Rotavirus Incidence Research Articles

Modern epidemiological features of viral acute intestinal infections in children and adolescents of Sakhalin region

Objective: to identify modern epidemiological features of viral acute intestinal infections in children and adolescents in the Sakhalin Region.Materials and methods. Data on acute intestinal infection incidence obtained from statistical reports of the Rospotrebnadzor during 2021-2023 was compared with long-term average incidence rates calculated over the period before the COVID-19 pandemic (2010-2019) to perform epidemiological analysis. Incidence was calculated for different age groups; according to months of the year, monthly long-term average incidence rates were established. Index of seasonality, coefficient of seasonality, and index of seasonal growth were determined.Results and discussion. Manifestations of acute intestinal infections epidemic process in the Sakhalin Region indicate persisting conditions for an increase in the registration of both sporadic cases of diseases and outbreaks of infectious diarrhea. Viruses were prevailing in the structure of cases of known etiology (mainly caused by rotaviruses and noroviruses). Their intra-annual dynamics showed changes in rotavirus and norovirus infection incidence rates: a shift in periods of increased incidence, a decrease in the coefficient of seasonality, and for rotavirus infection, a decrease in the index of seasonal growth. Age-adjusted rotavirus infection incidence showed predominance of the infection among preschool-aged children; norovirus infection was frequently detected among schoolchildren and adolescents. An increase in the focality index may indicate ongoing problems in the public catering sector, non-compliance with sanitary rules and hygiene standards, and untimely detection and isolation of patients with acute intestinal infections.Conclusion. Obtained results confirm the epidemiological significance of viral gastroenteritis and the necessity of anti-epidemic measures optimization.

Communicable diseases in Ukraine during the period of 2018–2023: Impact of the COVID-19 pandemic and war

BackgroundBy examining 2018–2023 data, this study explored the intricate impact of the Russian invasion, ongoing COVID-19 pandemic, and environmental disruptions on communicable diseases in Ukraine. This conflict exacerbates challenges in disease surveillance and healthcare, compounding stress among the population. MethodsLeveraging the Centers for Disease Prevention Control's surveillance system, the study employs active and passive surveillance, utilizing medical records and laboratory reports. Notification rates gauge the incidence of communicable diseases, offering insights into trends during the study period. ResultsWhile salmonellosis, shigellosis, and rotavirus incidence are decreasing overall, there is a surge in viral hepatitis A, chronic hepatitis B, and C. This conflict hampers hepatitis C management, as evidenced by decreased numbers of treatment centers and patient enrollment. The prevalence of cough cases will increase in 2023, emphasizing the importance of sustained vaccination. The incidence of tuberculosis will increase in 2023 despite a general decrease. ConclusionThis study underscores the urgent need for sustained efforts and adequate resources, infrastructure, and international support to mitigate public health challenges in conflict-ridden Ukraine. Prioritizing vaccination programmes and enhancing healthcare accessibility in affected regions are crucial.

Presence of Enteric Viruses in Shellfish Samples from the Persian Gulf.

Shellfishes are a significant economic and nutritious seafood amongst people in different countries. Seafood products, particularly shellfish, are potential reservoirs of enteric viruses. This research investigated the incidence of rotavirus (RoV), norovirus (NoV) GI and GII, hepatitis A virus (HAV), and hepatitis E virus (HEV) in shellfish samples from the Persian Gulf, Iran. One hundred and fifty shellfish samples were collected. RNA extraction and cDNA synthesis were performed using commercial kits. The real-time polymerase chain reaction assessed the presence of enteric viruses in extracted cDNA samples. Thirty-two out of 150 (21.33%) shellfish samples were contaminated with enteric viruses. Prevalence rates of NoV GI, NoV GII, HAV, and RoV amongst shellfish samples were 8.00%, 11.33%, 1.33%, and 0.66%, respectively. There were no contaminated shellfish samples with HEV. Simultaneous prevalence of HAV and NoV GI, and HAV and NoV GII viruses were 0.66% and 0.66%, respectively. Examined viruses had a higher prevalence in shellfish samples collected in the winter season (P<0.05). Prevalence of HAV, RoV, NoV GI, and NoV GII amongst shellfish samples gathered in the winter season was 2.85%, 9.09%, 11.90%, and 20%, respectively. To the best of our knowledge, this was the first report of the incidence of enteric viruses, particularly HAV, NoV GI, NoV GII, and RoV, in shellfish samples from the Persian Gulf, Iran. Shellfish samples may serve as a potential source of enteric viruses for the human population. Therefore, routine viral assessments should be conducted. The consumption of fully cooked shellfish can significantly reduce the risk of HAV, RoV, NoV GI, and NoV GII infections. Furthermore, given the export value and importance of shellfish samples, their microbial quality and safety should be routinely monitored.

