Risk Of Prolonged Length Of Stay Research Articles

Chronic Kidney Disease in Patients with Hip Fracture: Prevalence and Outcomes

Objective. Although the association between chronic kidney disease (CKD) and osteoporotic fractures is well established, data on CKD combined with hip fracture (HF) are scarce and controversial. We aimed to assess in patients with HF the prevalence of CKD, its impact on hospital mortality and length of stay (LOS) and to determine the prognostic value of CKD to predict hospital outcomes. Methods. Prospectively collected clinical data were analysed in 3623 consecutive HF patients aged ≥65 years (mean age 83.4 ± 7.50 [standard deviation] years; 74.4% females). Results. CKD among older patients with HF is highly prevalent (39.9%), has different clinical characteristics, a 2.5-fold higher mortality rate, and 40% greater risk of prolonged LOS. The strongest risk for a poor outcome was advanced age (>80 years). The risk of death substantially increases in combination with chronic disorders, especially coronary artery disease, anaemia, hyperparathyroidism, and atrial fibrillation; models based only on three variables—CKD stage, age >80, and presence of a specific chronic condition—predicted in-hospital death with good discrimination capability (AUC ≥ 0.700) and reasonable accuracy, the number needed to predict ranged between 5.7 and 14.5. Only 12% of HF patients received osteoporotic drugs prefracture. Conclusion. In HF patients with CKD, the risk of adverse outcomes largely increases in parallel with worsening kidney function and, especially, in combination with comorbidities; models based on three admission variables predict a fatal outcome. Assessment of renal function is essential to preventing osteoporotic fractures.

Identifying nutrition risk in emergency patients: What is the most appropriate screening tool?

The emergency department (ED) is the most frequent access route to the hospital. Nutrition risk (NR) screening allows the early identification of patients at risk of malnutrition. This study aimed to evaluate the feasibility and predictive validity of five different tools in EDs: Nutritional Risk Screening 2002 (NRS-2002), Nutritional Risk Emergency 2017 (NRE-2017), Royal Free Hospital-Nutritional Prioritizing Tool (RFH-NPT), Malnutrition Universal Screening (MUST), and Malnutrition Screening Tool (MST). Patients with scores ≥3 according to the NRS-2002, ≥1.5 according to the NRE-2017, and ≥2 according to the MUST, RFH-NPT, or MST were classified with NR. Prolonged length of stay (LOS) and 1-year mortality were evaluated. 431 patients were evaluated (57.31 ± 15.6 years of age; 54.4% women) in a public hospital in southern Brazil. The prevalence of NR was: 35% according to the NRS-2002, 43% according to the MST, 45% according to the NRE-2017 and MUST, and 49% according to the RFH-NPT. Patients with NR, had a greater risk of prolonged LOS (P < 0.001). The presence of NR was associated with an increased risk of 1-year mortality according to the NRS-2002 (hazard ratio [HR]: 4.04; 95% CI, 2.513-6.503), MST (HR: 2.60; 95% CI, 1.701-3.996), NRE-2017 (HR: 4.82; 95% CI, 2.753-8.443), MUST (HR: 4.00; 95% CI, 2.385-6.710), and RFH-NPT (HR: 5.43; 95% CI, 2.984-9.907). NRE-2017 does not require objective data and presented predictive validity for all outcomes assessed, regardless of the severity of the disease, and thus appears to be the most appropriate tool for carrying out NR screening in the ED.

Disparities in the Outcomes of Acute Pulmonary Embolism in Hospitalized Patients with Hematologic Malignancy and Solid Tumor.

This study aimed to compare the clinical burden and healthcare utilization outcomes of hematologic versus solid malignancies in patients hospitalized with acute pulmonary embolism (PE). This population-based, retrospective study extracted and analyzed the discharge data from the 2016-2018 US National Inpatient Sample (NIS) of hospitalized patients with a primary diagnosis of acute PE and a subsequent diagnosis of hematologic malignancies or solid tumors. Prolonged length-of-stay (LOS) was defined as ≥75th percentile LOS of the study cohort. Unfavorable discharge was defined as discharged to nursing home or long-term facility. Univariate and multivariate regression analyses were conducted to determine associations between cancer type, presence of unstable PE, and in-hospital outcomes in acute PE patients. Patients with acute PE with solid tumors had higher rates of in-hospital deaths and unfavorable discharge than those with hematologic malignancies (6.4% versus 3.2%, P < 0.001; 14.0% versus 11.2%, P = 0.01, respectively). Acute PE patients with hematologic malignancies had a lower risk of in-hospital death (aOR: 0.43, 95% CI: 0.31-0.60), unfavorable discharge (aOR: 0.76, 95% CI: 0.63-0.92), and prolonged LOS (aOR: 0.83, 95% CI: 0.71-0.98) than those with solid tumors. Stratified analysis showed that male patients aged <60 years with hematologic malignancies had a lower risk of prolonged LOS (aOR: 0.70, 95% CI: 0.52-0.94; aOR: 0.85, 95% CI: 0.68-1.05) and unfavorable discharge (aOR: 0.40, 95% CI: 0.22-0.71; aOR: 0.65, 95% CI: 0.50-0.85) than those with solid tumors. In the comparison of the outcomes of acute PE with hematologic malignancies and solid tumors, patients with hematologic malignancy had a lower risk of in-hospital deaths, prolonged LOS, and unfavorable discharge than those with solid tumors.

