Selection for heat tolerance is a key strategy for aquaculture to cope with the effects of climate change. Different alternatives exist to select aquatic species for heat tolerance. Here, we investigated the feasibility of applying reaction norms in summer growth of Atlantic salmon (Salmo salar) naturally exposed to diverse heat loads as a strategy to genetically improve heat tolerance. For this, summer growth of 40,044 fish from 2685 families and 21 cohorts, distributed across 14 years and 2 sites in Tasmania, was analysed under different reaction norm models (RNM), using a function of the average daily seawater temperature during the summer period (ranging from 12.8 to 19.7 °C) as the environment descriptor (heat load). RNM results unravelled substantial genotype by environment interaction for summer growth, specially between intermediate and high heat loads. Quadratic and spline linear-linear RNM outperformed linear RNM, showing a non-linear behaviour of the additive genetic effect on summer growth across different heat load gradients. The predictive ability of breeding values from RNM revealed opportunities to select for heat tolerance either for the highest heat load or for sensitivity to thermal variation (slope of RNM). Genomic-based breeding values presented better statistical properties than pedigree-based breeding values, highlighting the importance of using genomic information for a better predictive ability of heat tolerance. Genome-wide association analysis reinforced the polygenic nature of heat tolerance, indicating genomic selection as a more effective strategy to improve heat tolerance in Atlantic salmon, compared to strategies targeting specific genomic regions/genes.
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