Range Shifts Research Articles

Traits related to distributional range shifts of marine fishes.

In the context of global change, reviewing the relationships between marine fish traits and their range shifts is required to (1) identify ecological generalizations regarding the influence of traits on range shifts at a global scale and (2) investigate the rationale behind trait inclusion in models describing those relationships. We systematically searched for studies on marine fish assemblages that identified distributional shifts and analyzed the relationship between fish traits and these shifts. We reviewed 29 papers and identified 11 shift type characterizations and 41 traits, noting significant variation in measurement methods and model types used to describe their relationships. We identified global trait redundancies in the relationship between fish traits and latitudinal range shifts. These trends are related to the fishes' latitudinal range, trophic level, water column habitat, body size, size-at-settlement, growth rate, and larval swimming ability. The first four traits, along with fish bottom habitat, biogeographic affinity, diet, and thermal affinity, also showed significant relationships across four ways to characterize horizontal range shifts of fish species. The significance of these traits suggests their relevance in range shifting, regardless of the analyses conducted, biogeographic realm, and range shift type. However, trait redundancies require further consideration, mainly because some traits show opposing relationships in different studies, and important biogeographic research gaps limit global generalizations about the trait-range shift relationship. Half of the studies analyzed provided a rationale for 23 out of 41 traits. We also provide guidelines for future work to better understand the influence of traits on fish range shifts.

Genome Dynamics of Adaptation and Introgression in Neotropical Palms

ABSTRACTAimThe combined influences of demographic dynamics and gene flow on local adaptation in plants is still poorly understood. Here, we used a genome scan approach on three closely related Neotropical palms, Acrocomia aculeata, A. intumescens and A. totai, to identify the evolutionary processes generating shared and lineage‐specific patterns of differentiation and selection across the genomic landscape.LocationAmazonia, Atlantic Forest, Cerrado and Caatinga ecoregions of Brazil.TaxaArecaceae.MethodsWe used target sequence capture and analysis of climatic correlation, detection of selective sweeps, balancing selection, and spatial and non‐spatial models to identify signatures of natural selection and admixture. We also determined temporal dynamics in spatial distribution and demographic changes.ResultsWe found a higher number of lineage‐specific than shared adaptive sites (SNPs) and no evidence of selective sweeps in shared genes, suggesting lineage specific natural selection across species. Further, evidence of balancing selection in several genes was also identified in the three species. Niche‐based and coalescent models suggest that shifts in spatial range during the Quaternary caused overlapping distributions between species, leading to hybridisation between parapatric localities.Main ConclusionsInterspecific hybridisation may have spread both neutral and adaptive SNPs, which may explain the shared adaptive genes between species. Taken together, we show how genomic adaptation can occur despite introgression, through evolutionary processes that likely drive similar patterns of adaptation in other organisms.

Mid-infrared enhanced Raman soliton generation in an erbium-doped ZBLAN with record energy and peak power

The advancement of tunable ultrafast sources in the mid-infrared spectrum would bring about significant progress in various scientific fields. This study suggests a gain-modulation technique to increase the peak power and pulse energy of mid-infrared tunable Raman solitons. By utilizing a high-power 2-2.23 µm Raman soliton pulse as a pump source, mid-infrared Raman solitons within the 2-3.2 µm tuning range can be generated in a segment of Er3+: ZBLAN fiber. Additionally, the introduction of 976 nm pump light into the Er3+: ZBLAN fiber leverages the gain of Er3+ to amplify the frequency shift velocity and pulse energy of the Raman soliton. Consequently, the frequency shift range of the Raman soliton is extended to 3.5 µm, with peak power and pulse energy reaching 0.93 MW and 107 nJ, respectively. These achievements represent the highest peak power and energy levels of Raman solitons generated in mid-infrared fibers to date.

