Risk Of Total Mortality Research Articles

Heat and cause-specific cardiopulmonary mortality in Germany: a case-crossover study using small-area assessment

High temperatures have been associated with increased mortality, with evidence reported predominately in large cities and for total cardiovascular or respiratory deaths. This case-crossover study examined heat-related cause-specific cardiopulmonary mortality and vulnerability factors using small-area data from Germany. We analyzed daily counts of cause-specific cardiopulmonary deaths from 380 German districts (2000-2016) and daily mean temperatures estimated by spatial-temporal models. We applied conditional quasi-Poisson regression using distributed lag nonlinear models to examine heat effects during May-September in each district and random-effects meta-analysis to pool the district-specific estimates. Potential individual- and district-level vulnerability factors were examined by subgroup analyses and meta-regressions, respectively. Heat was associated with increased mortality risks for all cardiopulmonary sub-causes. The relative risk (RR) of total cardiovascular and respiratory mortality for a temperature increment from the 75th to the 99th percentile was 1.24 (95% confidence interval: 1.23, 1.26) and 1.34 (1.30, 1.38), respectively. The RRs of cardiovascular sub-causes ranged from 1.16 (1.13, 1.19) for myocardial infarction to 1.32 (1.29, 1.36) for heart failure. For respiratory sub-causes, the RR was 1.27 (1.22, 1.31) for COPD and 1.49 (1.42, 1.57) for pneumonia. We observed greater susceptibility related to several individual- and district-level characteristics, e.g., among females or in highly urbanized districts. Heat vulnerability factors remained consistent between urban and rural areas. Our study highlights heat-related increases in cause-specific cardiopulmonary mortality across Germany and identifies key vulnerability factors, offering insights for improving public health practices to mitigate heat-related health impacts. European Union's Horizon 2020 research and innovation program; Helmholtz Associations Initiative and Networking Fund.

LE8 score in relation to cardiovascular disease and mortality in individuals with diabetes

Abstract Background Evidence regarding the potential health effects of Life’s Essential 8 (LE8) score among individuals with type 2 diabetes (T2D) is limited. Purpose We aimed to examine the associations of LE8 score with risk of cardiovascular disease (CVD) and mortality, among individuals with T2D. Methods We prospectively followed 19,915 Chinese participants with T2D at baseline or diagnosed during follow-up (Kailuan Study: 2006-2020), who were free of CVD at diagnosis of diabetes. Diet, lifestyle, and health conditions were repeatedly assessed every 2 years. The LE8 score (range, 0-100), was calculated based on 8 components: diet quality, physical activity, smoking status, sleep health, BMI, blood lipids, blood glucose, and blood pressure. We used time-varying cox models to model the associations. Results During a median follow-up of 11.5 years in participants with T2D, there were 3,295 incident CVD cases and 3,123 deaths. Higher LE8 score was associated with lower risk of CVD incidence and total mortality among participants with diabetes. The multivariate-adjusted hazard ratios and 95%CIs for the highest quintile of LE8 score compared with the lowest quintile were 0.56 (0.53, 0.59) for CVD incidence, 0.57 (0.53, 0.62) for heart disease incidence, 0.53 (0.49, 0.57) for stroke incidence, and 0.73 (0.69, 0.78) for total mortality (all p trend<0.001). Furthermore, compared with participants with stable or decreased LE8 score after diabetes diagnosis, those with increased LE8 score had 17%-42% lower risk of CVD incidence, heart disease incidence, stroke incidence, and total mortality. These associations persisted in subgroup analysis stratified by age, sex, BMI, smoking status, alcohol intake, family history of diabetes and CVD, and follow-up time. Conclusions Higher LE8 score was associated with a substantially lower risk of CVD incidence and total mortality among adults with T2D. These findings further support the tremendous benefit of adhering to a high CVH, defined as the LE8 in reducing the subsequent burden of cardiovascular complications and improving overall health in individuals with T2D.Main TableMain Figure

Independent associations of educational attainment and its joint associations with LE8 score for risk of cardiovascular disease incidence and mortality among Chinese people

