Risk Reduction Research Articles

Association of a dietary pattern related to serum vitamin D levels with metabolic syndrome risk among Korean adults: based on the Korean national health and nutrition examination survey.

Vitamin D has a crucial role in our metabolic health. We aimed to examine associations of vitamin D status and its related dietary pattern (DP) with prevalent risk of metabolic syndrome (MetS) in 9,237 Korean adults aged 19-64 years based on the National Health and Nutrition Examination Survey. Vitamin D status was examined by serum 25-hydroxyvitamin D (25(OH)D). A vitamin D-related DP associated with 25(OH)D levels was derived using reduced rank regression (RRR). Associations of vitamin D status and its related DP with MetS prevalence were examined using multivariable logistic regression models adjusted for potential confounders. Men with sufficient vitamin D status had a 44% lower risk of MetS prevalence (OR: 0.56; 95%CI: 0.36-0.87) compared to those with deficiency. A vitamin D-related DP derived using RRR was characterized by high intakes of vegetables, fish, fruits, and nuts and low intakes of eggs, oils, and mushrooms in this study population. Among men, the DP was significantly associated with a lower risk of MetS prevalence, showing a 12% (95%CI: 4-20%) reduction in risk for a one-unit increase in the DP score. However, there was no significant association among women. The study's findings suggest that a sufficient vitamin D status and a related DP with high intakes of vegetables, fish, fruit, and nuts were associated with the risk of MetS, particularly in Korean male adults.

Can short- and long-term maternal and infant risks linked to hypertension and diabetes during pregnancy be reduced by therapy?

Hypertensive disorders of pregnancy (HDP), especially preeclampsia, and diabetes during pregnancy pose significant risks for both maternal and infant health, extending to long-term outcomes such as early-onset cardiovascular disease and metabolic disorders. Current strategies for managing HDP focus on screening, prevention, surveillance, and timely intervention. No disease-modifying therapies exist so far for established preeclampsia; delivery remains the definitive resolution. Preventive measures-including early pregnancy screening, exercise, and low-dose aspirin-show promise. Antihypertensive treatments reduce severe hypertension risks, whereas magnesium sulfate remains the standard for preventing eclampsia. Planned delivery from gestational week 37 can balance maternal benefits and neonatal risks in women with established preeclampsia. Delivery between 34 and 37 weeks gestation in women with preeclampsia has to balance risks for mother and infant. Lifestyle interventions-particularly diet and physical activity-are pivotal in managing gestational diabetes mellitus and type 2 diabetes. The oral antidiabetic metformin has shown benefits in glycaemic control and reducing maternal weight gain, although its long-term effects on offspring remain uncertain. The safety of other peroral antidiabetics in pregnancy is less studied. Advancements in glucose monitoring and insulin administration present encouraging prospects for enhancing outcomes in women with diabetes types 1 and 2. Both HDP and diabetes during pregnancy necessitate vigilant management through a combination of lifestyle modifications, pharmacological interventions, and timely obstetric care. Although certain treatments such as low-dose aspirin and metformin show efficacy in risk reduction, further research is ongoing to ensure safety for both mothers and their offspring to reduce short- and long-term adverse effects.

Unequal Health Burden from Air Pollution among Minors in Education.

Air pollution exposure has been linked to a variety of adverse health outcomes among minors; yet little is known about the associated health inequity across regions and schools. Here, we assessed the unequal health burden linked to particulate matter exposure among minors of 10,358 schools in China through 12,439,232 individual health records. Our findings highlight the persistent health risks with superlinear concentration-response patterns and following inverted U-shaped risk trends, that each 10 μg/m3 increase in PM2.5 exposure resulted in 4.1% (3.9-4.2%) additional school absenteeism risk. Compared to urban well-built schools, minors in rural poor-built schools experienced significantly higher exposure and slower rate of risk reduction and had over 80.0% less medical resources while bearing 145.2% of the health burden. Disparities in pollution exposure, built environment, and resource allocation are intertwined to shape the health inequity pattern, especially between rural and urban schools. These findings underscore the urgency for persistent efforts aimed at disadvantaged schools to reduce pollution exposure and equitably distribute social resources, ultimately securing an impartial health-centered education for minors.

Sex differences in sensitivity to dopamine receptor manipulations of risk-based decision making in rats.

