Severe Dengue Disease Research Articles

Are viral loads in the febrile phase a predictive factor of dengue disease severity?

As many studies have shown conflicting results regarding the extent of viraemia and clinical disease severity, we sought to investigate if viraemia during early dengue illness is associated with subsequent clinical disease severity. Realtime PCR was carried out to identify the dengue virus (DENV serotype), in 362 patients, presenting within the first 4 days of illness, from 2017 to 2022, in Colombo Sri Lanka. To characterize subsequent clinical disease severity, all patients were followed throughout their illness daily and disease severity classified according to WHO 1997 and 2009 disease classification. 263 patients had DF, 99 progressed to develop DHF, and 15/99 with DHF developed shock (DSS). Although the viral loads were higher in the febrile phase in patients who progressed to develop DHF than in patients with DF this was not significant (p = 0.5). Significant differences were observed in viral loads in patients infected with different DENV serotypes (p = 0.0009), with lowest viral loads detected in DENV2 and the highest viral loads in DENV3. Sub-analysis for association of viraemia with disease severity for each DENV serotype was again not significant. Although those infected with DENV2 had lower viral loads, infection with DENV2 was significantly associated with a higher risk of developing DHF (p = 0.011, Odds ratio 1.9; 95% CI 1.164 to 3.078). Based on the WHO 2009 disease classification, 233 had dengue with warning signs (DWW), 114 dengue without warning signs (DWoWS), and 15 had severe dengue (SD). No significant difference was observed in the viral loads between those with SD, DWW and DWoWS (p = 0.27). Viral loads were significantly different in the febrile phase between different DENV serotypes, and do not appear to significantly associate with subsequent clinical disease severity in a large Sri Lankan cohort.

The ApoA1-mimetic peptide 4F blocks flavivirus NS1-triggered endothelial dysfunction and protects against lethal dengue virus challenge

Flavivirus infections result in a variety of outcomes, from clinically inapparent infections to severe, sometimes fatal cases characterized by hemorrhagic manifestations and vascular leakage leading to shock (dengue), meningomyeloencephalitis (West Nile), and congenital abnormalities (Zika). Although there are approved vaccines against several flaviviruses, potentially enhancing cross-reactive immune responses have complicated the development and implementation of vaccines against dengue and Zika viruses, and no specific therapeutics currently exist. The flavivirus nonstructural protein 1 (NS1) is a promising antiviral target because it is a conserved multifunctional virulence factor that directly triggers vascular leak. We previously showed that interactions between NS1 and the ApoA1 lipoprotein modulate DENV infection. Here, we evaluated the potential of the ApoA1-mimetic peptide, 4F, to interfere with endothelial dysfunction mediated by the NS1 protein of dengue, Zika, and West Nile flaviviruses. In an in vitro model consisting of human endothelial cell monolayers, 4F inhibited NS1-induced hyperpermeability, as measured by a transendothelial electrical resistance assay, and prevented NS1-triggered disruption of the endothelial glycocalyx layer. We also demonstrate that treatment with 4F inhibited NS1 interaction with endothelial cells. Finally, we show that 4F protects against lethal DENV challenge in a mouse model, reducing morbidity and mortality in a dose-dependent manner. Our data demonstrate the potential of 4F to inhibit flavivirus NS1-mediated pathology and severe dengue disease in mice and suggest that 4F can also serve as a molecular tool to probe different NS1 functions in vitro and in vivo.

Are viral loads in the febrile phase a predictive factor of dengue disease severity?

As many studies have shown conflicting results regarding the extent of viraemia and clinical disease severity, we sought to investigate if viraemia during early dengue illness is associated with subsequent clinical disease severity. Realtime PCR was carried out to identify the dengue virus (DENV serotype), in 362 patients, presenting within the first 4 days of illness, from 2017 to 2022, in Colombo Sri Lanka. To characterize subsequent clinical disease severity, all patients were followed throughout their illness daily and disease severity classified according to WHO 1997 and 2009 disease classification. 263 patients had DF, 99 progressed to develop DHF, and 15/99 with DHF developed shock (DSS). Although the viral loads were higher in the febrile phase in patients who progressed to develop DHF than in patients with DF this was not significant (p=0.5). Significant differences were observed in viral loads in patients infected with different DENV serotypes (p=0.0009), with lowest viral loads detected in DENV2 and the highest viral loads in DENV3. Sub-analysis for association of viraemia with disease severity for each DENV serotyped was again not significant. Although those infected with DENV2 had lower viral loads, infection with DENV2 was significantly associated with a higher risk of developing DHF (p=0.011, Odds ratio 1.9; 95% CI 1.164 to 3.078). Based on the WHO 2009 disease classification, 233 had dengue with warning signs (DWW), 114 dengue without warning signs (DWoWS), and 15 had severe dengue (SD). No significant difference was observed in the viral loads between those with SD, DWW and DWoWS (p=0.27). Viral loads were significantly different in the febrile phase between different DENV serotypes, and do not appear to significantly associate with subsequent clinical disease severity in a large Sri Lankan cohort.

