Long-term Risk Of Cardiovascular Mortality Research Articles

#2850 Elevation of serum indoxyl-sulfate in mice with normal kidney function triggers cardiac and vascular dysfunctions

Abstract Background and Aims Acute kidney disease (AKD) is associated with a long-term risk of cardiovascular mortality and major cardiovascular events, particularly heart failure and acute myocardial infarction. To date, the underlying mechanisms responsible for this elevated cardiovascular risk remain poorly understood. Patients with AKD show increased circulating levels of indoxyl-sulfate (IS), a uremic toxin known to promote oxidative stress, inflammation and apoptosis in cultured vascular and cardiac cells. In this context, we hypothesized that IS elevation during AKD might promote acute myocardial and vascular lesions, which over time favour the onset of cardiovascular events. In a first attempt to test this hypothesis, we aimed to verify whether IS elevation in mice with normal renal function induces myocardial and vascular dysfunctions similar to that observed in AKD. Method Thirty female C57BL6J mice were divided into three groups: control (CT, n = 10), IS (n = 10) and AKD (n = 10). AKD was induced by 5/6 nephrectomy. Blank surgeries were performed in the CT and IS groups. IS was administered continuously for 15 days via drinking water (2.5 g/L) to reach, in IS mice, the IS serum concentrations found in AKD mice, as monitored by a validated high-performance liquid chromatography-tandem mass spectrometry method. Cardiac and vascular functions were assessed by echocardiography at baseline and at D15. Expression of markers of contractility (SERCA-2a for myocardium, αSMA for aorta), inflammation (TNF-α, IL-1β), and endothelial dysfunction (VCAM-1, ICAM-1, iNOS) were assessed by qRT-PCR and western blot. The presence of cardiac lesions was assessed histologically. Results Elevation of serum IS concentrations was similar in IS and AKD mice (serum IS: 10.7 ± 3.4 µg/mL in IS-group and 10.9 ± 5.8 µg/mL in AKD-group vs. 4.0 ± 2.1 µg/mL in CT-group (p < 0.001 in CT vs IS and AKD group). Compared with CT mice, IS and AKD mice showed systolic and diastolic dysfunctions as evidenced by decreased ejection fraction (EF: 62.4% [58.0-72.3] in CT vs. 50.1% [45.0-57.0] in IS (p < 0.05 vs CT) and 51.3% [45.6-57.1] in AKD (p < 0.01 vs CT)), decreased fractional shortening (FS: 33.6% [30.1-40.4] in CT vs. 24.8% [21.9-29.7] in IS (p < 0.05 vs CT) and 25.8% [22.4-29.6] in AKD (p < 0.01 vs CT)) and increased isovolumic relaxation time (IVRT: 17.2 ± 1.6 ms in CT vs. 20.7 ± 1.3 ms in IS (p < 0.001 vs CT) and 19.0 ± 1.7 ms in AKD (p < 0.05 vs CT)), respectively. For all echocardiographic parameters assessed, there were no significant differences observed between IS and AKD mice. Myocardium from IS and AKD mice showed decreased expression of SERCA-2a and elevated expression of both IL-1β and TNF-α at the mRNA and protein levels compared to CT mice. Aortas from IS and AKD mice also showed decreased mRNA expression of α-SMA and increased mRNA expression of IL-1β, VCAM-1, and iNOS compared to aortas from CT mice. The mRNA and protein expression of these inflammatory and contractile markers were not statistically different in the hearts and aortas from IS compared to AKD mice. No signs of vascular dysfunction were observed in either of the groups on ultrasound. Conclusion Systemic exposure to IS in mice without renal failure leads to significant cardiac and vascular dysfunctions that were similar to those observed in mice with AKD. Additional studies are needed to confirm the causal role of IS in the cardiovascular impact of AKD, and to determine whether IS could represent a valuable prognostic tool and therapeutic target for preventing AKD-associated cardiovascular complications.

Association of prealbumin with short-term and long-term outcomes in patients with acute ST-segment elevation myocardial infarction.

