Segi's World Standard Population Research Articles

Disparities in mortality risk after diagnosis of hematological malignancies in 185 countries: A global data analysis

This study was to report proxy measures for mortality risk in patients with hematological malignancies across 185 countries globally and explore its association with their socioeconomic status and treatment. The incidence, mortality, and 5-year prevalence data were extracted from the GLOBOCAN database. The data regarding the human development index (HDI), gross national income (GNI), vulnerability index, and concordance with cancer Essential Medicines List (EML) were obtained from open-source reports. The ratio of mortality to 5-year-prevalence (MPR) and that of mortality to incidence (MIR) were calculated and age-standardized using Segi's world standard population. Finally, the possible associations were assessed using Pearson correlation analyses. In 2020, the global incidence, mortality, and 5-year prevalence of HMs were 1,278,362, 711,840, and 3,616,685, respectively. Global age-standardized MPR and MIR were 0.15 and 0.44, respectively; they varied significantly among 6 regions, 185 countries, 4 HM types, and 4 HDI groups worldwide. Older populations always had higher ratios. The correlation of MPRs and MIRs with HDI, GNI, and concordance with cancer EML was negative, whereas it was positive with the vulnerability index (lower was better). Increasing access to cancer drugs in resource-limited regions with a focus on vulnerable children may aid in reducing HM-related mortality risk.

Incidence and Mortality of Cancers in Female Genital Organs - China, 2022.

This study presented the incidence and mortality rates of cancers affecting the female genital organs in China, along with their trends spanning from 2010 to 2018. 700 population-based cancer registries provided relevant cancer incidence and mortality data for the year 2018. Among these, 106 registries had continuous monitoring data suitable for trend analysis from 2010 to 2018. We focused specifically on cancers affecting female genital organs (ICD10=C51-C54, C56) and projected their incidences and mortalities in China for 2022 based on data from 2018 and the trends observed from 2010 to 2018. Age-standardized incidence rate (ASIR) and mortality rate (ASMR) were calculated using Segi's world standard population. In 2022, there were an estimated 296,300 new cases and 104,900 deaths from female cancers in China. ASIRs for vulva (C51), vagina (C52), cervix uteri (C53), corpus uteri (C54), and ovary (C56) were 0.32, 0.23, 13.83, 6.84, and 5.68 per 100,000 population. ASIRs for corpus uteri and ovary cancers were higher in urban areas. ASMRs for vulva, vagina, cervix, corpus uteri, and ovary cancers were 0.14, 0.08, 4.54, 1.05, and 2.64 per 100,000 population, respectively. ASMR for ovarian cancer was higher in urban areas. ASIRs and ASMRs for most female genital organ cancers increased from 2010 to 2018, although the rate of increase for vulvar and cervical cancers in rural areas has slowed recently. Tailored cancer prevention and control programs specific to each region are necessary to address the growing disease burden.

Cancer awareness, diagnosis and treatment needs in Mizoram, India: evidence from 18 years trends (2003-2020).

Despite being the second least populated state, Mizoram exhibits the highest incidence rate of cancer in India. Its inhabitants, constituting an endogamous and isolated population, have embraced their own distinct culture, way of life and dietary preferences, setting them apart from the rest of mainland India. In 2003, the Mizoram Population Based Cancer Registry (PBCR) was established under the auspices of the National Centre for Disease Informatics and Research (NCDIR), a division of the Indian Council of Medical Research (ICMR), in collaboration with the Department of Health & Family Welfare of the Government of Mizoram, India. Cancer incidence and mortality data were extracted from the Mizoram PBCR spanning the years 2003-2020. The Age Standardized Incidence Rate (ASIR) and Age Standardized Mortality Rate (ASMR) were computed per 100,000 individuals, utilizing Segi's World Standard Population as the benchmark. The trajectory of these changes was analysed employing the Joinpoint Regression Analysis Program, Version 4.9.1.0.13, to unveil the Annual Percent Change (APC) with a 95% Confidence Interval and a Significance test (p<0.05) using Monte Carlo Permutation. The resulting graphical visualizations were generated using Flourish Studio.15. The overall ASIR for all cancer sites among men was 197.2 per 100,000, while for women, it was 164.9 per 100,000. Among men, the most prevalent cancer site was the Stomach (ASIR=41.4), followed by Head & Neck, Lung, Oesophagus, Colorectal, Liver, Urinary, Non-Hodgkin's Lymphoma and Prostate cancers. Conversely, among women, Lung cancer exhibited the highest incidence (ASIR=26.7), succeeded by Cervical, Breast, Stomach, Head & Neck, Colorectal, Oesophagus, Liver and Ovarian cancers. Stomach cancer emerged as the leading cause of death among men (ASMR=22.6) and among women, Lung cancer held the highest ASMR (15.9). Joinpoint regression analysis revealed a rising trend in incidence and mortality over time for overall cancer sites. Among the primary cancer sites contributing to incidence and mortality, an increase in APC was observable for all, except Stomach cancer, in both men and women. The diagnostic approach, except for cases of cancer with unknown primary sites, involved a microscopic method. This cross-sectional study examines PBCR reports spanning from 2003 to 2020, shedding light on a consistent uptick in cancer incidence and mortality trends in Mizoram. Stomach cancer emerges as the most prevalent and primary cause of cancer-related deaths among men, while Lung cancer takes a parallel role in women. The elevated cancer incidence and the growing trend among younger generations might stem from the static lifestyle and dietary patterns prevalent within the endogamous tribal population, potentially contributing to a genetic predisposition. The escalation in mortality rates could be attributed to a dearth of specialized diagnostic facilities and skilled human resources, treatment strategies guided by genomic research and transportation challenges. This underscores the urgent requirement for comprehensive scientific exploration across diverse facets. The implementation of easily accessible diagnostic facilities in proximity and genetic testing for pharmacogenomics to enhance prognoses would also aid in mitigating the burden and advancing the healthcare system's effectiveness. Population Based Cancer Registry (PBCR) was supported by National Centre for Disease Informatics and Research (NCDIR) of the Indian Council of Medical Research (ICMR), India.

