Short-wave Trough Research Articles

Characteristic analysis of India-Burma trough events and its impact on winter precipitation in South and East Asia: Based on objective identification

Abstract During the boreal winter, the India-Burma trough (IBT), a shortwave trough system primarily positioned over the northern Bay of Bengal, exerts a significant synoptic scale variation and impact on precipitation in South and East Asia. This study utilizes the 6-hourly ERA5 dataset to objectively identify and track 714 IBT events from 1981 to 2019. On average, IBT occurred about 54.7 days per year, with an average of 18.3 events annually and lasting around 2.5 days. IBT events are classified into two types: local and eastward-moving. Local IBTs manifest in the middle and lower troposphere with a vertical temperature structure of warm-over-cold, whereas the signals of the eastward-moving IBTs extend from the lower to the upper troposphere, exhibiting cold anomalies vertically. The impacts on winter precipitation in South and East Asia differ significantly between these two IBT types. Local IBTs are primarily linked with the eastward propagation of wave disturbances along the subtropical westerly jet, while eastward-moving IBTs are associated with robust disturbance sources from mid-high latitudes and jointly modulated by the consequent eastward propagation of Rossby wave trains along northern and southern branches of the westerly jet streams. Precipitation anomalies during local IBTs are typically positive (negative) in the Indochina Peninsula and southwestern China (Indian Peninsula), whereas eastward-moving IBTs correlate with more intense and widespread precipitation in South and East Asia, with a pronounced band of anomalies from the Indochina Peninsula to southern China.

Subtropical Foehn Winds, Southeast Queensland, Australia

AbstractFoehn winds have been a focus of research in mid‐latitude mountainous regions for more than 150 years, where their onset is typically associated with warm, dry, and gusty winds. This research has now extended into high latitude regions, yet research of foehn winds in subtropical and tropical regions remains scarce. Here we present results from the first investigation of foehn winds in the subtropics of Southeast Queensland (SEQ), Australia. Analysis of meteorological records found that foehn winds occur throughout the year with peak frequency and duration in late winter (August) associated with the passage of shortwave troughs over southern Australia. Modeling of wind fields and atmospheric boundary layer conditions for three case studies was conducted using the Weather Research and Forecasting (WRF) model. Results showed foehn events in SEQ can be associated with mountain waves and hydraulic jump features in the lee of topographic barriers. Over lee slopes, acceleration of wind speeds and topographic channeling of foehn winds was found to occur, along with substantial increases in air temperature, and decreases in relative humidity. Warming of the foehn airstream is believed to occur primarily through isentropic drawdown with a likely contribution from surface sensible heat flux. Recommendations for future research are made in light of the importance of foehn winds to wildfire management and mitigation in SEQ.

Dynamic and thermodynamic characteristics of warm-sector rainstorms caused by the southwest china vortex in sichuan basin

Using automatic rainfall station and ERA5 reanalysis data, the Southwest China vortex (SWCV) processes that induce warm-sector rainstorms in the Sichuan Basin were analyzed, their environmental field and dynamic thermal characteristics were researched through physical diagnosis and dynamic synthesis, and the development mechanism was discussed. The results showed that for the warm-sector rainstorms caused by the SWCV (SWCV-WR), the general circulation backgrounds can could be divided into three types: upper trough-vortex (Type I), plateau shear line (Type II), and short-wave trough (Type III) types. Regarding the aspects of the maintenance of the SWCV, duration of the warm-sector rainstorms, and maximum hourly precipitation intensity, the influence of Type I is the most evident, followed by Types II and III for SWCV-WR. The vertical structure of the SWCV is shallow and inclined to the west with height, but the positive vorticity of Types I and II can reach up to 200 hPa for SWCV-WR. The pseudo-equivalent potential temperature in the vortex area is greater than 354 K, which is accompanied by an upward-energy tongue, and shallow secondary circulation occurs on the eastern side of the SWCV, promoting vortex development. Regarding the thermodynamic characteristics of SWCV, Type I is the strongest, followed by Type III, and Type II is the weakest. The water vapor supply in different types of SWCV-WR is not only closely related to the strength of water vapor transport in the Bay of Bengal, but also to the variations in water vapor transport caused by the influence of different water vapor sources, such as the South China Sea and western Pacific Ocean, during its transportation. For SWCV-WR, the vorticity advection presents an uneven east-west positive and negative distribution. Under the dynamic forcing, the positive vorticity on the east side of SWCV of Types I and II (III) is enhanced (weakened), while that on the west side is weakened (enhanced). Different atmospheric vorticity variations have different significant effects on the three types of SWCV-WR. Under the spatial non-uniform heating, the horizontal non-uniform heating effect on the different types of SWCV-WR has regional differences, while the vertical non-uniform heating effect has the largest effect on the spatial non-uniform heating and a positive heating effect on the three types of SWCV-WR. Therefore, the spatial non-adiabatic heating effect, particularly the vertical non-uniform heating effect, is an important mechanism for the development and evolution of SWCV and SWCV-WR.

