Risk Of Future Hip Fracture Research Articles

Fully automated CT imaging biomarkers for opportunistic prediction of future hip fractures.

Assess automated CT imaging biomarkers in patients who went on to hip fracture, compared with controls. In this retrospective case-control study, 6926 total patients underwent initial abdominal CT over a 20-year interval at one institution. A total of 1308 patients (mean age at initial CT, 70.5 ± 12.0 years; 64.4% female) went on to hip fracture (mean time to fracture, 5.2 years); 5618 were controls (mean age 70.3 ± 12.0 years; 61.2% female; mean follow-up interval 7.6 years). Validated fully automated quantitative CT algorithms for trabecular bone attenuation (at L1), skeletal muscle attenuation (at L3), and subcutaneous adipose tissue area (SAT) (at L3) were applied to all scans. Hazard ratios (HRs) comparing highest to lowest risk quartiles and receiver operating characteristic (ROC) curve analysis including area under the curve (AUC) were derived. Hip fracture HRs (95% CI) were 3.18 (2.69-3.76) for low trabecular bone HU, 1.50 (1.28-1.75) for low muscle HU, and 2.18 (1.86-2.56) for low SAT. 10-year ROC AUC values for predicting hip fracture were 0.702, 0.603, and 0.603 for these CT-based biomarkers, respectively. Multivariate combinations of these biomarkers further improved predictive value; the 10-year ROC AUC combining bone/muscle/SAT was 0.733, while combining muscle/SAT was 0.686. Opportunistic use of automated CT bone, muscle, and fat measures can identify patients at higher risk for future hip fracture, regardless of the indication for CT imaging. CT data can be leveraged opportunistically for further patient evaluation, with early intervention as needed. These novel AI tools analyse CT data to determine a patient's future hip fracture risk.

250 EXPANSION OF THE ORTHOGERIATRIC SERVICE: EARLY EXPERIENCES

Abstract Background The introduction of hip fracture standards has led to improvement in outcomes for hip fracture patients. Other osteoporotic fragility fractures also lead to significant morbidity. They are associated with a high risk of future hip fracture. The Orthogeriatric Service at a model 3 hospital was expanded to proactively undertake comprehensive geriatric assessment(CGA) for patients over 65 with non-hip fragility fractures(NHFF) admitted to the Orthopaedic Ward. Electronic discharge summaries were created for all patients. This study aimed to characterise patients reviewed by Orthogeriatrics and review discharge summary documentation of CGA. Methods Patients reviewed by Orthogeriatrics during the period Jan-June 2021 were retrospectively analysed. Discharge summaries of these patients were retrospectively reviewed. The prevalence of documentation of frailty status, delirium screening and bone health plan was recorded. Results A total(n = 126) of 91 patients with hip fractures and 35 with NHFF were included. Other fracture types were excluded. The mean age of hip fracture patients was 82.43 compared to 78.2 in the NHFF group. 71%(n = 65) of hip fracture patients were female compared to 80% (n = 28) of NHFF. 80%(n = 73) of hip fracture patients were reviewed within 48 hours of admission, compared to 65%(n = 23) of NHFF. 52.7%(n = 48)of hip fracture patients had frailty status documented on their discharge summary, compared to 37.1%(n = 13) of NHFF. Delirium screening was documented for 58.2%(n = 53) of the hip fracture patients, compared to 40%(n = 14) of NHFF. Bone health plans were documented for 62.6%(n = 57) of hip fracture patients compared to 60%(n = 21) of NHFF. Conclusion Expansion of the Orthogeriatric Service to proactively review all NHFF patients will lead to reduced incidence of repeat fracture for this population. A lower percentage of NHFF patients had clear discharge documentation of CGA outcomes and a lower percentage were reviewed within 48 hours. Expansion of hip fracture standards to include all fragility fracture patients should be considered to incentivise improved care for all.

Association between self-rated health and the risk of hip fracture and mortality in a cohort of older women during a 10-year follow-up.

