Short-term Survival Outcomes Research Articles

Association of neutrophil-percentage-to-albumin ratio with mortality in cardiovascular disease patients complicating abnormal glucose metabolism

Abstract Background Cardiovascular disease (CVD) patients complicated with abnormal glucose metabolism are at especially higher risk of cardiovascular mortality. Therefore, it is critical to identify and manage CVD patients complicated with abnormal glucose metabolism at higher risk of mortality to improve the overall prognosis of such population. Evidence regarding neutrophil-percentage-to-albumin ratio (NPAR) and survival outcomes in CVD patients complicated with abnormal glucose metabolism remains scarce. Purpose To prospectively evaluate the association of NPAR with cardiovascular and all-cause mortality in CVD patients complicating abnormal glucose metabolism. Methods This study included 3,897 CVD patients with diabetes or pre-diabetes from the National Health and Nutrition Examination Survey (NHANES, 1999-2018). Mortality status was determined by access to NHANES public-use linked mortality files. Multivariate Cox proportional hazards regression analysis, threshold effect analysis, and stratified analysis were performed to examine the association of NPAR with cardiovascular and all-cause mortality. The prognostic value of NPAR was further assessed by time-dependent receiver operating characteristic (ROC) curve analysis. Results During a median follow-up period of 76 months, there were 703 cardiovascular deaths and 1,727 all-cause deaths. After adjusting for confounders, NPAR was positively nonlinear associated with cardiovascular and all-cause mortality. Furthermore, the thresholds of NPAR were identified for cardiovascular and all-cause mortality as 14.10 and 14.49, respectively. When the NPAR exceeded the thresholds, a 1-unit increase of NPAR was associated with a 16% and 18% greater hazard ratio (HR) for cardiovascular (HR = 1.16, 95% confidence interval (CI) = 1.08–1.23, P < 0.001) and all-cause mortality (HR = 1.18, 95% CI = 1.13–1.22, P < 0.001), respectively. The time-dependent ROC curve analysis showed that the NPAR had moderate prognostic value and outperformed the neutrophil-to-lymphocyte ratio for predicting short-term survival outcomes. Conclusions The NPAR is a superior predictor of survival outcomes in CVD patients complicated with abnormal glucose metabolism. The thresholds of 14.10 and 14.49 for cardiovascular and all-cause mortality, respectively.

Short-term outcomes of 47 selective laparoscopic lymph node dissection for rectal cancer: A retrospective study.

This study aims to analyze the safety, feasibility, and short-term oncology outcomes of selective laparoscope lateral lymph node dissection (LLND) with total mesorectal excision surgery. Between December 2019 and May 2023, LLND with total mesorectal excision surgery was performed in 47 selected patients with advanced rectal cancer. Surgical complications and 2-year oncology survival outcomes were analyzed in the study. All 47 procedures were technically successful without converting conversion to open surgery. The mean operation time was 200.6 minutes (135-321 minutes), and the mean estimated blood loss was 92.9 mL (range 10-2000 mL). The most common postoperative complications were anastomotic (8.5%, n = 4), ileus (6.4%, n = 3), and chyle leakage (4.3%, n = 2). Lateral pelvic lymph node metastases were found in 19 (40.4%) patients. When divided into lateral pelvic lymph node positive and negative groups, there was no significant impact on overall survival (94.4% vs 100%, Log-rank P = .596) and local recurrence-free survival (LFRS) (76.7% vs 89.6%, Log-rank P = .210), except disease-free survival (DFS) (58.3% vs 90.2%, Log-rank P = .005). Subgroup analysis showed similar short-term survival outcomes between the pN+ group and the internal iliac metastasis group (Log-rank P of overall survival, LFRS, and DFS were all ˃.05). LRFS and DFS in the obturator or external iliac metastasis group were worse than those in the internal iliac metastasis group when the follow-up time was extended (Log-rank P of LFRS and DFS were .05 and .063). Selective laparoscopy LLND for rectal cancer is safety and feasibility, and its complications are manageable. Oncology survival outcomes for lateral pelvic lymph node metastases limited to the internal iliac are similar to the pN+ stage; therefore, it should be treated positively.

Optimal survival analyses with prevalent and incident patients.