Outcomes of robot-assisted versus laparoscopic surgery for colorectal cancer in morbidly obese patients: A propensity score-matched analysis of the US Nationwide Inpatient Sample.

Morbid obesity is associated with poorer postoperative outcomes in colorectal cancer (CRC) patients. We aimed to evaluate short-term outcomes after robotic versus conventional laparoscopic CRC resection in morbidly obese patients. This population-based, retrospective study extracted data from the US Nationwide Inpatient Sample during 2005-2018. Adults≥20years old, with morbid obesity and CRC, and undergoing robotic or laparoscopic resections were identified. Propensity score matching (PSM) was applied to minimize the confounding. Univariate and multivariable regression was conducted to evaluate the associations between outcomes and study variables. After PSM, 1296 patients remained. The risks of any postoperative complication (adjusted odds ratio [aOR]=0.99, 95% confidence interval [CI]: 0.80, 1.22), prolonged length of stay (LOS) (aOR=0.80, 95% CI: 0.63, 1.01), death (aOR=0.57, 95% CI: 0.11, 3.10), or pneumonia (aOR=1.13, 95% CI: 0.73, 1.77) were not significantly different between the two procedures after adjustment. Robotic surgery was significantly associated with greater hospital cost (aBeta=26.26, 95% CI: 16.08, 36.45) than laparoscopic surgery. Stratified analyses revealed that, in patients with tumor located at the colon, robotic surgery was associated with lower risk of prolonged LOS (aOR=0.72, 95% CI: 0.54, 0.95). In patients with morbid obesity, risks of postoperative complication, death, or pneumonia are not significantly different between robotic and laparoscopic CRC resection. Among patients with tumor located at the colon, robotic surgery is associated with lower risk of prolonged LOS. These findings fill the knowledge gap and provide useful information for clinicians on risk stratification and treatment choice.

Identification of preoperative risk factors associated with prolonged length of stay after lobectomy

ObjectiveTo examine the association between length of stay (LOS) after lobectomy and operative adverse events and define the best predictors and risk factors associated with prolonged LOS after lobectomy. MethodsData from patients undergoing thoracoscopic lobectomy in the Thoracic Surgery Department of our center between January 2015 and December 2021 were retrospectively analyzed. The association between operative adverse events and LOS after lobectomy was explored using receiver operating characteristic (ROC) curves, and multivariate logistic regression analyses were used to identify preoperative risk factors associated with prolonged LOS after lobectomy. ResultsProlonged LOS after lobectomy was defined as a LOS after lobectomy that is > 3.5 days based on an optimal diagnostic value for operative adverse events (AUC = 0.882). Of the included patients, 20.9% (91/435) exceeded this threshold, of whom 52.7% (48/91) exhibited operative adverse events. The preoperative risk factors associated with prolonged LOS after lobectomy were age≥60 years old (OR = 9.632, 95%CI 1.126–75.66, p = 0.03), being a current smoker (OR = 2.702, 95%CI 1.547–4.72, P < 0.001), an American Society of Anesthesiology (ASA) classification of 2 or higher (OR = 1.845, 95%CI 1.06–3.211, P = 0.03), ASA = 3 (OR = 9.133, 95%CI 3.281–25.425, P < 0.001), and Stage IIIA disease (OR = 6.565, 95%CI 2.823–15.271, P < 0.001). Prolonged LOS after lobectomy was significantly associated with the incidence of different operative adverse events, including conversion to thoracotomy, an operative duration of ≥300 min, blood transfusion events, chest tube drainage time, postoperative complications, and postoperative interventions (P < 0.001). ConclusionThe risk of prolonged LOS after lobectomy is higher in patients that are ≥60 years old, current smokers, exhibit an ASA classification of 2 or higher, and have a stage IIIA disease. Early identification of these risk factors can enhance the treatment offered to high-risk patients, thereby reducing the rates of operative adverse events and optimizing resource utilization.

Association of Polypharmacy and Anticholinergic Burden with Length of Stay in Hospital Amongst Older Adults Admitted with Hip Fractures: A Retrospective Observational Study.

