Risk Of Postoperative Mortality Research Articles

Nationwide database study of postoperative sequelae and in-hospital mortality in super-elderly hip fracture patients.

The risk of postoperative sequelae and in-hospital mortality in Japanese patients aged 90years and older with hip fractures is unexplored. This study aims to use a comprehensive medical claims database in Japan to compare super-elderly patients aged 90years and older with elderly aged 65-89 and clarify the risk of sequelae and in-hospital mortality in super-elderly patients. We retrospectively analyzed the Diagnosis Procedure Combination (DPC) database for all of Japan from April 2016 to March 2022. Medical records from approximately 1100 DPC-related hospitals were provided with consistent consent during this period. In this study, we focused on super-elderly patients and examined the association with the risk of postoperative pneumonia, pulmonary embolism, myocardial infarction, urinary tract infection, acute renal dysfunction, subsequent cognitive dysfunction, and in-hospital mortality after one-to-one propensity score matching. After performing propensity score matching based on sex and comorbidities, 129,953 pairs of patients were identified. These pairs were compared to elderly and super-elderly patients. The results of this study showed that compared with hip fractures in the elderly, hip fractures in the super-elderly were associated with an increased risk of pneumonia, urinary tract infection, acute renal dysfunction, subsequent cognitive dysfunction, and in-hospital mortality after adjustment for confounders. The odds ratio of in-hospital mortality was 2.190 (95% CI 2.062-2.325). As it has been shown that super-elderly patients with hip fractures are at greater risk of respiratory and urinary tract infections and increased in-hospital mortality, careful attention should be required for perioperative management.

An interrater reliability analysis of preoperative mortality risk calculators used for elective high-risk noncardiac surgical patients shows poor to moderate reliability

BackgroundMultiple preoperative calculators are available online to predict preoperative mortality risk for noncardiac surgical patients. However, it is currently unknown how these risk calculators perform across different raters. The current study investigated the interrater reliability of three preoperative mortality risk calculators in an elective high-risk noncardiac surgical patient population to evaluate if these calculators can be safely used for identification of high-risk noncardiac surgical patients for a preoperative multidisciplinary team discussion.MethodsFive anesthesiologists assessed the preoperative mortality risk of 34 high-risk patients using the preoperative score to calculate postoperative mortality risks (POSPOM), the American College of Surgeons surgical risk calculator (SRC), and the surgical outcome risk tool (SORT). In total, 170 calculations per calculator were gathered.ResultsInterrater reliability was poor for SORT (ICC (C.I. 95%) = 0.46 (0.30–0.63)) and moderate for SRC (ICC = 0.65 (0.51–0.78)) and POSPOM (ICC = 0.63 (0.49–0.77). The absolute range of calculated mortality risk was 0.2–72% for POSPOM, 0–36% for SRC, and 0.4–17% for SORT. The coefficient of variation increased in higher risk classes for POSPOM and SORT. The extended Bland–Altman limits of agreement suggested that all raters contributed to the variation in calculated risks.ConclusionThe current results indicate that the preoperative risk calculators POSPOM, SRC, and SORT exhibit poor to moderate interrater reliability. These calculators are not sufficiently accurate for clinical identification and preoperative counseling of high-risk surgical patients. Clinicians should be trained in using mortality risk calculators. Also, clinicians should be cautious when using predicted mortality estimates from these calculators to identify high-risk noncardiac surgical patients for elective surgery.

Indocyanine Green Fluorescence Angiography (ICG-FA) in the management of intestinal injuries following penetrating abdominal trauma: a case-control study comparing postoperative outcomes.

