Significant Differences In Univariate Analysis Research Articles

Construction and verification of risk prediction model of osteoporotic fractures in patients with osteoporosis in China.

To explore the influencing factors of osteoporotic fractures (OPF) in patients with osteoporosis, construct a prediction model, and verify the model internally and externally, so as to provide reference for early screening and intervention of OPF in patients with osteoporosis. Osteoporosis patients in the First Affiliated Hospital of Soochow University were selected, and the medical records of patients were consulted through the Hospital Information System (HIS) and the data management platform of osteoporosis patients, so as to screen patients who met the criteria for admission and discharge and collect data. SPSS 26.0 software was used for single factor analysis to screen statistically significant variables (p < 0.05). The influencing factors of OPF were determined by multivariate analysis, and a binary Logistic regression model was established according to the results of multivariate analysis. Hosmer-Lemeshow (H-L) goodness of fit and receiver operating characteristic curve (ROC) were used to test the model's efficiency, and Stata 16.0 software was used to verify the Bootstrap model, draw the model calibration curve, clinical applicability curve and nomogram. In this study, the data of modeling set and verification set were 1,435 and 580, respectively. There were 493 (34.4%) cases with OPF and 942 (65.6%) cases without OPF in the modeling set. There were 204 (35.2%) cases with OPF and 376 (64.8%) cases without OPF. The variables with statistically significant differences in univariate analysis are Age, BMI, History of falls, Usage of glucocorticoid, ALP, Serum Calcium, BMD of lumbar, BMD of feminist neck, T value of feminist neck, BMD of total hip and T value of total hip. The area under ROC curve of the risk prediction model constructed this time is 0.817 [95%CI (0.794 ~ 0.839)], which shows that the model has a good discrimination in predicting the occurrence of OPF. The optimal threshold of the model is 0.373, the specificity is 0.741, the sensitivity is 0.746, and the AUC values of the modeling set and the verification set are 0.8165 and 0.8646, respectively. The results of Hosmer and Lemeshow test are modeling set: (χ2 = 6.551, p = 0.586); validation set: [(χ2 = 8.075, p = 0.426)]. The calibration curve of the model shows that the reference line of the fitted curve and the calibration curve is highly coincident, and the model has a good calibration degree for predicting the occurrence of fractures. The net benefit value of the risk model of osteoporosis patients complicated with OPF is high, which shows that the model is effective. In this study, a OPF risk prediction model is established and its prediction efficiency is verified, which can help identify the high fracture risk subgroup of osteoporosis patients in order to choose stronger intervention measures and management.

Analysis of Delphain lymph node detection rate, metastasis rate and risk factors for metastasis in papillary thyroid adenocarcinoma patients

Objective:To investigate the detection rate and metastasis rate of delphain lymph node （DLN）in thyroid papillary adenocarcinoma（PTC） and to analyze the risk factors for DLN metastasis. Methods:The clinicopathological data of 200 PTC patients admitted to the from January 2018 to June 2020 were retrospectively analyzed, and the detection of DLN was clearly recorded in the pathological reports of all patients. The number of DLN detected, the number of metastasis, the detection rate and the metastasis rate were counted. The clinicopathological factors that might affect DLN metastasis were analyzed by univariate analysis and multivariate Logistic regression analysis, including gender, age, tumor size and tumor location. Results:DLN was detected in 121 of 200 PTC patients, with a detection rate of 60.50% （121/200）. DLN metastasis was found in 46 of the 121 patients with a metastasis rate of 38.02% （46/121）.Univariate analysis showed that tumor diameter, multiple foci, capsular invasion, extradandular invasion, lymphatic vascular invasion, lymph node metastasis in central region （excluding DLN）, and lateral cervical lymph node metastasis were the risk factors for DLN metastasis of PTC （P<0.05）. Gender, age, tumor location, bilateral tumors, Hashimoto's thyroiditis and BRAFV600E mutation were not significantly correlated with DLN metastasis of PTC（P>0.05）. The 7 variables with statistically significant differences in univariate analysis were incorporated into Logistic regression model for multivariate analysis, and the results showed that, Tumor diameter ≥1.0 cm, capsule invasion, lymphatic vascular invasion, lymph node metastasis in central region （excluding DLN）, and lateral cervical lymph node metastasis were independent risk factors for DLN metastasis of PTC （OR= 3.386-9.186, P<0.05）. The sensitivity and specificity of DLN metastasis in predicting central lymph node （excluding DLN） metastasis in PTC patients were 36.79% and 92.55%, respectively, while the sensitivity and specificity of DLN metastasis in predicting lateral cervical lymph node metastasis were 41.03% and 81.37%, respectively.The incidence of central lymph node metastasis （excluding DLN） in DLN-positive patients were was 4.94 times higher than that in DLN-negative patients, and the incidence of lateral neck lymph node metastasis in DLN-positive patients were 2.20 times higher than that in DLN-negative patients. Conclusion:The detection rate and metastasis rate of DLN in PTC patients were higher, DLN metastasis predicts more extensive lymph node metastasis, and DLN metastasis was related to multiple factors,among which tumor diameter ≥ 1.0 cm, capsule invasion, lymphatic vascular infiltration, lymph node metastasis in the central region （excluding DLN）, and lateral cervical lymph node metastasis were independent risk factors for DLN metastasis of PTC. Therefore, PTC patients with the above characteristics should actively explore DLN and formulate appropriate surgical strategies.

