Risk Factors For Unplanned Admission Research Articles

Predictive value of modified systemic inflammation score for postoperative unplanned ICU admission in patients with NSCLC.

BackgroundThe purpose of this study was to investigate the predictive value of the modified systemic inflammation score (mSIS) in postoperative unplanned admission to the intensive care unit (ICU) in patients with non-small-cell lung cancer (NSCLC).MethodsThe clinical data of 1,321 patients with NSCLC treated with thoracic surgery in our hospital from August 2019 to June 2021 were analyzed retrospectively. The preoperative mSIS, which takes into account the serum albumin (ALB) level and lymphocyte-to-monocyte ratio (LMR), was recorded as 0, 1 or 2 and then was used to identify high-risk patients with unplanned admission to the ICU. The independent risk factors for unplanned admission to the ICU in patients with NSCLC after surgery were identified by multivariate logistic regression analysis.ResultsA total of 1,321 patients, including 549 (41.6%) males and 772 (58.4%) females, were included. The median age was 57 years (range 16–95 years). The incidence of unplanned admission to the ICU in patients with mSIS = 2 was significantly higher than that in those with mSIS = 0 and mSIS = 1. The multivariate analysis showed that an mSIS of 2 (OR = 3.728; P = 0.004; 95% CI, 1.520–9.143), an alcohol consumption history (OR = 2.791, P = 0.011; 95% CI, 1.262–6.171), intraoperative infusion volume (OR = 1.001, P = 0.021; 95% CI, 1.000–1.001) and preoperative underlying diseases (OR = 3. 57, P = 0.004; 95% CI, 1.497–8.552) were independent risk factors for unplanned admission to the ICU after lung cancer surgery. In addition, the multivariate logistic regression model showed that the C-statistic value was 0.799 (95% CI: 0.726∼0.872, P < 0.001).ConclusionsThe mSIS scoring system can be used as a simplified and effective predictive tool for unplanned ICU admission in patients with NSCLC.

Factors Associated With Unanticipated Admission After Outpatient Endoscopic Sinonasal Surgery.

To identify factors that may increase the risk of unplanned admission following elective outpatient endoscopic sinonasal surgery (ESS). Retrospective analysis of the National Surgical Quality Improvement Program (NSQIP). All cases of ESS were extracted from the 2010 to 2018 NSQIP database using Current Procedural Terminology codes. Only cases coded as outpatient, elective, and nonemergent procedures were included. Unplanned admissions were defined as cases with a total hospital stay of 1 day or more. Univariate and multivariate analyses were performed to identify variables that independently predicted unanticipated admission. A total of 971 cases met inclusion criteria, of which 274 (28.2%) were unanticipated admissions. Patients in the unplanned admission group were more likely to be older (46.8 vs. 41.1 years, P < .001), male (57.7% vs. 48.4%, P=.009), obese (54.8% vs. 43.8%, P=.003), and have hypertension (35.0% vs. 25.0%, P=.002). Unplanned admitted patients were also more likely to be included under American Society of Anesthesiologists (ASA) classification III-IV (43.1% vs. 27.2%, P < .001). There were no significant differences in race, smoking, diabetes, or chronic steroid use. Unplanned admitted patients had a higher rate of surgical complications (2.9% vs. 1.0%, P=.041). Upon multivariate analysis, independent preoperative risk factors for unplanned admission included age (OR: 1.018, P=.002), male gender (OR: 1.415, P=.025), obesity (OR: 1.527, P=.008), and ASA III-IV (OR 1.501, P=.018). Factors independently associated with unplanned admission following outpatient ESS were older age, male gender, obesity, and higher ASA. Identification of patients at risk may reduce unanticipated hospital admission after ESS. 4 Laryngoscope, 132:518-522, 2022.

Factors Associated with Unplanned Admission to Hospital: A National Time-To-Event Analysis of Over 65s In Scotland

IntroductionMany high-income countries are reorganising and integrating health and social care (long-term care) services. However, little evidence exists showing how these services interact. Demographic changes and austerity measures have led to increased demand for social care services at the same time as the availability of formal and informal services has declined. The aim of this study was to identify risks for unplanned hospital admission taking account of social care receipt, multimorbidity and sociodemographic status.&#x0D; Objectives and ApproachThis retrospective, observational study included all individuals over the age of 65 in Scotland in financial year (Apr-March) 2015/16 (n = 879,027). The main outcome was time to first unplanned hospital admission. Kaplan-Meier curves were plotted to compare survival rates. Cox proportional hazards regression models were used to determine risk factors for unplanned admission. Explanatory variables included: receipt of social care, multimorbidity, socioeconomicposition, age, and sex.&#x0D; ResultsMultivariate analysis showed that, after adjusting for: age, sex, multimorbidity, socioeconomic position, and any past unplanned admissions, receipt of social care was associated with a two-fold increased risk of having an unplanned admission compared to those without care (HR 1.98 95%CI 1.95-2.00). Increasing age, severity of multimorbidity, and lower socioeconomic position were also all associated with increasing risks of unplanned admission.&#x0D; Conclusion / ImplicationsOur results show those in current receipt of social care are also more likely to use unplanned hospital care compared with those that do not receive care. Current provision of social care services is unlikely to lead to reductions in unplanned hospital admission.

