Seasonal Ice Research Articles

Space use of polar bears (<i>Ursus maritimus</i>) in Davis Strait in relation to sea ice and harp seals (<i>Pagophilus groenlandicus</i>)

Polar bears (<i>Ursus maritimus</i>) rely on seals as their primary prey, yet predator-prey spatial relationships are poorly understood. We examined the spatial relationship between Davis Strait polar bears and harp seals (<i>Pagophilus groenlandicus</i>), using satellite-telemetry for both species. We analyzed sea ice trends using remote sensing (1979-2021) to examine how their environment may be changing using four sea ice seasons (freeze-up, winter, break-up, and summer). Sea ice cover decreased and summer season lengthened over time. Polar bears (n=23) tracked in 1991-2001 for 7-12 months had a mean 95% minimum convex polygon home range size (MCP) of 102,864 km<sup>2</sup> (SE=15,236 km<sup>2</sup>) and a mean 95% kernel density home range size (KDE) of 66,215 km<sup>2</sup> (SE=59,688 km<sup>2</sup>). Harp seals (n=29) tracked for 5-8 months in 1993-2005 had a mean 95% MCP of 464,330 km<sup>2</sup> (SE=47,009 km<sup>2</sup>) and a mean 95% KDE of 256,016 km<sup>2</sup> (SE=31,566 km<sup>2</sup>). During freeze-up, the core-use areas of both species did not overlap, but the broad-use areas did. During break-up, the broad-use areas overlapped more than the core-use areas. The space use of both species was influenced by the sea ice seasons and these seasons have changed over time.

Reconstructing and Hindcasting Sea Ice Conditions in Hudson Bay Using a Thermal Variability Framework

The Hudson Bay seasonal sea ice record has been well known since the advent of satellite reconnaissance, with a continuous record since 1971. To extend the record to earlier decades, a thermal variability framework is used with the surface temperature climatological records from four climate stations along the Hudson Bay shoreline: Churchill, Manitoba; Kuujjurapik, Quebec; Inukjuak, Quebec; and Coral Harbour, Nunavut. The day-to-day surface temperature variation for the minimum temperature of the day was found to be well correlated to the known seasonal sea ice distribution in the Bay. The sea ice/thermal variability relationship was able to reproduce the existing sea ice record (the average breakup and freeze-up dates for the Bay) largely within the error limits of the sea ice data (1 week), as well as filling in some gaps in the existing sea ice record. The breakup dates, freeze-up dates, and ice-free season lengths were generated for the period of 1922 to 1970, with varying degrees of confidence, adding close to 50 years to the sea ice record. Key periods in the spring and fall were found to be critical, signaling the time when the changes in the sea conditions are first notable in the temperature variability record, often well in advance of the 5/10th ice coverage used for the sea ice record derived from ice charts. These key periods in advance of the breakup and freeze-up could be potentially used, in season, as a predictor for navigation. The results are suggestive of a fundamental change in the nature of the breakup (faster) and freeze-up (longer) in recent years.

Gross Primary Production of Antarctic Landfast Sea Ice: A Model‐Based Estimate

AbstractMuch of the Antarctic coast is covered by seasonal landfast sea ice (fast ice), which serves as an important habitat for ice algae. Fast‐ice algae provide a key early season food source for pelagic and benthic food webs, and contribute to biogeochemical cycling in Antarctic coastal ecosystems. Summertime fast ice is undergoing a decline, leading to more seasonal fast ice with unknown impacts on interconnected Earth system processes. Our understanding of the spatiotemporal variability of Antarctic fast ice, and its impact on polar ecosystems is currently limited. Evaluating the overall productivity of fast‐ice algae has historically been hampered by limitations in observations and models. By linking new fast‐ice extent maps with a one‐dimensional sea‐ice biogeochemical model, we provide the first estimate of the spatio‐seasonal variability of Antarctic fast‐ice algal gross primary production (GPP) and its annual primary production on a circum‐Antarctic scale. Experiments conducted for the 2005–2006 season provide a mean fast ice‐algal production estimate of 2.8 Tg C/y. This estimate represents about 12% of overall Southern Ocean sea‐ice algae production (estimated in a previous study), with the mean fast‐ice algal production per area being 3.3 times higher than that of pack ice. Our Antarctic fast‐ice GPP estimates are probably underestimated in the Ross Sea and Weddell Sea sectors because the sub‐ice platelet layer habitats and their high biomass are not considered.