Enhancing Triage and Management in Earthquake-Related Injuries: The SAFE-QUAKE Scoring System for Predicting Dialysis Requirements.

Identifying early predictors of dialysis requirements in earthquake-related injuries is crucial for optimal resource allocation and timely intervention. This study aimed to develop a predictive scoring system, named SAFE-QUAKE (Seismic Assessment of Kidney Function to Rule Out Dialysis Requirement), to identify patients at high risk of developing acute kidney injury (AKI) and requiring dialysis. A retrospective analysis was conducted on a cohort of 205 patients presenting with earthquake-related injuries. Patients were divided into two groups based on their need for dialysis: the no dialysis group (n = 170) and the dialysis group (n = 35). Demographic, clinical, and laboratory data were collected and compared between the two groups to identify significant predictors of dialysis requirements. The parameters that would form the score were determined by conducting an importance analysis using artificial neural networks (ANNs) to identify parameters that exhibited statistically significant differences in univariate analysis. The dialysis group had a significantly longer median duration of being trapped under debris (48 hours) compared to the no dialysis group (eight hours). Blood gas and laboratory analyses revealed significant differences in pH levels, lactate values, creatinine levels, lactate dehydrogenase (LDH) levels, and aspartate transaminase (AST)-to-alanine transaminase (ALT) ratio between the two groups. Based on these findings, the SAFE-QUAKE rule-out scoring system was developed, incorporating entrapment duration (<45 hours), pH levels (>7.31), creatinine levels (<2mg/dL), LDH levels (<1600mg/dL), and the AST-to-ALT ratio (<2.4) as key predictors of dialysis requirements. This score included 139 patients, and among them, only one patient required dialysis, resulting in a negative predictive value of 99.29%. The SAFE-QUAKE scoring system demonstrated a high negative predictive value of 99.29% in ruling out the need for dialysis among earthquake-related injury cases. This scoring system offers a practical approach for health care providers to identify patients at high risk of developing AKI and requiring dialysis in earthquake-affected regions.

The predictive value of the systemic inflammatory response index for the occurrence of multiple organ dysfunction syndrome in patients with wasp sting injury

Wasp sting injuries pose a significant threat to public health, especially in areas with abundant trees. Mortality rates are alarmingly high, with reports indicating that up to 70% or more of cases result in multiple organ dysfunction syndrome (MODS). It is crucial for emergency and critical care physicians to promptly identify and implement effective measures to reduce the occurrence of MODS in patients who have been stung by wasps. Therefore, finding a reliable predictive indicator is of utmost importance. We conducted a retrospective study, and clinical data of 226 hospitalized patients with wasp sting from July 2013 to April 2023 in the First College of Clinical Medicine Science, China Three Gorges University were collected. The patients were divided into MODS group and non-MODS (NMODS) group, and the general data, clinical symptoms, laboratory indexes, and prognosis were compared between the two groups. The indicators with significant differences in univariate analysis were included in the multivariate Logistic regression analysis to analyze the independent risk factors for MODS. The value of systemic inflammatory response index (SIRI) in predicting the occurrence of MODS in wasp sting was analyzed by using the receiver operating characteristic curve (ROC curve). Of the 214 patients with wasp sting, 109 cases were in the NMODS group, and 105 cases were in the MODS group. The SIRI was 1.6 (0.7, 3.6) and 12.2 (5.2, 23.3) in the NMODS group and MODS group, respectively, with a significant difference between the two groups (P ＜ 0.001). SIRI was an independent risk factor for MODS in patients with wasp sting; the AUC of SIRI in predicting MODS in wasp sting was 0.886 (P ＜ 0.001), and the optimal cutoff value was 6.39, with a sensitivity of 71.43% and a specificity of 94.5%, which had prediction value. Allowing for early identification and enabling doctors to intervene and provide timely treatment. SIRI was defined as follows: SIRI = neutrophil count × monocyte count/lymphocyte count.

Fall risk in patient with dysplastic hip osteoarthritis.

Patients with dysplastic hip osteo arthritis (DHOA) often have a spinopelvic imbalance, and they are more likely to experience falls. This study aimed to evaluate the risk factors for falls in patients with DHOA, including spinopelvic parameters. In this cross-sectional study, a total of 103 patients with DHOA were included from 2019 to 2021. Fall risk was evaluated using the Fall Risk Index 5 items version (FRI-5). Demographics, functional outcomes, and spinopelvic parameters were compared between the high-risk group (FRI-5 ≥ 6) and the low-risk group (FRI-5 < 6). Multivariate analysis was performed using factors with significant differences in univariate analysis. High-risk and low-risk groups comprised 54 and 49 patients, respectively. Females were significantly more common in the high-risk group than in the low-risk group. The Harris Hip Score was significantly lower in the high-risk group than in the low-risk group (p = 0.02). Pelvic incidence, tilt, and obliquity were significantly higher in the high-risk group than in the low-risk group (p < 0.01). In multivariate analysis, female sex (odds ratio [OR]: 3.76, 95% confidence interval [CI]: 1.11-12.64, p = 0.03), pelvic obliquity (OR: 1.36, 95% CI: 1.09-1.71, p < 0.01), and Harris hip score (OR: 0.96, 95% CI: 0.93-0.99, p = 0.02) were identified as risk factors. Female sex, pelvic obliquity, and low Harris hip score were associated with an increased risk of falls among patients with DHOA.