Prealbumin is considered to be a useful indicator of nutritional status. Furthermore, it has been found to be associated with severities and prognosis of a range of diseases. However, limited data on the association of baseline prealbumin level with outcomes of patients with acute ST-segment elevation myocardial infarction (STEMI) are available. We analyzed 2313 patients admitted for acute STEMI between October 2013 and December 2020. In-hospital outcomes and mortality during the 49 months (interquartile range: 26-73 months) follow-up period were compared between patients with the low prealbumin level (< 170 mg/L) and those with the high prealbumin level (≥ 170 mg/L). A total of 114 patients (4.9%) died during hospitalization. After propensity score matching, patients with the low prealbumin level than those with the high prealbumin level experienced higher incidences of heart failure with Killip class III (9.9% vs. 4.4%, P = 0.034), cardiovascular death (8.4% vs. 3.4%, P = 0.035) and the composite of major adverse cardiovascular events (19.2% vs. 10.3%, P = 0.012). Multivariate logistic regression analysis identified that the low prealbumin level (< 170 mg/L) was an independent predictor of in-hospital major adverse cardiovascular events (odds ratio = 1.918, 95% CI: 1.250-2.942, P = 0.003). The cut-off value of prealbumin level for predicting in-hospital death was 170 mg/L (area under the curve = 0.703, 95% CI: 0.651-0.754, P < 0.001; sensitivity = 0.544, specificity = 0.794). However, after multivariate adjustment of possible confounders, baseline prealbumin level (170 mg/L) was no longer independently associated with 49-month cardiovascular death. After propensity score matching, Kaplan-Meier survival curves revealed consistent results. Decreased prealbumin level closely related to unfavorable short-term outcomes. However, after multivariate adjustment and controlling for baseline differences, baseline prealbumin level was not independently associated with an increased risk of long-term cardiovascular mortality in STEMI patients.

Effects of the stress hyperglycemia ratio on long-term mortality in patients with triple-vessel disease and acute coronary syndrome

AimsRisk assessment for triple-vessel disease (TVD) remain challenging. Stress hyperglycemia represents the regulation of glucose metabolism in response to stress, and stress hyperglycemia ratio (SHR) is recently found to reflect true acute hyperglycemic status. This study aimed to evaluate the prognostic value of SHR and its role in risk stratification in TVD patients with acute coronary syndrome (ACS).MethodsA total of 3812 TVD patients with ACS with available baseline SHR measurement were enrolled from two independent centers. The endpoint was cardiovascular mortality. Cox regression was used to evaluate the association between SHR and cardiovascular mortality. The SYNTAX (Synergy Between Percutaneous Coronary Intervention With Taxus and Cardiac Surgery) II (SSII) was used as the reference model in the model improvement analysis.ResultsDuring a median follow-up of 5.1 years, 219 (5.8%) TVD patients with ACS suffered cardiovascular mortality. TVD patients with ACS with high SHR had an increased risk of cardiovascular mortality after robust adjustment for confounding (high vs. median SHR: adjusted hazard ratio 1.809, 95% confidence interval 1.160–2.822, P = 0.009), which was fitted as a J-shaped pattern. The prognostic value of the SHR was found exclusively among patients with diabetes instead of those without diabetes. Moreover, addition of SHR improved the reclassification abilities of the SSII model for predicting cardiovascular mortality in TVD patients with ACS.ConclusionsThe high level of SHR is associated with the long-term risk of cardiovascular mortality in TVD patients with ACS, and is confirmed to have incremental prediction value beyond standard SSII. Assessment of SHR may help to improve the risk stratification strategy in TVD patients who are under acute stress.

Trends and Specific Causes of Cardiovascular Mortality after Kidney Transplantation in Finland.

Cardiovascular diseases are an important cause of mortality in patients who have undergone kidney transplantation, but the knowledge on trends of cardiovascular mortality and specific causes of cardiovascular death among these patients is scarce. Our aim was to compare the cardiovascular mortality rates after kidney transplantation in Finland between 1990-1999, 2000-2009, and 2010-2019 using data from the Finnish Registry for Kidney Diseases. We analyzed 1-year and long-term cardiovascular mortality rates as well as the specific causes of cardiovascular death and the trends in them. In total, 4946 patients underwent first kidney transplantation in 1990-2019. During the follow-up time (median 8.3 years, interquartile range 4.0-14.5), there were 1392 deaths, of which 582 were cardiovascular deaths. In an unadjusted Cox regression model, the risk of long-term cardiovascular mortality was similar in the different periods. However, when adjusted for age, sex, duration of dialysis, and cause of kidney disease, the long-term cardiovascular mortality risk was significantly lower in 2000-2009 and 2010-2019 (hazard ratio 0.60 [95% confidence interval, 0.49 to 0.73] and hazard ratio 0.51 [95% confidence interval, 0.39 to 0.66], respectively) compared with 1990-1999. The results were similar regarding 1-year cardiovascular mortality. The distribution of different causes of cardiovascular death remained unchanged during the study period, with coronary artery disease accounting for 47% of deaths. During the first year after transplantation, pulmonary embolisms and arrhythmias were more common than in the long term. Cardiovascular disease remained the most common cause of death in kidney transplant recipients, but adjusted cardiovascular mortality risk has decreased significantly during the past three decades. Coronary artery disease was the most frequent cause of cardiovascular death, and the proportion of coronary artery disease-related cardiovascular deaths increased after the first year after transplantation.

