Risk Factors For 30-day Mortality Research Articles

Comparing gastrointestinal dysfunction score and acute gastrointestinal injury grade for predicting short-term mortality in critically ill patients

BACKGROUND The prognosis of critically ill patients is closely linked to their gastrointestinal (GI) function. The acute GI injury (AGI) grading system, established in 2012, is extensively utilized to evaluate GI dysfunction and forecast outcomes in clinical settings. In 2021, the GI dysfunction score (GIDS) was developed, building on the AGI grading system, to enhance the accuracy of GI dysfunction severity assessment, improve prognostic predictions, reduce subjectivity, and increase reproducibility. AIM To compare the predictive capabilities of GIDS and the AGI grading system for 28-day mortality in critically ill patients. METHODS A retrospective study was conducted at the general intensive care unit (ICU) of a regional university hospital. All data were collected during the first week of ICU admission. The primary outcome was 28-day mortality. Multivariable logistic regression analyzed whether GIDS and AGI grade were independent risk factors for 28-day mortality. The predictive abilities of GIDS and AGI grade were compared using the receiver operating characteristic curve, with DeLong’s test assessing differences between the curves’ areas. RESULTS The incidence of AGI in the first week of ICU admission was 92.13%. There were 85 deaths (47.75%) within 28 days of ICU admission. There was no initial 24-hour difference in GIDS between the non-survival and survival groups. Both GIDS (OR 2.01, 95%CI: 1.25-3.24; P = 0.004) and AGI grade (OR 1.94, 95%CI: 1.12-3.38; P = 0.019) were independent predictors of 28-day mortality. No significant difference was found between the predictive accuracy of GIDS and AGI grade for 28-day mortality during the first week of ICU admission (Z = -0.26, P = 0.794). CONCLUSION GIDS within the first 24 hours was an unreliable predictor of 28-day mortality. The predictive accuracy for 28-day mortality from both systems during the first week was comparable.

Clinical Characteristics and Factors Associated with 30-Day Mortality in Patients with Methicillin-resistant Staphylococcal Pneumonia

Objective: We aimed to identify the risk factors associated with 30-day mortality in patients with methicillin-resistant Staphylococcus spp. (MRS) pneumonia.Material and Methods: From March 2021 to March 2023, we conducted a prospective, observational study at Cho Ray Hospital, Viet Nam, in hospitalized patients aged ≥18 years with pneumonia due to MRS. To assess the risk factors for 30-day mortality, we performed univariable and multivariable logistic regression analyses.Results: The 30-day mortality was 39.1% (36 out of 92 patients with MRS pneumonia). The risk factors for death within 30 days in cases with MRS pneumonia were severe pneumonia, being overweight, respiratory failure, shock, or having a medical device (a tracheostomy or endotracheal tube, a central venous catheter, a urinary catheter, or a nasogastric tube). The 30-day mortality increased proportionally with the number of risk factors.Conclusion: Pre-existing factors were associated with the 30-day mortality risk of MRS pneumonia. Therefore, comprehensive therapy, including initial anti-MRS treatment, might be important for improving outcomes in patients with the studied risk factors.

Association between the serum albumin–creatinine ratio and 28-day intensive care unit mortality among patients with sepsis: a multicenter retrospective cohort study

IntroductionSepsis is a substantial global health challenge with a considerable disease burden. Despite advancements in sepsis research, the mortality rates associated with this condition remain high. The relationship between the serum albumin-to-creatinine ratio (sACR) and mortality in patients with sepsis remains unclear. Therefore, this study aimed to investigate the association between the sACR and 28-day mortality in intensive care unit (ICU) patients with sepsis.MethodsIn this retrospective cohort study, we used data sourced from the eICU Collaborative Research Database. The primary exposure variable was sACR, and the primary outcome measure was mortality within 28 days after ICU admission. Statistical analyses included univariate and multivariate logistic regression models, generalized additive models, and two-piecewise linear regression models, which were employed to explore non-linear relationships and threshold effects between sACR and mortality.ResultsThe study cohort comprised 9,690 ICU patients with sepsis, with a 28-day mortality rate of 9.99%. The results of the multivariate logistic regression model indicated that elevated sACR levels were significantly associated with a reduced risk of mortality (odds ratio = 0.78, 95% confidence interval: 0.71–0.87, p < 0.001), even after adjusting for potential confounding variables. Curve fitting revealed a non-linear relationship between sACR and 28-day mortality, with an inflection point of 4.79.DiscussionThis study demonstrated that sACR is an independent risk factor for 28-day mortality in ICU patients with sepsis, exhibiting a non-linear negative dose–response relationship and a threshold effect. These findings may serve as early warning indicators in high-risk populations.