Risk Factors for Unplanned Admission to the Intensive Care Unit After Elective Total Joint Arthroplasty

BackgroundDespite improved surgical and anesthesia techniques, as well as advances in perioperative protocols, a number of patients undergoing total joint arthroplasty (TJA) are at risk of serious medical complications that require intensive care unit (ICU) admission. With the recent move toward performing TJA in ambulatory surgical centers and on an outpatient basis, it is important to recognize patients that may require intensive care in the postoperative period. This study aimed to identify risk factors for ICU admission following elective total hip (THA) and knee (TKA) arthroplasty. MethodsWe evaluated 12,342 THA procedures, with 132 ICU admissions, and 10,976 TKA procedures, with 114 ICU admissions from 2005 to 2017. Demographic, preoperative, and surgical variables were collected and compared between cohorts using both univariate and logistic regression analysis. ResultsFor THA, logistic regression analysis demonstrated older age, bilateral procedure, revision surgery, increased Charlson comorbidity index, general anesthesia, increased estimated blood loss, decreased preoperative hemoglobin, and increased preoperative glucose level were independently associated factors for increased risk of ICU admission. For TKA, increased age, increased body mass index, bilateral procedure, revision surgery, increased Charlson comorbidity index, increased estimated blood loss, general anesthesia, and increased preoperative glucose were independently significantly associated with ICU admission. ConclusionIn this study, we identify a number of critical independent risk factors which may place patients at increased risk of ICU admission following THA and TKA. Identification of these risk factors may help surgeons safely select those TJA candidates appropriate for surgery at facilities that do not have ICUs readily available.

Incidence of paediatric unplanned day-case admissions in the UK and Ireland: a prospective multicentre observational study

BackgroundFailure to discharge home after day-case procedures has a negative impact on patients, families, and hospital finances. There are currently no national paediatric data on the incidence and causes of unplanned admission. We determined the incidence of unplanned admissions after paediatric day-case anaesthesia, and identified risk factors leading to unplanned admission. MethodsDuring a 6 week period (in October and November 2017), all children aged 16 yr or under receiving general anaesthesia without an inpatient bed on arrival were included. Hospital, surgical, and procedural details; anonymised patient characteristic data; and anaesthetic and surgical experience were collected by local Paediatric Anaesthesia Trainee Research Network coordinators. A mixed-effects binary logistic regression model with backward selection was used to determine variables associated with unplanned admission. ResultsNinety three hospitals across the UK and Ireland participated. There were 25 986 cases, of which 640 were unplanned admissions. The independent risk factors for unplanned admission were ASA-physical status (PS) (ASA-PS 3/4 vs ASA-PS 1; odds ratio [OR]: 2.80 [95% confidence interval {CI}: 2.07–3.77]), duration of procedure (OR: 1.04 [95% CI: 1.03–1.05]), and surgical specialty (vs ear, nose, and throat [highest caseload specialty]: cardiology OR: 1.89 [95% CI: 1.15–3.06], orthopaedics/trauma OR: 0.91 [95% CI: 0.69–1.18], and general surgery OR: 0.59 [95% CI: 0.46–0.77]). The commonest reasons for admission were unexpected surgical complexity, pain, postoperative nausea and vomiting, and late finish. ConclusionsPaediatric patient physical status, some types of surgery and duration of procedure were associated with unplanned day-surgery admissions. Unexpected surgical complexity and patient discomfort in recovery were common factors.

Critical care after major surgery: a systematic review of risk factors for unplanned admission.

Critical care admission may be necessary for surgical patients requiring organ support or invasive monitoring in the peri-operative period. Unplanned critical care admission poses a potential risk to patients and pressure on services. Existing guidelines base admission criteria on predicted risk of 30-day mortality; however, this may not provide the best predictor of which patients would benefit from this service, and how unplanned admission might be avoided. A systematic review of MEDLINE, Embase, CINAHL, Web of Science, the Cochrane database and the grey literature identified 44 studies assessing risk factors for unplanned critical care admission in adult populations undergoing non-cardiac, non-thoracic and non-neurological surgery. Comparative, quantitative analysis of the admission criteria was not feasible due to heterogeneity in study design. Age, anaemia, ASA physical status, body mass index, comorbidity burden, emergency surgery, high-risk surgery, male sex, obstructive sleep apnoea, increased blood loss and operative duration were all independent risk factors for unplanned critical care admission. Age, body mass index, comorbidity extent and emergency surgery were the most common independent risk factors identified in the USA, UK, Asia and Australia. These risk factors could be used in the development of a risk tool or decision tree for determining which patients might benefit from planned critical care admission. Future work should involve testing the sensitivity and specificity of these measures, either alone or in combination, to guide planned critical care admission, reduce patient deterioration and unplanned admissions.

