Risk Factors For Tuberculosis Disease Research Articles

Malnutrition is a risk factor for tuberculosis disease among household contacts: a case-control study in Uganda

Household contacts (HHCs) of persons with tuberculosis including rifampicin-resistant or multi-drug-resistant tuberculosis (RR/MDR-TB) are at risk for TB infection. We investigated whether index patient-level clinical and socio-demographic factors of persons with MDR-TB are associated with TB disease among their HHCs in Uganda. We designed an unmatched case-control study. Cases were HHCs of persons with MDR-TB that had TB disease while controls were a random sample of HHCs of persons with MDR-TB that had no TB disease. The case-to-control ratio was 1:3. We identified the factors that significantly differed between the cases and controls in a multivariable binary logistic regression analysis and reported the odds ratio and 95% confidence interval (CI). We found similar demographic and clinical characteristics among the 11 cases and 33 controls. In a multivariable analysis, malnutrition was significantly associated with being a case than a control (adjusted OR 5.01; 95% CI 1.18-24.83). Therefore, TB Control Programs should focus on identifying malnutrition among persons with MDR-TB and providing nutritional counseling and support to improve recovery, and potentially reduce household TB transmission and optimize treatment success. Additionally, rapid screening for TB and preventive therapy should be prioritized to reduce transmission.

Identification of Cytomegalo Virus Infection Among Mycobacterium Tuberculosis in Baghdad City. Correlation between TB and CMV infection

Objectives: Human cytomegalovirus (HCMV) infection and immunological activation are risk factors for tuberculosis disease, according to recent research. Materials and Methods: The best procedure for the detection (TB) was investigated by Ziehl Neelsen and Auramine O (AO) technology. 315 sputum samples were collected randomly. The ZN approach produced a smear positivity rate for AFB of 49/315 (15.55%) while the LED Auramine O staining method produced a positivity rate of 69/315 (21.9%), One hundred serum samples were subjected to HCV IgG and IgM detection using Cassette method and ELISA techniques. Results: The results of the cassette method documented there were 62/100 (62%) cases of M. tuberculosis patients who had HCMV IgG versus 16/100 (16%) cases who had HCMV having IgM (P-value= 0.001). While the results of ELISA techniques observed there were 65 (65%) cases of M. tuberculosis patients had HCMV IgG versus 17/100 (17%) cases had HCMV had IgM these differences statistically were highly significant. These results observed the sensitivity of the cassette method and ELISA procedure for diagnosis of CMV among M.tuberculosis were 92% for IgG and 94% for IgM antibodies. Conclusions: According to recent findings from CMV infection significantly increases the probability of active TB disease.

The Yield of Active Tuberculosis Disease and Latent Tuberculosis Infection in Tuberculosis Household Contacts Investigated Using Chest X-ray in Yogyakarta Province, Indonesia.

In Indonesia, the implementation of tuberculosis (TB) contact investigation is limited, with low detection rates. We report the yield of and risk factors for TB disease and infection for household contacts (HHCs) investigated using chest X-ray (CXR) screening. We identified HHCs aged five years and above of bacteriologically confirmed index cases from 2018 to 2022 in Yogyakarta City and Kulon Progo. All HHCs were offered screening for TB symptoms; TB infection testing with either tuberculin skin testing or interferon gamma release assay; and referral for CXR. Sputum from those with symptoms or CXR suggestive of TB was tested with Xpert MTB/RIF. Risk factors for active TB disease and latent TB infection (LTBI) were identified by logistic regression models. We screened 2857 HHCs for TB between June 2020 and December 2022, with 68 (2.4%) diagnosed with active TB. Of 2621 HHCs eligible for LTBI investigation, 1083 (45.7%) were diagnosed with LTBI. The factors associated with active TB were age, being underweight, diabetes mellitus, urban living, and sleeping in the same house as an index case. Factors associated with LTBI were increasing age and male gender. Conclusions: Screening for HHC including CXR and TST/IGRA yielded a moderate prevalence of TB disease and infection.

