Root Relative Squared Error Research Articles

Fast reconstruction of boiler numerical physical field based on proper orthogonal decomposition and conditional deep convolutional generative adversarial networks

ABSTRACT Obtaining real-time physical field data inside the boiler furnace is crucial for combustion diagnostics and optimization. In this work, we propose a fast reconstruction technique for the physical fields in a tangentially-fired coal boiler. The method combines the Proper Orthogonal Decomposition (POD) and Conditional Deep Convolutional Generative Adversarial Networks (cDCGAN) based on the boiler physical field obtained by computational fluid dynamics (CFD). Firstly, CFD simulations are performed using data from the boiler Distributed Control System (DCS). After verifying the CFD results, we expanded the simulation to 105 operational condition cases sample sets. Then, the physical fields of the sample set undergo POD to determine the appropriate number of POD bases, thereby ensuring the accuracy of the reconstruction. Finally, the cDCGAN method is employed to establish the correlation between the POD bases and the operational conditions of the boiler. Results show that the POD-cDCGAN method achieves rapid and accurate reconstruction of temperature and velocity fields, with mean relative error (MRE) below 1.5% and root relative squared error (RRSE) below 5.7%. The reconstruction time is reduced to 10.57s, significantly faster than direct CFD methods. The POD-cDCGAN method offers an efficient approach for online operational diagnosis and digital twin construction of boiler equipment.

Mapping of groundwater availability in dry areas of rural and urban regions in India using IOT assisted deep learning classification model

Groundwater is a crucial resource for fulfilling the water requirements of India's rural and urban areas. The heterogeneous nature of geological, hydrological, and climatic factors results in substantial variability in the accessibility of groundwater across disparate regions. The present investigation centers on the cartography of groundwater accessibility in arid zones of rural and urban Indian areas using a Deep Learning Classification Model (DL-GWCM) supported by the Internet of Things (IoT). The introductory section underscores the importance of groundwater in India, where groundwater sources cater to around 80% of rural and 50% of urban water demands. The text highlights statistical data derived from surveys that indicate a notable decrease in groundwater levels. This underscores the pressing necessity for implementing effective monitoring and management strategies. The DL-GWCM is a proposed solution that aims to enhance the precision and effectiveness of groundwater availability mapping by incorporating IoT technology and Deep Learning Classification. The DL-GWCM comprises multiple constituent elements, such as Groundwater Prediction, Water Quality Index, and Conventional Neural Network- Bidirectional Long Short-Term Memory (CNN–Bi LSTM) classification. The process of Groundwater Prediction involves the utilization of past data and environmental factors to make precise forecasts of groundwater levels. The Water Quality Index evaluates the quality of subsurface water resources, guaranteeing their secure and enduring utilization. The Deep Learning Classification Model with IoT technology was implemented for groundwater accessibility mapping in Indian arid zones. It integrates Groundwater Prediction, Water Quality Index, and CNN–Bi LSTM classification. The model makes precise forecasts using past data and environmental factors, ensuring secure water quality. Using the CNN–Bi LSTM classification model improves the precision of groundwater availability mapping due to its resilient classification capabilities. These findings suggest that the DL-GWCM outperforms conventional approaches. The mean values of all five metrics for the proposed method are presented as follows: The performance metrics of the model are as follows: Root Mean Square Error (RMSE) of 0.77%, Mean Absolute Error (MAE) of 2.13%, Relative Absolute Error (RAE) of 8.72%, Root Relative Squared Error (RRSE) of 0.92%, and Correlation Coefficient (CC) of 0.92. The results of the proposed methodology facilitate the discernment of regions with abundant or scarce groundwater accessibility, thereby supporting the sustainable management and planning of groundwater resources.

