Scenario Approach Research Articles

Study of recovery factor and CO(2) storage behavior in a reservoir using numerical simulation

In this study, the behavior of the recovery factor during the displacement and storage phases of carbon dioxide (CO2) in an Ecuadorian reservoir was investigated by numerical simulation. Continuous injection and CO2 WAG methods were used. The methodology included field data collection, creation of a static reservoir model, configuration of the PVT model with CMG software, construction of a dynamic model in GEM-CMG based on rock-fluid properties, and evaluation of CO2 injection scenarios. After a screening analysis, the optimal scenario was identified and the performance of the recovery factor over time was studied. The results indicated that, during the 8 years of simulation, the recovery factor with continuous injection was 28%, while with the WAG method it reached 31%. It was concluded that WAG was the most efficient method. Regarding storage, it was observed that continuous injection was able to store 83% of the CO2 in the reservoir.

Coalition: Mapping the Development of Inclusive Practices in Initial Teacher Training for Fostering Student Participation

In this article, we present the progress of the Erasmus+ Coalition European project. The aim of this project is to promote the development of inclusive practices in higher education so that optimal learning scenarios can be experienced which allow for the rethinking of participation processes in an educational context. In the first phase of the project, a study was carried out using a mixed methodological approach of teaching competences for the development of inclusive practices. University teaching staff and students from several European institutions participated in this study with the aim of gathering information on the following key areas: academic perceptions of possible institutional obstacles and resources; beliefs of the teaching body with regard to inclusive pedagogical approaches; and strategies for adapting to different learning styles and encouraging student participation. Here, we present the results obtained in relation to the implementation of procedures for inclusive teaching, placing our emphasis on the strategies used to favour the monitoring of student learning. Based on the achievements of the initial stage, our intention is to generate a community of practice that supports the training scaffolding of those concerned, and to develop online processes of inquiry to improve initial teacher training in fomenting student participation.

Dynamic load frequency control in Power systems using a hybrid simulated annealing based Quadratic Interpolation Optimizer

Ensuring the stability and reliability of modern power systems is increasingly challenging due to the growing integration of renewable energy sources and the dynamic nature of load demands. Traditional proportional-integral-derivative (PID) controllers, while widely used, often fall short in effectively managing these complexities. This paper introduces a novel approach to load frequency control (LFC) by proposing a filtered PID (PID-F) controller optimized through a hybrid simulated annealing based quadratic interpolation optimizer (hSA-QIO). The hSA-QIO uniquely combines the local search capabilities of simulated annealing (SA) with the global optimization strengths of the quadratic interpolation optimizer (QIO), providing a robust and efficient solution for LFC challenges. The key contributions of this study include the development and application of the hSA-QIO, which significantly enhances the performance of the PID-F controller. The proposed hSA-QIO was evaluated on unimodal, multimodal, and low-dimensional benchmark functions, to demonstrate its robustness and effectiveness across diverse optimization scenarios. The results showed significant improvements in solution quality compared to the original QIO, with lower objective function values and faster convergence. Applied to a two-area interconnected power system with hybrid photovoltaic-thermal power generation, the hSA-QIO-tuned controller achieved a substantial reduction in the integral of time-weighted absolute error by 23.4%, from 1.1396 to 0.87412. Additionally, the controller reduced the settling time for frequency deviations in Area 1 by 9.9%, from 1.0574 s to 0.96191 s, and decreased the overshoot by 8.8%. In Area 2, the settling time was improved to 0.89209 s, with a reduction in overshoot by 4.8%. The controller also demonstrated superior tie-line power regulation, achieving immediate response with minimal overshoot.