Prognostic value of left ventricular ejection fraction on admission in patients with septic cardiomyopathy

To investigate the prognostic value of cardiac ultrasound left ventricular ejection fraction (LVEF) on admission in patients with septic cardiomyopathy. A retrospective cohort study was conducted. The patients with septic cardiomyopathy hospitalized in the intensive care unit of Zhoupu Hospital Affiliated to Shanghai Health College from January 2019 to March 2023 were enrolled. The general information including gender and age, LVEF on admission, severity of illness scores within 24 hours after admission [acute physiology and chronic health evaluation II (APACHE II) score and sequential organ failure assessment (SOFA) score], procalcitonin (PCT), cardiac biomarkers [N-terminal pro-brain natriuretic peptide (NT-proBNP), cardiac troponin T (cTnT), and MB isoenzyme of creatine kinase (CK-MB)], mitochondria related indicators [aspartate aminotransferase (AST), AST/alanine aminotransferase (ALT) ratio], blood lactate (Lac), the usage of vasoactive drugs and mechanical ventilation, and the prognosis during hospitalization were collected. The differences in above clinical data between the two groups were compared. The variables with statistically significant differences in univariate analysis were incorporated into multivariate Logistic regression analysis to analyze the independent risk factors for death during hospitalization in patients with septic cardiomyopathy. Receiver operator characteristic curve (ROC curve) was drawn to evaluate the prognostic value of LVEF by echocardiography on admission in patients with septic cardiomyopathy during hospitalization. A total of 62 patients were enrolled, including 36 males and 26 females. Thirty-nine cases died and 23 cases survived during hospitalization, and the mortality was 62.90%. Compared with the survival group, the LVEF of patients on admission was lower in the death group [0.51 (0.40, 0.57) vs. 0.56 (0.51, 0.63), P < 0.01], APACHE II score, SOFA score, Lac, NT-proBNP, CK-MB within 24 hours after admission were higher [APACHE II score: 22.18±8.38 vs. 17.39±8.22, SOFA score: 9.90±3.87 vs. 7.09±3.27, Lac (mmol/L): 5.10 (2.63, 11.50) vs. 2.00 (1.40, 5.00), NT-proBNP (μg/L): 5.24 (2.84, 11.29) vs. 2.53 (0.35, 6.63), CK-MB (U/L): 1.88 (0.21, 5.33) vs. 0.17 (0.02, 1.62), all P < 0.05], and the proportion of vasoactive drug application was higher (82.05% vs. 47.83%, P < 0.01). Multivariate Logistic regression analysis showed that LVEF on admission was an independent risk factor for predicting the prognosis of patients with septic cardiomyopathy during hospitalization [odds ratio (OR) = 0.920, 95% confidence interval (95%CI) was 0.855-0.990, P = 0.025]. ROC curve analysis showed that the area under the ROC curve (AUC) of LVEF on admission for predicting the death of patients with septic cardiomyopathy was 0.715 (95%CI was 0.585-0.845, P = 0.005). When LVEF ≤ 0.52, the sensitivity was 73.9%, and the specificity was 61.5%. The lower cardiac ultrasound LVEF on admission, the worse the prognosis of patients with septic cardiomyopathy. The cardiac ultrasound LVEF on admission can be used as a clinical index to evaluate the severity of the condition and predict the prognosis of patients with septic cardiomyopathy.

A cross-sectional survey and analysis of the pain status and its influencing factors in diabetic foot ulcer patients

Objective: To investigate the pain status in diabetic foot ulcer (DFU) patients and analyze its influencing factors. Methods: A single-center cross-sectional survey research method was used. From May 2021 to February 2022, DFU patients who were admitted to the Fourth Medical Center of PLA General Hospital and met the inclusion criteria were selected and investigated. The scores of the heaviest pain, the least pain, the average pain, and the current pain in pain degree and the total score and the scores of influence on patients' daily life, mood, walking ability, daily work, relationship with others, sleep, and life interest in pain-related effects and the total score of patients were evaluated by the brief pain inventory. A self-designed general data questionnaire was used to collect the data including patients' gender, age, education level, body mass index, self-care ability, diabetes course, wound Wagner grade, bacterial culture result of wound specimen, and the levels of glycated hemoglobin, albumin, prealbumin, hemoglobin, and leukocyte count. Patients were classified according to general data, and the total scores of pain degree and pain-related effects were counted. Data were statistically analyzed with Kruskal-Wallis test and Mann-Whitney U test. The indicators with statistically significant differences in univariate analysis were selected for generalized linear model analysis to screen the independent risk factors of pain severity and pain-related effects in DFU patients. Results: A total of 44 questionnaires were sent out, and 42 valid questionnaires were collected, with effective recovery of 95.45%. The scores of the heaviest pain, the least pain, the average pain, and the current pain in DFU patients were 5 (0, 10), 2 (0, 6), 3 (0, 8), and 2 (0, 8), respectively, and the total score of the pain severity was 11 (0, 24); the scores of pain-related effects on patients' daily life, mood, walking ability, daily work, relationship with others, sleep, and life interest were 4 (0, 10), 4 (0, 10), 5 (0, 10), 5 (0, 10), 3 (0, 10), 4 (0, 10), and 4 (0, 10), respectively, and the total score of pain-related effects was 30 (0, 63). In 42 DFU patients, most patients were male, aged 39-87 (67±10) years, most patients had education level of junior high school, most patients had diabetes for more than 20 years, half of patients' wounds were Wagner grade 4, most patients had body mass index and leukocyte count within normal limits, most patients had partial dependence on self-care ability, the bacterial culture results of wound specimen in the vast majority of patients were positive, about half of the patients had abnormal level of albumin, and most patients had abnormal levels of glycosylated hemoglobin, prealbumin, and hemoglobin. Univariate analysis of the above general data showed that total scores of pain severity among patients with different hemoglobin levels and leukocyte counts were statistically significant different (with Z values of -2.05 and -2.55, respectively, P<0.05), and the total scores of pain-related effects on patients with different hemoglobin levels, leukocyte counts, and bacterial culture results of wound specimen were statistically significant different (with Z values of -2.66, -2.02, and -2.12, respectively, P<0.05). Generalized linear model analysis showed that leukocyte count was an independent risk factor for pain severity and pain-related effects in 42 DFU patients (with 95% confidence intervals of 0.28-11.87 and 5.67-36.99, respectively, standardized regression coefficient values of 6.17 and 21.33, respectively, both P values <0.05). The bacterial culture result of wound specimen was an independent risk factor for pain-related effects in 42 DFU patients (with 95% confidence interval of 2.92-39.09, standardized regression coefficient value of 21.00, P<0.05). Conclusions: DFU patients often suffer pain, and the bacterial culture results of wound specimen and leukocyte count are the main factors affecting the pain of DFU patients.