The surgical management of penetrating hollow visceral injuries includes primary repair or exteriorization. Tissue perfusion at the site of gastrointestinal suture repair may be challenging to assess and is vulnerable to local energy transfer-related injury, micro- or macro-circulatory insufficiency, or splanchnic vasoconstriction for various reasons. Breakdown of suture lines can lead to potentially life-threatening complications. The intraoperative use of Indocyanine Green Fluorescence Angiography (ICG-FA) may reduce the risk of postoperative morbidity and mortality by ensuring optimal tissue perfusion at the chosen site of suture repair. We conducted a retrospective review of the postoperative complications, length of Intensive Care (ICU) stay, and length of hospital stay in patients undergoing laparotomy, with and without ICG-FA for penetrating abdominal trauma at a Level One Trauma Center in Cape Town, South Africa. One hundred patients were included in the study, of which 20 underwent laparotomy with ICG-FA, and 80 did not. The overall complication rate was significantly lower in the ICG-FA group (OR 0.336, p-value=0.0412). The anastomotic leak rates in the ICG-FA and control groups were 0% and 6.25%, respectively (p-value=0.5799). Revision surgery was required in 2 and 14 patients in the ICG-FA and control groups, respectively (OR 0.524, p-value=0.516). The mean length of stay in hospital showed no statistical difference, 8.6 and 5.3 days for the ICG-FA and control groups, respectively (p-value=0.092). The mean length of ICU stay was 6.3 and 2.3 days for the ICG-FA and control groups, respectively (p-value=0.1642). Lower levels of overall postoperative complications and lower rates of revision surgery in patients undergoing laparotomy with ICG-FA are promising. Non-significant findings regarding the relationship between the usage of ICG-FA and anastomotic leak rates suggest the need for larger randomized studies.

Impact of Perioperative Pulmonary Artery Catheter Use on Clinical Outcomes Following Cardiac Surgery: A Nationwide Cohort Study

BackgroundEvidence on the effectiveness of pulmonary artery catheters (PACs) in cardiac surgery is scarce. Research QuestionDoes perioperative PAC use decrease on 1-year all-cause mortality in patients undergoing cardiac surgery? Study Design and MethodsThis nationwide, population-based cohort study included all adult patients who underwent cardiac surgery in Korea between January 2011 and December 2020 using a Korean health insurance claim database. We compared the primary outcome, the risk of 1-year all-cause mortality, between patients with and without perioperative use of PACs (PAC and no-PAC groups, respectively) using logistic regression analysis after stabilized inverse probability of treatment weighting. A subgroup analysis was performed to determine whether the association varied according to the type of cardiac surgery and institutional case volume. ResultsA total of 61,405 patients were analyzed. The PAC group had a significantly lower risk of 1-year all-cause mortality than that in the no-PAC group (adjusted odds ratio [OR], 0.81; 95% confidence interval [CI], 0.76–0.86). In the subgroup analysis, both the type of cardiac surgery and institutional case volume were identified as significant modifiers (all P for interaction<0.001). Specifically, the PAC group had a significantly lower risk of 1-year all-cause mortality following isolated off-pump coronary artery bypass grafting (adjusted OR, 0.54; 95% CI, 0.48–0.61) compared to the no-PAC group. PAC use was associated with a significant reduction in the risk of 1-year all-cause mortality in the lowest-case volume centers (<100 cases/year; OR, 0.70; 95% CI, 0.65–0.76). InterpretationPerioperative use of PACs was associated with a significant reduction in the risk of postoperative 1-year all-cause mortality. This association was predominantly driven by patients who underwent off-pump coronary artery bypass grafting and those who underwent cardiac surgery in less experienced centers.

Outcomes of Patients Undergoing Elective Cancer Surgery After SARS-CoV-2 Infection: An Observational Cohort Study.

We evaluated the impact of preoperative SARS-CoV-2 infections on postoperative outcomes among patients undergoing elective cancer surgery. This ambidirectional (retrospective and prospective) study was conducted among patients undergoing elective cancer surgery between December 2022 and March 2023. Patients with different time intervals between SARS-CoV-2 infection and surgery (0-6 weeks and ≥7 weeks) were compared with those without SARS-CoV-2 infection. The primary outcome was 30-day postoperative pulmonary complications (PPCs). Secondary outcomes included 30-day postoperative mortality, major adverse cardiovascular events (MACE), and other postoperative adverse outcomes. Of the 830 patients analyzed, 239 (28.8%) had SARS-CoV-2 infection 0-6 weeks before cancer surgery, and they had a higher incidence of PPCs (4.6% in no SARS-CoV-2 infection, 12.1% in 0-6 weeks, and 5.1% in ≥7 weeks, p = 0.001). The logistic regression model revealed that, compared with patients without SARS-CoV-2 infection, surgery performed 0-6 weeks after SARSCoV-2 infection was associated with a higher risk of PPCs (adjusted odds ratio [aOR] 2.83; 95% confidence interval [CI] 1.34-5.98), and surgery performed ≥7 weeks after SARSCoV-2 infection was associated with a similar risk of PPCs (aOR 1.19; 95% CI 0.54-2.64). However, preoperative SARS-CoV-2 infection was not associated with a risk of 30-day postoperative mortality, MACE, or other adverse postoperative outcomes. In patients with preoperative Omicron variant infection, nonemergency cancer surgery can be scheduled ≥7 weeks after the infection to decrease the risk of PPCs, but it can be advanced if the risk of delay exceeds the risk of proceeding with the surgery.