Dengue virus type 3 infection in a traveler returning from Costa Rica to Japan in 2023

The number of dengue cases has increased dramatically in recent years. In Latin America, the number of cases and deaths in 2023 was the highest ever recorded. We report on a patient who had been infected with dengue virus during his stay in Costa Rica in September 2023, and developed the disease after returning to Japan. Plasma obtained from the patient was used for diagnosis and dengue virus serotyping by real-time PCR. The nucleotide sequence of the envelope region of dengue virus was then determined by the direct sequencing method, and this sequence was used for phylogenetic analyses. The patient was found to be infected with dengue virus type 3 genotype III. The sequence from the present case was more homologous with sequences registered in Florida, USA, associated with travel to Cuba in 2022 than with sequences registered in Costa Rica 10 years ago. The Pan American Health Organization reported that only dengue virus type 1 and 2 cases were reported in Costa Rica in 2019–2021, whereas dengue virus type 3 and 4 cases started being reported in 2022. In 2023, the reported numbers of cases with dengue virus types 3 and 4 exceeded those of dengue virus types 1 and 2. In addition, regional differences in endemic strains have been observed in Costa Rica. Our findings suggest that the dengue virus type 3 that infected the patient was more likely an influx of a strain that had been circulating in Caribbean countries such as Cuba in recent years, rather than a re-emergence of an indigenous virus in Costa Rica. The serotypes of dengue virus prevalent in Costa Rica have been changing since 2022. All four serotypes were prevalent in 2023, with a particularly sharp increase in the number of cases of dengue virus types 3 and 4. Future monitoring and surveillance are essential because changes in endemic serotypes can cause antibody-dependent enhancement, which can lead to severe dengue disease presentations.

Obesity is associated with increased pediatric dengue virus infection and disease: A 9-year cohort study in Managua, Nicaragua.

Obesity is on the rise globally in adults and children, including in tropical areas where diseases such as dengue have a substantial burden, particularly in children. Obesity impacts the risk of severe dengue disease; however, the impact on dengue virus (DENV) infection and dengue cases remains an open question. We used 9 years of data from 5,940 children in the Pediatric Dengue Cohort Study in Nicaragua to examine whether pediatric obesity is associated with increased susceptibility to DENV infection and symptomatic presentation. Analysis was performed using Generalized Estimating Equations adjusted for age, sex, and pre-infection DENV antibody titers. From 2011 to 2019, children contributed 26,273 person-years of observation, and we observed an increase in the prevalence of overweight (from 12% to 17%) and obesity (from 7% to 13%). There were 1,682 DENV infections and 476 dengue cases in the study population. Compared to participants with normal weight, participants with obesity had higher odds of DENV infection (Adjusted Odds Ratio [aOR] 1.21, 95% confidence interval [CI] 1.03-1.42) and higher odds of dengue disease given infection (aOR 1.59, 95% CI 1.15-2.19). Children with obesity infected with DENV showed increased odds of presenting fever (aOR 1.46, 95% CI 1.05-2.02), headache (aOR 1.51, 95% CI 1.07-2.14), and rash (aOR 2.26, 95% CI 1.49-3.44) when compared with children with normal weight. Our results indicate that obesity is associated with increased susceptibility to DENV infection and dengue cases in children, independently of age, sex, and pre-infection DENV antibody titers.

Complement-dependent virion lysis mediated by dengue-Zika virus cross-reactive antibodies correlates with protection from severe dengue disease.