Age and Cervical Histology, the Most Important Factors to Predict Human Papilloma Virus Clearance

Background & Objective: Cervical Cancer (CC) is a common cancer which is associated with HPV-infection. The aim of this study is to investigate the risk factors which affects HPV-clearance.Materials & Methods: This study was carried out on women with high risk HPV infection. All the patients underwent pap smears and cervical biopsy. Demographic data, marital status, vaccination history and consumption of tobacco, alcohol, opium and oral contraceptive pills were asked through a questionnaire. Results: The results showed that in one year follow-up, 142 (67.1%) patients showed HPV clearance. The HPV clearance decreased by increasing age (P=0.028) or higher CIN grades (P=0.017). In case of parity, there was no significant difference in univariate analysis (P=0.147), but it was significant in multiple logistic regression analysis (95% CI: 0.413-0.941, OR=0624, P= 0.024).Conclusion: It seems that age and cervical histology at the start of HPV infection are the most important factors for HPV clearance.

Role of 18FDG PET/CT metabolic parameters in predicting hematological toxicity during chemoradiotherapy for locally advanced cervical cancer.

PurposeThe aim of this study is to evaluate the value of 18FDG PET/CT metabolic parameters in predicting hematological toxicity (HT) during chemoradiotherapy (CRT) for locally advanced cervical cancer (LACC).Methods and materialsForty-one patients with LACC undergoing concurrent CRT were retrospectively analyzed. The correlations among age, body mass index, FIGO stage, differentiation, maximum diameter of primary lesion, parametrial invasion, lymph node metastasis, pelvic active bone marrow volume (BMACT), BMACT volume percentage (BMACT%), maximum standardized uptake value (SUVmax), metabolic tumor volume (MTV), total lesion glycolysis (TLG), and HT were analyzed using hypothesis testing and logistic regression. A p-value< 0.05 was considered significant unless otherwise specified.ResultsAmong the 41 patients, 19 had grade 3–4 HT and 22 had grade 0–2 HT. Only SUVmax (Z = −1.961, p = 0.050) and BMACT% (χ2 = 7.769, p = 0.020) showed statistically significant difference in univariate analysis. In logistic regression, grade 3–4 HT was not associated with SUVmax. The probability of HT occurrence in<30% BMACT% was 0.071 times less than in 30%–40% BMACT% (p = 0.010, OR = 0.071, 95% CI = 0.010–0.532), and the probability of HT occurrence in >40% BMACT% was 0.148 times less than in 30%–40% BMACT% (p = 0.037, OR = 0.148, 95% CI = 0.025–0.892).ConclusionBaseline 18FDG PET/CT BMACT% could help predict the severity of HT during CRT for LACC.

Incidence and risk factors of preoperative deep vein thrombosis in patients with intertrochanteric fractures: a retrospective study

BackgroundThe risk of perioperative complications remains high in patients with intertrochanteric fractures. Immobilization after injury may predispose these patients to deep vein thrombosis (DVT) while waiting for surgery. The aims of this study were to determine the incidence of preoperative DVT in patients with intertrochanteric fractures and identify independent risk factors.MethodsThis retrospective study included patients with intertrochanteric fractures waiting for surgical interventions at our institution from June 2018 to December 2020. All patients received pharmacologic thromboprophylaxis after admission and ultrasound screening for DVT in both lower limbs before surgery. Demographic, clinical and laboratory data of these patients were collected to perform univariate analysis first. Subsequently, factors with a significant difference in univariate analysis were introduced into the multivariate logistic regression analysis to determine the independent risk factors for preoperative DVT.ResultsA total of 266 patients were enrolled in this study. Seventy-one patients (26.7%) developed DVTs before surgery. The majority of DVTs were distal types (91.5%). There were 40 patients with DVTs only in the affected limb, 7 patients with DVTs only in the unaffected limb, and 24 patients with DVTs in both lower limbs. Advanced age, female, prolonged period from injury to admission, combined cranial trauma, shorter thrombin time, increased level of D-dimer and lower level of albumin proved to be the independent risk factors for preoperative DVT.ConclusionsWe observed a high incidence of preoperative DVT in patients with intertrochanteric fractures. Identification of patients at high risk may improve the prevention and treatment of preoperative DVT in this population.