Calibration of Arctic ice core bromine enrichment records for past sea ice reconstructions

Bromine in ice cores has been proposed as a qualitative sea ice proxy to produce sea ice reconstructions for the polar regions. Here we report the first statistical validation of this proxy with satellite sea ice observations by combining bromine enrichment (with respect to seawater, Brenr) records from three Greenlandic ice cores (SIGMA-A, NU and RECAP) with satellite sea ice imagery, over three decades. We find that during the 1984–2016 satellite-era, ice core Brenr values are significantly correlated with first-year sea ice formed in the Baffin Bay and Labrador Sea supporting that the gas-phase bromine enrichment processes, preferentially occurring over the sea ice surface, are the main driver for the Brenr signal in ice cores. Moreover, in assessing Brenr's capability to record historical sea ice variability, we compare 20th-century Arctic Sea ice historical and proxy records with our reconstructions, based on an autoregressive–moving-average (ARMA) model, finding overall good agreement. While further enhancements are warranted, including site-specific calibrations and a comprehensive investigation into bromine transport-related concerns, this study presents a new method to quantitatively reconstruct past seasonal sea ice variability through bromine enrichment in ice cores.

Dense Water Production in Storfjorden, Svalbard, From a 1‐Year Time Series of Observations and a Simple Model: Are Polynyas in a Warming Arctic Exporting Heat to the Deep Ocean?

AbstractThe formation of dense Brine‐enriched Shelf Water (BSW) in Storfjorden is analyzed during Winter 2016–2017 from mooring observations, a polynya model nudged to satellite observations, and an original BSW production model. The ice season was two months shorter than average, yet 44.2 of sea ice were formed, in line with estimates for the period preceding the atlantification of the Barents Sea in the mid‐2000s: A thinner, more fragile ice may favor polynya openings and frazil ice production. A saline specimen of BSW was produced in large volumes, corresponding to an annual mean transport of 0.042 Sv, larger than previous estimates. The important production is due to the preconditioning of the polynya with a more saline source water, exceeding the pre‐2005 values by 0.37. The BSW overflow was observed on the West Spitsbergen shelf slope from hydrographic sections down to 750 m, thus entering the Norwegian Sea Deep Water layer. Its core temperature was about C warmer than the pre‐2005 values owing to the entrainment of a warmer water in Storfjordrenna, suggesting that a part of the excess surface heat of the Barents Sea could be exported into the deep ocean. Overall our results suggest that dense water formation in the Storfjorden polynya may not, at least for now, be hampered by the atlantification of the Barents Sea, and perhaps even temporarily favored by the more saline source water. Anomalous atmospheric warming during the Winter‐Spring may however disrupt the production, as was observed 1 year before.

Bacterioplankton of the Western Part of the Kara Sea

Data on the structural and production characteristics of bacterioplankton in the western part of the Kara Sea at the beginning and in the middle of summer are presented. In the region of the St. Anna Trough slope, the average abundance of prokaryotes for the water column was (594–708) × 103 cells/ml (26.4–36.5 mgC/m3) in June and (247–517) × 103 cells/ml (12–28 mgC/m3) at the beginning of August. On the transect along Novaya Zemlya, the average abundance of bacterioplankton in the water column was (186–554) × 103 cells/mL (8.5–30 mgC/m3) within a week after the seasonal ice and (169–443) × 103 cells/mL (8–21 mgC/m3) in the midsummer. Bacterial specific growth rate did not exceed 1.28 day–1; its high values were observed in the upper warm water layer, above the halocline, and also at the near-bottom depths. At the beginning of summer, the production of bacterioplankton tended to decrease in the northeast direction. The distribution of prokaryotes abundance was determined by temperature and water saturation with oxygen, possibly as an indirect indicator of past phytoplankton “bloom”.

Seasonal Variations of Ice-Covered Lake Ecosystems in the Context of Climate Warming: A Review