Primary infection with one of four dengue virus serotypes (DENV1-4) may generate antibodies that protect or enhance subsequent secondary heterotypic infections. However, the characteristics of heterotypic cross-reactive antibodies associated with protection from symptomatic infection and severe disease are not well-defined. We selected plasma samples collected before a secondary DENV heterotypic infection that was classified either as dengue fever (DF, n = 31) or dengue hemorrhagic fever/dengue shock syndrome (DHF/DSS, n = 33) from our longstanding pediatric cohort in Nicaragua. We screened various antibody properties to determine the features correlated with protection from DHF/DSS. Protection was associated with high levels of binding of various antibody isotypes, IgG subclasses and effector functions, including antibody-dependent complement deposition, ADCD. Although the samples were derived from DENV-exposed, Zika virus (ZIKV)-naïve individuals, the protective ADCD association was stronger when assays were conducted with recombinant ZIKV antigens. Further, we showed that a complement-mediated virion lysis (virolysis) assay conducted with ZIKV virions was strongly associated with protection, a finding reproduced in an independent sample set collected prior to secondary heterotypic inapparent versus symptomatic DENV infection. Virolysis was the main antibody feature correlated with protection from DHF/DSS and severe symptoms, such as thrombocytopenia, hemorrhagic manifestations, and plasma leakage. Hence, anti-DENV antibodies that cross-react with ZIKV, target virion-associated epitopes, and mediate complement-dependent virolysis are correlated with protection from secondary symptomatic DENV infection and DHF/DSS. These findings may support the rational design and evaluation of dengue vaccines and development of therapeutics.

Kinetics of dengue viremia and its association with disease severity: an ambispective study

BackgroundDengue virus (DENV) infection is an important public health problem and causes significant morbidity and mortality. DENV typically causes a febrile illness that ranges from mild asymptomatic infection to fatal dengue hemorrhagic fever (DHF) and/or dengue shock syndrome (DSS). Early prediction of severe dengue disease is of utmost importance for providing prompt monitoring and treatment. The search for an ideal biomarker (host or viral factors) for early prediction of severe dengue remains elusive.AimTo standardize a real time qRT-PCR for quantifying dengue viremia in serum samples and evaluate the kinetics of dengue viremia and its significance in disease severity.ResultsIn this ambispective study of 126 laboratory confirmed dengue patients, 72 were primary infections and 54 were secondary infections. The most common serotype was serotype 1 (n = 37) followed by serotype 2 (n = 34). According to WHO 1997 dengue case classification, 111 patients were cases of dengue fever (DF), 13 from DHF and 02 from DSS. Day 3 viremia levels were significantly elevated in severe dengue patients (DHF/DSS) as compared to that of DF (p < 0.05). However, no such association was found between viremia levels and serotype or immune status.ConclusionDengue viremia has a significant association with disease severity and day 3 viremia levels may be used as a predictor for dengue disease severity.

Increased frequencies of highly activated regulatory T cells skewed to a T helper 1-like phenotype with reduced suppressive capacity in dengue patients.

According to the World Health Organization, dengue is the fastest-spreading, epidemic-prone infectious disease. The extent of dengue virus infections increased over the years, mainly driven by globalization-including travel and trade-and environmental changes. Dengue is an immunopathology caused by an imbalanced immune response to a secondary heterotypic infection. As regulatory T cells (Tregs) are essential in maintaining immune homeostasis and dampening excessive immune activation, this study addressed the role of Tregs in dengue immunopathology. We show that Tregs from dengue patients are highly activated, skewed to a Th1-like Treg phenotype and less suppressive compared to healthy donor Tregs. Our data suggest that Tregs fail to resolve ongoing inflammation during dengue infection and hence contribute to the immunopathology of severe dengue disease. These data clarify the role of Tregs in dengue immunopathogenesis, emphasizing the need to develop T cell-based vaccines for dengue.

Pro- and anti-inflammatory cytokines signatures at different severity of dengue infection.