A deep learning-based electrocardiogram risk score for long term cardiovascular death and disease

The electrocardiogram (ECG) is the most frequently performed cardiovascular diagnostic test, but it is unclear how much information resting ECGs contain about long term cardiovascular risk. Here we report that a deep convolutional neural network can accurately predict the long-term risk of cardiovascular mortality and disease based on a resting ECG alone. Using a large dataset of resting 12-lead ECGs collected at Stanford University Medical Center, we developed SEER, the Stanford Estimator of Electrocardiogram Risk. SEER predicts 5-year cardiovascular mortality with an area under the receiver operator characteristic curve (AUC) of 0.83 in a held-out test set at Stanford, and with AUCs of 0.78 and 0.83 respectively when independently evaluated at Cedars-Sinai Medical Center and Columbia University Irving Medical Center. SEER predicts 5-year atherosclerotic disease (ASCVD) with an AUC of 0.67, similar to the Pooled Cohort Equations for ASCVD Risk, while being only modestly correlated. When used in conjunction with the Pooled Cohort Equations, SEER accurately reclassified 16% of patients from low to moderate risk, uncovering a group with an actual average 9.9% 10-year ASCVD risk who would not have otherwise been indicated for statin therapy. SEER can also predict several other cardiovascular conditions such as heart failure and atrial fibrillation. Using only lead I of the ECG it predicts 5-year cardiovascular mortality with an AUC of 0.80. SEER, used alongside the Pooled Cohort Equations and other risk tools, can substantially improve cardiovascular risk stratification and aid in medical decision making.

Impact of the Increase in Left Ventricular Mass on the Risk of Long-Term Cardiovascular Mortality: a Prospective Cohort Study.

Left ventricular hypertrophy (LVH) is an independent predictor of cardiovascular events, and evidence has been obtained that an increase of a normal left ventricular mass (LVM) or new-onset LVH over time augments cardiovascular outcomes. We addressed this issue in a sample of a general population at relatively low cardiovascular risk. We analyzed subjects with normal echocardiographic LVM enrolled in the PAMELA (Pressioni Arteriose Monitorate E Loro Associazioni) study to follow the increase of LVM over time and assess the prognostic impact of this change on the incidence of cardiovascular events (mean follow-up 18.5 years). In 990 subjects with no LVH at baseline, there was a significant average increase of LVM (21.2%), LVMIBSA (18.9%), and LVMIHT (22.3%) more than 10 years later. About a quarter developed LVH. The LVMIBSA change exhibited an association with the cardiovascular risk mortality during the following 18.5 years, and the association remained significant after adjustment for confounders (hazard ratio, 1.2 [1.0-1.5]). Similar findings were obtained for LVM in absolute values or indexed for height. The association was seen in both genders, but the link with the cardiovascular risk was statistically significant in males only. Thus, although over 10 years, the LVM increase does not reach a LVH status, it is associated with an augmented cardiovascular mortality risk. This suggests that it might be important to consider periodical LVM assessment, even when LVM is within the normal range, to timely detect its increase and cope with the need of cardiovascular risk restratification.

Long-Term Effects of Acute Kidney Injury Following Endovascular Femoropopliteal Intervention: Insights From a Multicenter Trial

