-microglobulin and calcium concentration were significant predictors in our entire cohort, as well as body mass index, neutrophil count, and serum sodium concentration even after adjustment for age, gender, diabetic status and hemodialysis duration. However, Kt/V, serum β2-microglobulin and calcium concentration controlled by hemodialysis prescriptions were independent risk factors especially in older patients, not in middle-aged patients. In conclusion, hemodialysis prescriptions for lowering uremic toxins and managing mineral-bone disorder are important to decrease the risk of death even in older hemodialysis patients.

Clinicopathologic Findings and Treatment Outcome of Laryngectomized Patients with Laryngeal Cancer and Hypopharyngeal Cancer: An Experience in Thailand

Objective:To evaluate the clinicopathologic findings and treatment outcome in laryngectomized patients with laryngeal cancer and hypopharyngeal cancer.Materials and Methods:The authors retrospectively reviewed the medical records of 212 patients who had been newly diagnosed and treated with laryngectomy between January 2000 and December 2010. The age, gender, clinical manifestations, associated predisposing condition, tumor WHO grade, AJCC tumor stage, maximum tumor size, anatomical involvement, type of surgery, postoperative sequelae, treatment and therapeutic outcome were analyzed.Results:The present study included laryngeal cancer (n = 155) and hypopharyngeal cancer (n = 57). The patients’ age ranged from 38 to 84 years, with the mean age of 62.08±9.67 years. The common clinical presentations were hoarseness (73.6%), cervical lymphadenopathy (35.8%), sorethroat (22.2%), and odynophagia (14.6%). The laryngeal cancer commonly involves true vocal cord (86.5%), anterior commissure (65.8%), false vocal cord (56.8%), laryngeal ventricle (53.5%), subglottis (47.1%), and paraglotic space (35.5%), respectively. Fifty-three percent of cases had stage IV cancer. The most common postoperative surgical sequela was hypothyroidism (77.8%). The overall 5-year survivals for laryngeal cancer and hypopharyngeal cancer were 55% and 9%, respectively. The 5-year survival for node-negative cases was 61.8% versus 17% for node-positive cases (p< 0.001). AJCC stage of laryngeal cancer and hypopharyngeal cancer was a significant predictor of 5-year survival (p< 0.001 and p = 0.004, respectively).Conclusions:The advanced AJCC stage, advanced T stage, advanced N stage, extracapsular tumor spread, and tumor invasion of false vocal cord, epiglottis, preepiglottic space, paraglottic space, thyroid cartilage, cricothyroid membrane were found to significantly augment the decrease of 5-year survival in laryngeal cancer. Only advanced AJCC stage was significantly associated with 5-year survival rate in hypopharyngeal cancer.

Echo-Doppler determinants of outcomes in patients with unoperated significant mitral regurgitation in current era

ObjectiveOne-half of patients with severe symptomatic mitral regurgitation (MR) do not undergo surgery due to comorbidities. We evaluated prognosticators of outcomes in patients with unoperated significant MR.MethodsIn this observational study,...

Utility of Preoperative CA125 Assay in the Management Planning of Women Diagnosed with Uterine Cancer.