Abstract Background/Introduction Educational attainment is a social determinant of health. Quantifying its associations with risk of cardiovascular disease (CVD) incidence and mortality has public health importance. Recently, the American Heart Association introduced the Life’s Essential 8 (LE8) score to evaluate CVD risk. However, it remains unclear how educational attainment and the LE8 score interact in their joint associations with CVD and mortality. Purpose To examine the associations of educational level with the incidence of CVD, including coronary heart disease (CHD) and stroke, and total mortality. Also, we examined the joint associations of educational level and the LE8 score with CVD incidence and total mortality. Methods We prospectively followed 91,744 Chinese adults from the Kailuan Study (2006-2021), who were free of CVD at baseline. Information on educational level, diet, lifestyle, and health conditions was collected every 2 years. LE8 score was calculated based on eight components: diet quality, physical activity, smoking status, sleep health, body mass index, blood lipids, blood glucose, and blood pressure. We used time-dependent Cox models to assess the associations of educational level with the outcomes as well as the joint associations of educational level and LE8 score, with adjustments for demographics, dietary and lifestyle factors, and medical history. Results During a mean follow-up of 13.1 years, there were 12,916 incident CVD cases and 13,090 deaths. Compared with the participants who only received illiteracy or elementary education, those who received high school education and above had a lower risk of CVD incidence (HR = 0.82, 95% CI = 0.76, 0.88), stroke incidence (0.72, (0.66, 0.79)), and total mortality (0.73, (0.68, 0.77)). Educational level was not associated with risk of CHD. Furthermore, significant additive interactions between educational attainment and LE8 score on the risk of CVD and mortality were observed (all p values for additive interactions <0.01). Compared with the participants who only received illiteracy or elementary education and had a low LE8 score, those who only received illiteracy or elementary education but had a high LE8 score still had a 27%-47% lower risk of CVD and total mortality, while those who received high school education and above and had a high LE8 score had a 51%-74% lower risk of CVD and total mortality. Conclusions Higher educational level was associated with a lower risk of CVD and mortality. These inverse associations were most apparent among participants with both a high educational level and a high LE8 score, while the participants with a low educational level but with a high LE8 score still had a significantly lower risk. These findings highlight the importance of improvement in educational attainment in preventing CVD events and deaths, and suggest that CVD events and deaths attributable to lower levels of education may be reduced by improving LE8 score.

Sleep characteristics in relation to cardiovascular disease incidence and mortality in individuals with diabetes

Abstract Background/Introduction Evidence regarding the potential health effects of sleep characteristics among individuals with type 2 diabetes (T2D) is limited. Purpose We aimed to examine sleep characteristics in relation to subsequent risk of cardiovascular disease (CVD), including coronary heart disease (CHD), and stroke, and all-cause and cause-specific mortality among individuals with T2D. Methods We prospectively followed 21,902 men and women with T2D at baseline or diagnosed during follow-up (Nurses' Health Study: 1986-2018, Health Professionals Follow-Up Study: 1986-2018). Sleep characteristics, including sleep duration, snoring, sleep apnea, and sleep quality, were repeatedly assessed using self-reported questionnaires at baseline and follow-up. Associations of sleep characteristics with CVD risk and mortality were assessed using Cox proportional hazards models with adjustments for demographic, dietary and lifestyle factors, and medical history. Results During 170,355 and 196,458 person-years of follow-up in participants with T2D, there were 2,486 incident CVD events and 3,922 deaths, respectively. Compared with sleeping for 7-8 h/day, the multivariable-adjusted hazard ratios (HRs) of sleeping for ≤5 h/day were 1.21 (1.02, 1.45) for CVD incidence, 1.24 (1.20, 1.51) for CHD incidence, 1.40 (1.24, 1.58) for total mortality, 1.52 (1.20, 1.92) for CVD mortality, and 1.27 (1.01, 1.61) for other non-CVD and non-cancer mortality, while the HRs of ≥10 h/day were 1.42 (1.21, 1.66) for total mortality, and 1.63 (1.20, 2.10) for other non-CVD and non-cancer mortality. Furthermore, compared with participants without habitual snoring, those with habitual snoring had a 21%, 24%, 18%, and 33% higher risk for CVD incidence, CHD incidence, CVD mortality, and total mortality, respectively. Compared with participants without diagnosed sleep apnea, those with sleep apnea had a 27%-58% higher risk for CVD incidence, CVD mortality, and total mortality. In addition, lower habitual sleep quality, including sleep difficulties and restless sleep, was associated with a substantially higher risk of CVD, CHD, or CVD mortality. No associations were observed between sleep characteristics with risk of stroke and cancer mortality in individuals with T2D. Conclusions Short and long sleep durations as well as habitual snoring, sleep apnea, and lower sleep quality were independently associated with higher risks of CVD incidence and mortality, particularly CVD mortality in individuals with T2D.

Comparison of risk factors and mortality in veterans with HIV and those without HIV suffering first major acute cardiovascular events.