Stakeholder-based management of ecosystem services in agricultural areas: Integrating the leader-follower game and a conflict resolution model

Given the substantial effects of agricultural practices on the environment, this paper introduces a novel stakeholder-based framework for assessing the ecosystem services (ESs) provided by agricultural areas. Ecosystem services include essential functions such as water supply, food production, carbon storage, soil erosion control, and habitat support. In addition to ESs, water footprint is also taken into account to evaluate the impacts of agricultural activities on water resources. Some of the mentioned ESs are assessed using the Soil and Water Assessment Tool (SWAT). Then, by extending and combining the Conflict Resolution Model with the Composition of Probabilistic Preferences (CRMCPP) method and the leader-follower game (LFG), while considering the hierarchical structure of decision-makers, the best scenario for enhancing the ESs is selected.The Zarrinehroud River Basin (ZRB) in Iran has been chosen as a case study to evaluate the performance of the proposed framework, as this basin is vital for supplying water to Lake Urmia, the largest hypersaline lake in the Middle East. In this paper, 16 Water and Environmental Resources Management (WERM) scenarios have been defined according to the Urmia Lake Restoration National Committee (ULRNC) projects. Then, the mentioned ESs have been evaluated under different WERM scenarios. Ultimately, by utilizing the CRMCPP-LFG method and taking into account the hierarchical structure of decision-makers, we can identify the optimal WERM scenario. The criteria for making this decision include various factors, such as ecosystem services and the costs involved in implementing the WERM scenarios. In the selected scenario, the average water inflow into Lake Urmia is projected to rise to 1329 million cubic meters per year, which is 6.3% more than the average inflow in the current condition. Key initiatives in this scenario include reducing cultivated areas, altering irrigation methods, changing crop patterns, and incorporating water-efficient plant species.

An integrated approach using discrete event simulation and design of experiments for working capital management in the fuel retail trade

ABSTRACT This study introduces an innovative approach to Working Capital Management (WCM) in the fuel retail sector, using Discrete Event Simulation (DES) and Design of Experiments (DOE). Efficient WCM is essential for small businesses, particularly in fuel retailing with its tight margins and intense competition. Unlike static financial tools relying on historical data, DES interacts with indicators such as Working Capital Requirement (WCR) and Liquidity Ratios, providing stochastic and accurate information. The study examined three variables (Supplier Payment Deadline, Credit Card Receipt Deadline, and Customer Payment Profile) across 16 experimental scenarios. The Payment Term to Suppliers emerged as the key factor in reducing WCR. Despite lower liquidity potential, the company balanced short-term obligations, identifying optimal WCM scenarios. The study shifts WCM analysis from static data to forecasted, real-time data, supporting dynamic business decision-making. It concludes that DES is a valuable tool for effective WCM in fuel retail, encouraging further research.

Grounded situation recognition under data scarcity

Grounded Situation Recognition (GSR) aims to generate structured image descriptions. For a given image, GSR needs to identify the key verb, the nouns corresponding to roles, and their bounding-box groundings. However, current GSR research demands numerous meticulously labeled images, which are labor-intensive and time-consuming, making it costly to expand detection categories. Our study enhances model accuracy in detecting and localizing under data scarcity, reducing dependency on large datasets and paving the way for broader detection capabilities. In this paper, we propose the Grounded Situation Recognition under Data Scarcity (GSRDS) model, which uses the CoFormer model as the baseline and optimizes three subtasks: image feature extraction, verb classification, and bounding-box localization, to better adapt to data-scarce scenarios. Specifically, we replace ResNet50 with EfficientNetV2-M for advanced image feature extraction. Additionally, we introduce the Transformer Combined with CLIP for Verb Classification (TCCV) module, utilizing features extracted by CLIP’s image encoder to enhance verb classification accuracy. Furthermore, we design the Multi-source Verb-Role Queries (Multi-VR Queries) and the Dual Parallel Decoders (DPD) modules to improve the accuracy of bounding-box localization. Through extensive comparative experiments and ablation studies, we demonstrate that our method achieves higher accuracy than mainstream approaches in data-scarce scenarios. Our code will be available at https://github.com/Zhou-maker-oss/GSRDS.

Integrating spare part inventory management and predictive maintenance as a digital supply chain solution

Purpose This study aims to assess the feasibility and effectiveness of incorporating predictive maintenance (PdM) into existing practices of spare part inventory management and pinpoint the barriers and identify economic values for such integration within the supply chain (SC). Design/methodology/approach A two-staged embedded multiple case study with multi-method data collection and a combined discrete/continuous simulation were conducted to diagnose obstacles and recommend a potential solution. Findings Several major organisational, infrastructure and cultural obstacles were revealed, and an optimum scenario for the integration of spare part inventory management with PdM was recommended. Practical implications The proposed solution can significantly decrease the inventory and SC costs as well as machinery downtimes through minimising unplanned maintenance and addressing shortage of spare parts. Originality/value This is the first study with the best of our knowledge that offers further insights for practitioners in the Industry 4.0 (I4.0) era looking into embarking on digital integration of PdM and spare part inventory management as an efficient and resilient SC practice for the automotive sector by providing empirical evidence.