No association between incidence of type 1 diabetes and rotavirus vaccination in Swedish children.

Rotavirus infection is a potential trigger of type 1 diabetes (T1D) and rotavirus vaccination is hypothesized to decrease the incidence of T1D. In Sweden, rotavirus vaccination was introduced in 2014 in two regions and from 2019, nationwide. This study aims to investigate the association between rotavirus vaccination and incidence of T1D in Swedish children and whether rotavirus vaccination is associated with a change in clinical manifestation at diabetes onset. A nationwide register-based study with all Swedish children <15 years of age, diagnosed with T1D 2009-2019 was conducted. 7893 children were retrieved. Nationwide vaccine coverage was collected from Child Health Services. Three vaccine groups were created: I: Vaccination start 2014; II: Gradual vaccination start 2016-2018; III: No vaccination. Incidence rates of T1D before (2009-2014) and after (2014-2019) introduction of rotavirus vaccine were compared. The mean incidence of T1D in children <15 years was 42·61 per 100 000 during the observed period. When comparing the years before and after 2014 the incidence rate ratio (IRR) for children <5 years was 0·86 in group I (p=0·10), 0·85 (p=0·05) in group II and 0·87 (p=0·06) in group III. A similar IRR reduction was also seen among older children who received no vaccine. Children developing or not developing T1D were vaccinated to the same extent. No differences regarding clinical manifestation at onset associated with rotavirus vaccination were seen. There is no association between rotavirus vaccination in children and incidence or clinical manifestation of T1D.

Molecular epidemiology of rotavirus among children in Western Canada: Dynamic changes in genotype prevalence in four consecutive seasons.

Rotavirus molecular surveillance remains important in the postvaccine era to monitor the changes in transmission patterns, identify vaccine-induced antigenic changes and discover potentially pathogenic vaccine-related strains. The Canadian province of Alberta introduced rotavirus vaccination into its provincial vaccination schedule in June 2015. To evaluate the impact of this program on stool rotavirus positivity rate, strain diversity, and seasonal trends, we analyzed a prospective cohort of children with acute gastroenteritis recruited between December 2014 and August 2018. We identified dynamic changes in rotavirus positivity and genotype trends during pre- and post-rotavirus vaccine introduction periods. Genotypes G9P[8], G1P[8], G2P[4], and G12P[8] predominated consecutively each season with overall lower rotavirus incidence rates in 2016 and 2017. The demographic and clinical features of rotavirus gastroenteritis were comparable among wild-type rotaviruses; however, children with G12P[8] infections were older (p < 0.001). Continued efforts to monitor changes in the molecular epidemiology of rotavirus using whole genome sequence characterization are needed to further understand the impact of the selection pressure of vaccination on rotavirus evolution.

Nonsecretor Phenotype Is Associated With Less Risk of Rotavirus-Associated Acute Gastroenteritis in a Vaccinated Nicaraguan Birth Cohort.

