Self-controlled Risk Interval Research Articles

Risk of incident gout following exposure to recombinant zoster vaccine in US adults aged ≥65 years

ObjectiveAssess the risk of incident gout following exposure to recombinant zoster vaccine (RZV). MethodsThis case-only, self-controlled risk interval study included a cohort of US fee-for-service Medicare (Part A, B, and D) beneficiaries aged ≥65 years. The exposure was receipt of at least one dose of the two-dose RZV regimen in 2018 or 2019. The risk and control windows were days 1–30 and days 31–60, respectively, following vaccination. Incident gout was defined as the first episode of gout during the risk or control window, with no evidence of gout in the last 365 days. We estimated the relative risk (RR) and 95 % confidence interval (CI) of incident gout in the risk window relative to the control window, using conditional Poisson regression models. Sensitivity analyses included a dose-compliant subanalysis of individuals who received dose 2 60–183 days after dose 1; dose-specific analysis; seasonality adjustment; and COVID-19 adjustment for potential detection bias due to the pandemic. ResultsThe 1290 RZV-exposed individuals with incident gout were primarily White (86.98 %), male (61.16 %), and aged 70–79 years (55.82 %). The RR of incident gout was 1.00 (95 % CI 0.90, 1.12). In the dose-compliant sensitivity analysis (n = 959 cases of incident gout), the RR of incident gout was 0.99 (95 % CI 0.87, 1.13). The findings were unchanged in the dose-specific, seasonality, and COVID-19 sensitivity analyses. ConclusionThe findings suggest that RZV is not significantly associated with an increased risk of incident gout in the Medicare population aged ≥65 years.

Applying two approaches to detect unmeasured confounding due to time-varying variables in a self-controlled risk interval design evaluating COVID-19 vaccine safety signals, using myocarditis as a case example.

We test the robustness of the self-controlled risk interval (SCRI) design in a setting where time between doses may introduce time-varying confounding, using both negative control outcomes (NCOs) and quantitative bias analysis (QBA). All vaccinated cases identified from 5 European databases between 1 September 2020 and end of data availability were included. Exposures were doses 1-3 of the Pfizer, Moderna, AstraZeneca, and Janssen COVID-19 vaccines; outcomes were myocarditis and otitis externa (NCO). The SCRI used a 60-day control window and dose-specific 28-day risk windows, stratified by vaccine brand and adjusted for calendar time. The QBA included two scenarios: (i) baseline probability of the confounder was higher in the control window and (ii) vice versa. The NCO was not associated with any of the COVID-19 vaccine types or doses except Moderna dose 1 (IRR = 1.09, 95%CI 1.01-1.09). The QBA suggested even the strongest literature-reported confounder (COVID-19; RRmyocarditis = 18.3) could only explain away part of the observed effect from IRR = 3 to IRR = 1.40. The SCRI seems robust to unmeasured confounding in the COVID-19 setting, although a strong unmeasured confounder could bias the observed effect upward. Replication of our findings for other safety signals would strengthen this conclusion.

Self-controlled risk interval study of rotavirus vaccine safety: Findings and implications.

The self-controlled case series (SCCS) is often used to monitor vaccine safety. The evaluation of intussusception after the rotavirus vaccine is complicated because the baseline rate varies with age. Time-varying baseline risk adjustments with data from unexposed cohorts are utilised. Self-controlled risk interval (SCRI), with a shorter observation period, can also mitigate the problem by studying a control period close to the risk period. An Indian rotavirus vaccine has previously been studied using SCCS. The risk of intussusception in the high-risk windows (21 days after vaccination) was comparable to the background risk. The aim was to re-analyse data of an existing SCCS study using alternate statistical methods to examine vaccine safety. We examined the mean age of intussusception in the vaccinated and the unvaccinated. We performed an SCRI analysis of the surveillance data from the SCCS study, limiting the observation period to 180 days. We analysed the time-to-intussusception from the last vaccination. Finally, we performed an SCCS analysis, excluding unvaccinated cases from the analysis. We found that the mean age of intussusception was significantly lower in the vaccinated (205 days) compared to the unvaccinated (223 days) (p-value 0.0026). The Incident Risk Ratio (IRR) on SCRI analysis was 1.62 (95% CI 1.07-2.44). There were significantly more intussusceptions in the first 30 days after vaccination compared to the next 30-day window. (92 vs 63 p-value = 0.009). We found that excluding unvaccinated infants from the SCCS analysis demonstrated significantly increased risk for the risk period 1-21 days after the 3rd dose (IRR 2.47, 95% CI 1.70-3.59). The risks of intussusception were missed in traditional SCCS analysis using unvaccinated infants as controls. Traditional risk adjustments using data from unexposed cohorts in SCCS may not be appropriate for investigating the risk of intussusception where vaccination lowers the mean age of intussusception.