Purpose: To examine the association between acute kidney injury (AKI) severity and duration with cardiovascular mortality, following endovascular treatment of femoropopliteal disease, and whether it is AKI in itself that confers an increased risk of cardiovascular mortality. Methods: A retrospective analysis of prospectively collected data obtained between 2014 and 2019 from 3 vascular centers. Renal function was followed up for a minimum of 90 days. Electronic records were queried to establish a cause of death, where applicable. Patients were excluded if unable to provide written informed consent or if presenting with acute limb ischemia. Primary outcomes were the hazard ratios for cardiovascular death (AKI patients vs no AKI; no AKI vs stage 1 AKI vs stage 3 AKI; and no AKI vs transient AKI vs established AKI). Propensity score–matched analysis was used to establish whether developing AKI, in patients with similar demographics and procedural characteristics, is associated with a higher risk of cardiovascular death. Results: Overall 239 patients developed AKI, and this was associated with an increased risk of cardiovascular mortality (hazard risk [HR]: 4.3, 95% confidence intervals [CIs]: 2.1–6.8, pairwise comparison p value=0.006]. This was dependent on the severity of the AKI stage (HR 5.4, 95% CI: 2.4–7.3, pairwise comparison p value=0.01) and duration (HR 4.2, 95% CI: 2.3–6.2, pairwise comparison p value=0.04). The propensity score–matched analysis showed that even when patients are matched for comorbidity and procedural characteristics, AKI confers an increased risk of mortality (p=0.04). Conclusions: Acute kidney injury is common after femoropopliteal endovascular therapy. It confers an increased risk of long-term cardiovascular mortality, which is still present when renal decline is transient, and highest for patients with established decline in renal function. Clinical Impact This is the first study in the setting of peripheral arterial disease to show that acute kidney injury has an adverse effect on cardiovascular mortality, in the long-term, that is dependent on its severity, and present even when the AKI is transient. We have also shown that this difference in cardiovascular mortality becomes more pronounced from the medium-term, and thus closer follow-up of these patients is required.

Effectiveness of the d-ROMs oxidative stress test to predict long-term cardiovascular mortality

BackgroundThe long-term prognostic value of the derivatives of reactive oxidative metabolites (d-ROMs) oxidative stress test, which measures hydroperoxide in blood, has not been fully investigated. Methods and resultsWe administered the d-ROMs test to 265 patients with cardiovascular disease (204 men, 61 women; age, 65 ± 13 years) and followed these patients for up to 10 years. During the observational period of 5.82 (2.47–8.34) years, 31 (12%) patients died, including 20 (8%) of cardiovascular death, and 33 (12%) had major adverse cardiovascular events (MACEs). Cox regression analysis revealed that patients with a d-ROMs value ≥395 U.CARR had a greater risk for all-cause mortality [unadjusted hazard ratio (95% confidence interval), 3.586 (1.772–7.257)], cardiovascular death [7.034 (2.805–17.640)], and MACEs [4.440 (2.237–8.814)] (p < 0.001 for all). In a model adjusted for age, sex, estimated glomerular filtration rate, C-reactive protein, diabetes, hypertension, hyperlipidemia, coronary artery diseases, current smoking, and log-transformed brain natriuretic peptide, all-cause death [2.311 (1.059–5.135), p = 0.036], cardiovascular death [4.398 (1.599–12.099), p = 0.004], MACEs [2.696 (1.266–5.739), p = 0.010] were still significant in patients with high d-ROMS values. ConclusionA high d-ROMs value is an independent predictor of the long-term risk of cardiovascular mortality. A d-ROMs value of 395 U.CARR was considered to be an appropriate threshold for distinguishing prognosis.

Comparison of Effect of Ischemic Postconditioning on Cardiovascular Mortality in Patients With ST-Segment Elevation Myocardial Infarction Treated With Primary Percutaneous Coronary Intervention With Versus Without Thrombectomy

In patients with ST-segment elevation myocardial infarction (STEMI), ischemic postconditioning (iPOST) have shown ambiguous results in minimizing reperfusion injury. Previous findings show beneficial effects of iPOST in patients with STEMI treated without thrombectomy. However, it remains unknown whether the cardioprotective effect of iPOST in these patients persist on long term. In the current study, all patients were identified through the DANAMI-3-iPOST database. Patients were randomized to conventional primary percutaneous coronary intervention (PCI) or iPOST in addition to PCI. Cumulative incidence rates were calculated, and multivariable analyses stratified according to thrombectomy use were performed. The primary end point was a combination of cardiovascular mortality and hospitalization for heart failure. From 2011 to 2014, 1,234 patients with STEMI were included with a median follow-up of 4.8 years. In patients treated without thrombectomy (n=520), the primary end point occurred in 15% (48/326) in the iPOST group and in 22% (42/194) in the conventional group (unadjusted hazard ratio [HR] 0.62, 95% confidence interval [CI] 0.41 to 0.94, p=0.023). In adjusted Cox analysis, iPOST remained associated with reduced long-term risk of cardiovascular mortality (HR 0.53, 95% CI 0.29 to 0.97, p=0.039). In patients treated with thrombectomy (n=714), there was no significant difference between iPOST (17%, 49/291) and conventional treatment (17%, 72/423) on the primary end point (unadjusted HR 1.01, 95% CI 0.70 to 1.45, p=0.95). During a follow-up of nearly 5 years, iPOST reduced long-term occurrence of cardiovascular mortality and hospitalization for heart failure in patients with STEMI treated with PCI but without thrombectomy.

