Semi-enclosed Basin Research Articles

Evidence of 2024 Summer as the Warmest During the Last Four Decades in the Aegean, Ionian, and Cretan Seas

The summer of 2024 witnessed record-high sea surface temperatures (SST) across the Aegean, Ionian, and Cretan Seas (AICS), following unprecedented air heatwaves over the sea under a long-term warming trend of 0.46 °C/decade for the mean atmospheric temperature (1982–2024). The respective mean SST trend for the same period is even steeper, increasing by 0.59 °C/decade. With mean summer surface waters surpassing 28 °C, particularly in the Ionian Sea, the southern Cretan, and northern Aegean basins, this summer marked the warmest ocean conditions over the past four decades. Despite a relatively lower number of marine heatwaves (MHWs) compared to previous warm years, the duration and cumulative intensity of these events in 2024 were the highest on record, reaching nearly twice the levels seen in 2018, which was the warmest until now. Intense MHWs were recorded, especially in the northern Aegean, with extensive biological consequences to ecosystems like the Thermaikos Gulf, a recognized MHW hotspot. The strong downward atmospheric heat fluxes in the summer of 2024, following an interannual increasing four-decade trend, contributed to the extreme warming of the water masses together with other met-ocean conditions such as lateral exchanges and vertical processes. The high temperatures were not limited to the surface but extended to depths of 50 m in some regions, indicating a deep and widespread warming of the upper ocean. Mechanisms typically mitigating SST rises, such as the Black Sea water (BSW) inflow and coastal upwelling over the eastern Aegean Sea, were weaker in 2024. Cooler water influx from the BSW decreased, as indicated by satellite-derived chlorophyll-a concentrations, while upwelled waters from depths of 40 to 80 m at certain areas showed elevated temperatures, likely limiting their cooling effects on the surface. Prolonged warming of ocean waters in a semi-enclosed basin such as the Mediterranean and its marginal sea sub-basins can have substantial physical, biological, and socioeconomic impacts on the AICS. This research highlights the urgent need for targeted monitoring and mitigation strategies to address the growing impact of MHWs in the region.

Quantified growth and possible heterochronic development of two corynexochid trilobites from the middle Cambrian (Miaolingian Series, Wuliuan Stage) Mount Cap Formation, eastern Mackenzie Mountains, northwestern Canada

Abstract The ontogeny of two species of corynexochid trilobites from the middle Cambrian Mount Cap Formation of the eastern Mackenzie Mountains, northern Canada, is documented. Sahtuia carcajouensis (Dolichometopidae) and Mackenzieaspis parallelispinosa (Zacanthoididae) are both endemic to this formation and only known from one locality. They, along with several other corynexochid taxa, occur in a succession of mudstone with scattered carbonate interbeds, deposited in a weakly storm-agitated setting near the flank of a semi-enclosed basin. The ontogeny of both species is characterized by mainly normal cranidial development, but a unique distribution of segments in their thoraxes and pygidia. The number of trunk segments was typical for their respective families, whereas the final number of segments released into the thorax was reduced. This occurred in both species through timing modifications to segment release, indicating heterochrony. Sahtuia carcajouensis and Mackenzieaspis parallelispinosa are likely derived from two separate clades, and heterochrony probably arose separately but synchronously. The endemicity of both species probably reflects unique paleoecological conditions in this part of the basin. Preliminary results indicate that the fossil-bearing mudstone was deposited under well-oxygenated conditions that underwent high nutrient flux and possibly experienced varying salinity. These factors may have affected the organisms’ physiology, or perhaps provoked an adaptation to achieve early maturation.