Dengue disease severity and progression are determined by the host immune response, with both pro- and anti-inflammatory cytokines are key mediators. To study pro- and anti-inflammatory cytokines across dengue severity and as a biomarker for predicting severe dengue infection. Hospital-based cross-sectional study was conducted on 125 dengue-positive subjects across the 5-60 years age group of either gender in 2022. Haematological parameters and blood samples were drawn to measure cytokines IL6, IL-10 and TNF alpha using the ELISA technique. One-way ANOVA and the Kruskal - Wallis test were used to compare the dependent variables across categories of the dengue spectrum. Receiver operating characteristic curve was drawn to calculate the predictability of the cytokines as a predictor of severe dengue. A P < 0.05 was considered significant. 34.4% of cases had severe dengue infection with 53.2% of severe cases reported in >40 years of age. Only IL-6 levels significantly increased (P < 0.01) across the spectrum of dengue infection across age groups >20 years with a consistent and significant fall in platelet levels (P < 0.01). The accuracy of IL-6 to predict severe dengue was 74.4% and platelet count was 16.2%. Only IL-6 cytokine levels were significantly increased across the spectrum of dengue infection observed in age >20 years and can significantly predict the probability of severe dengue by 74% (sensitivity 81.4%). A significant decrease in platelet values is consistent with the severity but is not a good predictor for severe dengue infection.

Dual RNA-Seq reveals transcriptionally active microbes (TAMs) dynamics in the serum of dengue patients associated with disease severity.

Dengue virus (DENV) is a flavivirus that has emerged as a global health threat, characterized by either asymptomatic or mild self-limiting febrile illness, but a subset of DENV outbreaks have been associated with severe disease. Studies have looked into the host immune response and dengue viral load during infection. However, it remains unknown how the active microbial isolates modulate the dengue viral infection. In this study, we demonstrate the significance of in-depth analysis of microbiota composition in the serum samples of dengue-infected patients. RNA was extracted from the serum samples collected from 24 dengue positive patients. The human mapped reads generated through RNA-Sequencing (RNA-Seq) were removed, while the unmapped (non-human) reads were employed for microbial taxonomic classification using Kraken2 and Bracken2. Further, we assessed the initial blood parameters analyzing the complete blood count (CBC) profile of the patients. Findings revealed differential abundance of commensals and pathogenic microbes in the early febrile period of hospitalized dengue patients, segregated into, High Viral Reads (HVR) and Low Viral Reads (LVR). The Campylobacter genus was abundant in the HVR whereas Lactobacillus dominated the LVR patients. At species level, the microbiota of HVR exhibited higher abundance of unique potential opportunistic microbes, compared to the commensal microbes' enrichment in the LVR patients'. We hypothesize that the DENV might alter the microbiota composition as observed by the increase in preponderance of opportunistic pathogens and an absence of commensals in the HVR. The presence of commensals in the LVR might explain, i) overall lower dengue viral reads compared to the HVR, and ii) shift in lymphocytes (high) and neutrophils (low) counts; resulting in a comparatively milder clinical manifestation in this group. Our findings may help in understanding the co-infection aspect that will be important to develop dengue therapeutics and vaccines. This study highlights the potential of the unexplored roles of the TAMs in modulating the dengue disease severity using the metatranscriptomic sequencing. This study serves to enhance our understanding of the distinctive microbial and hematologic signatures in the early infection stage that differentiate patients with high viral reads patients from those with low dengue viral reads.

Extracellular vesicles recovered from plasma of severe dengue patients induce CD4+ T cell suppression through PD-L1/PD-1 interaction.

Severe dengue manifestations caused by the dengue virus are a global health problem. Studies suggest that severe dengue disease depends on uncontrolled immune cell activation, and excessive inflammation adds to the pathogenesis of severe dengue disease. Therefore, it is important to understand the process that triggers the uncontrolled activation of the immune cells. The change in immune response in mild to severe dengue may be due to direct virus-to-cell interaction or it could be a contact-independent process through the extracellular vesicles (EVs) released from infected cells. The importance of circulating EVs in the context of dengue virus infection and pathogenesis remains unexplored. Therefore, understanding the possible biological function of circulating EVs may help to delineate the role of EVs in the progression of disease. Our present study highlights that EVs from plasma of severe dengue patients can have immunosuppressive properties on CD4+ T cells which may contribute to T cell suppression and may contribute to dengue disease progression.

Influence of previous Zika virus infection on acute dengue episode.