Timing of total joint arthroplasty post-COVID-19: an evaluation of the optimal window to minimize perioperative risks

BackgroundTotal hip arthroplasty (THA) and total knee arthroplasty (TKA) are commonly performed orthopedic procedures. This study aimed to evaluate the impact of COVID-19 status on postoperative complications and mortality in patients undergoing THA and TKA.MethodsA total of 110,186 underwent either THA or TKA. Patients were grouped based on their COVID-19 status, gathered from the National COVID-19 Cohort Collaborative (N3C) in the 12 weeks preceding surgery and compared for various variables, including age, sex, BMI, and Charlson Comorbidity Index (CCI) scores. COVID-19 status was defined as a positive test result that was closest to the date of surgery regardless of testing positive previously. Postoperative complications such as venous thromboembolism (VTE), sepsis, surgical site infection, bleeding, acute kidney injury (AKI), 30-day, and 1-year all-cause mortality were examined. To compare the variables, an odds ratio with a 95% confidence interval was calculated with a significant level set at P < 0.05. Logistic regression using R programming was utilized for these calculations.ResultsUnivariate analysis was performed and rates of VTE (1.02% vs. 3.35%), 30-day mortality (0.25% vs. less than 5%), and 1-year mortality (1.42% vs. 5.43%) were higher in the COVID-19-positive group for THA patients (P < 0.001). For TKA patients, only 30-day mortality was significantly higher in the COVID-19-positive group (P = 0.034). Multivariate logistic regression revealed that a positive COVID-19 diagnosis within two weeks of surgery and a CCI score > 3 were significant predictors of postoperative complications and mortality for both TKA and THA.ConclusionsPatients with a positive COVID-19 diagnosis within 12 weeks of THA or TKA carried a significantly higher risk for postoperative complications and mortality. In addition, a CCI score > 3 is also a significant risk factor. These findings emphasize the importance of vigilant preoperative screening and risk stratification in the era of COVID-19.

Association between surgeon and hospital volume and outcome of first-time revision hip arthroplasty for aseptic loosening.

This study evaluates the association between consultant and hospital volume and the risk of re-revision and 90-day mortality following first-time revision of primary hip arthroplasty for aseptic loosening. We conducted a cohort study of first-time, single-stage revision hip arthroplasties (RHAs) performed for aseptic loosening and recorded in the National Joint Registry (NJR) data for England, Wales, Northern Ireland, and the Isle of Man between 2003 and 2019. Patient identifiers were used to link records to national mortality data, and to NJR data to identify subsequent re-revision procedures. Multivariable Cox proportional hazard models with restricted cubic splines were used to define associations between volume and outcome. Among 12,961 RHAs there were 513 re-revisions within two years, and 95 deaths within 90 days of surgery. The risk of re-revision was highest for a consultant's first RHA (hazard ratio (HR) 1.56 (95% CI 1.15 to 2.12)) and remained significantly elevated for their first 24 cases (HR 1.26 (95% CI 1.00 to 1.58)). Annual consultant volumes of five/year were associated with an almost 30% greater risk of re-revision (HR 1.28 (95% CI 1.00 to 1.64)) and 80% greater risk of 90-day mortality (HR 1.81 (95% CI 1.02 to 3.21)) compared to volumes of 20/year. RHAs performed at hospitals which had cumulatively undertaken fewer than 167 RHAs were at up to 70% greater risk of re-revision (HR 1.70 (95% CI 1.12 to 2.59)), and those having undertaken fewer than 307 RHAs were at up to three times greater risk of 90-day mortality (HR 3.05 (95% CI 1.19 to 7.82)). This study found a significantly higher risk of re-revision and early postoperative mortality following first-time single-stage RHA for aseptic loosening when performed by lower-volume consultants and at lower-volume institutions, supporting the move towards the centralization of such cases towards higher-volume units and surgeons.