Flexural and split tensile strength of concrete with basalt fiber: An experimental and computational analysis

The objective of this study is to create comprehensive multiscale models for predicting the split tensile strength (STS) and flexural strength (FS) of basalt fiber-reinforced concrete, with the intention of its use in the construction industry. To meet this objective, STS and FS data were collected from various academic research investigations. The collected data was further expanded by experimentally analyzing the FS and STS of basalt fiber (0.1 %, 0.2 %, 0.3 %, and 0.4 % by volume)-loaded concrete. The experimental investigation shows FS and STS increased with basalt fiber loading. The highest FS was 5.11 MPa (0.4 % basalt fiber), and the highest STS was 2.24 MPa (0.3 % basalt fiber). The collected STS (114 data) and FS (103 data) datasets were statistically examined and modelled using soft computing techniques. Seven soft computing techniques, namely Random Forest (RF), Stochastic Random Forest (Stochastic-RF), Random Tree (RT), Stochastic Random Tree (Stochastic-RT), Bagging Random Forest (Bagging-RF), Bagging Random Tree (Bagging-RT) and Artificial Neural Network (ANN) were used to predict the FS and STS of basalt fiber-reinforced concrete using nine inputs and two outputs. The accuracy of the models was evaluated using comprehensive measure (COM), correlation coefficient (CC), mean absolute error (MAE), root relative squared error (RRSE), relative absolute error (RAE), Nash-Sutcliffe efficiency (NSE), and root mean square error (RMSE). The Stochastic-RT model had better predictive ability for FS, as seen by its lowest COM value of 0.121, and optimal values for CC, MAE, RRSE, NSE, RAE, and RMSE. Conversely, with a minimal COM value of 0.0279, the Bagging-RT model showed better accuracy in predicting the STS of concrete. Furthermore, sensitivity analysis revealed that basalt fiber length has the most significant effect on FS prediction, whereas curing time is the most crucial element influencing the STS of the concrete.

Prediction of delta-ferrite formation in 17-4 PH steel using zero-inflated Gaussian process

Alloy composition plays a pivotal role in the formation of phases and precipitates. A compelling example of this phenomenon is evident in the case of 17-4 PH steel, where even slight deviations in alloy composition can notably influence the formation of phases such as δ-ferrite. While thermodynamic calculations are invaluable in predicting the formation of phases, the procedure can become rather time-intensive, particularly when dealing with a wide array of alloy compositions. This issue is further exacerbated by the complex non-linear relationships that exist between the constituent elements and phases. While data-driven analyses can help, traditional machine learning (ML) models struggle to accurately predict δ-ferrite formation due to its zero-inflated nature. This is a result of how combinations of elemental compositions can either result in the presence or absence of δ-ferrite. This paper proposes a zero-inflated Gaussian process (GP) model, ZIGP, to understand the effect of alloying elements on the formation of δ-ferrite. This hybrid model combines a classifier and a regressor, showing an exceptional mean root relative squared error value of 0.407 and 0.843 for the prediction of the maximum δ-ferrite fraction and the δ-ferrite formation temperature, respectively. The ZIGP model is also used to understand the sensitivities of the δ-ferrite phase formation to different constituent elements. The model outperforms other traditional ML models applied to the zero-inflated data. The results of this research, thus, not only provide an understanding of the phases but can also be extended to optimize material composition and design appropriate heat treatment cycles to achieve desired properties.

PREDICTION OF RESPONSES IN A CNC MILLING OPERATION USING RANDOM FOREST REGRESSOR

In the present-day manufacturing environment, the modeling of a machining process with the help of statistical and machine learning techniques in order to understand the material removal mechanism and study the influences of the input parameters on the responses has become essential for cost optimization and effective resource utilization. In this paper, using a past CNC face milling dataset with 27 experimental observations, a random forest (RF) regressor is employed to effectively predict the response values of the said process for given sets of input parameters. The considered milling dataset consists of four input parameters, i.e. cutting speed, feed rate, depth of cut and width of cut, and three responses, i.e. material removal rate, surface roughness and active energy consumption. The RF regressor is an ensemble learning method where multiple decision trees are combined together to provide better prediction results with minimum variance and overfitting of data. Its prediction performance is validated using five statistical metrics, i.e. mean absolute percentage error, root mean squared percentage error, root mean squared logarithmic error, correlation coefficient and root relative squared error. It is observed that the RF regressor can be deployed as an effective prediction tool with minimum feature selection for any of the machining processes.