Analysis of risk factors for impaired wound healing after kidney transplantation.

To analyse risk factors for impaired wound healing after kidney transplantation to guide clinical decision-making. A retrospective analysis was performed on patients who received kidney transplantation from January 1, 2019, to May 1, 2021, at Kidney Transplantation Center in Renji Hospital Affiliated to Shanghai Jiaotong University School of Medicine. A case-control study was used to identify a cohort of patients with similar baseline characteristics according to 1:4 ratio. Patients were divided into two groups according to whether there was impaired wound healing after surgery. The basic data and clinical examinations between the two groups were compared, and the risk factors for impaired wound healing after kidney transplantation were analysed using univariate and multivariate analyses. According to the data type, independent samples t-test or Chi-squared test was used for comparison between groups. Furthermore, multivariate logistic regression analysis was used to analyse different risk factors and calculate the odds ratio (OR) and 95% confidence interval (CI) of each factor. A total of 18 patients showed impaired wound healing after kidney transplantation. And we conducted 72 statically matched controls. Age, diabetes, transplant types, body mass index (BMI), albumin, haemoglobin, and wound infection were statistically different between the two groups. The factors with statistically significant differences in univariate analysis were included in multivariate logistic regression analysis. The results showed that BMI > 25, fasting blood glucose level, albumin level, and prealbumin level were independent risk factors for impaired wound healing after kidney transplantation. Risk factors for impaired wound healing after kidney transplantation can be detected after surgery. Strengthening postoperative monitoring and early intervention of recipients with such factors may effectively prevent impaired wound healing after kidney transplantation.

Establishment and validation of a new predictive equation with multiple risk factors for the development of cardiorenal syndrome type 1 in patients with acute myocardial infarction

Objective: To investigate the independent risk factors of cardiorenal syndrome type 1 (CRS1) in patients with acute myocardial infarction (AMI) and to build a predictive equation for the development of CRS1 in these patients. Method: Consecutive inpatients with AMI, who hospitalized from January 2017 to December 2018 in the Hunan Provincial People's Hospital, were enrolled in this case-control study. Patients were divided into CRS1 group and non-CRS1 group according to the presence or absence of CRS1.The clinical data were collected through the electronic medical record system of Hunan Provincial People's Hospital. The matching process was conducted with a minimum-distance scoring method and a 1∶1 match between the CRS1 group and the no-CRS1 group, the propensity score was calculated through the logistic regression model. Factors with statistically significant differences in univariate analysis were included in the multivariate logistic regression model to analyze the risk factors of AMI patients with CRS1, then the independent risk factors were used to establish a predicting equation for CRS1 by logistic regression function for model building. Area under the curve (AUC) value and the best cut-off value of the combined predictors was determined according to the ROC curve. Python 3.8 software was used to perform 10-fold cross-validation on modeling samples. Results: A total of 942 patients were included, there were 113 cases in CRS1 group and 829 cases in non-CRS1 group. Ultimately, 99 CRS1 patients were successfully matched to 99 non-CRS1 patient using 1∶1 matching. After propensity score matching, the baseline age and sex along with heart rate, mean arterial pressure, percentage of people with a history of diabetes, hypertension, ST-segment elevation myocardial infarction, myocardial ischemia time, angiotensin converting enzyme inhibitors or angiotensin Ⅱ receptor blockers use, and β receptor blocker use were similar between the two groups(all P>0.05). The contrast agent dosage was also similar between the two groups (P=0.266). The peak cardiac troponin I (cTnI), N-terminal pro-brain natriuretic peptide(NT-proBNP), white blood cell count, base estimated glomerular filtration rate (eGFR), albumin and hemoglobin levels were statistically significant between the two groups (all P<0.05). Multivariate logistic regression analysis showed that decreased baseline eGFR, increased NT-proBNP, peak cTnI concentrations and white blood cell count were independent risk factors of CRS1 in AMI patients (all P<0.01).The predicting equation of the combined predictor was established by transforming the logistic model equation, L=0.031×cTnI+0.000 2×NT-proBNP-0.024×eGFR+0.254×white blood cell count, where L represented the combined predictor. ROC curve analysis indicated that the AUC of the peak cTnI, NT-proBNP, baseline eGFR, white blood cell count, and combined predictor were 0.76, 0.85, 0.79, 0.81, and 0.92 respectively (all P<0.05), and the cutoff value of combined predictor was 2.6. The AUC of ROC curve after the model's ten-fold cross validation was 0.89. Conclusions: Decreased baseline eGFR, increased NT-proBNP, peak cTnI concentrations and white blood cell count are the independent risk factors for CRS1 in AMI patients. The combined predictor equation based on the above 4 biomarkers presents a good predictive value for CRS1 in AMI patients.

Predictors for intraoperative heart failure in children undergoing foreign-body removal.