Specifics and results of liver transplantation in elderly patients

Aim. To determine specific features, frequency, and structure of complications, immediate and long-term results of liver transplantation in elderly patients.Materials and methods. Data on 529 liver transplantations performed consecutively in one medical center from 2010 to 2023 were analyzed. In 386 (73%) cases, the right lobe of the liver of related donors was used for transplantation. At the time of surgery, the patient age ranged from 18 years to 71 years, with 57 (11%) patients being over 60 years old, 215 (40%) patients aged 44–59 years, and 257 (49%) patients aged 18–44 years.Results. Prior to operation, elderly patients were statistically significantly more often diagnosed with arterial hypertension (n = 19; 33%), diabetes mellitus (n = 12; 21%), and on average a reduced glomerular filtration rate (82 ml/min/1.73m2 ). The most frequent indication for transplantation in this group was hepatocellular carcinoma in the setting of cirrhosis (n = 19; 33%). No statistically significant differences in other preoperative characteristics, parameters of donors and operations, peculiarities of the course of the early postoperative period, frequency, structure of complications and lethal outcomes were found. The one-, five-, and ten-year survival rates for recipients over 60 years old were 82%, 72%, and 36%; for recipients aged 44–59 years old – 88%, 79%, and 70%; and for recipients aged 18–44 years old – 86%, 80%, and 74%, respectively.Conclusion. In the studied cohort, older age was not associated with excessive risks of complications and early postoperative mortality. Given the higher prevalence of comorbidities in this group, preoperative examination should be aimed at, among other things, diagnostics of possible (hidden) cardiovascular and oncologic diseases. The development and introduction of new cardio-, nephro-, and oncoprotective regimens of immunosuppressive therapy seems to be an important measure not only for the surgical treatment of elderly patients, but also for recipients living with a transplanted liver for a long time.

Central venus cannulation during cardiac surgery as a possible new additional risk factor for late post-operative atrial fibrillation insurgence.

Postoperative atrial fibrillation (POAF) is the most frequent cardiac arrhythmia following cardiac operations. It has been associated with an increased risk of postoperative cerebrovascular complications, morbidity and mortality. The aim of this study is to evaluate if the type of venous cannulation to institute the cardiopulmonary bypass (CPB) during major cardiac surgery procedures can influence the rate of POAF and late FA onset. We collected data from 2087 consecutive patients who have been operated at our Institution from January 2016 to December 2018. To obtain two homogenous groups we performed a propensity match analyzes: Group 1 for whom the blood drain of the CPB has been granted via peripheral cannulation (PC) through the right common femoral vein and Group 2 with patients who underwent central cannulation (CC) with insertion of a drainage cannula in the right atrium or in the superior and inferior vein cava. POAF has been observed as statistically similar between the two groups. At 1250-day follow-up, While the incidence of POAF was 2.9% and 8.7% in the PC and CC groups, respectively (p = .04). our data seems to show that the two groups do not differ in terms of POAF, while the CC group may have a significantly higher rate of atrial fibrillation in the follow-up period.

The burden of pre-operative anaemia and postoperative outcomes in 15 166 surgical patients from a public hospital in Brazil: A retrospective cohort study.

Preoperative anaemia is associated with poor postoperative outcomes; however, few studies have reported its prevalence in developing countries and its association with significant postoperative outcomes. We aimed to identify the prevalence of anaemia and its association with postoperative outcomes in a major public hospital in Brazil. Retrospective cohort study. Single-centre, 860-bed, quaternary university-affiliated teaching hospital in Southern Brazil. We included adult patients who had undergone surgery between 2015 and 2019. Main outcome measures: The main outcome was the in-hospital 30-day postoperative mortality. According to the World Health Organisation, we defined anaemia and its sub-classification (mild, moderate, and severe). We developed Poisson regression models to examine the association between preoperative anaemia and outcomes. We included 15 166 patients, of whom 6387 (42.1%) were anaemic. After adjustment for confounding factors, patients with anaemia had an increased risk of in-hospital 30-day postoperative mortality (relative risk (RR) 1.69, 95% confidence interval (CI) 1.44 to 1.99, P < 0.001). Mild [relative risk (RR) 1.38, 95% CI 1.12 to 1.71, P = 0.003], moderate (RR 1.73, 95% CI 1.43 to 2.10, P < 0.001), and severe anaemia (RR 2.43, 95% CI 1.92 to 3.07, P < 0.001) were associated with the primary outcome. Anaemia increased the transfusion risk (RR 4.44, 95% CI 3.90 to 5.06, P < 0.001) and postoperative intensive care unit (ICU) admission (RR 1.09, 95% CI 1.04 to 1.16, P = 0.001). Four out of 10 patients had anaemia. These patients had an increased risk of adverse postoperative outcomes. Comprehension of the magnitude and impact of anaemia is essential to establish interventions in low-resource scenarios to optimise the patient's journey. Institutional Review Board Registration number 40522820000005327 (Brazilian CEP/CONEP System, available in https://plataformabrasil.saude.gov.br/).