An Innovative Enhanced JAYA Algorithm for the Optimization of Continuous and Discrete Problems

Metaheuristic algorithms have gained popularity in the past decade due to their remarkable ability to address various optimization challenges. Among these, the JAYA algorithm has emerged as a recent contender that demonstrates strong performance across different optimization problems, largely attributed to its simplicity. However, real-world problems have become increasingly complex in today’s era, creating a demand for more robust and effective solutions to tackle these intricate challenges and achieve outstanding results. This article proposes an enhanced JAYA (EJAYA) method that addresses its inherent shortcomings, resulting in improved convergence and search capabilities when dealing with diverse problems. The current study evaluates the performance of the proposed optimization methods on both continuous and discontinuous problems. Initially, EJAYA is applied to solve 20 prominent test functions and is validated by comparison with other contemporary algorithms in the literature, including moth–flame optimization, particle swarm optimization, the dragonfly algorithm, and the sine–cosine algorithm. The effectiveness of the proposed approach in discrete scenarios is tested using feature selection and compared to existing optimization strategies. Evaluations across various scenarios demonstrate that the proposed enhancements significantly improve the JAYA algorithm’s performance, facilitating escape from local minima, achieving faster convergence, and expanding the search capabilities.

Simulation-Based Optimization Workflow of CO2-EOR for Hydraulic Fractured Wells in Wolfcamp A Formation

Hydraulic fracturing has enabled production from unconventional reservoirs in the U.S., but production rates often decline sharply, limiting recovery factors to under 10%. This study proposes an optimization workflow for the CO2 huff-n-puff process for multistage-fractured horizontal wells in the Wolfcamp A formation in the Delaware Basin. The potential for enhanced oil recovery and CO2 sequestration simultaneously was addressed using a coupled geomechanics–reservoir simulation. Geomechanical properties were derived from a 1D mechanical earth model and integrated into reservoir simulation to replicate hydraulic fracture geometries. The fracture model was validated using a robust production history matching. A fluid phase behavior analysis refined the equation of state, and 1D slim tube simulations determined a minimum miscibility pressure of 4300 psi for CO2 injection. After the primary production phase, various CO2 injection rates were tested from 1 to 25 MMSCFD/well, resulting in incremental oil recovery ranging from 6.3% to 69.3%. Different injection, soaking and production cycles were analyzed to determine the ideal operating condition. The optimal scenario improved cumulative oil recovery by 68.8% while keeping the highest CO2 storage efficiency. The simulation approach proposed by this study provides a comprehensive and systematic workflow for evaluating and optimizing CO2 huff-n-puff in hydraulically fractured wells, enhancing the recovery factor of unconventional reservoirs.

Multi-objective simulation–optimization for water resources management and uses in multi-dam systems in low-water regions

One of the challenging issues in surface water resources management is the optimal operation of multi-dam systems. In addition to the applicability in determining the optimal pattern of operation of existing dams, this approach can be implemented in specifying the optimal capacity of under design dams. In this research, the simulation–optimization technique is used along with the reservoir zoning method in order to specify the optimal role curve of each of the dams in a multi-dam system (i.e., the Marun and Jarreh dams) in monthly intervals. The objective of this study is to develop a multi-objective algorithm on the basis of the zoning of reservoirs for the optimal operation of multi-dam systems. In this technique, instead of increasing the reliability of supplying demands in the whole period regardless the dry months, some of the inflow of rainy periods is stored in dam reservoirs to be consumed in dry months in order to mitigate the severity of deficiency. To examine the efficiency of the proposed model, the results obtained from the system operation in the current conditions are compared under two scenarios including optimal and reference. In the reference scenario, during 30-years, in some dry and low-water years, especially in the last six years of planning, the percentage of the demand supply is zero or less than five percent in several consecutive months. After optimizing the system, the minimum supply percentage in critical and dry months reaches 30 to 60 percent. Also, in the optimization scenario, the percentage of downstream ecological demands is improved. This research indicates that using the solution of this research leads to the better management of reservoirs in multi-dam systems and reduces the severity of deficiency in supplying various uses in low-water months.