Previous studies have demonstrated that people with HIV have an increased atherosclerotic plaque vulnerability, making them more susceptible to severe cardiovascular complications. This study aimed to examine the clinical characteristics of people with HIV in comparison to people without HIV admitted to Veterans Health Administration (VHA) with their first major acute cardiovascular events (MACE) and compare their total mortality. We used national VHA data to extract data of those admitted to VHA hospitals with MACE defined as acute myocardial infarction (AMI), acute cerebrovascular accident (CVA) or cardiac arrest during the fiscal years 2003-2021. The hazard ratio (HR) of mortality for people with HIV versus people without HIV was estimated using Cox proportional hazard regression analysis. Out of 280 311 veterans, 2510 people with HIV and 277 801 people without HIV had their first MACE during the study period. People with HIV were younger, more likely to be African American, had a lower prevalence of diabetes mellitus and hypertension, similar total cholesterol levels and a lower mean 10-year cardiovascular risk score (25.4 in people with HIV vs. 28.7 in people without HIV). Among MACE components, people with HIV had a higher proportion of CVA (27% vs. 21.3%, p < 0.001) and cardiac arrest (13.0% vs. 8.4%, p < 0.001) but a lower incidence of AMI (62.4% vs. 72.5%, p < 0.001) than people without HIV. Additionally, people with HIV had a higher risk of total mortality (adjusted HR: 2.05, 95% confidence interval: 1.90-2.22) compared with people without HIV. People with HIV experience MACE at younger ages despite lower cardiovascular risks and similar baseline cholesterol and blood pressure levels. People with HIV had higher mortality and a higher risk of having ventricular fibrillation arrest and stroke as their first MACE.

Combined influence of physical activity and C-reactive protein to albumin ratio on mortality among older cancer survivors in the United States: a prospective cohort study

BackgroundAlthough a high C-reactive protein-to-albumin ratio (CAR) is believed to increase mortality risk, the association between the physical activity (PA), CAR, and mortality among cancer survivors has not been investigated. This study aimed to examine this association among cancer survivors in the United States.MethodsThis cohort study used data from the National Health and Nutrition Examination Survey from 1999 to 2010. PA was self-reported using the Global Physical Activity Questionnaire, and C-reactive protein and albumin levels were obtained from laboratory data files. Mortality data were obtained by linkage of the cohort database to the National Death Index as of December 31, 2019. The analysis was conducted from November 1 to December 31, 2023. We used Cox proportional hazards multivariable regression to assess hazard ratios (HRs) and 95% confidence interval (CIs) for total and cancer-specific mortality risks attributable to PA and CAR.ResultsAmong 2,232 cancer survivors, 325 (14.6%) reported no PA with a high CAR. During a follow-up of up to 20.75 years (median, 12.3 years; 27,453 person-years), 1,174 deaths occurred (cancer, 335; other, 839). A high CAR was observed to be consistently associated with the highest risks of total (HR, 1.59; 95% CI, 1.37–1.85) and cancer-specific (HR, 2.06; 95% CI, 1.55–2.73) mortality compared with a low CAR in a series of adjusted models. Multivariable models showed that PA was associated with a lower risk of all-cause (HR, 0.60; 95% CI, 0.52–0.69) and cancer-specific (HR, 0.64; 95% CI, 0.49–0.84) mortality compared with no PA. In the joint analyses, survivors with PA ≥ 600 metabolic equivalent min/wk and a low CAR were more likely to reduce the risk of total (HR, 0.41; 95% CI, 0.32–0.51) and cancer-specific (HR, 0.32; 95% CI, 0.20–0.50) mortality by 59% and 68% compared with those with no PA and a high CAR.ConclusionThe pairing of adequate PA and a low CAR was significantly associated with reduced all-cause and cancer-related mortality risks.

Saturated fatty acids and total and CVD mortality in Norway: a prospective cohort study with up to 45 years of follow-up.

The contribution of dietary saturated fatty acids (SFA) to cardiovascular disease (CVD) and mortality remains debated after decades of research. Few previous studies had repeated dietary assessments and power to assess mortality. Evidence for individual SFA is limited. In this large population-based cohort study, we investigated associations between intake of total and individual SFA and risk of total and CVD mortality. Adult residents (mean 41·1 years at baseline) in three Norwegian counties were invited to repeated health screenings between 1974 and 1988 (> 80 % attendance). We calculated cumulative average intakes of macronutrients from semi-quantitative FFQ. Median (interquartile range) intake of SFA was 14·6 % (12·8-16·6 %) of total energy (E%). Hazard ratios (HR) and 95 % CI were estimated using multivariable Cox regression models to assess total, CVD, ischaemic heart disease (IHD) and acute myocardial infarction (AMI) mortality. Among 78725 participants, 28555 deaths occurred during a median follow-up of 33·5 years, with 9318 deaths due to CVD. Higher intake of SFA (replacing carbohydrates) was positively associated with all mortality endpoints, including total (HR per 5 E% increment, 1·18; 95 % CI 1·13, 1·23) and CVD mortality (1·16; 95 % CI 1·07, 1·25). Theoretical isoenergetic substitution of SFA with carbohydrates or MUFA was associated with lower risk. Of individual SFA, myristic (14:0) and palmitic acid (16:0) were positively associated with mortality. In summary, dietary SFA intake was strongly associated with higher total and CVD mortality in this long-term cohort study. This supports policies implemented to reduce SFA consumption in favour of carbohydrates and unsaturated fats.

Associations of Serum GDF-15 Levels with Physical Performance, Mobility Disability, Cognition, Cardiovascular Disease, and Mortality in Older Adults.