Importance of Examining Incidentality in Vaccine Safety Assessment

The author believes that the principles of statistical methods for vaccine safety can be divided into three categories: comparison of adverse event incidence rates between vaccinated and unvaccinated groups, analysis of incidentality in the vaccinated group, and a combination of both. The first category includes the cohort study; the second, the self-controlled risk interval design (SCRI); and the third, the self-controlled case series method. A single p-value alone should not determine a scientific conclusion, and analysis should be performed using multiple statistical methods with different principles. The author believes that using both the cohort study and the SCRI for analysis is the best method to assess vaccine safety. When the cohort study may not detect a significant difference owing to a low incidence rate of an adverse event in the vaccinated group or a high one in the unvaccinated group, the SCRI may detect it. Because vaccines must have a higher level of safety than the pharmaceuticals used for treatment, vaccine safety is advisable to be assessed using methods that can detect a significant difference even for any value of the incidence rate of an adverse event. The author believes that the analyses of COVID-19 vaccine safety have areas for improvement because the proportion of papers that used the cohort study and the SCRI was negligible.

A comparison of four self-controlled study designs in an analysis of COVID-19 vaccines and myocarditis using five European databases

IntroductionThe aim of this study was to assess the possible extent of bias due to violation of a core assumption (event-dependent exposures) when using self-controlled designs to analyse the association between COVID-19 vaccines and myocarditis. MethodsWe used data from five European databases (Spain: BIFAP, FISABIO VID, and SIDIAP; Italy: ARS-Tuscany; England: CPRD Aurum) converted to the ConcePTION Common Data Model. Individuals who experienced both myocarditis and were vaccinated against COVID-19 between 1 September 2020 and the end of data availability in each country were included. We compared a self-controlled risk interval study (SCRI) using a pre-vaccination control window, an SCRI using a post-vaccination control window, a standard SCCS and an extension of the SCCS designed to handle violations of the assumption of event-dependent exposures. ResultsWe included 1,757 cases of myocarditis. For analyses of the first dose of the Pfizer vaccine, to which all databases contributed information, we found results consistent with a null effect in both of the SCRI and extended SCCS, but some indication of a harmful effect in a standard SCCS. For the second dose, we found evidence of a harmful association for all study designs, with relatively similar effect sizes (SCRI pre = 1.99, 1.40 – 2.82; SCRI post 2.13, 95 %CI – 1.43, 3.18; standard SCCS 1.79, 95 %CI 1.31 – 2.44, extended SCCS 1.52, 95 %CI = 1.08 – 2.15). Adjustment for calendar time did not change these conclusions. Findings using all designs were also consistent with a harmful effect following a second dose of the Moderna vaccine. ConclusionsIn the context of the known association between COVID-19 vaccines and myocarditis, we have demonstrated that two forms of SCRI and two forms of SCCS led to largely comparable results, possibly because of limited violation of the assumption of event-dependent exposures.

Effectiveness of COVID-19 vaccines against severe outcomes in cancer patients: Real-world evidence from self-controlled risk interval and retrospective cohort studies