A simulation framework for preclinical proton irradiation workflow

Objective.The integration of proton beamlines with x-ray imaging/irradiation platforms has opened up possibilities for image-guided Bragg peak irradiations in small animals. Such irradiations allow selective targeting of normal tissue substructures and tumours. However, their small size and location pose challenges in designing experiments. This work presents a simulation framework useful for optimizing beamlines, imaging protocols, and design of animal experiments. The usage of the framework is demonstrated, mainly focusing on the imaging part.Approach.The fastCAT toolkit was modified with Monte Carlo (MC)-calculated primary and scatter data of a small animal imager for the simulation of micro-CT scans. The simulated CT of a mini-calibration phantom from fastCAT was validated against a full MC TOPAS CT simulation. A realistic beam model of a preclinical proton facility was obtained from beam transport simulations to create irradiation plans in matRad. Simulated CT images of a digital mouse phantom were generated using single-energy CT (SECT) and dual-energy CT (DECT) protocols and their accuracy in proton stopping power ratio (SPR) estimation and their impact on calculated proton dose distributions in a mouse were evaluated.Main results.The CT numbers from fastCAT agree within 11 HU with TOPAS except for materials at the centre of the phantom. Discrepancies for central inserts are caused by beam hardening issues. The root mean square deviation in the SPR for the best SECT (90 kV/Cu) and DECT (50 kV/Al-90 kV/Al) protocols are 3.7% and 1.0%, respectively. Dose distributions calculated for SECT and DECT datasets revealed range shifts <0.1 mm, gamma pass rates (3%/0.1 mm) greater than 99%, and no substantial dosimetric differences for all structures. The outcomes suggest that SECT is sufficient for proton treatment planning in animals.Significance.The framework is a useful tool for the development of an optimized experimental configuration without using animals and beam time.

Functional Traits Predict Outcomes of Current and Novel Competition Under Warmer Climate.

Functional traits offer a potential avenue to generalize and forecast the impacts of changing competition on plant communities, including changing outcomes of competition among species that currently interact (current competition) or that will interact in the future following range shifts (novel competition). However, it remains unclear how well traits explain variation in the outcomes of current and novel competition as well as the underlying processes determining coexistence or competitive exclusion, under changing climate. Here, we interacted pairs of high and low-elevation species in three sites across an elevation gradient in the Swiss Alps. For each species pair, we quantified the population-level outcomes of competition (invasion growth rates), relative fitness differences, and niche overlap and related these to 15 functional traits that were measured in each site. Most traits were significantly associated with invasion growth rates at the low elevation, where species had greater relative fitness differences, but these associations were much weaker towards higher elevations. This appears to be because traits, particularly those associated with light competition, captured species' relative fitness differences at lower elevations, but not at the high elevation site, highlighting that the predictive ability of traits can depend on environmental context. The amplified relative fitness differences towards lower elevations suggest that climate warming may increase the likelihood of competitive exclusion. In addition, novel competitors tended to show greater niche overlap than current competitors, leading to stronger overall competitive effects. However, in general, trait differences predicted competitive outcomes of novel and current competitors similarly well, suggesting that traits can predict interactions between species that do not yet interact. Our study reinforces the importance of considering changing interactions for predicting species responses to climate change and provides experimental evidence supporting the usefulness of functional trait differences in forecasting the impacts of future plant interactions under changing climate.

Newly found and rediscovered hornworts (Anthocerotophyta) in Poland: Indicators of climate change impact in Central Europe

In 2023, field research in south-western Poland led to the noteworthy discovery of two hornworts: Notothylas orbicularis, a species previously unrecorded in this country, and the rediscovery of Anthoceros neesii for the Polish bryoflora. These findings are significant as they suggest a response to climate change, which is facilitating the range expansion of hornworts within Central Europe. Detailed descriptions of the new localities for both species are provided, highlighting the specific environmental conditions and habitats where they were found. Distribution maps for Notothylas orbicularis and Anthoceros neesii in Poland are provided, as well as SEM micrographs of spores. Additionally, a key to the identification of Polish hornwort species is also included. Furthermore, a model projecting the potential future spread of these hornworts within Poland and the broader Central European region is presented. This model considers climatic variables and habitat availability, offering insights into possible range shifts. This study contributes to the growing body of evidence that climate change is a driving factor in the redistribution of bryophytes.

