Sea Ice Melt Research Articles

Assessing the Spurious Impacts of Ice-Constraining Methods on the Climate Response to Sea Ice Loss Using an Idealized Aquaplanet GCM

Abstract Coupled climate model simulations designed to isolate the effects of Arctic sea ice loss often apply artificial heating, either directly to the ice or through modification of the surface albedo, to constrain sea ice in the absence of other forcings. Recent work has shown that this approach may lead to an overestimation of the climate response to sea ice loss. In this study, we assess the spurious impacts of ice-constraining methods on the climate of an idealized aquaplanet general circulation model (GCM) with thermodynamic sea ice. The true effect of sea ice loss in this model is isolated by inducing ice loss through reduction of the freezing point of water, which does not require additional energy input. We compare the results of freezing point modification experiments with experiments where sea ice loss is induced using traditional ice-constraining methods and confirm the result of previous work that traditional methods induce spurious additional warming. Furthermore, additional warming leads to an overestimation of the circulation response to sea ice loss, which involves a weakening of the zonal wind and storm-track activity in midlatitudes. Our results suggest that coupled model simulations with constrained sea ice should be treated with caution, especially in boreal summer, where the true effect of sea ice loss is weakest, but we find the largest spurious response. Given that our results may be sensitive to the simplicity of the model we use, we suggest that devising methods to quantify the spurious effects of ice-constraining methods in more sophisticated models should be an urgent priority for future work. Significance Statement The potential effects of Arctic sea ice loss on midlatitude weather have been investigated using climate models where sea ice loss is artificially induced, without increasing greenhouse gas concentrations. Recently, this approach has been challenged because the artificial heating used to melt sea ice may also have direct effects on climate, which are not caused by sea ice loss. We run simulations with a simplified climate model that allows us to separate the “spurious” direct effects of the artificial heating from the “true” effect of sea ice loss. In our simulations, the responses of temperature and atmospheric circulation are amplified by spurious effects. Consequently, we argue that previous studies using more complex climate models may overestimate the effect of sea ice loss on climate.

Sea ice perturbations in aquaplanet simulations: isolating the physical climate responses from model interventions

Abstract Comprehensive climate model simulations with perturbed sea ice covers have been extensively used to assess the impact of future sea ice loss, suggesting substantial climate changes both in the high latitudes and beyond. However, previous work using an idealized energy balance model calls into question the methods that are used to perturb sea ice cover, demonstrating a consistent overestimate of the surface warming due to sea ice loss, while the large complexity gap between the idealized and comprehensive models makes the implications of this result unclear. To bridge this gap we have performed simulations with a new implementation of the CESM2 model in a slab-ocean aquaplanet configuration coupled with thermodynamic sea ice, which is able to capture the realistic seasonal characteristics of polar climate change. Using this model setup, we perform a suite of experiments to systematically quantify the spurious climate responses associated with melting sea ice without a CO2 forcing. We find that using the sea ice ghost flux method overestimates many aspects of the climate response by ~10-20%, including the polar warming, the mini global warming signal and the increase in both precipitation and evaporation. The location of the latitudinal band of heating applied to melt the sea ice relative to the midlatitude jet is important for determining where the midlatitude circulation response is overestimated. This work advances our ability to isolate the true climate response to sea ice loss, and provides a framework for conducting coupled sea ice loss simulations absent the spurious impacts from the addition of artificial heating.

Concurrent Bering Sea and Labrador Sea ice melt extremes in March 2023: a confluence of meteorological events aligned with stratosphere–troposphere interactions

Abstract. Today's Arctic is characterized by a lengthening of the sea ice melt season, as well as by fast and at times unseasonal melt events. Such anomalous melt cases have been identified in Pacific and Atlantic Arctic sector sea ice studies. Through observational analyses, we document an unprecedented, concurrent marginal ice zone melt event in the Bering Sea and Labrador Sea in March of 2023. Taken independently, variability in the cold-season ice edge at synoptic timescales is common. However, such anomalous, short-term ice loss over either region during the climatological sea ice maxima is uncommon, and the tandem ice loss that occurred qualifies this as a rare event. The atmospheric setting that supported the unseasonal melt events was preceded by a sudden stratospheric warming event amidst background La Niña conditions that led to positive tropospheric height anomalies across much of the Arctic and the development of anomalous mid-troposphere ridges over the ice loss regions. These large-scale anticyclonic centers funneled extremely warm and moist airstreams onto the ice causing melt. Further analysis identified the presence of atmospheric rivers within these warm airstreams whose characteristics likely contributed to this bi-regional ice melt event. Whether such a confluence of anomalous wintertime events associated with troposphere–stratosphere coupling may occur more often in a warming Arctic remains a research area ripe for further exploration.