Period-prevalent cohorts are often used for their cost-saving potential in epidemiological studies of survival outcomes. Under this design, prevalent patients allow for evaluations of long-term survival outcomes without the need for long follow-up, whereas incident patients allow for evaluations of short-term survival outcomes without the issue of left-truncation. In most period-prevalent survival analyses from the existing literature, patients have been recruited to achieve an overall sample size, with little attention given to the relative frequencies of prevalent and incident patients and their statistical implications. Furthermore, there are no existing methods available to rigorously quantify the impact of these relative frequencies on estimation and inference and incorporate this information into study design strategies. To address these gaps, we develop an approach to identify the optimal mix of prevalent and incident patients that maximizes precision over the entire estimated survival curve, subject to a flexible weighting scheme. In addition, we prove that inference based on the weighted log-rank test or Cox proportional hazards model is most powerful with an entirely prevalent or incident cohort, and we derive theoretical formulas to determine the optimal choice. Simulations confirm the validity of the proposed optimization criteria and show that substantial efficiency gains can be achieved by recruiting the optimal mix of prevalent and incident patients. The proposed methods are applied to assess waitlist outcomes among kidney transplant candidates.

Validation of MELD3.0 in 2 centers from different continents.

MELD3.0 has been proposed to stratify patients on the liver transplant waiting list (WL) to reduce the historical disadvantage of women in accessing liver transplant. Our aim was to validate MELD3.0 in 2 unique populations. This study is a 2-center retrospective cohort study from Toronto, Canada, and Valencia, Spain, of all adults added to the liver transplant WL between 2015 and 2019. Listing indications whose short-term survival outcome is not adequately captured by the MELD score were excluded. All patients analyzed had a minimum follow-up of 3 months after inclusion in the WL. Six hundred nineteen patients were included; 61% were male, with a mean age of 56 years. Mean MELD at inclusion was 18.00 ± 6.88, Model for End-Stage Liver Disease Sodium (MELDNa) 19.78 ± 7.00, and MELD3.0 20.25 ± 7.22. AUC to predict 90-day mortality on the WL was 0.879 (95% CI: 0.820, 0.939) for MELD, 0.921 (95% CI: 0.876, 0.967) for MELDNa, and 0.930 (95% CI: 0.888, 0.973) for MELD3.0. MELDNa and MELD3.0 were better predictors than MELD (p = 0.055 and p = 0.024, respectively), but MELD3.0 was not statistically superior to MELDNa (p = 0.144). The same was true when stratified by sex, although the difference between MELD3.0 and MELD was only significant for women (p = 0.032), while no statistical significance was found in either sex when compared with MELDNa. In women, AUC was 0.835 (95% CI: 0.744, 0.926) for MELD, 0.873 (95% CI: 0.785, 0.961) for MELDNa, and 0.886 (95% CI: 0.803, 0.970) for MELD3.0; differences for the comparison between AUC in women versus men for all 3 scores were nonsignificant. Compared to MELD, MELD3.0 was able to reclassify 146 patients (24%), the majority of whom belonged to the MELD 10-19 interval. Compared to MELDNa, it reclassified 68 patients (11%), most of them in the MELDNa 20-29 category. MELD3.0 has been validated in centers with significant heterogeneity and offers the highest mortality prediction for women on the WL without disadvantaging men. However, in these cohorts, it was not superior to MELDNa.

Efficacy and survival outcome of allogeneic stem-cell transplantation in multiple myeloma: meta-analysis in the recent 10 years.

Allogeneic hematopoietic cell transplantation (alloHCT) possessed direct cytotoxicity and graft-versus-multiple myeloma effect (GvMM). Growing trials have shown survival benefits of performing alloHCT in both newly diagnosed and relapsed MM. We aimed to provide a comprehensive analysis in the recent 10 years to verify the efficacy and survival outcome of alloHCT in MM patients. A total of 61 studies which provide data between 14/04/2013 and 14/04/2023 and a total of 15,294 data from MM patients who had undergone alloSCT were included in our study. The best response rates (CR, VGPR, PR) and survival outcomes (1-, 2-, 3-,5-, and 10-year OS, PFS, NRM) were assessed. We further conducted meta-analysis in the NDMM/frontline setting and RRMM/salvage setting independently. The pooled estimate CR, VGPR, and PR rates were 0.45, 0.21, and 0.24, respectively. The pooled estimates of 1-, 2-, 3-, 5-, and 10-year OS were 0.69, 0.57, 0.45, 0.45, and 0.36, respectively; the pooled estimates of 1-, 2-, 3-, 5-, and 10-year PFS were 0.47, 0.35, 0.24, 0.25, and 0.28, respectively; and the pooled estimates of 1-, 2-, 3-, 5-, and 10-year NRM were 0.16, 0.21, 0.16, 0.20, and 0.15, respectively. In the NDMM/upfront setting, the pooled estimate CR rate was 0.54, and those for 5-year OS, PFS, and NRM were 0.69, 0.40, and 0.11, respectively. In a relapsed setting, the pooled estimate CR rate was 0.31, and those for 5-year OS, PFS, and NRM were 0.24, 0.10, and 0.15, respectively. Our results showed constant OS, PFS, and NRM from the third year onwards till the 10th year, suggesting that alloSCT has sustained survival benefits. Good response rate and promising survival outcome were observed in the NDMM/ frontline setting. Although comparing with other treatments, alloSCT had a lower response rate and poorer short-term survival outcome, long-term follow-up could reveal survival benefits of alloSCT in MM patients.