Fragility fracture of the hip is associated with reduced functional status and mortality. Poor self-rated health (SRH) might be such an indicator. Our aim was to study if SRH was associated with hip fractures and all-cause mortality within the next 10 years in community-dwelling older women. A population-based sample of 350 women aged between 69 and 79 years (median 72.4) assessed their SRH by answering the question “How would you rate your health right now” by putting a mark on a visual-analogue scale (0–100 mm). Information on hip fracture and mortality over the next 10 years was retrieved from health care registers. The association between SRH and hip fracture and all-cause mortality was tested with a Cox proportional hazards regression model. SRH was divided into low, intermediate, and high (reference) assessed SRH. During the study, 40 hip fractures and 72 deaths occurred. The median value of SRH was 62 mm (IQR 50–81 mm). The age-adjusted hazard ratio (HR) for hip fracture was significantly higher in the group with low and intermediate SRH; HR: 3.17 (95% CI 1.25–8.01), and HR: 2.75 (95% CI 1.08–7.04), compared with high SRH. Adding bone mineral density (at the femoral neck) gave even greater risk. We did not find the hypothesized association between SRH and mortality. In our study, SRH indicated a higher risk of future hip fracture in older women. SRH might be a marker that could add information about the risk of hip fracture independently of bone mineral density.

Sarcopenia as a Risk Factor for Future Hip Fracture: A Meta-Analysis of Prospective Cohort Studies.

Our study aims to determine whether sarcopenia is a predictive factor of future hip fractures. Systematic review and meta-analysis. Set: We searched for potentially suitable articles in PubMed, Cochrane library, Medline and EMBASE from inception to March 2020. The quality of the research was assessed by the Newcastle-Ottawa Scale (NOS). Finally, a meta-analysis was conducted with the Stata software. Older community-dwelling residents. Hip fracture due to sarcopenia. We retrieved 2129 studies through our search strategy, and five studies with 23,359 individuals were analyzed in our pooled analyses. Sarcopenia increases the risk of future hip fractures with a pooled hazard ratio (HR) of 1.42 (95% CI: 1.18-1.71, P <0.001, I2 = 37.7%). In addition, in subgroup analyses based on different definitions of sarcopenia, sarcopenia was associated with the risk of future hip fractures with the Asian Working Group for Sarcopenia (AWGS) criteria with a pooled HR of 2.13(95% CI: 1.33-3.43). When subgroup analyses were conducted by sex, sarcopenia was associated with the risk for future hip fractures in females with pooled HRs of 1.69 (95% CI: 1.18-2.43). Sarcopenia was associated with the risk of future hip fractures in the group with a follow-up period of more than 5 years, with a pooled HR of 1.32 (95% CI: 1.08-1.61), and in the group with a follow-up period of less than 5 years, with a pooled HR of 2.13 (95% CI: 1.33-3.43). Sarcopenia could significantly increase the risk of future hip fracture in old people; thus, it is necessary to prevent hip fractures in individuals with sarcopenia.

Mediterranean Diet and Hip Fracture in Swedish Men and Women.

A Mediterranean diet, known to have beneficial effects on cardiovascular health, may also influence the risk of hip fracture although previous studies present discrepant results. We therefore aimed to determine whether the rate of hip fracture was associated with degree of adherence to a Mediterranean diet. We combined two Swedish cohort studies consisting of 37,903 men and 33,403 women (total n = 71,333, mean age 60 years) free of previous cardiovascular disease and cancer who answered a medical and a food-frequency questionnaire in 1997. A modified Mediterranean diet score (mMED; range, 0 to 8 points) was created based on high consumption of fruits and vegetables, legumes and nuts, whole grains, fermented dairy products, fish, and olive/rapeseed oil, moderate intake of alcohol, and low intake of red and processed meat. Incident hip fractures between January 1, 1998, and December 31, 2012, were retrieved from the National Patient Register. Hazard ratios (HRs) and 95% confidence intervals (CIs) adjusted for potential confounders were calculated using Cox proportional hazards regression. Differences in age at hip fracture were calculated using multivariable Laplace regression. During follow-up, 3175 hip fractures occurred at a median age of 73.3 years. One unit increase in the mMED was associated with 6% lower hip fracture rate (adjusted HR = 0.94; 95% CI, 0.92 to 0.96) and with a 3-month higher median age at hip fracture (50th percentile difference = 2.8 months; 95% CI, 1.4 to 4.2). Comparing the highest quintile of adherence to the mMED (6 to 8 points) with the lowest (0 to 2 points) conferred an adjusted HR of hip fracture of 0.78 (95% CI, 0.69 to 0.89) and a 12-month higher median age of hip fracture (50th percentile difference = 11.6 months; 95% CI, 4.2 to 19.0). Results were similar in men and women. We conclude that higher adherence to a Mediterranean-like diet is associated with lower risk of future hip fracture. © 2016 American Society for Bone and Mineral Research.