Growth differentiation factor 15 (GDF-15) is a member of the TGFβ superfamily secreted by many cell types and found at higher blood concentrations as chronological age increases (1). Given the emergence of GDF-15 as a key protein associated with aging, it is important to understand the multitude of conditions with which circulating GDF-15 is associated. We pooled data from 1,174 randomly selected Health ABC Study (Health ABC) participants and 1,503 Cardiovascular Health Study (CHS) participants to evaluate the risk of various conditions and age-related outcomes across levels of GDF-15. The primary outcomes were (1) risk of mobility disability and falls; (2) impaired cognitive function; (3) and increased risk of cardiovascular disease and total mortality. The pooled study cohort had a mean age of 75.4 +/-4.4 years. Using a Bonferroni-corrected threshold, our analyses show that high levels of GDF-15 were associated with a higher risk of severe mobility disability (HR: 2.13 [1.64, 2.77]), coronary heart disease (HR: 1.47 [1.17, 1.83]), atherosclerotic cardiovascular disease (HR: 1.56 [1.22, 1.98]), heart failure (HR: 2.09 [1.66, 2.64]), and mortality (HR: 1.81 [1.53, 2.15]) when comparing the highest and lowest quartiles. For CHS participants, analysis of extreme quartiles in fully adjusted models revealed a 3.5-fold higher risk of dementia (HR: 3.50 [1.97, 6.22]). GDF-15 is associated with several age-related outcomes and diseases, including mobility disability, impaired physical and cognitive performance, dementia, cardiovascular disease, and mortality. Each of these findings demonstrates the importance of GDF-15 as a potential biomarker for many aging-related conditions.

Plasma n6 polyunsaturated fatty acid levels and risk for total and cause-specific mortality: A prospective observational study from the UK Biobank

BackgroundThe potential role of n-6 PUFAs in major health outcomes remains controversial. ObjectivesTo examine the relationship between the major plasma n6 PUFA, linoleic acid (LA), as well as the non-LA n6 PUFAs, and total and cause-specific mortality. MethodsThis was a prospective, observational, biomarker-based study in the UK Biobank. Individuals with complete information on baseline demographic, covariate and plasma PUFA levels (percent ot total fatty acids) and mortality outcomes were included (n=257,925). Multivariable-adjusted, Cox-proportional hazards models were used to predict risk of death from all-causes, and from cardiovascular disease (CVD), cancer, and other causes as a function of plasma LA and non-LA n6 levels, both continuously and by PUFA quintile (Q). ResultsComparing LA Q5 to Q1, the hazard ratio (HR, 95% CI) for total mortality was 0.80 (0.76, 0.84; p<0.001), and this was similar for all three cause-specific death categories. On the other hand, mortality HR for non-LA n6 was 1.12 (1.08,1.17; p<0.001), and this was primarily due to increased risk for non-CVD, noncancer deaths [HR 1.29 (1.19,1.40; p<0.001)]. Exploratory analyses among the eight next most common other causes of death suggested that both the decreased risk associated with higher LA and the increased risk associated with non-LA n6 were confined to deaths from respiratory and digestive diseases. ConclusionsThese findings highlight the profound differences in mortality risk related to LA and non-LA n6 PUFA levels and underscore the inappropriateness of treating n-6 PUFAs as a homogenous class with respect to health outcomes. They also support recommendations to maintain (if not increase) current LA intakes.

Cause-specific and all-cause mortalities in vegetarian compared with those in nonvegetarian participants from the Adventist Health Study-2 cohort

BackgroundThere have been mixed results reported internationally when associating vegetarian dietary patterns with all-cause and cause-specific mortalities. ObjectivesThis study aimed to extend our previous results by evaluating, with a larger number of deaths (N = 12,515), cause-specific mortalities comparing different vegetarian types with nonvegetarians. MethodsThis prospective study used data from the Adventist Health Study-2 cohort. Mortality was ascertained between study baseline, 2002–2007, and follow-up through 2015. Dietary data were collected at baseline using a validated quantitative food frequency questionnaire and then categorized into 5 dietary patterns: nonvegetarian, semivegetarian, pescovegetarian, lacto-ovovegetarian, and vegan. Main outcomes and measures include all-cause and cause-specific mortalities using Cox proportional hazards regression models and competing risk methods. ResultsThe analytic sample included 88,400 participants who provided 971,424 person-years of follow-up. We report results pairwise as estimated at ages 65 and 85 y owing to age dependence of many hazard ratios (HRs). Compared with nonvegetarians, vegetarians had lower risks of mortality, overall (HR: 0.89; 95% confidence interval [CI]: 0.83, 0.95; HR: 0.98; 95% CI: 0.91, 1.04), from renal failure (HR: 0.52; 95% CI: 0.38, 0.70; HR: 0.65; 95% CI: 0.55, 0.76), infectious disease (HR: 0.57; 95% CI: 0.40, 0.82; HR: 0.90; 95% CI: 0.70, 1.17), diabetes (HR: 0.51; 95% CI: 0.33, 0.78; HR: 0.69; 95% CI: 0.53, 0.88), select cardiac (HR: 0.75; 95% CI: 0.65, 0.87; HR: 0.89; 95% CI: 0.83, 0.95), and ischemic heart disease causes (HR: 0.73; 95% CI: 0.59, 0.90; HR: 0.84; 95% CI: 0.75,0.94). Vegans, lacto-ovovegetarians, and pescovegetarians were also observed to have lower risks of total mortality and several similar cause-specific mortalities. However, higher cause-specified neurologic mortalities were observed among older vegetarians (estimated at age 85 y), specifically stroke (HR: 1.17; 95% CI: 1.02, 1.33), dementia (HR: 1.13; 95% CI: 1.00, 1.27), and Parkinson's disease (HR: 1.37; 95% CI: 0.98, 1.91). Results in Black subjects for vegetarian/nonvegetarian comparisons largely followed the same trends, but HRs were less precise owing to smaller numbers. ConclusionsVegetarian diets are associated with lower risk for all-cause and many cause-specific mortalities, especially among males and in younger subjects. However, higher risks are observed among older vegetarians for stroke and dementia. These results need further support and investigation.