Risky decision making involves the ability to weigh risks and rewards associated with different options to make adaptive choices. Previous work has established a necessary role for the basolateral amygdala (BLA) in mediating effective decision making under risk of punishment, but the mechanisms by which the BLA mediates this process are less clear. Because this form of decision making is profoundly sensitive to dopaminergic (DA) manipulations, we hypothesized that DA receptors in the BLA may be involved in risk-taking behavior. To test this hypothesis, male and female Long-Evans rats were trained in a decision-making task in which rats chose between a small, safe food reward and a larger food reward that was associated with a variable risk of footshock punishment. Once behavioral stability emerged, rats received intra-BLA infusions of ligands targeting distinct dopamine receptor subtypes prior to behavioral testing. Intra-BLA infusions of the dopamine D2 receptor (D2R) agonist quinpirole decreased risk taking in females at all doses, and this reduction in risk taking was accompanied by an increase in sensitivity to punishment. In males, decreased risk taking was only observed at the highest dose of quinpirole. In contrast, intra-BLA manipulations of dopamine D1 or D3 receptors (D1R and D3R, respectively) had no effect on risk taking. Considered together, these data suggest that differential D2R sensitivity in the BLA may contribute to the well-established sex differences in risk taking. Neither D1Rs nor D3Rs, however, appear to contribute to risky decision making in either sex.

Outcome risk model development for heterogeneity of treatment effect analyses: a comparison of non-parametric machine learning methods and semi-parametric statistical methods

BackgroundIn randomized clinical trials, treatment effects may vary, and this possibility is referred to as heterogeneity of treatment effect (HTE). One way to quantify HTE is to partition participants into subgroups based on individual’s risk of experiencing an outcome, then measuring treatment effect by subgroup. Given the limited availability of externally validated outcome risk prediction models, internal models (created using the same dataset in which heterogeneity of treatment analyses also will be performed) are commonly developed for subgroup identification. We aim to compare different methods for generating internally developed outcome risk prediction models for subject partitioning in HTE analysis.MethodsThree approaches were selected for generating subgroups for the 2,441 participants from the United States enrolled in the ASPirin in Reducing Events in the Elderly (ASPREE) randomized controlled trial. An extant proportional hazards-based outcomes predictive risk model developed on the overall ASPREE cohort of 19,114 participants was identified and was used to partition United States’ participants by risk of experiencing a composite outcome of death, dementia, or persistent physical disability. Next, two supervised non-parametric machine learning outcome classifiers, decision trees and random forests, were used to develop multivariable risk prediction models and partition participants into subgroups with varied risks of experiencing the composite outcome. Then, we assessed how the partitioning from the proportional hazard model compared to those generated by the machine learning models in an HTE analysis of the 5-year absolute risk reduction (ARR) and hazard ratio for aspirin vs. placebo in each subgroup. Cochran’s Q test was used to detect if ARR varied significantly by subgroup.ResultsThe proportional hazard model was used to generate 5 subgroups using the quintiles of the estimated risk scores; the decision tree model was used to generate 6 subgroups (6 automatically determined tree leaves); and the random forest model was used to generate 5 subgroups using the quintiles of the prediction probability as risk scores. Using the semi-parametric proportional hazards model, the ARR at 5 years was 15.1% (95% CI 4.0–26.3%) for participants with the highest 20% of predicted risk. Using the random forest model, the ARR at 5 years was 13.7% (95% CI 3.1–24.4%) for participants with the highest 20% of predicted risk. The highest outcome risk group in the decision tree model also exhibited a risk reduction, but the confidence interval was wider (5-year ARR = 17.0%, 95% CI= -5.4–39.4%). Cochran’s Q test indicated ARR varied significantly only by subgroups created using the proportional hazards model. The hazard ratio for aspirin vs. placebo therapy did not significantly vary by subgroup in any of the models. The highest risk groups for the proportional hazards model and random forest model contained 230 participants each, while the highest risk group in the decision tree model contained 41 participants.ConclusionsThe choice of technique for internally developed models for outcome risk subgroups influences HTE analyses. The rationale for the use of a particular subgroup determination model in HTE analyses needs to be explicitly defined based on desired levels of explainability (with features importance), uncertainty of prediction, chances of overfitting, and assumptions regarding the underlying data structure. Replication of these analyses using data from other mid-size clinical trials may help to establish guidance for selecting an outcomes risk prediction modelling technique for HTE analyses.

Death Risk Response of High-Altitude Resident Populations to COVID-19 Vaccine: A Retrospective Cohort Study.