Prevalent Vertebral Fractures on Chest CT: Higher Risk for Future Hip Fracture

Subclinical or undiagnosed vertebral fractures on routine chest computed tomography (CT) may be useful for detecting patients at increased risk of future hip fractures who might benefit from preventive interventions. We investigated whether prevalent vertebral fractures on routine chest CT are associated with future hip fractures. From a source population of 5679 patients ≥40 years old undergoing chest CT in one of three Dutch hospitals between 2002 and 2005, patients hospitalized for hip fractures (n = 149) during a median follow-up of 4.4 years were identified. Following a case-cohort design, a random sample of 576 patients was drawn from the source population and added to the cases. In this group, the presence and severity of vertebral fractures was determined using semiquantitative vertebral fracture assessment and multivariate case-cohort appropriate Cox modeling. We found that cases were older (69 versus 63 years) and more often female (48% versus 38%) than the source population. Compared with those with no fracture, patients with any vertebral fracture had triple the risk of future hip fracture (age- and gender-adjusted hazard ratio [HR] = 3.1, 95% confidence interval [CI] 2.1-4.7). This HR rose to 3.8 (CI 2.6-5.6) if mild fractures were discounted. Future fracture risk increased significantly with increasing severity of vertebral fracture status: from mild (HR = 2.4, CI 1.5-3.7) and moderate (HR = 4.8, CI 2.5-9.2) to severe (HR = 6.7, CI 2.9-15.5). The same was true for having higher cumulative fracture grades: 1 to 3 (HR = 2.7, CI 1.8-4.1), 4 to 6 (HR = 4.8, CI 2.2-10.5), or ≥7 (HR = 11.2, CI 3.7-34.6). In conclusion, prevalent vertebral fractures on routine clinical chest CT are associated with future hip fracture risk.

Hip fracture risk in older US adults by treatment eligibility status based on new National Osteoporosis Foundation guidance

This analysis of National Health and Nutrition Examination Survey III data found a significant risk of incident hip fracture in adults aged 65 years and older who are candidates for treatment to lower fracture risk, according to the new National Osteoporosis Foundation Clinician's Guide. The relationship between treatment eligibility by the new National Osteoporosis Foundation (NOF) Guide to the Prevention and Treatment of Osteoporosis and the risk of subsequent hip fracture is unknown. The study sample consisted of 3,208 men and women ages 65 years and older who were examined in the third National Health and Nutrition Examination Survey (NHANES III, 1988-1994), a nationally representative survey. Risk factors used to define treatment eligibility at baseline were measured in NHANES III or were simulated using World Health Organization study cohorts. Incident hip fractures were ascertained using linked mortality and Medicare records that were obtained for NHANES III participants through December 31, 2000. Cox proportional hazards models were used to estimate the relative risk (RR) of hip fracture by treatment eligibility status. The RR for subsequent hip fracture was 4.9 (95% CI 3.30, 7.94) in treatment-eligible vs treatment-ineligible persons. The increased risk for treatment-eligible persons remained statistically significant when examined by sex or age: RR(men) = 5.5 (2.6, 11.4) and RR(women) = 4.3 (2.2, 8.4); RR(65-79 y) = 4.8 (2.6, 8.7) and RR(80+ y) = 4.6 (2.1, 10.1). Treatment-eligible persons were about five times more likely to experience a subsequent hip fracture than the non-eligible persons. The new NOF guidelines appear to predict future hip fracture risk equally in men as in women, and fracture risk prediction did not appear to diminish with age.