Laparoscopic versus open pancreaticoduodenectomy: Long-term outcome from a tertiary care centre.

Laparoscopic Whipple's pancreaticoduodenectomy (WPD) is one of the most advanced minimally invasive procedures. In recent years, with advancements in minimally invasive surgery, laparoscopic WPD has been increasingly adopted as a safe and feasible technique. This study aims to compare the short-term and long-term outcomes of laparoscopic WPD to open WPD in resectable ampullary, periampullary and head of pancreas malignancies. A retrospective analysis of a prospectively maintained database of patients who underwent WPD from January 2015 to January 2021 at the department of surgical gastroenterology in a tertiary care medical college hospital was conducted. Patient demographics and pre-operative details, intraoperative parameters (operating time and blood loss), post-operative length of hospital stay, median intensive care unit (ICU) stay, time to resume oral diet, post-operative complications, interventional procedures, mortality, 3-year survival, 3 year recurrence-free survival and overall survival were analysed. Forty-two patients underwent WPD during our study period; 14 patients underwent laparoscopic WPD and 28 patients underwent open WPD. None required conversion. The majority of the patients had periampullary carcinoma in both the groups. Laparoscopic WPD showed a trend towards shorter ICU stays, hospital stays and surgical site infections (SSIs) compared to open WPD. The median operating time was significantly longer in the laparoscopic WPD group (380 min) compared to the open group (285 min). However, median blood loss was significantly lower in the laparoscopic group (250 mL vs. 300 mL). The pancreas-specific post-operative complications like delayed gastric emptying, post-operative pancreatic fistula or post-operative pancreatic haemorrhage did not differ significantly between the groups. All patients had R0 resection and the mean lymph node yield was comparable between the two groups (14.92 vs. 13.42). The reoperation rate or mortality rate did not show any statistical significance between the two groups. The overall survival was 46 months in the open group and 48 months in the laparoscopic group. Three-year survival was 74.1% in the open WPD group and 69.2% in the laparoscopic group. Three-year recurrence-free survival was 55.5% in the open group and 69.23% in the laparoscopic group. Laparoscopic WPD appears to be safe and feasible, with similar short-term and long-term survival outcomes. With a trend favouring laparoscopic WPD in terms of blood loss, hospital and ICU stay and post-operative SSIs, it should be offered to selected patients when the expertise is available.

Early U.S. Heart Transplant ExperienceWith Normothermic RegionalPerfusion Following Donation After Circulatory Death.

Heart transplantation following donation after circulatory death (DCD HT) has short-term survival outcomes comparable to donation after brain death and has led to a significant increase in transplantation volume. The U.S. experience with the normothermic regional perfusion (NRP) DCD HT procurement method has not been evaluated. The aim of this study was to examine short-term outcomes associated with NRP vs direct procurement and perfusion (DPP) methods used during DCD HT in the United States. The UNOS (United Network for Organ Sharing) registry was queried for all adult (age≥18 years) heart recipients and corresponding donors of controlled DCD HT from January 2019-December 2023. Transplantations were stratified by NRP or DPP reperfusion methods. The primary outcome was overall survival. A total of 918 heart donors and recipients met inclusion criteria, including 622 (68%) DPP and 296 (32%) NRP transplantations. Unadjusted Kaplan-Meier survival analysis demonstrated improved short-term survival associated with NRP (log-rank P = 0.005). After adjustment, DCD HT with NRP was independently associated with improved survival (HR: 0.39 [95%CI: 0.22-0.70]; P = 0.002). A propensity-matched analysis similarly demonstrated a cumulative survival benefit to NRP (log-rank P = 0.006). In this largest national series of DCD HT procurement perfusion strategies, NRP is associated with improved short-term survival as compared with DPP. This study evaluates the U.S. early experience with DCD HT, and longer-term follow-up data are needed to further assess the impact of DPP and NRP methods on post-heart transplantation outcomes.

Comparison of immunochemotherapy and chemotherapy alone in conversion therapy for locally advanced unresectable esophageal squamous cell carcinoma.