Individual and environmental risk factors for tuberculosis disease

This study aimed to analyse the association of individual and environmental factors with tuberculosis infection. The cross-sectional study was conducted in Puskesmas Sering, located in Medan Tembung subdistrict, North Sumatra, in November 2022. A total of 56 people were sampled in this study. Data were collected directly from the subjects by interview using a questionnaire sheet distributed to the respondents. Chi-square test was used to determine the significance of risk factors with tuberculosis disease. The results of the study showed that the prevalence of tuberculosis was 73.21%. The Chi Square test showed that all the risk factors such as age (0.002), gender (0.006), smoking habit (0.009), population density (0.014) and environmental sanitation (0.002) were significantly associated with tuberculosis disease.

Financial incentives for reduced alcohol use and increased isoniazid adherence during tuberculosis preventive therapy among people with HIV in Uganda: an open-label, factorial randomised controlled trial

Alcohol use is common among people with HIV and is a risk factor for tuberculosis disease and non-adherence to isoniazid preventive therapy (IPT). Few interventions exist to reduce alcohol use and increase IPT adherence in sub-Saharan Africa. The aim of this study was to test the hypothesis that financial incentives conditional on point-of-care negative urine alcohol biomarker testing and positive urine isoniazid testing would reduce alcohol use and increase isoniazid adherence, respectively, in people with HIV who have latent tuberculosis infection and hazardous alcohol use. We conducted an open-label, 2×2 factorial randomised controlled trial in Uganda. Eligible for the study were non-pregnant HIV-positive adults (aged ≥18 years) prescribed antiretroviral therapy for at least 6 months, with current heavy alcohol use confirmed by urine ethyl glucuronide (biomarker of recent alcohol use) and a positive Alcohol Use Disorders Identification Test-Consumption (AUDIT-C; ≥3 for women, ≥4 for men) for the past 3 months' drinking, no history of active tuberculosis, tuberculosis treatment, or tuberculosis preventive therapy, and a positive tuberculin skin test. We randomly assigned participants (1:1:1:1) initiating 6 months of IPT to: no incentives (group 1); or incentives for recent alcohol abstinence (group 2), isoniazid adherence (group 3), or both (group 4). Escalating incentives were contingent on monthly point-of-care urine tests negative for ethyl glucuronide (groups 2 and 4), or positive on IsoScreen (biomarker of recent isoniazid use; groups 3 and 4). The primary alcohol outcome was non-hazardous use by self-report (AUDIT-C <3 for women, <4 for men) and phosphatidylethanol (PEth; past-month alcohol biomarker) <35 ng/mL at 3 months and 6 months. The primary isoniazid adherence outcome was more than 90% bottle opening of days prescribed. We performed intention-to-treat analyses. This trial is registered with ClinicalTrials.gov (NCT03492216), and is complete. From April 16, 2018, to Aug 2, 2021, 5508 people were screened, of whom 680 were randomly assigned: 169 to group 1, 169 to group 2, 170 to group 3, and 172 to group 4. The median age of participants was 39 years (IQR 32-47), 470 (69%) were male, 598 (90%) of 663 had HIV RNA viral loads of less than 40 copies per mL, median AUDIT-C score was 6 (IQR 4-8), and median PEth was 252 ng/mL (IQR 87-579). Among 636 participants who completed the trial with alcohol use endpoint measures (group 1: 152, group 2: 159, group 3: 161, group 4: 164), non-hazardous alcohol use was more likely in the groups with incentives for alcohol abstinence (groups 2 and 4) versus no alcohol incentives (groups 1 and 3): 57 (17·6%) of 323 versus 31 (9·9%) of 313, respectively; adjusted risk difference (aRD) 7·6% (95% CI 2·7 to 12·5, p=0·0025). Among 656 participants who completed the trial with isoniazid adherence endpoint measures (group 1: 158, group 2: 163, group 3: 168, group 4: 167), incentives for isoniazid adherence did not increase adherence: 244 (72·8%) of 335 in the isoniazid incentive groups (groups 3 and 4) versus 234 (72·9%) of 321 in the no isoniazid incentive groups (groups 1 and 2); aRD -0·2% (95% CI -7·0 to 6·5, p=0·94). Overall, 53 (8%) of 680 participants discontinued isoniazid due to grade 3 or higher adverse events. There was no significant association between randomisation group and hepatotoxicity resulting in isoniazid discontinuation, after adjusting for sex and site. Escalating financial incentives contingent on recent alcohol abstinence led to significantly lower biomarker-confirmed alcohol use versus control, but incentives for recent isoniazid adherence did not lead to changes in adherence. The alcohol intervention was efficacious despite less intensive frequency of incentives and clinic visits than traditional programmes for substance use, suggesting that pragmatic modifications of contingency management for resource-limited settings can have efficacy and that further evaluation of implementation is merited. National Institute on Alcohol Abuse and Alcoholism. For the Runyankole translation of the abstract see Supplementary Materials section.