The co-circulation of flaviviruses in tropical regions has led to the hypothesis that immunity generated by a previous dengue infection could promote severe disease outcomes in subsequent infections by heterologous serotypes. This study investigated the influence of antibodies generated by previous Zika infection on the clinical outcomes of dengue infection. We enrolled 1,043 laboratory confirmed dengue patients and investigated their prior infection to Zika or dengue. Severe forms of dengue disease were more frequent in patients with previous Zika infection, but not in those previously exposed to dengue. Our findings suggest that previous Zika infection may represent a risk factor for subsequent severe dengue disease, but we did not find evidence of antibody-dependent enhancement (higher viral titer or pro-inflammatory cytokine overexpression) contributing to exacerbation of the subsequent dengue infection.

Kinetics of severe dengue virus infection and development of gut pathology in mice.

Dengue virus, an arbovirus, causes an estimated 100 million symptomatic infections annually and is an increasing threat as the mosquito range expands with climate change. Dengue epidemics are a substantial strain on local economies and health infrastructure, and an understanding of what drives severe disease may enable treatments to help reduce hospitalizations. Factors exacerbating dengue disease are debated, but gut-related symptoms are much more frequent in severe than mild cases. Using mouse models of dengue infection, we have shown that inflammation and damage are earlier and more severe in the gut than in other tissues. Additionally, we observed impairment of the gut mucus layer and propose that breakdown of the barrier function exacerbates inflammation and promotes severe dengue disease. This idea is supported by recent data from human patients showing elevated bacteria-derived molecules in dengue patient serum. Therapies aiming to maintain gut integrity may help to abrogate severe dengue disease.

Complement receptor type 1 and 2 (CR1 and CR2) gene polymorphisms and plasma protein levels are associated with the Dengue disease severity

The pathological outcome of dengue disease results from complex interactions between dengue virus (DENV) and host genetics and immune response. Complement receptor types 1 and 2 (CR1 and CR2) mediate complement activation through the alternative pathway. This study investigated the possible association of genetic polymorphisms and plasma levels of CR1 and CR2 with dengue disease. A total of 267 dengue patients and 133 healthy controls were recruited for this study. CR1 and CR2 gene polymorphisms were analyzed by Sanger sequencing, while plasma CR1 and CR2 levels were measured by ELISA. The frequency of the CR1 minor allele rs6691117G was lower in dengue patients and those with severe dengue compared to healthy controls. Plasma CR1 and CR2 levels were decreased in dengue patients compared to healthy controls (P < 0.0001) and were associated with platelet counts. CR1 levels were lower in dengue patients with warning signs (DWS) compared to those without DWS, while CR2 levels were decreased according to the severity of the disease and after 5 days (T1) and 8 days (T2) of follow-up. CR2 levels were decreased in dengue patients positive for anti-DENV IgG and IgM and patients with bleeding and could discriminate DWS and SD from dengue fever patients (AUC = 0.66). In conclusion, this study revealed a reduction in CR2 levels in dengue patients and that the CR1 SNP rs6691117A/G is associated with the dengue severity. The correlation of CR2 levels with platelet counts suggests that CR2 could be an additional biomarker for the prognosis of severe dengue disease.

Impact of apoptotic biomarkers for prognosis of dengue disease severity among eastern Indian patients.

Dengue virus (DENV) induced severe manifestations is a precursor for fatality among infected patients. Previous autopsy examinations of severe dengue (SD) patients reported presence of apoptotic cells in liver, brain, intestinal and lung tissues. Thus, serum-level of major apoptotic proteins of dengue patients was evaluated in the current study, along with their biochemical parameters. Patients were categorized according to World Health Organization (WHO)-defined classification. DENV-infection was screened among 165 symptomatic patients by quantitative reverse transcription polymerase chain reaction, antidengue IgM, and IgG ELISA. Serum levels of apoptotic (Capase-3,7,8, Bcl-2 and FasL) and hepatic-markers, lipid profile, hematological parameters of 78 dengue-positive patients were determined by sandwich-ELISA/immunoturbidimetry/auto-analyzer. Significantly higher levels of caspase-3,7,8 and FasL was detected among SD patients compared to those without warning (WOW) signs. Amongst biochemical parameters, bilirubin, aspartate aminotransferase, alanine aminotransferase, alkaline phosphatase serum concentrations significantly increased among severe patients. Principal component analysis followed by hierarchical clustering differentiated severe and with warning dengue patient groups from those WOW using caspase-3,7,8 and FasL biomarkers-thus clearly distinguishing severe-dengue group. Correlation analyses also established strong positive correlation between caspase-3,7,8 and FasL. Thus, serum level of caspase-3,7,8 and FasL during early stage of infection could be used as biomarkers for WHO-defined dengue disease severity.