Exercise-Induced Ventricular Ectopy and Cardiovascular Mortality in Asymptomatic Individuals

BackgroundThe prognosis of exercise-induced premature ventricular contractions (PVCs) in asymptomatic individuals is unclear. ObjectivesThis study sought to investigate whether high-grade PVCs during stress testing predict mortality in asymptomatic individuals. MethodsA cohort of 5,486 asymptomatic individuals who took part in the Lipid Research Clinics prospective cohort had baseline interview, physical examination, blood tests, and underwent Bruce protocol treadmill testing. Adjusted Cox survival models evaluated the association of exercise-induced high-grade PVCs (defined as either frequent (>10 per minute), multifocal, R-on-T type, or ≥2 PVCs in a row) with all-cause and cardiovascular mortality. ResultsMean baseline age was 45.4 ± 10.8 years; 42% were women. During a mean follow-up of 20.2 ± 3.9 years, 840 deaths occurred, including 311 cardiovascular deaths. High-grade PVCs occurred during exercise in 1.8% of individuals, during recovery in 2.4%, and during both in 0.8%. After adjusting for age, sex, diabetes, hypertension, lipids, smoking, body mass index, and family history of premature coronary disease, high-grade PVCs during recovery were associated with cardiovascular mortality (hazard ratio [HR]: 1.82; 95% CI: 1.19-2.79; P = 0.006), which remained significant after further adjusting for exercise duration, heart rate recovery, achieving target heart rate, and ST-segment depression (HR: 1.68; 95% CI: 1.09-2.60; P = 0.020). Results were similar by clinical subgroups. High-grade PVCs occurring during the exercise phase were not associated with increased risk. Recovery PVCs did not improve 20-year cardiovascular mortality risk discrimination beyond clinical variables. ConclusionsHigh-grade PVCs occurring during recovery were associated with long-term risk of cardiovascular mortality in asymptomatic individuals, whereas PVCs occurring only during exercise were not associated with increased risk.

Pharmacological blood pressure control and outcomes in patients with hypertensive crisis discharged from the emergency department.

Pharmacological blood pressure (BP) intervention for high blood pressure is controversial for a wide spectrum of hypertensive crisis in the emergency department (ED). We evaluated whether medical control of BP altered the short- and long-term outcomes among patients with hypertensive crisis who were discharged from the ED under universal health care. This retrospective cohort comprised 22 906 adults discharged from the ED of a tertiary hospital with initial systolic BP ≥ 180 mmHg or diastolic BP ≥ 120 mmHg between 2010 and 2016. The main exposure was the use of antihypertensive medication during the ED stay. Clinical endpoints were revisits to the ED or inpatient admission (at 7, 30, and 60 days), cardiovascular mortality (at 1, 3, and 5 years), and incident stroke (at 1, 3, and 5 years). The associations between pharmacological intervention for BP and outcomes were evaluated using multivariable Cox proportional-hazards models. Of the patient data analyzed, 72.2% were not treated pharmacologically and 68.4% underwent evaluation of end-organ damage. Pharmacological intervention for BP was significantly associated with a 11% and 11% reduced risk of hospital revisits within 30 or 60 days of discharge from ED, respectively, particularly among patients with polypharmacy. No association between pharmacological intervention for BP and incident stroke and cardiovascular mortality was observed. A revision of diagnostic criteria for hypertensive crisis is essential. Although pharmacological intervention for BP may not alter the long-term risk of cardiovascular mortality, it significantly reduces short-term health care utilization.

Population-specific and trans-ancestry genome-wide analyses identify distinct and shared genetic risk loci for coronary artery disease.

To elucidate the genetics of coronary artery disease (CAD) in the Japanese population, we conducted a large-scale genome-wide association study of 168,228 individuals of Japanese ancestry (25,892 cases and 142,336 controls) with genotype imputation using a newly developed reference panel of Japanese haplotypes including 1,781 CAD cases and 2,636 controls. We detected eight new susceptibility loci and Japanese-specific rare variants contributing to disease severity and increased cardiovascular mortality. We then conducted a trans-ancestry meta-analysis and discovered 35 additional new loci. Using the meta-analysis results, we derived a polygenic risk score (PRS) for CAD, which outperformed those derived from either Japanese or European genome-wide association studies. The PRS prioritized risk factors among various clinical parameters and segregated individuals with increased risk of long-term cardiovascular mortality. Our data improve the clinical characterization of CAD genetics and suggest the utility of trans-ancestry meta-analysis for PRS derivation in non-European populations.