Undernutrition as a risk factor for tuberculosis disease

Undernutrition as a risk factor for tuberculosis disease

Diabetes as a risk factor for tuberculosis disease

Diabetes as a risk factor for tuberculosis disease

COVID-19, the escalation of diabetes mellitus and the repercussions on tuberculosis

The COVID-19 pandemic has significantly disrupted global tuberculosis (TB) control efforts. The mobilization of healthcare resources and personnel to combat the pandemic, and the nationwide lockdown measures resulted in an accumulation of a large number of undiagnosed TB cases. Exacerbating the situation, recent meta-analyses showed that COVID-19-induced diabetes mellitus (DM) is on the increase. DM is an established risk factor for TB disease and worsens outcomes. Patients with concurrent DM and TB had more lung cavitary lesions, and are more likely to fail TB treatment and suffer disease relapse. This may pose a significant challenge to TB control in low- and middle-income countries where a high TB burden is found. There is a need to step up the efforts to end the TB epidemic, which include increased screening for DM among patients with TB, optimizing glycemic control among patients with TB-DM, and intensifying TB-DM research to improve treatment outcomes for patients with TB-DM.

Environmental Quality Factors with The Incidence of Pulmonary Tuberculosis: A Literature Review

Tuberculosis (TB) is an infectious disease caused by Mycobacterium tuberculosis that can attack the lungs and other organs. Tuberculosis (TB) is still a global priority health problem because Indonesia is one of the countries with the highest number of TB cases in the world. It is estimated that around 845.000 Indonesians in 2019 suffer from tuberculosis. Around 92,700 people die from TB in Indonesia per year. The purpose of this study was to determine the environmental risk factors with the incidence of pulmonary tuberculosis (TB). The method in this study uses the literature review method by selecting data sources according to the desired topic and criteria. The data base used in the search for sources is Google Scholar, ejournal.undip.ac.id, and Portal Garuda, with the keywords pulmonary tuberculosis, TB incidence factors, tuberculosis environmental factors, and the physical condition of the TB patient's house. The results of studies from 10 scientific journals on environmental risk factors for TB disease show that ventilation area, occupancy density, lighting intensity, humidity and room temperature are risk factors for TB incidence.

Cellular Immunity of Patients with Tuberculosis Combined with Diabetes.