Maternally derived antibody titer dynamics and risk of hospitalized infant dengue disease

Infants less than 1 y of age experience high rates of dengue disease in dengue virus (DENV) endemic countries. This burden is commonly attributed to antibody-dependent enhancement (ADE), whereby concentrations of maternally derived DENV antibodies become subneutralizing, and infection-enhancing. Understanding antibody-related mechanisms of enhanced infant dengue disease risk represents a significant challenge due to the dynamic nature of antibodies and their imperfect measurement processes. Further, key uncertainties exist regarding the impact of long-term shifts in birth rates, population-level infection risks, and maternal ages on the DENV immune landscape of newborns and their subsequent risks of severe dengue disease in infancy. Here, we analyze DENV antibody data from two infant cohorts (N = 142 infants with 605 blood draws) and 40 y of infant dengue hospitalization data from Thailand. We use mathematical models to reconstruct maternally derived antibody dynamics, accounting for discretized measurement processes and limits of assay detection. We then explore possible antibody-related mechanisms of enhanced infant dengue disease risk and their ability to reconstruct the observed age distribution of hospitalized infant dengue cases. We find that ADE mechanisms are best able to reconstruct the observed data. Finally, we describe how the shifting epidemiology of dengue in Thailand, combined with declining birth rates, have decreased the absolute risk of infant dengue disease by 88% over a 40-y period while having minimal impact on the mean age of infant hospitalized dengue disease.

Identification of prior dengue-naïve Dengvaxia recipients with an increased risk for symptomatic dengue during fever surveillance in the Philippines.

Dengue virus (DENV) is the leading cause of mosquito-borne viral diseases in humans. Dengvaxia, the first licensed dengue vaccine, is recommended for DENV-seropositive individuals aged 9-45 years. In the Philippines, Dengvaxia was administered to more than 830,000 children without prior serological testing in 2016-2017. Subsequently, it was revealed that DENV-seronegative children who received Dengvaxia developed severe disease following breakthrough DENV infection. As a result, thousands of children participating in the mass vaccination campaign were at higher risk of severe dengue disease. It is vital that an assay that identifies baseline DENV-naïve Dengvaxia recipients be developed and validated. This would permit more frequent and extensive assessments and timely treatment of breakthrough DENV infections. We evaluated the performance of a candidate assay, the DENV1-4 nonstructural protein 1 (NS1) IgG enzyme-linked immunosorbent assay (ELISA), developed by the University of Hawaii (UH), using well-documented serum/plasma samples including those >20 years post-DENV infection, and tested samples from 199 study participants including 100 Dengvaxia recipients from the fever surveillance programs in the Philippines. The sensitivity and specificity of the assay were 96.6% and 99.4%, respectively, which are higher than those reported for pre-vaccination screening. A significantly higher rate of symptomatic breakthrough DENV infection was found among children that were DENV-naïve (10/23) than among those that were DENV-immune (7/53) when vaccinated with Dengvaxia (p=0.004, Fisher's exact test), demonstrating the feasibility of the assay and algorithms in clinical practice. The UH DENV1-4 NS1 IgG ELISA can determine baseline DENV serostatus among Dengvaxia recipients not only during non-acute dengue but also during breakthrough DENV infection, and has implications for assessing the long-term safety and effectiveness of Dengvaxia in the post-licensure period.

A stochastic B cell affinity maturation model to characterize mechanisms of protection for tetravalent dengue vaccine constructs.