Vásquez-Velásquez, Cinthya, Diego Fano-Sizgorich, and Gustavo F Gonzales. Death risk response of high-altitude resident populations to COVID-19 vaccine: Retrospective cohort study. High Alt Med Biol. 00:00-00, 2024. Background: Peru had one of the highest mortality rates caused by the coronavirus disease 2019 (COVID-19) pandemic worldwide. Vaccination significantly reduces mortality. However, the effectiveness of vaccination might differ at different altitudinal levels. The study aimed to evaluate the effect modification of altitude on the association between vaccination and COVID-19 mortality in Peru. Methodology: A retrospective cohort, using open access databases of deaths, COVID-19 cases, hospitalizations, and vaccination was obtained from the Peruvian Ministry of Health. Deaths due to COVID-19 were evaluated in vaccinated and nonvaccinated patients. Crude (RR) and adjusted relative risks (aRR) were calculated using generalized linear models of Poisson family with robust variances. Models were adjusted for age, sex, pandemic wave, and Human Development Index. To evaluate the interaction by altitude, a stratified analysis by this variable was performed. The variable altitude was categorized as, 0-499 m (828,298 cases), 500-1,499 m (64,735 cases), 1,500-2,499 m (106,572 cases), and ≥2,500 m (179,004 cases). The final sample studied included 1,362,350 cases. Results: The vaccine showed a considerable reduction of death risk with the second (aRR: 0.41, 95% confidence interval [CI]: 0.38-0.44) and third doses (aRR: 0.21, 95% CI: 0.20-0.23). In the adjusted and interaction model, it can be observed that medium and high altitude present a higher risk of death compared to sea level (aRR: 2.58 and 2.03, respectively). Likewise, the two doses' group presents an aRR:1.22 for medium altitude (1,500-2,499 m) and 1.6 for high altitude (≥2,500 m), compared with low-altitude population, suggesting that the action of vaccination at high altitude is altered by the effect of the altitude itself. Conclusions: Altitude might modify the protective effect of SARS-CoV-2 vaccine against COVID-19 death.

Vaccinome landscape in nearly 620,000 patients with diabetes.

Type 1 (T1D) and type 2 diabetes (T2D) are associated with an elevated incidence of infectious diseases and a higher risk of infections-related hospitalization and death. In this study, we delineated the "vaccinome" landscape obtained with a large immunization schedule offered by the Regional Government of Lombardy in a cohort of 618,396 patients with diabetes (T1D and T2D). Between September 2021 and September 2022, immunization coverage for influenza, meningococcus, pneumococcus, and herpes zoster was obtained from the public computerized registry of the healthcare system of Lombardy Region (Italy) in 618,396 patients with diabetes and in 9,534,087 subjects without diabetes. Type of diabetes, age, mortality, and hospitalizations were retrospectively analyzed in vaccinated and unvaccinated patients. Among patients with diabetes (T1D and T2D), 44.6% received the influenza vaccine, 10.9% the pneumococcal vaccine, 2.5% the anti-meningococcus vaccine and 0.7% the anti-zoster vaccine. Patients with diabetes immunized for influenza, zoster and meningococcus showed a 2-fold overall reduction in mortality risk and a decrease in hospitalizations. A 3-fold lower risk of mortality and a decrease in hospitalizations for both cardiac and pulmonary causes were also observed after influenza, zoster, and meningococcus immunization in older patients with diabetes. Immunization coverage is still far from the recommended targets in patients with diabetes. Despite this, influenza vaccination protected nearly 3,800 per 100,000 patients with diabetes from risk of death. The overall impressive decrease in mortality and hospitalizations observed in vaccinated patients strengthens the need for scaling up the "vaccinome" landscape in patients with diabetes.

Chronic kidney disease in type 2 diabetes: The size of the problem, addressing residual renal risk and what we have learned from the CREDENCE trial.