Patterns and trends in esophageal cancer incidence and mortality in China: An analysis based on cancer registry data

BackgroundEsophageal cancer poses a significant global burden, while its patterns and trends remain to be clarified. The aim of this study is to provide an update on the incidence and mortality rates of esophageal cancer and their trends in China based on data from the National Cancer Registry. MethodsWe extracted data from the National Central Cancer Registry (NCCR) of China from 2000 to 2016 and performed comprehensive quality control. We calculated age-standardized rates of China (ASR China) and world (ASR world) using the Chinese population in 2000 and the Segi's world standard population, and performed a joinpoint regression analysis to examine the trend in incidence and mortality of esophageal cancer. The annual percent change (APC) and weighted average APC (AAPC) over the entire study period were estimated to measure the changing trend. Subgroup analyses were conducted by sex, region and pathological type. ResultsA total of 487 eligible cancer registries were included in the data analysis and 22 registries with uninterrupted registration data were used for trend analysis. In 2016, there were an estimated of 184,500 incident cases of esophageal cancer and 142,300 deaths in China. The crude incidence, ASR China and ASR world were 25.25/100,000, 11.00/100,000 and 11.13/100,000, respectively. And the crude mortality, ASR China and ASR world were 19.38/100,000, 8.25/100,000 and 8.28/100,000, respectively. Esophageal squamous cell carcinoma (ESCC) was the most common histological type, accounting for 85.79% of all cases, followed by esophageal adenocarcinoma (EAC) (11.00%) and others (3.21%). There was a decreasing trend of ASR world in incidence and mortality during 2000–2016 with the AAPC of -4.6% (95% CI: -5.7%, -3.4%) and -4.6% (95% CI: -5.2%, -3.9%). The pattern and trend of esophageal cancer differ in sex, region and pathological type. ConclusionsThe burden of esophageal cancer in China remains high with sex, regional and subtype differences. The incidence and mortality of esophageal cancer have continued to decline over the past decade, which was due in part to the reductions in risk factor exposure and the implementation of screening.

Disability-adjusted life years and the trends of the burden of colorectal cancer: a population-based study in Shanghai, China during 2002 to 2016.

Colorectal cancer (CRC) still ranks the top in morbidity and mortality of cancers worldwide, posing a huge threat and burden to the society. We aimed to determine the age-standardized incidence, mortality, and disability-adjusted life years (DALYs) of CRC and explore potential changes in the temporal trends of the CRC burden in Shanghai during 2002 to 2016. The cancer statistics and demographics were obtained from the Cancer Registry and the Statistics Bureau of Pudong New Area, respectively. Data from 2002 to 2016 were included and analyzed retrospectively. DALYs were calculated using DisMod and the age-standardized rates (ASRs) were obtained according to Segi world standard population. Joinpoint regression was used to measure the trends in CRC incidence and to estimate the annual percent change. The increasing trend of CRC ASR incidence halted after 2014, coinciding with the introduction of the Shanghai CRC screening program. The ASRs of mortality and DALYs increased, at 0.42% ( P < 0.05) and 4.07% ( P < 0.001) per year, respectively, which were mainly driven by men and individuals aged above the CRC screening program target. The disease burden of CRC in Shanghai remains serious, especially among men, and individuals aged >74 years. The benefits of the screening program have been partially proven by the ASRs of CRC incidence, providing important insights into better and wider application of screening programs.