Reliability of the Strontium Isotope Stratigraphy approach in marginal seas: Insights from the Miocene Paratethys

The robustness of the Strontium Isotope Stratigraphy (SIS) as a chemostratigraphic tool was tested in the Miocene epicontinental Central Paratethys using new 87Sr/86Sr results obtained for 129 foraminiferal tests and various marine invertebrate shells that were converted to numerical ages using the global 87Sr/86Sr curve for Phanerozoic open oceans. These ages were compared with those expected from either magnetostratigraphic, radiometric or biostratigraphic studies applied to selected sections from different Central Paratethys basins. The results from different basins showed variations in 87Sr/86Sr values for specific time intervals; therefore, it is not possible to construct a unique 87Sr/86Sr curve for the Central Paratethys region that can be used for chemostratigraphic purposes. The 87Sr/86Sr signal in semi-enclosed basins tends to reflect the lithology of the source areas. a: For example, marine basins surrounded by areas of Mesozoic carbonate rock cover are associated with a reduced 87Sr/86Sr signal compared to the global 87Sr/86Sr signal primarily due to the drainage of these Mesozoic carbonate rocks and transfer of their specific Sr signal. By contrast, areas affected by continental runoff from crystalline terrains in combination with limited connection to surrounding marine domains were found to show an elevated 87Sr/86Sr signal compared to the global one. Additionally, it was demonstrated that infaunal, eutrophic and hypoxic species (foraminiferal genus Uvigerina and molluscs) show a shift towards a relatively higher 87Sr/86Sr signal. Therefore, our data show that variable 87Sr/86Sr patterns occur in semi-enclosed domains, primarily reflecting local settings and thus hampering reliable SIS ages. In particular, the best SIS results in the studied Paratethys area occur during periods of maximum marine connectivity, when other (biostratigraphic) methods can be applied, and then become unreliable as connectivity diminishes.

A machine learning approach to nearshore wave modeling in large lakes using land-based wind observations

This study presents a novel machine learning-based (ML) framework that utilizes the ConvLSTM-1D model to simulate wave heights at a nearshore location in Lake Michigan using a nonuniform land-based array of wind observations from a broad geographic region as an input. This approach was applied to Lake Michigan to perform a 70-year ice-free hindcast of waves near Chicago, IL (USA). Because of annual winter gaps in Great Lakes buoy observations, output from the Wave Information System model (WIS) was used for the training, validation, and testing of the ML model. Models with different numbers of wind stations were tested, showing that a single wind station as an input feature produced a reasonably accurate wave height. However, the wave height model accuracy increased as more wind input data was included from around the lake, largely plateauing beyond the inclusion of four stations that spanned Lake Michigan’s southern basin. The optimized model lookback period was found to be 10 h for all models, suggestive of a fetch-limited temporal coupling between the wind observations and nearshore waves. The extended time series showed a statistically significant increase in the interannual standard deviation of the storm wave height and the storm height over the mean wave height while no correlation was found with the annual water level time series. The ML framework offers a promising avenue for utilizing historical wind records to extend wave height time series for nearshore locations, particularly in enclosed and semi-enclosed basins where waves are strongly linked to local winds.

Wind and river effects on a coastal current in Chatham Sound, British Columbia

Chatham Sound is an ecologically and economically important semi-enclosed basin in the northeast Pacific which has received only limited oceanographic attention. Here we investigate the surface circulation in the southern Sound by analyzing hourly current fields obtained from a high-frequency (HF) radar array, installed there in 2017 and still in operation, as well as other hydrographic and mooring measurements that allow us to characterize subsurface features at several specific locations during 2018 and 2019, and satellite imagery processed to obtain a measure of suspended particulate matter at high spatial resolution. We find that the surface circulation is dominated by the plume of the Skeena River, which flows into the southeast corner of the Sound. On average, this plume forms a northward flowing coastal current in the eastern half of the Sound, and is turbid during the freshet. The plume width changes only marginally even though the Skeena’s flow changes seasonally by a factor of about 7. However, the depth of the plume and its salinity is dramatically different during the early summer freshet compared to values in winter. Fastest plume currents appear near the offshore edges of the plume, even though the plume depth is greatest near the coast. We show that these features are consistent with those predicted from an analytical 1-1/2 layer buoyant coastal current model. Winds can accelerate or retard the coastal current; when strong enough the flow is arrested and turbid plume water fills the southern Sound.