Association between albumin-to-globulin ratio and long-term mortality in patients with chronic kidney disease: a cohort study.

To examine whether albumin-to-globulin ratio (AGR) is correlated with long-term mortality in patients with chronic kidney disease (CKD), we performed this study using data from the National Health and Nutrition Examination Survey through 1999-2006. 3302 CKD patients were included. Patients' baseline characteristics were collected. Multivariate Cox proportional hazards models were used to investigate the association between AGR and the study outcomes, including long-term all-cause and cardiovascular mortality. Subgroup analysis using the Cox proportional hazards model was performed as a sensitivity test. During a median follow-up duration of 122.00months, 1627 (49.27%) deaths were recorded and 440 patients died from cardiovascular disease. In adjusted model 1, AGR ≥ 1.26 group was associated with a lower risk of long-term all-cause mortality HR 0.72, 95% CI 0.65-0.81) compared with AGR < 1.26 group. A similar result was obtained in adjusted model 2. In adjusted model 1, AGR ≥ 1.08 group was associated with a lower risk of long-term cardiovascular mortality (HR 0.59, 95% CI 0.45-0.78) compared with AGR < 1.08 group. In adjusted model 2, there was no significant association between AGR ≥ 1.08 group and a decreased risk of long-term cardiovascular mortality (HR 0.82, 95% CI 0.95-1.12) compared with AGR < 1.08 group. The association of AGR with long-term all-cause mortality differed by gender and age while the association of AGR with long-term cardiovascular mortality differed by age after multivariate adjustment. AGR is a potential biomarker in risk predictions for long-term mortality in CKD patients, especially in males under age 65.

Long-term prognosis of de novo atrial fibrillation during acute myocardial infarction: the impact of anti-thrombotic treatment strategies.

While the prognosis of patients presenting with de novo atrial fibrillation (AF) during the acute phase of myocardial infarction has been controversially discussed, it seems intuitive that affected individuals have an increased risk for both thrombo-embolic events and mortality. However, profound data on long-term outcome of this highly vulnerable patient population are not available in current literature. Therefore, we aimed to investigate the impact of de novo AF and associated anti-thrombotic treatment strategies on the patient outcome from a long-term perspective. Patients presenting with acute myocardial infarction, treated at the Medical University of Vienna, were enrolled within a clinical registry and screened for the development of de novo AF. After discharge, participants were followed prospectively over a median time of 8.6 years. Primary study endpoint was defined as cardiovascular mortality. Out of 1372 enrolled individuals 149 (10.9%) developed de novo AF during the acute phase of acute myocardial infarction. After a median follow-up time of 8.6 years, a total of 418 (30.5%) died due to cardiovascular causes, including 93 (62.4%) in the de novo AF subgroup. We found that de novo AF was significantly associated with long-term cardiovascular mortality with an adjusted HR of 1.45 (95% CI 1.19-2.57; P < 0.001). While patients with de novo AF were less likely to receive a triple anti-thrombotic therapy as compared to patients with pre-existing AF at time of discharge, this therapeutic approach showed a strong and inverse association with mortality in de novo AF, with an adj. HR of 0.86 (95% CI 0.45-0.92; P = 0.012). De novo AF was independently associated with a poor prognosis with a 67% increased risk of long-term cardiovascular mortality. Intensified anti-thrombotic treatment in this high-risk patient population might be considered.

Post-transplantation plasma malondialdehyde is associated with cardiovascular mortality in renal transplant recipients: a prospective cohort study.