Mechanisms Accounting for the Formation of the Strong Winds that Caused the Tripping Incident of Transmission Line in Eastern Inner Mongolia

Meteorological disasters pose a serious threat to the State Grid Corporation of China, which covers ~ 88% of Chinese national territory. Of these, strong winds deserve a special attention, as they often induce windage yaw discharge of transmission lines and even toppling of transmission towers, resulting in serious economic losses. On 28 June 2023, a severe tripping incident of transmission line appears in Eastern Inner Mongolia due to strong winds. In this study, we conduct comprehensive analyses to clarify the favorable background conditions and governing mechanisms for producing the strong winds. Main results are shown as follows. Synoptic analysis indicates that, the favorable background environments for the event are characterized by a strong upper-level jet associated upper tropospheric divergence; an intense middle-level warm advection ahead of a shortwave trough; and a long-lived lower-tropospheric mesoscale vortex. The strong winds that cause the tripping incident mainly occur in the southeastern quadrant of the vortex. Vorticity budget presents that the period from the mesoscale-vortex’s formation to 4 h before is crucial to the mesoscale vortex, as cyclonic vorticity increases rapidly mainly due to the lower-level convergence-related vertical stretching. In contrast, the horizontal transport mainly results in a net export of cyclonic vorticity, which is the most detrimental factor. Kinetic energy (KE) budget shows that, after the mesoscale vortex forms, the strong winds within its southeastern quadrant enhance rapidly. Overall, the positive work done by the pressure gradient force associated with the mesoscale vortex dominates the enhancement of strong winds; the horizontal transport of KE is the second dominant factor, and the vertical transport of KE (i.e., the downward momentum transportation) shows the least contribution.

Analysis of Interannual Anomalies and Causes of Compound Extreme Wind and Precipitation Events in Spring over the Jiangsu–Anhui Region

By using the daily average wind speed and precipitation data of 125 stations in Jiangsu and Anhui Provinces of China from 1961 to 2020 and the monthly NCEP/NCAR reanalysis data, the interannual variation characteristics and its possible reasons of spring compound extreme wind and precipitation events in the Jiangsu–Anhui region were discussed. Results show that the spring compound extreme wind and precipitation events generally present a lesser distribution in the south and more in the north. The events occurring in south (north) of 32° N are basically less than (above) three days, and in some areas of northern Jiangsu, it can reach more than four days. On a regional average, the spring compound extreme wind and precipitation events have presented a significant downward trend in the past 60 years. In addition, there was an interdecadal mutation from more to less in the early 1990s, with the most significant decline in the coastal areas of northern Jiangsu. Further analysis reveals that the synthetic height anomaly field at 500 hPa corresponding to the frequent occurrence of the spring compound extreme wind and precipitation events is positive in the northern region of 45° N, while it is negative in the southern region of 45° N, which enhances the high pressure in high latitudes, increases the meridional gradient of circulation, and promotes the activity of high-latitude short-wave trough ridges and cold air. Meanwhile, a strong southwest airflow exists in the corresponding middle and low latitudes at 850 hPa, so the water vapor from the Bay of Bengal can be continuously transported to the Jiangsu–Anhui region. Overall, the abundant water vapor transportation and the convergence of southward cold air in high latitudes are conducive to the occurrence of extreme wind and precipitation events.