Histo-blood group antigens (HBGAs) have been associated with rotavirus vaccine take; but the effect of these HBGAs on rotavirus incidence and risk remains poorly explored in vaccinated populations. Rotavirus-associated acute gastroenteritis (AGE) was assessed in 444 Nicaraguan children followed from birth until 3 years of age. AGE episodes were tested for rotavirus by reverse-transcription quantitative polymerase chain reaction, and saliva or blood was used to determine HBGA phenotypes. Cox proportional hazards models were used to estimate the relative hazard of rotavirus AGE by HBGA phenotypes. Rotavirus was detected in 109 (7%) stool samples from 1689 AGE episodes over 36 months of observation between June 2017 and July 2021. Forty-six samples were successfully genotyped. Of these, 15 (35%) were rotavirus vaccine strain G1P[8], followed by G8P[8] or G8P[nt] (11 [24%]) and equine-like G3P[8] (11 [24%]). The overall incidence of rotavirus-associated AGE was 9.2 per 100 child-years, and was significantly higher in secretor than nonsecretor children (9.8 vs 3.5/100 child-years, P = .002). The nonsecretor phenotype was associated with decreased risk of clinical rotavirus vaccine failure in a vaccinated Nicaraguan birth cohort. These results show the importance of secretor status on rotavirus risk, even in vaccinated children.

EPH11 Modeling the Public Health Impact of a Universal Rotavirus Program in the Netherlands

The WHO recommends rotavirus vaccination worldwide, an intervention that has been shown to significantly avoid morbidity and health care resource utilization due to rotavirus. While most of the burden occurs in young children, rotavirus vaccination has also been shown to have herd immunity effects and decrease rotavirus incidence in the entire population. However, despite a positive recommendation by the Health Council in 2021, a universal vaccination program has yet to be implemented in the Netherlands. Therefore, we sought to understand the public health impact of rotavirus vaccination in terms of total number of cases averted, and averted cases that sought out- and inpatient care.

Model-based estimation of the impact on rotavirus disease of RV3-BB vaccine administered in a neonatal or infant schedule

ABSTRACT Rotavirus infection is a common cause of severe diarrheal disease and a major cause of deaths and hospitalizations among young children. Incidence of rotavirus has declined globally with increasing vaccine coverage. However, it remains a significant cause of morbidity and mortality in low-income countries where vaccine access is limited and efficacy is lower. The oral human neonatal vaccine RV3-BB can be safely administered earlier than other vaccines, and recent trials in Indonesia have demonstrated high efficacy. In this study, we use a stochastic individual-based model of rotavirus transmission and disease to estimate the anticipated population-level impact of RV3-BB following delivery according to either an infant (2, 4, 6 months) and neonatal (0, 2, 4 months) schedule. Using our model, which incorporated an age- and household-structured population and estimates of vaccine efficacy derived from trial data, we found both delivery schedules to be effective at reducing infection and disease. We estimated 95–96% reductions in infection and disease in children under 12 months of age when vaccine coverage is 85%. We also estimate high levels of indirect protection from vaccination, including 78% reductions in infection in adults over 17 years of age. Even for lower vaccine coverage of 55%, we estimate reductions of 84% in infection and disease in children under 12 months of age. While open questions remain about the drivers of observed lower efficacy in low-income settings, our model suggests RV3-BB could be effective at reducing infection and preventing disease in young infants at the population level.

Impact of rotavirus vaccination on diarrheal hospitalizations in children younger than 5 years of age in a rural southern Mozambique