Chronic kidney disease (CKD) associated with type 2 diabetes (T2DM) is a global challenge; progression to end-stage kidney disease (ESKD) and increased risk of cardiovascular disease (CVD) associated with advancing nephropathy are a significant source of morbidity, mortality, and healthcare expenditure. Until recently, renin-angiotensin system (RAS) blockade was the mainstay of pharmacotherapy in diabetic kidney disease (DKD), representing a therapeutic paradigm shift towards interventions that delay disease progression independently of antihypertensive effects. However, a significant residual risk of DKD progression persisted in patients established on RAS blockade, highlighting the need for additional treatment options. Sodium-glucose cotransporter-2 (SGLT2) inhibitors, originally licensed as glucose-lowering agents in people with T2DM, serendipitously demonstrated beneficial renal and cardiovascular outcomes in clinical trials designed primarily to evaluate their cardiovascular safety. The Canagliflozin and Renal Events in Diabetes with Established Nephropathy Clinical Evaluation (CREDENCE) trial was the first to study the effect of SGLT2 inhibition on a primary composite renal endpoint of ESKD, doubling of serum creatinine, or renal or cardiovascular death in 4401 people with T2DM and CKD established on RAS blockade. The trial was stopped early due to efficacy, demonstrating a 30% relative risk reduction in the primary endpoint in the canagliflozin group (hazard ratio 0.70, 95% confidence interval 0.59-0.82; p = 0.00001). Through discussion of the primary analysis from CREDENCE, and selected post hoc analyses, we review the significant benefits highlighted by this landmark study, its role in shaping clinical guidelines, and in re-establishing interest in interventions that reduce the residual risk of progression of DKD, alongside its interrelation with cardiovascular morbidity and heart failure. We also provide a brief narrative summary of key renal outcome trials since CREDENCE, which indicate emerging avenues for pharmacotherapy beyond SGLT2 inhibition.

Examining potential health gains arising from reduced risk consumption in South Africa via the PRIME model

ObjectivesNon-communicable diseases (NCDs) account for over 30% of disability-adjusted life years in South Africa. In this research, we offer an estimate of the potential reduction in NCD incidence that would arise from an improvement in diet, combined with a reduction in both tobacco and alcohol consumption.MethodsWe apply the PRIME model, which simulates the effect of risk reduction on NCD incidence. The model inputs baseline data related to the population, risky consumption behaviour and NCD incidence. The model allows for counterfactual scenarios altering the risky consumption behaviour to yield revised NCD incidence.ResultsWe find that reducing salt, tobacco and alcohol, along with improved fruit, vegetable and fiber consumption would yield a 10% reduction in NCDs from the 2018 baseline. NCD incidence reductions arise primarily from ischemic heart disease (49%), cerebrovascular diseases (33%) and bronchus and lung disease (11%).ConclusionSouth Africa’s NCD incidence is high because of relatively poor behavioural choices, despite plans and policies aimed at changing this. South Africa should increase their efforts to reach NCD goals. If the government is able to reduce harmful behaviour, with respect to a number of the underlying consumption choices, NCD incidence is expected to fall precipitously.

Fire Risk Reduction and Recover Energy Potential: A Disruptive Theoretical Optimization Model to the Residual Biomass Supply Chain

Fire Risk Reduction and Recover Energy Potential: A Disruptive Theoretical Optimization Model to the Residual Biomass Supply Chain

Vitamin B12 Deficiency Newborn Screening.

Vitamin B12 deficiency (VitB12D) might cause neuro-developmental impairment in the first year of life. Newborn screening (NBS) for VitB12D was shown to be technically feasible and early treated infants developed favorably. This study aims to evaluate the impact of NBS in prevention of symptomatic infantile VitB12D. In a nationwide surveillance study in cooperation with the German Pediatric Surveillance Unit, incident cases with VitB12D (<12 months of age) were prospectively collected from 2021 to 2022. In total, 61 cases of VitB12D reported to German Pediatric Surveillance Unit were analyzed, either identified by NBS (N = 31) or diagnosed after the onset of suggestive symptoms (non-NBS; N = 30). Ninety percent of the infants identified by NBS were still asymptomatic, whereas the non-NBS cohort presented at median 4 month of age with muscular hypotonia (68%), anemia (58%), developmental delay (44%), microcephalia (30%), and seizures (12%). Noteworthy, symptomatically diagnosed VitB12D in the first year of life was reported 4 times more frequently in infants who did not receive NBS for neonatal VitB12D (14 in 584 800) compared with those screened for VitB12D as newborns (4 in 688 200; Fisher's Exact Test, odds ratio 4.12 [95% confidence interval: 1.29-17.18], P = .008). The estimated overall cumulative incidence was 1:9600 newborns per year for neonatal VitB12D and 1:17 500 for symptomatic infantile VitB12D. NBS for neonatal VitB12D may lead to a fourfold risk reduction of developing symptomatic VitB12D in the first year of life compared with infants without NBS.

