Mechanised tunnel excavation in soils causes over-excavations, potentially leading to large amounts of spoil and settlements at ground level. An accurate estimation of over-excavations is crucial in the pre-design phase for assessing costs, determining the appropriate excavation method and choosing the muck management strategy. Currently, the estimation is based on experience and data from similar projects, but this becomes difficult when project conditions are heterogeneous. As an alternative, finite-element analyses are time-consuming and not suitable for early design stages; therefore, simplified tools are needed. In this paper, the authors present a simplified approach putting in relation face extrusion with estimated spoil mass and face volume loss. This approach, conceived for deep tunnels, is the extension to the case of mechanised tunnelling of a hydro-mechanical coupled meta-model derived from finite-element numerical analyses for tunnels in clayey soils excavated by using conventional techniques (i.e. without any use of tunnel-boring machines). The model has been validated against field data relative to a case study. The approach can be used in the early design process to identify tunnel-boring machine characteristics and provide preliminary cost estimates. In addition, during the construction phase, the method can be employed to interpret monitoring data and pre-design mitigation measures for unforeseen soil profile variations.