Association between hypertension requiring medication and postoperative 30-day mortality in adult patients with tumor craniotomy: an analysis of data using propensity score matching.

Reliable quantification of the association between hypertension requiring medication and postoperative 30-day mortality in adult patients who undergo craniotomy for tumor resection is limited. We aimed to explore the associations between these factors. This work was a retrospective cohort study that used propensity score matching (PSM) among 18,642 participants from the American College of Surgeons National Surgical Quality Improvement Program database between 2012 and 2015. Hypertension requiring medication and postoperative 30-day mortality were the independent and dependent target variables, respectively. PSM was conducted via nonparsimonious multivariate logistic regression to balance the confounders. Robust estimation methods were used to investigate the association between hypertension requiring medication and postoperative 30-day mortality. A total of 18,642 participants (52.6% male and 47.4% female) met our inclusion criteria; 7,116 (38.17%) participants with hypertension required medication and had a 3.74% mortality rate versus an overall mortality rate of 2.46% in the adult cohort of patients who underwent craniotomy for tumor resection. In the PSM cohort, the risk of postoperative 30-day mortality significantly increased by 39.0% among patients with hypertension who required medication (OR = 1.390, 95% confidence interval (CI): 1.071-1.804, p = 0.01324) after adjusting for the full covariates. Compared with participants without hypertension requiring medication, those with hypertension requiring medication had a 34.0% greater risk of postoperative 30-day mortality after adjusting for the propensity score (OR = 1.340, 95% CI: 1.040-1.727, p = 0.02366) and a 37.6% greater risk of postoperative 30-day mortality in the inverse probability of treatment weights (IPTW) cohort (OR = 1.376, 95% CI: 1.202, 1.576, p < 0.00001). Among U.S. adult patients undergoing craniotomy for tumor resection, hypertension requiring medication is a notable contributor to 30-day mortality after surgery, with odds ratios ranging from 1.34 to 1.39.

Quantitative and functional changes in platelets and fibrinogen following cardiopulmonary by-pass in children

IntroductionCardiopulmonary bypass (CPB) causes coagulopathy, increasing the risk of postoperative bleeding and mortality. The underlying causes of post-CPB coagulopathy and the factors associated with its occurrence are not yet fully understood. This study assesses platelet and fibrinogen concentration and function following CPB in children with congenital heart diseases (CHD).MethodsWe analyzed prospective data from 104 patients aged 0–16 years who underwent CPB surgery for CHD. Blood samples were collected before surgery and within 30 min of CPB completion. In addition to usual coagulation tests, functional analyses were performed using point of care systems with thromboelastometry and impedance aggregometry.ResultsPlatelet count, fibrinogen concentration, and platelet and fibrinogen activities significantly decreased after CPB. The duration of CPB was directly associated with a reduction in platelet count and fibrinogen level (r = −0.38, p &amp;lt; 0.001; r = −0.21, p = 0.03, respectively), but not with their measured activity. Postoperative percentages of baseline values for platelet count (58.36% [43.34–74.44] vs. 37.44% [29.81–54.17], p &amp;lt; 0.001) and fibrinogen concentration (73.68% [66.67–82.35] vs. 65.22% [57.89–70.83], p &amp;lt; 0.001) were significantly higher in patients who did not experience hypothermia during surgery. Age was inversely associated with the decrease in platelet count (r = 0.63, p &amp;lt; 0.001), TRAPTEM AUC (r = 0.43, p &amp;lt; 0.001), fibrinogen concentration (r = 0.44, p &amp;lt; 0.001) and FIBTEM MCF (r = 0.57, p &amp;lt; 0.001).ConclusionPost-CPB coagulopathy is multifactorial and not solely attributed to hemodilution. It also involves functional changes in coagulation cascade components, which can be demonstrated by thromboelastometry and impedance aggregometry. Young children, patients requiring prolonged CPB surgery, or those experiencing hypothermia are particularly affected.

The biodemography of human aging (Gompertz-Makeham law) applied to surgical mortality modelling: a retrospective national cohort study.