Fish distribution shifts due to climate change in the Northeast Atlantic: Using a hierarchical filtering approach on marine-estuarine opportunist species

Marine-estuarine opportunist (MEO) species are fish that occur in the continental shelf and use estuaries and/or shallow coastal areas as nurseries. These commercially important resources are facing significant environmental modifications caused by direct and/or indirect anthropogenic climate change effects. In this study, we investigated the directionality and the magnitude of the distribution shifts (i.e., range size, gravity centroids, and margins) in marine environment suitability for six main MEO fish species within the Northeast Atlantic expected for the end of the 21st century. In the framework of this study, we have distinguished ‘sub-boreal’ from ‘sub-tropical’ species. The ‘hierarchical filters’ concept was adopted for modelling the potential species distributions and combined the predictions of i) a bioclimatic model with ii) a habitat model. The bioclimatic model is based on large-scale and time-variant variables while variables of the habitat model are fine-grained and time-invariant. Two Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change (IPCC) scenarios are tested: an intermediate (SSP2-4.5) and a pessimistic one (SSP5-8.5). We applied this framework using international databases of biodiversity occurrences, ensemble forecasting producing consensual predictions, and innovative indices of distribution shifts. A visible north-westward shift was predicted for all six species in our study area. However, the northward expansion was greater for ‘sub-tropical’ than for ‘sub-boreal’ species due to faster gravity centroid displacement shifts and faster margins shifts. These range shifts may lead to major ecological impacts (e.g., changes in recruitment to estuarine and coastal nurseries, as well as changes in spawning grounds) that may alter populations' connectivity.

Sensitivity enhancement of nonlinear micromechanical sensors using parametric symmetry breaking

The working mechanism of resonant sensors is based on tracking the frequency shift in the linear vibration range. Contrary to the conventional paradigm, in this paper, we show that by tracking the dramatic frequency shift of the saddle-node bifurcation on the nonlinear parametric isolated branches in response to external forces, we can dramatically boost the sensitivity of MEMS force sensors. Specifically, we first theoretically and experimentally investigate the double hysteresis phenomena of a parametrically driven micromechanical resonator under the interaction of intrinsic nonlinearities and direct external drive. We demonstrate that the double hysteresis is caused by symmetry breaking in the phase states. The frequency response undergoes an additional amplitude jump from the symmetry-breaking-induced parametric isolated branch to the main branch, resulting in double hysteresis in the frequency domain. We further demonstrate that significant force sensitivity enhancement can be achieved by monitoring the dramatic frequency shift of the saddle-node bifurcations on the parametric isolated branches before the bifurcations annihilate. Based on the sensitivity enhancement effect, we propose a new sensing scheme which employs the frequency of the top saddle-node bifurcation in the parametric isolated branches as an output metric to quantify external forces. The concept is verified on a resonant MEMS charge sensor. A sensitivity of up to 39.5 ppm/fC is achieved, significantly surpassing the state-of-the-art resonant charge sensors. This work provides a new mechanism for developing force sensors of high sensitivity.

Black Jamun Fruit Peel Extract Modified Gum Acacia Biopolymer Suitable for Energy Device Applications via Charge Transfer Enhancement

The visible light absorption capabilities, along with its electrical characteristics, of a low-cost, plant-based, biopolymer, gum acacia, have been chemically modified by tailoring its defect concentrations via pH modification, where the acid solvent of fruit (peel) extracts of jamun was used to influence the chemical structure by reactive modification. Ultraviolet-visible and photoluminescence spectroscopy of the gum acacia biopolymer treated with the extracted anthocyanin from jamun peel showed a prominent, characteristic red shift in the visible spectrum range. Impedance spectroscopy analysis showed the occurrence of localized ionic conduction. The bulk conductivity of the modified specimens increased due to the profound release of conducting ions in the water-swollen network. The reactively modified biopolymer could be used in multiple fields of material science, specifically in energy device applications, viz., photovoltaics (PV), by utilizing its cost effectiveness and photolytic effectiveness. 2nd, as a polymer electrolyte and dye-sensitised solar cells (DSSCs) material by utilizing its capacity of gel formation. In our research described in this article, the underlying charge transfer mechanism for such responses was examined after crosslinking in the organic dyes extracted from the peel of jamun fruit with gum acacia.