Ultimate axial strength prediction of concrete-filled double-skin steel tube columns using soft computing methods

In this study, two hybrid models, grey wolf optimizer (GWO) combined with group method of data handling (GMDH) and random forest (RF) optimized by particle swarm optimization (PSO), are proposed to predict the ultimate axial strength of concrete-filled double-skin steel tube (CFDST) columns. 139 sets of data collected from the literature were used to build the proposed models. The proposed hybrid models were compared with other machine learning models as well as empirical equations and design specifications. The results show that for all datasets, the integral absolute error (IAE), root relative squared error (RRSE), mean absolute percentage error (MAPE) and coefficient of determination (R2) predicted by PSO-RF and GWO-GMDH models are 0.057, 0.092, 0.068 and 0.992; 0.068, 0.094, 0.110 and 0.989, respectively. Compared with the single RF and GDMH models, the IAE, RRSE and MAPE values of the proposed PSO-RF and GWO-GMDH models decreased by 3.91%, 13.66% and 6.34%; 37.81%, 48.78% and 39.24%, respectively, and the R2 value increased by 1.24% and 1.67%, respectively. In addition, the factors affecting the failure of CFDST columns are analyzed through the parameter sensitivity analysis.

Revolutionizing Diabetes Diagnosis: Machine Learning Techniques Unleashed

The intricate and multifaceted nature of diabetes disrupts the body’s crucial glucose processing mechanism, which serves as a fundamental energy source for the cells. This research aims to predict the occurrence of diabetes in individuals by harnessing the power of machine learning algorithms, utilizing the PIMA diabetes dataset. The selected algorithms employed in this study encompass Decision Tree, K-Nearest Neighbor, Random Forest, Logistic Regression, and Support Vector Machine. To execute the experiments, two software tools, namely Waikato Environment for Knowledge Analysis (WEKA) version 3.8.1 and Python version 3.10, were utilized. To evaluate the performance of the algorithms, several metrics were employed, including true positive rate, false positive rate, precision, recall, F-measure, Matthew’s correlation coefficient, receiver operating characteristic area, and precision–recall curves area. Furthermore, various errors such as Mean Absolute Error, Root Mean Squared Error, Relative Absolute Error, and Root Relative Squared Error were examined to assess the accuracy of the models. Upon conducting the experiments, it was observed that Logistic Regression outperformed the other techniques, exhibiting the highest precision of 81 percent using Python and 80.43 percent using WEKA. These findings shed light on the efficacy of machine learning in predicting diabetes and highlight the potential of Logistic Regression as a valuable tool in this domain.

An electronic nose for harmful gas early detection based on a hybrid deep learning method H-CRNN

Among harmful gases, carbon monoxide (CO) has posed a significant threat to human safety due to its concealment and harmfulness. Therefore, it’s imperative for the preservation of human safety to implement early detection for CO concentration. However, traditional methods for gas detection are either plagued by the limitations of insufficient accuracy like electronic nose (E-nose) equipped with relatively simple machine learning algorithms such as vanilla SVM or RNN, or limited by the incapacity to make early prediction such as sensory analysis, which requires a large amount of manpower resources and time. To address this issue, a novel technique, namely H-CRNN, is presented for E-nose to perform early prediction of low concentration CO, leveraging the strengths of convolutional and recurrent neural network to efficiently capture long-term dependencies within data. Also, shortcut connection and a novel gated attention mechanism is applied to enhance the capacity to capture crucial features. Furthermore, a linear process unit has been incorporated to handle the scale insensitivity issue. The experimental results show that the proposed H-CRNN outperforms RNN with a notable average reduction of 50.51% in the root relative squared error and 53.8% in the relative absolute error, and exhibits varying degrees of improvement when compared to state-of-the-art algorithms (TCN, TPA-LSTM, STCN, LSTNet, LSTM). Additionally, the H-CRNN achieved an average accuracy rate of 96.42%, surpassing all other algorithms and demonstrating the highest level of performance. Therefore, our work substantiates the proposed H-CRNN as an applicable method for early prediction of CO concentration.