Incidence and epidemiology of conjunctival squamous cell carcinoma in relation to the HIV epidemic in South Africa: a 25-year analysis of the National Cancer Registry (1994–2018)

AimsTo describe the incidence and epidemiology of conjunctival squamous cell carcinoma (CSCC) in South Africa over a 25-year period (1994–2018), with particular reference to the HIV epidemic.MethodsIncident cases of histologically...

Incidence and mortality of gastric cancer in 2018 and their trends from 2010 to 2018 in Henan Province, China: results from a provincial population-based cancer registry.

BackgroundEndoscopic screening program was carried out in Henan Province, China to reduce the large gastric cancer burden, and its effect evidence is insufficient. Knowledge on current status and time-trend of gastric cancer is need for policy makers to optimize the strategy of gastric cancer control.MethodsGastric cancer data were pooled from registries in the Henan Cancer Registration System which may reflect the whole province cancer incidence and mortality. The pooled registration data, stratified by area (urban/rural), gender, and age groups, was combined with the provincial population data to estimate the incidence and mortality of gastric cancer in Henan Province. The Segi’s world standard population was applied to calculate the age-standardized rate. Joinpoint regression was used to analyze the time-trend in the incidence and mortality.ResultsGastric cancer was diagnosed in 33,971 patients in 2018, ranking second among all cancers. The crude incidence and age-standardized incidence rate (ASIRW) per 100,000 population were 31.15 and 23.05, respectively. In 2018, there were an estimated 25,921 gastric cancer-related deaths, ranking second among all cancer-related deaths. The crude mortality rate and age-standardized mortality rate by world standard population (ASMRW) were respectively 23.77 and 16.80 per 100,000 population. Gender and geographical differences were observed. Notably, the ASIRW and ASMRW were higher in males than females and higher in rural areas than urban areas. For ASIRW and ASMRW, the male to female ratio was 2.50 and 2.71, respectively, and the rural to urban ratio was 1.23 and 1.24, respectively. Declines in the incidence [average annual percent change (AAPC): −3.9%, P=0.001] and mortality (AAPC: −3.1%, P=0.004) of gastric cancer were observed in rural areas due to declines in the incidence and mortality among residents aged 40–69 years. The overall trend of ASIRW and ASMRW were observed to decline with AAPCs of −3.5% (P=0.003) and −2.8% (P=0.007), respectively.ConclusionsGastric cancer incidence and mortality decreased in Henan Province, China, from 2010 to 2018, which may due to the implementation of endoscopic screening for gastric cancer in rural areas. The disease burden, however, remains high, and screening strategies and measures to reduce it should be strengthened.

Descriptive epidemiology of soft tissue sarcomas and gastrointestinal stromal tumors in Thailand

This study aimed to analyze burden of STS and GIST in population and survival rate which represented the current situation of treatment in Thailand. The data was collected from five population-based cancer registries around the country for the period 2001 through 2015. The Segi world standard population was used to calculated age-standardized incidence rates (ASR). Standardized rate ratios (SRR) were used to compare populations. Joinpoint Trend Analysis was used to assess changes in incidence. STATA was used to examine patient survival rates. During the study period, 4080 cases of STS and 457 cases of GIST were reported. The ASR of STS and GIST was 2.14/100,000 person-years and 0.22/100,000 person-years, respectively. The most common histological types of STS were unspecified sarcoma (24.8%), leiomyosarcoma (19.0%) and liposarcoma (11.4%). The overall ASR of STS in Thailand was relatively low compared to Western countries. The five-year survival rate was 62.6% for STS and 63.4% for GIST, which was comparable to the rates reported in other countries. This is the first report of STS and GIST from PBCRs in Thailand. Based on current healthcare service, an overall survival rates of STS and GIST are comparable to those reported from others.

Influence of Demographic Factors on Long-Term Trends of Premature Mortality and Burden Due to Liver Cancer: Findings From a Population-Based Study in Shanghai, China, 1973-2019.