Physiological and morphological traits affect contemporary range expansion and implications for species distribution modelling in an amphibian species.

Species range shifts due to climate alterations have been increasingly well-documented. Although amphibians are one of the most sensitive groups of animals to environmental perturbations due to climate change, almost no studies have offered evidence of poleward distribution shifts in this taxon in response to climate warming. Range shifts would be facilitated by variation in traits associated with the ability of species to persist and/or shift their range in the face of climate change, but the extent and consequences of intraspecific variation in these traits is unclear. We studied the role of intraspecific variation in the ongoing range shift of green treefrogs (Hyla cinerea) in response to climate change. We explored factors that are often associated with range shifts to test the hypothesis that there are differences in these traits between recently range-expanded and nearby historical populations. We then tested the consequences of intraspecific variation for modelling climate-induced range shifts by comparing species distribution models (SDMs) that used as input either data from the entire species range or separate inputs from 'subpopulations' corresponding to the historical range or the recently expanded range. We expected that building a separate SDM for each population would more accurately characterize the species range if historical and expanded populations differed in traits related to their response to climate. We found that critical thermal minimum decreased and thermal breadth increased with latitude, but the effect of latitude was significantly stronger for expanded populations compared to historical populations. Additionally, we found that individuals from expanded populations had longer leg lengths when compared to their historical counterparts. Finally, we found higher model accuracy for one of the population-level SDMs than the species-level SDM. Our results suggest that thermal tolerance and dispersal morphologies are associated with amphibian distributional shifts as these characteristics appear to facilitate rapid range expansion of a native anuran. Additionally, our modelling results emphasize that SDM accuracy could be improved by dividing a species range to consider potential differences in traits associated with climate responses. Future research should identify the mechanisms underlying intraspecific variation along climate gradients to continue improving SDM prediction of range shifts under climate change.

Herbarium specimens reveal a cryptic invasion of polyploid Centaurea stoebe in Europe.

Numerous plant species are expanding their native ranges due to anthropogenic environmental change. Because cytotypes of polyploid complexes often show similar morphologies, there may be unnoticed range expansions (i.e. cryptic invasions) of one cytotype into regions where only the other cytotype is native. We critically revised herbarium specimens of diploid and tetraploid Centaurea stoebe, collected across Europe between 1790 and 2023. Based on their distribution in natural and relict habitats and phylogeographic data, we estimated the native ranges of both cytotypes. Diploids are native across their entire European range, whereas tetraploids are native only to South-Eastern Europe and have recently expanded their range toward Central Europe. The proportion of tetraploids has exponentially increased over time in their expanded but not in their native range. This cryptic invasion predominantly occurred in ruderal habitats and enlarged the climatic niche of tetraploids toward a more oceanic climate. We conclude that spatio-temporally explicit assessments of range shifts, habitat preferences and niche evolution can improve our understanding of cryptic invasions. We also emphasize the value of herbarium specimens for accurate estimation of species´ native ranges, with fundamental implications for the design of research studies and the assessment of biodiversity trends.

The Effect of Climate Change on Indicator Wetland Insects: Predicting the Current and Future Distribution of Two Giant Water Bugs (Hemiptera: Belostomatidae) in South Korea.