BackgroundRotavirus vaccine(Rotarix®) was introduced in Mozambique through its Expanded Program of Immunization in September 2015. We assessed the impact of rotavirus vaccination on childhood gastroenteritis-associated hospitalizations post-vaccine introduction in a high HIV prevalence rural setting of southern Mozambique. MethodsWe reviewed and compared the trend of hospitalizations (prevalence) and incidence rates of acute gastroenteritis (AGE), and rotavirus associated-diarrhea (laboratory confirmed rotavirus) in pre- (January 2008–August 2015) and post-rotavirus vaccine introduction periods (September 2015–December 2020), among children <5 years of age admitted to Manhiça District Hospital. ResultsFrom January 2008 to December 2020, rotavirus vaccination was found to contribute to the decline of the prevalence of AGE from 19% (95% CI: 18.14–20.44) prior to the vaccine introduction to 10% (95% CI: 8.89–11.48) in the post-introduction period, preventing 40% (95 % IE: 38–42) and 84% (95 % IE: 80–87) of the expected AGE and laboratory confirmed rotavirus cases, respectively, among infants. Similarly, the overall incidence of rotavirus was 11.8-fold lower in the post-vaccine introduction period (0.4/1000 child-years-at-risk [CYAR]; 95% CI: 0.3–0.6) compared with the pre-vaccination period (4.7/1000 CYAR; 95% CI: 4.2–5.1) with the highest reduction being observed among infants (16.8-fold lower from the 15.1/1000 CYAR in the pre-vaccine to 0.9/1000 CYAR in the post-vaccine eras). ConclusionsWe documented a significant reduction in all-cause diarrhea hospitalizations and rotavirus positivity after vaccine introduction demonstrating the beneficial impact of rotavirus vaccination in a highly vulnerable population.

Nonpharmaceutical interventions against the COVID-19 pandemic significantly decreased the spread of enterovirus in children.

Precise prevention and control measures have been adopted to impede the transmission of coronavirus disease 2019 (COVID‐19) in China. This study was performed to investigate the effect of protective measures on gastrointestinal infection in children during the COVID‐19 pandemic. The data on the rotavirus and adenovirus antigen tests were collected in outpatient children due to gastroenteritis from January 1, 2019 to December 31, 2020, at the Children's Hospital of Zhejiang University School of Medicine. According to age and month distribution, the positive number and rate of rotavirus and adenovirus in 2020 were compared with 2019. A 3.8‐fold and 4‐fold reduction in the number of rotavirus‐ and adenovirus‐positive patients in 2020 were found, respectively. The overall positive rate of rotavirus and adenovirus infection was drastically decreased in 2020 (rotavirus 2020: 18.18% vs. 2019: 9.75%, p < 0.001; adenovirus 2020: 3.13% vs. 2019: 1.58%, p < 0.001). The proportions of rotavirus and adenovirus in all age groups in 2020 decreased compared with those in 2019. The highest frequency of rotavirus infection occurred among children aged 1–3 years both in 2019 and 2020 (2019: 27.95% vs. 2020: 17.19%, p < 0.001), while adenovirus infection was detected in children aged 3–5 years, which had the highest percent positivity (2019: 8.19% vs. 2020: 4.46%; p < 0.001). An obvious peak prevalence of rotavirus incidence was found during December–April, and the percent positivity of rotavirus significantly decreased in 2020 (December 2019: 24.26% vs. 2020: 8.44%, p < 0.001; January 2019: 40.67% vs. 2020: 38.18%, p < 0.05; February 2019: 40.73% vs. 2020: 15.04%, p < 0.001; March 2019: 31.47% vs. 2020: 7.88%, p < 0.001; April 2019: 15.52% vs. 2020: 4.78%, p < 0.001). The positive rate of adenovirus distributed throughout 2019 was 1.91%–4.86%, while the percent positivity during 2020 in the same period was much lower (0.00%–3.58%). Our results confirmed that the preventive and control measures adopted during the COVID‐19 pandemic and the collateral benefit of these interventions have significantly decreased the transmission of rotavirus or adenovirus.

Characterization of rotavirus strains isolated from children with acute gastroenteritis in Rawalpindi, Pakistan.