Increasing amounts of midwestern Tibetan Plateau vortices and their response to soil moisture distribution coupled with different synoptic systems

AbstractTibetan Plateau Vortices (TPVs) are important synoptic systems that affect precipitation over the Tibetan Plateau (TP) and downstream weather. By using daily reanalysis data provided by ECMWF and the objective identification methods, the study identified the basic spatiotemporal changes of TPVs, clustered the TPVs by different dynamic circulation types and explored the dynamic circulation background of the classified TPVs in the midwestern TP and their relationship with thermal factors, such as sensible heat and soil moisture. The results show that TPVs in the midwestern TP exhibited an increasing trend from May to August, resulting from the coupling of dynamics with thermal forcing. The related synoptic circulations were divided into four types according to the dynamic circulations: the shortwave trough, the longwave trough, the shear line and the plateau anticyclone type. Among the TPVs, the percentage of TPVs in the shortwave and longwave trough type was relatively large, accounting for 48.7% and 31.5%, respectively, both of which were dominated by the coupling of increased sensible heat and decreased soil moisture. The shear line type was less affected by thermal factors, and mainly driven by dynamic factors, whereas the soil moisture gradient was responsible for the plateau anticyclone type. The simulation experiment also proved this conclusion.

Mechanisms Governing the Formation and Long-Term Sustainment of a Northeastward Moving Southwest Vortex

From 10 July to 12 July 2021, a long-lived (~66 h) southwest vortex (SWV), moved from Southwest China to Northeast China and caused a series of heavy rainfall events. This SWV case was rarely seen, as its lifespan was much longer than the SWVs’ mean lifespan, and the vast majority of SWVs showed a quasi-stationary behavior. It was found that the SWV formed and sustained in favorable background environments, which were characterized by a strong upper-level divergence (related to the South Asia High), a notable middle-tropospheric warm advection (related to a shortwave trough), and a vigorous low-level jet. The SWV showed remarkable interactions with a middle-tropospheric mesoscale vortex. The strong southwesterly wind in the eastern section of a deep shortwave trough east of the Tibetan Plateau acted as the steering flow for the northeastward movement of both vortices. Vorticity budget showed that the convergence-related vertical stretching dominated the SWV’s formation and development; the convection-related upward transport of cyclonic vorticity was the most favorable factor for the SWV’s sustainment, whereas, during the decaying stage, the SWV dissipated mainly due to the tilting effects and the net export transport of cyclonic vorticity. Backward trajectory analyses showed that most of the air particles that formed the SWV (at its formation time) were sourced from the lower troposphere. These air particles mainly ascended and experienced a rapid increase in cyclonic vorticity during the SWV’s formation stage. The topography of the Yunnan–Guizhou Plateau was crucial for the SWV’s formation, as around a half of the air particles (that formed the SWV) came from this region. Most of these air particles enhanced in their cyclonic vorticity and convergence when they descended along the topography of the plateau.

Formation Mechanisms of the “5·31” Record-Breaking Extreme Heavy Rainfall Process in South China in 2021