Assessing GFDL‐ESM4.1 Climate Responses to a Stratospheric Aerosol Injection Strategy Intended to Avoid Overshoot 2.0°C Warming

AbstractIn this work, we apply the GFDL Earth System Model (GFDL‐ESM4.1) to explore the climate responses to a stratospheric aerosol injection (SAI) scenario that aims to restrict global warming to 2.0°C above pre‐industrial levels (1850–1900) under the CMIP6 overshoot scenario (SSP5‐34‐OS). Simulations of this SAI scenario with the CESM Whole Atmosphere Community Climate Model (CESM2‐WACCM6) showed nearly unchanged interhemispheric and pole‐to‐Equator surface temperature gradients relative to present‐day conditions around 2020, and reduced global impacts, such as heatwaves, sea ice melting, and shifting precipitation patterns (Tilmes et al., 2020, https://doi.org/10.5194/esd‐11‐579‐2020). However, model structural uncertainties can lead to varying climate projections under the same forcing. Implementing identical stratospheric aerosol radiative properties in GFDL‐ESM4.1, which has a much lower Effective Climate Sensitivity compared to CESM2‐WACCM6, resulted in a decrease in global‐mean surface temperature by more than 1.5°C and a corresponding reduction in precipitation responses. Two major reasons contribute to the different temperature response between the two models: first, GFDL‐ESM4.1 has less warming in the SSP534‐OS scenario; second, GFDL‐ESM4.1 has shown more pronounced cooling in response to the same stratospheric AOD perturbation. Notably, the Southern Hemisphere experiences substantial cooling compared to the Northern Hemisphere, accompanied by a northward shift of the Intertropical Convergence Zone (ITCZ). Furthermore, our analysis reveals that spatially heterogeneous forcing within the SAI scenario results in diverse climate feedback parameters in the GFDL‐ESM4.1 model, through varying surface warming/cooling patterns. This research highlights the importance of considering model structural uncertainties and forcing spatial patterns for a comprehensive evaluation of future scenarios and geoengineering strategies.

Diverse impacts of sea ice and ice shelf melting on phytoplankton communities in the Cosmonaut Sea, East Antarctica

Abstract Antarctic sea ice and glacier melt profoundly impacts marine ecosystems. Our study in the Cosmonaut Sea summer measures seawater oxygen isotopes, size-fractionated chlorophyll-a, and phytoplankton communities. We quantify sea ice meltwater, meteoric water, and winter water contents using a Bayesian isotope-mixing model. Contrary to common belief, our findings suggest that the reduced net export of sea ice to the north and the basal melting of ice shelves have deepened the mixed layer in coastal waters, altering the survival depth of phytoplankton. Freshwater primarily stimulates phytoplankton growth by supplying dissolved iron rather than by increasing water stability, which influences the size distribution and species composition of the phytoplankton community. These insights highlight the complex interplay between freshwater inputs, nutrient dynamics, and phytoplankton communities, and are crucial for understanding the dynamics of Antarctic ecosystem and its vulnerability to climate change.

Local contributions and climate change effects on organochlorine pesticide levels in soil and sediments in Svalbard