Age-associated multimorbidity and polypharmacy, predispose individuals to falls and consequent hip fractures. We examined the impact of polypharmacy (≥ 4 drugs daily), including anticholinergic agents, on hospital length of stay (LOS), mobility within 1-day of hip surgery and pressure ulcers in adults ≥ 60years admitted with hip fractures. In this retrospective observational study, information on medications at admission was obtained to calculate the total number of drugs taken, including those imposing an anticholinergic burden (ACB). Associations between variables were examined by logistic regression; adjusted for age, sex, co-morbidities, pre-fracture functional limitations and alcohol consumption. There were 787 women and 318 men of similar mean age (± SD): 83.1years (± 8.6) and 82.5years (± 9.0), respectively. Compared to patients with an ACB score = 0 and taking < 4 drugs daily, those with an ACB score ≥ 1 and taking ≥ 4 drugs daily had greater risk of prolonged LOS (≥ 2weeks), OR 1.8 (1.2-2.7); failure to mobilise within 1-day of surgery, OR 1.9 (1.1-3.3); and pressure ulcers, OR 3.0 (95% CI 1.2-7.9). LOS was further prolonged by failure to mobilise within 1-day of surgery and/or pressure ulcers. Those with either an ACB score ≥ 1 or the use of ≥ 4 drugs daily had intermediate risks. Anticholinergic agents and polypharmacy in patients with hip fractures are associated with longer LOS in hospital, further accentuated by failure to mobilise within 1-day after surgery and pressure ulcers. This study provides further evidence of the impact of polypharmacy, including those with an ACB, on adverse health outcomes and lends support to reduce potentially inappropriate prescribing.

Identifying Risk Factors for Prolonged Length of Stay in Hospital and Developing Prediction Models for Patients with Cardiac Arrest Receiving Targeted Temperature Management

Background: Prolonged length of stay (LOS) following targeted temperature management (TTM) administered after cardiac arrest may affect healthcare plans and expenditures. This study identified risk factors for prolonged LOS in patients with cardiac arrest receiving TTM and explored the association between LOS and neurological outcomes after TTM. Methods: The retrospective cohort consisted of 571 non-traumatic cardiac arrest patients aged 18 years or older, treated with cardiopulmonary resuscitation (CPR), had a Glasgow Coma Scale score &lt;8, or were unable to comply with commands after the restoration of spontaneous circulation (ROSC), and received TTM less than 12 hours after ROSC. Prolonged LOS was defined as LOS beyond the 75th quartile of the entire cohort. We analyzed and compared relevant variables and neurological outcomes between the patients with and without prolonged LOS and established prediction models for estimating the risk of prolonged LOS. Results: The patients with in-hospital cardiac arrest had a longer LOS than those with out-of-hospital cardiac arrest (p = 0.0001). Duration of CPR (p = 0.02), underlying heart failure (p = 0.001), chronic obstructive pulmonary disease (p = 0.008), chronic kidney disease (p = 0.026), and post-TTM seizures (p = 0.003) were risk factors for prolonged LOS. LOS was associated with survival to hospital discharge, and patients with the lowest and highest Cerebral Performance Category scores at discharge had a shorter LOS. A logistic regression model based on parameters at discharge achieved an area under the curve of 0.840 to 0.896 for prolonged LOS prediction, indicating the favorable performance of this model in predicting LOS in patients receiving TTM. Conclusions: Our study identified clinically relevant risk factors for prolonged LOS following TTM and developed a prediction model that exhibited adequate predictive performance. The findings of this study broaden our understanding regarding factors associated with hospital stay and can be beneficial while making clinical decisions for patients with cardiac arrest who receive TTM.

Race, Social Determinants of Health, and Length of Stay Among Hospitalized Patients With Heart Failure: An Analysis From the Get With The Guidelines-Heart Failure Registry.

Racial disparities in heart failure hospitalization and mortality are well established; however, the association between different social determinants of health (SDOH) and length of stay (LOS) and the extent to which this association may differ across racial groups is not well established. We utilized data from the Get With The Guidelines-Heart Failure registry to evaluate the association between SDOH, as determined by patients' residential ZIP Code and LOS among patients hospitalized with heart failure. We also assessed the race-specific contribution of the ZIP Code-level SDOH to LOS in patients of Black and non-Black races. Finally, we evaluated SDOH predictors of racial differences in LOS at the hospital level. Among 301 500 patients (20.2% Black race), the median LOS was 4 days. In adjusted analysis accounting for patient-level and hospital-level factors, SDOH parameters of education, income, housing instability, and foreign-born were significantly associated with LOS after adjusting for clinical status and hospital-level factors. SDOH parameters accounted for 25.8% of the total attributable risk for prolonged LOS among Black patients compared with 10.1% in patients of non-Black race. Finally, hospitals with disproportionately longer LOS for Black versus non-Black patients were more likely to care for disadvantaged patients living in ZIP Codes with a higher percentage of foreign-born and non-English speaking areas. ZIP Code-level SDOH markers can identify patients at risk for prolonged LOS, and the effects of SDOH parameters are significantly greater among Black adults with heart failure as compared with non-Black adults.