Were Late Jurassic climatic fluctuations responses to Pangea breakup? Evidence from isotopic analyses of belemnite rostra from the eastern Tethyan Ocean

Late Jurassic paleogeographic patterns were influenced by the growth of the Pacific plate and the breakup of Pangea, impacting the global paleoclimate during this warm and equable greenhouse period. However, the use of different proxies may introduce bias in seawater temperature reconstructions. In this study, we reconstructed midlatitude Tethyan seawater paleotemperatures in the Northern Hemisphere using carbonate clumped isotopes (Δ47) in well-preserved parts of belemnite rostra from the Upper Jurassic Hongqilafu Formation in the Taxkorgan Basin, southwest Xinjiang, China. Throughout the entire studied section, an increase in the 87Sr/86Sr ratio was observed. Comparison of this ratio with the published global seawater 87Sr/86Sr curve suggests a good correlation with the biostratigraphic and U-Pb age assignments of the Oxfordian−Tithonian interval. The Δ47-derived paleotemperature estimates indicate a long-term, relatively stable, and warm seawater temperature of ∼27 °C within the epipelagic zone of the eastern Tethyan Ocean during the Late Jurassic. Cooler seawater temperatures were recorded at the Oxfordian−Kimmeridgian boundary and in the late Tithonian, likely reflecting changes in paleogeography and paleoceanography resulting from the breakup of Pangea and/or variations in belemnite habitat depth. When compared with global seawater temperature data from different proxies, the results suggest that elevated atmospheric pCO2 levels during the Late Jurassic may have caused warmer conditions in midlatitude and polar regions. The reconstructed δ18Osea values exhibit a remarkably modern midlatitude seawater character and are more positive than values traditionally assumed for the Jurassic ice-free world. Given that the Taxkorgan Basin was located in a semi-enclosed basin and was dominated by evaporation in the Late Jurassic, the reconstructed δ18Osea values may represent regional seawater signals. Consequently, they cannot be used to support the existence of ice sheets in both polar regions. Our results suggest that climatic changes in the Jurassic greenhouse world may have been overprinted by local factors, potentially masking broader climatic trends.

Depth-dependent warming of the Gulf of Eilat (Aqaba)

The Gulf of Eilat (Gulf of Aqaba) is a semi-enclosed basin situated at the northern end of the Red Sea, renowned for its exceptional marine ecosystem. To evaluate the response of the Gulf to climate variations, we analyzed various factors including temperature down to 700 m, surface air temperature, and heat fluxes. We find that the sea temperature is rising at all depths despite inconclusive trends in local atmospheric variables, including the surface air temperature. The Gulf’s sea surface temperature (SST) warms at a rate of a few hundredths of a degree Celsius per year, which is comparable to the warming of the global SST and the Mediterranean Sea. The increase in sea warming is linked to fewer winter deep mixing events that used to occur more frequently in the past. Based on the analysis of the ocean-atmosphere heat fluxes, we conclude that the lateral advection of heat from the southern part of the Gulf likely leads to an increase in water temperature in the northern part of the Gulf. Our findings suggest that local ocean warming is not necessarily associated with local processes, but rather with the warming of other remote locations.

Coupled Meteo–Hydrodynamic Approach in Semi-Enclosed Basins and Sensitivity Assessment of Wind-Driven Current

A coupled numerical approach that combines the WRF model and the Mike 3 (DHI) hydrodynamic model was developed and applied in two semi-enclosed basins in the Ionian Sea (Italy) to assess the wind-driven current. To gain a better understanding of how the sea current field can vary depending on meteorological data forcing, three different scenario were set up. The sensitivity of the sea current pattern was investigated as a function of the type of meteorological forcing and appreciating the differences in the results. The aims of this study are threefold. Firstly, we wish to define an ad hoc procedure to join the model-computed meteorological parameters in the hydrodynamic model. Secondly, we will investigate the feedback from the Mar Piccolo and Mar Grande basins in the Ionian Sea using fully coupled simulations and an uncoupled system where the atmospheric parameters are derived from a ground station. Finally, we will evaluate the results achieved by applying two scenarios of typical meteorological conditions to the study site. The model results highlighted the variability of sea currents depending on meteorological forcing.