The Arctic region, including Svalbard, faces unique environmental challenges from the presence and persistence of organochlorine pesticides (OCPs), pollutants known for their long-range atmospheric transport and potential local sources. In Svalbard, the melting of sea ice and glaciers due to climate change may release OCPs trapped over decades, while human activities in the area could contribute additional local contamination. This study aimed to identify and quantify different sources of OCPs in soil and marine sediments at Svalbard. Samples were collected from Kongsfjorden, Rijpfjorden, and in Ny-Ålesund. The concentrations of 23 OCPs in sediments sampled were in the range of 0.36–0.90 ng/g, which were lower than those in the soils from Ny-Ålesund (0.28 ng/g to 3.6 ng/g). The highest OCP levels were detected at locations near the research station in Ny-Ålesund, where local contamination from research activities, mining, and dumpsites could occur. Hexachlorobenzene (HCB) were the most prominent compound, followed by various DDTs and HCHs. Dignostic ratios and the Positive Matrix Factorization (PMF) model were employed to determine the primary sources of OCPs. The results from modeling showed that historically used pollutants were the primary contributor, accounting for 90% of OCPs present, while recently input OCPs were a minor contributor. However, newly input pollutants significantly contributed to HCHs (43%). It is suggested that the contribution of legacy OCPs mainly comes from the melting of sea ice and glaciers. This was especially true for Rijpfjorden (95%), while it was also significant for Kongsfjorden (55%). The local contamination and fresh inputs played a substantial role in the area near the research station in Ny-Ålesund. The study emphasizes the importance of secondly source, especially the role of melting sea ice and glaciers as well as local contaminations as sources of OCPs in Svalbard's marine sediment, which highlight the urgent need to address the impact of climate change on the Arctic environment.

Southerly winds and rapid sea ice reductions along the Sea of Okhotsk coast of Hokkaido

The Sea of Okhotsk, between northern Japan and Siberia, is the southernmost sea region of the Northern Hemisphere with seasonal sea ice cover. During early spring, occasional rapid reduction in sea ice cover observed in the southern Sea of Okhotsk can lead to anomalously early disappearance of sea ice along the Hokkaido coast (northern Japan). This study investigated the atmospheric and oceanic processes leading to rapid reduction in sea ice in the southern Sea of Okhotsk during early spring. We detected six events of subseasonal continued reduction in sea ice cover in March between 1993 and 2019. Strong southerly winds with marked thermal advection and moisture transport over northern Japan were observed in five of the six events. The passage of extratropical cyclones brought warm moist air from the south, which led to drifting and melting of sea ice by changing the surface wind speed and surface heat budget in the southern Sea of Okhotsk. The perturbation in sensible heat flux attributable to warm air advection contributed substantially to sea ice reduction, whereas longwave radiation played a secondary role. In addition to the atmospheric processes, an enhanced Soya Current also transports heat from the Sea of Japan, possibly contributing to the sea ice melt. The initial sea ice reduction leads to further sea ice loss through ice–albedo feedback, resulting in prolonged sea ice reductions for 1–2 weeks.

More or Less Ice? Shipping in the Russian Arctic and the Role of Climate Change

Melting sea ice has often been presented as a primary driver for development of Arctic shipping, but what role has it played for policies to develop the Northern Sea Route? It may look paradoxical that Russia has embarked on an ambitious icebreaker construction program, given climate change. In Russia, there have been contradictory assessments of further climate developments in the Arctic. Representatives of the nuclear icebreaker fleet have argued that a new cooling period will soon occur, whereas Russian climate science is dominated by unidirectional climate change. Nevertheless, there is agreement that more icebreakers are needed, since shipping activity is expected to increase, and an extended navigation season is an indisputable goal. Nuances in Russian climate science do not seem to play any role in policy planning for Arctic shipping. Shipping through the Arctic emits less greenhouse gases than navigation on conventional southerly routes, which may be used as an argument in favor of the Northern Sea Route. It is doubtful, though, that this will change priorities of international shipping companies, especially as long as international shipping is not subject to emissions standards. Many other considerations will have precedence. Obviously, Russia’s war in Ukraine and the ensuing international tension is affecting trade patterns and investments in the Russian Arctic. In this situation climate change plays less of a role in the development of shipping in the Russian Arctic. But even before the war climate change was less important than often assumed in the international literature.

Emergence of a climate oscillation in the Arctic Ocean due to global warming

Global warming is expected to be able to trigger abrupt transitions in various components of the climate system. Most studies focus on abrupt changes in the mean state of the system, while transitions in climate variability are less well understood. Here, we use multimodel simulations to show that sea-ice loss in the Arctic can trigger a critical transition in internal variability that leads to the emergence of a new climate oscillation in the Arctic Ocean. The intensified air–sea interaction due to sea-ice melt causes an oscillatory behaviour of surface temperatures on a multidecadal timescale. Our results suggest that a new mode of internal variability will emerge in the Arctic Ocean when sea ice declines below a critical threshold.

Tropical cyclone activity over western North Pacific favors Arctic sea ice increase.