Physical activity in middle-aged women and hip fracture risk: the UFO study

In a population-based case-control study, we demonstrate that middle-aged women who were active with walking or in different physical spare time activities were at lower risk of later sustaining a hip fracture compared to more sedentary women. In middle-aged women participating in the Umeå Fracture and Osteoporosis (UFO) study, we investigated whether physical activity is associated with a subsequent decreased risk of sustaining a hip fracture. The UFO study is a nested case-control study investigating associations between bone markers, lifestyle, and osteoporotic fractures. We identified 81 female hip fracture cases that had reported lifestyle data before they sustained their fracture. Each case was compared with two female controls who were identified from the same cohort and matched for age and week of reporting data, yielding a total cohort of 237 subjects. Mean age at baseline was 57.2 ± 5.0 years, and mean age at fracture was 65.4 ± 6.4 years. Conditional logistic regression analysis with adjustments for height, weight, smoking, and menopausal status showed that subjects who were regularly active with walking or had a moderate or high frequency of physical spare time activities (i.e. berry/mushroom picking and snow shovelling) were at reduced risk of sustaining a hip fracture (OR 0.14; 95% CI; 0.05-0.53 for walking and OR 0.19; 95% CI; 0.08-0.46, OR 0.17, 95% CI; 0.05-0.64 for moderate and high frequency of spare time activities, respectively) compared to more sedentary women. An active lifestyle in middle age seems to reduce the risk of future hip fracture. Possible mechanisms may include improved muscle strength, coordination, and balance resulting in a decreased risk of falling and perhaps also direct skeletal benefits.

HipWatch: Osteoporosis Investigation and Treatment After a Hip Fracture: A 6-Month Randomized Controlled Trial

We aimed to determine whether a novel Patient Empowerment and Physician Alerting (PEPA) intervention would improve the proportion of seniors who were investigated and treated for osteoporosis after hip fracture. We undertook a 6-month randomized controlled trial (RCT) in 48 women and men >/= 60 years old who had suffered a hip fracture and were admitted to a tertiary-care university hospital. The primary outcome measure was the proportion of participants offered one or more osteoporosis-specific 'best practices' measured using the Diagnosis and Management Questionnaire (DMQ). Participant responses were validated in part by physician report. In the PEPA intervention group, 19 (68%) were offered one or more components of best practice care compared with 7 (35%) in the 'usual care' group (p <.05). In the PEPA group, 15 (54%) (p <.01) were prescribed bisphosphonate therapy, 8 (29%) (p <.01) had a bone mineral density scan, 11 (39%) were prescribed calcium and vitamin D (p =.32), and 9 (32%) (p <.01) were prescribed exercise. In the usual care group, 0 (0%) were prescribed bisphosphonate therapy, a bone mineral density assessment, or exercise and 6 (30%) were prescribed calcium and vitamin D. This simple, inexpensive PEPA intervention resulted in far superior clinical management than did usual care in a population at high risk of future hip fracture.

Cardiovascular diseases and future risk of hip fracture in women

We used a population-based case-control study in women and linkage to the Swedish in-patient register to examine if there is an increased risk of hip fracture after a cardiovascular disease. There was a substantially increased risk of hip fracture after a diagnosis of a cardiovascular disease. Recent data have indicated that cardiovascular diseases (CVDs) might have a relationship to osteoporosis, which may explain the increased risk of mortality after hip fracture. It is uncertain, however, whether there is an increased risk of fracture after any cardiovascular disease and in subgroups of CVDs. The objective of this study was to determine whether there are associations between CVD and future hip fracture risk. Knowledge of the risk pattern would lead to better understanding of common pathologic pathways of osteoporosis and CVD. We conducted a population-based case-control study of 1,327 incident hip fracture cases and 3,170 randomly selected population controls among women 50-81 years old in Sweden. Information on cardiovascular and other diseases before the fracture was obtained by linkage to the Swedish National Inpatient Register. Odds ratios (OR) and 95% confidence intervals (CI) where calculated by unconditional logistic regression. Before study entry, CVDs were diagnosed more than twice as commonly among fracture cases (25%) as among controls (12%). Also, after adjustment for variables including several chronic diseases, we found a doubled risk of hip fracture after a CVD event (OR 2.38; 95% CI 1.92-2.94). There was a gradient increase in risk of hip fracture with increasing number of hospitalizations for CVD and highest fracture risk occurred the first year after the CVD event. Hypertension, heart failure, and cerebrovascular lesions remained independent risk factors, with 2- to 3-fold increases in odds ratios, even after mutual adjustments for other CVDs. There was a substantially increased risk of hip fracture in women after a diagnosis of a CVD, a finding compatible with the concept of common pathologic pathways for osteoporotic fractures and CVD.