A Randomized, Placebo-Controlled Trial to Evaluate the Safety and Efficacy of VIR-2482 in Healthy Adults for Prevention of Influenza A Illness (PENINSULA).

Influenza A results in significant morbidity and mortality. VIR-2482, an engineered human monoclonal antibody with extended half-life, targets a highly conserved epitope on the stem region of influenza A hemagglutinin, and may protect against seasonal and pandemic influenza. This double-blind, randomized, placebo-controlled, phase 2 study examined the safety and efficacy of VIR-2482 for seasonal influenza A illness prevention in unvaccinated healthy adults. Participants (N = 2977) were randomized 1:1:1 to receive VIR-2482 450 mg, VIR-2482 1200 mg, or placebo via intramuscular (IM) injection. Primary and secondary efficacy endpoints were the proportions of participants with reverse transcriptase-polymerase chain reaction (RT-PCR)-confirmed influenza A infection and either protocol-defined influenza-like illness (ILI) and Centers for Disease Control and Prevention (CDC)-defined ILI or World Health Organization (WHO)-defined ILI, respectively. VIR-2482 450 mg and 1200 mg prophylaxis did not reduce the risk of protocol-defined ILI with RT-PCR-confirmed influenza A versus placebo (relative risk reduction [RRR], 3.8% [95% CI: -67.3, 44.6] and 15.9% [95% CI: -49.3, 52.3], respectively). At the 1200 mg dose, the RRRs in influenza A illness were 57.2% [95% CI: -2.5, 82.2] using CDC-ILI and 44.1% [95% CI: -50.5, 79.3] using WHO-ILI definitions, respectively. Serum VIR-2482 levels were similar regardless of influenza status; variants with reduced VIR-2482 susceptibility were not detected. Local injection-site reactions were mild and similar across groups. VIR-2482 1200 mg IM was well tolerated but did not significantly prevent protocol-defined ILI. Secondary endpoint analyses suggest this dose may have reduced influenza A illness.

Analysis of earthquake-prone areas based on the seismic wave velocity, young's modulus, shear modulus, and Poisson’s ratio for disaster risk reduction in Bengkulu city, Indonesia

Analysis of earthquake-prone areas based on the seismic wave velocity, young's modulus, shear modulus, and Poisson’s ratio for disaster risk reduction in Bengkulu city, Indonesia

Pre-Injury Statin Exposure is Associated With Improved Outcomes in Injured Patients That Receive Whole Blood.

Introduction: Whole blood (WB) is associated with improved mortality while lowering blood product utilization. Furthermore, statin medications are associated with favorable outcomes in traumatic brain injury and risk reduction of venous thromboembolism. However, the use of statin medications has not been evaluated in those receiving WB. The objective of this study is to determine the effects of pre-injury statin exposure on patients receiving WB.Methods: Patients that underwent WB first resuscitation and received pre-injury statins were compared to those that did not receive pre-injury statins. Demographics as well as complication rates, blood product transfusion volumes, and mortality were evaluated. Univariate and multivariable analyses were used to determine independent predictors of mortality.Results: In the study period, 785 patients received WB as part of their resuscitation. One hundred and thirty five patients (17.3%) took statin medications prior to injury. Patients that were exposed to a pre-injury statin had a lower mortality rate than those that were not exposed (21.5% vs 32.5%, P = .01). After adjusting for imbalances, age, ISS, Glasgow Coma Scale, admission systolic blood pressures, and pre-injury statin use were independent predictors of mortality following multiple logistic regression. When evaluating outcomes based on statin intensity, the use of high-intensity statins was associated with lower mortality (OR: .37, 95% CI: .13-.93), whereas moderate and low-intensity statins were not.Conclusion: In patients resuscitated with WB, pre-injury statins use was associated with improved outcomes. Specifically, patients that received high-intensity pre-injury statins appeared to be the population that benefited.

Much lower prevalence and mortality of chronic obstructive pulmonary disease in Japan than in the US despite higher smoking rates: A meta analysis/systematic review.