Spatio-temporal connectivity and dispersal seasonal patterns in the Adriatic Sea using a retention clock approach

Hydrodynamic features play a key role in determining the dispersal and connectivity of fish populations, especially in highly energetic areas determined by currents, river flow, and meteorologically induced fluctuations. Understanding how species interact with these physical processes is essential for managing vulnerable populations and identifying areas that require effective conservation efforts. This study examines the hydrodynamics that regulate connectivity in the Adriatic Sea, a shallow and semi-enclosed basin that is widely recognized as one of the most important areas in the Mediterranean Sea for protection. A high-resolution hydrodynamic model coupled with a lagrangian tracking module serves as the numerical tool. Lagrangian particles, representing eggs and larvae with typical biological characteristics of generic marine organisms inhabiting the region, are released throughout the basin at different times during a test year to identify the most likely pathways of individual dispersal. The temporal component of connectivity is highlighted using a previously developed retention clock matrix over different larval durations. Seasonality is a critical factor in dispersal, with greater variability and reduced efficiency in winter compared to summer. The potential implications of the results for improved assessment and management of high value marine species in the basin are discussed.

Cross-basin and cross-taxa patterns of marine community tropicalization and deborealization in warming European seas

Ocean warming and acidification, decreases in dissolved oxygen concentrations, and changes in primary production are causing an unprecedented global redistribution of marine life. The identification of underlying ecological processes underpinning marine species turnover, particularly the prevalence of increases of warm-water species or declines of cold-water species, has been recently debated in the context of ocean warming. Here, we track changes in the mean thermal affinity of marine communities across European seas by calculating the Community Temperature Index for 65 biodiversity time series collected over four decades and containing 1,817 species from different communities (zooplankton, coastal benthos, pelagic and demersal invertebrates and fish). We show that most communities and sites have clearly responded to ongoing ocean warming via abundance increases of warm-water species (tropicalization, 54%) and decreases of cold-water species (deborealization, 18%). Tropicalization dominated Atlantic sites compared to semi-enclosed basins such as the Mediterranean and Baltic Seas, probably due to physical barrier constraints to connectivity and species colonization. Semi-enclosed basins appeared to be particularly vulnerable to ocean warming, experiencing the fastest rates of warming and biodiversity loss through deborealization.

Estimation of harbor and bay resonances by MMS-FEM model with application to the Bay of Toulon, France

Bay and harbor resonances are investigated in this work, taking into account the variable bathymetry of the semi-enclosed basin. The Modified Mild-Slope (MMS) equation is implemented for the description of combined refraction-diffraction effects, from which the eigenperiods and eigenmodes are calculated by means of a low-order Finite Element Method (FEM scheme). The model is first applied to a coastal-port region of Toulon, France, illustrating the versatility of the model to easily include coastal structures such as detached breakwater. Next, the present model is applied to the extended nearshore area of Toulon including the Gulf of Giens showing the applicability of the developed MMS-FEM model for the estimation of harbor and bay resonances, as well as more extended nearshore regions where variable bottom topography effects become important. The calculated resonant frequency depends on the domain characteristics and the size of the open sea boundary and accurately reproduces the measurements within Toulon Bay. On the other hand, for open bays such as the Gulf of Giens, a discrepancy is observed between calculated and measured eigenperiods which is due to a very wide opening of the sea boundary that cannot accurately describe the seiching. This underlines the difficulty of accurately calculating the resonance frequency for open bays, in contrast to the classic studies carried out for ports, which are considered virtually closed basins, and confirms the complementary nature of long-term water level measurements and numerical calculations, for better quantification of the risks associated with energetic meteorological and/or oceanographic events.