Joint Effect of Short-Term Exposure to Fine Particulate Matter and Ozone on Mortality: A Time Series Study in 272 Chinese Cities.

Short-term exposure to PM2.5 or O3 can increase mortality risk; however, limited studies have evaluated their interaction. A multicity time series study was conducted to investigate the synergistic effect of PM2.5 and O3 on mortality in China, using mortality data and high-resolution pollutant predictions from 272 cities in 2013-2015. Generalized additive models were applied to estimate associations of PM2.5 and O3 with mortality. Modification and interaction effects were explored by stratified analyses and synergistic indexes. Deaths attributable to PM2.5 and O3 were evaluated with or without modification of the other pollutant. The risk of total nonaccidental mortality increased by 0.70% for each 10 μg/m3 increase in PM2.5 when O3 levels were high, compared to 0.12% at low O3 levels. The effect of O3 on total nonaccidental mortality at high PM2.5 levels (1.26%) was also significantly higher than that at low PM2.5 levels (0.59%). Similar patterns were observed for cardiovascular or respiratory diseases. The relative excess risk of interaction and synergy index of PM2.5 and O3 on nonaccidental mortality were 0.69% and 1.31 with statistical significance, respectively. Nonaccidental deaths attributable to short-term exposure of PM2.5 or O3 when considering modification of the other pollutant were 28% and 31% higher than those without considering modification, respectively. Our results found synergistic effects of short-term coexposure to PM2.5 and O3 on mortality and suggested underestimations of attributable risks without considering their synergistic effects.

Assessing long-term effects of gaseous air pollution exposure on mortality in the United States using a variant of difference-in-differences analysis

Long-term mortality effects of particulate air pollution have been investigated in a causal analytic frame, while causal evidence for associations with gaseous air pollutants remains extensively lacking, especially for carbon monoxide (CO) and sulfur dioxide (SO2). In this study, we estimated the causal relationship of long-term exposure to nitrogen dioxide (NO2), CO, SO2, and ozone (O3) with mortality. Utilizing the data from National Morbidity, Mortality, and Air Pollution Study, we applied a variant of difference-in-differences (DID) method with conditional Poisson regression and generalized weighted quantile sum regression (gWQS) to investigate the independent and joint effects. Independent exposures to NO2, CO, and SO2 were causally associated with increased risks of total, nonaccidental, and cardiovascular mortality, while no evident associations with O3 were identified in the entire population. In gWQS analyses, an interquartile range-equivalent increase in mixture exposure was associated with a relative risk of 1.067 (95% confidence interval: 1.010–1.126) for total mortality, 1.067 (1.009–1.128) for nonaccidental mortality, and 1.125 (1.060–1.193) for cardiovascular mortality, where NO2 was identified as the most significant contributor to the overall effect. This nationwide DID analysis provided causal evidence for independent and combined effects of NO2, CO, SO2, and O3 on increased mortality risks among the US general population.

Lung cancer among patients with secondhand smoke exposure: A systematic review.