Teleconnections between the tropics and the Arctic have attracted a lot of scientific interest. However, the mechanisms by which tropical synoptic-scale systems influence the variability of Arctic sea ice remain unknown. In this study, we highlight the impacts of tropical cyclone (TC) activity over the western North Pacific (WNP) on Arctic Sea Ice Concentration (SIC) using observational evidence and climate model simulation experiments. Our findings demonstrate significant positive correlations between Accumulated Cyclone Energy (ACE) in the WNP and SIC in the Arctic-Pacific Sector (APS), particularly when considering a 30-day lag. The TC activity over the WNP induces Rossby wave train propagation towards the Arctic, leading to anomalous cyclonic circulation over the upper troposphere of the APS. The anomalous cyclone over the Arctic, on one hand, signifies the deepening of the Arctic polar vortex and diminishes adiabatic warming over the APS, subsequently inducing cooling and drying of the lower Arctic air. This process reduces downward longwave radiation, promoting an increase in September APS SIC. On the other hand, the anomalous cyclone over the Arctic hinders the export of sea ice and local melting processes throughout the Fram Strait. These findings contribute to a deeper comprehension of tropics-Arctic teleconnections.

Changes in the SST Seasonal Cycle in a Warmer North Pacific without Ocean Dynamical Feedbacks

Abstract Climate models project a significant intensification of the sea surface temperature (SST) seasonal cycle over the subpolar North Pacific due to global warming, with the shallower mixed layer widely recognized as the dominant factor. However, employing slab ocean experiments with only ocean–atmosphere thermal coupling, we find a substantial contribution from changes in surface heat flux to this seasonal cycle intensification. In particular, the stronger Newtonian cooling effect in winter acts as a more potent damping than in summer. This differential damping inhibits the warming in colder seasons, significantly contributing to the intensified SST seasonal cycle in the subpolar North Pacific. In addition, consistent phase shifts in the North Pacific are identified across CMIP6 models. In the northwest North Pacific, a phase advance is associated with anomalous heating in early spring, driven by enhanced warm atmospheric advection from lower latitudes and sea ice melting in marginal seas. In contrast, the southeast North Pacific exhibits a phase delay attributed to the anomalous cooling in spring relative to autumn. This cooling is due to weakened trade winds and increased presence of high clouds. The former leads to stronger evaporative cooling in spring, while the latter impedes shortwave radiation from reaching the ocean.

Multidecadal decline in sea ice meltwater volume and Pacific Winter Water salinity in the Bering Sea revealed by ocean observations

Large amounts of freshwater and nutrients pass through the Bering Strait to the Arctic Ocean, making the Bering Sea a crucial marginal sea of the North Pacific Ocean. The hydrography and biological production of the Bering Sea are strongly influenced by the amount of sea ice produced and melted. The sea ice extent and production exhibited large interannual variability but no visible trend until 2016 when a strong decrease began. However, records of sea ice before 1979 and the beginning of satellite-based estimates do not exist. In this paper, we devised a methodology using historical temperature and salinity data, supplemented by historical oxygen isotope (δ18O) data, to estimate sea ice melt and its temporal variability in the Bering Sea from 1950 onward. Our results, consistent with estimates of sea ice thickness, indicate that the sea ice melt volume has declined significantly —following lower sea ice extent and production— with a decrease between 35 and 50 km3 (from 442 km3) between pre-1980 and post-1980 climatologies. In particular, our meltwater time series reveals a decline of 160 km3 between 2012 and 2018, which also reflects the strong decrease in sea ice volume between 2016 and 2018 that numerous previous studies have highlighted. We also evaluated the change in the salinity of the Pacific Winter Water (PWW), whose formation is also related to sea ice production. The time series of PWW salinity exhibits a strong decreasing trend, with a freshening of about 0.3 between the mid-1950 s and the mid-2010 s, that we attribute to a combination of a reduced sea ice production and the freshening of the Alaskan Coastal Current water. The decline in meltwater volume and PWW salinity that we observed strongly influences the stratification over the Bering shelf, with a significant weakening of the stratification in coastal polynya regions, and a stronger and increasingly temperature-controlled stratification in the rest of the shelf. These changes could have adverse consequences on the biological productivity of the northern Bering Sea.