ObjectiveLiver cancer is one of the most common causes of cancer-related death. Understanding how demographic factors influence mortality due to liver cancer is crucial for optimizing disease-control strategies. We aimed to characterize the long-term trends in the mortality and years of life lost (YLL) of liver cancer in Shanghai, China, 1973–2019, and quantitatively analyze the contributions of demographic and non-demographic factors on the mortality of liver cancer.MethodsUsing mortality data from the Mortality Registration System of Pudong New Area, the largest district of Shanghai with a population of permanent resident of 5.68 million, during 1973–2019, we analyzed the temporal trends for the mortality rates and YLL by Joinpoint Regression Program. The difference decomposition method was employed to estimate the increasing mortality rates related to demographic and non-demographic factors.ResultsA total of 21,530 deaths from liver cancer occurred from 1973 to 2019. The crude mortality rates (CMR) and age-standardized mortality rate by Segi's world standard population (ASMRW) of liver cancer were 26.73/105 person-years and 15.72/105 person-years, respectively. The CMR, ASMRW, and YLL rates of liver cancer showed significantly decreasing trends in males, females and the total population from 1973 to 2019, whereas the upward trends in the YLL were seen in males, females and the total population (all P < 0.05). A significant upward trend was observed in the increased CMR caused by demographic factors, but the changing rate caused by non-demographic factors decreased.ConclusionsThe CMR and ASMRW of liver cancer continually decreased although YLL increased during 1973–2019 in Pudong New Area, Shanghai. The demographic factors, especially aging, might be responsible for the increase in the mortality of liver cancer. More effective prevention strategies tailored to liver cancer are needed to further reduce its disease burden in the elderly population.

Incidence and mortality of cervical cancer in China in 2015

ObjectiveTo estimate the incidence and mortality of cervical cancer in China based on the cancer registration data in 2015, collected by the National Central Cancer Registry (NCCR). MethodsThere were 501 cancer registries that submitted data to the NCCR, whose data were the basis for estimating the incidence and mortality of cervical cancer in China in 2015. After evaluating the data quality, 368 registries’ data were accepted for the analysis and stratified by area (urban/rural) and age group. Combined with data on the national population in 2015, the nationwide incidence and mortality of cervical cancer were estimated. Cervical Cancer cases of 22 cancer registries were applied for temporal trends from 2000 to 2015. The Chinese population census in 2000 and Segi's population were used to calculate age-standardized incidence and mortality rates. ResultsAn estimated 111,000 new cases were attributed to cervical cancer in China in 2015, accounting for 6.24% of all female new cancer cases in that year in China. The crude rate (CR) of incidence and age-standardized incidence rates by the China standard population (ASIRC) and by Segi's world standard population (ASIRW) of cervical cancer were 16.56/100,000, 11.78/100,000, and 10.86/100,000, respectively. The cumulative incidence rate from birth to 74 years old was 1.15%, whereas the calculation of incidence rates over the truncated age range of 35-64 years by Segi's world standard population (T-ASIRW) was 27.66/100,000. The estimates of cervical cancer deaths were about 33,800 and 3.94% of all female cancer-related deaths in China in 2015, with a crude mortality rate of 5.04/100,000. The age-standardized mortality rates adjusted by the Chinese standard population (ASMRC) and by world Segi's population (ASMRW) were 3.29/100,000 and 3.15/100,000, respectively, with a cumulative mortality rate (0-74 years old) of 0.35%. Both the incidence and mortality were higher in rural than in urban areas. The age-specific cervical cancer incidence significantly increased with age, particularly after age 25 years, and peaked at 50–54 years old, whereas age-specific mortality increased rapidly after 35 years old, peaking at 80–84 years old. The age-standardized incidence rates increased by about 8.6 (95% CI: 6.9, 10.3) per year during the period of 2000−2015. The age at diagnosis of patients with cervical cancer tended to be younger. In rural areas, the mean age at diagnosis decreased about 3.22 years from 2000 to 2015 (β = –0.33, P < 0.001). ConclusionsChina has a high burden of cervical cancer and important disparities among different regions. Especially in the middle and western areas and rural areas, cervical cancer is a serious issue in women's health, and prevention strategies need to be enhanced. Prevention and control strategies need to be enhanced and implemented with reference to local status, such as human papillomavirus (HPV) vaccination and screening programs.

Trends in Incidence Rates, Mortality Rates, and Age-Period-Cohort Effects of Cervical Cancer - China, 2003-2017.