Giant water bugs (Hemiptera: Belostomatidae) are top predators in wetland ecosystems, serving as biological indicators of the health of lentic ecosystems and as effective biological control agents for freshwater snails and mosquitoes. This study aimed to predict the current and future distribution of two Korean giant water bugs, Appasus japonicus and Diplonychus esakii, under three climate change scenarios, contributing to the sustainable management of wetland ecosystems in South Korea. Using MaxEnt models, we employed seven climatic and three non-climatic variables to investigate the habitat preferences and distribution patterns of the species. The results revealed that A. japonicus is likely to experience a northward range contraction due to climate change, while D. esakii is predicted to expand its distribution northward without losing its current range. These responses may lead to occupancy turnover between the two species, potentially driving reassembly in aquatic organism community. Elevation was the primary factor influencing the distribution of A. japonicus, whereas annual mean temperature was the most informative variable for D. esakii, both factors derived under the current climate conditions. These findings suggest that both species are highly sensitive to climate change, with potential range shifts toward higher latitudes and elevations. This study provides insights into how climate change could impact two giant water bugs, thereby supporting future efforts to manage and conserve wetland ecosystems in this country.

Temporal Range Dynamics of the Lataste's Viper (Vipera latastei Boscá, 1878) in Doñana (Spain): Insights into Anthropogenically Driven Factors.

Doñana (southern Spain), a region of notable biodiversity richness, is highly threatened by ongoing landscape transformation and climate change. We investigated the local effect of these anthropogenic factors on the temporal range dynamics of Lataste's viper (Vipera latastei), an Iberian endemic Mediterranean reptile that has apparently become rare over the years in Doñana. Using ecological niche-based models, based on climatic and remote sensing variables, we analyzed historical (1959-1999) and contemporary (2000-2022) records of the species to assess range shifts and identify environmental factors that may influence them. Our results show that V. latastei is mostly restricted to the coastal region of Doñana and that one temperature variable is the most important factor explaining this distribution pattern in both periods. Additional climatic and vegetation variables play a role in its historical distribution, but they become less important in contemporary times, suggesting a niche simplification over time. We found 30.5% of reduction in the species suitable area from historical to contemporary conditions, a reduction that would be even greater (83.37%) in the absence of niche shift. These findings underscore the species' heightened vulnerability to ongoing environmental changes and highlight the urgent need for targeted conservation strategies.

Global change drives potential niche contraction and range shift of globally threatened African vulture

Human-induced global change poses an increasingly severe threat to biodiversity, with species having limited population sizes being particularly vulnerable. Mapping and modeling the distribution ranges of such species, along with detecting potential range shifts and contractions at both local and regional scales, are essential for developing effective conservation plans. Ruppell's vulture Gyps rueppelli, an ecologically important bird species native to Africa, is experiencing a rapid decline in its range. The purpose of this study is to map and model potential regional spatio-temporal distribution of Ruppell's vulture in Africa, alongside detecting the possibility of the species' range shifts and contractions. A total of 804 rarefied localities were identified where the Ruppell's vulture was the dominant bird species. This study employed the Maximum Entropy (MaxEnt) algorithm to perform species distribution modeling for the Ruppell's vulture. The modeling considered current climate conditions (1970s-2000s) as a baseline, along with two future climate change scenarios (Shared Socioeconomic Pathways: SSPs 245 and 585) for two future time periods (2050s and 2070s). The model's performance was evaluated by optimizing settings and examining the Area under the Receiver Operating Characteristic Curve (AUC-ROC). Among the 13 bioclimatic and anthropogenic variables included in the model, four (isothermality, cropland expansion, anthropogenic biomes, and urban expansion (in order of importance)) emerged as the most influential drivers of Ruppell's vulture regional distribution. All considered Species distribution models (SDMs) achieved high predictive performance, with AUC-ROC values exceeding 0.9.The model predicted a total of approximately 19,453 ha of suitable habitat for Ruppell's vultures in Africa, with East Africa identified as the most prominent region under the current climate scenario. Isothermality (38.8%) was the primary factor influencing Ruppell's vulture distribution, followed by agricultural expansion (29.9%) and anthropogenic biomes (7.2%) in the face of global change. The results reveal considerable future habitat loss (up to 61%) for Ruppell's vultures in the study area, alongside an eastward range shift (longitudinal axis) by the 2050s under projected climate change scenarios. These imply that Ruppell's vultures face imminent population decline and range shift due to significant habitat loss and climate change. Hence, prioritizing the development and implementation of a coordinated conservation program that incorporates captive breeding and assisted migration is critical to save this vulture species in its native African range.