Tuberculosis (TB) is one of humanity's three major infectious diseases. Diabetes mellitus (DM) is a metabolic disease characterized by hyperglycemia due to impaired insulin secretion or impaired insulin function. It has been reported that DM is a primary risk factor for TB disease. Given the increasing public health threat to people's health, more and more studies have focused on diabetes complicated by TB. Hyperglycemia can affect the function of human immune cells, promote primary infections and reactivation of TB, and increase the susceptibility and severity of TB. However, the immunological mechanism behind it is still not clear. By reviewing the related articles on tuberculosis complicated with diabetes published in recent years, this paper expounds on the effect of hyperglycemia on innate immunity and adaptive immunity of patients with TB. This review provides new insights for elucidating the immunological mechanism of TB complicated with DM and lays the foundation for finding potential targets for preventing and treating TB combined with DM.

Severe undernutrition in children affects tuberculin skin test performance in Southern India.

BackgroundUndernutrition impairs immunity to Mycobacterium tuberculosis and is a risk factor for tuberculosis disease (TB). We aim to investigate if severe undernutrition affects the tuberculin skin test (TST) response among household contacts (HHCs) of pulmonary TB cases.MethodsWe analyzed data from HHCs (> five years) of pulmonary TB cases in Southern India. Undernutrition was defined as per World Health Organization based on body mass index (BMI) for adults (undernutrition 16–18.4 and severe undernutrition <16 kg/m2) and BMI relative to the mean for children (undernutrition 2SD-3SD and severe undernutrition < 3SDs below mean). Univariate and multivariate models of TST positivity (> five mm) were calculated using logistic regression with generalized estimating equations.ResultsAmong 1189 HHCs, 342 were children (age 5–17 years) and 847 were adults. Prevalence of TST positivity in well-nourished, undernourished and severely undernourished children was 135/251 (53.8%), 32/68 (47.1%), and 7/23 (30.4%) respectively; among adults, prevalence of TST positivity was 304/708 (42.9%), 43/112 (38.4%) and 12/26 (46.2%), respectively. Severe undernutrition in children was associated with decreased odds of TST positivity (adjusted odds ratio 0.3; 95%CI 0.1–0.9).ConclusionSevere undernutrition in children was associated with decreased odds of TST positivity. False-negative TSTs may result from undernutrition; caution is warranted when interpreting negative results in undernourished populations.

Tuberculosis contact investigation results among paediatric contacts in low-incidence settings in Finland

Tuberculosis (TB) risk is highest immediately after primary infection, and young children are vulnerable to rapid and severe TB disease. Contact tracing should identify infected children rapidly and simultaneously target resources effectively. We conducted a retrospective review of the paediatric TB contact tracing results in the Hospital District of Helsinki and Uusimaa from 2012 to 2016 and identified risk factors for TB disease or infection. Altogether, 121 index cases had 526 paediatric contacts of whom 34 were diagnosed with TB disease or infection. The maximum delay until first contact investigation visit among the household contacts under 5 years of age with either TB disease or infection was 7 days. The yield for TB disease or infection was 4.6% and 12.8% for household contacts, 0.5% and 0% for contacts exposed in a congregate setting and 1.4% and 5.0% for other contacts, respectively. Contacts born in a TB endemic country (aOR 3.07, 95% CI 1.10–8.57), with household exposure (aOR 2.96, 95% CI 1.33–6.58) or a sputum smear positive index case (aOR 3.96, 95% CI 1.20–13.03) were more likely to have TB disease or infection.Conclusions: Prompt TB investigations and early diagnosis can be achieved with a well-organised contact tracing structure. The risk for TB infection or disease was higher among contacts with household exposure, a sputum smear positive index case or born in a TB endemic country. Large-scale investigations among children exposed in congregate settings can result in a very low yield and should be cautiously targeted.What is Known:• Vulnerable young children are a high priority in contact tracing and should be evaluated as soon as possible after TB exposureWhat is New:• Prompt investigations for paediatric TB contacts and early diagnosis of infected children can be achieved with a well-organised contact tracing structure• Large-scale investigations among children exposed in congregate settings can result in a very low yield and should be cautiously targeted

Cytomegalovirus infection is a risk factor for tuberculosis disease in infants.