This study reported the trends and analyzed the age-period-cohort effects on the incidence and mortality rates of cervical cancer in China. The age-standardized incidence rate (ASIR) and mortality rate (ASMR) by Segi's world standard population were calculated using qualified consecutive data from 22 cancer registries from 2003 to 2017 in China. We performed joinpoint analysis to describe the trends and age-period-cohort analysis to estimate the independent effects of age, period and cohort on trends in incidence and mortality rates of cervical cancer. The ASIR and ASMR for cervical cancer in females over 20 years old increased during 2003-2017. For females <50 years, a decreasing trend in ASIR and a stable trend in ASMR were observed in urban areas after 2009. But the ASIR and ASMR kept increasing in rural areas during the whole period. For females >50 years, the ASIR and ASMR increased both in urban and rural areas. Age-period-cohort analysis showed increasing period effects on cervical cancer incidence and mortality during the whole period. The cohort effects exhibited a downward-upward-downward pattern for the incidence (1918-1938, 1938-1963, 1963-1993) and mortality rates (1918-1943, 1943-1963, 1963-1993) in urban areas, a fluctuating pattern for incidence rate and a continuing downward pattern for mortality rate (1918-1993) in rural areas. The increases in cervical cancer incidence and mortality rates can be mostly explained by period effects. We observed decreases in risk for cervical cancer incidence and mortality in young female generations, which were more obvious in urban areas.

Analysis of the trend and spatial clustering of gastric cancer deaths in Shandong Province from 1970 to 2013

Objective: To investigate the distribution characteristics and trends of mortality and spatial aggregation of gastric cancer in Shandong Province from 1970 to 2013. Methods: The mortality data of gastric cancer from 1970 to 1974, 1990 to 1992 and 2004 to 2005 were collected from the first, second and third retrospective sampling survey of causes of death in Shandong Province, respectively. The mortality data of gastric cancer from 2011 to 2013 were collected from the all-cause surveillance data of Shandong Province. The crude mortality rate and age-standardized mortality rate were used to describe the death level of gastric cancer. The age-standardized mortality rate of Shandong Province was calculated based on Segi's world standard population, and the age-standardized mortality rate of counties (cities and districts) was calculated based on the Chinese population in 1964.The factors influencing the difference of gastric cancer mortality in different periods were decomposed by using the method of differential decomposition of mortality, and the contributions of population and non-population factors in different periods were estimated.Using ArcGIS 10.2 software, the death level of gastric cancer in different counties (cities and districts) in Shandong province from 1970 to 1974 and 2011 to 2013 were visualized. DeoDa 1.12 software was used for global and local spatial autocorrelation analysis. Results: The crude death rate and age-standardized death rate of gastric cancer in Shandong province increased firstly and then decreased during 1970-2013, and the crude death rate of gastric cancer increased from 18.33/100 000 in 1970-1974 to 28.51/100 000 in 2011-2013. Segi's age-standardized mortality rate for gastric cancer decreased from 20.94 per 100 000 in 1970-1974 to 18.17 per 100 000 in 2011-2013.From 1990 to 1992, from 2004 to 2005 and from 2011 to 2013, the contribution value of non-population factors to the increase of crude gc mortality was 95.59%, 48.45% and -20.57%, respectively, showing a continuous downward trend. The Moran's I index of crude mortality of gastric cancer in Shandong province from 1970 to 1974 and from 2011 to 2013 were 0.77 and 0.57, respectively, and the Moran's I index of age-normalized mortality was 0.75 and 0.44, respectively. Local autocorrelation analysis showed that there were 31 and 19 high aged-mortality areas of gastric cancer in 1970-1974 and 2011-2013 respectively, and 7 overlapping counties (cities and districts), 6 of which were located in Jiaodong area. Conclusion: The crude mortality and age-standardized mortality of gastric cancer in Shandong province increased first and then decreased from 1970 to 2013, and the distribution of gastric cancer mortality had obvious spatial aggregation and changed with time.

Decreasing trends in thyroid cancer incidence in South Korea: What happened in South Korea?

BackgroundSouth Korea has the highest incidence of thyroid cancer in the world. Our study examined the trends in thyroid cancer incidence by the histologic type, cancer stage, and age group and explored possible factors that affected thyroid cancer trends.MethodsWe conducted a descriptive epidemiological study using the national cancer registry data and cause of death data from 1999 to 2016 in South Korea. Age‐standardized rates were calculated using Segi's world standard population. Joinpoint regression analysis was applied to determine the changing point of thyroid cancer trends according to histologic type; Surveillance, Epidemiology, and End Results (SEER) summary stage; and age groups by sex.ResultsThe age‐standardized incidence of thyroid cancer in both men and women increased from 6.3 per 100,000 people in 1999 to 63.4 per 100,000 in 2012 but declined from 2012 to 2016, before the debates for over diagnosis of thyroid cancer began in 2014. The age‐standardized mortality rate of thyroid cancer, incidence of distant thyroid cancer, and incidence of regional and localized thyroid cancer started to decline since early 2000, 2010, and 2012, respectively. In addition, thyroid cancer prevalence in thyroid nodules showed decreasing trends from 1999–2000 to 2013–2014.ConclusionsThe incidence of thyroid cancer began declining from 2012, before the debates for over diagnosis of thyroid cancer began in 2014. Changes in guidelines for thyroid nodule examinations may have affected this inflection point. Moreover, the debates for over diagnosis of thyroid cancer may have accelerated the decline in thyroid cancer.