Boron to salinity ratios in the Fram Strait entering the Central Arctic: The role of sea ice formation and future predictions

The Arctic Ocean's sea ice loss dynamically impacts carbon uptake potential, as assessed through measured carbonate parameters, such as total alkalinity. In the open ocean, boron (B) is the third largest contributor to alkalinity via borate and is usually accounted for through the conservative boron to salinity ratio (B/S), and not directly measured. Here, we present findings on non-conservative boron dynamics, that results in significant B/S deviations, observed in ice melt zone waters, snow, slush, brine, and annual sea ice (n = 169) in the Fram Strait entering the Central Arctic. These samples were collected during the onset of the melt season on the 2023 ARTofMELT expedition, covering a wide practical salinity range (2–59). Barring snow, the average B/S ratio across the study was 0.1321 ± 0.0032 mg kg−1 ‰−1, similar to the mean B/S ratio measured amongst several polar water masses near Iceland, as well as the accepted B/S for other ocean regions. Results indicate minor deviations from accepted B/S ratios (indicating conservative behavior) across the sample practical salinity range and reflect an uncertainty in the borate contribution to total alkalinity of less than 2.9 μmol kg−1 at in-situ temperatures. B fractionation appears to occur during sea ice formation, causing greater B in the sea ice reservoir whereas brine, slush, lead, and under-ice water reservoirs are depleted in B. As such, under-ice and lead, brine, and slush samples all had measured B/S ratios (0.1305 ± 0.0011, 0.1305 ± 0.0018, and 0.1304 ± 0.0017 mg kg−1 ‰−1, respectively) lower than the established ratio whereas the average sea ice B/S ratio (0.1331 ± 0.0035 mg kg−1 ‰−1) was closest to accepted values (0.1336 ± 0.0005 mg kg−1 ‰−1). Arctic open ocean samples also had a lower B/S ratio (0.1304 ± 0.0014 mg kg−1 ‰−1). Our findings, together with a previous Arctic B ice study, suggest that B (probably in the form of B(OH)4−) is incorporated into authigenic CaCO3 minerals, replacing CO32− within the mineral lattice during sea ice formation. This process consequentially lowers the B/S ratio in the open Arctic Ocean, compared to the established global ocean ratio. Nevertheless, the incorporation of B into the sea ice reservoir does not fully account for the deficit of B in the Arctic Ocean samples, suggesting further accounting of B Arctic pathways is necessary. In future climate scenarios involving increased sea ice melt, the transition from multiyear to annual sea ice, permafrost thaw, and increased riverine discharge, the behavior of B in the Arctic Ocean is expected to become more dynamic.

Is the Modern Arctic Marginal Ice Zone More Susceptible to Summer Cyclones?

Abstract As Arctic sea ice melts, cyclones potentially enhance the mechanical and thermodynamic forces that influence the vulnerable ice edge. However, examples can be found in satellite observations and reanalyses where cyclones either locally increase or decrease ice within the marginal ice zone (MIZ). Two case studies with these opposing ice responses are presented. Guided by the tendencies during these events, 264 strong (minimum surface pressure below 984 mb) summer cyclones were sorted by prevailing wind direction and SST changes within the MIZ to quantify the net ice impacts in the present-day Arctic (2010–2019) and early satellite era (1982–1991). By tracking MIZ ice area from one week before the cyclone’s formation through two weeks after, we find cyclones that enhance southerly winds mostly decrease ice area, whereas enhanced northerlies generally increase ice area within the MIZ later in the season. Furthermore, early-summer storms tend to decrease MIZ ice area more than late-summer storms. A shift towards more frequent early-summer storms is observed from the 1980s to 2010s, resulting in almost two-thirds of recent storms decreasing area. Consequently, recent summer cyclones have more negative impacts, resulting in a decline of more than 40,000 km2 of MIZ ice area on average, whereas 1980s cyclones had little aggregate impact. Wind direction and SST trends partially reconcile the wide range of MIZ ice area changes due to cyclone passage, yet considerable variations in individual cyclones’ impacts remain even when controlling for these factors. These bulk diagnostics therefore only explain part of the complex ice-cyclone relationship.

Characterization of Phytoplankton-Derived Amino Acids and Tracing the Source of Organic Carbon Using Stable Isotopes in the Amundsen Sea.