Does size matter? Comparing robotic versus open radical nephrectomy for very large renal masses.

We evaluated perioperative and mortality outcomes of robotic-assisted radical nephrectomy (RRN) vs. open radical nephrectomy (ORN) for very large renal cell carcinomas (RCC). Adult patients with non-metastatic RCC >10 cm in size (pT2b) were identified from the National Cancer Database (2010-2017). Mixed-effects multivariable logistic regression adjusting for patient, tumor, and facility characteristics were used to evaluate rates of positive margin, prolonged length of stay (LOS) (>75th percentile), 30-day readmission, and 30-day and 90-day mortality for RRN vs. ORN. Overall survival (OS) was evaluated using the Kaplan-Meier method and adjusted Cox proportional hazard modeling. Of the 2,977 patients who underwent radical nephrectomy, 492 (16.5%) underwent RRN. Factors associated with RRN included male gender, metro or urban locations, academic facilities, Charlson-Deyo score >2, private or Medicaid insurance, and surgery in a later year (all P < 0.05). Tumors ≥15.1cm in size were associated with a higher rate of conversion to open surgery (P < 0.001). ORN was associated with increased median postoperative LOS (4d [interquartile range; IQR 3-6] vs. 3d, [IQR 2-4]; P < 0.01). RRN demonstrated no significant difference in the risk of positive margin, 30-day readmission, 30-day mortality, or 90-day mortality. RRN was associated with a decreased risk of prolonged LOS (OR 0.38; 95%CI [0.28-0.53]). There was no difference in long-term OS observed in patients treated with ORN vs. RRN. Very large, non-metastatic RCC can be safely and effectively treated with RRN. Rates of conversion to open were higher for tumors ≥15.1 cm. RRN has comparable long-term OS and improved LOS compared to ORN.

Risk factors predicting hospital length of stay in older patients with type 2 diabetes with Covid-19.

BackgroundPatients with Covid-19 disease could present with flu-like symptoms. However, nearly half of the subjects with positive test results for Covid-19 remain asymptomatic. Data on factors related to the duration of hospital stay in Covid-19 patients with diabetes mellitus remain limited.ObjectiveWe aimed to identify risk factors predicting prolonged hospital length of stay (LOS) among diabetic patients hospitalized with Covid-19.MethodsThis cohort study involved patients with type 2 diabetes (T2D) admitted to a tertiary hospital with mild or moderate Covid-19 between August 1 and November 31, 2020. Data on demographics, laboratory parameters, and clinical treatments were extracted from the medical records. Prolonged LOS was defined as equal to or greater than the median hospitable stay time. We used univariate and multivariate logistic regression analyses to explore risk factors associated with LOS.ResultsWe included 87 hospitalized T2D patients with mild or moderate Covid-19. The mean age was 69.5 ± 6.9 years, and 59.8% were female. In the unadjusted analysis, factors influencing the length of hospitalization were as follows: undertreatment of diabetes, high procalcitonin level, glycated hemoglobin, and low lymphocyte count. After adjustment for all covariates, subjects with a low lymphocyte had a 3.9 fold increased risk of prolonged LOS (OR:3.925 CI:1.044–14.755 p = 0.043).ConclusionsA lower lymphocyte count on admission was associated with prolonged hospital LOS in older T2D patients with Covid-19, suggesting this marker could help clinicians predict complications for an adverse outcome.

Laboratory parameters associated with prolonged hospital length of stay in COVID-19 patients in Johannesburg, South Africa