Colorectal cancer incidence and mortality trends by sex and population group in South Africa: 2002\u20132014

BackgroundSouth Africa (SA) has experienced a rapid transition in the Human Development Index (HDI) over the past decade, which had an effect on the incidence and mortality rates of colorectal cancer (CRC). This study aims to provide CRC incidence and mortality trends by population group and sex in SA from 2002 to 2014.MethodsIncidence data were extracted from the South African National Cancer Registry and mortality data obtained from Statistics South Africa (STATS SA), for the period 2002 to 2014. Age-standardised incidence rates (ASIR) and age-standardised mortality rates (ASMR) were calculated using the STATS SA mid-year population as the denominator and the Segi world standard population data for standardisation. A Joinpoint regression analysis was computed for the CRC ASIR and ASMR by population group and sex.ResultsA total of 33,232 incident CRC cases and 26,836 CRC deaths were reported during the study period. Of the CRC cases reported, 54% were males and 46% were females, and among deaths reported, 47% were males and 53% were females. Overall, there was a 2.5% annual average percentage change (AAPC) increase in ASIR from 2002 to 2014 (95% CI: 0.6–4.5, p-value < 0.001). For ASMR overall, there was 1.3% increase from 2002 to 2014 (95% CI: 0.1–2.6, p-value < 0.001). The ASIR and ASMR among population groups were stable, with the exception of the Black population group. The ASIR increased consistently at 4.3% for black males (95% CI: 1.9–6.7, p-value < 0.001) and 3.4% for black females (95% CI: 1.5–5.3, p-value < 0.001) from 2002 to 2014, respectively. Similarly, ASMR for black males and females increased by 4.2% (95% CI: 2.0–6.5, p-value < 0.001) and 3.4% (, 95%CI: 2.0–4.8, p-value < 0.01) from 2002 to 2014, respectively.ConclusionsThe disparities in the CRC incidence and mortality trends may reflect socioeconomic inequalities across different population groups in SA. The rapid increase in CRC trends among the Black population group is concerning and requires further investigation and increased efforts for cancer prevention, early screening and diagnosis, as well as better access to cancer treatment.

Geographic study of mortality due to mesothelioma in Peru and its evolution

BackgroundPeru has a public health problem because of asbestos imports. We analyzed the mortality trends for mesothelioma in Peru and its provinces from 2005 to 2014 and estimated their relationship with the amount of asbestos imported previously. MethodsWe computed age-standardized mortality rates (ASMRs) per 100,000 population (direct method and SEGI world standard population reference), and the standardized mortality ratio (SMR). The relationship between the amount of asbestos imported annually along the period 1965–2010 and the number of mesothelioma deaths per year from 2005 to 2014 was estimated by log-linear Poisson regression models and Pearson correlation calculations. ResultsAfter correcting the number of deaths, Peru registered 428 cases (or 430 when corrected cases are rounded by sex) between 2005 and 2014. The highest ASMRs were in Arequipa and Callao (range: 0.40−0.41/100,000 population), followed by Huancavelica (0.36/100,000 population). This translates into approximately one death per each 68–111 of asbestos tons imported. The latency period for the higher level of positive correlation found was 8 years (r = 0.8). Male female sex ratio was lower in provinces such as Junin and Hunacavelica with geological asbestos risk. ConclusionsTwo patterns of mesothelioma risk have been detected, occupational and environmental. During the 2002–2006 years, Peru increased the asbestos use. If crocidolite imports were also increased, this could be behind the 8 years latency period detected. Peru should boost strategies towards the total ban of all forms of asbestos.

Analysis of the long-term trend of mortality and years of life lost of gastric cancer in Tianjin from 1999 to 2015