The Gompertz-Makeham law describes a characteristic pattern of mortality in human populations where death rate is near constant between age 18 and 30 years (Makeham's Law) and rises exponentially thereafter (Gompertz Law). This pattern has not been described in surgical populations, but if true, would have important implications for understanding surgical risk and design and interpretation of surgical risk models. The aim of this study was to determine if the Gompertz-Makeham law applies to perioperative mortality risk and the conditions under which it may apply. We examined the relationship between age and 1-month postoperative all-cause mortality risk in a 10-year New Zealand administrative dataset comprising of 5,615,100 surgical procedures from 2007 to 2016. The dataset includes patient and surgical factors including procedures, American Society of Anesthesiologist's physical status score (ASA-PS), diagnoses and other relevant details. Semi-logarithmic graphs of mortality risk and age were plotted. Linear regression models were fitted, with regression line slope and Pearson's correlation coefficient calculated. The primary outcome occurred in 114,782 (2.0%) of 5,615,100 included participants. The Gompertz-Makeham law seems to apply to the national surgical population as a whole (slope = 0.0241, R2 = 0.971). The law applies in all subgroups studied including sex, ASA-PS, surgical acuity, surgical severity category, cancer status and ethnicity (slopes 0.0066 to 0.0307, R2 0.771 to 0.990). Important interactions were found between age, mortality risk and three high risk groups (cancer diagnosis, ASA-PS 4-5 and high surgical severity). The Gompertz-Makeham law seems to apply in a national cohort of surgical patients. The inflection point for increased 1-month risk is apparent at age 30 years. A strict exponential rise in mortality risk occurs thereafter. This finding improves our understanding of surgical risk and suggests a concept-driven approach to improve modelling of age and important interactions in future surgical risk models.

Variation in Long-Term Postoperative Mortality Risk by Race/Ethnicity After Major Non-cardiac Surgeries in the Veterans Health Administration.

Few large sample studies have examined whether disparities, as measured by the proxy of race/ethnicity, are observed in long-term mortality after high-risk operations performed in a United States national health system. We compared operation year-related mortality risk by race/ethnicity after high-risk operative interventions among patients receiving care within the VHA. From the Veterans Affairs Corporate Data Warehouse and Surgical Quality Improvement Program, data were retrieved for 426,695 patients undergoing high-risk surgical procedures in non-cardiac, general, vascular, thoracic, orthopedic, neurosurgery, and genitourinary specialties between 2000 and 2018. Operation year was used as a surrogate measure of advances in technology and perioperative management. Underrepresented race/ethnicity groups were compared in a binary form with Caucasian/White race, as the reference category. The primary outcome was time to mortality, defined as death occurring at any time, due to any cause, during follow up, and after the initial, eligible surgery. The median follow-up after 537,448 operations among 426,695 patients was 4.8years. After adjustment for preoperative risk factors and demographics, long-term mortality risk decreased significantly to a hazard ratio of 0.96 (95% confidence interval, 0.962 to 0.964) over calendar time. Long-term mortality was not significantly higher among African Americans/Blacks compared to Caucasians/Whites (p = 0.22). Among Hispanics, differences in mortality risk favored Caucasians/Whites in the early years under study-a difference that dissipated as time progressed. In the most recent years, no difference in mortality was observed among Asian/Native Americans and Caucasians/Whites. Risk-adjusted long-term mortality after high-risk operations among Veterans Affairs hospitals did not significantly vary between African Americans/Blacks, Hispanics, and Asian/Native Americans groups.

Preoperative prediction of early mortality after surgery for spinal metastases.

The objective of this study was to provide a convenient preoperative prediction of the risk of early postoperative mortality. This retrospective study included patients who underwent surgery for spinal metastasis at our hospital between 2009 and 2021. Preoperative blood test data of all patients were collected, and the survival time was calculated by dividing the blood data. A multivariate analysis was conducted using a Cox proportional hazards model to identify prognostic factors. The study population included 83 patients (average: 64.5years), 22 of whom died within 3 months. The most common lesion was the thoracic spine, and incomplete paralysis was observed in 57 patients. The surgical methods included posterior implant fixation (n=17), posterior decompression (n=31), and posterior decompression with fixation (n=35). In the univariate analysis, the presence of abnormal values was significantly associated with postoperative survival in six preoperative blood collection items (hemoglobin, C-reactive protein, albumin, white blood cell, gamma-glutamyl transpeptidase, and lactate dehydrogenase). In a multivariate analysis, four test items (hemoglobin, C-reactive protein, white blood cell, and lactate dehydrogenase) were identified as independent prognostic factors.Comparing cases with ≥3 abnormal values among the above four items (high-risk group; n=23) and those with ≤2 (low-risk group; n=60), there was a significant difference in survival time. In addition, it was possible to predict cases of early death within 3months after surgery with 73% sensitivity and 89% specificity. The study showed that four preoperative blood test abnormalities (hemoglobin, C-reactive protein white blood cell, and lactate dehydrogenase) indicated the possibility of early death within 3months after surgery.