Objective. This study assesses the role of preoperative serum CA125 levels in the planning treatment options for women diagnosed with uterine cancer. Material and Method. Ninety five consecutive patients diagnosed with uterine cancer during a four-year period were identified. Age ranged from 35 to 89 years with a mean age of 69 years. The preoperative CA125 levels were dichotomised at 28 U/mL (using ROC analysis to identify the best discriminating threshold for 5-year survival). This level was then correlated with preoperative prognostic indicators: patient age, tumour grade, and histopathological tumour cell type. Survival data was plotted using Kaplan-Meier curves and analysed using the log-rank test. Univariate and multivariate analysis were performed to identify the predictors of overall survival. Results. The mean age of patients was 69 years (range: 35–89). On univariate analysis, the use of preoperative CA125 levels of greater or less than 28 U/mL correlated significantly with age (P = 0.01), the grade of disease (P = 0.02) and unfavourable tissue type (P = 0.03). This threshold CA125 level had a sensitivity of 75%, specificity of 76%, positive predictive value of 35% and negative predicative value of 96.25%, and a likelihood ratio of 3.12 for predicting nodal disease. Using a threshold of preoperative CA125 level of 28 U/mL (area under curve: 0.60) was also a significant predictor of 5-year survival (log-rank test, P = 0.01). Using Cox multivariate survival analysis to identify predictive preoperative factors overall, unfavourable cell type was the strongest predictor of survival (Chi square = 36.5, df = 4, and P = 0.001), followed by preoperative CA125 level (CA125 > 28 U/mL, P = 0.011) and unfavourable preoperative grade (P = 0.017). Amongst patients with a favourable histological tissue type (endometrioid), preoperative CA125 levels predicted overall survival (Chi square = 6.039, df = 2, P = 0.02); however unfavourable preoperative grade did not (P = 0.5). Overall, at five-year follow-up, while there were no deaths among the women with preoperative serum CA125 less than 12 U/mL, eleven of the twenty-three deaths (47.82%) in the study occurred in women with a preoperative CA125 more than 28 U/mL. Conclusions. A preoperative CA125 assay for women with uterine cancer is a relatively inexpensive, reproducible, and objective test which provides valuable information regarding the risk of metastatic disease and overall likelihood of long term survival. Patients with a low likelihood of metastatic/nodal disease (favourable tissue type and CA125 level < 28 U/mL) and significant comorbidities may benefit from avoiding an extended complete staging procedure. Alternatively, a high level of CA125 may prompt further imaging and multidisciplinary discussions to plan for individualised management and consideration for recruitment to clinical trials.

Survival and Quality of Life for Nonagenarians After Cardiac Surgery

Reports of cardiac surgery in the elderly have focused primarily on septuagenarians and octogenarians. There are very limited data regarding risk-adjusted models in nonagenarians. From 1983 to 2011, patients with age 90 years or greater at the time of coronary artery bypass grafting (CABG) or valve surgery (aortic or mitral) were retrieved from a prospective institutional database. A Cox proportional hazard model was used to determine significant predictors of 5-year survival. In addition, a 12-month assessment of quality of life was conducted. The CABG-only (n= 46), valve-only (n= 55), or CABG-valve (n= 53) surgery was conducted in 154 patients. Demographic characteristics were similar in all groups except for congestive heart failure, which was more prominent in the valve-only or CABG-valve groups(p < 0.0001). The 30-day mortality was 8.8%, 12.8%, and 18.9% in the CABG-only, valve-only, and CABG-valve groups, respectively, without significant difference among groups (p= 0.35). At 5-years follow-up, the Kaplan-Meier survival curves do not show a difference among groups (p= 0.62). Cox proportional hazard model for 5-year survival identified age (hazard ratio [HR]= 1.25, confidence interval [CI] 1.09 to 1.43, p= 0.001, for 1-year increase), prior surgery (HR= 2.23, CI 1.23 to 4.64, p= 0.007), and prior stroke (HR= 2.39, CI 1.25 to 3.98, p= 0.01), as significant predictors of mortality. The 12-month quality of life questionnaire revealed an improvement in 83% of the patients, whereas only 4% reported a decline in cardiac status. Survival in nonagenarians is comparable after CABG or valve surgery. Redo surgery, stroke, and increasing age are significant hazards for mortality. Nonagenarians can undergo cardiac surgery with acceptable mortality and quality of life.