Objective: To analyze the long-term trend of mortality and years of life lost (YLL) of gastric cancer in Tianjin from 1999 to 2015. Methods: From January 1, 1999 to December 31, 2015, the data of gastric cancer deaths was collected from the Tianjin death surveillance system. The inclusion criteria of death due to gastric cancer were coded by using 151 in the 9(th) edition of the international classification of diseases (ICD) (1999-2002) and C16 in the 10(th) edition of ICD (2003-2015). The crude and age-standardized mortality rate (ASR) of gastric cancer was calculated according to Segi's world standard population. YLL was calculated according to the standard method of the disease burden of WHO. The Joinpoint regression was used to calculate the average annual percentage change (AAPC) to indicate the trend of mortality and YLL of gastric cancer. Results: From 1999 to 2015, there were 20 000 deaths of gastric cancer in Tianjin. The proportion of gastric cancer death in the population aged 0-44 years old, 45-64 years old, and 65 years old and above was 4.9%, 30.4%, and 64.8%, respectively. The proportion of males and urban was 67.1% and 67.5%, respectively. From 1999 to 2015, the crude mortality rate was from 12.10/100 000 to 12.58/100 000. The ASR was from 11.04/100 000 to 7.24/100 000. The average annual YLL number was 29 625.83 person-years and the rate was 3.09 person-years per thousand people. From 1999 to 2015, the crude mortality rate and the PYLL of gastric cancer in Tianjin were stable (the AAPC was 0.34% and -0.24%, all P values >0.05). The ASR showed a downward trend (AAPC=-2.58%, P<0.001). Conclusion: From 1999 to 2015, the ASR of gastric cancer in Tianjin showed a downward trend, and the YLL of gastric cancer was stable.

Impact of New Standardized Population for Estimating Cancer Incidence in Indian Context- an Analysis from National Cancer Registry Programme (NCRP).

Objective:Standardization adjusts for variations in population age-distribution and provides a summary measure for the comparison of populations and comparisons of time-trends in population. Globally, several standard population were used by many countries for comparison of rates. Segi World Standard Population (WSP) is suitable for international comparison. However, national standard population would be more appropriate for Intra-national comparison as the standard should be similar to the population of interest. This study aimed to develop Indian Standard Population (ISP) for estimating Age Adjusted Rate (AAR) and, to understand the outcome on the cancer incidence rate using ISP in Population Based Cancer Registries (PBCRs). Methods:The Indian Standard Population was estimated based on the average age structure of three Censuses (1991,2001 and 2011). Age Adjusted Rate has been estimated using two standard populations of WSP and ISP for magnitude of change and comparison between 15 PBCRs in India. Results:The implementation of ISP led to overall 20% reduction in AAR for all sites of cancers in both sexes and minor relative changes in the ranking among PBCRs. Time trends in cancer incidence rate showed same temporal pattern curve using both ISP and WSP, AARs. Conclusion:The ISP would be more representative of the age-structure of Indian registries population and this would give more realistic comparison across the different PBCRs in India.

Incidence and mortality of oral and oropharyngeal cancer in China, 2015.

ObjectiveTo report the incidence and mortality rates of oral and oropharyngeal cancer in Chinese population.MethodsData were taken from a population-based cancer registry collected by the National Central Cancer Registry of China (NCCRC) in 2015. The data collected from 501 local cancer registries in China were assessed using NCCRC screening methods and criteria. Incidence and mortality rates of oral and oropharyngeal cancer were stratified by age group, gender, and area. Age-standardized incidence and mortality rates were adjusted using the Chinese standard population in 2000 and Segi’s world population.ResultsIn 2015, it was estimated that there were 51,765 oral and oropharyngeal cancer incident cases and 23,830 deaths in China. The crude incidence rate of oral and oropharyngeal cancer was 3.77/100,000, and the age-standardized incidence rate by Chinese standard population and by Segi’s world standard population were 2.55/100,000 and 2.49/100,000, respectively. The crude mortality rate and the age-standardized mortality rates by Chinese standard population and by Segi’s world standard population were 1.73/100,000, 1.09/100,000 and 1.08/100,000, respectively. Both incidence and mortality rates of oral and oropharyngeal cancer were higher in males and in urban areas. Residents in eastern areas had the highest incidence and mortality rates, followed by those from middle areas and western areas. The rates of oral and oropharyngeal cancer increased greatly with age, especially after the age of 40 years.ConclusionsThis study reports the latest incidence and mortality rates of oral and oropharyngeal cancer in China. Prevention intervention including early detection, treatment, and regular follow-ups is encouraged to be set up to reduce incidence and mortality rates of oral and oropharyngeal cancer in the future.