Background. Coronavirus disease (COVID-19) has imposed unprecedented stressors on South Africa (SA)’s healthcare system. Superimposed on the country’s quadruple burden of disease, pandemic-related care further exposes existing inequities. Some of these inequities are specific to hospital-based inpatient services, such as the geographical maldistribution of hospital beds, lack of oxygen supplies and assisted ventilation, and scarcity of trained healthcare workers. Certain high-risk groups, such as individuals with cardiometabolic comorbidity, are likely to develop severe COVID-19 disease requiring hospitalisation with potential for a prolonged length of stay (LoS). It may be helpful for health authorities to identify those at risk for prolonged LoS to facilitate appropriate health systems planning. Objectives. To identify hospital admission laboratory parameters associated with a hospital stay &gt;14 days in patients with COVID-19 pneumonia. Methods. A retrospective observational study design was used. Laboratory data were obtained from an SA private laboratory for 642 inpatients with suspected or confirmed COVID-19 pneumonia, comprising 7 months of admission laboratory data from six private hospitals in Johannesburg, Gauteng Province. Results. Of 642 hospital admissions for pneumonia, 497 were confirmed to have COVID-19 infection (reverse transcription-polymerase chain reaction test positive). In the COVID-19-positive group, hospital LoS was prolonged in 35.4% of admissions. Univariate analysis demonstrated an association with the following risk factors for prolonged LoS: older age; male sex; high serum creatinine, sodium (Na), chloride, potassium and urea levels and low estimated glomerular filtration rate; raised white blood cell count, lymphopenia, neutrophilia and an elevated neutrophil-to-lymphocyte ratio (NLR); and elevated levels of D-dimers, interleukin-6 (IL-6), and procalcitonin (PCT). The strongest univariate associations (relative risk (RR) ≥2.0) with a hospital stay &gt;14 days were high Na levels, NRL &gt;18, high PCT levels and IL-6 &gt;40 pg/mL. On multivariable analysis, the following factors remained significantly associated with prolonged LoS: older age (RR 1.015 per year of age; 95% confidence interval (CI) 1.005 - 1.024); hypernatraemia (RR 1.80; 95% CI 1.25 - 2.60); hyperkalaemia (RR 1.61; 95% CI 1.18 - 2.20); and neutrophilia (RR 1.47; 95% CI 1.15 - 1.88). Conclusions. COVID-19 pandemic preparedness requires hospital-based inpatient care to be prioritised in resource-limited settings, and availability of beds and prompt admissions are essential to ensure good clinical outcomes. In this study of COVID-19 patients admitted with pneumonia, multivariable analysis showed older age, hypernatraemia, hyperkalaemia and neutrophilia to be associated with LoS &gt;14 days. This may assist with healthcare systems planning.

Artificial intelligence algorithms accurately predict prolonged length of stay following revision total knee arthroplasty.

Although the average length of hospital stay following revision total knee arthroplasty (TKA) has decreased over recent years due to improved perioperative and intraoperative techniques and planning, prolonged length of stay (LOS) continues to be a substantial driver of hospital costs. The purpose of this study was to develop and validate artificial intelligence algorithms for the prediction of prolonged length of stay for patients following revision TKA. A total of 2512 consecutive patients who underwent revision TKA were evaluated. Those patients with a length of stay greater than 75th percentile for all length of stays were defined as patients with prolonged LOS. Three artificial intelligence algorithms were developed to predict prolonged LOS following revision TKA and these models were assessed by discrimination, calibration and decision curve analysis. The strongest predictors for prolonged length of stay following revision TKA were age (> 75years; p < 0.001), Charlson Comorbidity Index (> 6; p < 0.001) and body mass index (> 35kg/m2; p < 0.001). The three artificial intelligence algorithms all achieved excellent performance across discrimination (AUC > 0.84) and decision curve analysis (p < 0.01). The study findings demonstrate excellent performance on discrimination, calibration and decision curve analysis for all three candidate algorithms. This highlights the potential of these artificial intelligence algorithms to assist in the preoperative identification of patients with an increased risk of prolonged LOS following revision TKA, which may aid in strategic discharge planning. IV.

Marijuana Use is Not a Contraindication for Tranexamic Acid Utilization in Lumbar Spine Surgery.

Retrospective cohort study. The purpose of this study was to evaluate safety in lumbar spinal fusion with tranexamic acid (TXA) utilization in patients using marijuana. This was a retrospective cohort study involving a single surgeon's cases of 1 to 4 level lumbar fusion procedures. Two hundred and ninety-four patients were followed for ninety days post-operatively. Consecutive patients were self-reported for daily marijuana use (n = 146) and compared to a similar cohort of patients who denied usage of marijuana (n = 146). Outcomes were collected, which included length of stay (LOS), estimated blood loss (EBL), post-operative myocardial infarction, seizures, deep venous thrombosis, pulmonary embolus, death, readmission, need for further surgery, infection, anaphylaxis, acute renal injury, and need for blood product transfusion. Patients in the marijuana usage cohort had similar age (58.9years ±12.9 vs 58.7years ±14.8, P = .903) and distribution of levels fused (P = .431) compared to the non-usage cohort. Thromboembolic events were rare in both groups (marijuana usage: 1 vs non-usage: 2). Compared to the non-usage cohort, the marijuana usage cohort had a similar average EBL (329.9 ± 298.5mL vs 374.5 ± 363.8mL; P = .254). Multivariate regression modeling demonstrated that neither EBL (OR 1.27, 95% CI 0.64-2.49) nor need for transfusion (OR 1.56, 95% CI 0.43-5.72) varied between cohorts. The non-usage cohort had twice the risk of prolonged LOS compared to the marijuana usage cohort (OR 2.05, 95% CI 1.15-3.63). Marijuana use should not be considered a contraindication for TXA utilization in lumbar spine surgery.