Dynamic Wavelength-Selective Diffraction and Absorption with Direct-Patterned Hydrogel Metagrating.

Hydrogel nanophotonic devices exhibit attractive tunable capabilities in structural coloration and optical display. However, current hydrogel-based tunable strategies are mostly based on a single physical mechanism, and it remains a challenge to merge multiple mechanisms for active devices with integrated functionalities. Here, a hydrogel metagrating combining Fabry-Pérot (FP) resonance and diffraction effects is proposed for achieving tunable absorption and dynamic wavelength-selective beam steering. Through exploiting hydrogel shrinkage under electron-beam exposure, a hydrogel nanocavity composed of Ag/Hydrogel/Ag three-layer films can be directly printed with arbitrary patterns, enabling the direct-pattering technique of metagrating. The hydrogel nanocavity performs as an FP-type absorber, and its absorption peak rapidly shifts with humidity variation due to the hydrogel layer scaling. The response speed is <320ms, and the absorption peak shift range is >150nm. It is further demonstrated that the hydrogel metagrating exclusively deflects light at the resonance wavelength, and its operating wavelength can be actively switched by regulating ambient humidity. The proposed tunable hydrogel metagrating can promote new technologies of tunable metasurfaces for optical filtering, gas sensing, and optical imaging.

A reconfigurable transmitarray unit cell employing liquid metal

AbstractIn this paper, a reconfigurable transmitarray unit cell using liquid metal is presented. It consists of three conducting layers where the geometries of the resonators, on the different layers, differ and consist of an arrow shape together with rotated split rings. The arrow‐shaped conducting layer has the capability to convert the polarization of the incoming waves by 90°. The split ring resonators, on the upper and lower conducting layers, have the same dimensions but different orientations (horizontal and vertical polarization). Several fluidic channels are placed beneath/above the conducting layers. The transmission behaviour of the unit cell can be changed by altering the geometrical parameters which is achieved by injecting the liquid metal into the channels. More than 300° phase shift range with a maximum S21 of ∼ −1.5 dB at 3.3 GHz is obtained. It exhibits 3 dB of insertion loss over a bandwidth ranging from 3.2 to 3.43 GHz. It is the first time that a transmitarray unit cell, reconfigured employing liquid metal, provides a combination of low insertion loss and large phase shift range. The proposed prototype was fabricated and measured within an open‐ended waveguide and the measured results agree well with the simulations and verify the effectiveness of the design. The reconfigurable transmitarray unit cell can be used to design beam‐scanning arrays, as well as for applications in wireless communications.

Unexpected westward range shifts in European forest plants link to nitrogen deposition.

Climate change is commonly assumed to induce species' range shifts toward the poles. Yet, other environmental changes may affect the geographical distribution of species in unexpected ways. Here, we quantify multidecadal shifts in the distribution of European forest plants and link these shifts to key drivers of forest biodiversity change: climate change, atmospheric deposition (nitrogen and sulfur), and forest canopy dynamics. Surprisingly, westward distribution shifts were 2.6 times more likely than northward ones. Not climate change, but nitrogen-mediated colonization events, possibly facilitated by the recovery from past acidifying deposition, best explain westward movements. Biodiversity redistribution patterns appear complex and are more likely driven by the interplay among several environmental changes than due to the exclusive effects of climate change alone.

Unveiling the Genome-Wide Consequences of Range Expansion and Mating System Transitions in Primula vulgaris.