Based on the fifth-generation European Center for Medium-Range Weather Forecasts reanalysis data (ERA5), the real-time observation data from weather stations, and the radar products in Guangdong Province, we analyze the precipitation properties and formation mechanisms of the “5·31” extreme heavy rainfall process with record-breaking 3-h accumulated rainfall in South China during 2021. The results show that the extreme heavy rainfall process is caused by the joint actions of weather systems such as a weak upper-level short-wave trough, a surface stationary front, and a low-level southwesterly jet. Before the heavy precipitation process, there is large precipitable water content and deep warm clouds, which provides a potential for the occurrence and development of the heavy rainfall process in Longhua Town of Longmen County and its surrounding areas. Simultaneously, the low-level southwesterly jet provides abundant warm-wet water vapor for the heavy rainfall area. The vertical atmospheric environmental conditions, such as strong horizontal temperature gradient, high convective available potential energy, high-temperature difference between 850 hPa and 500 hPa, and low convective inhibition, maintain for a long duration in the heavy rainfall area, which are favorable for the occurrence and development of high-efficiency convective precipitation caused by water vapor condensation due to the uplift of low-level warm-wet airflows. The combined effects of the enhanced low-level southwesterly airflow, the stationary front, the mesoscale surface convergence line generated by cold pool outflows, the terrain influence, and the train effect of the precipitation echoes make heavy precipitation near Longhua last longer and stronger than other areas, leading to the extreme heavy rainfall with the record-breaking 3-h accumulated rainfall in Longhua.

Evolutionary mechanisms of the strong winds associated with an intense cold wave event and their effects on the wind power production

Cold wave events (CWEs) often cause major economic losses and serious casualties in the cold seasons, making CWEs among the most significant types of disastrous weather. Previous studies have mainly focused on disasters due to abrupt drops in surface temperatures, with less discussion of the strong winds associated with CWEs. Based on an intense CWE that occurred in late December 2020, we investigated the evolutionary mechanisms of the associated strong winds in terms of kinetic energy (KE) budget and evaluated the effects of this CWE on wind power production based on quantitative comparisons with the mean state. The results showed that the CWE occurred under favorable background conditions, which were characterized by a southward-moving transversal trough and a southeastward-moving shortwave trough in the middle troposphere. The surface high ridge that formed around Lake Baikal and the cold front around the southern periphery of the ridge were key factors related to the CWE evolution. The positive work carried out on the horizontal wind by the pressure gradient force that linked a lower tropospheric high-pressure ridge inland and a low-pressure trough offshore and the downward momentum transportation due to the descending motions behind the cold front dominated the enhancement and sustainment of the CWE-associated strong winds. The CWE contributed to wind power production by 1) increasing the wind power density (by an average of ∼1.05-fold) and 2) improving the availability of the wind to generate power, as it reduced the percentage of zero wind power generation by ∼6.4%, while maintaining the high-wind-velocity cut-out percentage.

Factors Influencing the Track of Hurricane Dorian (2019) in the West Atlantic: Analysis of a HAFS Ensemble

Abstract Hurricane Dorian (2019), a category-5 tropical cyclone (TC), was characterized by a large spread in track forecasts as it moved northwest. A set of 80 ensemble forecasts from the Hurricane Analysis and Forecast System (HAFS) was produced to evaluate Dorian’s track spread and the factors that contributed to it. Track spread was particularly critical at long lead times (5–7 days after initialization near the Lesser Antilles), because of the uncertainty in the location of landfall and hazards. Four clusters of members were analyzed based on the 7-day track, characterized by Dorian moving: 1) slowly near the northern Bahamas (closest to reality), 2) across the Florida Peninsula, 3) slowly into Florida’s east coast, and 4) quickly north of the Bahamas. Ensemble sensitivity techniques were applied to identify areas that were most critical for Dorian’s track. Key differences were found in the strength of the subtropical ridge over the western Atlantic Ocean with a weaker ridge and slower easterly steering flow in the offshore groups. Subtle differences in the synoptic pattern over the United States also appeared to affect the timing of Dorian’s northward turn, specifically the strength of a shortwave trough moving over the Ohio Valley. Despite some early track differences, the correlation between early and late track errors was not significant. An examination of four members further highlights the differences in steering and the strength of the subtropical ridge. This study demonstrates the utility of ensemble datasets for studying TC forecast uncertainty and the importance of medium-range modeling of synoptic-scale steering features to accurately predict the track of tropical cyclones. Significance Statement Hurricane Dorian was a catastrophic hurricane for the Bahamas and got very close to Florida without directly impacting the state. Some early forecasts showed the storm moving directly into or across Florida; others correctly showed the storm stalling over the Bahamas and then turning northward. This track forecast uncertainty made preparations in Florida challenging; therefore, we wanted to better understand why Dorian took the track that it did, to see what this tells us about the factors that affect hurricane tracks, and learn for future storms. We looked at an ensemble of 80 runs of a hurricane model, initiated at the same time. Some runs showed a Florida landfall; others showed Dorian stalling over the Bahamas. The strength of the subtropical ridge over the Atlantic north of Dorian and an upper-level trough of low pressure over the United States were key influences on storm path. These two large-scale features were better forecast in the ensemble members that correctly showed Dorian stalling and turning northward. This study shows how useful ensembles can be for understanding the processes driving hurricane motion and also shows that it is critical to forecast multiple synoptic-scale features correctly to accurately predict a hurricane’s track 5–7 days in advance.