BackgroundThe effectiveness of COVID-19 vaccines is generally reduced in cancer patients compared to the general population. However, there are only a few studies that compare the relative risk of breakthrough infections and severe COVID-19 outcomes in fully vaccinated cancer patients versus their unvaccinated counterparts. MethodsTo assess the effectiveness of COVID-19 vaccines in cancer patients, we employed (1) a self-controlled risk interval (SCRI) design, and (2) a retrospective matched cohort design. A SCRI design was used to compare the risk of breakthrough infection in vaccinated cancer patients during the period immediately following vaccination (“control window”) and the period in which immunity is achieved (“exposure windows”). The retrospective matched cohort design was used to compare the risk of severe COVID-19 outcomes between vaccinated and unvaccinated cancer patients. For both studies, data were extracted from the Korea Disease Control and Prevention Agency-COVID-19-National Health Insurance Service cohort, including demographics, medical history, and vaccination records of all individuals confirmed with COVID-19. We used conditional Poisson regression to calculate the incidence rate ratio (IRR) for breakthrough infection and Cox regression to estimate the hazard ratio (HR) for severe outcomes. ResultsOf 14,448 cancer patients diagnosed with COVID-19 between October 2020 and December 2021, a total of 217 and 3996 cancer patients were included in the SCRI and cohort study respectively. While the risk of breakthrough infections, measured by the incidence rate in the control and exposure windows, did not show statistically significant difference in vaccinated cancer patients (IRR=0.88, 95% CI: 0.64–1.22), the risk of severe COVID-19 outcomes was significantly lower in vaccinated cancer patients compared to those unvaccinated (HR=0.27, 95% CI: 0.22–0.34). ConclusionCOVID-19 vaccines significantly reduce the risk of severe outcomes in cancer patients, though their efficacy against breakthrough infections is less evident.

Neurological and immunological adverse events after pneumococcal conjugate vaccine in children using national immunization programme registry data.

Despite the general consensus on the safety of pneumococcal conjugate vaccine (PCV), safety concerns unveiled during post-licensure surveillance need to be addressed. We investigated whether there is a transient increased risk following a three-dose series of pneumococcal conjugate vaccine (PCV) administered at 2, 4 and 6 months of age. This was a population-based cohort study using the Korea immunization registry data linked to nationwide administrative claims data. Self-controlled risk interval analysis was conducted for PCV recipients who had an outcome of interest within pre-defined risk and control intervals between 2018 and 2022. The outcomes were anaphylaxis, asthma, encephalopathy, febrile seizure, Kawasaki disease and thrombocytopenia. We used conditional Poisson regression model to estimate the incidence rate ratios (IRRs) and 95% confidence intervals (CIs) comparing the outcomes in the risk and control intervals. Of 1 114 096 PCV recipients, 8661 had outcomes either in the risk or control intervals. Their mean age at Dose 1 was 10.0 weeks, 58.3% were boys, and 85.3% received 13-valent PCV. PCV was not associated with an increased risk of any outcomes except for febrile seizure. There were 408 (56.0%) cases of febrile seizure in the risk interval, corresponding to an IRR of 1.27 (95% CI 1.10-1.47). It is reassuring to note that there was no increased risk of the potential safety concerns following PCV administration. Despite the transient increased risk of febrile seizure, absolute numbers of cases were small. Febrile seizure is generally self-limiting with a good prognosis, and should not discourage parents or caregivers from vaccinating their children.

Cardiovascular, Neurological, and Immunological Adverse Events and the 23-Valent Pneumococcal Polysaccharide Vaccine

Despite widespread immunization with the 23-valent pneumococcal polysaccharide vaccine (PPSV23), safety concerns remain owing to a lack of statistical power and largely outdated evidence. To evaluate the association between cardiovascular, neurological, and immunological adverse events and PPSV23 vaccination in older adults. This population-based cohort study using a self-controlled risk interval design used a large linked database created by linking the Korea Immunization Registry Information System and the National Health Information Database (2018 to 2021). Participants included patients aged 65 years or older with a history of PPSV23 vaccination and incident cardiovascular, neurological, or immunological events during the risk and control intervals. Data were analyzed from November 2022 to April 2023. 23-valent pneumococcal polysaccharide vaccine. The occurrence of 1 among 6 cardiovascular events (myocardial infarction, atrial fibrillation, cardiomyopathy, heart failure, hypotension, and myocarditis or pericarditis), 2 neurological events (Bell palsy and Guillain-Barré syndrome), and 3 immunological events (sepsis, thrombocytopenia, and anaphylaxis) during the risk and control periods. The risk and control intervals were defined as 1 to 28 and 57 to 112 days after PPSV23 vaccination, respectively. Conditional Poisson regression was used to estimate the incidence rate ratio (IRR) with a 95% CI. Altogether, 4355 of the 1 802 739 individuals who received PPSV23 vaccination and experienced at least 1 outcome event were included (mean [SD] age, 72.4 [8.2] years; 2272 male participants [52.1%]). For cardiovascular events, there were no significant associations for myocardial infarction (IRR, 0.96; 95% CI, 0.81-1.15), heart failure (IRR, 0.85; 95% CI, 0.70-1.04), and stroke (IRR, 0.92; 95% CI, 0.84-1.02). Similarly, no increased risks were observed for neurological and immunological outcomes: Bell palsy (IRR, 0.95; 95% CI, 0.72-1.26), Guillain-Barré syndrome (IRR, 0.27; 95% CI, 0.06-1.17), sepsis (IRR, 0.99; 95% CI, 0.74-1.32), and thrombocytopenia (IRR, 1.18; 95% CI, 0.60-2.35). In this self-controlled risk interval study, there was no appreciable increase in risk for most cardiovascular, neurological, or immunological adverse events following PPSV23. The updated safety profile of PPSV23 provides supportive evidence for the establishment of immunization strategies for older adults.