Genetic diversity is heterogeneously distributed among populations of the same species, due to the joint effects of multiple demographic processes, including range contractions and expansions, and mating systems shifts. Here, we ask how both processes shape genomic diversity in space and time in the classical Primula vulgaris model. This perennial herb originated in the Caucasus region and was hypothesized to have expanded westward following glacial retreat in the Quaternary. Moreover, this species is a long-standing model for mating system transitions, exemplified by shifts from heterostyly to homostyly. Leveraging a high-quality reference genome of the closely related Primula veris and whole-genome resequencing data from both heterostylous and homostylous individuals from populations encompassing a wide distribution of P. vulgaris, we reconstructed the demographic history of P. vulgaris. Results are compatible with the previously proposed hypothesis of range expansion from the Caucasus region approximately 79,000 years ago and suggest later shifts to homostyly following rather than preceding postglacial colonization of England. Furthermore, in accordance with population genetic theoretical predictions, both processes are associated with reduced genetic diversity, increased linkage disequilibrium, and reduced efficacy of purifying selection. A novel result concerns the contrasting effects of range expansion versus shift to homostyly on transposable elements, for the former, process is associated with changes in transposable element genomic content, while the latter is not. Jointly, our results elucidate how the interactions among range expansion, transitions to selfing, and Quaternary climatic oscillations shape plant evolution.

Bird Phylogenetic Diversity Increases With Temperature Worldwide

ABSTRACTAimTemperature significantly influences the composition and structure of biotic communities at large scales. While its role in shaping taxonomic diversity is well‐documented, its relationship with other facets of biodiversity, like phylogenetic diversity, remains poorly known. Understanding how and to which extent temperature contributes to global patterns of phylogenetic diversity compared to other biodiversity‐structuring factors is crucial for comprehending how bird assemblages are structured worldwide, predicting their response to global‐change drivers and supporting conservation policies focused on preserving bird genetic diversity and evolutionary history.LocationWorldwide.MethodsWe analyse the role of temperature in predicting bird regional phylogenetic richness (PD) and divergence (MPD) worldwide, before and after controlling for the effect of species richness (SR). We also assess the shape of this relationship in different biogeographic realms and compare its explanatory power with other key biodiversity‐structuring factors such as elevation, human impact index, net primary productivity and land use diversity.ResultsOur findings underscore the high significance and consistency of temperature as a key predictor positively associated with bird PD and MPD across the six main biogeographic realms, even after accounting for SR and latitude, suggesting that temperature modulates the intrinsic capacity of environments to support a diverse array of lineages. In addition, PD and MPD tended to increase at low elevations, but the human‐impact index did not effectively predict bird phylogenetic diversity at this scale. Furthermore, high PD was linked to regions with high primary productivity and high land‐use diversity, although both of these relationships were strongly mediated by SR.ConclusionsThis study unveils the key role of temperature in explaining bird phylogenetic diversity worldwide over other key biodiversity‐structuring factors and points to the profound implications that climate change will have on the amount of evolutionary history held in bird assemblages, beyond species extinctions or range shifts alone.

A Host Tree and Its Specialist Insects: Black Locust (Robinia pseudoacacia) Availability Largely Determines the Future Range Dynamics of Its Specialist Insects in Europe.

Black locust is the only host of Robinia-specialist insects in Europe. However, no study to date has examined future range shifts of specialist insects, and the relative effects of host plant availability and other factors on their range shifts. Here, we characterized the future range shifts in the host and its four specialist insects and the factors contributing to changes in their ranges. We detected substantial range expansions in all target species. Climate predictors and host plant availability were expected to have the strongest effects on the range shifts in the host and its specialist insects, respectively, suggesting that the specialist insects will track the ranges of their host. Parectopa robiniella showed the largest potential and expanding ranges and should be made a priority species for controlling invasions of Robinia-specialist insects in Europe. The expanding ranges of all specialist species were largely identified in the United Kingdom, Germany, and France, suggesting that these should be priority regions for mitigating their effects on ecosystems. Reducing future climate change is essential for preventing the spreading of specialist insects in Europe since specialist insects track their specialist host plants, and host range expansions are mainly driven by future climate changes.