Neural networks based linear (PCA) and nonlinear (ISOMAP) feature extraction for soil swelling pressure prediction (North East Algeria)

The swelling pressure (SP) of expansive soils is crucial for both geotechnical studies as well as practitioners. Multiple attempts have been made to correlate the SP with the properties of soil due to the difficulty of determining it in the laboratory. However, the large number of environmental and physical governing parameters makes accurate SP predictions difficult. In this paper, Artificial Neural Networks (ANNs) are used to assess accurate prediction of SP of soil. Dimension reduction techniques are intensely required for ANNs inputs. Feature extraction (FE) based dimension reduction (DR) methods map original multidimensional space into a space of reduced dimensionality. This paper presents a comparative study of linear FE using Principal Component Analysis (PCA) and nonlinear FE using ISOmetric MAPping (ISOMAP) for feed forward neural models to predict SP. Results showed that FE technique improves ANNs models compared to multiple linear regression (MLR) and ANNs model without DR. Moreover, nonlinear ISOMAP based DR technique has proven its effectiveness regarding performance metrics for five dimensions inputs (Dims), Determination coefficient (R2 = 0.923), Mean absolute percentage error (MAPE = 0.072), and Root mean square error (RMSE = 54.937) and Root relative squared error (RRSE = 0.383). Therefore, ISOMAP-ANN models can be adopted to solve geotechnical problems specially those of expansive soils which have a very complex and nonlinear structure.

Efficacy of machine learning algorithms in estimating emissions in a dual fuel compression ignition engine operating on hydrogen and diesel

Emission created by combustion of fossil fuels are a major concern of the world for the past few decades. The stringent emission norms have impacted the automobile manufacturers to work on exhaust emissions and its impact. This research focused on using machine learning regression models to evaluate the efficacy of experimental results for a dual fuel compression ignition (CI) engine operating on hydrogen and diesel. In the present study, engine emissions were estimated using 29 regression algorithms. A total of 5 input data namely, concentration of hydrogen, engine load, diesel intake, speed and equivalence ratio were considered in the study to estimate various emissions like oxides of nitrogen (NOx), carbon dioxide (CO2), hydrocarbon (HC) and smoke. Correlation coefficient, mean absolute error, root mean squared error, relative absolute error and root relative squared error were adopted as the performance metrics in the present study. Amongst the algorithms considered, pace regression, radial basis function regressor, multilayer perceptron regressor and alternating model tree produced the highest correlation coefficient of 0.9985, 0.8958, 0.9950 and 0.9256 in estimating the engine emissions like CO2, smoke, NOx and HC respectively. Additionally, an attempt was made to establish an individual algorithm that can estimate all the emissions was identified as multilayer perceptron regressor with correlation coefficient values of 0.9977 (CO2), 0.9950 (NOx), 0.8501(smoke) and 0.8731(HC) respectively.

Performance Evaluation of College Students’ Google Classroom Engagement Using Data Mining Techniques

The purpose of this study is to assess how well college students use Google Classroom as a useful and informative teaching and learning tool. The survey method was utilized in the study to measure student involvement in Google Classroom. This study's sample population included 292 college students from Northern Negros State College of Science and Technology. Algorithms such as Random Forest (RF), C4.5, and Naive Bayes (NB) were utilized with three of the most crucial techniques, such as 60% split, training set, and 8-fold cross-validation, for performing analysis on the student data. After analyzing different metrics for performance (Correctly Classified Instances, FP Rate, ROC Area, F-Measure, TP Rate, Recall, Precision, Time taken to build model, Mean Absolute Error, Root Mean Squared Error, Root Relative Squared Error, Relative Absolute Error) by various algorithms for data mining, the researchers determined which algorithm performs better than others on the student dataset gathered, allowing the researchers to make a recommendation for future improvement in students' Google Classroom engagement.