Unplanned Admissions Following Hip Arthroscopy: Incidence and Risk Factors

To determine the rate of and risk factors for 30-day unplanned admissions following hip arthroscopy in a U.S. Patients undergoing hip arthroscopy were identified in the American College of Surgeons National Surgical Quality Improvement Program database using validated Current Procedural Terminology and International Classification of Diseases, Ninth Revision and Tenth Revision codes. Patient demographics, comorbidities, preoperative laboratory values, surgical details, and postoperative outcomes were compared between patients with unplanned admissions and those without. Univariate analysis comparing study cohorts was performed using 2-tailed Student t tests with Levene's test for equality of variance or χ2/Fisher exact tests as appropriate. Using variables that were significant in the univariate analysis, we created Cox proportional hazard models to identify independent predictors for unplanned admission. A total of 1931 cases of hip arthroscopy were identified. There were 18 cases of unplanned admissions within 30days of index procedure (0.9%). The median time to unplanned admission was 14.5days (interquartile range: 3.875-25.125days). The most common reasons for admission were surgical-site infection (11.1%), wound complications (11.1%), and thromboembolic events (11.1%). There were 4 patients who required reoperation (22.2%). There were 7 cases (39.0%) that were readmitted for reasons unrelated to the index hip arthroscopy procedure. Multivariate analysis identified increasing body mass index, chronic corticosteroid use, and perioperative blood transfusion as factors independently associated with increased risk for unplanned admission. There exists a low incidence of 30-day unplanned admission, predominantly secondary to surgical-site infections, wound complications, and thromboembolic events. Independent risk factors for unplanned admission include greater body mass index, chronic corticosteroid use, and perioperative transfusions. Level III Retrospective Cohort Study.

Risk Factors for Unplanned Admission to the Pediatric Intensive Care Unit in Pediatric Trauma Patients

Background and Hypothesis: A number of risk factors for unplanned pediatric intensive care unit (PICU) admission and readmission have been identified. However, little is known of the risk factors associated with unplanned admission to the PICU in pediatric trauma populations. We hypothesize specific risk factors can be identified which may be associated with unplanned admission to the PICU following traumatic injury.&#x0D; Methods: For this national retrospective study, we queried the 2016 National Trauma Data Bank for patients younger than 18 years experiencing a traumatic injury requiring hospital admission from the Emergency Department (ED). We excluded patients who had experienced burn injuries. Statistically significant (p&lt;.05) risk factors for unplanned PICU admission were identified in bivariate analysis and used to build a multiple logistic regression model.&#x0D; Results: Patients experiencing unplanned admission to the PICU had lower ED Glasgow Coma Scale (11.83 vs. 14.31; p&lt;0.001), higher Injury Severity Scores (ISS) (17.96 vs. 7.32; p&lt;0.001), and were older (age 11.35 vs. 9.60; p&lt;0.001). Initial ED disposition to the PICU was significantly associated with unplanned admission to the PICU (p&lt;0.001). Initial ED disposition to the OR was significantly associated with unplanned admission to the PICU (p=.018). After multiple logistic regression, ISS (p&lt;0.001), initial ED disposition to the PICU (p=0.002), initial ED disposition to the OR (p=0.005), and older age (p=0.005) remained statistically significant risk factors for unplanned admission to the PICU.&#x0D; Conclusion: ISS and ED disposition to the PICU, OR disposition to the PICU and age are significant risk factors for unplanned admission to the PICU in pediatric trauma. These findings will assist in identifying patients at risk for unplanned admission to the PICU, thereby reducing the adverse effects of unplanned PICU admission and ultimately improving the quality of care for pediatric trauma populations.