e22506 Background: Smoking tobacco is recognized as the leading cause of lung cancer. However, it is imperative to note that 10–15% of lung cancer patients have no history of smoking, and that lung cancer remains the leading cause of cancer deaths among non-smokers. Since passive smokers are exposed to many carcinogenic compounds in the exhaled smoke, it is naturally plausible that secondhand smoking (SHS) is a risk factor for lung cancer. However, current USPSTF screening guidelines for lung cancer with low dose CT (LDCT) do not include patients exposed to SHS. We performed a systematic review to highlight SHS as an etiology of lung cancer and insights for inclusion in cancer screening criteria. Methods: We utilized the PubMed, Medline, Science Direct, and ClinicalTrials.gov databases to search for relevant literature using keywords ('low Dose CT,' 'secondhand smoke,' 'lung cancer'). The search strategy was designed to ensure a comprehensive retrieval of pertinent literature, minimizing the possibility of omitting articles due to insignificant spelling and/or semantic variations. Eligible studies had to be published between 2010 and 2023 and focused on examining the effect of SHS in populations at risk of lung cancer or those undergoing lung cancer screening. Articles not available in English were excluded from this systematic review. In total, 239 relevant articles were retrieved from all databases, narrowing down to 14 articles after the initial screening and further reducing to 4 articles after the second round of screening. Results: Three of the four articles included in our systemic review were conducted in Asia. A study by He et al. showed a substantial increase in the relative risk of lung cancer among SHS (RR 2.00; 95% CI, 0.62-6.40), with significant dose-response relationships between cumulative SHS exposure at home and work and the increased risk of cause-specific and total mortality. Another observational study on the use of LDCT in Japan has interestingly shown a shifting landscape of lung cancer demographics, with 49.6% of patients identified as never-smokers and 70.0% of the never-smoker lung cancer patients having SHS exposure. Secondhand smoking has also been reported to increase the risk of pulmonary nodules (HR 1.17; 95% CI, 1.01-1.35) and pulmonary emphysema (OR 13.6; 95% CI, 1.70-106.1) in those with moderate-to-high SHS exposure, which was the population where lung cancer was more prevalent. Conclusions: Our findings suggest a critical gap in current healthcare recommendations, specifically addressing the absence of guidelines for LDCT screening in individuals with moderate-to-high SHS exposure despite established evidence linking SHS to a significant increase in the risk of lung cancer development. More studies are needed to formulate evidence-based guidelines for lung cancer screening and detection in this population, given the expected mortality reduction benefit.

Red cell distribution width to total serum calcium ratio and in-hospital mortality risk in patients with acute ischemic stroke: A MIMIC-IV retrospective analysis.

We investigated the relationship among red cell distribution width (RDW), to total serum calcium (TSC) ratio (RCR), and in-hospital mortality in patients with acute ischemic stroke (AIS). This study was a retrospective analysis. The data of 2700 AIS patients was retrospectively analyzed from the Medical Information Mart for Intensive Care database (version IV). The main outcome of interest was in-hospital mortality. A Cox proportional hazards regression model was used to determine whether RCR was independently associated with in-hospital mortality. The Kaplan-Meier method was used to plot the survival curves for RCR. Subgroup analyses were performed to measure the mortality across various subgroups. The area under curve (AUC) of receiver operating characteristic curve (ROC) was calculated to ascertain the quality of RCR as a predictor of in-hospital mortality in patients with AIS. In the multivariate analysis, statistically significant differences were identified in age, ethnicity, length of ICU stay, mechanical ventilation, sequential organ failure assessment (SOFA) score, RDW, hemoglobin, RCR, whether taking anticoagulants, hyperlipidemia, and atrial fibrillation (P < .05). A threshold inflection point value of 1.83 was obtained through a two-piecewise regression model. There was a non-linear relationship between RCR and hospital mortality in patients with AIS. The hazard ratio (HR) and the 95% confidence intervals (CI) on the right and left of the inflection point were 0.93 (0.57-1.51; P = .7660) and 2.96 (1.37-6.42; P = .0060), respectively. The Kaplan-Meier curve indicated that survival rates were higher when RCR was ≤ 1.83 and lower when RDW was > 1.83 after adjustment for age, gender, BMI, ethnicity. The area under curve (AUC) of RCR was 0.715. A higher RCR was associated with an increased risk of in-hospital mortality in patients with AIS.

Prognostic role of serum albumin levels in patients with chronic heart failure

BackgroundHypoalbuminemia is common in heart failure (HF) patients; however, there are no data regarding the possible long-term prognostic role of serum albumin (SA) in the younger population with chronic HF without malnutrition. The aim of this study was to examine the long-term prognostic role of SA levels in predicting major adverse cardiac events (MACE) in middle-aged outpatients with chronic HF.MethodsIn the present retrospective analysis, 378 subjects with HF were enrolled. MACE (non-fatal ischemic stroke, non-fatal myocardial infarction, cardiac revascularization or coronary bypass surgery, and cardiovascular death), total mortality, and HF hospitalizations (hHF) occurrence were evaluated during a median follow-up of 6.1 years.ResultsIn all population, 152 patients had a SA value < 3.5 g/dL and 226 had a SA value ≥ 3.5 g/dL. In patients with SA ≥ 3.5 g/dL, the observed MACE were 2.1 events/100 patient-year; while in the group with a worse SA levels, there were 7.0 events/100 patient-year (p < 0.001). The multivariate analysis model confirmed that low levels of SA increase the risk of MACE by a factor of 3.1. In addition, the presence of ischemic heart disease, serum uric acid levels > 6.0 mg/dL, chronic kidney disease, and a 10-year age rise, increased the risk of MACE in study participants. Finally, patients with SA < 3.5 g/dl had a higher incidence of hHF (p < 0.001) and total mortality (p < 0.001) than patients with SA ≥ 3.5 g/dl.ConclusionsPatients with chronic HF that exhibits low SA levels show a higher risk of MACE, hHF and total mortality.