Risk factors for occurrence and death of sepsis-associated acute kidney injury in children with sepsis

IntroductionThe 28th Acute Disease Quality Initiative (ADQI) Workgroup proposed the first international consensus on definition of SA-AKI in June 2023. The incidence and mortality of ADQI-defined SA-AKI in septic children is unknown, and the risk factors for the occurrence and death of SA-AKI is unexplored. MethodsWe conducted a retrospective study of septic children between January 1, 2018 and December 31, 2022. Logistic regression analysis was used to identify risk factors for SA-AKI. COX proportional hazards regression analysis was utilized for analyzing the risk factors for 30-day mortality in SA-AKI and septic children. Results221 children were included, of which 81 (36.7 %) developed SA-AKI, with 25.9 % developed into acute kidney disease. Older age, lower baseline eGFR and mechanical ventilation were independently associated with SA-AKI (P < 0.001, P < 0.01 and P < 0.05 respectively). Among the 81 SA-AKI children, 32.1 % died within 30 days from sepsis diagnosis, with higher mortality in children with late SA-AKI than early SA-AKI (72.2 % versus 20.6 %, P < 0.001). Septic shock was independently associated with 30-day death in SA-AKI children (P < 0.05). The overall 30-day mortality of septic children was 19.0 %, with mechanical ventilation, SA-AKI, and septic shock identified as independently associated with 30-day death (P < 0.001, P < 0.05 and P < 0.001 respectively). ConclusionsSA-AKI is of high incidence and mortality in septic children. Older age, lower baseline eGFR and mechanical ventilation were independent risk factors for SA-AKI. SA-AKI was independently associated with 30-day mortality in septic children.

Risk factors of 30-day mortality following cardiac surgery in adults with congenital heart disease: analysis from the Japanese registry

Abstract Background With advancements in pediatric therapies, the adult congenital heart disease (ACHD) population has grown consistently. ACHD patients often face complications necessitating cardiac surgery, and understanding surgical risk factors is essential. Purpose This study aims to assess ACHD surgical risk factors using big data, addressing evidence gaps in previous research limited to univariate analysis due to few perioperative adverse events. Methods We analyzed the Japanese Registry of All Cardiac and Vascular Diseases-Diagnosis Procedure Combination (JROAD-DPC) database from April 2013 to March 2020. The JROAD-DPC database covers nearly all teaching hospitals with cardiovascular beds participation in JROAD. Our study included ACHD patients (&amp;gt;15 years) undergoing open-heart surgery. Our primary outcome was 30-day mortality. We assessed clinical backgrounds, admission status, treatment, and length of hospital stay. Results Out of 13,677 ACHD patients (mean age: 53 years, females 47%) undergoing cardiac surgery assessed for 30-day mortality, 13,516 (98.8%) patients were categorized into the survival group and 161 (1.2%) into the death group. Mortality rates varied by complexity of congenital heart disease (CHD): 0.8% for simple, 1.8% for moderate, and 0.9% for great. The figure shows that a significant increase in 30-day mortality rates with age was demonstrated in simple and moderate complexity (p&amp;lt;0.001 for trend analysis in both categories). In contrast, for cases of great complexity, the increase in 30-day mortality rates with aging was not statistically significant (p=0.443). The death group was significantly older and had higher rates of ambulance admissions, renal disease, and peripheral vascular disease. Intra-aortic balloon pumps (IABP), veno-arterial extracorporeal membrane oxygenation (VA-ECMO), and dialysis during hospitalization were significantly higher among deceased patients. Length of ICU stay was significantly longer in the death group (median [IQR]; 3 [2-4] vs. 6 [3-11], p&amp;lt;0.001). Cox proportional-hazards model showed that age, moderate complexity, emergency admission, hospital bed counts, renal disease, and use of IABP and VA-ECMO were independently associated with 30-day mortality (Table). Conclusions The present study, which utilizes the nationwide administrative DPC database, demonstrates that surgical outcomes for patients with ACHD, as measured by 30-day mortality rates, are generally favorable. These outcomes significantly depend on factors such as age, complexity of CHD, emergency admissions, hospital capacity, renal disease, and use of mechanical circulatory support.