A 10-Year Statistic Study on the Tornadoes That Occurred in Jiangsu and Zhejiang Province: Composite Background Environment and Linear Trends

According to a 10-year (from 2007 to 2016) statistical analysis on the tornadoes in China, Jiangsu Province and Zhejiang Province, which share many similar geographical characteristics, experienced 159 (ranked first) and 59 (ranked fifth) tornadoes, respectively. Tornadoes within Jiangsu [i.e., the Jiangsu type (JST)] and those within Zhejiang [i.e., the Zhejiang type (ZJT)] featured notable annual, monthly and diurnal variations, which were remarkably different from each other. Both JST and ZJT showed the largest occurrence frequency (~50% on average) in the afternoon of summer, and the background environments before the formation of these tornadoes were composited to focus on their respective universal features. For the JST, it is found that, the upper-tropospheric divergence and positive geopotential-height anomaly, the middle-tropospheric shortwave trough, warm temperature advection and positive temperature anomaly, and the lower-tropospheric strong southwesterly wind, convergence and cyclonic vorticity all acted as favorable conditions for the convective activities within Jiangsu. For the ZJT, their background environment differed from that of the Jiangsu notably, and the conditions for the tornadoes’ formation were overall more favorable for the JST. Linear trend analyses indicated that, both the annual and seasonal (summer) occurrence of the JST tended to decrease significantly, whereas, those of the ZJT were not significant. For the JST, its occurrence frequency showed a low linear correlation to the variation of the surface temperature, instead, its decreasing frequency was more closely related to the significant weakening in the intensity of the vertical shear of the zonal wind and the updraft helicity within Jiangsu.

The 2017 Split wildfire in Croatia: evolution and the role of meteorological conditions

Abstract. The Split wildfire in July 2017, which was one of the most severe wildfires in the history of this Croatian World Heritage Site, is the focus in this study. The Split fire is a good example of a wildfire–urban interface, with unexpected fire behavior including rapid downslope spread to the coastal populated area. This study clarifies the meteorological conditions behind the fire event, those that have limited the effectiveness of firefighting operations, and the rapid escalation and expansion of the fire zones within 30 h. The Split fire propagation was first reconstructed using radio logs, interviews with firefighters and pilots involved in the intervention, eyewitness statements, digital photographs from fire detection cameras, media, and the monthly firefighting journal. Four phases of fire development have been identified. Then, weather observations and numerical simulations using an enhanced-resolution operational model are utilized to analyze the dynamics in each phase of the fire runs. The synoptic background of the event includes large surface pressure gradient between the Azores anticyclone accompanied by a cold front and a cyclone over the southeastern Balkan Peninsula. At the upper level, there was a deep shortwave trough extending from the Baltic Sea to the Adriatic Sea, which developed into a cut-off low. Such synoptic conditions have resulted in the maximum fire weather index in 2017. Combined with topography, they also locally provoke the formation of the strong northeasterly bura wind along the Adriatic coast, which has been accompanied by a low-level jet (LLJ). The bura (downslope wind), with mid- to low-level gravity-wave breaking and turbulence mixing (as in the hydraulic jump theory), also facilitated the subsidence of dry air from the upper troposphere and rapid drying at the surface. This study demonstrates that numerical guidance that indicates the spatial and temporal occurrence of a LLJ is highly capable of explaining the Split fire evolution from the ignition potential to its extinguishment stage. Thus, in addition to the conventional fire weather indices, such products are able to improve fire weather behavior forecasting and in general more effective decision-making in fire management.