A nomogram to predict the risk of prolonged length of stay following primary total hip arthroplasty with an enhanced recovery after surgery program

BackgroundThe aim of this study was to identify the risk factors associated with prolonged length of stay (LOS) in patients undergoing primary total hip arthroplasty (THA) managed with an enhanced recovery after surgery (ERAS) program and develop a prediction model for improving the perioperative management of THA.MethodsIn this single-center retrospective study, patients who underwent primary THA in accordance with ERAS from May 2018 to December 2019 were enrolled in this study. The primary outcome was prolonged LOS (> 48 h) beyond the first postoperative day. We collected the clinical patient’s clinical characteristics, surgery-related parameters, and laboratory tests. A logistic regression analysis explored the independent risk factors for prolonged LOS. According to published literature and clinical experience, a series of variables were selected to develop a nomogram prediction model to predict the risk of prolonged LOS following primary THA with an ERAS program. Evaluation indicators of the prediction model, including the concordance index (C-index), the receiver operating characteristic (ROC) curve, calibration curve, and decision curve analysis, were reported to assess the performance of the prediction model. The bootstrap method was conducted to validate the performance of the designed nomogram.ResultsA total of 392 patients were included in the study, of whom 189 (48.21%) had prolonged LOS. The logistics regression analysis demonstrated that age, sex, hip deformities, intraoperative blood loss, operation time, postoperative Day 1 (POD) hemoglobin (Hb), POD albumin (ALB), and POD interleukin-6 (IL-6) were independent risk factors for prolonged LOS. The C-index was 0.863 (95% CI 0.808 to 0.918) and 0.845 in the bootstrapping validation, respectively. According to the results of the calibration, ROC curve, and decision curve analyses, we found that the nomogram showed satisfactory performance for prolonged LOS in this study.ConclusionsWe explored the risk factors for prolonged LOS following primary THA with an ERAS program and developed a prediction model. The designed nomogram was expected to be a precise and personalized tool for predicting the risk and prognosis for prolonged LOS following primary THA with an ERAS program.

Sodium Abnormalities Are an Independent Predictor of Complications in Total Joint Arthroplasty: A Cautionary Tale!

Electrolyte levels are commonly obtained as part of the preoperative workup for total joint arthroplasty, but limited information exists on the interplay between electrolyte abnormalities and outcomes. The National Surgical Quality Improvement Program was queried for primary, elective total hip arthroplasty and total knee arthroplasty (THA, TKA) performed between 2011 and 2017. Three patient groups were compared: normal (control), hypernatremia, and hyponatremia. The primary outcomes were length of stay (LOS) and 30-day adverse events: complications, readmissions, reoperations, and mortality. A total of 244,538 TKAs and 145,134 THAs were analyzed. The prevalence of hyponatremia and hypernatremia was 6.9% and 1.0%, respectively. After controlling for any baseline differences, hypernatremia was an independent predictor of ventilation >48hours (THA, odds ratio [OR] 3.53), unplanned intubation (THA, OR 3.14), cardiac arrest (THA, OR 2.42), pneumonia (THA, OR 2.16), Clostridium difficile infection (OR 4.66 and 3.25 for THA and TKA, respectively), LOS >2 days (THA, OR 1.16), and mortality (THA, OR 4.69). Similarly, hyponatremia was an independent predictor of LOS >2 days (TKA, OR 1.21), readmission (TKA, OR 1.40), reoperation (OR 1.32 and 1.47 for THA and TKA, respectively), surgical site infections (OR 1.39 and 1.54 for THA and TKA, respectively), and transfusion (OR 1.13 and 1.20 for THA and TKA, respectively). As the focus of total joint arthroplasty continues to shift toward value-based payment models and outpatient surgery, caution should be exercised in patients with abnormal preoperative sodium levels, particularly hypernatremia, because of significantly increased risk of prolonged LOS and 30-day adverse events.

A Risk Prediction Model for Prolonged Length of Stay in Patients with Acute Exacerbations of Chronic Obstructive Pulmonary Disease: A Retrospective Study of 225 Patients in a Single Center in Kunming, China.