We utilized amino acid (AA) and carbon stable isotope analyses to characterize phytoplankton-derived organic matter (OM) and trace the sources of organic carbon in the Amundsen Sea. Carbon isotope ratios of particulate organic carbon (δ13C-POC) range from -28.7‱ to -23.1‱, indicating that particulate organic matter originated primarily from phytoplankton. The dissolved organic carbon isotope (δ13C-DOC) signature (-27.1 to -21.0‱) observed in the sea-ice melting system suggests that meltwater contributes to the DOC supply of the Amundsen Sea together with OM produced by phytoplankton. A negative correlation between the degradation index and δ13C-POC indicates that the quality of OM significantly influences isotopic fractionation (r2 = 0.59, p < 0.001). The AA distribution in the Amundsen Sea (5.43 ± 3.19 µM) was significantly larger than previously reported in the Southern Ocean and was associated with phytoplankton biomass (r2 = 0.49, p < 0.01). Under conditions dominated by P. antarctica (DI = 2.29 ± 2.30), OM exhibited greater lability compared to conditions co-dominated by diatoms and D. speculum (DI = 0.04 ± 3.64). These results highlight the important role of P. antarctica in influencing the properties of OM, suggesting potential impacts on carbon cycling and microbial metabolic activity in the Amundsen Sea.

Quantifying the role of iron recycling by Adélie and Emperor penguins over the austral spring and summer in Prydz Bay

In large areas of the Southern Ocean, iron limits phytoplankton production. Although biologically mediated iron recycling has been studied for the higher trophic-level whales and the lower trophic-level krill, less is known of the numerically abundant seabirds foraging in Antarctic waters. In this study, we estimate the magnitude of iron recycled by two Antarctic breeding seabirds, the Adélie and emperor penguins, across the austral spring and summer in the Prydz Bay region, East Antarctica. Their contribution to iron recycling and associated pathways differs in line with their contrasting life history strategies (summer and winter breeding) and their breeding habitat (land and fast ice). We consider their breeding cycle in relation to their terrestrial activities compared to foraging periods at sea. High iron concentration (~419 mg kg−1) in guano of both penguin species suggests that they are a source of regenerated iron. Breeding emperor penguins supplied an average of 237 μmol iron m−2 day−1 on the fast ice that they breed on that eventually ends in the ocean when the ice melts completely in summer (November–February). During their foraging trips, the adult emperor penguins contribute between 7 × 10−5 and 4 × 10−4 μmol iron m−2 day−1, as their foraging ranges increase over the breeding season. In contrast, breeding Adélie penguins supplied between 254 and 1,243 μmol iron m−2 day−1 whilst at their colony, with a fraction of guano entering the ocean via meltwater flowing into the ocean. The flux decreases to 2 × 10−3 to 6 × 10−2 μmol iron m−2 d−1, whilst they are foraging. Our study finds that penguins redistribute a large flux of iron onto their colonies, which may enter the adjacent water through sea ice melt and facilitated through katabatic winds. Despite their high abundance in Prydz Bay, the contribution of penguins to iron flux during their foraging periods is minor, due to the enormous foraging range being covered. Further research into the bioavailability of iron by marine organisms coupled with parallel measurements of seawater iron concentration and phytoplankton uptake experiments will be invaluable in refining iron budgets in both this region and other hotspots along the Antarctic coast where higher trophic-level animals are abundant.

Glacial interglacial variations in the natural iron fertilization during the low sea ice periods along the eastern continental margin of Antarctica

The Southern Ocean sequesters atmospheric CO2 through biological pumps, though its driving factors are debated. Modern productivity is regulated by natural iron fertilization from micronutrient influx through dust, regeneration, and Antarctic glaciers and sea ice melting (ice melt). The productivity along the eastern Antarctic continental margin was low during the last glacial period and gradually increased through the deglacial to Late Holocene, marked by distinct productivity peaks. The micronutrients also varied similarly, with reduced glacial influx and an increase in the Holocene, which may cause productivity peaks. Therefore, the coherence of enhanced productivity and micronutrient influx is considered as enhanced iron fertilization period. The productivity peaks declined within ∼1.5 kyr, mostly due to the Ekman transport and sea ice formation. Along with ice melt, the independent weathering pattern that responds with glacial- interglacial ice volume changes suggest the source of micronutrients is not terrigenous. Shelf interaction of oceanic currents can influence the water column nutrient stock significantly, while its utilization occurs during reduced ice periods (low sea ice and high glacier melting) for productivity. Therefore, enhanced natural iron fertilization periods are considered as ice low periods that occurred in a periodicity of 2 kyrs, at ∼7.5 kyr BP, ∼5.5 kyr BP, ∼4 kyr BP, ∼ 2.5 kyr BP, and ∼0.5 kyr BP, likely due to the combined effects of atmospheric and oceanographic factors driven by the high amplitude regional temperature variability during the mid to late Holocene.

