Risk Of Measles Outbreaks Research Articles

The importance of supplementary immunisation activities to prevent measles outbreaks during the COVID-19 pandemic in Kenya

BackgroundThe COVID-19 pandemic has disrupted routine measles immunisation and supplementary immunisation activities (SIAs) in most countries including Kenya. We assessed the risk of measles outbreaks during the pandemic in Kenya as a case study for the African Region.MethodsCombining measles serological data, local contact patterns, and vaccination coverage into a cohort model, we predicted the age-adjusted population immunity in Kenya and estimated the probability of outbreaks when contact-reducing COVID-19 interventions are lifted. We considered various scenarios for reduced measles vaccination coverage from April 2020.ResultsIn February 2020, when a scheduled SIA was postponed, population immunity was close to the herd immunity threshold and the probability of a large outbreak was 34% (8–54). As the COVID-19 contact restrictions are nearly fully eased, from December 2020, the probability of a large measles outbreak will increase to 38% (19–54), 46% (30–59), and 54% (43–64) assuming a 15%, 50%, and 100% reduction in measles vaccination coverage. By December 2021, this risk increases further to 43% (25–56), 54% (43–63), and 67% (59–72) for the same coverage scenarios respectively. However, the increased risk of a measles outbreak following the lifting of all restrictions can be overcome by conducting a SIA with ≥ 95% coverage in under-fives.ConclusionWhile contact restrictions sufficient for SAR-CoV-2 control temporarily reduce measles transmissibility and the risk of an outbreak from a measles immunity gap, this risk rises rapidly once these restrictions are lifted. Implementing delayed SIAs will be critical for prevention of measles outbreaks given the roll-back of contact restrictions in Kenya.

Implementing nationwide measles supplemental immunization activities in Ethiopia in the context of COVID-19: process and lessons learnt.

The COVID-19 pandemic has disrupted immunization activities in many countries, causing declines in the delivery of routine doses of antigens, and the postponement of scheduled supplemental immunization activities (SIAs). Following the declaration of the pandemic, Ethiopia postponed nationwide follow-up measles preventive vaccination campaign which was scheduled for April 2020. The disruptions to routine services and the postponement of the SIAs increased the risk for measles outbreaks. The national authorities, in consultation with the secretariat of the National COVID-19 Pandemic Prevention and Control Ministerial Coordination Committee, subnational level authorities, technical partner agencies and stakeholders, reviewed the risks for measles outbreaks and decided to implement the nationwide measles SIAs, with strict implementation of COVID prevention measures. The revised micro-plans accommodated the additional human resource and logistics needs for COVID prevention, for which partner resources were mobilized to fill the gaps. The key SIAs preparatory and implementation activities including training, logistics, social mobilization, service delivery and supervision were modified to take into consideration the COVID context. Infection prevention and control supplies were procured and distributed as a package with the bundled vaccines and other supplies. The SIAs were completed in July 2020 and reached 102.8% administrative coverage nationwide, with 78% of the 1123 woredas attaining the target of 95% coverage. The strong commitment of the leadership, the coordination role of the national and regional COVID prevention and control taskforces, the engagement of community leaders, the use of multi-channel communication, the timely availability of additional resources and modification of the service delivery approaches contributed to the success of the SIAs.

Role of Pediatric Departments in Community Hospitals in Countermeasures against Measles Epidemics at Olympic Games Sites.

In preparation for the 2021 Tokyo Olympic/Paralympic Games, the Japanese government assessed the risks of infectious disease outbreaks and identified necessary preparations. This present study reviewed efforts made during a previous measles epidemic and describes the roles of hospitals. This descriptive study investigated the records of 198 children with measles. All children were treated at a general hospital during the period from January 1997 through February 1998. We also examined the actions of pediatricians during and after a measles outbreak in the community. Of the 198 children, 145 (73%) were hospitalized. The measles vaccination rate in the previous year was approximately 75%. Of the patients examined, 53% were younger than 2 years of age; mean age was 2.75 years. Pneumonia and gastroenteritis accounted for 46% and 30% of the complications, respectively. Issues requiring attention included the number of hospital beds located in a negative pressure room or private room with a window, the need for gamma globulin preparations with high measles antibody titers, the necessity of increasing vaccination opportunities, and extension of physician working hours. Visitors from other countries could cause measles outbreaks in Japan. Measures that might mitigate an outbreak were maintenance of high vaccination rates, ready availability of information on the location of negative pressure hospital rooms, knowledge of the status of the measle outbreak, and flexible medical staffing. There is a risk of measles outbreaks among infants and among those who do not have a measles antibody titer.

The World Health Organization Measles Programmatic Risk Assessment Tool-Pilot Testing in India, 2014.

Measles is a leading cause of child mortality, and reduction of child mortality is a key Millennium Development Goal. In 2014, the World Health Organization and the U.S. Centers for Disease Control and Prevention developed a measles programmatic risk assessment tool to support country measles elimination efforts. The tool was pilot tested in the State of Uttarakhand in August 2014 to assess its utility in India. The tool assessed measles risk for the 13 districts of Uttarakhand as a function of indicator scores in four categories: population immunity, surveillance quality, program delivery performance, and threat. The highest potential overall score was 100. Scores from each category were totaled to assign an overall risk score for each district. From this risk score, districts were categorized as low, medium, high, or very high risk. Of the 13 districts in Uttarakhand in 2014, the tool classified one district (Haridwar) as very high risk and three districts (Almora, Champawat, and Pauri Garhwal) as high risk. The measles risk in these four districts was largely due to low population immunity from high MCV1-MCV2 drop-out rates, low MCV1 and MCV2 coverage, and the lack of a supplementary immunization activity (SIA) within the past three years. This tool can be used to support measles elimination in India by identifying districts that might be at risk for measles outbreaks, and to guide risk mitigation efforts, including strengthening routine immunization services and implementing SIAs.

The impact of college prematriculation immunization requirements on risk for measles outbreaks

The impact of college prematriculation immunization requirements on risk for measles outbreaks