BackgroundWe aimed to develop an effective prediction model of prolonged length of stay (LOS) in patients with acute exacerbations of chronic obstructive pulmonary disease (AECOPD).Material/MethodsWe systematically enrolled 225 patients admitted for AECOPD to our hospital and divided them into a normal LOS group (≤7 days) and prolonged LOS group (>7 days). To analyze differences in laboratory data at different times, 3 logistic regression models were established. To develop the prediction model, all variables with statistical significance were included in the model. The area under the curve (AUC) was used to evaluate discrimination, and the Hosmer-Lemeshow test was used to assess the calibration of the model.ResultsFactors found to be independently associated with the increased risk of prolonged LOS included the use of corticosteroids during hospitalization, elevated HCO3−, decreased pH, and reductions in platelets (PLTs) and procalcitonin (PCT) between the fourth and first day of hospitalization. The risk prediction model including these factors had an AUC of 0.795, suggesting the good discrimination of our model. The Hosmer-Lemeshow test also showed good calibration of the model, which confirmed its good predictive performance.ConclusionsA clinical prediction model was developed with good predictive performance, which could help clinicians identify patients with a higher risk of prolonged LOS, help shorten hospital stay, reduce the disease burden of patients, and improve the outcomes of AECOPD.

Asymptomatic Preoperative Leukocytosis Before Carotid Endarterectomy is Associated With Increased Risk of Stroke: A Study From NSQIP Database

Carotid endarterectomy (CEA) is the gold standard operation for treating carotid artery stenosis in patients with symptomatic carotid stenosis of more than 50% and asymptomatic carotid stenosis of more than 80%. Asymptomatic leukocytosis before CEA represents a clinical dilemma for surgeons about the management options. The objectives of this study are to identify the relationship between asymptomatic preoperative leukocytosis and postoperative complications in patients undergoing CEA and to assess the relationship between asymptomatic preoperative leukocytosis and postoperative complications in the cohort of patients with symptomatic carotid stenosis. The American College of Surgeons National Surgical Quality Improvement Program database for the years 2011-2019 was utilized for this analysis. Patients with preoperative sepsis, septic shock, pneumonia, wound infections, disseminated cancer, renal failure, and history of chronic steroid use were excluded. The remaining patients were sub-grouped based on white blood cell (WBC) count: Normal WBC (<11k/µL) and High WBC (≥11k/µL). Bivariate analysis between the patient characteristics and preoperative WBC levels was performed following simple and multiple regression analysis. A P-value of <0.05 was set as significant. Of the 26,332 patients in the study cohort, 7.4% (n =1,946) had preoperative leukocytosis. Patients with preoperative leukocytosis were relatively younger (mean age: 41.5 +/- 9.7 vs 44.3 +/- 9.1; P< 0.001) and more likely to be females (43% vs. 38.5; P< 0.001) than patients with normal WBC count. Patients with preoperative leukocytosis were also more likely to have DM, COPD, a bleeding disorder, be smokers, and be functionally dependent. The analysis revealed that patients with preoperative leukocytosis had a significantly higher rate of stroke, length of stay (LOS)>1- week, acute occlusion or revision, acute renal failure, and return to OR when compared to patients with normal WBC count. Furthermore, patients with high WBC count also experienced higher occurrences of infectious complications, such as wound dehiscence, wound infections, pneumonia, and sepsis. However, there was no difference in the overall 30-day mortality. Multivariate regression analysis showed patients with preoperative leukocytosis had anincreased risk of stroke (AOR 1.5, CI: 1.1-1.9, P = 0.009), LOS>1 week (AOR 1.3, CI: 1.1-1.5, P = 0.003), and return to OR (AOR 1.3, CI: 1.0-1.8, P = 0.030). The increased LOS was especially more pronounced in symptomatic carotid stenosis patients with preoperative leukocytosis. The occurrence of LOS>1 week was 4.91% in asymptomatic stenosis patients with high WBC count compared to 21.5% in symptomatic stenosis patients with high WBC count (P< 0.001). Patients with asymptomatic preoperative leukocytosis undergoing CEA have a significantly higher risk of stroke and infectious complications in the postoperative period. Furthermore, patients with symptomatic carotid disease are especially at an increased risk of prolonged LOS. A routine preoperative hematological evaluation may be recommended as a risk assessment tool for patients undergoing CEA, and postponing the elective operation in patients with asymptomatic CEA may be advised unless a thorough preoperative infectious workup is completed.

Use of Machine Learning and Statistical Algorithms to Predict Hospital Length of Stay Following Colorectal Cancer Resection: A South African Pilot Study.

The aim of this pilot study was to develop logistic regression (LR) and support vector machine (SVM) models that differentiate low from high risk for prolonged hospital length of stay (LOS) in a South African cohort of 383 colorectal cancer patients who underwent surgical resection with curative intent. Additionally, the impact of 10-fold cross-validation (CV), Monte Carlo CV, and bootstrap internal validation methods on the performance of the two models was evaluated. The median LOS was 9 days, and prolonged LOS was defined as greater than 9 days post-operation. Preoperative factors associated with prolonged LOS were a prior history of hypertension and an Eastern Cooperative Oncology Group score between 2 and 4. Postoperative factors related to prolonged LOS were the need for a stoma as part of the surgical procedure and the development of post-surgical complications. The risk of prolonged LOS was higher in male patients and in any patient with lower preoperative hemoglobin. The highest area under the receiving operating characteristics (AU-ROC) was achieved using LR of 0.823 (CI = 0.798–0.849) and SVM of 0.821 (CI = 0.776–0.825), with each model using the Monte Carlo CV method for internal validation. However, bootstrapping resulted in models with slightly lower variability. We found no significant difference between the models across the three internal validation methods. The LR and SVM algorithms used in this study required incorporating important features for optimal hospital LOS predictions. The factors identified in this study, especially postoperative complications, can be employed as a simple and quick test clinicians may flag a patient at risk of prolonged LOS.