Climate variability during the late Ediacaran: Insights from episodic deposition of black shale-hosted Mn‑carbonates in South China

The Ediacaran period witnessed events that were of significance to the evolution of Earth's environment and early life, especially the Neoproterozoic Oxygenation Event during the Shuram Event (ca. 570–562 Ma) that was followed by the rise of animal life. However, the nature of the climate change that followed the Shuram Event in South China remains unclear. Black shale-hosted Mn‑carbonate deposits have the potential to reveal valuable information about paleo-seawater conditions and paleoclimate. This paper presents results of an investigation of the unique Ediacaran mudstone succession of South China, especially black shale-hosted Mn‑carbonate deposits, and offers a new perspective of the interconnected nature of paleoclimate and Ediacaran deposits. Relying on detailed petrological, sedimentological, and geochemical data, we posit that Ediacaran Mn‑carbonates accumulated in a semi-enclosed basin that experienced oscillating water column redox conditions and enhanced primary productivity. Chemical index of alteration (CIA) values, Rb/Sr ratios, and δ13C − δ15N stratigraphy of the analyzed deposits provide evidence of episodic warming during an otherwise protracted cooling trend following the Shuram Event (ca. 562–551 Ma). This study highlights the significant utility of black shale-hosted Mn‑carbonate strata in reconstructing Earth's paleoclimate during transitions.

Sea level oscillations spectra of a shallow coastal bay: Cost-effective measurements and numerical modelling in Kruglaya Bay

Seiches are long standing waves typical of enclosed and semi-enclosed basins. It is shown that they can be generated in bays by long-period waves coming from open sea through an entry. An interaction between adjacent bays may extend the number of seiche modes in these bays. Kruglaya Bay is widely used for recreational purposes. We measured sea level variations in Kruglaya Bay in August-October, 2022 by means of a cost-effective and robust autonomous sea-level recorder designed and assembled in Marine Hydrophysical Institute. Measurements were conducted based on an ultra-sound JSN-SR04T sensor. SWASH, a numerical high-resolution model, was used to simulate dissipating free oscillations in a system of connected shallow semi-enclosed bays initiated by long waves incoming from the open sea. A spectral analysis of measured sea level fluctuations was used to identify resonant periods of local seiches in Kruglaya Bay. Estimate periods of oscillations that correspond to incoming long waves from the neighbouring bays were obtained using the results of mathematical modeling. The performed wavelet analysis permitted to identify situations when local resonant oscillations were initiated before wind intensification (which manifested as an increase in energy at the high-frequency part of the spectrum). An intense fundamental mode (also known as the ‘Helmholtz mode’ of a semi-enclosed oscillating basin) of Kruglaya Bay (period around 14 min) was identified both in measurements and the numerical simulation. The power spectra of the sea level oscillations in Kruglaya Bay also showed significant peaks at the periods of fundamental modes of the neighbouring bays. Besides, periods of the Black Sea seiches (1.25 h and 2.5 h) were identified from the observations.

Uncertainties and discrepancies in the representation of recent storm surges in a non-tidal semi-enclosed basin: a hindcast ensemble for the Baltic Sea

Abstract. Extreme sea level events, such as storm surges, pose a threat to coastlines around the globe. Many tide gauges have been measuring the sea level and recording these extreme events for decades, some for over a century. The data from these gauges often serve as the basis for evaluating the extreme sea level statistics, which are used to extrapolate sea levels that serve as design values for coastal protection. Hydrodynamic models often have difficulty in correctly reproducing extreme sea levels and, consequently, extreme sea level statistics and trends. In this study, we generate a 13-member hindcast ensemble for the non-tidal Baltic Sea from 1979 to 2018 using the coastal ocean model GETM (General Estuarine Transport Model). In order to cope with mean biases in maximum water levels in the simulations, we include both simulations with and those without wind-speed adjustments in the ensemble. We evaluate the uncertainties in the extreme value statistics and recent trends of annual maximum sea levels. Although the ensemble mean shows good agreement with observations regarding return levels and trends, we still find large variability and uncertainty within the ensemble (95 % confidence levels up to 60 cm for the 30-year return level). We argue that biases and uncertainties in the atmospheric reanalyses, e.g. variability in the representation of storms, translate directly into uncertainty within the ensemble. The translation of the variability of the 99th percentile wind speeds into the sea level elevation is in the order of the variability of the ensemble spread of the modelled maximum sea levels. Our results emphasise that 13 members are insufficient and that regionally large ensembles should be created to minimise uncertainties. This should improve the ability of the models to correctly reproduce the underlying extreme value statistics and thus provide robust estimates of climate change-induced changes in the future.