Recent applications and advances of African Vultures Optimization Algorithm

The African Vultures Optimization Algorithm (AVOA) is a recently developed meta-heuristic algorithm inspired by the foraging behavior of African vultures in nature. This algorithm has gained attention due to its simplicity, flexibility, and effectiveness in tackling many optimization problems. The significance of this review lies in its comprehensive examination of the AVOA’s development, core principles, and applications. By analyzing 112 studies, this review highlights the algorithm’s versatility and the growing interest in enhancing its performance for real-world optimization challenges. This review methodically explores the evolution of AVOA, investigating proposed improvements that enhance the algorithm’s ability to adapt to various search geometries in optimization problems. Additionally, it introduces the AVOA solver, detailing its functionality and application in different optimization scenarios. The review demonstrates the AVOA’s effectiveness, particularly its unique weighting mechanism, which mimics vulture behavior during the search process. The findings underscore the algorithm’s robustness, ease of use, and lack of dependence on derivative information. The review also critically evaluates the AVOA’s convergence behavior, identifying its strengths and limitations. In conclusion, the study not only consolidates the existing knowledge on AVOA but also proposes directions for future research, including potential adaptations and enhancements to address its limitations. The insights gained from this review offer valuable guidance for researchers and practitioners seeking to apply or improve the AVOA in various optimization tasks.

A rapid fingerprint positioning method based on deep convolutional neural network for MIMO-OFDM systems

The combination of fingerprint positioning and 5G (the 5th Generation Mobile Communication Technology) offers broader application prospects for indoor positioning technology, but also brings challenges in real-time performance. In this paper, we propose a fingerprint positioning method based on a deep convolutional neural network (DCNN) using a classification approach in a single-base station scenario for massive multiple input multiple output-orthogonal frequency division multiplexing (MIMO-OFDM) systems. We introduce an angle-delay domain fingerprint matrix that simplifies the computation process and increases the location differentiation. The cosine distance is chosen as the fingerprint similarity criterion due to its sensitivity to angular differences. First, the DCNN model is used to determine the sub-area to which the mobile terminal belongs, and then the weighted K-nearest neighbor (WKNN) matching algorithm is used to estimate the position within the sub-area. The positioning performance is simulated in a DeepMIMO indoor environment, showing that the classification DCNN method reduces the positioning time by 77.05% compared to the non-classification method, with only a 1.08% increase in average positioning error.

Inference-Based Information Relevance Reasoning Method in Situation Assessment

The growing volume of information available to decision-makers makes it increasingly challenging to process all data during decision-making. As a result, a method for selecting only relevant information is highly desirable. Moreover, since the meaning of information depends on its context, the decision-making process requires mechanisms to identify the context of specific scenarios. In this paper, we propose a conceptual framework that utilizes Situation Theory to formalize the concept of context and analyze information relevance. Building on this framework, we introduce an inference-based reasoning process that automatically identifies the information necessary to characterize a given situation. We evaluate our approach in a cybersecurity scenario where computer agents respond to queries by utilizing available information and sharing relevant facts with other agents. The results show that our method significantly reduces the time required to infer answers to situation-specific queries. Additionally, we demonstrate that using only relevant information provides the same answers as using the entire knowledge base. Finally, we show that the method can be applied to a limited set of training queries, allowing the reuse of relevant facts to address new queries effectively.

Optimization of a Biomass-Based Power and Fresh Water-Generation System by Machine Learning Using Thermoeconomic Assessment

Biomass is a viable and accessible source of energy that can help address the problem of energy shortages in rural and remote areas. Another important issue for societies today is the lack of clean water, especially in places with high populations and low rainfall. To address both of these concerns, a sustainable biomass-fueled power cycle integrated with a double-stage reverse osmosis water-desalination unit has been designed. The double-stage reverse osmosis system is provided by the 20% of generated power from the bottoming cycles and this allocation can be altered based on the needs for freshwater or power. This system is assessed from energy, exergy, thermoeconomic, and environmental perspectives, and two distinct multi-objective optimization scenarios are applied featuring various objective functions. The considered parameters for this assessment are gas turbine inlet temperature, compressor’s pressure ratio, and cold end temperature differences in heat exchangers 2 and 3. In the first optimization scenario, considering the pollution index, the total unit cost of exergy products, and exergy efficiency as objective functions, the optimal values are, respectively, identified as 0.7644 kg/kWh, 32.7 USD/GJ, and 44%. Conversely, in the second optimization scenario, featuring the emission index, total unit cost of exergy products, and output net power as objective functions, the optimal values are 0.7684 kg/kWh, 27.82 USD/GJ, and 2615.9 kW.