Immune activation is associated with increased risk of tuberculosis (TB) disease in infants. We performed a case-control analysis to identify drivers of immune activation and disease risk. Among 49 infants who developed TB disease over the first 2 years of life, and 129 healthy matched controls, we found the cytomegalovirus-stimulated (CMV-stimulated) IFN-γ response to be associated with CD8+ T cell activation (Spearman’s rho, P = 6 × 10–8). A CMV-specific IFN-γ response was also associated with increased risk of developing TB disease (conditional logistic regression; P = 0.043; OR, 2.2; 95% CI, 1.02–4.83) and shorter time to TB diagnosis (Log Rank Mantel-Cox, P = 0.037). CMV+ infants who developed TB disease had lower expression of NK cell–associated gene signatures and a lower frequency of CD3–CD4–CD8– lymphocytes. We identified transcriptional signatures predictive of TB disease risk among CMV ELISpot–positive (area under the receiver operating characteristic [AUROC], 0.98, accuracy, 92.57%) and –negative (AUROC, 0.9; accuracy, 79.3%) infants; the CMV– signature was validated in an independent infant study (AUROC, 0.71; accuracy, 63.9%). A 16-gene signature that previously identified adolescents at risk of developing TB disease did not accurately classify case and control infants in this study. Understanding the microbial drivers of T cell activation, such as CMV, could guide new strategies for prevention of TB disease in infants.

Cytomegalovirus Antibody Responses Associated With Increased Risk of Tuberculosis Disease in Ugandan Adults.

Recent evidence highlights human cytomegalovirus (HCMV) and immune activation as risk factors for tuberculosis disease. It is not known whether other herpesviruses are also implicated, nor whether a dose-response relationship exists between tuberculosis risk and herpes coinfection. This nested case-control study used stored serum samples from 25 persons with tuberculosis up to 10 years before tuberculosis diagnosis and between 3 and 6 matched controls without tuberculosis from a rural Ugandan cohort. Samples were investigated for Epstein-Barr virus, herpes simplex virus, and HCMV-specific immunoglobulin G (IgG), serum markers of inflammation, and mycobacterial antibody levels. Humoral response to HCMV, but not Epstein-Barr or herpes simplex virus, was associated with increased risk of active tuberculosis disease up to 10 years before diagnosis. Individuals with medium HCMV IgG were 2.8 times more likely to have tuberculosis (P = .055), and those with high HCMV IgG 3.4 times more likely to have tuberculosis (P = .007). Mycobacterial antibody levels were not associated with differences in odds of tuberculosis disease. Interferon-induced protein 10 was independently associated with increased odds of tuberculosis (odds ratio, 4.2; P = .009). These data provide evidence of a dose response between magnitude of HCMV IgG with risk of tuberculosis disease. An inflammatory environment, characterized by serum interferon-induced protein 10 and interleukin 1α, is independently associated with increased risk of tuberculosis disease.

Impact of individual-level factors on Ex vivo mycobacterial growth inhibition: Associations of immune cell phenotype, cytomegalovirus-specific response and sex with immunity following BCG vaccination in humans

Understanding factors associated with varying efficacy of Bacillus Calmette-Guérin (BCG) would aid the development of improved vaccines against tuberculosis (TB). In addition, investigation of individual-level factors affecting mycobacterial-specific immune responses could provide insight into confounders of vaccine efficacy in clinical trials. Mycobacterial growth inhibition assays (MGIA) have been developed to assess vaccine immunogenicity ex vivo and provide a measure of immune function against live mycobacteria. In this study, we assessed the impact of immune cell phenotype, cytomegalovirus (CMV)-specific response and sex on ex vivo growth inhibition following historical BCG vaccination in a cohort of healthy individuals (n = 100). A higher frequency of cytokine-producing NK cells in peripheral blood was associated with enhanced ex vivo mycobacterial growth inhibition following historical BCG vaccination. A CMV-specific response was associated with T-cell activation, a risk factor for TB disease and we also observed an association between T-cell activation and ex vivo mycobacterial growth. Interestingly, BCG-vaccinated females in our cohort controlled mycobacterial growth better than males. In summary, our present study has shown that individual-level factors influence capacity to control mycobacterial growth following BCG vaccination and the MGIA could be used as a tool to assess how vaccine candidates may perform in different populations.