The effect of early surgery on clinical outcomes in proximal femoral fracture patients receiving chronic anticoagulation: A japanese nationwide database study

Introduction: Surgery is often delayed in patients with proximal femoral fractures who receive oral anticoagulants, to avoid complications related to perioperative bleeding. However, surgery delay may increase the risk of postoperative mortality. Our primary goal was to understand whether anticoagulated patients benefit from early surgery in terms of survival and perioperative complications.Methods: This is a multicenter retrospective cohort study of 581,189 patients with proximal femoral fractures. About 2.0 % (n = 11,385) received direct oral anticoagulants (DOAC) and 1.5 % (n = 8,726) received warfarin. Surgery was performed within 48 h in 37.6 % of DOAC patients, 27.6 % of warfarin patients and in 41.9 % of nonanticoagulated patients. Survival analysis was applied to compare mortality rate, blood transfusions, systemic complications and surgical complications during hospitalization between the study groups.Results: Patients receiving anticoagulation were older and had more comorbidities than patients without anticoagulation. There were overall similar rates of mortality (0.8 %, 1.1 % and 1.2 %) and surgical complications (2.1 %, 2.1 % and 2.2 %) in non-anticoagulated, DOAC and warfarin patients. Blood transfusions and systemic complications were higher in all anticoagulated patients regardless of surgery timing. There were comparable rates of early surgery (41.9 %, 37.6 % and 27.6 %, respectively). When operated early, DOAC patients had more surgical complications (OR=1.24, p = 0.04). Warfarin patients operated early had higher mortality (OR=1.48, p = 0.08) and higher risk of blood transfusions (OR=1.24, p < 0.001).Discussion: Age and comorbidities could explain higher rates of postoperative systemic complications in anticoagulated patients. Nevertheless, overall short-term mortality was similar between the groups. Early surgery was associated with higher rates of surgical complications in DOAC patients. When operated early, patients receiving warfarin were at an increased risk of mortality (p = 0.08) and perioperative blood transfusions.

Increased 90-Day Morbidity and Mortality Among Patients With Hip Fracture During the COVID-19 Pandemic.

When coronavirus disease 2019 (COVID-19) first spread to the United States, our institution was at the outbreak's epicenter. Despite limited understanding of COVID-19's long-term effects, we continued performing surgical fixation of geriatric hip fractures under strict guidelines. This study examined the outcomes of these patients during the pandemic compared with those of patients treated pre-pandemic. We conducted a retrospective cohort study of patients with hip fractures between December 2019 and June 2020, the peak of the pandemic in our region. Outcomes of patients treated with surgical fixation (2020 cohort) were compared with those of a historical control group (2019 cohort). The primary outcome was 90-day mortality, with secondary outcomes including pneumonia, thromboembolic events, emergency department visits, readmission, and cardiac events. The 2020 cohort (n=64) and 2019 cohort (n=78) had similar baseline characteristics. The 2020 cohort had a 4.27 times higher risk (95% CI, 1.30-13.98) of developing pneumonia compared with the pre-pandemic cohort but had no other differences in 90-day complications. Patients with COVID-19 in the 2020 cohort had a 5.09 times higher risk (95% CI, 1.35-19.20) of developing pneumonia and a 5.38 times higher risk (95% CI, 1.13-25.64) of postoperative mortality. There was no increased risk for thromboembolism between the 2020 and 2019 cohorts, even among COVID-19 cases, as all patients received anticoagulation with heparin. Our study demonstrates that hip fracture surgery remained safe during the peak of the US COVID-19 pandemic, with an expected increase in pneumonia and mortality risk for patients with hip fracture with COVID-19. [Orthopedics. 202x;4x(x):xx-xx.].

Assessing the safety of ureteral stent placement for obstructive urolithiasis in patients during the COVID-19 pandemic.