Determination of optimum intensity and duration of exercise based on the immune system response using a machine-learning model

One of the important concerns in the field of exercise immunology is determining the appropriate intensity and duration of exercise to prevent suppression of the immune system. Adopting a reliable approach to predict the number of white blood cells (WBCs) during exercise can help to identify the appropriate intensity and duration. Therefore, this study was designed to predict leukocyte levels during exercise with the application of a machine-learning model. We used a random forest (RF) model to predict the number of lymphocytes (LYMPH), neutrophils (NEU), monocytes (MON), eosinophils, basophils, and WBC. Intensity and duration of exercise, WBCs values before exercise training, body mass index (BMI), and maximal aerobic capacity (VO2 max) were used as inputs and WBCs values after exercise training were assessed as outputs of the RF model. In this study, the data was collected from 200 eligible people and K-fold cross-validation was used to train and test the model. Finally, model efficiency was assessed using standard statistics (root mean square error (RMSE), mean absolute error (MAE), relative absolute error (RAE), root relative square error (RRSE), coefficient of determination (R2), and Nash–Sutcliffe efficiency coefficient (NSE)). Our findings revealed that the RF model performed well for predicting the number of WBC with RMSE = 0.94, MAE = 0.76, RAE = 48.54, RRSE = 48.17, NSE = 0.76, and R2 = 0.77. Furthermore, the results showed that intensity and duration of exercise are more effective parameters than BMI and VO2 max to predict the number of LYMPH, NEU, MON, and WBC during exercise. Totally, this study developed a novel approach based on the RF model using the relevant and accessible variables to predict WBCs during exercise. The proposed method can be applied as a promising and cost-effective tool for determining the correct intensity and duration of exercise in healthy people according to the body’s immune system response.

Data Mining and Machine Learning Algorithms for Optimizing Maize Yield Forecasting in Central Europe

Artificial intelligence, specifically machine learning (ML), serves as a valuable tool for decision support in crop management under ongoing climate change. However, ML implementation to predict maize yield is still limited in Central Europe, especially in Hungary. In this context, we assessed the performance of four ML algorithms (Bagging (BG), Decision Table (DT), Random Forest (RF) and Artificial Neural Network-Multi Layer Perceptron (ANN-MLP)) in predicting maize yield based on four different input scenarios. The collected data included both agricultural data (production (PROD) (ton) and maize cropped area (AREA) (ha)) and climate data (annual mean temperature °C (Tmean), precipitation (PRCP) (mm), rainy days (RD), frosty days (FD) and hot days (HD)). This research adopted four scenarios, as follows: SC1: AREA+ PROD+ Tmean+ PRCP+ RD+ FD+ HD; SC2: AREA+ PROD; SC3: Tmean+ PRCP+ RD+ FD+ HD; and SC4: AREA+ PROD+ Tmean+ PRCP. In the training stage, ANN-MLP-SC1 and ANN-MLP-SC4 outperformed other ML algorithms; the correlation coefficient (r) was 0.99 for both, while the root mean squared errors (RMSEs) were 107.9 (ANN-MLP-SC1) and 110.7 (ANN-MLP-SC4). In the testing phase, the ANN-MLP-SC4 had the highest r value (0.96), followed by ANN-MLP-SC1 (0.94) and RF-SC2 (0.94). The 10-fold cross validation also revealed that the ANN-MLP-SC4 and ANN-MLP-SC1 have the highest performance. We further evaluated the performance of the ANN-MLP-SC4 in predicting maize yield on a regional scale (Budapest). The ANN-MLP-SC4 succeeded in reaching a high-performance standard (r = 0.98, relative absolute error = 21.87%, root relative squared error = 20.4399% and RMSE = 423.23). This research promotes the use of ANN as an efficient tool for predicting maize yield, which could be highly beneficial for planners and decision makers in developing sustainable plans for crop management.