Epidemiology of Bacteremia in Patients with Hematological Malignancies and Hematopoietic Stem Cell Transplantation and the Impact of Antibiotic Resistance on Mortality: Data from a Multicenter Study in Argentina

The epidemiology of bacteremia and the antibiotic resistance profile (ARP) of Gram-negative bacilli (GNB) in hematological malignancies (HM) and hematopoietic stem cell transplant (HSCT) patients may differ according to geographic region. In addition, multidrug-resistant organisms (MDROs) may impact mortality. This is a prospective, observational, and multicenter study. The first episodes of bacteremia in adult patients with HM or HSCT were included. The risk factors for 30-day mortality were identified. One thousand two hundred and seventy-seven episodes were included (HM: 920; HSCT: 357). GNB were isolated in 60.3% of episodes, with Enterobacterales (46.9%) and P. aeruginosa (8.5%) being the most frequent. Gram-positive cocci were isolated in 41.9% of episodes, with coagulase-negative staphylococci (19.8%) and S. aureus (10.4%) being the most frequent. MDROs were isolated in 40.2% (24.4% GNB). The ARP of GNB in patients with HM vs. HSCT was cefepime: 36.8% vs. 45.7% (p = 0.026); piperacillin–tazobactam: 31.05% vs. 45.2% (p &lt; 0.0001); carbapenems: 18.9% vs. 27.3% (p = 0.012); and aminoglycosides: 9.3% vs. 15.4% (p = 0.017), respectively. Overall mortality between patients with HM and HSCT was 17.5% vs. 17.6% (p = 0.951), respectively. The risk factors for mortality were relapsed and refractory underlying disease, corticosteroids use, respiratory source, septic shock, and GNB resistant to meropenem, while 7-day clinical response was a protective factor for survival. Bacteremia was frequently caused by GNB, with a large proportion of MDROs and a high level of antibiotic resistance, especially in patients with HSCT. Carbapenem-resistant GNB bacteremia was associated with a significant increase in mortality.

Clinical characteristics and prognosis of bloodstream infections with carbapenem-resistant Gram-negative organisms in patients with hematological malignancies: A multicenter case-control study in China

To investigate clinical characteristics of hematological malignancy (HM) patients with carbapenem-resistant gram-negative organism (CRO) bloodstream infections (BSI) in China, and to elucidate the prognostic risk factors of CRO BSI. We conducted a multicenter case-control study of 201 HM patients with CRO BSI between 2018-2020. Antimicrobial susceptibility testing and whole genome sequencing were performed for CRO isolates. Independent risk factors for 28-day crude mortality of were analyzed using Cox proportional hazards regression models. The subgroups of major species were also evaluated. The pathogens responsible for CRO BSI in HM patients dominated by ST11 CRKP, ST167 CREC and ST463 CRPA. Most isolates produced carbapenemases with KPC and NDM being the main. CRO isolates had resistance rates to conventional antimicrobials ranging from 55%-100% and poor susceptibility to novel antimicrobials related to carbapenemases and species. The 28-day crude mortality was 24.2%. Non-Hodgkin lymphoma, heart disease, blaKPC-2 positive, empirical antibiotic therapy with linezolid, Pitt bacteremia score >3.5 were risk factors for 28-day mortality and appropriate definitive antibiotic therapy, tigecycline-containing therapy and aminoglycoside-containing therapy were protective factors. blaKPC-2 positive in CRKP and ST463 in CRPA were associated with Pitt bacteremia score > 3.5. Solid tumor and other site infections before BSI were risk factors for ST463 CRPA BSI and Pulmonary infection before BSI was risk factor for KPC-KP BSI. The antimicrobial resistance of CRO isolates for BSI in HM patients is critical. HM patients with CRO BSI should be treated with appropriate definitive antibiotic therapy based on early clarification of pathology and their antimicrobial susceptibility.