The role of short-wave troughs on the formation and development of sea-effect snowbands in the western Black Sea

The role of short-wave troughs on the formation and development of sea-effect snowbands in the western Black Sea

Multiscale Aspects of the 26–27 April 2011 Tornado Outbreak. Part I: Outbreak Chronology and Environmental Evolution

Abstract One of the most prolific tornado outbreaks ever documented occurred on 26–27 April 2011 and comprised three successive episodes of tornadic convection that primarily impacted the southeastern United States, including two quasi-linear convective systems (hereinafter QLCS1 and QLCS2) that preceded the notorious outbreak of long-track, violent tornadoes spawned by numerous supercells on the afternoon of 27 April. The ∼36-h period encompassing these three episodes was part of a longer multiday outbreak that occurred ahead of a slowly moving upper-level trough over the Rocky Mountains. Here in Part I, we detail how the environment evolved to support this extended outbreak, with particular attention given to the three successive systems that each exhibited a different morphology and severity. The amplifying upper-level trough and attendant jet streak resulted from a Rossby wave–breaking event that yielded a complex tropopause structure and supported three prominent shortwave troughs that sequentially moved into the south-central United States. QLCS1 formed ahead of the second shortwave and was accompanied by rapid flow modifications, including considerable low-level jet (LLJ) intensification. The third shortwave moved into the lee of the Rockies early on 27 April to yield destabilization behind QLCS1 and support the formation of QLCS2, which was followed by further LLJ intensification and helped to establish favorable deep-layer shear profiles over the warm sector. The afternoon supercell outbreak commenced following the movement of this shortwave into the Mississippi Valley, which was attended by a deep tropopause fold, cold front aloft, and dryline that promoted two prominent bands of tornadic supercells over the Southeast. Significance Statement The tornado outbreak that impacted the United States on 26–27 April 2011 was part of an extended outbreak that produced 343 tornadoes and numerous fatalities. This paper is Part I of a study that describes the meteorological factors supporting such a prolific event. We focus on a 36-h period encompassing three convective episodes that impacted the Southeast and culminated in the widespread formation of long-track, violent tornadoes. Flow enhancements accompanying the first two episodes and the movement of a cold front aloft into the Southeast were found to contribute to the evolution of the final and most devastating episode. Part II describes how the first two episodes directly modified the environment to enhance the severity of this outbreak.

Comparison of two types of persistent heavy rainfall events during sixteen warm seasons in the Sichuan Basin