Life’s Essential 8 in Relation to Cardiovascular Disease and Mortality in Individuals With Diabetes

BackgroundEvidence regarding the potential health effects of Life’s Essential 8 (LE8) score among individuals with type 2 diabetes (T2D) is limited. ObjectivesThe purpose of this study was to examine the associations of LE8 score with risk of cardiovascular disease (CVD) and mortality among individuals with T2D. MethodsWe prospectively followed 19,915 Chinese participants with T2D at baseline or diagnosed during follow-up (Kailuan Study: 2006-2020), who were free of CVD at diagnosis of diabetes. Diet, lifestyle, and health conditions were repeatedly assessed every 2 years. The LE8 score (range 0-100), was calculated based on 8 components: diet quality, physical activity, smoking status, sleep health, body mass index, blood lipids, blood glucose, and blood pressure. We used time-varying cox models to model the associations. ResultsDuring a median follow-up of 11.5 years in participants with T2D, there were 3,295 incident CVD cases and 3,123 deaths. Higher LE8 score was associated with lower risk of CVD incidence and total mortality among participants with diabetes. The multivariate-adjusted HRs for the highest quintile of LE8 score compared with the lowest quintile were 0.56 (95% CI: 0.53-0.59) for CVD, 0.57 (95% CI: 0.53-0.62) for heart disease, 0.53 (95% CI: 0.49-0.57) for stroke, and 0.73 (95% CI: 0.69-0.78) for total mortality (all P trend <0.001). Furthermore, compared with participants with stable or decreased LE8 score after diabetes diagnosis, those with increased LE8 score had 17% to 42% lower risk of CVD, heart disease, stroke, and mortality. ConclusionsA higher LE8 score was associated with a substantially lower risk of CVD incidence and total mortality among adults with T2D.

The association between hypoalbuminemia and risk of death due to cancer and vascular disease in individuals aged 65 years and older: findings from the prospective Moli-sani cohort study

Serum albumin is inversely associated with overall mortality, but its association with specific causes of death remains uncertain. This study aims to investigate whether hypoalbuminemia, defined as serum albumin levels ≤35g/L, is associated with mortality specifically attributed to cancer and/or vascular diseases. Serum albumin levels were measured in the population-based, prospective cohort of the Moli-sani study, established between 2005 and 2010. Hypoalbuminemia was defined as serum albumin levels ≤35g/L. Cause-specific mortality was assessed using the validated Italian mortality registry and coded according to the International Classification of Diseases, Revision 9. Over a median follow-up period of 13.1 years, the relationship between serum albumin and mortality, adjusted for covariates, was investigated using competing-risk survival analysis. The analysed cohort comprised 17,930 individuals aged ≥35 years, of whom 8445 were men (47.1%). The mean age was 54 years (standard deviation (SD)=11 years), with 3299 individuals (18.4%) aged older than 65 years. All participants had C-reactive protein levels <10mg/L and no history of liver, renal, cardiovascular, or cancer disease. Hypoalbuminemia was found in 406 individuals (2.3%). The study documented a total of 1428 deaths, with 574 attributed to cancer and 464 to vascular causes. Hypoalbuminemia was independently associated with mortality when compared to serum albumin >40g/L (Hazard Ratio (HR)=1.61, 95% Confidence Interval: 1.21-2.13). A decrease of 1-SD in serum albumin levels corresponded to HR of 1.16 (1.09-1.22), 1.16 (1.05-1.28), and 1.13 (1.03-1.23) for total, vascular and cancer mortality, respectively. Upon stratifying by age, hypoalbuminemia was associated with total mortality solely in those aged ≥65 years (HR=1.83; 1.33-2.50) but not in the <65 years group (HR=1.03; 0.53-2.00; P<0.0001 for difference). Similar age-related patterns emerged for vascular death (per 1-SD decrease HR=1.19; 1.07-1.33 in individuals ≥65 years and HR=1.05; 0.86-1.29 in individuals <65 years) and cancer mortality (HR=1.15; 1.02-1.30; ≥65 years and HR=1.08; 0.96-1.23; <65 years). Individuals ≥65 years old with serum albumin levels ≤35g/L are at higher risk of total, cancer, and vascular mortality. This paper was developed within the project funded by Next Generation EU-"Age-It - Ageing well in an ageing society" project (PE0000015), National Recovery and Resilience Plan (NRRP)-PE8-Mission 4, C2, Intervention 1.3.

The role of traditional Chinese medicine on fracture surgery, hospitalization, and total mortality risks in diabetic patients with osteoporosis.