Dengue annually infects millions of people from a regionally and seasonally varying dengue virus population circulating as four distinct serotypes. Effective protection against dengue infection and disease requires tetravalent vaccine formulations to stimulate a balanced protective immune response to all four serotypes. However, this has been a challenge to achieve, and several clinical trials with different leading vaccine candidates have demonstrated unbalanced replication and interference of interindividual serotype components, leading to low efficacy and enhanced disease severity for dengue-naïve populations. Production of serotype-specific neutralizing antibodies is largely viewed as a correlate of protection against severe dengue disease. However, the underlying mechanisms that lead to these protective immune responses are not clearly elucidated. In this work, using a stochastic model of B cell affinity maturation, we tested different live-attenuated vaccine constructs with varied viral replication rates and contrasted the initiation and progress of adaptive immune responses during tetravalent vaccination and after dengue virus challenge. Comparison of our model simulations across different disease-severity levels suggested that individual production of high levels of serotype-specific antibodies together with a lower cross-reactive antibody are better correlates for protection. Furthermore, evolution of these serotype-specific antibodies was dependent on the percent of viral attenuation in the vaccine, and production of initial B cell and T cell populations pre- and post-secondary dengue infection was crucial in providing protective immunity for dengue-naïve populations. Furthermore, contrasting disease severity with respect to different dengue serotypes, our model simulations showed that tetravalent vaccines fare better against DENV-4 serotype when compared to other serotypes.

Serum ferritin level as a prognostic biomarker for predicting dengue disease severity: A systematic review and meta-analysis.

Serum ferritin levels serves as biomarkers in many inflammatory and infectious diseases. This current systematic review and meta-analysis evaluated whether serum ferritin levels are associated with severe dengue and its utility as a biomarker of disease severity. Literature searches were conducted in PubMed, Scopus, ScienceDirect, the Cochrane library, and Google Scholar. A total of 18 studies examining the serum ferritin levels in dengue cases in the context of disease severity (nine studies having dengue classification as non-severe vs. severe dengue cases, and nine studies having dengue classification as dengue without warning signs (DwoWS), dengue with warning signs (DwWS), and severe dengue cases) were included and the quality of the studies was assessed using the Quality in Prognostic Factor Studies tool. The meta-analysis was performed using STATA software to calculate the effect size as a standardized mean difference (SMD) or Hedges 'g' for the continuous outcome. Higher serum ferritin levels were found in severe dengue cases compared to non-severe cases [SMD (Hedges 'g') 4.05 (95% C.I. 2.09-6.00), (I2 =98.8%)]. In the second group, DwWS cases showed high serum ferritin levels compared to DwoWS [SMD 2.01 (95% C.I. 0.92-3.10), (I2 =97.89%)], and severe dengue cases showed higher levels of serum ferritin compared to DwWS [SMD 2.66 (95% C.I. 1.72-4.48), (I2 =98.78%)] and DwoWS cases [SMD 6.65 (95% C.I. 1.72-11.59), (I2 =99.78%]. Subgroup analysis for the country of study (India vs. others), ferritin testing methods, and ferritin measurement day revealed testing method as a significant contributor to heterogeneity. To conclude, the present study suggests serum ferritin as a prognostic marker for dengue disease severity. Multi-centric studies involving a large number of dengue patients with a uniform case definition accounting for all the confounding variables might help in determining a universal cut-off value to discriminate between non-severe and severe dengue.

Characterization of soluble TLR2 and CD14 levels during acute dengue virus infection

Dengue virus infection results in a broad spectrum of diseases ranging from mild dengue fever (DF) to severe dengue hemorrhagic fever (DHF) and dengue shock syndrome (DSS). Hitherto, there is no consensus biomarker for the prediction of severe dengue disease in patients. Yet, early identification of patients who progress to severe dengue is pivotal for better clinical management. We have recently reported that an increased frequency of classical (CD14 ++CD16−) monocytes with sustained high TLR2 expression in acutely infected dengue patients correlates with severe dengue development. Here, we hypothesized that the relatively lower TLR2 and CD14 expression in mild dengue patients is due to the shedding of their soluble forms (sTLR2 and sCD14) and that these could be used as indicators of disease progression. Therefore, using commercial sandwich ELISAs, we evaluated the release of sTLR2 and sCD14 by peripheral blood mononuclear cells (PBMCs) in response to in vitro dengue virus (DENV) infection and assessed their levels in acute-phase plasma of 109 dengue patients. We show that while both sTLR2 and sCD14 are released by PBMCs in response to DENV infection in vitro, their co-circulation in an acute phase of the disease is not always apparent. In fact, sTLR2 was found only in 20% of patients irrespective of disease status. In contrast, sCD14 levels were detected in all patients and were significantly elevated in DF patients when compared to DHF patients and age-matched healthy donors. Altogether, our results suggest that sCD14 may help in identifying patients at risk of severe dengue at hospital admittance.