Detection of materially coherent eddies from satellite altimetry in the Bay of Bengal

Mesoscale eddies are a well-recognized feature of the global oceans, being of dynamical relevance to various ocean processes and of significance to transport of various species. In the last few decades, advancements in satellite observations of the sea surface have revealed mesoscale and sub-mesoscale eddy features in many parts of the ocean. An objective definition and detection of eddies has, however, remained a challenge, thus resulting in unreliable estimates of eddy formation, evolution and dissipation. In this study, we present an implementation of a Lagrangian averaged vorticity deviation (LAVD) based method to detect and characterize eddies in the Bay of Bengal (BoB), a freshwater-dominated semi-enclosed basin in the northern Indian Ocean. Systematic sensitivity studies are performed to identify parameter values that result in robust eddy detection in the BoB, and finite-time coherence in material transport associated with the LAVD-based eddies is demonstrated. LAVD-based eddy detection is then used to statistically characterize the Sri Lanka dome (SLD) eddy, an annual mesoscale cyclonic eddy of dynamical and physical importance in the southern BoB. Analysing satellite-based ocean surface currents from 27 years (1993–2019) of data, the inter-annual variability in the SLD formation, its spatio-temporal evolution and dissipation are elucidated. On an average, SLD has a lifetime of 15 weeks and a maximum area of 5 square degrees, with the longest lifetime of 38 weeks in 1996 and a maximum area of 12 square degrees in 1998. Long-lived SLDs are shown to spatially excurse into the BoB, potentially influencing large-scale transport of physical and biogeochemical properties. A potential correlation between large SLD lifetime and large variations in the monthly evolution of Dipole Mode Index and NINO3.4 is highlighted. An SSH-based Eulerian eddy detection method is also implemented to understand its efficacy in identifying materially coherent eddies in the BoB region. The paper concludes with a summary of our results, and a brief discussion of potential applications of LAVD-based eddy detection in the northern Indian Ocean.

Hydrography of Northern Thermaikos Gulf based on an integrated observational-modeling approach

The Northern Thermaikos Gulf is a semi-enclosed coastal region of the Aegean Sea, characterized by anthropogenic and natural stresses such as intense industrial and agricultural activities, urban outflows, and several river discharges facing severe pollution events. The main motivation of this study is to investigate the prevailing oceanographic conditions of Northern Thermaikos Gulf, which are associated with the quality of the semi-enclosed basin's water masses. The hydrography and the hydrodynamic circulation patterns are revisited, based on the findings of a multi-platform observational study, conducted during a recent annual cycle, from June 2021 until May 2022. The observational findings are supported by a three-dimensional high-resolution hydrodynamic model (Deltf3D-Thermaikos) with updated freshwater input from all important land sources. The physical connectivity between the sub-basins of Thermaikos, the renewal of its northern coastal areas and the seawater quality are strongly related to the variability of wind-induced circulation. Northerly and southerly winds affect the spreading of the nutrient-rich riverine waters, discharged at the west coast of the gulf. The prevailing northerly winds contribute to the southward removal of the polluted sea surface and riverine waters, enhancing the cyclonic circulation around the gulf, allowing the inflow of clearer Aegean Sea Waters along the eastern coasts of the gulf. Northerlies also promote a connectivity pathway between the environmentally stressed Thessaloniki Bay (urban seafront) and the commonly less polluted southeastern coasts of the central basin. Southerlies mainly confine riverine waters in the western and northern coastal regions, weaken the renewal ability of the enclosed basins, and impose the formation of anticyclonic, mesoscale, circulation eddies in the outer and central areas.

CROSS-SHORE TRANSFORMATION OF BOUND AND FREE INFRAGRAVITY WAVES OFF THE DUTCH COAST

Infragravity (IG) waves are key drivers for coastal erosion and thus need to be properly included in process-based modelling of coastal hazards. Uncertainties remain regarding the offshore boundary conditions for these long waves. Typically, only bound IG waves are included at the boundary, which means that the possible contribution of free IG waves, such as those radiated from distant coastlines, is neglected. Recent studies however suggest that incoming free IG waves could be significant, particularly in semi-enclosed basins such as the North Sea where they could contribute to coastal hazards (e.g., Reniers et al., 2021, Rijnsdorp et al. 2021). The objective of this work is to improve the understanding of the incoming IG wave field along the Dutch coast. We will quantify how bound and free IG waves develop in intermediate water depths and assess in which conditions (onshore directed) free IG waves become significant.