Comparative Analysis of Electric and Conventional Vehicles Performance in the Evacuation Process of Mount Semeru Eruption Victims Based on Geographic Information Systems

The Lumajang Regency is highly vulnerable to various natural disasters, particularly the potential eruption of Mount Semeru. In disaster response efforts, the local government needs to prepare effective and efficient evacuation routes, taking into account the magnitude of the eruption impact in the Semeru disaster-prone area. This research focuses on evacuating vulnerable residents using electric and conventional vehicles. This study is categorized as a vehicle routing problem with energy constraint (VRPEC) because the electric vehicles utilized in this research do not require recharging during their operational process, ensuring rapid evacuation as it is essential. By utilizing Geographic Information Systems (GIS)-based optimization, the best route to evacuate all victims within 12 h is determined. This study involves developing scenarios considering the number of vehicles and their travel distances. There are also evacuation guidelines, including the implementation of priority points and evacuation zone usage. The research results indicate that scenarios EV 5, 8, and 10 are the most optimal for using electric vehicles. Meanwhile, the optimal scenario for conventional vehicles is scenario 5. This analysis shows that implementing electric vehicle scenarios is superior to conventional vehicle scenarios in terms of the total time required to evacuate all victims.

Carbon Footprint Optimization with Data Resolution Conversion via Kalman Filter for Smart Energy Hub

The severe climate changes due to global warming pushed the world to strive to reduce carbon emissions. And transitioning to renewable energy sources is essential for achieving sustainability and combating climate change. This study aims to minimize the carbon emissions for a proposed smart energy hub. This paper prioritizes the minimization of carbon emissions, considering the minimization of operational running costs, and the maximization of profit. In this paper, two optimization scenarios were studied to compare the results. In the first scenario, the minimization of carbon emissions was achieved. In the second scenario, the minimization of running costs and the maximization of profit from the hub assets were studied. The proposed model was designed in MATLAB. Then, the results were verified by CPLEX and validated by RTDS. The multi-objective model was presented to obtain the optimal operation. The mitigation of data uncertainty was achieved by applying the Kalman filter. In this work, a novel method was proposed for the estimation of the quarter-hour resolution data from the hourly ones via the Kalman filter rather than by applying the classic polynomial interpolation methods.

Comparative Analysis of Conventional (Financial, Network) and Optimized Mixed Integer Linear Programming Scenarios for Telecom Network Investment Decision Making

The telecommunications industry in Indonesia faces numerous challenges in allocating resources for network development, including network complexity, technological changes, market competition, and customer expectations. To achieve optimal financial outcomes and customer satisfaction, investments must be well-managed, well-placed, and well-executed. This study analyses network investment portfolio selection outcomes at Telkomsel; Indonesia's largest cellular operator, comparing conventional scenarios (financial and network) with an optimized scenario using Mixed Integer Linear Programming (MILP). The research evaluates these scenarios based on total portfolio score, incremental revenue, and Internal Rate of Return (IRR). Financial indicators such as net present value (NPV), IRR, EBIT margin, incremental revenue, and network indicators such as capacity and customer satisfaction (download/upload throughput, latency, packet loss, jitter) assess investment feasibility. The MILP optimization scenario strongly correlates with incremental revenue, NPV, and IRR, indicating higher financial performance. Sites selected in the MILP optimization outperscenario formed others in total score (22% better than the financial scenario, 63% better than the network scenario), incremental revenue (3.5% better than the financial scenario, 90.2% better than the network scenario), and portfolio IRR (4% better than the financial scenario, 70% better than the network scenario).