Analysis on the alterative trend of colorectal cancer mortality from 1999 to 2015 in Tianjin of China

Objective: To investigate the mortality of colorectal cancer and its trend from 1999 to 2015 in Tianjin, China, and to explore the mortality features in different populations in order to provide data for prevention and control strategies of colorectal cancer. Methods: Colorectal cancer mortality data between 1999 and 2015 were collected from Tianjin population - based mortality surveillance system maintained by the Tianjin Centers for Disease Control and Prevention (CDC). Population data of permanent residents were collected from Tianjin Municipal Public Security Bureau. The number of new cases and deaths, incidence [including crude incidence, age-adjusted standardized incidence and 95% confidence interval (95% CI)], and mortality (including crude mortality, age-adjusted standardized mortality and 95% CI) of colorectal cancer were calculated. Standardized incidence and mortality of colorectal cancer were calculated using the Segi's world standard population, adjusted with age and gender. JoinPoint regression and Cochran-Armitage trend test were used to determine the statistical significance of differences in mortality trend. Results: A total of 31 376 new onset cases and 14 893 death cases of colorectal cancer were observed in Tianjin from 1999 to 2015. Colorectal cancer incidence increased from 1999 to 2015 with a standardized rate from 9.66/100 000 to 15.36/100 000 [annual percent change(APC)=3.48%, Z=23.21, P<0.001]. Colorectal cancer mortality increased from 1999 to 2015 with a standardized rate from 5.18/100 000 to 6.11/100 000 (APC=1.24%, Z=5.69, P<0.001). Both showed an increasing trend. The death proportion of colon cancer increased (39.67% in 1999 and 50.33% in 2015), while the death proportion of rectal caner decreased (60.33% in 1999 and 48.57% in 2015). The median age of colorectal cancer onset fluctuated steadily around 66 years old (APC=0.16, T=1.75, P=0.100); the median age of death increased from 69 to 73 years old (APC=0.43, T=8.81, P<0.001). From 1999 to 2015, the mortality of colorectal cancer showed a downward trend (all P<0.05) in the age groups of <35 and 35-44 years, while an upward trend (all P<0.05) in the age groups of 45-54 years, 55-64 years and ≥ 65 years. Colorectal cancer mortality in males increased with a standardized rate of 5.53/100 000 in 1999 to 7.33/100 000 in 2015(APC=2.29%, Z=7.86, P<0.001), while colorectal cancer mortality in females flatted with a standardized rate of 4.83/100 000 in 1999 to 4.89/100 000 in 2015 (APC=0.10%, Z=-0.30, P=0.752). Colorectal cancer mortality increased with a standardized rate of 6.75/100 000 in 1999 to 7.33/100 000 in 2015 (APC=0.54%, Z=1.98, P=0.048) in urban areas and of 3.18/100 000 in 1999 to 4.38/100 000 in 2015 (APC=2.47, Z=6.46, P<0.001) in rural areas, whose differences were significant. Standardized mortality rate in rural area was lower but the rising velocity was faster as compared to urban area. Conclusions: Crude mortality and standardized mortality of colorectal cancer increase from 1999 to 2015 in Tianjin population. The people of elder, male and urban area have higher mortality. The mortality in people of male and rural area presents a faster rising state. Further efforts to reduce colorectal cancer mortality in Tianjin are needed to prevention and control of colorectal cancer.

Renal cell carcinoma epidemiology in the era of widespread imaging.

e13083 Background: Cancers of the kidney and renal pelvis are the third most commonly diagnosed urological cancers. Renal Cell Carcinoma (RCC) is the most common histological type. The age-standardized rate (ASR) of RCC world-wide is 4.4/100,000 with higher rates in higher income countries. One third of diagnosed RCC patients have metastatic disease at presentation, although recent reports indicate smaller proportions. It has been suggested that the widespread use of imaging performed for various reasons has led to a rise of incidentally diagnosed RCC. We conducted a retrospective analysis of trends in cancers of the kidney and renal pelvis in Israel. Methods: We selected all cases of renal cell carcinoma of the kidney and renal pelvis neoplasms reported to the Israel National Cancer Registry (INCR) for the years 2000-2015. Demographic and clinical variables extracted from the registry included gender, population group, dates of birth/death, tumor size, stage at presentation (according to the Surveillance, Epidemiology and End Results (SEER) summary staging manual 2000). We calculated the overall and population group age-standardized incidence, using the direct method and the Segi World Standard population. Results: A total of 9,595 cases of RCC were identified. The average ASR was 7.7/100,000. RCC incidence was highest in the seventh decade of life with a male/female ratio of 1.7:1. Incidence was higher in the Jewish population than in the Arab population. The proportion of cases with metastatic disease at time of diagnosis was 10%; this figure was unchanged during the study period. Masses smaller than 4 cm. comprised almost two thirds of localized tumors with a significant increase in trend during the period of the study (p &lt; 0.001). Five-year overall survival for localized and metastatic disease was 86% and 12%, respectively. Survival was similar in the Arab and Jewish populations (p = 0.06). Conclusions: RCC incidence and survival in Israel mirror those of other western countries. The proportion of cases with distant spread at diagnosis is smaller than elsewhere reported. Small incidental renal masses (less than 4 cm) are increasingly diagnosed in the localized stages, possibly due to increased using of imaging.