Based on hourly precipitation from national surface stations, persistent heavy rainfall events (PHREs) over the Sichuan Basin (SCB) are explored during the warm season (May to September) from 2000 to 2015 to compare synoptic circulations and maintenance mechanisms between different PHRE types. There are two main types of PHREs: one is characterized by a rain belt west of 106°E over the SCB (WSB-PHREs), and the other features a rain belt east of 106°E over the SCB (ESB-PHREs). In total, there are 18 ESB-PHREs and 10 WSB-PHREs during the study period. Overall, the rain belts of WSB-PHREs are along the terrain distribution east of the Tibetan Plateau, while the precipitation intensity of ESB-PHREs is stronger. For the two types of PHREs, the shortwave trough over the SCB and the western Pacific subtropical high act as their favorable background environments, particularly for ESB-PHREs. The water vapor of WSB-PHREs is mainly transported from the South China Sea, whereas for ESB-PHREs the South China Sea and Bay of Bengal are their main moisture sources. The composite vorticity budgets of southwest vortices during their mature stage indicate that the convergence effect is a dominant factor for maintaining the two types of PHREs, and the strong vertical vorticity advection is also favorable, but the relative contribution of vertical advection is larger for WSB-PHREs.摘要本文筛选出四川盆地西部 (盆西型) 和盆地东部 (盆东型) 持续性暴雨个例, 深入对比两类持续性暴雨的大气环流特征和直接造成持续性暴雨的西南低涡维持的机理. 四川盆地的短波槽和西太平洋副热带高压的配置有利于持续性暴雨的维持, 盆东型的降水强度较盆西型个例强, 高空急流位置偏南, 南亚高压的强度更强, 高层辐散更强, 对流层中层副热带高压偏东偏南. 盆西型的水汽输送主要来自南海, 而盆东型的水汽输送主要来自南海和孟加拉湾. 合成涡度收支的结果表明散度项是两类持续暴雨中西南涡维持的主要原因, 但盆西型中, 垂直平流的作用更强.

Vorticity and moisture budget analyses on a plateau vortex that cause an intense rainfall event within the Qaidam Basin

AbstractAs one of the most seriously arid areas in China, the Qaidam Basin (QB) features a notable growing probability of intense rainfall under global warming. Compared to a normal/humid region, intense rainfall usually results in more severe disasters in an arid area. Considering that few studies focused on intense rainfall within the QB, there is an urgent need to understand the mechanisms governing intense rainfall in this region. A type of Tibetan Plateau vortex (TPV) associated intense rainfall within the QB was investigated in this study, which partly fills the existing research gaps in the field. The main findings are as follows: (a) the intense‐rainfall‐producing TPV formed and maintained in a favorable background environment which was characterized by a notable upper‐level divergence north of a strong upper‐level jet and a strong middle‐level warm advection ahead of a shortwave trough over the Tibetan Plateau. (b) Vorticity budget indicates that two factors affected the vortex's formation notably, one was the convergence‐related vertical stretching, which dominated the vortex's formation and the other was the import of the horizontal transport of anticyclonic vorticity which was the most detrimental factor for the formation of the TPV. Tilting and vertical transport only exerted weak effects on the TPV's formation, since convective activities were relatively weak in this event. (c) Moisture budget shows that the southwestern and southern moisture transport channels, which were mainly driven by the wind field associated with the shortwave trough over the Tibetan Plateau, contributed ~70% to the total moisture income of the intense rainfall within the QB. The transport was accomplished primarily through the southern boundary of the QB, with the moisture mainly coming from the Indian Peninsula and Indochina Peninsula.

Eady edge waves, frontal wave-trains and type-B cyclogenesis

Eady edge waves (EEWs) propagate on surface baroclinic zones and they resemble synoptic and sub-synoptic scale frontal wave-trains. The wave-trains are frequently depicted on surface charts, and occur per se on a front with a local baroclinicity extremum. The possible linkage of EEWs to frontal waves is explored within the framework of so-called ‘surface quasi-geostrophic dynamics’ by establishing the properties of free and forced EEWs propagating on an ambient flow comprising a laterally confined baroclinic zone. It is shown that the dispersion properties of the free EEWs modes are influenced significantly both by the zone’s baroclinicity extremum and by key features that are akin to those of cold and warm fronts. In particular the larger-scale waves are nondispersive and a local wave-packet can retain coherency, the leading modes on a pseudo-cold front possess a phase speed related to the baroclinicity extremum, whereas waves on a pseudo-warm front propagate in the reverse direction. Also theoretical considerations demonstrate that forced modes can undergo resonant secular growth. It is further shown that transient or sustained forcing of a front by an upper-tropospheric potential vorticity anomaly (sic. short-wave trough) can serve to instigate features akin to frontal wave-trains and type-B cyclogenesis. More generally the study hints at the significance for NWP of a front’s structure and its dispersion properties, and that an element of predictability is introduced by the latter features due to dynamical scale selection.