Physical Activity, Bone Mineral Density And Risk Of Hip Fracture In Older Adults

The estimated lifetime risk of osteoporotic fracture is as high as 50 percent, especially in white and Asian women. PURPOSE: Aging is characterized by decline in physical activity and bone mineral density (BMD), both of which contribute to increased risk for fracture. We determined the association between baseline physical activity and femoral bone mineral density and hip fracture risk in elderly community-dwelling women. METHODS: Data are from 446 elderly women aged 72–83 years participating in the Fall Prevention Study with a 4 year follow-up period, from a cohort of residence care facilities. BMD of the hip (femoral neck) was determined by dual X-ray absorptiometry. For the physical function, we measured the functional reach, walking speed, maximal step length and body sway. Using a pedometer, 24-hour total number of steps were calculated for one month, and using the mini mental state examination (MMSE), a trained examiner administered the cognitive testing results at baseline and at follow-up. The subjects were classified into quartiles of physical activity and BMD. Using the multiple logistic regressions, we analyzed odds ratio, and Cox proportional hazards models were used to calculate adjusted RR for hip fracture. RESULTS: For physical activity measurement, participants in the top quartile(s) had higher BMD than those in the lowest quartile. For the percent decline rate of MMSE scores, there was a significant association with physical activity level. Association was found between baseline gait speed and hip fracture and cognitive declination. In addition, daily physical activity and bone mineral density at baseline appeared to provide protection against risk of falling and cognitive declination. Participants in the lowest t-score of BMD quartile (< −3.5 g/cm2) had an increased risk of fracture than those of higher quartiles (> −1.0 g/cm2) (age and body mass-adjusted OR = 3.79; 95% CI. 1.07-10.24). The highest quartile of physical activity (> 9,500 steps/day) was associated with a risk ratio of 0.76 (0.24-0.96) relative to the lowest quartile (< 3900 steps/day). CONCLUSION: These results provide further evidence that there is an inverse association between baseline physical activity and bone mineral density, and future hip fracture risk among elderly.

Integrin β3 Leu33Pro polymorphism and risk of hip fracture: 25 years follow-up of 9233 adults from the general population

Integrin alphavbeta3 is essential for mature osteoclast function and therefore important for the development of osteoporosis and osteoporotic fractures. Integrin alphavbeta3 antagonists have antiresorptive effects in bone. We tested the hypothesis that the Leu33Pro polymorphism in the integrin beta3-subunit associates with risk of hip fracture. We included 9233 men and women selected at random to represent the Danish general population as participants in the Copenhagen City Heart Study. First-ever hip fractures (n=267) were registered during 25 years follow-up. Log-rank statistics and Cox regression were used to compare fracture incidences and risk estimates between genotypes. Genotyping rendered 69.9% noncarriers, 27.3% heterozygotes and 2.7% homozygotes. Incidence of hip fracture was 2.8 and 1.5 per 1000 person-years in homozygotes and noncarriers (log-rank: P=0.02), respectively. Multifactorial adjusted Cox regression revealed a hazard ratio of 2.0 (95% confidence interval: 1.1-3.5) for hip fracture in homozygotes versus noncarriers. After stratification by sex, equivalent hazard ratios were 2.0 (1.0-4.1) in women and 2.0 (0.8-5.0) in men. In the 2193 postmenopausal women, hazard ratio for hip fracture in homozygotes versus noncarriers after additional adjustment for age at menopause and use of hormone replacement therapy was 2.6 (1.2-5.3). Hazard ratio for hip fracture in heterozygotes versus noncarriers did not differ from 1.0. Individuals homozygous for the integrin beta3 Leu33Pro polymorphism have a two-fold risk of hip fracture, mainly confined to postmenopausal women. Integrin beta3 Leu33Pro homozygosity could prove a useful marker for risk of future hip fracture and may contribute to pharmacogenetic variation in effects of integrin alphavbeta3 antagonists.

Screening Elderly Women for Risk of Future Fractures—Participation Rates and Impact on Incidence of Falls and Fractures

We have assessed the acceptability of a method for screening for risk of future hip fracture in elderly women. After receipt of an initial response to a mailed risk-factor questionnaire sent out to 5,306 women, women were randomly assigned to active or control groups. The active group was invited to participate in a screening visit that comprised a life-style questionnaire and a quantitative ultrasound heel scan. General practitioners (GPs) of women who were found to be in the lowest quartile of broadband ultrasound attenuation and/or who had two or more risk factors for hip fracture were advised to prescribe a calcium and vitamin D supplement. A second mailed questionnaire was sent to both groups 1 to 3 years later. Compared with the control group, the active group had a 56% lower risk of fracture (odds ratio [OR], 0.44; 95% confidence interval [CI], 0.24-0.81 adjusted age, weight, and treatment status). At follow-up, the proportion of fallers in the active group (25.3%) was lower than that in the control group (29.6%) (P = 0.064). The control group was found to have a higher rate of falls at follow-up than the active group (95% CI, 0.02-0.22); no difference was found at baseline (95% CI, -0.08 to +0.14). The screening method used was found to be acceptable to the majority of elderly women in this study. Screening the elderly in this way together with simple advice on treatment appears to reduce the age-associated increase in fall rates and the number of subsequent fractures. This form of screening may provide a cost-effective method to reduce falls and fractures in free-living elderly women. However, no such cost-effectiveness analysis has been performed to date.