BackgroundIn renal transplant recipients (RTRs), cardiovascular mortality is the most common cause of long-term renal graft loss. Oxidative stress (OS) has been associated with cardiovascular disease and is known to be enhanced in RTRs. We aimed to prospectively investigate whether the concentration of the OS biomarker malondialdehyde (MDA) is associated with long-term risk of cardiovascular mortality in a large cohort of RTRs.MethodsThe plasma MDA concentration was measured using the thiobarbituric acid reaction assay in 604 extensively phenotyped RTRs with a functioning allograft for ≥1 year. The association between MDA and cardiovascular mortality was assessed using Cox proportional hazard regression analyses in the overall cohort and within subgroups according to significant effect modifiers.ResultsMedian circulating MDA concentration at baseline was 5.38 [interquartile range (IQR) 4.31–6.45] μmol/L. During a follow-up period of 6.4 (IQR 5.6–6.8) years, 110 (18%) RTRs died, with 40% of deaths due to cardiovascular causes. MDA concentration was significantly associated with the risk for cardiovascular mortality {hazard ratio [HR] 1.31 [95% confidence interval (CI) 1.03–1.67] per 1-SD increment}, independent of adjustment for potential confounders, including renal function, immunosuppressive therapy, smoking status and blood pressure. The association between MDA concentration and the risk for cardiovascular mortality was stronger in RTRs with relatively lower plasma ascorbic acid concentrations [≤42.5 µmol/L; HR 1.79 (95% CI 1.30–2.48) per 1-SD increment] or relatively lower estimated glomerular filtration rates [≤45 mL/min/1.73 m2; HR 2.09 (95% CI 1.45–3.00) per 1-SD increment].ConclusionsCirculating MDA concentration is independently associated with long-term risk for cardiovascular mortality, particularly in RTRs with relatively lower ascorbic acid concentrations or renal function. Further studies are warranted to elucidate whether OS-targeted interventions could decrease cardiovascular mortality in RTRs.

Cardiovascular rEmodelling in living kidNey donorS with reduced glomerular filtration rate: rationale and design of the CENS study

Purpose: Until recently, it has been believed that donating a kidney not represents any risk for development of cardiovascular disease. However, a recent Norwegian epidemiological study suggests that kidney donors have an increased long-term risk of cardiovascular mortality. The pathophysiological mechanisms linking reduced kidney function to cardiovascular disease are not known. Living kidney donors are screened for cardiovascular morbidity before unilateral nephrectomy, and are left with mildly reduced glomerular filtration rate (GFR) after donation. Therefore, they represent an unique model for investigating the pathogenesis linking reduced GFR to cardiovascular disease and cardiovascular remodelling. We present the study design of Cardiovascular rEmodelling in living kidNey donorS with reduced glomerular filtration rate (CENS), which is an investigator-initiated prospective observational study on living kidney donors. The hypothesis is that living kidney donors develop cardiovascular remodelling due to a reduction of GFR.Materials and methods: 60 living kidney donors and 60 age and sex matched healthy controls will be recruited. The controls will be evaluated to fulfil the Norwegian transplantation protocol for living kidney donors. Investigations will be performed at baseline and after 1, 3, 6 and 10 years in both groups. The investigations include cardiac magnetic resonance imaging, echocardiography, bone density scan, flow mediated dilatation, laser Doppler flowmetry, nailfold capillaroscopy, office blood pressure, 24-h ambulatory blood pressure, heart rate variability and investigation of microbiota and biomarkers for inflammation, cardiovascular risk and the calcium-phosphate metabolism.Conclusions: The present study seeks to provide new insight in the pathophysiological mechanisms linking reduced kidney function to cardiovascular disease. In addition, we aim to enlighten predictors of adverse cardiovascular outcome in living kidney donors. The study is registered at Clinical-Trials.gov (identifier: NCT03729557).

Circulating Advanced Glycation Endproducts and Long-Term Risk of Cardiovascular Mortality in Kidney Transplant Recipients.

In kidney transplant recipients, elevated circulating advanced glycation endproducts (AGEs) are the result of increased formation and decreased kidney clearance. AGEs trigger several intracellular mechanisms that ultimately yield excess cardiovascular disease. We hypothesized that, in stable kidney transplant recipients, circulating AGEs are associated with long-term risk of cardiovascular mortality, and that such a relationship is mediated by inflammatory, oxidative stress, and endothelial dysfunction biomarkers. Prospective cohort study of stable kidney transplant recipients recruited between 2001 and 2003 in a university setting. We performed multivariable-adjusted Cox regression analyses to assess the association of AGEs (i.e., Nε-[Carboxymethyl]lysine (CML) and Nε-[Carboxyethyl]lysine (CEL), measured by tandem mass spectrometry) with cardiovascular mortality. Mediation analyses were performed according to Preacher and Hayes's procedure. We included 555 kidney transplant recipients (age 51±12 years, 56% men). During a median follow-up of 6.9 years, 122 kidney transplant recipients died (52% deaths were due to cardiovascular causes). CML and CEL concentrations were directly associated with cardiovascular mortality (respectively, hazard ratio, 1.55; 95% confidence interval, 1.24 to 1.95; P<0.001; and hazard ratio, 1.53; 95% confidence interval 1.18 to 1.98; P=0.002), independent of age, diabetes, smoking status, body mass index, eGFR and proteinuria. Further adjustments, including cardiovascular history, did not materially change these findings. In mediation analyses, free thiol groups and soluble vascular cell adhesion molecule-1 consistently explained approximately 35% of the association of CML and CEL with cardiovascular mortality. In stable kidney transplant recipients, circulating levels of AGEs are independently associated with long-term risk of cardiovascular mortality. This article contains a podcast at https://www.asn-online.org/media/podcast/CJASN/2019_09_17_CJN00540119.mp3.