The period of freezing is an important phenological characteristic of lakes in the Northern Hemisphere, exhibiting higher sensitivity to regional climate changes and aiding in the detection of Earth’s response to climate change. This review systematically examines 1141 articles on seasonal frozen lakes from 1991 to 2021, aiming to understand the seasonal variations and control conditions of ice-covered lakes. For the former, we discussed the physical structure and growth characteristics of seasonal ice cover, changes in water environmental conditions and primary production, accumulation and transformation of CO2 beneath the ice, and the role of winter lakes as carbon sources or sinks. We also proposed a concept of structural stratification based on the differences in physical properties of ice and solute content. The latter provided an overview of the ice-covered period (−1.2 d decade−1), lake evaporation (+16% by the end of the 21st century), the response of planktonic organisms (earlier spring blooming: 2.17 d year−1) to global climate change, the impact of greenhouse gas emissions on ice-free events, and the influence of individual characteristics such as depth, latitude, and elevation on the seasonal frozen lakes. Finally, future research directions for seasonally ice-covered lakes are discussed. Considering the limited and less systematic research conducted so far, this study aims to use bibliometric methods to synthesize and describe the trends and main research points of seasonal ice-covered lakes so as to lay an important foundation for scholars in this field to better understand the existing research progress and explore future research directions.

Regulation of Ocean Surface Currents and Seasonal Sea Ice Variations on the Occurrence and Transport of Organophosphate Esters in the Central Arctic Ocean.

Organophosphate esters (OPEs) have been observed in the remote Arctic Ocean, yet the influence of hydrodynamics and seasonal sea ice variations on the occurrence and transport of waterborne OPEs remains unclear. This study comprehensively examines OPEs in surface seawater of the central Arctic Ocean during the summer of 2020, integrating surface ocean current and sea ice concentration data. The results confirm significant spatiotemporal variations of the OPEs, with the total concentration of seven major OPEs averaging 780 ± 970 pg/L. Chlorinated OPEs, particularly tris(1-chloro-2-propyl) phosphate (TCPP), were dominant. The significant impact of hydrodynamics on the OPE transport is demonstrated by higher OPE concentrations in regions with strong surface currents, especially at the edge of the Beaufort Gyre and the confluence of the Beaufort Gyre and the Transpolar Drift. Furthermore, OPE levels were generally higher in drifting-ice-covered regions compared to ice-free regions, attributed to the volatilization of dissolved OPEs formerly trapped below the sea ice or newly released from melting snow and sea ice. Notably, TCPP decreased by only 19% in the ice-free area, while the more volatile triphenyl phosphate decreased by 63% compared with the partial ice region.

Survey of remnant seasonal ice patches at southern polar Mars

On Mars after the recession of the seasonal polar ice cap, small icy patches in shady and/or low thermal conductivity places are left behind. These regions are then illuminated by direct sunlight during the summer, warm up and in an ideal case a liquid phase could emerge. This work is surveying HiRISE images for such ice patches and found 148 images with ice patches on them out of the 730 images that fit the selection criteria of location and season. Their separation of ice from other bright patches, like clouds or lighter shades of surface layers and rocks was possible by their bluish color and strong connection to local topography Images with ice patches ranged between 140° and 200° solar longitude in the latitude band between −40° and − 60°. The diameter of the ice patches ranges between 1.5 and 300 m, and they remain on the surface even after the seasonal polar cap has passed over the area for at least the duration range of 1.5–139 Martian days. This range of duration indicates not ephemerally formed ice in the night but longer presence at the surface.

Dye tracing of upward brine migration in snow

Abstract Salt is often present in the snow overlying seasonal sea ice, and has profound thermodynamic and electromagnetic effects. However, its provenance and behaviour within the snow remain uncertain. We describe two investigations tracing upward brine movement in snow: one conducted in the laboratory and one in the field. The laboratory experiments involved the addition of dyed brine to the base of terrestrial snow samples, with subsequent wicking being measured. Our field experiment involved dye being added directly (without brine) to bare sea-ice and lake ice surfaces, with snow then accumulating on top over several days. On the sea ice, the dye migrated upwards into the snow by up to 5 cm as the snow's basal layer became more salty, whereas no migration occurred in our control experiment over non-saline lake ice. This occurred in relatively dry snowpacks where brine took up $< 6\%$ of the snow's calculated pore volume, suggesting pore saturation is not required for upward salt transport. Our results highlight the potential role of microstructural parameters beyond those currently retrievable with penetrometry, and the potential value of longitudinal, process-based field studies of young snowpacks.