Diarrhea is the leading cause of childhood morbidity and mortality particularly in developing countries and rotavirus has been identified as the major pathogen associated with diarrheal infections. This study was conducted to detect genotypic distribution of predominant rotavirus strains circulating in children suffering from acute gastroenteritis in Rawalpindi, Pakistan. Stool specimens were collected from children ≤5 years of age, visiting Military Hospital, Rawalpindi, with signs and symptoms of acute gastroenteritis. Two hundred and eighty-four specimens were collected during the period from April 2017 to March 2018. Enzyme immunoassay was performed for detection of rotavirus and reverse transcription-PCR (RT-PCR) was carried out for amplification of VP7 and VP4 gene segments followed by multiplex PCR using genotype-specific primers. Out of 284 children, 71 were found rotavirus positive and among them, 54% were females and 46% males. Our findings showed 92% of infection among children ≤2 years of age, while, the peak age of rotavirus incidence was found to be 6-12 months. Although, rotavirus infection was observed throughout the year but frequency increased in winter. Subtype G1P[8] was more prevalent followed by G2P[4], G3P[8], and G4P[6] subtypes. The results of this study provide insight into the disease burden as well as information on rotavirus diversity which will be useful to develop future strategies to control and prevent diarrheal infections among children.

Incidence, Clinical Characteristics, and Genotype Distribution of Rotavirus in a Neonatal Intensive Care Unit 5 Years After Introducing Rotavirus Vaccine.

BackgroundRotavirus (RV) is a common cause of viral gastroenteritis in children worldwide. We aimed to investigate the incidence, symptoms, and genotype of RV infection in a neonatal intensive care unit (NICU) in South Korea 5 years after the introduction of RV vaccination to evaluate its effect on newborn infants.MethodsA total of 431 fecal specimens were collected from patients admitted to NICU between April 20, 2012 and September 10, 2013. Enzyme-linked immunoassays were used to detect RV antigen. Nested multiplex polymerase chain reaction was used for genotyping.ResultsThe overall incidence of RV infection was 43.9% and was significantly higher in preterm infants, infants born in the study hospital, low birth weight infants, and cesarean births (P < 0.05). Symptoms of diarrhea, poor feeding, abdominal distension, and apnea were significantly higher in infants with RV infection than those without infection. RV infection gradually increased depending on infant care at home, postpartum clinic, or hospital (26.0, 45.1, and 60.2%, respectively; P = 0.000). The dominant RV genotype in the NICU was G4P[6] at 95.4%.ConclusionCurrent RV vaccines did not affect the incidence of RV infection in newborn and preterm infants in the NICU. Most RV-positive patients in the NICU had symptoms, and the incidence of RV infection was relatively higher in hospitals and postpartum clinics with group life than home. The dominant RV genotype was G4P[6] across study groups.

Impact analysis of rotavirus vaccination in various geographic regions in Western Europe

BackgroundUniversal mass vaccination (UMV) against rotavirus has been implemented in many but not all European countries. This study investigated the impact of UMV on rotavirus incidence trends by comparing European countries with UMV: Belgium, England/Wales and Germany versus countries without UMV: Denmark and the Netherlands. MethodsFor this observational retrospective cohort study, time series data (2001–2016) on rotavirus detections, meteorological factors and population demographics were collected. For each country, several meteorological and population factors were investigated as possible predictors of rotavirus incidence. The final set of predictors were incorporated in negative binomial models accounting for seasonality and serial autocorrelation, and time-varying incidence rate ratios (IRR) were calculated for each age group and country separately. The overall vaccination impact two years after vaccine implementation was estimated by pooling the results using a random effects meta-analyses. Independent t-tests were used to compare annual epidemics in the pre-vaccination and post-vaccination era to explore any changes in the timing of rotavirus epidemics. ResultsThe population size and several meteorological factors were predictors for the rotavirus epidemiology. Overall, we estimated a 42% (95%-CI 23;56%) reduction in rotavirus incidence attributable to UMV. Strongest reductions were observed for age-groups 0-, 1- and 2-years (IRR 0.47, 0.48 and 0.63, respectively). No herd effect induced by UMV in neighbouring countries was observed. In all UMV countries, the start and/or stop and corresponding peak of the rotavirus season was delayed by 4–7 weeks. ConclusionsThe introduction of rotavirus UMV resulted in an overall reduction of 42% in rotavirus incidence in Western European countries two years after vaccine introduction and caused a change in seasonal pattern. No herd effect induced by UMV neighbouring countries was observed for Denmark and the Netherlands.