This study aimed to determine the predictors for intraoperative heart failure (HF) in children undergoing foreign-body removal. The clinical data of all children with tracheobronchial foreign-body aspiration admitted to the First, Second, and Fourth Affiliated Hospitals of Harbin Medical University between January 1996 and September 2018 were analyzed. The variables with significant difference in univariate analysis were involved into the multivariate Logistic model to determine the predictors for intraoperative tachycardia. In total, 300 tracheobronchial foreign-body aspiration children were eligible for the study, among whom 60 cases (20%) suffered from HF during the operation. Between the children HF and those without HF, the differences were pronounced in history of allergy, history of asthma, congenital heart disease, preoperative respiratory infection, retention time of foreign bodies, duration of operation, and poor anesthesia effect (P < .05). Multivariate analysis results showed that history of allergy (odds ratio [OR]: 1.395, 95% confidence interval [95% CI]: 1.202–1.620, P < .001), congenital heart disease [OR: 3.071, 95% CI: 1.141–8.264, P < .001], preoperative respiratory infection [OR: 2.345, 95% CI: 1.027–5.355, P = .043], retention time of foreign bodies [OR: 1.013, 95% CI: 1.010–1.016, P < .001], duration of operation [OR: 1.030, 95% CI: 1.027–1.033, P < .001], and poor anesthesia effect [OR: 1.125, 95% CI: 1.117–1.134, P < .001] were identified as the influencing factors for intraoperative HF. In conclusions, for children undergoing foreign-body removal, history of allergy, congenital heart disease, preoperative respiratory infection, retention time of foreign bodies, duration of operation, and poor anesthesia effect are associated with an increased risk of intraoperative HF.

Non-invasive laboratory, imaging and elastography markers in predicting varices with high risk of bleeding in cirrhotic patients.

Introduction. Upper digestive tract endoscopy remains the gold-standard for detecting esophageal or gastric varices and assessment of bleeding risk, but this method is invasive. The aim of the study was to identify non-invasive factors that could be incorporated into an algorithm for estimating the risk of variceal bleeding.Methods. A prospective study was performed on 130 cirrhotic patients. Tests were performed on all patients which included liver enzymes, complete blood count and coagulation parameters, abdominal ultrasound, elastography of both the liver and the spleen. Upper gastrointestinal endoscopy was performed in all patients included in the study and the results were classified, in accordance with Baveno VI into 2 outcome groups: Group 1 - patients with low bleeding risk and Group 2 - patients with varices needing treatment.Results. The study lot (130 patients) was divided into: Group I (low bleeding risk - 102 patients), and Group II (high bleeding risk - 28 patients). Parameters found to have significant differences in univariate analysis were transaminases, platelet count, spleen size, INR, portal vein diameter and both liver and spleen elastography. Calculating AUROC for each parameter identifies spleen elastography as having the best result, followed by INR, AST and platelet count. Liver elastography had the worst AUROC. Independent variables identified by logistic regression included spleen elastography, INR, platelet count, spleen diameter, ALT, age, and gender.Conclusions. Spleen stiffness is the best single parameter predicting the presence of high-risk esophageal varices.

Intraoperative Hypoxia Independently Associated With the Development of Acute Kidney Injury Following Bilateral Orthotopic Lung Transplantation.

Acute kidney injury (AKI) is a common postoperative complication in bilateral orthotopic lung transplant (BOLTx) recipients, but the contribution of intraoperative variables is not well defined. The authors hypothesized that intraoperative hypotension as well as hypoxia and vasopressor use would be associated with the development of postoperative AKI after BOLTx in patients without pre-existing renal dysfunction. The authors performed a retrospective analysis of patients undergoing BOLTx at a single center between 2013 and 2017. Intraoperative variables of hemodynamics included duration of mean arterial pressure <55, <60, and <65 mm Hg; duration of oxygen saturation <90%; and vasoactive-inotropic score (VIS). Associations between the occurrence of AKI and intraoperative hypotension, hypoxemia, and VIS were evaluated while controlling for significant confounding variables. AKI occurred in 177 (72%) of 245 patients in postoperative days 1-7. Notable significant differences in univariate analyses included cumulative mechanical support time, maximum VIS, peripheral oxygen saturation <90% for >15 min, total minutes oxygen saturation <90%, and surgery duration in minutes. There was no significant difference in intraoperative hypotension measured as a duration >15 min for mean arterial pressure <55, <60, or <65 mm Hg. Multivariate logistic regression revealed preoperative creatinine (Odds ratio [OR], 7.77; confidence interval [CI], 1.96-30.83; P = 0.004), surgery duration (OR, 1.004; CI, 1.002-1.007; P = 0.002), and oxygen saturation (OR, 2.06; CI, 1.01-4.24; P = 0.049) <90% for >15 min to be independently associated with AKI. This study revealed that >15 min of intraoperative hypoxia was independently associated with postoperative AKI after BOLTx.

The Role of T Helper 17 (Th17) and Regulatory T Cells (Treg) in the Pathogenesis of Vulvovaginal Candidiasis among HIV-Infected Women

Background. The study sought to describe relationships between 20 cytokines and chemokines (IL-1β, IL-2, IL-4, IL-5, IL-6, IL-7, IL-8, IL-10, IL-12, IL-13, IL-17, G-CSF, GM-CSF, IFN-γ, MCP-1, MIP-1β, TNF-α, TGF-β1, TGF-β2, and TGF-β3) and the presence of vulvovaginal candidiasis (VVC) in women, stratified by HIV status. Methods. Plasma and genital samples were obtained from 51 clinic attendees in KwaZulu-Natal between June 2011 and December 2011. Cytokine and chemokine concentrations were measured by Luminex® multiplex immunoassays. Multiple comparisons of means of cytokine/chemokine levels displaying significant differences in univariate analyses across the study groups were performed using post hoc Bonferroni pairwise tests considering a type I error rate of 0.05. A discriminant analysis (DA) was carried out to identify linear combinations of variates that would maximally discriminate group memberships. Results. Of the 51 participants, 16/26 HIV-infected and 15/25 HIV-uninfected women were diagnosed with VVC. DA identified 2 variables (MIP-1β and TGF-β3) in plasma (Box’s M (5.49),p(0.57) &gt; α (0.001); Wilks’ lambda = 0.116,p&lt;0.0001) and 1 variable (IL-13) in vaginal secretions (Box’s M (2.063),p(0.37) &gt; α (0.001); Wilks’ lambda = .677,p&lt;0.0001) as able to discriminate the HIV + VVC + group, whilst TGF-β1 in plasma discriminated the HIV + VVC − group. Mean concentrations of genital IL-6, IL-8, IL-10, IL-17, and TGF-β3 were significantly higher in HIV infected women coinfected with VVC. Conclusions. In HIV-infected women, VVC might be explained by a decline of Th17 cells, hence a decrease of Th17/Treg ratio.