Safety of measles, mumps, and rubella vaccine in adolescents and adults in the vaccine safety Datalink

Measles, mumps, and rubella vaccine (MMR) is routinely administered to children; however, adolescents and adults may receive MMR for various reasons. Safety studies in adolescents and adults are limited. We report on safety of MMR in this age group in the Vaccine Safety Datalink. We included adolescents (aged 9-17years) and adults (aged≥18years) who received≥1 dose of MMR from January 1, 2010-December 31, 2018. Pre-specified outcomes were identified by diagnosis codes. Clinically serious outcomes included anaphylaxis, encephalitis/myelitis, Guillain-Barré syndrome, immune thrombocytopenia, meningitis, and seizure. Non-serious outcomes were allergic reaction, arthropathy, fever, injection site reaction, lymphadenopathy, non-specific reaction, parotitis, rash, and syncope. All serious outcomes underwent medical record review. Outcome-specific incidence was calculated in pre-defined post-vaccination windows. A self-controlled risk interval design was used to determine the relative risk of each outcome in a risk window after vaccination compared to a more distal control window. During the study period, 276,327 MMR doses were administered to adolescents and adults. Mean age of vaccinees was 34.8years; 65.8% were female; 53.2% of doses were administered simultaneously with≥1 other vaccine. Serious outcomes were rare, with incidence≤6 per 100,000 doses for each outcome assessed, and none had a significant elevation in incidence during the risk window compared to the control window. Incidence of non-serious outcomes per 100,000 doses ranged from 3.4 for parotitis to 263.0 for arthropathy. Other common outcomes included injection site reaction and rash (157.0 and 112.9 per 100,000 doses, respectively). Significantly more outcomes were observed during the risk window compared to the control window for all non-serious outcomes except parotitis. Some variability was observed by sex and age group. Serious outcomes after MMR are rare in adolescents and adults, but vaccinees should be counseled regarding anticipated local and systemic non-serious adverse events.

Opioid Overdose Risk Following Hospital Discharge Among Individuals Prescribed Long-Term Opioid Therapy: a Risk Interval Analysis.

Individuals prescribed long-term opioid therapy (LTOT) have increased risk of readmission and death after hospital discharge. The risk of opioid overdose during the immediate post-discharge time period is unknown. To examine the association between time since hospital discharge and opioid overdose among individuals prescribed LTOT. Self-controlled risk interval analysis. Adults prescribed LTOT with at least one hospital discharge at a safety-net health system and a non-profit healthcare organization in Colorado. We identified individuals prescribed LTOT who were discharged from January 2006 through June 2019. The outcome was a composite of fatal and non-fatal opioid overdoses during a 90-day post-discharge observation period, identified using electronic health record (EHR) and vital statistics data. Risk intervals included days 0-6 after index and subsequent hospital discharges. Control intervals ranged from days 7 to 89 after index discharge and included all other time during the observation period that did not fall within a risk interval or time readmitted during a subsequent hospitalization, which was excluded. Poisson regression was used to estimate incidence rate ratios (IRR) and 95% confidence intervals (CI) for overdose events during risk in comparison to control intervals. We identified 7695 adults (63.3% over 55 years, 59.4% female, 20.3% Hispanic) who experienced 9499 total discharges during the study period. Twenty-one overdoses occurred during their observation periods (1174 per 100,000 person-years [9 in risk, 12 in control]). Overdose risk was significantly higher during the risk interval in comparison to the control interval (IRR 6.92; 95% CI 2.92-16.43). During the first 7 days after hospital discharge, individuals prescribed LTOT appear to be at elevated risk for opioid overdose. Clarifying mechanisms of overdose risk may help inform in-hospital and post-discharge prevention strategies.