Diversity of Rotavirus Strains in Children; Results From a Community-Based Study in Nepal.

Objective: The objectives of this study were to describe the incidence and genetic diversity of Rotavirus (RV) infection among children up to 3 years of age in a community in Nepal.Methods: We investigated community-acquired cases of asymptomatic and symptomatic RV infections in children from birth to 36 months of age in a community-based birth cohort in Bhaktapur, Nepal. Monthly surveillance and diarrheal stool samples were collected from 240 children enrolled at birth, of which 238 completed the 3 years of follow-up. Samples were screened for rotavirus by Enzyme Immuno Assay (EIA). All RV screened positives were further genotyped by reverse transcription-polymerase chain reaction for the capsid genes VP7 and VP4.Results: In total, 5,224 stool samples were collected from 238 children, followed from birth to 36 months of age. Diarrhea occurred in 92.4% (230/238) of all children in the cohort. During the 3 years study period, RV was more frequently seen in children with symptoms (7.6%) than in non-symptomatic children (0.8%). The highest RV detection rate was found in younger children between 3 and 21 months of age. Although rotavirus is known as winter diarrhea, it was detected throughout the year except in August. The highest positivity rate was observed in the months between December and March, with a peak in January. Four common G types were seen: G2 (30%), G1 (29%), G12 (19%), and G9 (16%). The most predominant genotypes seen were G2P[4] (30%), followed by G1P[8] (27.0%), G12P[6] (14.0%), G9P[8] (10%), and remaining were mixed, partial, and untyped.Conclusion: Our study confirms that rotavirus is a common cause of gastroenteritis in young children in the community. The prevalence and pathogenicity of rotavirus infection differed by age. There was substantial variability in circulating strains in the community samples compared to samples collected from hospitals. This shows the importance of including community-based surveillance systems to monitor the diversity of circulating rotavirus strains in Nepal.

Modelling rotavirus concentrations in rivers: Assessing Uganda's present and future microbial water quality

Faecal pathogens can be introduced into surface water through open defecation, illegal disposal and inadequate treatment of faecal sludge and wastewater. Despite sanitation improvements, poor countries are progressing slowly towards the United Nation's Sustainable Development Goal 6 by 2030. Sanitation-associated pathogenic contamination of surface waters impacted by future population growth, urbanization and climate change receive limited attention. Therefore, a model simulating human rotavirus river inputs and concentrations was developed combining population density, sanitation coverage, rotavirus incidence, wastewater treatment and environmental survival data, and applied to Uganda. Complementary surface runoff and river discharge data were used to produce spatially explicit rotavirus outputs for the year 2015 and for two scenarios in 2050. Urban open defecation contributed 87%, sewers 9% and illegal faecal sludge disposal 3% to the annual 15.6 log10 rotavirus river inputs in 2015. Monthly concentrations fell between -3.7 (Q5) and 2.6 (Q95) log10 particles per litre, with 1.0 and 2.0 median and mean log10 particles per litre, respectively. Spatially explicit outputs on 0.0833 × 0.0833° grids revealed hotspots as densely populated urban areas. Future population growth, urbanization and poor sanitation were stronger drivers of rotavirus concentrations in rivers than climate change. The model and scenario analysis can be applied to other locations.