The clinical value of preoperative immunochemotherapy and simple chemotherapy induction regimen in the conversion therapy of locally advanced unresectable esophageal squamous cell carcinoma (ESCC) is still unclear. Retrospective analysis was conducted on patients with unresectable cT4b stage ESCC who underwent conversion surgery in our hospital from January 2020 to December 2022. According to the preoperative induction treatment plan, they were divided into induction immunochemotherapy group (iICT group) and induction chemotherapy group (iCT group). The conversion surgery rate, R0 resection rate, radiological and pathological tumor responses, safety, and short-term survival outcomes were analyzed. The results showed that a total of 199 patients with cT4b locally advanced unresectable ESCC who underwent preoperative induction therapy were included in this study. Among them, there were 64 cases (32.2%) in the iICT group, 135 cases (67.8%) in the iCT group. There was a statistically significant difference in objective response rate (73.5% vs 48.9%) and conversion surgery rate (81.3% vs 66.7%), between the iICT and iCT groups (P=0.001 and P=0.019). Among the two groups of patients who underwent surgery, there were statistically significant differences in R0 resection rate (94.2% vs 82.2%) and pathological complete remission rate (23.1% vs 6.7%) between the iICT and iCT groups (P=0.043 and P=0.004). And there was no statistically significant difference in the incidence of grade 3 and above between two groups (P=0.928). The 2-year EFS of the iICT group and iCT group were 76.4% and 42.4%, respectively, with statistically significant differences (P=0.006). Compared with simple chemotherapy, the combination of PD-1 inhibitors and chemotherapy can achieve better conversion surgery rate, tumor response and event-free survival in the conversion therapy of locally advanced unresectable ESCC.

Short-term and long-term survival outcomes in patients with invasive lobular carcinoma vs. invasive ductal carcinoma of the breast.

e12564 Background: Invasive lobular carcinoma (ILC) accounts for 10% of all invasive breast cancer and has distinct histological and biological features compared to the most common breast cancer histological subtype, invasive ductal carcinoma (IDC). ILC is more endocrine sensitive and chemotherapy resistant than IDC and has a different metastatic pattern. There is lack of conclusive data on the differences in survival outcomes between ILC and IDC. We aimed to assess the short-term and long-term survival outcomes in patients with ILC and IDC in a large population database. Methods: This is a retrospective, population-based study using data from the Surveillance, Epidemiology, and End Results database. We included women > 18 years with stage I-III ILC or IDC diagnosed from 1992-2020. Multivariable logistic regression was used to assess factors associated with different treatment modalities in patients with IDC vs. ILC. We estimated breast cancer-specific survival (BCSS) using Kaplan-Meier methods and their survival rates were compared using the log-rank test. We analyzed BCSS at different time points using a cox regression model with time-varying coefficients. Results: 343,397 patients with IDC and 39,859 patients with ILC were included in this study. Patients with ILC were older (63.0 ± 12.5 years vs. 59.2 ± 13.5 years, p<0.001). There were more non-Hispanic white patients with ILC vs. IDC (76% vs. 67%, p<0.001). Patients with ILC had more advanced disease: more stage III disease (16% vs. 11%, p<0.001), more T3-T4 disease (15% vs. 6%, p<0.001), and more N2-N3 disease (12% vs. 9%, p<0.001). Patients with ILC also had a higher frequency of hormone receptor positive disease (97% vs. 81%, p<0.001). Fewer patients with ILC had grade 3-4 tumors (9% vs. 36%, p<0.001). Our multivariate analysis showed that compared to patients with IDC, patients with ILC were more likely to undergo mastectomy (OR=1.85, p < 0.001) and radiation (OR=1.20, p<0.001), but less likely to receive chemotherapy (OR= 0.92, p<0.001). After adjusting for clinicopathological features, treatment modalities, and socioeconomic variables; compared to patients with IDC, patients with ILC had better BCSS in the first five years (HR=0.71, p <0.001), but worse BCSS in later years (HR=1.30, p<0.001 in year 6-10; HR=1.75, p<0.001 in year 11-15; HR=2.17, p<0.001 in year 16-20). Annual hazard models show that IDC peaked at recurrence in the first 5 years after diagnoses, and the hazard rate declines gradually after that. ILC peaked at recurrence in the first 5 years after diagnosis with minimal decrease in hazard rates after that. Conclusions: BCSS of patients with ILC is better in early years but worse in later years compared to patients with IDC. Future studies are needed to identify predictors of late relapses in ILC, and novel therapeutic strategies are required for these patients.

Evaluation of models to predict prognosis in patients with advanced hepatocellular carcinoma treated with TACE combined with apatinib.