Elevated von Willebrand Factor Antigen Is an Early Predictor of Mortality and Prolonged Length of Stay for Coronavirus Disease 2019 (COVID-19) Inpatients.

Coagulation factor and endothelial injury marker, von Willebrand factor antigen (vWF:Ag), is elevated in coronavirus disease 2019 (COVID-19). To assess the prognostic value of vWF:Ag for COVID-19 inpatients. Citrated plasma samples collected from COVID-19 inpatients for D-dimer measurement were tested for vWF:Ag. Measurements of vWF:Ag and common acute-phase reactants were correlated with clinical outcomes and length of stay (LOS). We included 333 samples from a diverse group of 120 COVID-19 inpatients. There was a clear association of higher peak measurements of vWF:Ag and other acute-phase reactants with adverse clinical outcomes. Peak vWF:Ag >300% was associated with a 5-fold increased risk of death (odds ratio [OR], 5.08; P < .001) and a 30-fold increased risk of prolonged (>4 days) LOS (OR, 29.65; P = .001). Peak D-dimer >3.8 fibrinogen equivalent units (FEUs) mg/L was associated with a 15-fold increase in risk of death (OR, 14.73; P < .001) and a 5-fold increased risk of prolonged LOS (OR, 4.55; P = .02). Using the earliest paired measurements of vWF:Ag and D-dimer from each patient and the same cutoffs, vWF:Ag was associated with a 3.5-fold increase in risk of death (OR, 3.54; P = .004) and a 20-fold risk of prolonged LOS (OR, 20.19; P = .004). Yet D-dimer was not significantly associated with either death (OR, 1.9; P = .29) or prolonged LOS (OR, 1.02; P = .98). Both peak and early postadmission vWF:Ag >300% were highly predictive of death and prolonged LOS among COVID-19 inpatients. Measurement of vWF:Ag may prove a valuable tool to guide escalation of COVID-19 treatment, particularly anticoagulation.

Hospitalization of unintentional fall injuries in Kuwait: a national database study

BackgroundAccidental falls are a major cause of morbidity placing pressure on hospital capacity and utilizing costly services. Evaluating the burden of falls is key for planning, implementation, and evaluation of prevention strategies. To date, no studies have been published on accidental falls at the population level in Kuwait. We studied the burden of accidental falls on public hospital inpatient capacity in Kuwait and identified the subgroups with the highest utilization of inpatient service days.MethodsFrom the national database of inpatient hospitalizations, we selected hospitalizations of patients admitted to Kuwait’s public hospitals for unintentional injury caused by an accidental fall from 1 January through 31 December 2016. We studied the number of inpatient service days (bed days), length of stay (LOS), and number of hospitalizations by age group, gender, and nationality. Mann–Whitney, Kruskal-Wallis, and Chi square tests were used for comparison. Logistic regression was used to quantify the risk of prolonged LOS and fractures among fall-related hospitalizations.ResultsAccidental falls were responsible for 2.9% of inpatient hospitalizations, 3.7% of inpatient service days (61,140 days) with an ALOS of 9.1 days in Kuwait’s public hospitals in 2016. Accidental falls were responsible for 4.6% of older adult service days, and an even higher 5.6% of older women service days. In the age group 13–64, fall-related service days for non-Kuwaitis (5.7%) were more than triple those for Kuwaitis (1.8%) with a substantial percentage among male non-Kuwaitis (8.1%). The risk factors for exceeding the national ALOS for fall-related hospitalizations were female gender (OR 1.36), age 65 and older (OR 9.72), age 13–64 (OR 5.20), being non-Kuwaiti (OR 1.39), sustaining a femur fracture (OR 11.67), and undergoing surgery (OR 2.63). Fall-related hospitalizations associated with a higher risk of fractures were females (OR 1.22), patients 65 years and older (OR 5.09), patients aged 13–64 (OR 3.65), and non-Kuwaitis (OR 1.28).ConclusionsAccidental falls impose a considerable burden on inpatient service utilization in Kuwait. This varies by age, gender, and nationality. To reduce this burden, prevention programs should target working-age non-Kuwaiti males and older females.