Studies have confirmed that osteoporosis has been considered as one of the complications of diabetes, and the health hazards to patients are more obvious. This study is mainly based on the Taiwan National Health Insurance Database (TNHID). Through the analysis of TNHID, it is shown that the combined treatment of traditional Chinese medicine (TCM) medicine in patients of diabetes with osteoporosis (T2DOP) with lower related risks. According to the study design, 3131 patients selected from TNHID who received TCM treatment were matched by 1-fold propensity score according to gender, age, and inclusion date as the control group. Cox proportional hazards analyzes were performed to compare fracture surgery, hospitalization, and all-cause mortality during a mean follow-up from 2000 to 2015. A total of 1055/1469/715 subjects (16.85%/23.46%/11.42%) had fracture surgery/inpatient/all-cause mortality of which 433/624/318 (13.83%/19.93%/10.16%) were in the TCM group) and 622/845/397 (19.87%/26.99%/12.68%) in the control group. Cox proportional hazards regression analysis showed that subjects in the TCM group had lower rates of fracture surgery, inpatient and all-cause mortality (adjusted HR = 0.467; 95% CI = 0.225-0.680, P<0.001; adjusted HR = 0.556; 95% CI = 0.330-0.751, P<0.001; adjusted HR = 0.704; 95% CI = 0.476-0.923, P = 0.012). Kaplan-Meier analysis showed that the cumulative risk of fracture surgery, inpatient and all-cause mortality was significantly different between the case and control groups (all log-rank p<0.001). This study provides longitudinal evidence through a cohort study of the value of integrated TCM for T2DOP. More research is needed to fully understand the clinical significance of these results.

Abstract MP27: Use of Multivitamin Supplements and Risks of Total and Cause-Specific Mortality Among U.S. Adults

As the most commonly consumed dietary supplement, how multivitamin use associates with risk of mortality remains inconclusive. Methods: We used data from three cohort studies to examine the association of time-varying multivitamin use with risk of mortality. We also emulated a target trial to estimate the association by applying the parametric g-formula. Results: Of 241,068 eligible participants (mean age at baseline: 50 for NHS, 37 for NHSII, and 53 for HPFS), there were 44,415 deaths over 30-years of follow up. Compared to non-users, the pooled age-adjusted harzard ratio (HR) of mortality was 0.92 (95% CI: 0.89, 0.94) and 0.89 (95% CI: 0.88, 0.91) for users who used &lt;1 and ≥1 pill/day, respectively. These results were attenuated after multivariable adjustment (0.97 [0.95, 1.00] and 0.98 [0.96, 0.99], respectively), and the inverse association was primarily due to lower risk of CVD mortality ( table 1 ). In the emulated target trial, the estimated 30-y all-cause mortality under a multivitamin intervention was slightly lower than no intervention ( table 2 ). Conclusions: Multivitamin use may relate to a small reduction in mortality among middle-aged adults.

Abstract P370: Prevalence of the AHA Life's Essential 8 in Midlife Women and Its Prospective Associations With Total Mortality and Cardiovascular Diseases Events: The Study of Women’s Health Across the Nation (SWAN)

Objective: Midlife women face significant acceleration in CVD risk during the menopause transition. We aim to determine the cardiovascular health (CVH) as measured by Life's Essential 8 (LE8) in midlife women and to test the associations of midlife LE8 with future CVD events/total mortality. Methods: Participants were from the SWAN study, a multi-ethnic study of the menopause transition. LE8 includes diet, physical activity (PA), nicotine exposure, sleep, BMI, and blood lipids/glucose/pressure. The total and each LE8 scores (0 [lowest] - 100 [highest]) were calculated using AHA definitions. Scores were grouped into low (0-49), intermediate (50-74) and high (75-100) to characterize women. CVD events were self-reported between visits 1-16 and included: myocardial infarction, stroke, heart failure and revascularization. A subset of the events was adjudicated via medical record. Death certificates were obtained. Cox proportional hazards model was used to test the association between continuous LE8 metrics and CVD events/total mortality. Results: A total of 3302 women (mean age 46±3 years, 54% premenopausal) free of CVD at baseline were included. Among them, 28% achieved high total LE8 scores (mean 83±6) and many women had low scores on sleep, PA and diet ( Figure ). During a median (IQR) follow-up of 19 (7) years, 156 deaths and 202 CVD events were recorded. Higher midlife LE8 scores were associated with significantly lower risk of total mortality and CVD events adjusting for demographic and health factors ( Figure ). For individual components, BMI, blood lipids/glucose/pressure, nicotine exposure and sleep were associated with CVD events; BMI, blood glucose/pressure, nicotine exposure and PA were associated with total mortality ( Figure ). Conclusions: The prevalence of healthy diet, physical activity and healthy sleep is low in midlife women. Lower CVH is an independent risk factor of subsequent risk of CVD events/total mortality in midlife women. The findings highlight the need to promote healthy behaviors in midlife women.