The HAP, Six-and-Twelve, Up to Seven, and ALBI scores have been substantiated as reliable prognostic markers in patients presenting with intermediate and advanced hepatocellular carcinoma (HCC) undergoing transarterial chemoembolization (TACE) treatment. Given this premise, our research aims to assess the predictive efficacy of these models in patients with intermediate and advanced HCC receiving a combination of TACE and Apatinib. Additionally, we have conducted a meticulous comparative analysis of these four scoring systems to discern their respective predictive capacities and efficacies in combined therapy. Performing a retrospective analysis on the clinical data from 200 patients with intermediate and advanced HCC, we studied those who received TACE combined with Apatinib at the First Affiliated Hospital of the University of Science and Technology of China between June 2018 and December 2022. To identify the factors affecting survival, the study performed univariate and multivariate Cox regression analyses, with calculations of four different scores: HAP, Six-and-Twelve, Up to Seven, and ALBI. Lastly, Harrell's C-index was employed to compare the prognostic abilities of these scores. Cox proportional hazards model results revealed that the ALBI score, presence of portal vein tumor thrombus (PVTT, )and tumor size are independent determinants of prognostic survival. The Kaplan-Meier analyses showed significant differences in survival rates among patients classified by the HAP, Six-and-Twelve, Up to Seven, and ALBI scoring methods. Of the evaluated systems, the HAP scoring demonstrated greater prognostic precision, with a Harrell's C-index of 0.742, surpassing the alternative models (P < 0.05). In addition, an analysis of the area under the AU-ROC curve confirms the remarkable superiority of the HAP score in predicting short-term survival outcomes. Our study confirms the predictive value of HAP, Six-and-Twelve, Up to Seven, and ALBI scores in intermediate to advanced Hepatocellular Carcinoma (HCC) patients receiving combined Transarterial Chemoembolization (TACE) and Apatinib therapy. Notably, the HAP model excels in predicting outcomes for this specific HCC subgroup.

Outcomes of Operated Cases of Central Nervous System Metastases at a Tertiary Cancer Hospital – An Analysis

Abstract Background: Recent advances in the treatment have increased the survival of patients with common cancers. As a result, the incidence of symptomatic central nervous system (CNS) metastases has increased over time. Although systemic therapies remain the mainstay of metastatic cancers, surgical treatment is often required for progressive neurological deficits and to buy time for other modalities to be effective. The present retrospective study aimed to analyze various demographic, neurological, and short-term survival outcomes among operated cases of symptomatic CNS metastases. Materials and Methods: All surgically treated symptomatic brain and spine metastasis patients between August 2018 and March 2022 were included in the study. Patients who underwent procedures for primary tumors of the brain and spine were excluded. The details of demographic and clinical profile, neurological data, surgical treatment, and short-term survival data were retrieved from hospital medical records and analyzed. Patients with motor deficits (power grade 3/5 or less) were analyzed to look for improvement in motor deficits after surgery. Results: The first 100 operated cases of symptomatic CNS metastases were reviewed. The mean age of presentation was 46.42 years (females – 44.28, males – 49.13). Breast malignancy was the most common source of primary overall (29%) and lung malignancy (15%) was second most common. A total of 53 brain surgeries and 47 spine surgeries were performed. Preoperative motor deficits were seen more commonly among spine metastases (30/47) than brain metastases (17/53) patients. Around 64% of patients who presented with neurological deficits (motor deficits) had improvement postsurgery. Such improvement from deficits was observed more in patients with spine metastases (23/30; 76.7%) than brain metastases (7/17; 41.2%). Conclusion: Neurosurgery has an important role in the management of CNS metastases, and timely surgical intervention in a selected group of symptomatic CNS metastases can improve the quality of life of the patients.

Short-term and long-term oncologic outcomes of self-expandable metallic stent compared with tube decompression for obstructive colorectal cancer: a systematic review and meta-analysis.