Identification of risk factors for future fracture in patients following distal forearm fracture.

The challenge for healthcare systems around the world is delivering timely preventative strategies to subjects most likely to develop fragility fractures. The success or failure of national campaigns will be determined at local level, and many studies to date have found under-utilization of osteoporosis treatment strategies due to reduced public and healthcare professional awareness. An important link between the at-risk patients and their appropriate therapy is their identification and assessment. In the context of a medium sized secondary care provider, this study examined the efficiency of a nurse-led service for assessing women following distal forearm fracture, looking for additional risk factors for future fracture and also looking at uptake of the assessment programme among the target population. Two hundred and two women, median (range) age 69 (50-91) years presented with distal forearm fracture over a 9-month period. Fifty-four subjects did not participate in the study: they were significantly older than those who did ( P<0.002). One hundred and forty-eight subjects underwent assessment of falls risk, future hip fracture risk and calcaneal ultrasound attenuation measurement: 107 attended for assessment at the hospital and 41 required a health professional to visit at their place of residence-the latter group were significantly older ( P<0.0002). Of 148 subjects assessed, 76 (51%) had one or more risk factors for a fall: these subjects were significantly older ( P<0.0002) and more likely to have required a home visit ( P<0.002). Twenty-seven (18%) were considered at risk of a future hip fracture: again they were older and more likely to have required a home visit ( P<0.0005). Ninety-one subjects (61%) had a calcaneal ultrasound attenuation T-score below -2.0, and were referred for bone densitometry: again, they were older ( P<0.0002) and more likely to have required a home visit ( P<0.05). Bone densitometry demonstrated osteoporosis in 47 (52%) of those with low attenuation, osteopenia in 31 and normal bone density in 13. Of 76 subjects deemed to be at risk of falls, 31 (41%) had osteoporosis demonstrated on bone densitometry and of those at risk of future hip fracture, 12 (44%) had osteoporosis. Only nine (22%) subjects who received home visits had no risk factors for falls or hip fracture and normal bone density, compared to 45 (42%) of those who attended hospital. This study has demonstrated that the efficiency of a program to assess additional risk of future fracture in a population who have already fractured may be influenced by where the assessment is delivered: it may be that the patients at greatest risk did not avail of the service.

Adolescent Caucasian mothers have reduced adult hip bone density

Objective: To determine the long-term effect of full term teen pregnancy on peak hip bone mineral density. Design: Longitudinal observational study. Setting: Academic clinical research center. Patient(s): Sixteen non-Hispanic white females: 4 cases and 12 matched controls who are part of The Penn State Young Women’s Health Study and have been studied from ages 12 to 21. Main Outcome Measures: Four of the subjects had uncomplicated full-term pregnancies between ages 16.5 and 19.5 years. Intervention(s): The cases and controls were matched for body mass index at age 12 years, total body bone mineral content at age 12 years, age of menarche, and sports–exercise score during ages 12–18 years. They were then compared with respect to bone measures, cardiovascular disease risk factors, and endocrine profiles at ages 19–21 years. Result(s): The four teen mothers had significantly lower adult hip bone mineral density than did the controls (0.89 g/cm 2 vs. 0.99 g/cm 2; P=.03). The reproductive hormone patterns of the cases were not statistically significantly different from those of the controls, yet the cases showed a postmenopausal blood lipid pattern. Conclusion(s): The persistent reduction in hip bone mineral density of the cases is consistent with significantly increased risk of future hip fracture.

Physical activity and osteoporotic hip fracture risk in men.