Body Weight's Role in Infective Endocarditis Surgery.

Objective: to investigate how body mass index (BMI) affects the outcome in patients treated surgically for infective endocarditis (IE). Methods: This is a single-center observational analysis of consecutive patients treated surgically for IE. We divided the cohort into six groups, according to the WHO classification of BMI, and performed subsequent outcome analysis. Results: The patient population consisted of 17 (2.6%) underweight, 249 (38.3%) normal weight, 252 (38.8%) overweight, 83 (12.8%) class I obese, 28 (4.3%) class II obese, and 21 (3.8%) class III, or morbidly obese, patients. The median age of the entire cohort was 64.5 [52.5-73.6] years. While only 168 (25.9%) patients were female, women significantly more often exhibited extremes in regards to BMI, including underweight (47.1%) and morbid obesity (52.4%), p = 0.026. Class II and III obese patients displayed more postoperative acute kidney injury (47.9%), p = 0.003, more sternal wound infection (12.9%), p < 0.001, worse 30-day survival (20.4%), p = 0.031, and worse long-term survival, p = 0.026, compared to the results for the other groups. However, the multivariable analysis did not identify obesity as an independent risk factor for 30-day mortality, with an odds ratio of 1.257 [0.613-2.579], p = 0.533. Rather, age > 60, reduced LVEF < 30%, staphylococcal infection, and prosthetic valve endocarditis correlated with mortality. While BMI showed poor discrimination in predicting 30-day mortality on the ROC curve (AUC = 0.609), it showed a fair degree of discrimination in predicting sternal wound infection (AUC = 0.723). Conclusions: Obesity was associated with increased comorbidities, complications, and higher postoperative mortality in IE patients, but it is not an independent mortality risk factor. While BMI is a poor predictor of death, it is a good predictor of sternal wound infections.

Risk Factors and Outcomes of Patients with Pseudomonas aeruginosa Bloodstream Infection in the Intensive Care Unit

Background: Bloodstream infections (BSIs) caused by Pseudomonas aeruginosa have high mortality rates and pose a significant threat to healthcare settings. Objectives: We aimed to investigate the clinical risk factors related to mortality and the development of P. aeruginosa with difficult-to-treat resistance (DTR-PA) BSI in the intensive care unit. Methods: This was a retrospective, single-center study that included patients with P. aeruginosa BSI who were hospitalized between 2020 and 2022. The risk factors affecting 30-day mortality and the development of DTR-PA were investigated using both univariate and multivariate analyses. Results: A total of 140 patients were analyzed. The mean age was (66 ± 17.5) years, and 48% of the patients were male. Previous meropenem use was an independent risk factor for DTR-PA BSI (odds ratio, 2.68; 95% CI, 1.24 to 5.80; P = 0.012). Multivariate analysis demonstrated that the requirement for inotropic support was an independent risk factor for 30-day mortality [hazard ratio, 2.50; 95% confidence interval (CI), 1.33 to 4.68; P = 0.004]. Conclusions: Prior meropenem use was an independent risk factor for DTR-PA development. Strict policies for Carbapenem use and infection control procedures are essential to combat infections caused by DTR-PA.

Serum β2-microglobulin as an independent risk factor for mortality in patients with acute respiratory distress syndrome caused by bacterial infection