Patients with obstructive colorectal cancer managed by emergency surgery show high morbidity, mortality, and stoma formation rates. Decompression modalities, including the self-expandable metallic stent (SEMS) and tube drainage (TD), have been used to improve surgical outcomes. However, there have been limited studies comparing the 2 modalities. We performed a meta-analysis on short- and long-term outcomes between SEMS and TD. PubMed, EMBASE, Cochrane Library, and Google Scholar were searched. Data were pooled, and the overall effect size was calculated using random effect models. Outcome measures were perioperative short-term and 3-year survival outcomes. We included 20 nonrandomized studies that examined 2,047 patients in the meta-analysis. The meta-analysis showed SEMS had better short-term outcomes in clinical success rate, decompression-related complications, laparoscopic surgery rate, stoma formation rate, and postoperative complication rate with a relative risk (RR) of 0.36 (95% confidence interval [CI], 0.24-0.54; I2 = 20%), 0.32 (95% CI, 0.20-0.50; I2 = 0%), 0.47 (95% CI, 0.34-0.66; I2 = 87%), 0.34 (95% CI, 0.24-0.49; I2 = 52%), and 0.70 (95% CI, 0.54-0.89, I2 = 28%), respectively. However, there was no significant difference between the 2 groups in 3-year overall survival (RR, 0.99; 95% CI, 0.77-1.27; I2 = 0%). Although the long-term oncologic impact of SEMS is still unclear compared with TD, the results of this meta-analysis may suggest that SEMS insertion can be performed more successfully and safely and may have benefits for short-term perioperative outcomes compared with TD. Further studies are warranted to provide more definitive survival results.

SOX combined with sintilimab versus SOX alone in the perioperative management of locally advanced gastric cancer: a propensity score–matched analysis

ObjectivesTo evaluate the efficacy of SOX combined with a programmed cell death protein-1 (PD-1) inhibitor compared with SOX alone in the perioperative management of locally advanced gastric cancer and to explore biomarkers that may predict response to anti-PD-1 therapy.MethodsData of patients with clinical stage T3–4aN0–3M0 (IIb–III) gastric cancer were reviewed to create a primary database. Patients treated with perioperative SOX combined with sintilimab were included in Group A, while those treated with SOX alone were included in Group B. After one-to-one propensity score matching, pathological response and short-term survival outcomes were compared between the two groups. In addition, potential efficacy-related biomarkers were analyzed.ResultsBetween January 2018 and December 2022, a total of 150 patients were included in the analysis, with 75 patients in each group. The rates of pathological complete response (21.3% vs. 4.0%; P = 0.001) and major pathological response (45.3% vs. 22.7%; P = 0.003) in Group A were statistically higher than those in Group B. There was no significant difference in 1-year overall survival (92.8% vs. 92.0%; P = 0.392) and disease-free survival (88.9% vs. 88.0%; P = 0.357) between the two groups. Subgroup analysis of Group A showed that the pathological complete response (40.6% vs. 8.6%; P = 0.002) and major pathological response (65.6% vs. 28.6%; P = 0.002) rates were significantly higher in programmed death ligand-1-positive patients with a combined positive score of ≥ 5. A pathological complete response was achieved in 42.9% patients (3/7) with mismatch repair deficiency. For the two patients confirmed as Epstein-Barr virus-positive, one patient achieved a pathological complete response and the other achieved a major pathological response.ConclusionsThe adoption of SOX combined with a PD-1 inhibitor may improve the pathological response rate of patients with locally advanced gastric cancer, especially those with programmed death ligand-1 combined positive score ≥ 5, Epstein–Barr virus-positivity and mismatch repair deficiency. However, further prospective studies are still warranted to confirm the long-term survival benefit.

Kidney Donation After Circulatory Death Using Thoracoabdominal Normothermic Regional Perfusion: The Largest Report of the United States Experience.

Thoracoabdominal normothermic regional perfusion (TA-NRP) has been increasingly used for donation after circulatory death (DCD) procurements in the United States. We present the largest report of outcomes of kidney transplants performed using DCD donor grafts perfused with TA-NRP. Adult DCD kidney transplants between 2020 and 2022 in the United Network for Organ Sharing database were included. Donors with ≥50 min between asystole and aortic cross-clamp time in which the heart was also transplanted were considered TA-NRP donors. All other donors were considered direct recovery donors. Multivariable regressions were used to assess delayed graft function, as well as posttransplant survival and all-cause graft failure at 30, 90, and 180 d. A propensity-matched analysis of cohorts matched on donor Kidney Donor Profile Index was performed. Of the 16 140 total DCD kidney transplants performed during the study period, 306 (1.9%) used TA-NRP. TA-NRP donors were younger ( P < 0.001) and had lower Kidney Donor Profile Index ( P < 0.001) compared with direct recovery donors. Recipients receiving grafts recovered using TA-NRP were younger ( P < 0.001) and more likely to be blood group O ( P < 0.001). Transplants using TA-NRP had lower likelihood of delayed graft function (adjusted odds ratio 0.22 [95% confidence interval, 0.15-0.31], P < 0.001) but similar 180-d survival ( P = 0.8) and all-cause graft failure ( P = 0.3) as transplants using direct recovery grafts. These inferences were unchanged on propensity-matched analysis. Our results demonstrate that kidney transplants using TA-NRP DCD allografts have positive short-term mortality and graft survival outcomes, with significantly decreased rates of delayed graft function compared with direct recovery DCD grafts.