Winter arctic sea ice volume decline: uncertainties reduced using passive microwave-based sea ice thickness

Arctic sea ice volume (SIV) is a key climate indicator and memory source in sea ice predictions and projections, yet suffering from large observational and model uncertainty. Here, we test whether passive microwave (PMW) data constrain the long-term evolution of Arctic SIV, as recently hypothesized. We find many commonalities in Arctic SIV changes from a PMW sea ice thickness (SIT) 1992-2020 time series reconstructed with a neural network algorithm trained on lidar altimetry, and the reference PIOMAS reanalysis: relatively low differences in SIV mean (4615 km3, 37%), SIV trends (46 km3, 17%), and phased variability (r2=0.55). Key to reduced differences is the consistent evolution of many SIV contributors: seasonal and perennial ice coverage, their SIT contrast, whereas perennial SIT provides the largest remaining uncertainty source. We argue that PMW includes useful SIT information, reducing SIV uncertainty. We foresee progress from sea ice reanalyses combining dynamical models and data assimilation of PMW SIT estimates, in addition to the already assimilated PWM sea ice concentration.

Sea ice in the Nordic Seas: Greenland stadial to interstadial changes

Sea ice conditions in the eastern Fram Strait between 40 and 36.5 ka b2k (thousand years before the year 2000) are reconstructed in detail, based on biomarker analyses. Following extensive sea ice conditions around the Greenland Interstadial 9/Greenland Stadial 9 transition at 39.9 ka b2k, repeated polynya activity marked Greenland Stadial 9 in the eastern Fram Strait. Nearly perennial sea ice was observed around the Greenland Stadial 9/Greenland Interstadial 8 transition at 38.22 ka b2k, followed by a gradual establishment of seasonal sea ice cover over the research area during Greenland Interstadial 8. Previous studies highlighted sea ice retreat in the southeastern Nordic Seas as a driver of abrupt Greenland Stadial to Interstadial climate change. We document intervals with less sea ice in the eastern Fram Strait during Greenland Stadial 9 and Interstadial 8 than previously suggested. By mapping the variable sea ice extent during Greenland Stadial 9 and Interstadial 8, further constraints are detected that may help define the role of the Nordic Seas sea ice cover in driving abrupt climate change during glacial times.

Approximation of ice phenology of Maine lakes using Aqua MODIS surface temperature data

AbstractStudies of lake ice phenology have historically relied on limited in situ data. Relatively few observations exist for ice out and fewer still for ice in, both of which are necessary to determine the temporal extent of ice cover. Satellite data provide an opportunity to better document patterns of ice phenology across landscapes and relate them to the climatological drivers behind changing ice phenology. We developed a model, the Cumulative Sum Method (CSM), that uses daytime and nighttime surface temperature observations from the Moderate Resolution Imaging Spectroradiometer (MODIS) sensor on board the Earth‐observing Aqua satellite to approximate ice in (the onset of ice cover) and ice out from training datasets of 13 and 58 Maine lakes, respectively, during the 2002/2003 through 2017/2018 ice seasons. Ice in was signaled by reaching a threshold of cumulative negative degrees following the first day of the season below 0°C. Ice out was signaled by reaching a threshold of cumulative positive degrees following the first day of the year above 0°C. The comparison of observed and remotely sensed ice‐in dates showed relative agreement with a correlation coefficient of 0.71 and a mean absolute error (MAE) of 9.8 days. Ice‐out approximations had a correlation coefficient of 0.67 and an MAE of 8.8 days. Lakes smaller in surface area and nearer the Atlantic coast had the greatest error in approximation. Application of the CSM to 20 additional lakes in Maine produced a comparable ice‐out MAE of 8.9 days. Ice‐out model performance was weaker for the warmest years; there was a larger MAE of 12.0 days when the model was applied to the years 2019–2023 for the original 58 lakes. The development of this model, which utilizes daily satellite data, demonstrates the promise of remote sensing for quantifying ice phenology over short, temporal scales, and wider geographic regions than can be observed in situ, and allows exploration of the influence of surface temperature patterns on the process and timing of ice in and ice out.

Temporal Evolution of Gaseous Mercury Across the Sea Ice‐Seawater Interface: A Mesocosm Study

AbstractIn the marine cryosphere, seasonal sea ice dynamics affect the behavior of gaseous mercury, yet the mechanism remains poorly understood. By carrying out an outdoor sea ice mesocosm study, we examine primarily the abiotic factors influencing mercury dynamics and show distinct behaviors of gaseous mercury across the sea ice‐seawater interface over the full growth‐melt cycle. The distribution of gaseous mercury in sea ice is influenced by entrapment of gaseous mercury from different sources into sea ice of different textures, transport schemes within sea ice, and in situ cryo‐processes that affect mercury speciation. In the growing sea ice sections where solar radiation penetrated, production of gaseous mercury was observed, supporting the occurrence of in‐ice cryo‐photoreduction of divalent mercury. In under‐ice seawater, concentrations of dissolved gaseous mercury decreased gradually during ice growth and increased rapidly to pre‐freezing levels as ice started to melt, suggesting that the atmosphere‐sea ice‐seawater exchange pathway of gaseous mercury could be re‐established through melting first‐year sea ice. Our results from this unique mesocosm study provide new insights on the dynamics of gaseous mercury in and around sea ice that are primarily driven by abiotic processes, assisting model parameterizations for mercury cycling in polar regions.