Cost-effectiveness and budget impact analyses for the prioritisation of the four available rotavirus vaccines in the national immunisation programme in Thailand

BackgroundRotavirus is a major cause of diarrhoea in children less than five years old in Thailand. Vaccination has been shown to be an effective intervention to prevent rotavirus infections but has yet to be enlisted in the national immunisation programme. This study aimed to assess the cost-utility of introducing rotavirus vaccines, taking all WHO-prequalified vaccines into consideration. MethodsA cost-utility analysis was performed using a transmission dynamic model to estimate, from a societal perspective, the costs and outcomes of four WHO-prequalified rotavirus vaccines: Rotarix®, RotaTeq®, ROTAVAC® and ROTASIIL®. The model was used to simulate the impact of introducing the vaccines among children aged < 1 year and compare this with no rotavirus vaccination. The vaccination programme was considered to be cost-effective if the incremental cost-effectiveness ratio was less than a threshold of USD 5,110 per QALY gained. ResultsOverall, without the vaccine, the model predicted the average annual incidence of rotavirus to be 312,118 cases. With rotavirus vaccination at a coverage of more than 95%, the average number of rotavirus cases averted was estimated to be 144,299 per year. All rotavirus vaccines were cost-saving. ROTASIIL® was the most cost-saving option, followed by ROTAVAC®, Rotarix® and RotaTeq®, providing average cost-savings of USD 32, 31, 23 and 22 million per year, respectively, with 999 QALYs gained. All vaccines remained cost-saving with lower QALYs gained, even when ignoring indirect beneficial effects. The net saving to the healthcare system when implementing any one of these vaccines would be between USD 13 and 33 million per year. ConclusionRotavirus vaccines should be included in the national vaccination programme in Thailand. Implementing any one of these four WHO-prequalified vaccines would reduce government healthcare spending while yielding health benefits to the population.

COVID-19 lock down and impact on rotavirus incidence: a reappraisal

The Journal is the primary organ of Continuing Paediatric Medical Education in Sri Lanka. The journal also has a website. Free full text access is available for all readers.The Sri Lanka Journal of Child Health is now indexed in SciVerse Scopus (Source Record ID 19900193609), Index Medicus for South-East Asia Region (IMSEAR), CABI (Centre for Agriculture and Bioscience International Global Health Database), DOAJ and is available in Google, as well as Google Scholar.The policies of the journal are modelled on the Committee on Publication Ethics (COPE) Guidelines on Principles of Transparency and Best Practice in Scholarly Publishing. Sri Lanka Journal of Child Health is recognised by the International Committee of Medical Journal Editors (ICMJE) as a publication following the ICMJE Recommendations.

Climatic factors and rotavirus infections among children under five years old in Bangladesh: time-series analysis

BackgroundDiarrhoeal disease is a significant public health challenge in Bangladesh and the association between climate and gastroenteritis is unknown. This study aimed to investigate the effects of climate conditions on rotavirus incidence among children under five years of age using countrywide rotavirus surveillance and climate data to inform public health policy concerning prediction and management of future infections.MethodsTime-series regression analysis was conducted on weekly rotavirus notifications, maximum temperature, relative humidity and rainfall between July 2012 and June 2017. A Poisson regression model with distributed lag linear terms were used to examine the association between climate factors and rotavirus notifications, adjusted for the presence of long-term and seasonal trends using flexible spline functions, over 0-8 week time-lags.ResultsUnadjusted analysis - each 1°C increase in maximum temperature was associated with lower incidence of rotavirus infection (IRR 0.870, 95% CI 0.851-0.890). Adjusted analysis - the direction of the association reverses (IRR 1.046, 95% CI 1.012-1.081) with the number of rotavirus notifications increasing by 4.6% [1.2-8.1] for each 1°C rise in maximum temperature at lag 0 week. Analysis further adjusted for relative humidity (allowing for expected non-linearity) - the association persists (IRR 1.046, 95% CI 1.004-1.089).Conclusions Variations in temperature and rotavirus infection may be confounded by seasonality and long-term trends. Our results are consistent with previous studies suggesting that higher temperatures are associated with increased risk of rotavirus infections. However, the magnitude of this effect may be smaller than previously estimated, particularly when intra-country geographical variations are taken into account. Considering the high prevalence of rotavirus infection in children under five years, understanding the role of climatic variables in disease incidence may inform targeted rotavirus prevention strategies, given the expected rises in annual temperature associated with climate change.