Comparative Analysis of Regression Algorithms used to Predict the Sales of Big Marts

Abstract— Sales predictions or forecasting can help in analyzing the current and future sales trends of a big mart company. Based on the sales prediction or forecast, a retailer company can plan its production, marketing and promotional activities. Using several machine learning techniques, the obtained data may then be utilized to predict possible sales for retailers. This paper investigates that which machine learning regression algorithm best predicts big marts sales and which technique has the highest correlation coefficient value and the lowest values of mean absolute error (MAE), relative absolute error (RAE), root mean squared error (RMSE), and root relative squared error (RRSE). A comparative analysis of various machine learning regression algorithms such as SMO regression, simple linear regression, linear regression, additive regression, multi-layer perceptron, random forest, and M5P will be provided in this paper. After the experiments are completed, a comparison of various cross validations and splitting ratios for training and testing data will be given.

Machine Learning Predictive Models for Evaluating Risk Factors Affecting Sperm Count: Predictions Based on Health Screening Indicators.

In many countries, especially developed nations, the fertility rate and birth rate have continually declined. Taiwan's fertility rate has paralleled this trend and reached its nadir in 2022. Therefore, the government uses many strategies to encourage more married couples to have children. However, couples marrying at an older age may have declining physical status, as well as hypertension and other metabolic syndrome symptoms, in addition to possibly being overweight, which have been the focus of the studies for their influences on male and female gamete quality. Many previous studies based on infertile people are not truly representative of the general population. This study proposed a framework using five machine learning (ML) predictive algorithms-random forest, stochastic gradient boosting, least absolute shrinkage and selection operator regression, ridge regression, and extreme gradient boosting-to identify the major risk factors affecting male sperm count based on a major health screening database in Taiwan. Unlike traditional multiple linear regression, ML algorithms do not need statistical assumptions and can capture non-linear relationships or complex interactions between dependent and independent variables to generate promising performance. We analyzed annual health screening data of 1375 males from 2010 to 2017, including data on health screening indicators, sourced from the MJ Group, a major health screening center in Taiwan. The symmetric mean absolute percentage error, relative absolute error, root relative squared error, and root mean squared error were used as performance evaluation metrics. Our results show that sleep time (ST), alpha-fetoprotein (AFP), body fat (BF), systolic blood pressure (SBP), and blood urea nitrogen (BUN) are the top five risk factors associated with sperm count. ST is a known risk factor influencing reproductive hormone balance, which can affect spermatogenesis and final sperm count. BF and SBP are risk factors associated with metabolic syndrome, another known risk factor of altered male reproductive hormone systems. However, AFP has not been the focus of previous studies on male fertility or semen quality. BUN, the index for kidney function, is also identified as a risk factor by our established ML model. Our results support previous findings that metabolic syndrome has negative impacts on sperm count and semen quality. Sleep duration also has an impact on sperm generation in the testes. AFP and BUN are two novel risk factors linked to sperm counts. These findings could help healthcare personnel and law makers create strategies for creating environments to increase the country's fertility rate. This study should also be of value to follow-up research.

Comparative Assessment of Improved SVM Method under Different Kernel Functions for Predicting Multi-scale Drought Index