Pattern of socio-economic and health aspects among TB patients and controls

BackgroundSocio-economic and health-related factors have a significant impact on tuberculosis (TB) incidence among population residing in resource-scare settings. ObjectiveTo evaluate the pattern of socio-economic and health-related factors among TB patients and control in Delhi, India. MethodsThe present cross-sectional study was performed among 893 TB patients (or cases) and 333 healthy disease-free controls. The data for the present study was obtained from several district TB centres in north, west and south Delhi. The collected data was edited, coded and statistical analysed with the help of SPSS 20.0 version. ResultsIlliteracy and primary education were significant risk factors being associated with a TB. Rented housing condition had an odds ratio (OR) of 1.4 (95% confidence interval [CI]: 1.09–1.89) compared to owned housing condition. 3–5 individuals per room were 3 times more likely to be associated with a case of TB (95% CI: 2.49–4.41). Migrant individuals were 13 times more likely to be associated with a case of TB (95% CI: 8.77–19.78) in comparison to settled population. Daily consumption of non-vegetarian food also significantly contributed to case of TB with an OR of 3.4 (95% CI: 2.51–4.72). Loss of appetite and family TB served as significant health-related factors associated with TB risk. ConclusionLower educational status, rented household, individuals per room (as a measure of overcrowding) and migratory status served as prominent risk factors for TB disease. Preference and frequency of non-vegetarian food being consumed, night sweating, weight loss, loss of appetite, earlier TB and family TB were principle health-related risk factors associated with TB disease.

Protein-calorie malnutrition, macronutrient supplements, and tuberculosis.

Protein-calorie malnutrition (PCM) is a risk factor for tuberculosis (TB) disease and may affect treatment outcomes. There is currently no recommended macronutrient intervention for improving the outcome of anti-tuberculosis treatment. We reviewed current literature on PCM and low body mass index (BMI) as risk factors for tuberculous infection and TB disease, and their effects on anti-tuberculosis treatment. We summarize clinical trials of macronutrient supplementation in the treatment of TB. PCM is a well-established risk factor for TB disease; however, data on malnutrition and the risk of tuberculous infection are limited. Malnutrition is associated with an increased risk of mortality and relapse of active TB. Clinical trials of macronutrient supplementation during treatment confirm a 2-3 kg improvement in weight gain at 2 months, and may result in improvement in physical function, sputum conversion and treatment completion, but they have not been powered to assess effects on mortality or relapse. Assessment of dietary intake, food security, and baseline BMI should be standard practice in anti-tuberculosis treatment, along with dietary counselling. As macronutrient supplementation may have modest benefits and is not associated with adverse events, patients with BMI values <18.5 kg/m(2) should be provided with balanced macronutrient supplementation whenever possible.

The timing of tuberculosis after isoniazid preventive therapy among gold miners in South Africa: a prospective cohort study.