Two Decades of Arctic Sea-Ice Thickness from Satellite Altimeters: Retrieval Approaches and Record of Changes (2003–2023)

There now exists two decades of basin-wide coverage of Arctic sea ice from three dedicated polar-orbiting altimetry missions (ICESat, CryoSat-2, and ICESat-2) launched by NASA and ESA. Here, we review our retrieval approaches and discuss the composite record of Arctic ice thickness (2003–2023) after appending two more years (2022–2023) to our earlier records. The present availability of five years of snow depth estimates—from differencing lidar (ICESat-2) and radar (CryoSat-2) freeboards—have benefited from the concurrent operation of two altimetry missions. Broadly, the dramatic volume loss (5500 km3) and Arctic-wide thinning (0.6 m) captured by ICESat (2003–2009), primarily due to the decline in old ice coverage between 2003 and 2007, has slowed. In the central Arctic, away from the coasts, the CryoSat-2 and shorter ICESat-2 records show near-negligible thickness trends since 2007, where the winter and fall ice thicknesses now hover around 2 m and 1.3 m, from a peak of 3.6 m and 2.7 m in 1980. Ice volume production has doubled between the fall and winter with the faster-growing seasonal ice cover occupying more than half of the Arctic Ocean at the end of summer. Seasonal ice behavior dominates the Arctic Sea ice’s interannual thickness and volume signatures.

High uptake of sympagic organic matter by benthos on an Arctic outflow shelf.

On Arctic shelves, benthic food-webs are tightly linked to overlying primary production. In the seasonal ice zone, sympagic (ice-associated) primary production can be a major source of carbon for the benthos on productive inflow shelves. However, the role of sympagic organic matter is less well-understood in food webs of heavily ice-covered, less- productive outflow shelves, such as the northeast Greenland shelf. Highly branched isoprenoid biomarkers (HBIs) were used to track the relative distribution of sympagic and pelagic organic matter in the water column, sediments, and benthic fauna of the northeast Greenland shelf and fjords. Low pelagic HBI presence throughout the study area indicated a generally low production by pelagic diatoms (at the time of sampling). This was reflected in the benthos, as ~90% of their assimilated carbon was estimated to come from sympagic sources, indicating a benthic food-web highly reliant on sympagic production. This reliance was higher in coastal areas than on the open shelf, where the potentially higher pelagic productivity and shallower water on banks likely increased contributions of pelagic organic matter. As declining ice cover and reduced production of fast-sinking ice algae projected for Arctic shelves will likely result in weaker coupling between ice algae and the benthos, with possible consequences for future benthic-community structure and function.

Characterizing offshore polar ocean soundscapes using ecoacoustic intensity and diversity metrics.

Polar offshore environments are considered the last pristine soundscapes, but accelerating climate change and increasing human activity threaten their integrity. In order to assess the acoustic state of polar oceans, there is the need to investigate their soundscape characteristics more holistically. We apply a set of 14 ecoacoustic metrics (EAMs) to identify which metrics are best suited to reflect the characteristics of disturbed and naturally intact polar offshore soundscapes. We used two soundscape datasets: (i) the Arctic eastern Fram Strait (FS), which is already impacted by anthropogenic noise, and (ii) the quasi-pristine Antarctic Weddell Sea (WS). Our results show that EAMs when applied in concert can be used to quantitatively assess soundscape variability, enabling the appraisal of marine soundscapes over broad spatiotemporal scales. The tested set of EAMs was able to show that the eastern FS, which is virtually free from sea ice, lacks seasonal soundscape dynamics and exhibits low acoustic complexity owing to year-round wind-mediated sounds and anthropogenic noise. By contrast, the WS exhibits pronounced seasonal soundscape dynamics with greater soundscape heterogeneity driven in large part by the vocal activity of marine mammal communities, whose composition in turn varies with the prevailing seasonal sea ice conditions.

Microplastic Particles and Fibers in Seasonal Ice of the Northern Baltic Sea.