Orthopaedic Shoulder Surgery in the Ambulatory Surgical Center: Safety and Outcomes

To determine whether the risk of adverse events and readmission after non-arthroplasty shoulder surgery is influenced by the outpatient setting of surgical care and to identify risk factors associated with these adverse events. The Humana Claims Database was queried for all patients undergoing arthroscopic shoulder surgery and related open procedures in the hospital-based outpatient department (HOPD) or ambulatory surgical center (ASC) setting, using the PearlDiver supercomputer. Arthroplasty procedures were excluded because they carry a risk profile different from that of other outpatient surgical procedures. Outcome variables included unanticipated admission after surgery, readmission, deep vein thrombosis, pulmonary embolism, and wound infection within 90days of surgery. The ASC and HOPD cohorts were propensity score matched, and outcomes were compared between them. Finally, logistic regression models were created to identify risk factors associated with unplanned admission after surgery. A total of 84,658 patients met the inclusion criteria for the study: 28,730 in the ASC cohort and 56,819 in the HOPD cohort. The rates of all queried outcomes were greater in the HOPD cohort and achieved statistical significance. Sex, region, race, insurance status, comorbidity burden, anesthesia type, and procedural type were included in the regression analysis of unplanned admission. Factors associated with unplanned admission included increasing Charlson Comorbidity Index (odds ratio [OR], 1.16; 95% confidence interval [CI], 1.12-1.17; P < .001); HOPD service location (OR, 2.37; 95% CI, 2.18-2.58; P<.001); general anesthesia (OR, 1.34; 95% CI, 1.08-1.59; P= .008); male sex (OR, 2.58; 95% CI, 2.17-3.15; P= .007); and open surgery (OR, 2.35; 95% CI, 1.90-2.61; P < .001). The lower rates of perioperative morbidity in the ASC cohort suggest that proper patient selection is taking place and lends reassurance to surgeons who are practicing or are considering practicing in an ASC. Patients to whom some or all the risk factors for unplanned admission apply (male sex, higher comorbidity burden, open surgery) may be more suitable for HOPDs because admission from an ASC can be difficult and potentially unsafe. Level III, comparative study.

Timing of unplanned admission following daycare laparoscopic cholecystectomy

BackgroundOutpatient laparoscopic cholecystectomy is the treatment of choice for symptomatic biliary colic. There is controversy regarding the optimal candidate, and postoperative observation time for patients receiving daycare laparoscopic cholecystectomy. MethodsA retrospective, multi-centred, case-control chart review was performed from January 1, 2009 to December 31, 2011 on consecutive patients undergoing planned laparoscopic cholecystectomy. Patient demographics, surgical details, and postoperative details were analyzed. Results1256 daycare laparoscopic cholecystectomies were performed. One-hundred and twenty-one (9.6%) required unplanned admission the day of surgery. Forty (3.2%) were re-admitted within one month of surgery. The median time from surgical procedure to unplanned day of surgery admission was 218 min ± 143. The unplanned admission patients were older (54.6 vs 45.1, p < 0.005), and had ASA scores 3 or higher (24% vs 3%, p < 0.005). Comorbid conditions associated with unplanned admissions included hypertension, cardiac conditions, and chronic pain. ConclusionsThe majority of patients can be successfully managed with daycare laparoscopic cholecystectomy. A median time of 4 h is sufficient for postoperative observation. Risk factors for unplanned admission include age, ASA, hypertension, diabetes, and chronic pain.

Risk Factors for Unplanned Admission After Ambulatory Laparoscopic Cholecystectomy

IntroductionLaparoscopic cholecystectomy (LC) performed as day-case (DC) surgery has more unexpected admissions than most day-case procedures. We revised the literature about factors associated with unexpected admissions in LC as well as reconversion to open laparotomy and we investigate these factors in our series. MethodsRetrospective cohort study, period 1999–2013 (511 cases). We study factors that in the literature have been associated with unpredicted admissions in DC or reconversion. ResultsIn the period 1999–2013 511 patients were included (166 male/345 female), median age 53 years. Surgical indication was: Symptomatic cholelithiasis (386 cases), previous episode of cholecystitis (52 cases), biliary pancreatitis (47 cases) and ERCP for common duct stones (11cases). 70% were discharged on the same day, 13% overnight and 17% stayed longer than 24h. Reconversion rate was 3.3%, readmission rate 2.8% and reoperation rate 1.2%. Bivariant study showed significant statistical association with age 65 or, ASA classification II or higher, previous admission for acute cholecystitis and logistic regression showed them to be significantly associated with readmission (sensibility: 10.6%, specificity: 98.6%, R2 coefficient: 0.046–0.066). ConclusionsThe model's predictive capacity is null. We think that factors other than indications are responsible for the high proportion of failure showed by LC in DC.

Unplanned admissions and readmissions in older people: a review of recent evidence on identifying and managing high-risk individuals

SummaryRising unplanned hospital admissions are a problem in ageing populations worldwide. These admissions are associated with poor outcomes for older people, contribute to rising health care costs and impede the provision of planned care. Policy and practice in recent years has focused on identification of those at risk of unplanned admission and early intervention via a range of admission avoidance services. Despite this, unplanned admissions in older people continue to rise, and managing demand for unplanned care remains a priority. Questions remain about the risk factors for unplanned admission and the best approaches to identifying and intervening with those at risk. This review explores recent evidence on admission rates, risk factors for unplanned admission in older people, identification of those at highest risk and interventions to avert unplanned admission.