Transport and accumulation of floating marine litter in the Black Sea: insights from numerical modeling

IntroductionFloating marine litter (FML) is a global problem with significant risks to marine life and human health. In semi-enclosed basins like the Black Sea, slow water replenishment and strong input from European rivers create conditions that can lead to the accumulation of FML. This study aims to validate and utilize an FML dispersion and accumulation numerical model. Additionally, it assesses the influence of Stokes drift on the accumulation patterns of marine litter in the Black Sea, focusing on the contribution from the main river discharge points.MethodsNumerical Lagrangian modeling adapted to the regional domain in the Black Sea was employed to simulate the dispersion and accumulation of FML. Three scenarios were conducted: two involved homogeneous particle release, one considering Stokes drift, and the other excluding it. The third scenario involved particle release from the nine main river basins.ResultsThe southwest coast of the Black Sea exhibited a high density of FML in all scenarios. This finding is likely attributed to the cyclonic circulation, significant FML input from the Danube River, and other northern rivers. Notably, the consideration of Stokes drift significantly impacted the residence time of particles in offshore waters and the percentage of particles washing up on the shore. Including Stokes drift increased the percentage of beached particles from 45.5% to 75.5% and reduced the average residence time from 99 to 63 days. These results align with recent literature, which emphasizes the importance of accounting for Stokes drift to avoid overestimating residence times.DiscussionThe model's findings provide valuable insights into FML accumulation patterns in the Black Sea. The eastern region near the Georgian coast and the northwestern Black Sea were identified as high-density areas, corroborated by observational data. This research underscores the significance of considering Stokes drift when modeling FML transport, particularly concerning marine litter accumulation and potential impacts on coastal regions.

Data-driven and physics-based approach for wave downscaling: A comparative study

The physics-based approach is the most common framework for modelling ocean engineering processes; however, in the last years data-driven models are becoming more and more popular. In the case of wave downscaling, the number of studies involving data-driven models is scarce. In this paper, both approaches are developed and compared on a case study in the Mediterranean Sea. Two Feed Forward Multilayer Perceptron Neural Networks are trained with the Levenberg-Marquardt algorithm and compared with a SWAN model. The behaviour of both models turns out to be similar with respect to the wave height. However, with respect to the peak period, neural networks outperform the SWAN model, which slightly overestimates the peak period. Neural networks show a correlation coefficient and error of 0.96 and 1.00 s, respectively, versus 0.72 and 6.2 s for the SWAN model. Regarding the computational cost, the data-driven approach clearly outperforms the physics-based approach. Therefore, it may be concluded that at those sites where a minimum of 25,000 data samples are available, data-driven models are of interest – not least in semi-enclosed basins governed by local patterns, where large-scale or global physics-based models typically struggle.

Širenje atlantskog plavog raka Callinectes sapidus u Tirenskom moru: dokazi o postojanju ustanovljene populaciji u laguni Stagnone di Marsala (Sicilija, južna Italija)

The blue crab Callinectes sapidus is a portunid brachyuran native of the Atlantic coasts of America. In the last decades, the species has greatly expanded its range in invaded areas, currently including the Atlantic coasts of Morocco, the Mediterranean Sea, the Black Sea as well as the eastern Atlantic coasts of Europe from Portugal to France, Belgium, and Germany. In the present study, several specimens of C. sapidus were collected in May, June and July 2021 in the Stagnone di Marsala, a semi-enclosed basin located in the north-western coast of Sicily (southern Italy, Mediterranean Sea) characterized by low hydrodynamics and water exchange with the adjacent open sea and high salinity conditions. Juveniles at different instar stages and ovigerous females were repeatedly captured, suggesting the presence of an established population of the blue crab, despite the peculiar environmental conditions characterizing the basin. These findings are discussed in the context of the current expansion of the species along the African coasts of the Mediterranean Sea.