Bed-sided short-duration renal replacement therapy provide a possible option to treat non-critical coronavirus disease 2019 in maintenance hemodialysis patients in public health crisis.

HD care may experience great stress with the coronavirus disease 2019 (COVID‐19) pandemic. A modified HD modality named bed‐sided short‐duration renal replacement therapy (BSRRT) was used in noncritical maintenance HD (MHD) patients diagnosed with COVID‐19 in Wuhan due to extreme situation. To determine the safety and efficacy as a substitution for intermittent HD (IHD), we conducted this study. We used the data of 88 noncritical COVID‐19 MHD patients collected from 65 medical units at the hospitals in Wuhan, China, from January 1 to March 10, 2020. t‐test, Wilcoxon rank sum test, and Fisher exact probability method were used to compare the baseline characteristics, treatment, and death. Log‐rank test and Cox regression multivariate analysis was used to compare the survival of noncritical patients who were transferred to BSRRT modality versus those who were continued on the IHD. Univariate analysis showed the level of reported fatigue symptom at present, bilateral lung computed tomography infiltration and steroid treatment differed between the two groups. The outcome of death of the two groups did not show significant differences in univariate analysis (P = .0563). Multivariate Cox regression analysis dialysis showed modality of treatment after COVID‐19 diagnosis was not a significant predictor of death (P = .1000). These data suggest that for noncritical COVID‐19 MHD patients, the transfer from IHD to BSRRT does not have significant difference in the risk of death compared with IHD group. This finding suggests this modified modality could be an option for the substitution for IHD during the COVID‐19 pandemic period.

Risk factors for osteonecrosis of the femoral head in brain tumor patients receiving corticosteroid after surgery.

PurposeNon-traumatic osteonecrosis of the femoral head (ONFH) is a plausible complication in brain tumor patients. Frequent use of corticosteroid therapy, chemotherapy, and oxidative stress for managing brain tumors may be associated with the development of ONFH. However, there is little knowledge on the prevalence and risk factors of ONFH from brain tumor. This study aimed to investigate the prevalence and risk factors of ONFH in patients with primary brain tumors.MethodsThis retrospective cohort study included data from consecutive patients between December 2005 and August 2016 from a tertiary university hospital in South Korea. A total of 73 cases of ONFH were identified among 10,674 primary brain tumor patients. After excluding subjects (25 out of 73) with missing data, history of alcohol consumption or smoking, history of femoral bone trauma or surgery, comorbidities such as systemic lupus erythematosus (SLE), sickle cell disease, cancer patients other than brain tumor, and previous diagnosis of contralateral ONFH, we performed a 1:2 propensity score-matched, case–control study (ONFH group, 48; control group, 96). Risk factors of ONFH in primary brain tumor were evaluated by univariate and multivariate logistic regression analyses.ResultsThe prevalence of ONFH in patients with surgical resection of primary brain tumor was 683.9 per 100,000 persons (73 of 10,674). In this cohort, 55 of 74 patients (74.3%) underwent THA for ONFH treatment. We found that diabetes was an independent factor associated with an increased risk of ONFH in primary brain tumor patients (OR = 7.201, 95% CI, 1.349–38.453, p = 0.021). There was a significant difference in univariate analysis, including panhypopituitarism (OR = 4.394, 95% CI, 1.794–11.008, p = 0.002), supratentorial location of brain tumor (OR = 2.616, 95% CI, 1.245–5.499, p = 0.011), and chemotherapy (OR = 2.867, 95% CI, 1.018–8.069, p = 0.046).ConclusionsThis study demonstrated that the prevalence of ONFH after surgical resection of primary brain tumor was 0.68%. Diabetes was an independent risk factor for developing ONFH, whereas corticosteroid dose was not. Routine screening for brain tumor-associated ONFH is not recommended; however, a high index of clinical suspicion in these patients at risk may allow for early intervention and preservation of the joints.

Value of cardiac troponin T in predicting the prognosis of patients with cardiogenic shock receiving veno-arterial extracorporeal membrane oxygenation treatment: a consecutive 5-year retrospective study