Laparoscopic versus open radical hysterectomy in FIGO 2018 early-stage cervical adenocarcinoma: Long-term survival outcomes after propensity score matching.

To compare the long-term survival outcomes of laparoscopic radical hysterectomy (LRH) and open radical hysterectomy (ORH) in International Federation of Gynecology and Obstetrics (FIGO) 2018 early-stage cervical adenocarcinoma. Based on the clinical diagnosis and treatment for cervical cancer in mainland China (Four C) database, the medical records of 1098 patients with FIGO 2018 early-stage cervical adenocarcinoma were retrospectively reviewed. Long-term and short-term survival outcomes of the two groups were compared using a multivariate Cox regression model and the log-rank method in the whole study population and after propensity score matching. There was no difference in disease-free survival (hazard ratio [HR] 0.921, 95% confidence interval [CI]: 0.532-1.595, p = 0.770) and overall survival (HR 1.168, 95% CI: 0.526-2.592, p = 0.702) between LRH (n = 468) and ORH (n = 468) in the risk-adjusted analysis. LRH resulted in significantly lower estimated blood loss (342.7 vs. 157.5 mL, p < 0.001) and shorter postoperative anal exhaust time (2.8 vs. 2.5 days, p < 0.001) in risk-adjusted analysis. The overall rates of intraoperative complications (2.4% vs. 4.3%, p = 0.100) and postoperative complications (7.5% vs. 6.2%, p = 0.437) showed no significant difference between the two groups. However, the LRH group had a significantly higher incidence of ureter injury (0.4% vs. 2.4%, p = 0.012) and great vessel injury (0.0% vs. 0.9%, p = 0.045) compared to the other group. No statistical variation in the site of recurrence was observed between the two groups (p = 0.613). LRH has comparable survival outcomes with ORH and was associated with earlier recovery in FIGO 2018 early-stage adenocarcinoma of the uterine cervix. However, the LRH group had higher risk of ureter injury and great vessel injury.

Clinical findings, surgical techniques, prognostic factors for short-term survival and long-term outcome in horses with acquired inguinal hernias: Ninety-eight cases (2005-2020).

To report findings, outcome and determine variables associated with survival in horses with acquired inguinal hernia (AIH). Retrospective study. A total of 98 cases in 97 horses. The medical records (2005-2020) of horses diagnosed with AIH were reviewed. Retrieved data included signalment, history, clinical variables, surgical aspects, postoperative complications, and short- and long-term outcomes. Logistic regression analyses were used to determine factors associated with short-term survival (p < .05). Manual reduction was attempted in a third of the cases (32/98, 33%) and emergency surgery to reduce the hernia was performed in 64 of 98 (65%) cases. Concurrent small intestinal (SI) volvulus was identified in 26 (26/98, 27%) cases. Castration was the most common technique used to prevent recurrence (64/94, 68%). Overall AIH recurrence rate was 11% (11/98). A total of 59 (59/98, 60%) cases survived to hospital discharge and 49 of 52 (94%) cases were still alive after 12 months. Cases admitted within 10 h of colic signs had increased odds of survival (72%) compared to those admitted after 10 h (26%; p < .001). Draft breeds (p = .021), high heart rate on admission (p = .001) and concurrent SI volvulus (p = .048) were associated with reduced survival to hospital discharge. Horses with AIH had a higher risk of concurrent SI volvulus and lower survival than reported. Draft breeds, high heart rate on admission and concurrent SI volvulus were associated with reduced short-term survival. The results of this study should help in prognostication for horses with AIH.

255. EARLY COST-EFFECTIVENESS MODELLING STUDY COMPARING MINIMALLY INVASIVE TRANSCERVICAL ESOPHAGECTOMY (MICE) AND TRANSTHORACIC MINIMALLY INVASIVE ESOPHAGECTOMY (TMIE) IN OESOPHAGEAL CANCER PATIENTS