Tumefactive Pulmonary amyloidosis in an elderly male: A Diagnostic Dilemma

Abstract Introduction/Objective Tumefactive pulmonary amyloidosis is a rare variant of pulmonary amyloidosis characterized by the extracellular deposition of abnormal protein fibrils in the lung parenchyma, forming tumor-like masses called amyloidomas. Although most cases are clinically silent, it may present with findings that mimic a wide range of respiratory conditions (eg. primary or metastatic malignant nodules, granulomatous disease, multiple pulmonary hamartomas etc), thereby necessitating a comprehensive and broad-based approach to differential diagnosis. Methods/Case Report We present a case of an 88-year-old male with a history of smoking and multiple comorbidities. He presented with numerous bilateral pulmonary nodules identified on a CT scan, concerning for malignancy. A biopsy from a left upper lobe lesion revealed necrotic tissue and was non-diagnostic. A PET scan to assess for metastatic disease was unremarkable, and demonstrated mild hypermetabolic activity, confined to the lungs, with standardized uptake values (SUV) ranging from 4.3 to a maximum SUV of 8.9. A subsequent right lung biopsy was positive for amyloid, confirmed by Congo red staining. A Mass spectrometry analysis further identified the amyloid as AL type. Serum, and urine protein electrophoresis with immunofixation were negative for M protein and the serum free light chain assay was normal as well. Significantly, the bone marrow biopsy also yielded normal results, and the patient was diagnosed with a localized form of AL amyloidosis. Results (if a Case Study enter NA) NA Conclusion This case highlights how tumefactive pulmonary amyloidosis poses a diagnostic challenge due to its rarity and resemblance to malignancy on imaging. Careful histopathological examination, including immunohistochemical stains and amyloid typing, was pivotal in establishing the correct diagnosis and underscores the essential role of pathology and laboratory medicine in differentiating rare pulmonary conditions, along with the need for a multidisciplinary approach in complex diagnostic scenarios.

Estimating best nanomaterial for energy harvesting through reinforcement learning DQN coupled with fuzzy PROMETHEE under road-based conditions

Energy harvesters based on nanomaterials are getting more and more popular, but on their way to commercial availability, some crucial issues still need to be solved. The objective of the study is to select an appropriate nanomaterial. Using features of the Reinforcement Deep Q-Network (DQN) in conjunction with Fuzzy PROMETHEE, the proposed model, we present in this work a hybrid fuzzy approach to selecting appropriate materials for a vehicle-environmental-hazardous substance (EHS) combination that operates in roadways and under traffic conditions. The DQN is able to accumulate useful experience of operating in a dynamic traffic environment, accordingly selecting materials that deliver the highest energy output but at the same time bring consideration to factors such as durability, cost, and environmental impact. Fuzzy PROMETHEE allows the participation of human experts during the decision-making process, going beyond the quantitative data typically learned by DQN through the inclusion of qualitative preferences. Instead, this hybrid method unites the strength of individual approaches, as a result providing highly resistant and adjustable material selection to real EHS. The result of the study pointed out materials that can give high energy efficiency with reference to years of service, price, and environmental effects. The proposed model provides 95% accuracy with a computational efficiency of 300 s, and the application of hypothesis and practical testing on the chosen materials showed the high efficiency of the selected materials to harvest energy under fluctuating traffic conditions and proved the concept of a hybrid approach in True Vehicle Environmental High-risk Substance scenarios.

Design Issues and Solutions for Improving the Comfort of Neo-Ming Style Chair

This paper explores the design issues and solutions for improving the comfort of new Ming-style chairs. It first analyzes the historical origins, traditional aesthetics, and modern users' new demands for comfort in these chairs. Then, it highlights the comfort-related challenges in terms of chair form, materials, structure, and usage scenarios. The study proposes design principles from the perspectives of ergonomics, material innovation, structural optimization, and modern usage scenarios. Specific strategies to enhance comfort are provided, such as optimizing the angle between the chair back and chair surface, improving cushion materials, optimizing the chair's supporting structure, and incorporating intelligent design. This paper also discusses the challenges of integrating technology with traditional design, the application of eco-friendly materials, and the diverse demands of consumer groups. Finally, it summarizes the future trends and challenges in the comfort-focused design of Neo-Ming style chair.