Myocarditis and pericarditis associated with SARS-CoV-2 vaccines: A population-based descriptive cohort and a nested self-controlled risk interval study using electronic health care data from four European countries.

Background: Estimates of the association between COVID-19 vaccines and myo-/pericarditis risk vary widely across studies due to scarcity of events, especially in age- and sex-stratified analyses. Methods: Population-based cohort study with nested self-controlled risk interval (SCRI) using healthcare data from five European databases. Individuals were followed from 01/01/2020 until end of data availability (31/12/2021 latest). Outcome was first myo-/pericarditis diagnosis. Exposures were first and second dose of Pfizer, AstraZeneca, Moderna, and Janssen COVID-19 vaccines. Baseline incidence rates (IRs), and vaccine- and dose-specific IRs and rate differences were calculated from the cohort The SCRI calculated calendar time-adjusted IR ratios (IRR), using a 60-day pre-vaccination control period and dose-specific 28-day risk windows. IRRs were pooled using random effects meta-analysis. Findings: Over 35 million individuals (49·2% women, median age 39-49years) were included, of which 57·4% received at least one COVID-19 vaccine dose. Baseline incidence of myocarditis was low. Myocarditis IRRs were elevated after vaccination in those aged < 30years, after both Pfizer vaccine doses (IRR = 3·3, 95%CI 1·2-9.4; 7·8, 95%CI 2·6-23·5, respectively) and Moderna vaccine dose 2 (IRR = 6·1, 95%CI 1·1-33·5). An effect of AstraZeneca vaccine dose 2 could not be excluded (IRR = 2·42, 95%CI 0·96-6·07). Pericarditis was not associated with vaccination. Interpretation: mRNA-based COVID-19 vaccines and potentially AstraZeneca are associated with increased myocarditis risk in younger individuals, although absolute incidence remains low. More data on children (≤ 11years) are needed.

Assessment of Herpes Zoster Risk Among Recipients of COVID-19 Vaccine

Herpes zoster infection after COVID-19 vaccination has been reported in numerous case studies. It is not known whether these cases represent increased reporting or a true increase in risk. To assess whether COVID-19 vaccination is associated with an increased risk of herpes zoster infection. This cohort study used a self-controlled risk interval (SCRI) design to compare the risk of herpes zoster in a risk interval of 30 days after COVID-19 vaccination or up to the date of the second vaccine dose with a control interval remote from COVID-19 vaccination (defined as 60-90 days after the last recorded vaccination date for each individual, allowing for a 30-day washout period between control and risk intervals). A supplemental cohort analysis was used to compare the risk of herpes zoster after COVID-19 vaccination with the risk of herpes zoster after influenza vaccination among 2 historical cohorts who received an influenza vaccine in the prepandemic period (January 1, 2018, to December 31, 2019) or the early pandemic period (March 1, 2020, to November 30, 2020). Data were obtained from Optum Labs Data Warehouse, a US national deidentified claims-based database. A total of 2 039 854 individuals who received any dose of a COVID-19 vaccine with emergency use authorization (BNT162b2 [Pfizer-BioNTech], mRNA-1273 [Moderna], or Ad26.COV2.S [Johnson & Johnson]) from December 11, 2020, through June 30, 2021, were eligible for inclusion. Individuals included in the SCRI analysis were a subset of the COVID-19-vaccinated cohort who had herpes zoster during either a risk or control interval. Any dose of a COVID-19 vaccine. Incident herpes zoster, defined by International Statistical Classification of Diseases and Related Health Problems, Tenth Revision codes and a prescription of a new antiviral medication or a dose increase in antiviral medication within 5 days of diagnosis. Among 2 039 854 individuals who received any dose of a COVID-19 vaccine during the study period, the mean (SD) age was 43.2 (16.3) years; 1 031 149 individuals (50.6%) were female, and 1 344 318 (65.9%) were White. Of those, 1451 patients (mean [SD] age, 51.6 [12.6] years; 845 [58.2%] female) with a herpes zoster diagnosis were included in the primary SCRI analysis. In the SCRI analysis, COVID-19 vaccination was not associated with an increased risk of herpes zoster after adjustment (incidence rate ratio, 0.91; 95% CI, 0.82-1.01; P = .08). In the supplementary cohort analysis, COVID-19 vaccination was not associated with a higher risk of herpes zoster compared with influenza vaccination in the prepandemic period (first dose of COVID-19 vaccine: hazard ratio [HR], 0.78 [95% CI, 0.70-0.86; P < .001]; second dose of COVID-19 vaccine: HR, 0.79 [95% CI, 0.71-0.88; P < .001]) or the early pandemic period (first dose of COVID-19 vaccine: HR, 0.89 [95% CI, 0.80-1.00; P = .05]; second dose: HR, 0.91 [95% CI, 0.81-1.02; P = .09]). In this study, there was no association found between COVID-19 vaccination and an increased risk of herpes zoster infection, which may help to address concerns about the safety profile of the COVID-19 vaccines among patients and clinicians.