Abstract Introduction Minimally Invasive transCervical Esophagectomy (MICE) is a novel transcervical approach to esophagectomy with the possible advantage of decreased pulmonary complications. MICE is in an early stage of introduction in patients which are treated with the McKeown procedure in regular practice. The aim of this study was to provide insight in the potential cost-effectiveness of MICE and its sensitivity to different complications. Methods A decision tree modelled the postoperative outcomes of recurrent laryngeal nerve paresis, anastomotic leakage, pulmonary complications and 30-day mortality. Subsequently, we developed a Markov state transition model to calculate the effects of these input parameters on health outcomes (QALYs) and costs. The results were analysed with a sensitivity analysis and a scenario analysis of a clinical trial of a similar procedure. Results Preventing complications seemed to be effective in reducing hospital costs, but resulted in a limited improvement of health outcomes. Improving 30-day survival demonstrated to have a larger effect on health outcomes. A scenario analysis of data from a clinical trial studying similar procedures resulted in a cost reduction of €2974 and an increase of 0.016 QALYs per patient. Conclusion Reduced healthcare costs and improved health outcomes from reducing complications and 30-day mortality could offset the increased cost of MICE and lead to a cost-effective innovation. We advise close monitoring of short and long term survival outcomes in future studies.

Machine Learning-Based Model Helps to Decide which Patients May Benefit from Pancreatoduodenectomy

Pancreatic ductal adenocarcinoma is an invasive tumor with similar incidence and mortality rates. Pancreaticoduodenectomy has morbidity and mortality rates of up to 60% and 5%, respectively. The purpose of our study was to assess preoperative features contributing to unfavorable 1-year survival prognosis. Study Design: Retrospective, single-center study evaluating the impact of preoperative features on short-term survival outcomes in head PDAC patients. Forty-four prior features of 172 patients were tested using different supervised machine learning models. Patient records were randomly divided into training and validation sets (80–20%, respectively), and model performance was assessed by area under curve (AUC) and classification accuracy (CA). Additionally, 33 patients were included as an independent revalidation or holdout dataset group. Results: Eleven relevant features were identified: age, sex, Ca-19-9, jaundice, ERCP with biliary stent, neutrophils, lymphocytes, lymphocyte/neutrophil ratio, neoadjuvant treatment, imaging tumor size, and ASA. Tree regression (tree model) and logistic regression (LR) performed better than the other tested models. The tree model had an AUC = 0.92 and CA = 0.85. LR had an AUC = 0.74 and CA = 0.78, allowing the development of a nomogram based on absolute feature significance. The best performance model was the tree model which allows us to have a decision tree to help clinical decisions. Discussion and conclusions: Based only on preoperative data, it was possible to predict 1-year survival (91.5% vs. 78.1% alive and 70.9% vs. 76.6% deceased for the tree model and LR, respectively). These results contribute to informed decision-making in the selection of which patients with PDAC can benefit from pancreatoduodenectomy. A machine learning algorithm was developed for the recognition of unfavorable 1-year survival prognosis in patients with pancreatic ductal adenocarcinoma. This will contribute to the identification of patients who would benefit from pancreatoduodenectomy. In our cohort, the tree regression model had an AUC = 0.92 and CA = 0.85, whereas the logistic regression had an AUC = 0.74 and CA = 0.78. To further inform decision-making, a decision tree based on tree regression was developed.

Long-term outcomes following exclusive use of endovascular aortic repair for ruptured infrarenal abdominal aortic aneurysms.

Long-term outcomes following exclusive use of endovascular aortic repair for ruptured infrarenal abdominal aortic aneurysms.

Culture-Positive and Culture-Negative Empyema After Thoracoscopic Decortication: A Comparison of Short-term and Long-term Outcomes.

Empyema thoracis is a serious infectious disease and is associated with high morbidity and mortality. The perioperative outcomes between culture-positive and culture-negative empyema after thoracoscopic decortication remained controversial, especially since there were no studies that reported the survival outcomes between culture-positive and culture-negative empyema. This single-institute study involved a retrospective analysis. Patients with empyema thoracis who underwent thoracoscopic decortication between January 2012 and December 2021 were included in the study. Patients were grouped into a culture-positive group and a culture-negative group according to culture results obtained no later than 2 weeks after surgery. A total of 1087 patients with empyema received surgery, and 824 were enrolled after exclusion. Among these, 366 patients showed positive culture results and 458 patients showed negative results. Longer intensive care unit stays (11.69 vs 5.64 days, P < .001), longer ventilator usage (24.70 vs 14.01 days, P = .002), and longer postoperative hospital stays (40.83 vs 28.37 days, P < .001) were observed in the culture-positive group. However, there was no significant difference in 30-day mortality between the 2 groups (5.2% in culture negative vs 5.0% in culture positive, P = .913). The 2-year survival was not significantly different between the 2 groups (P = .236). Patients with culture-positive or culture-negative empyema who underwent thoracoscopic decortication showed similar short-term and long-term survival outcomes. A higher risk of death was associated with advanced age, a higher Charlson Comorbidity Index score, phase III empyema, and a cause other than pneumonia.