Physical activity has been related to reduced risk of osteoporotic hip fractures, but the evidence among men is weak. To determine the association between baseline leisure physical activity and future risk of osteoporotic hip fracture in men. At baseline in 1975 our prospective study cohort included 3,262 men who were 44 years or older and did not have chronic disease restricting their ability to exercise. At baseline, physical activity was assessed by a questionnaire. Hip fractures were followed for 21 years, or from the age of 50 years for subjects who were initially younger than 50 years. The hazard ratio of osteoporotic hip fracture, adjusted for other possible predictors (height, body mass index, baseline diseases, smoking, use of alcohol, work-related physical activity, and occupational group), in men participating in vigorous physical activity compared with men not participating was 0.38 (95% confidence interval, 0.16-0.91) (P = .03). These results provide further evidence that there is an inverse association between baseline physical activity and future hip fracture risk among men.

Ultrasound measurements at the proximal phalanges in healthy women and patients with hip fractures.

Measurements of bone mineral density (BMD) are useful for the assessment of fracture risk in osteoporosis. First prospective studies showed that quantitative ultrasound as measured at the calcaneus also predicts future hip fracture risk, independently of BMD and as accurately as BMD. The aim of this study was to compile a reference population for a new ultrasound device that determines amplitude-dependent speed of sound (AD-SOS) through the proximal phalanges of the hand and to prove its ability to distinguish between health volunteers and osteoporotic patients. In a case-control study we examined 139 healthy women aged 21-94 years and a group of 24 female patients aged 69-94 years with recent hip fractures. In the healthy reference population additional BMD measurements were performed with dual-energy X-ray absorptiometry (DXA) and quantitative ultrasound measurements at the calcaneus were carried out. In vivo precision of AD-SOS measurements through the phalanges was 0.52% CV. Simple regression analyses showed a negative correlation with age (r = -0.73, p < 0.001); modest significant correlations with BMD of the lumbar spine (r = 0.36, p < 0.001) and BMD of the femoral neck (r = 0.37, p = 0.002) as measured with DXA were shown. The comparison with another ultrasound device measuring SOS and broadband ultrasound attenuation (BUA) through the calcaneus showed correlation with SOS (r = 0.50, p < 0.001); no significant correlation was found with BUA measurements. Furthermore a dependency of AD-SOS values in anthropometric factors such as body mass index (r = 0.37, p < 0.001), height (r = 0.40, p < 0.001) and weight (r = 0.23, p < 0.05) was shown. First study results on 24 clinically diagnosed osteoporotic patients, defined as patients with recent (< 1 week) pertrochanteric or femoral neck fractures, showed a good separation between age- and sex-matched controls and osteoporotic patients (Z = -2.0 SD). Receiver operating characteristic (ROC) curves showed an area under the fitted curve of 0.83 +/- 0.06. These results are powerful for a device measuring AD-SOS through the proximal phalanges of the hand, and further prospective studies have proven the capability of phalangeal ultrasound in fracture risk assessment.

Phalangeal Bone Density and Hip Fracture Risk

To assess the long-term predictive usefulness of radiographic absorptiometry measurements of phalangeal bone density for hip fracture risk. Participants were members of the First National Health and Nutrition Examination Survey Epidemiologic Follow Up Study cohort. Subjects were followed up for a maximum of 16 years. The First National Health and Nutrition Examination Survey data were obtained from a nationally representative sample of non-institutionalized civilians. A cohort of 3481 white and black subjects (1559 white women) aged 45 through 74 years at baseline (1971-1975) were observed through 1987. Ninety-eight percent of the original cohort completed the study. Hospital records and death certificates were used to identify a total of 72 hip fracture cases. Phalangeal bone density at baseline was measured using photodensitometry (PD), and later reanalyzed by radiographic absorptiometry (RA), a newer, more sophisticated technique. Results were evaluated to determine the relative risk for hip fracture per 1-SD decrease in bone density, after controlling for age at baseline, race, gender, weight, and previous fractures. Both RA and PD measurements showed a significant inverse relationship to hip fracture risk, with RA density measurements showing a slightly higher adjusted relative risk per 1-SD density decrease than PD measurements. For RA bone density, the relative risk for all subjects was 1.81 (95% confidence interval, 1.34-2.44) compared with 1.57 (95% confidence interval, 1.19-2.07) for PD bone density after adjusting for age at baseline, race, gender, weight, and previous fractures. Results for white women were essentially the same as those for all subjects for RA bone density and PD bone density. Phalangeal bone density determined from standard hand x-ray films is a significant predictor of future hip fracture risk. Availability of a valid method to assess fracture risk using conventional radiographs will expand the ability to identify individuals with osteoporosis.