Cutoff low over the southeastern Pacific Ocean: a case study

Cutoff lows (COLs) are infrequent events in the tropics that can cause extreme rainfall, flash flooding and landslides in arid areas, such as western South America. In this study, the life cycle of a COL in the southeastern Pacific at the beginning of April 2012 was analysed using the ERA-Interim reanalysis dataset. This paper examines: (1) the precursor flow evolution prior to the COL, its development and dissipation by applying the quasi-geostrophic and vorticity equations; and (2) the influence of the COL in the heavy precipitation events over the western Peruvian Andes. During April 2012, the highest amount of precipitation was recorded in Chosica (850 masl) with 37 mm on 5 April. Days prior to the formation of the COL, a subtropical trough deepened by the amplification of a ridge over the tropical Pacific and the incursion of cold air from medium and low levels into the trough. The strong cyclonic vorticity advection was intensified by a short-wave trough embedded inside a long-wave one that strengthened the system on 5 April 2012. In the dissipation stage, warm vertical advection predominated, resulting in the reabsorption of the COL by a new trough. Understanding the behaviour COL systems is important for reducing the impact of these extreme weather events on lives and infrastructure in densely populated areas.

A kinetic energy budget on the severe wind production that causes a serious state grid failure in Southern Xinjiang China

AbstractBased on the European Centre for Medium‐Range Weather Forecasts (ECMWF) ERA5 reanalysis data, in this study, formation mechanisms of a severe windstorm that caused successive trippings of the transmission lines in Southern Xinjiang were investigated. The strong windstorm occurred within a lower‐tropospheric warm region due to adiabatic heating of the descending motions ahead of a shortwave trough in the westerly wind (the blocking effects of high mountain was a key reason for the strong descending motions). The kinetic energy (KE) budget indicates two typically different stages appeared in the variation of the windstorm. The former stage showed a rapid wind KE enhancement in the lower troposphere. The KE increase was mainly governed by the downward stretching of high KE (i.e., downward momentum transportation) from the middle troposphere (rather than from the upper‐level jet) and the KE production due to the work on rotational wind by the pressure gradient force. The latter stage showed a rapid KE decrease mainly due to the transport of KE by the rotational wind and the pressure gradient force's negative work on the rotational wind. In contrast, the vertical advection of KE still acted as transporting high KE from middle troposphere to lower troposphere, which resisted the KE reduce at the lower levels.

Nonclassic Evolution of a Cold-Frontal System across the Western United States during the Intermountain Precipitation Experiment (IPEX)

Abstract A cold-frontal passage through northern Utah was studied using observations collected during intensive observing period 4 of the Intermountain Precipitation Experiment (IPEX) on 14–15 February 2000. To illustrate some of its nonclassic characteristics, its origins are considered. The front developed following the landfall of two surface features on the Pacific coast (hereafter, the cold-frontal system). The first feature was a surface pressure trough and wind shift associated with a band of precipitation and rope cloud with little, if any, surface baroclinicity. The second, which made landfall 4 h later, was a wind shift associated with weaker precipitation that possessed a weak temperature drop at landfall (1°C in 9 h), but developed a stronger temperature drop as it moved inland over central California (4°–6°C in 9 h). As the first feature moved into the Great Basin, surface temperatures ahead of the trough increased due to downslope flow and daytime heating, whereas temperatures behind the trough decreased as precipitation cooled the near-surface air. Coupled with confluence in the lee of the Sierra Nevada, this trough developed into the principal baroclinic zone of the cold-frontal system (8°C in less than an hour), whereas the temperature drop with the second feature weakened further. The motion of the surface pressure trough was faster than the posttrough surface winds and was tied to the motion of the short-wave trough aloft. This case, along with previously published cases in the Intermountain West, challenges the traditional conceptual model of cold-frontal terminology, structure, and evolution.