A recent systematic review showed Japan's mortality from chronic obstructive pulmonary disease (COPD) is the lowest among 204 countries, despite notably higher smoking rates in men in Japan than in the US. This study aims to compare (1) trends in smoking rates, (2) trends in COPD mortality, and (3) the spirometry-based COPD prevalence in the general adult population between Japan and the US. Age- and sex-specific smoking rates from the 1980s through 2010s and COPD mortality from 1999 through 2019 were obtained from national surveys and official statistics (International Classification of Diseases-10th codes J40-44), respectively. A systematic review and meta-analysis was performed to estimate COPD prevalence in Japan, while the National Health and Nutrition Examination Survey 2007-2012 was used for the US. A fixed ratio of 0.7 of forced expiratory volume in the first second of forced vital capacity was used to define COPD. Over the past four decades, men in Japan consistently had 20-30% higher smoking rates than their US counterparts. From 1999-2019, age-adjusted COPD mortality in men in Japan was only a third of the US, whereas that in women was less than a tenth in 2019. Synthesizing data from 11 studies, involving 89,955 participants, Japan's COPD prevalence was more than 10% lower than in the US in almost all age groups for both sexes. This study showed markedly lower rates of COPD in Japan than in the US. Investigating factors contributing to the paradoxical observations could lead to advancing COPD risk reduction strategies.

Brief sigmoidoscopy provides 21-year colorectal cancer risk reduction in men

Brief sigmoidoscopy provides 21-year colorectal cancer risk reduction in men

Clinical effectiveness and safety of time-lapse imaging systems for embryo incubation and selection in in-vitro fertilisation treatment (TILT): a multicentre, three-parallel-group, double-blind, randomised controlled trial

Time-lapse imaging systems for embryo incubation and selection might improve outcomes of in-vitro fertilisation (IVF) and intracytoplasmic sperm injection (ICSI) treatment due to undisturbed embryo culture conditions, improved embryo selection, or both. However, the benefit remains uncertain. We aimed to evaluate the effectiveness of time-lapse imaging systems providing undisturbed culture and embryo selection, and time-lapse imaging systems providing only undisturbed culture, and compared each with standard care without time-lapse imaging. We conducted a multicentre, three-parallel-group, double-blind, randomised controlled trial in participants undergoing IVF or ICSI at seven IVF centres in the UK and Hong Kong. Embryologists randomly assigned participants using a web-based system, stratified by clinic in a 1:1:1 ratio to the time-lapse imaging system for undisturbed culture and embryo selection (time-lapse imaging group), time-lapse imaging system for undisturbed culture alone (undisturbed culture group), and standard care without time-lapse imaging (control group). Women were required to be aged 18-42 years and men (ie, their partners) 18 years or older. Couples had to be receiving their first, second, or third IVF or ICSI treatment and could not participate if using donor gametes. Participants and trial staff were masked to group assignment, embryologists were not. The primary outcome was live birth. We performed analyses using the intention-to-treat principle and reported the main analysis in participants with primary outcome data available (full analysis set). The trial is registered on the International Trials Registry (ISRCTN17792989) and is now closed. 1575 participants were randomly assigned to treatment groups (525 participants per group) between June 21, 2018, and Sept 30, 2022. The live birth rates were 33·7% (175/520) in the time-lapse imaging group, 36·6% (189/516) in the undisturbed culture group, and 33·0% (172/522) in the standard care group. The adjusted odds ratio was 1·04 (97·5% CI 0·73 to 1·47) for time-lapse imaging arm versus control and 1·20 (0·85 to 1·70) for undisturbed culture versus control. The risk reduction for the absolute difference was 0·7 percentage points (97·5% CI -5·85 to 7·25) between the time-lapse imaging and standard care groups and 3·6 percentage points (-3·02 to 10·22) between the undisturbed culture and standard care groups. 79 serious adverse events unrelated to the trial were reported (n=28 in time-lapse imaging, n=27 in undisturbed culture, and n=24 in standard care). In women undergoing IVF or ICSI treatment, the use of time-lapse imaging systems for embryo culture and selection does not significantly increase the odds of live birth compared with standard care without time-lapse imaging. Barts Charity, Pharmasure Pharmaceuticals, Hong Kong OG Trust Fund, Hong Kong Health and Medical Research Fund, Hong Kong Matching Fund.

Effect of anti-diabetic agent on interstitial lung disease in patients with diabetes mellitus.