To explore the changing trend of cardiac troponin T (cTnT) in patients with cardiogenic shock (CS) receiving veno-arterial extracorporeal membrane oxygenation (V-A ECMO) and its predictive value. A retrospective study was conducted. The data of patients with CS receiving V-A ECMO admitted to the First Affiliated Hospital of Nanjing Medical University from March 2015 to May 2020 were enrolled. The baseline data, ECMO related parameters, serum cTnT levels at 1, 2, 3 days after ECMO and intensive care unit (ICU) prognosis were recorded. The parameters with clinical significance and significant difference in univariate analysis were analyzed by binary multivariate Logistic regression analysis. Meanwhile, receiver operating characteristic (ROC) curve was drawn, area under ROC curve (AUC) was analyzed, and the threshold, sensitivity and specificity of serum cTnT level and its reduction rate for predicting clinical outcome were evaluated. A total of 72 patients were enrolled, of which 42 survived and 30 died at ICU discharge, and the ICU mortality was 41.7%. Univariate analysis results: compared with the survival group, the patients in the death group had higher acute physiology and chronic health evaluation II (APACHE II) score [32 (30, 34) vs. 29 (25, 30)], and the incidence of cardiac arrest before ECMO (70.0% vs. 31.0%), the ratios of invasive mechanical ventilation and continuous renal replacement therapy during ECMO were higher (96.7% vs. 66.7%, 83.3% vs. 42.9%), and the differences were statistically significant (all P < 0.05). Serum cTnT levels (ng/L) at 2 days and 3 days after ECMO in the death group were significantly higher than those in the survival group [2 days: 6 373.5 (898.3, 15 251.5) vs. 1 760.5 (933.0, 4 257.8), 3 day: 6 202.0 (758.9, 16 554.3) vs. 1 678.0 (623.3, 3 407.8), both P < 0.05], and the decrease rates of cTnT within 2 days and 3 days after ECMO were significantly lower than those in the survival group [2 days: 17.3% (-44.2%, 34.7%) vs. 36.8% (18.1%, 60.6%), 3 days: 32.4% (-30.0%, 55.5%) vs. 53.2% (38.3%, 72.3%), both P < 0.05]. Binary multivariate Logistic regression analysis showed that cardiac arrest before ECMO [odds ratio (OR) = 4.564, 95% confidence interval (95%CI) was 1.212-17.193, P = 0.025] and the decrease rate of cTnT level within 2 days after ECMO (OR = 1.617, 95%CI was 1.144-4.847, P = 0.026) were independent prognostic risk factors for the ICU death of CS patients receiving V-A ECMO. ROC curve analysis showed that the decline rate of cTnT within 2 days after ECMO transfer had a certain predictive value for the ICU death of CS patients receiving V-A ECMO. The AUC was 0.704 (95%CI was 0.584-0.824). The optimal diagnostic threshold was 40.0%, the sensitivity was 86.7%, the specificity was 52.4%, the positive predictive value was 66.9%, and the negative predictive value was 89.1%. The early decline rate of cTnT in CS patients who received V-A ECMO treatment in death group was lower than that of survival patients. The cTnT decline rate 2 days after ECMO was an independent risk factor for the death of such patients.

Analysis of risk factors of polymyxin B-associated acute kidney injury in intensive care unit patients with severe infection

To investigate the incidence and risk factors of polymyxin B-associated acute kidney injury (AKI) in patients with severe infections caused by extensive drug resistance Gram negative bacteria (XDR-GNB) in intensive care unit (ICU). A retrospective study of adult patients with severe infection who received polymyxin B for more than 3 days in the department of critical care medicine of Nanjing Drum Tower Hospital Affiliated to Nanjing University Medical School from April 1st 2018 to January 31st 2020 were performed. AKI was diagnosed by Kidney Disease: Improving Global Outcomes (KDIGO) criteria. The baseline data, indicators during treatment period and prognostic factors were compared between AKI group and non-AKI group. Factors with statistically significant difference in univariate analysis and important clinical factors were included in the Logistic regression model to analyze the risk factors of AKI. Seventy-two patients were treated with polymyxin B for more than 3 days. Forty-nine patients were finally enrolled, with 32 patients developing polymyxin B-associated AKI, and the incidence was 44.4%. The baseline data was balanced in AKI group and non-AKI group, and there was no significant difference in the prognosis [death or discharge without medial order (cases): 14 vs. 6, discharged for improvement (cases): 18 vs. 11, χ2 = 0.329, P = 0.566]. Polymyxin B-associated AKI occurred from 1 day to 14 days after treatment, with an average of (6.8±3.8) days. Among the 32 AKI patients, 2 cases were lost to follow up after discharge, while renal function recovered in 18 cases and unrecovered in 12 cases. The prognosis of patients without recovery of renal function was significantly worse than that of patients with renal function recovery [death or discharge without medial order (cases): 12 vs. 2, discharged for improvement (cases): 0 vs. 16, P = 0.000]. Single factor analysis showed that daily dosage of polymyxin B in AKI group was higher than that in non-AKI group (mg: 151.6±23.7 vs. 132.4±30.3), numbers of patients with daily polymyxin B dose ≥ 150 mg, using vasoactive drugs, or severe hypoalbuminemia (albumin ≤ 25 g/L) were higher than those in non-AKI group (cases: 29 vs. 10, 18 vs. 4, 9 vs. 0), with statistically significant differences (all P < 0.05). Multivariate Logistic regression analysis showed that daily dosage of polymyxin B ≥ 150 mg and use of vasoactive drugs were independent risk factors for polymyxin B-associated AKI [odds ratio (OR) = 37.466, 95% confidence interval (95%CI) was 2.676-524.586, P = 0.007; OR = 22.960, 95%CI was 1.710-308.235, P = 0.018]. Comparing with non-AKI patients, more patients with polymyxin B-associated AKI had severe hypoalbuminemia, and the probability of using vasoactive drugs and the daily dose of polymyxin B were higher than non-AKI patients. Daily dose of polymyxin B ≥ 150 mg and using vasoactive drugs were independent risk factors for polymyxin B-associated AKI.