Abstract Heart failure with mildly reduced ejection fraction (HFmrEF) often represents a movable patients subset that changes its HF category by increasing or reducing EF. Course prediction is challenging due to insufficient evidence to date. We studied multiple newly established parameters in order to find predictors of clinical course of HFmrEF. Methods 135 patients (61 women) 62±5 years with HFmrEF NYHA II-III on GDMT were enrolled. Longitudinal (GLS), circumferential (GCS) and radial strain (GRS), peak LV twist (LVTR) were measured by speckle tracking from apical and short axis views. Left ventricular (LV) global myocardial work (GW) index (GWI) was obtained from pressure-strain loops derived from LV GLS and supine systemic blood pressure measured right before the image acquisition. Then constructive GW (GCW) as the sum of positive work due to myocardial shortening during systole and negative work due to lengthening during isovolumic relaxation, wasted GW (GWW) as energy loss by myocardial lengthening in systole and shortening in isovolumic relaxation and GW efficiency (GWE) as the percentage ratio of constructive work to the sum of constructive work and wasted work were obtained by dedicated software. All parameters were analyzed offline by one experienced specialist. Patients were followed up for 1 year. Results 38 (28%) patients improved EF to the value ≥50%, 31 (23%) reduced EF to ≤40%. Patients with improved EF had significantly higher absolute values of GLS (17.3±2.2 vs 15.8±3.1%, p<0.03), GCS (18.9±2.6 vs 16.1±1.9%, p<0.02), GRS (42.5±7.2% vs 31.3±4.7%, p<0.02), LVT (6.2±2.5° vs 5.3±2.3°, p<0.03), GCW (2253±121 vs 1872±132 mmHg%, p<0.001) and lower GWW (108±7 vs 128±12 mmHg%) compared with patients with later reduced EF. Multivariate analysis showed that lower GCW was associated with EF reduction (HR 0.982, 95% CI 0.969–0.996, p = 0.012). GCW was the powerful predictor of CV events (AUC 0.94) with cut off value of 1495 mmHg% that had 98% sensitivity and 86% specificity. Conclusion LV GCW predicts EF changes in patients with HFmrEF.
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