Contribution of interaction with family, friends and neighbours, and sense of neighbourhood attachment to survival in senior citizens: 5-year follow-up study

This study examines how social engagement with family, friends and neighbours and a sense of attachment to neighbourhood are associated with 5-year survival among senior citizens in Japan. A cohort study was conducted with 3283 seniors of Tokyo born in 1903, 1908, 1913, or 1918 who were recruited from stratified random sampling of resident registration records of two cities in the Tokyo metropolitan area. They were administered with a questionnaire in 1992, and the responses were compared with their 5-year survival status in 1997. Multiple logistic regression analyses indicated that activities with family, friends and neighbours are significant predictors of 5-year survival of senior citizens, independent of the baseline demographics, lifestyle and health status. The analysis further indicated that a sense of attachment to neighbourhood (i.e., expression of a desire to continue staying in the current residential area) significantly predicts 5-year survival of female senior citizens and enhances the survival benefits of activities with friends and neighbourhood activities. Our results highlight the importance of strengthening and enhancing the quality of community life to sustain the health and well-being of seniors and overcome challenges associated with an aging population.

Loss of p27 Expression Is Associated with Poor Prognosis in Stage I–II Pancreatic Cancer

Objective: p27 is a cyclin-dependent kinase inhibitor that prevents progression of the cell cycle from G1 phase. Postranscriptional loss of p27 correlates with poor prognosis in various solid tumors. In pancreatic cancer, the loss of p27 expression has been correlated with high tumor grade and advanced clinical stage, but data on its prognostic value are lacking. Method: In this retrospective study, the association between immunohistochemical p27 expression and prognosis was evaluated in 147 patients with pancreatic cancer using a commercial anti-Kip1/p27 monoclonal antibody. Result: p27 expression was generally low; in 103 of the 147 pancreatic cancer tumors examined, no nuclear staining was observed and in only 5 specimens did more than 50% of the nuclei stain, probably reflecting the aggressive nature of the disease. Loss of p27 expression was associated with poor prognosis in stage I–II pancreatic adenocarcinoma; the 5-year survival for p27 negative patients was 3.6% compared with 20% for p27-positive patients (p = 0.03). In a multivariate survival analysis in patients with stage I–II disease, p27 (HR 1.8) was a significant prognostic factor, independent of grade (RR 2.9). There was no association between p27 and other clinical variables. In conclusion, tissue expression of p27 is a significant predictor of 5-year survival in stage I–II pancreatic adenocarcinoma.

Influence of age-specific lung function on survival after coronary bypass

Background. Respiratory complications after successful coronary artery bypass grafting influence the immediate recovery of a patient; however, whether they influence the longevity of a patient is largely unknown. The aim of this study was to examine the effects of preoperative pulmonary risk factors in younger patients and older patients on outcome after coronary artery bypass grafting. Methods. A retrospective chart review was performed on 939 patients who underwent primary coronary artery bypass grafting between July 1987 and November 1996. For better comparison, they were arbitrarily divided by age into two groups: group 1, less than 70 years old (n = 710), and group 2, 70 years old or older (n = 229). The variables collected for each patient included history of chronic obstructive pulmonary disease, active smoking, forced expiratory volume, and ventilatory support for more than 48 hours. These variables were compared with postoperative length of stay in the intensive care unit, length of stay in the hospital, and the midterm survival up to 5 years. The data were analyzed by the use of univariate/multivariate log-rank tests and the method of Kaplan-Meier survival estimates. Results. The presence of chronic obstructive pulmonary disease was associated with increased length of stay in the intensive care unit and in the hospital for both groups. Preoperative forced expiratory volume in 1 second, significantly affected length of stay in the hospital only in the patients less than 70 years old ( p = 0.0001). Delayed extubation beyond 48 hours of ventilatory support resulted in prolonged length of stay in the intensive care unit and in the hospital for patients less than 70 years old ( p = 0.0001, p = 0.0001, respectively) and patients 70 years old or older ( p = 0.0001, p = 0.0001, respectively). The 5-year survival after coronary artery bypass grafting for both groups was significantly influenced by the level of preoperative forced expiratory volume in 1 second ( p = 0.0004, p = 0.0282, respectively). Conclusions. Patients with chronic obstructive pulmonary disease, irrespective of age, stay in the intensive care unit and in the hospital longer after coronary artery bypass grafting. In addition, preoperative forced expiratory volume in 1 second is a significant predictor of 5-year survival in the young and aged individuals undergoing coronary artery bypass grafting.