This paper focus on the drought monitoring and forecasting for semi-arid region based on the various machine learning models and SPI index. Drought phenomena are crucial role in the agriculture and drinking purposes in the area. In this study, Standardized Precipitation Index (SPI) was used to predicted the future drought in the upper Godavari River basin, India. We have selected the ten input combinations of ML model were used to prediction of drought for three SPI timescales (i.e., SPI -3, SPI-6, and SPI-12). The historical data of SPI from 2000 to 2019 was used for creation of ML models SPI prediction, these datasets was divided into training (75% of the data) and testing (25% of the data) models. The best subset regression method and sensitivity analysis were applied to estimate the most effective input variables for estimation of SPI 3, 6, and 12. The improved support vector machine model using sequential minimal optimization (SVM-SMO) with various kernel functions i.e., SMO-SVM poly kernel, SMO-SVM Normalized poly kernel, SMO-SVM PUK (Pearson Universal Kernel) and SMO-SVM RBF (radial basis function) kernel was developed to forecasting of the SPI-3,6 and 12 months. The ML models accuracy were compared with various statistical indicators i.e., root mean square error (RMSE), mean absolute error (MAE), relative absolute error (RAE), root relative squared error (RRSE), and correlation coefficient (r). The results of study area have been showed that the SMO-SVM poly kernel model precisely predicted the SPI-3 (R2 = 0.819) and SPI-12 (R2 = 0.968) values at Paithan station; the SPI-3 (R2 = 0.736) and SPI-6 (R2 = 0.841) values at Silload station, respectively. The SMO-SVM PUK kernel is found that the best ML model for the prediction of SPI-6 (R2 = 0.846) at Paithan station and SPI-12 (R2 = 0.975) at the Silload station. The compared with SVM-SMO poly kernel and SVM-SMO PUK kernel was observed, these models are best forecasting of drought (i.e. SPI-6 and SPI-12), while SVM-SMO poly kernel is good for SPI-3 prediction at both stations. The results have been showed the ability of the SVM-SMO algorithm with various kernel functions successfully applied for the forecasting of multiscale SPI under the climate changes. It can be helpful for decision making in water resource management and tackle droughts in the semi-arid region of central India.

Prediction of meteorological drought and standardized precipitation index based on the random forest (RF), random tree (RT), and Gaussian process regression (GPR) models.

Agriculture, meteorological, and hydrological drought is a natural hazard which affects ecosystems in the central India of Maharashtra state. Due to limited historical data for drought monitoring and forecasting available in the central India of Maharashtra state, implementing machine learning (ML) algorithms could allow for the prediction of future drought events. In this paper, we have focused on the prediction accuracy of meteorological drought in the semi-arid region based on the standardized precipitation index (SPI) using the random forest (RF), random tree (RT), and Gaussian process regression (GPR-PUK kernel) models. A different combination of machine learning models and variables has been performed for the forecasting of metrological drought based on the SPI-6 and 12months. Models were developed using monthly rainfall data for the period of 2000-2019 at two meteorological stations, namely, Karanjali and Gangawdi, each representing a geographical region of Upper Godavari river basin area in the central India of Maharashtra state which frequently experiences droughts. Historical data from the SPI from 2000 to 2013 was processed to train the model into machine learning model, and the rest of the 2014 to 2019-year data were used for testing to forecast the SPI and metrological drought. The mean square error (MSE), root mean square error (RMSE), adjustedR2, Mallows' (Cp), Akaike's (AIC), Schwarz's (SBC), and Amemiya's PC were used to identify the best combination input model and best subregression analysis for both stations of SPI-6 and 12. The correlation coefficient ([Formula: see text]), mean absolute error (MAE), root mean square error (RMSE), relative absolute error (RAE), and root relative squared error (RRSE) were used to perform evaluation for SPI-6 and 12months of both stations with RF, RT, and GPR-PUK kernel models during the training and testing scenarios. The results during testing phase revealed that the RF was found as the best model in forecasting droughts with values of [Formula: see text], MAE, RMSE, RAE (%), and RRSE (%) being 0.856, 0.551, 0.718, 74.778, and 54.019, respectively, for SPI-6 while 0.961, 0.361, 0.538, 34.926, and 28.262, respectively, for SPI-12 scales at Gangawdi station. Further, the respective values of evaluators at Karanjali station were 0.913 and 0.966, 0.541 and 0.386, 0.604 and 0.589, 52.592 and 36.959, and 42.315 and 31.394 for PUK kernel and RT models, respectively, during SPI-6 and SPI-12. Machine learning models are potential drought warning techniques because they take less time, have fewer inputs, and are less sophisticated than dynamic or scientific models.