Melt Pond Evolution along the MOSAiC Drift: Insights from Remote Sensing and Modeling

Melt ponds play a crucial role in the melting of Arctic sea ice. Studying the evolution of melt ponds is essential for understanding changes in Arctic sea ice. In this study, we used a revised sea ice model to simulate the evolution of melt ponds along the MOSAiC drift at a resolution of 10 m. A novel melt pond parameterization scheme simulates the movement of meltwater under the influence of gravity over a realistic sea ice topography. We evaluated different melt pond parameterization schemes based on remote sensing observations. The absolute deviation of the maximum pond coverage simulated by the new scheme is within 3%, while differences among parameterization schemes exceed 50%. Errors were found to be primarily due to the calculation of macroscopic meltwater loss, which is related to sea ice surface topography. Previous studies have indicated that sea ice with a lower surface roughness has a larger catchment area, resulting in larger pond coverage during the melt season. This study has identified an opposing mechanism: sea ice with lower surface roughness has a larger catchment area connected to the macroscopic flaws of the sea ice surface, which leads to more macroscopic drainage into the ocean and thereby a decrease in melt pond coverage. Experimental simulations showed that sea ice with 46% higher surface roughness, resulting in 12% less macroscopic drainage, exhibited a 38% higher maximum pond fraction. The presence of macroscopic flaws is related to the fragmentation of sea ice cover. As Arctic sea ice cover becomes increasingly fragmented and mobile, this mechanism will become more significant.

A moderator of tropical impacts on climate in Canadian Arctic Archipelago during boreal summer

The Canadian Arctic Archipelago consists of important international trade routes, and local surface air temperatures (SAT) greatly control sea ice melting in situ during boreal summer (June-July-August-September). However, the drivers of the Arctic Archipelago summer SAT variability have not yet been fully elucidated. Here, we find that the impact of tropical Indo-Pacific convection on the Arctic Archipelago SAT through induced poleward-propagating Rossby wave train is strongly modulated by Russian Arctic sea surface temperature anomalies (SSTA). Negative Russian Arctic SSTA lead to a weakened East Asia westerly jet via equatorward Rossby wave activity. The weakened westerly jet enhances the meridional gradient of the potential vorticity over the North Pacific, guiding the poleward-propagating Rossby wave to the Arctic Archipelago and therefore affecting the local SAT. Conversely, positive Russian Arctic SSTA impede the northward-propagating Rossby wave via enhancing the East Asia westerly jet, resulting in a weakened relationship between the tropical Indo-Pacific convection and Arctic Archipelago SAT. The present study proposes a mechanism whereby changes in the Tropical-Arctic connection stem from thermal conditions elsewhere in the Arctic, through shaping poleward-propagating Rossby waves by changing the background mean flow.

Sea Ice Dynamics and Planktonic Adaptations: A Study of Terra Nova Bay’s Mesozooplanktonic Community during the Austral Summer

Phytoplankton and zooplanktonic communities form the base of the Antarctic food web. This study examines the evolution of the mesozooplanktonic system in Terra Nova Bay during the austral summer (December–February), focusing on the impact of sea ice dynamics and the resulting phytoplankton blooms. Terra Nova Bay (Ross Sea) offers a valuable context given its high productivity and ecological variability. Using a diachronic approach, we analyzed data spanning twelve years to understand how the system’s structure and functionality change over time. A novel key metric, Days since Sea Ice Melting, was employed to track shifts in phytoplankton community development and trophic dynamics. The results indicate that the system enters the summer season increasing primary productivity and creating the support for the development of a more complex and organized system during the season. The phytoplankton bloom recorded during mid-season, coped by an increase in biomass, is followed by the establishment of a well-organized grazing system. A secondary phytoplankton bloom is observed towards the end of the summer, but it does not significantly affect mesozooplankton communities. Overall, this study highlights the dynamic nature of Terra Nova Bay’s mesozooplanktonic community and evaluates the influence of climate change on Antarctic marine ecosystems.