Patients with an active severe acute respiratory syndrome coronavirus 2 (SARS-CoV-2) [coronavirus disease 2019 (COVID-19)] infection are at a higher risk of post-operative mortality. In this retrospective case-control study, we analyzed the post-operative safety of patients undergoing cystoscopy with ureteral stent placement for obstructing ureteral calculi who tested positive for COVID-19. We retrospectively identified patients who underwent cystoscopy and ureteral stent placement between June 5, 2020 and December 31, 2022 as an add-on case. Patients were stratified by whether they had a positive COVID-19 test on admission. Baseline characteristics were compared using Students t-test for continuous variables and Pearson chi-square test for categorical variables. Univariate and multivariate logistic regression analysis was performed to identify predictors of postoperative 30-day mortality. A total of 1,408 patients underwent add-on cystoscopy with ureteral stent placement for an obstructing calculus, of which 55 (3.9%) patients had a positive COVID-19 test. When stratified by COVID-19 status, both groups were similar with regards to age, sex, race, co-morbidities, indications, procedure duration, and type of anesthesia administered. Of the 137 patients that were admitted to the intensive care unit (ICU), 9 patients were COVID-19 positive (16.4% vs. 9.5%, P=0.09). On multivariate logistic regression, patients with COVID-19 had a higher odds of 30-day mortality [odds ratio (OR) =7.06; 95% confidence interval (CI): 2.03-24.47; P=0.002] when controlling for age, co-morbidities, vaccination status, anesthesia type, and indication for the stent. Patients that underwent cystoscopy and ureteral stent placement for an obstructing ureteral stone with a concurrent COVID-19 diagnosis had an increased risk of perioperative 30-day mortality.

Development and Internal-external Validation of a Post-operative Mortality Risk Calculator for Pediatric Surgical Patients in Low- and Middle- Income Countries Using Machine Learning

BackgroundThe purpose of this study was to develop and validate a mortality risk algorithm for pediatric surgery patients treated at KidsOR sites in 14 low- and middle-income countries. MethodsA SuperLearner machine learning algorithm was trained to predict post-operative mortality by hospital discharge using the retrospectively and prospectively collected KidsOR database including patients treated at 20 KidsOR sites from June 2018 to June 2023. Algorithm performance was evaluated by internal-external cross-validated AUC and calibration. FindingsOf 23,905 eligible patients, 21,703 with discharge status recorded were included in the analysis, representing a post-operative mortality rate of 3.1% (671 mortality events). The candidate algorithm with the best cross-validated performance was an extreme gradient boosting model. The cross-validated AUC was 0.945 (95% CI 0.936 to 0.954) and cross-validated calibration slope and intercept were 1.01 (95% CI 0.96 to 1.06) and 0.05 (95% CI -0.10 to 0.21). For Super Learner models trained on all but one site and evaluated in the holdout site for sites with at least 25 mortality events, overall external validation AUC was 0.864 (95% CI 0.846 to 0.882) with calibration slope and intercept of 1.03 (95% CI 0.97 to 1.09) and 1.18 (95% CI 0.98 to 1.39). InterpretationThe KidsOR post-operative mortality risk algorithm had outstanding cross-validated discrimination and strong cross-validated calibration. Across all external validation sites, discrimination of Super Learner models trained on the remaining sites was excellent, though re-calibration may be necessary prior to use at new sites. This model has the potential to inform clinical practice and guide resource allocation at KidsOR sites world-wide. Type of Study and Level of EvidenceObservational Study, Level III.

Bleeding disorder increases the risks of complications following arthroscopic rotator cuff repair.

It is imperative to determine patients' risk factors prior to arthroscopic rotator cuff repair (ARCR), so that the physician and patient are both aware of the possible postoperative complications. However, the impact of bleeding disorders on a patient's short-term postoperative outcome has not yet been analyzed. A national database was queried for patients undergoing ARCR from 2006 to 2018. Two patient cohorts were defined: patients with a bleeding disorder and patients without a bleeding disorder. In this analysis, outcomes including postoperative complications, hospital admission, extended length of stay, and mortality were compared between the two cohorts using bivariate and multivariate analyses. Of 33,374 patients undergoing ARCR, 32,849 patients (98.4%) did not have a bleeding disorder whereas 525 patients (1.6%) had a bleeding disorder. Following adjustment on multivariate analyses, patients with a bleeding disorder had an increased risk of postoperative transfusion (OR 8.11; p = 0.044), sepsis (OR 11.86; p = 0.003), hospital admission (OR 1.41; p = 0.008), and mortality (OR 8.10; p = 0.019). Patients with documented bleeding disorder have an increased risk of postoperative complications compared to patients without a bleeding disorder. Consequently, it is essential to recognize these risk factors to decrease postoperative complications to optimize patient outcomes and costs. III.