The objective was to assess the protective role of anti-diabetic agent (ADA) in predicting interstitial lung disease (ILD) among patients with diabetes mellitus (DM). We formed a cohort of DM patients between 2009 and 2016 using data from Taiwan. Univariable and multivariable Cox proportion hazards regression models were used to examine the effect of risk factor on the risk of developing ILD, presented as a hazard ratio (HR) with a 95% confidence interval (CI). Cox proportional hazard regression analysis for the risk of DM-associated ILD with joint effect of dipeptidyl peptidase-4 inhibitor (DPP4I), glucagon-like peptide-1 receptor agonist (GLP-1 RA), and sodium-glucose cotransporter 2 inhibitors (SGLT2I) showed that SGLT2I, GLP-1 RA, and DPP-4I had a decreased risk of ILD with adjusted HR of 0.14 (0.11, 0.18), 0.29 (0.24, 0.35), and 0.64 (0.62, 0.67), respectively. DPP4I, GLP-1 RA, and SGLT2I could be considered to be introduced to this DM population for ILD risk reduction in DM, especially with SGLT2I usage.

Physics-based flood vulnerability assessment for steel portal framed industrial buildings

Steel portal framed industrial buildings have been widely used as warehouses, supermarkets, manufacturing workshops and storage facilities around the world. As such, these buildings make up a significant portion of the building stock. Despite this, there remains a lack of the physics-based flood vulnerability models necessary for undertaking detailed community flood risk management activities (e.g., quantitative risk assessment, cost-benefit analysis of risk reduction and resilience enhancement measures at the building level). To this end, this study developed a physics-based vulnerability assessment method for steel portal framed industrial buildings subjected to hydrostatic and hydrodynamic flood actions. Physical damage induced by flood forces to the building envelope (wall siding and fenestration) and the structural framing (steel portal frames and end wall frames) was considered. Monte Carlo simulations incorporate various flood load cases, probability models of demands and capacities as well as major failure mechanisms of different structural and non-structural components to conduct the damage assessment. The flood vulnerabilities for a prototype industrial building link the physical damage of individual building subassemblies to monetary loss ratios considering various inundation depths, flow velocities and flow directions.

Prophylactic embolization versus observation for high-grade blunt trauma splenic injury: a systematic review with meta-analysis.

The objective of this systematic review was to compare the effectiveness of prophylactic angioembolization with observation as primary management strategies for patients with high-grade (grades 3-5) blunt trauma splenic injury. The spleen is frequently injured in abdominal trauma. Historical management practices involved splenectomy, but more recent evidence suggests an increased risk of severe infections and sepsis associated with this approach. Accordingly, non-operative management strategies, including prophylactic splenic artery embolization and clinical observation, have gained prominence. This systematic review with meta-analysis directly compares angioembolization with clinical observation for high-grade splenic injuries only, aiming to provide clarity on this matter amid ongoing debates and variations in clinical practice. This review included adult patients aged 15 years or older with high-grade splenic injuries (grade 3-5) due to blunt trauma. Outcomes of interest include the need for further intervention (failure of management), mortality, complications, red blood cell transfusion requirements, hospital length of stay, and intensive care unit length of stay. A comprehensive search of PubMed, Embase, and CINAHL (EBSCOhost), was performed with no restrictions on language or publication date. Gray literature was searched, including trial registries and relevant conference proceedings. After deduplication, 2 reviewers independently assessed titles and abstracts, and, subsequently, full-text articles for eligibility. Methodological quality of the included studies was assessed using standardized instruments from JBI. Data was extracted using predefined templates, and statistical meta-analysis was performed, where possible, using a random effects model. Heterogeneity was assessed using statistical methods, and potential publication bias was tested with a funnel plot. The Grading of Recommendations, Assessment, Development, and Evaluation (GRADE) approach was used to evaluate the certainty of evidence. Sixteen studies were included in this review. Methodological quality assessment indicated some risk of bias in most studies, with concerns primarily related to differences in injury severity and potential confounding factors. Meta-analysis revealed that prophylactic angioembolization significantly reduced risk of management failure by 57% (OR 0.43, 95% CI 0.28-0.68, I2=53%, 15 studies) and decreased patient mortality by 37% (OR 0.63, 95% CI 0.43-0.93, I2=0%, 9 studies) compared with clinical observation alone. There was a 47% reduction in risk of complications associated with prophylactic embolization compared with clinical observation (OR 0.53, 95% CI 0.29-0.95, I2=0%, 4 studies). Some statistical heterogeneity was observed, with I2 ranging from 0% to 53%. No significant differences were observed between the 2 management strategies for red blood cell transfusion requirements and hospital length of stay. The results of this study support the use of prophylactic embolization for high-grade blunt trauma splenic injuries, indicated by lower failure of management rates, reduced need for additional interventions, lower mortality, and fewer complications. PROSPERO CRD42023420220.