Microplastic pollution is a pervasive issue, with remarkably high concentrations observed even in the most remote locations such as Arctic sea ice and snow. The reason for such large microplastic abundances in sea ice is still speculative and applies mainly to saline or freshwater conditions. In this study, we investigated seasonal ice core samples collected in March 2021 from the northern Baltic Sea (Gulf of Bothnia) for their microplastic distributions. The Baltic Sea is characterized by low salinity and can be ice-covered for up to six months annually. Microplastics were analyzed in the melted ice samples using an adsorption technique and Raman microscopy to identify their abundances, colors, shapes, and sizes to calculate their masses. Due to the strong dynamic of the ice layer and the repeated melting and freezing processes during the ice formation, no discernible trends in microplastic abundances, masses, or polymer types were observed throughout the ice core length. The average microplastic abundance (±SD) in the Baltic Sea ice was determined to be 22.3 ± 8.6 N L-1, with 64.9% of the particles exhibiting a particulate shape and 35.1% having a fibrous shape. The most prevalent polymer type was polyethylene terephthalate (PET), accounting for 44.4% of all polymers. This is likely due to the high proportion of PET fibers (93.8%). The majority of particle-shaped microplastics were identified as polyethylene (PE; 37.2%), followed by PET (17.2%), polyvinyl chloride (PVC; 15.9%), and polypropylene (PP; 15.9%). No correlations were found between microplastic concentrations and proximity to land, cities, industries, or rivers, except for PP mass concentrations and particle sizes, which correlated with distances to industries in Luleå, Sweden.

Metatranscriptomic analysis reveals dissimilarity in viral community activity between an ice-free and ice-covered winter in Lake Erie.

Winter is a relatively under-studied season in freshwater ecology. The paucity of wintertime surveys has led to a lack of knowledge regarding microbial community activity during the winter in Lake Erie, a North American Great Lake. Viruses shape microbial communities and regulate biogeochemical cycles by acting as top-down controls, yet very few efforts have been made to examine active virus populations during the winter in Lake Erie. Furthermore, climate change-driven declines in seasonal ice cover have been shown to influence microbial community structure, but no studies have compared viral community activity between different ice cover conditions. We surveyed surface water metatranscriptomes for viral hallmark genes as a proxy for active virus populations and compared activity metrics between ice-covered and ice-free conditions from two sampled winters. Transcriptionally active viral communities were detected in both winters, spanning diverse phylogenetic clades of putative bacteriophage (Caudoviricetes), giant viruses (Nucleocytoviricota, or NCLDV), and RNA viruses (Orthornavirae). However, viral community activity metrics revealed pronounced differences between the ice-covered and ice-free winters. Viral community composition was distinct between winters and viral hallmark gene richness was reduced in the ice-covered relative to the ice-free conditions. In addition, the observed differences in viral communities correlated with microbial community activity metrics. Overall, these findings contribute to our understanding of the viral populations that are active during the winter in Lake Erie and suggest that viral community activity may be associated with ice cover extent.IMPORTANCEAs seasonal ice cover is projected to become increasingly rare on large temperate lakes, there is a need to understand how microbial communities might respond to changing ice conditions. Although it is widely recognized that viruses impact microbial community structure and function, there is little known regarding wintertime viral activity or the relationship between viral activity and ice cover extent. Our metatranscriptomic analyses indicated that viruses were transcriptionally active in the winter surface waters of Lake Erie. These findings also expanded the known diversity of viral lineages in the Great Lakes. Notably, viral community activity metrics were significantly different between the two sampled winters. The pronounced differences we observed in active viral communities between the ice-covered and ice-free samples merit further research regarding how viral communities will function in future, potentially ice-free, freshwater systems.

Arctic accessibility: recent trend in observed ship tracks and validation of arctic transport accessibility model

ABSTRACT The Arctic region is undergoing significant changes in maritime accessibility. This study investigates observed ship trajectories from 2013 to 2020 to demonstrate the recent trends of Arctic traffic. A notable surge in maritime activities has been observed, particularly during summer months, driven by economic interests and the increasing popularity of existing routes. Unique patterns in the northern Barents Sea have been observed where ships favour different routes based on seasonal ice conditions. Another contribution from this work is the validation of the Arctic Traffic Accessibility Model (ATAM) using the observed ship traffic data. Results show that the ATAM model underestimates the accessibility and vessel travel speed. This is largely due to outdated model parameters. The predefined ice multipliers and calculation of ice numerals used in the ATAM may not accurately reflect real-world conditions.