Kawasaki Disease Following the 13-valent Pneumococcal Conjugate Vaccine and Rotavirus Vaccines.

Temporal associations between Kawasaki disease (KD) and childhood vaccines have been reported. Limited data on KD following 13-valent pneumococcal conjugate (PCV13) and rotavirus vaccines are available. We conducted a self-controlled risk interval study using Vaccine Safety Datalink electronic health record data to investigate the risk of KD following PCV13 and rotavirus vaccines in children <2 years of age who were born from 2006 to 2017. All hospitalized KD cases identified by International Classification of Diseases diagnosis codes that fell within predefined risk (days 1-28 postvaccination) and control (days 29-56 for doses 1 and 2, and days 43-70 for doses 3 and 4) intervals were confirmed by manual chart review. During the study period, 655 cases of KD were identified by International Classification of Diseases codes. Of these, 97 chart-confirmed cases were within risk or control intervals. In analyses, the age-adjusted relative risk for KD following any dose of PCV13 was 0.75 (95% confidence interval, 0.47-1.21). Similarly, the age-adjusted relative risk for KD following any dose of rotavirus vaccine was 0.66 (95% CI, 0.40-1.09). Overall, there was no evidence of an elevated risk of KD following PCV13 or rotavirus vaccines by dose. In addition, no statistically significant temporal clustering of KD cases was identified during days 1 to 70 postvaccination. PCV13 and rotavirus vaccination were not associated with an increased risk of KD in children <2 years of age. Our findings provide additional evidence for the overall safety of PCV13 and rotavirus vaccines.

Relative effectiveness of booster vs. 2-dose mRNA Covid-19 vaccination in the Veterans Health Administration: Self-controlled risk interval analysis

ObjectiveTo estimate relative effectiveness of the booster mRNA Covid-19 vaccination versus the 2-dose primary series for both Delta and Omicron variants with self-controlled study design. MethodsWe used the Veterans Health Administration (VHA) Corporate Data Warehouse to identify U.S. Veterans who received the 2-dose primary mRNA Covid-19 vaccine series and a mRNA Covid-19 booster, and who had a positive SARS-CoV-2 test during the Delta (9/23/2021–11/30/2021) or Omicron (1/1/22–3/19/22) predominant period. Among them, we conducted a self-controlled risk interval (SCRI) analysis to compare odds of SARS-CoV-2 infection during a booster exposure interval versus a control interval. Exposures were a control interval (days 4–6 post-booster vaccination, presumably prior to gain of booster immunity), and booster exposure interval (days 14–16 post-booster vaccination, presumably following gain of booster immunity). Cases had a positive PCR or antigen SARS-CoV-2 test. Separately for Delta and Omicron periods, we used conditional logistic regression to calculate odds ratios (OR) of a positive test for the booster versus control interval and calculated relative effectiveness of booster versus 2-dose primary series as (1-OR)*100. The SCRI approach implicitly controlled for time-fixed confounders. ResultsWe found 42 individuals with a positive SARS-CoV-2 test in the control interval and 14 in the booster exposure interval during the Delta period, and 141 and 70, respectively, in the Omicron period. For the booster versus 2-dose primary series, the odds of infection were 70% (95 %CI: 42%, 84%) lower during the Delta period and 54% (95 %CI: 38%, 66%) lower during Omicron. In sensitivity analyses among those with prior Covid-19 history, and age stratification, ORs were similar to the main analysis. ConclusionsBooster vaccination was more effective relative to a 2-dose primary series during the Delta and Omicron predominant periods, and the relative effectiveness was consistent across age groups.