Acute respiratory distress syndrome (ARDS) is a heterogeneous disease with extremely high mortality. We hypothesized that the serum β2-microglobulin (β2MG) level would be elevated and be an independent risk factor for 28-day mortality in patients with ARDS caused by bacterial infection. We retrospectively enrolled 257 patients with ARDS caused by bacterial infection from January 1, 2015 to February 28, 2021. Patients were followed for up to 28 days and were divided into a survival group and non-survival group according to their clinical outcomes. The serum β2MG levels and other clinical data were collected. The relationship between β2MG levels and 28-day mortality was explored by performing a Cox regression analysis adjusted for age, updated Charlson comorbidity index, disorders of consciousness, septic shock, albumin level, cardiac troponin I level, procalcitonin level, lactic acid level, prothrombin time, partial pressure of arterial oxygen/fraction of inspired oxygen ratio, estimated glomerular filtration rate and Sequential Organ Failure Assessment. In this cohort, 96 patients died in 28 days, yielding a 28-day mortality of 37.4%. The median level of serum β2MG for all enrolled patients was 4.7 (interquartile range [IQR]: 2.9–8.5) mg/L. Higher β2MG levels were significantly associated with 28-day mortality when the β2MG level was analysed as a continuous variable (hazard ratio [HR]: 1.053; 95% confidence interval [CI] 1.004–1.104; P = 0.032) and when it was categorized into tertiles (HR: 3.241; 95% CI 1.180–8.905; P = 0.023). The β2MG level exhibited a high diagnostic accuracy for predicting 28-day mortality (area under the curve [AUC] = 0.732; 95% CI 0.673–0.785; sensitivity: 74.0%; specificity: 64.0%; P < 0.001). The level of serum β2MG is elevated and is an independent risk factor of 28-day mortality in patients with ARDS caused by bacterial infection.

Short-term mortality among very elderly cancer patients in the intensive care unit: A retrospective cohort study based on the Medical Information Mart for Intensive Care IV database.

The objective of this study is to examine the epidemiological characteristics of very elderly patients (aged over 80 years) with cancer admitted to the intensive care unit (ICU), and to elucidate the association between Acute Physiology Score III (APS-III) and 28-day mortality. A retrospective analysis was conducted using data extracted from the Medical Information Mart for Intensive Care IV (MIMIC-IV) database. Patients aged 80 years and above were assigned to three groups: non-cancer group, non-metastatic cancer group, and metastatic cancer group, based on their cancer diagnosis and its extent, Kaplan-Meier curves were constructed among these patient groups. Furthermore, patients were divided into a survival group and a non-survival group based on their 28-day survival status after ICU admission. Univariate and multivariate logistic regression analyses were performed to detect the risk factors for 28-day mortality among these patients. Additionally, this investigation sought to establish a dose-response relationship by exploring the graded association between APS-III scores and the 28-day mortalities among patients diagnosed with cancer. A total of 42,037 medical records were screened, from which 11,461 elderly patients aged over 80 years were included, comprising 1020 (8.90%) with non-metastatic cancer, 537 (4.68%) with metastatic cancer, and 9904 (86.41%) without cancer. Significant differences in 28-day mortality were observed between both the non-metastatic and metastatic cancer groups compared to the non-cancer group (20.98% and 22.35% vs. 15.75%, p < 0.001). However, no statistically significant difference was detected in the 28-day mortality rate when comparing the non-metastatic cancer group directly with the metastatic cancer group (20.98% vs. 22.35%, p = 0.576). Univariate analysis revealed significant differences (p < 0.001) in age, gender, BMI, aCCI excluding cancer point, ventilation, presence of cancer, and status of metastatic cancer between the survival and non-survival groups. In the multivariate logistic regression, the odds ratio (OR) for ventilation was found to be 2.154 (95% CI: 1.799-2.578), cancer conferred an OR of 1.499 (95% CI: 1.137-1.975), metastatic cancer showed an OR of 1.171 (95% CI: 0.745-1.841), APS-III showed an OR of 1.038 (95% CI: 1.034-1.042). A dose-response relationship was observed, demonstrating that when the APS-III score exceeded 80 points, the 28-day mortality rate surpassed 50% among the very elderly cancer patients in ICU. More than one-tenth of critically ill very elderly patients admitted to the ICU are diagnosed with cancer. Among ICU patients, those with cancer face a short-term mortality risk approximately 1.5 times higher than those without a cancer diagnosis. Interestingly, while our findings do not indicate an escalated mortality risk due to metastasis within the cancer patient cohort, the presence of cancer itself remains a significant factor influencing ICU mortality rates in this very elderly population.

Amikacin treatment in patients with Enterobacterales bacteraemia: impact of MIC on mortality.