Long-term risk of cardiovascular mortality in lymphoma survivors: A systematic review and meta-analysis.

Cardiovascular disease has been identified as one of the late complications of cancer therapy. The purpose of this study was to quantify the long‐term risk of cardiovascular mortality among lymphoma survivors relative to that of the general population. A systematic review and meta‐analysis were conducted. Articles were identified in November 2016 by searching EMBASE, MEDLINE, and CINAHL databases. Observational studies were included if they assessed cardiovascular mortality in patients with lymphoma who survived for at least 5 years from time of diagnosis or if they had a median follow‐up of 10 years. A pooled standardized mortality ratio (SMR) was estimated using a DerSimonian and Laird random‐effects model. The Q and I 2 statistics were used to assess heterogeneity. Funnel plots and Begg's and Egger's tests were used to evaluate publication bias. Of the 7450 articles screened, 27 studies were included in the systematic review representing 46 829 Hodgkin and 14 764 non‐Hodgkin lymphoma survivors. The pooled number of deaths attributable to cardiovascular disease among Hodgkin and non‐Hodgkin disease was estimated to be 7.31 (95% CI: 5.29‐10.10; I 2 = 95.4%) and 5.35 (95% CI: 2.55‐11.24; I 2 = 94.0%) times that of the general population, respectively. This association was greater among Hodgkin lymphoma survivors treated before the age of 21 (pooled SMR = 13.43; 95% CI: 9.22‐19.57; I 2 = 78.9%). There was a high degree of heterogeneity and a high risk of bias due to confounding in this body of literature. Lymphoma survivors have an increased risk of fatal cardiovascular events compared to the general population and should be targeted for cardiovascular screening and prevention campaigns.

Impact of uric acid levels on the risk of long-term cardiovascular mortality in patients with type 2 diabetes mellitus

BackgroundHyperuricemia is associated to cardiovascular disease. However, the contribution of uric acid (UA) to cardiovascular mortality in diabetic patients is controversial. ObjectiveTo assess the impact of UA levels on the risk of cardiovascular mortality risk in a cohort of patients with type 2 diabetes mellitus (T2DM). Patients and methodsA prospective cohort study on outpatients with T2DM. The clinical endpoint was cardiovascular death. Anthropometric, demographic, clinical, and biochemical variables were collected, including UA levels, urinary albumin excretion and estimated glomerular filtration rate. The independent contribution of UA levels to cardiovascular mortality was assessed using multivariate Cox regression models, progressively adjusted for potential confounders. ResultsA total of 452 patients with a mean age of 65.9 (SD 9.5) years were enrolled. Mean UA level was 4.2mg/dl. Quartiles of UA levels were Q1<3.3; Q2: 3.3–4.2; Q3: 4.3–5.1; Q4>5.1mg/dl. UA levels significantly correlated with estimated glomerular filtration rate (Rho=−0.227; p<0.001). During a median follow-up time of 13 years, cardiovascular mortality rates were higher in Q4 of the UA distribution (Q1: 10.7; Q2: 11.7; Q3: 10.7; Q4: 21.6 per 1000 patient-years; p=0.027). UA was a predictor of cardiovascular mortality in the univariate analysis (HR1mg/dl=1.30; p=0.002), but not in a multivariate analysis adjusted for urinary albumin excretion and eGFR (HR1mg/dl=1.20; p=0.12). Discussion and conclusionsHigh UA levels are associated to cardiovascular mortality in patients with T2DM. However, the role of UA may be mediated by impaired kidney function in patients with hyperuricemia.

1191Cardiorespiratory fitness and the long-term risk of cardiovascular mortality: 42 years of follow up

1191Cardiorespiratory fitness and the long-term risk of cardiovascular mortality: 42 years of follow up