BackgroundThe durability of isoniazid preventive therapy (IPT) in preventing tuberculosis (TB) is limited in high-prevalence settings. The underlying mechanism (reactivation of persistent latent TB or reinfection) is not known. We aimed to investigate the timing of TB incidence during and after IPT and associated risk factors in a very high TB and HIV-prevalence setting, and to compare the observed rate with a modelled estimate of TB incidence rate after IPT due to reinfection.MethodsIn a post-hoc analysis of a cluster-randomized trial of community-wide IPT among South African gold miners, all intervention arm participants that were dispensed IPT for at least one of the intended 9 months were included. An incident TB case was defined as any participant with a positive sputum smear or culture, or with a clinical TB diagnosis assigned by a senior study clinician. Crude TB incidence rates were calculated during and after IPT, overall and by follow-up time. HIV status was not available. Multivariable Cox regression was used to analyse risk factors by follow-up time after IPT. Estimates from a published mathematical model of trial data were used to calculate the average reinfection TB incidence in the first year after IPT.ResultsAmong 18,520 participants (96 % male, mean age 41 years, median follow-up 2.1 years), 708 developed TB. The TB incidence rate during the intended IPT period was 1.3/100 person-years (pyrs; 95 % confidence interval (CI), 1.0–1.6) and afterwards 2.3/100 pyrs (95 % CI, 1.9–2.7). TB incidence increased within 6 months followed by a stable rate over time. There was no evidence for changing risk factors for TB disease over time after miners stopped IPT. The average TB incidence rate attributable to reinfection in the first year was estimated at 1.3/100 pyrs, compared to an observed rate of 2.2/100 pyrs (95 % CI, 1.8–2.7).ConclusionsThe durability of protection by IPT was lost within 6–12 months in this setting with a high HIV prevalence and a high annual risk of M. tuberculosis infection. The observed rate was higher than the modelled rate, suggesting that reactivation of persistent latent infection played a role in the rapid return to baseline TB incidence.Electronic supplementary materialThe online version of this article (doi:10.1186/s12916-016-0589-3) contains supplementary material, which is available to authorized users.

TB Incidence in an Adolescent Cohort in South Africa

BackgroundTuberculosis (TB) is a major public health problem globally. Little is known about TB incidence in adolescents who are a proposed target group for new TB vaccines. We conducted a study to determine the TB incidence rates and risk factors for TB disease in a cohort of school-going adolescents in a high TB burden area in South Africa.MethodsWe recruited adolescents aged 12 to 18 years from high schools in Worcester, South Africa. Demographic and clinical information was collected, a tuberculin skin test (TST) performed and blood drawn for a QuantiFERON TB Gold assay at baseline. Screening for TB cases occurred at follow up visits and by surveillance of registers at public sector TB clinics over a period of up to 3.8 years after enrolment.ResultsA total of 6,363 adolescents were enrolled (58% of the school population targeted). During follow up, 67 cases of bacteriologically confirmed TB were detected giving an overall incidence rate of 0.45 per 100 person years (95% confidence interval 0.29–0.72). Black or mixed race, maternal education of primary school or less or unknown, a positive baseline QuantiFERON assay and a positive baseline TST were significant predictors of TB disease on adjusted analysis.ConclusionThe adolescent TB incidence found in a high burden setting will help TB vaccine developers plan clinical trials in this population. Latent TB infection and low socio-economic status were predictors of TB disease.

Tuberculosis in Kazakhstan: analysis of risk determinants in national surveillance data

BackgroundDevelopment of tuberculosis (TB) is determined by various risk factors and the interactions of temporal and spatial distributions. The aim of this study was to identify the most salient risk factors for TB disease as well as multidrug resistant TB (MDR-TB) at the oblast (provincial) level in Kazakhstan.MethodsCorrelational and descriptive analyses were conducted at the oblast and national level using data provided by the country’s National Institute of Geography (NIG) and the National Tuberculosis Program (NTP). Reported incident case notification rates (CNRs) and prevalence vary by oblast, thus the study investigated which determinants contributed to this regional variation and compared burdens among oblasts.ResultsThe results showed that while tuberculosis CNRs decreased over the study period, MDR-TB conversely increased. Two oblasts -Atyrauskaya and Mangystauskaya - presented especially significant anomalies with large decreases in TB incident CNRs coupled with comparatively large increases in MDR-TB incident CNRs.ConclusionUnderstanding the distribution of TB and MDR-TB cases and associated risk factors, especially the “unknown risk factor” categorization points to the need for future research.