Safety of measles and pertussis-containing vaccines in children with autism spectrum disorders

ObjectivesTo determine whether children aged 4–7 years with a diagnosis of autism spectrum disorders (ASD) were at increased risk of fever, febrile seizures, or emergency department (ED) visits following measles- or pertussis-containing vaccines compared with children without ASD. MethodsThe study included children born between 1995–2012, aged 4–7 years at vaccination, and members of six healthcare delivery systems within Vaccine Safety Datalink. We conducted self-controlled risk interval analyses comparing rates of outcomes in risk and control intervals within each group defined by ASD status, and then compared outcome rates between children with and without ASD, in risk and control intervals, by estimating difference-in-differences using logistic regressions. ResultsThe study included 14,947 children with ASD and 1,650,041 children without ASD. After measles- or pertussis-containing vaccination, there were no differences in association between children with and without ASD for fever (ratio of rate ratio for measles-containing vaccine = 1.07, 95% CI 0.58–1.96; for pertussis-containing vaccine = 1.16, 95% CI 0.63–2.15) or ED visits (ratio of rate ratio for measles-containing vaccine = 1.11, 95% CI 0.80–1.54; for pertussis-containing vaccine = 0.87, 95% CI 0.59–1.28). Febrile seizures were rare. Pertussis-containing vaccines were associated with small increased risk of febrile seizures in children without ASD. ConclusionChildren with ASD were not at increased risk for fever or ED visits compared with children without ASD following measles- or pertussis-containing vaccines. These results may provide further reassurance that these vaccines are safe for all children, including those with ASD.

No association between enterovirus 71 (EV71) vaccination and risk of febrile seizures: a population-based near real-time surveillance study

ABSTRACT Background Since 2016, vaccines against enterovirus 71 (EV71) infection have been approved for use in China. Reports to the national passive surveillance system raised concerns about febrile seizures (FS) after EV71 vaccination. Rapid safety assessment of this novel vaccine is a public health priority. The objective was to assess risks of FS following EV71 vaccination in China. Methods We used data from a Regional Health Information Platform in Ningbo. The exposed population was children aged 6–71 months who received any dose of EV71 vaccine from 1 January 2016 to 31 December 2019. We implemented a multilayered approach to actively monitor FS following EV71 vaccination that included near real-time surveillance using two complementary sequential designs and further signal evaluation performing self-controlled risk interval (SCRI) analyses. Results A total of 330,668 EV71 doses were administered to the study population. During 157 weeks of sequential analyses, no statistically increased risks were detected, when compared with the self-matched control interval or the background risk. Further SCRI analyses confirmed no associations between EV71 vaccination and FS (adjusted incidence rate ratio: 1.04, 95% CI: 0.75 to 1.43). Conclusions Our results reassured the safety of FS after EV71 vaccination using postlicensure data for the first time.

Self-controlled assessment of thromboembolic event (TEE) risk following intravenous immune globulin (IGIV) in the U.S. (2006-2012).

Since 2013, the U.S. Food and Drug administration (FDA) has required that intravenous immune globulin (IGIV) products carry a boxed warning concerning the risk of thromboembolic events (TEEs). This study assessed the incidence of TEEs attributable to IGIV in a large population-based cohort. A self-controlled risk interval design was used to quantify the transient increase in TEE risk during the risk interval (days 0-2 and 0-13 following IGIV for arterial and venous TEEs, respectively) relative to a later control interval (days 14-27 following IGIV). Potential IGIV-exposed TEE cases from 2006 to 2012 were identified from the FDA-sponsored Sentinel Distributed Database and confirmed through medical record review. Inpatient IGIV exposures were not included in the venous TEE analysis due to concerns about time-varying confounding. 19,069 new users of IGIV who received 93,555 treatment episodes were included. Charts were retrieved for 62% and 70% of potential venous and arterial cases, respectively. There was a transient increase in the risk of arterial TEEs during days 0-2 following IGIV treatment (RR = 4.69; 95% CI 1.87, 11.90; absolute increase in risk = 8.86 events per 10,000 patients, 95% CI 3.25, 14.6), but no significant increase in venous TEE risk during days 0-13 following outpatient IGIV treatments (RR = 1.07, 95% CI 0.34, 3.48). Our results suggest there is a small increase in the absolute risk of arterial TEEs following IGIV. However, lower-than-expected chart retrieval rates and the possibility of time-varying confounding mean that our results should be interpreted cautiously. Continued pharmacovigilance efforts are warranted.

Association between Influenza Vaccination and the Risk of Bell's Palsy in the Korean Elderly.