Assessment of COVID-19 Hospitalization Forecasts from a Simplified SIR Model

We propose the SH model, a simplified version of the well-known SIR compartmental model of infectious diseases. With optimized parameters and initial conditions, this time-invariant two-parameter two-dimensional model is able to fit COVID-19 hospitalization data over several months with high accuracy (e.g., the root relative squared error is below 10% for Belgium over the period from 2020-03-15 to 2020-07-15). Moreover, we observed that, when the model is trained on a suitable three-week period around the hospitalization peak for Belgium, it forecasts the subsequent two months with mean absolute percentage error (MAPE) under 4%. We repeated the experiment for each French department and found 14 of them where the MAPE was below 20%. However, when the model is trained in the increase phase, it is less successful at forecasting the subsequent evolution.

Liver Ailment Prediction Using Random Forest Model

Today, liver disease, or any deterioration in one’s ability to survive, is extremely common all around the world. Previous research has indicated that liver disease is more frequent in younger people than in older ones. When the liver’s capability begins to deteriorate, life can be shortened to one or two days, and early prediction of such diseases is difficult. Using several machine learning (ML) approaches, researchers analyzed a variety of models for predicting liver disorders in their early stages. As a result, this research looks at using the Random Forest (RF) classifier to diagnose the liver disease early on. The dataset was picked from the University of California, Irvine repository. RF’s accomplishments are contrasted to those of Multi-Layer Perceptron (MLP), Average One Dependency Estimator (A1DE), Support Vector Machine (SVM), Credal Decision Tree (CDT), Composite Hypercube on Iterated Random Projection (CHIRP), K-nearest neighbor (KNN), Naïve Bayes (NB), J48-Decision Tree (J48), and Forest by Penalizing Attributes (Forest-PA). Some of the assessment measures used to evaluate each classifier include Root Relative Squared Error (RRSE), Root Mean Squared Error (RMSE), accuracy, recall, precision, specificity, Matthew’s Correlation Coefficient (MCC), F-measure, and G-measure. RF has an RRSE performance of 87.6766 and an RMSE performance of 0.4328, however, its percentage accuracy is 72.1739. The widely acknowledged result of this work can be used as a starting point for subsequent research. As a result, every claim that a new model, framework, or method enhances forecasting may be benchmarked and demonstrated.

Marshall Stability Prediction with Glass and Carbon Fiber Modified Asphalt Mix Using Machine Learning Techniques.

Pavement design is a long-term structural analysis that is required to distribute traffic loads throughout all road levels. To construct roads for rising traffic volumes while preserving natural resources and materials, a better knowledge of road paving materials is required. The current study focused on the prediction of Marshall stability of asphalt mixes constituted of glass, carbon, and glass-carbon combination fibers to exploit the best potential of the hybrid asphalt mix by applying five machine learning models, i.e., artificial neural networks, Gaussian processes, M5P, random tree, and multiple linear regression model and further determined the optimum model suitable for prediction of the Marshall stability in hybrid asphalt mixes. It was equally important to determine the suitability of each mix for flexible pavements. Five types of asphalt mixes, i.e., glass fiber asphalt mix, carbon fiber asphalt mix, and three modified asphalt mixes of glass-carbon fiber combination in the proportions of 75:25, 50:50, and 25:75 were utilized in the investigation. To measure the efficiency of the applied models, five statistical indices, i.e., coefficient of correlation, mean absolute error, root mean square error, relative absolute error, and root relative squared error were used in machine learning models. The results indicated that the artificial neural network outperformed other models in predicting the Marshall stability of modified asphalt mix with a higher value of the coefficient of correlation (0.8392), R2 (0.7042), a lower mean absolute error value (1.4996), and root mean square error value (1.8315) in the testing stage with small error band and provided the best optimal fit. Results of the feature importance analysis showed that the first five input variables, i.e., carbon fiber diameter, bitumen content, hybrid asphalt mix of glass-carbon fiber at 75:25 percent, carbon fiber content, and hybrid asphalt mix of glass-carbon fiber at 50:50 percent, are highly sensitive parameters which influence the Marshall strength of the modified asphalt mixes to a greater extent.