The Burden of Rotavirus Gastroenteritis in Children: A Hospital-Based Prospective Study in Western Rajasthan.

Objective Rotaviruses are the prime cause of gastroenteritis amongst infants and young children worldwide. In India, the mortality and economic impact caused by rotavirus are high. The objective of this is to understand the burden of rotavirus in acute watery diarrhea and its circulating genotypes in hospitalized children less than five years of age for acute gastroenteritis in western Rajasthan.MethodologyThis is a hospital-based prospective study conducted in the pediatrics department of Dr. Sampurnanand (S.N.) Medical College of Jodhpur in India for one year during 2018. The study included 399 children less than five years old, presenting with acute gastroenteritis who needed to be admitted for at least six hours. We enrolled subjects after obtaining informed consent from the guardian. Stool samples of 5 gm or ml were collected in a sterile container and stored at minus 20 degrees centigrade while transporting to Christian Medical College (CMC) virology lab in Vellore, India. The stool samples were subjected to Enzyme-Linked Immunosorbent Assay (ELISA) testing, followed by genotype determination. We investigated data through statistical analysis from all collected data.ResultsA total of 399 patients fulfilled the enrollment criteria; out of them, 92 (23.05%) were positive for rotavirus, and maximum cases were seen in the age group of six months to two years (78.26%). Rotavirus positivity was more in males (64.13%) than females (35.86%). The rotavirus infection was seen throughout the year, with a peak in cases from November to February (73.91%). G3P8 (55.43%) was the most common strain causing rotavirus diarrhea, followed by G1P8 (9.72%) and G3+G12P8 (8.69%). Based on the Vesikari clinical severity score, 70.65% of patients had severe diarrhea.ConclusionThis prospective study highlights the healthcare and economic burden of rotavirus, especially in children of less than five years. The incidence of rotavirus is observed in winter months, and its prevalence in all cases of acute diarrhea in our study is 23.05%. G3P8 was the most common genotype causing rotavirus diarrhea in our region in both non-vaccinated and vaccinated children, followed by G1P8 and G3+G12P8, respectively.

Non-linear effect of temperature variation on childhood rotavirus infection: A time series study from Kathmandu, Nepal

IntroductionThis study aimed to investigate the effects of temperature variability on rotavirus infections among children under 5 years of age in Kathmandu, Nepal. Findings may inform infection control planning, especially in relation to the role of environmental factors in the transmission of rotavirus infection. MethodsGeneralized linear Poisson regression equations with distributed lag non-linear model were fitted to estimate the effect of temperature (maximum, mean and minimum) variation on weekly counts of rotavirus infections among children under 5 years of age living in Kathmandu, Nepal, over the study period (2013 to 2016). Seasonality and long-term effects were adjusted in the model using Fourier terms up to the seventh harmonic and a time function, respectively. We further adjusted the model for the confounding effects of rainfall and relative humidity. ResultsDuring the study period, a total of 733 cases of rotavirus infection were recorded, with a mean of 3 cases per week. We detected an inverse non-linear association between rotavirus infection and average weekly mean temperature, with increased risk (RR: 1.52; 95% CI: 1.08–2.15) at the lower quantile (10th percentile) and decreased risk (RR: 0.64; 95% CI: 0.43–0.95) at the higher quantile (75th percentile). Similarly, we detected an increased risk [(RR: 1.93; 95% CI: 1.40–2.65) and (RR: 1.42; 95% CI: 1.04–1.95)] of rotavirus infection for both maximum and minimum temperature at their lower quantile (10th percentile). We estimated that 344 (47.01%) cases of rotavirus diarrhoea among the children under 5 years of age were attributable to minimum temperature. The significant effect of temperature on rotavirus infection was not observed beyond lag zero week. ConclusionAn inverse non-linear association was estimated between rotavirus incidence and all three indices of temperature, indicating a higher risk of infection during the cooler times of the year, and suggesting that transmission of rotavirus in Kathmandu, Nepal may be influenced by temperature.