Previous studies have shown controversial results on the risk of Bell’s palsy after influenza vaccination. Since the antigenic components of influenza vaccine can vary from season to season, continuous safety monitoring is required. The aim of the present study was to determine whether there was an increased risk of Bell’s palsy in the elderly after influenza vaccination between the 2015/2016 and 2017/2018 flu seasons. This study included the elderly who received influenza vaccinations for three flu seasons using a large-linked database of vaccination registration data from the Korea Disease Control and Prevention Agency and the National Health Insurance Service claims data. We used a self-controlled risk interval design with a risk interval of 1 to 42 days and a control interval of 57 to 98 days postvaccination and calculated the incidence rate ratio. To ensure the robustness of the results, sensitivity analyses were also carried out with different risk and control intervals. Of 4,653,440 elderly people who received the influenza vaccine, there was no statistically significant increase in the risk of Bell’s palsy (IRR: 0.99, 95% CI: 0.92–1.07). Similar results were found in analysis results for each season and the results of the sensitivity analyses excluding the 2017/2018 season. In conclusion, we found no evidence of an increased risk of Bell’s palsy after influenza vaccination. The results of our study provide reassurance about the safety of the influenza vaccine NIP program. However, it is necessary to continuously monitor the risk of Bell’s palsy during future flu seasons.

Association between human papillomavirus vaccination and serious adverse events in South Korean adolescent girls: nationwide cohort study

Objective To evaluate the association between human papillomavirus (HPV) vaccination and serious adverse events in adolescent girls in South Korea. Design Cohort study. Setting A large linked database created by...

5. Observational Study of Routine Use of 9-Valent Human Papillomavirus Vaccine: Safe in More Than 140,000 Individuals

BackgroundNine-valent human papillomavirus (HPV) vaccine (9vHPV vaccine, Gardasil®9) was licensed in the US in Dec-2014. Using a self-controlled risk interval design, we conducted a post-licensure retrospective cohort study within Kaiser Permanente in Northern California (KPNC) to assess 9vHPV safety following routine administration.MethodsWe included KPNC members 9-years or older who received 9vHPV as their first dose of HPV vaccine between Oct-2015 and Sep-2017. Post-vaccination emergency and hospitalization events were compared during risk intervals (days 1–60 and 0–14) with later self-comparison intervals using conditional logistic regression, following all 9vHPV vaccine doses combined, and by dose. We investigated significant findings by assessing post-vaccination timing and medical record reviews. We evaluated and reviewed medical records for all day 0 allergic reaction and syncope events, and all deaths during the study. An independent Safety Review Committee reviewed potential safety signals.ResultsWe studied 140,628 9vHPV-vaccinated individuals, including 69,027 (49%) who received 2 doses and 29,901 (21%) 3 doses, totaling 239,556 doses. Eight categories were significantly increased in at least one analysis (Table). On review, most findings were previously known, preceded vaccination, or were better explained by other medical history. Some day 0 allergic reactions and syncope were potentially related to vaccination. None of the 20 deaths were considered related to 9vHPV.Table. Elevated diagnosis categories comparing risk and self-comparison intervals.Diagnosis CategoriesORs (95% CI)Diabetes mellitus1.66 (1.01, 2.74)DeliriumNE (1.11, NE)Nervous system disorders+21.33 (1.02, 1.72)Digestive disorders+41.21 (1.03, 1.41)Male genital disease1.60 (1.04, 2.46)Skin disorders+11.88 (1.00, 3.53)Congenital anomalies, nervous system5.01 (1.10, 22.83)Symptoms, ill-defined+11.36 (1.13, 1.64) +n indicates number of elevated sub-categories, for a total of 16 categories. NE: not estimable.ConclusionThis large study of individuals who received only 9vHPV vaccine did not identify any new safety events related to 9vHPV administration and provides reassuring evidence of the favorable safety profile of the 9vHPV vaccine.DisclosuresSe Li, PhD, Merck & Co., Inc. (Employee, Shareholder) Christine Velicer, PhD, Merck & Co., Inc. (Employee, Shareholder) Patricia Saddier, MD, PhD, Merck & Co., Inc. (Employee, Shareholder) Nicola P. Klein, MD, PhD, GSK group of companies (Research Grant or Support)Merck (Grant/Research Support)Pfizer (Grant/Research Support)Protein Science (now SP) (Grant/Research Support)Sanofi Pasteur (Grant/Research Support)