Recently, breakpoints of Enterobacterales to amikacin were changed from MIC ≤ 16 mg/L to MIC ≤ 4 mg/L based mainly on laboratory data with little supporting clinical evidence. Our aim was to investigate the relation between MIC of Enterobacterales to amikacin and mortality among patients with Enterobacterales bacteraemia from a urinary tract source treated with amikacin. This retrospective, single-centre study included patients with Enterobacterales urinary source bacteraemia treated with amikacin, with Low (MIC ≤ 4 mg/L) and High (MIC 8 or 16 mg/L) MICs. A cohort of patients treated with ertapenem was used to assess if amikacin MIC is a marker of severity independent of antimicrobial treatment. The primary outcome was 30-day mortality. Multivariate logistic regression analysis was done to assess risk factors for mortality. We included 85 patients, 46 (54.1%) were male, and mean age was 79.0 years (SD 11.7). Sixty-one patients (71.8%) had Low MIC and 24 (28.2%) had High MIC. Thirty-day mortality was 8.2% and 29.2% in the Low and High MIC groups, respectively (P = 0.031). Risk factors for 30-day mortality were age, infection by Enterobacterales other than Escherichia coli and high amikacin MIC. In a cohort of 88 patients treated with ertapenem, amikacin MIC was not associated with 30-day mortality. We demonstrated a relation between higher amikacin MIC levels (8 and 16 mg/L) and increased 30-day mortality in patients treated with amikacin for bacteraemia secondary to a urinary source. These findings support the new CLSI breakpoint change of Enterobacterales to amikacin.

Mortality and Associated Risk Factors in Patients With Candida auris: Insights From a Tertiary Care Hospital in Bahrain.

Introduction Candida auris poses a significant healthcare challenge due to its high mortality rates, difficulties in identification, and resistance to antifungal treatment. This study aims to identify risk factors associated with 30-day mortality in patients with either invasive Candida auris infection or colonization. Methods We conducted a prospective study at Salmaniya Medical Complex, a tertiary care hospital in Bahrain, from September 2023 to February 2024. The study included 59 patients infected or colonized by Candida auris. Data were systematically collected from patient records, including demographics, clinical characteristics, and outcomes. Risk factors for 30-day mortality were analyzed using both univariate and multivariate statistical methods. Results Among the 59 patients studied, the mean age was 63.9 years, and the cohort was predominantly male (74.6%). Key findings include a high prevalence of multiple indwelling catheters (44.2%) and recent intubation (42.4%). Candida auris was most frequently isolated from the groin (33.9%) and urine (25.4%), with a notable presence in the axillary regions (23.7%). The mortality rate was 44.1%. Univariate and multivariate analyses revealed that age (≥65 years), multiple indwelling catheters, ICU admission for over 24 hours, and recent intubation were significant risk factors for mortality while chronic kidney disease did not retain its significance in the multivariate model. Conclusion The study underscores the critical need for focused infection control and strong antimicrobial stewardship to address the high mortality associated with Candida auris infections. Emphasizing the importance of early detection and a multidisciplinary approach, these strategies are essential for managing and mitigating the impact of Candida auris in healthcare settings.

Predictive Mortality of the Prognostic Nutritional Index Combined with APACHE II Score for Critically Ill Tuberculosis Patients.

High mortality rates are commonly found in critically ill patients with tuberculosis (TB), which is due partially to limitations in the existing prognostic evaluation methods. Therefore, we aimed to find more effective prognostic evaluation tools to reduce the mortality rate. Data from critically ill patients with TB admitted to the intensive care unit of The Second Hospital of Nanjing, Nanjing, China, between January 2020 and December 2022 were analyzed retrospectively. A total of 115 patients were enrolled and divided into a survival group (n = 62) and a death group (n = 53) according to 30-day survival. Univariate and least absolute shrinkage and selection operator (LASSO) regression analyses were used to investigate the risk factors for 30-day death in critically ill patients with TB. A prediction model for risk of 30-day mortality was developed for critically ill patients with TB in the intensive care unit. The LASSO regression model showed that the prognostic nutritional index (PNI) and Acute Physiology and Chronic Health Status (APACHE II) scores on the third day after admission to the intensive care unit were independent risk factors for 30-day mortality in critically ill patients with TB (P <0.05). The area under the curve value and that PA3 represents the combination of the PNI and APACHE II score on the third day, which was 0.952 (95% CI: 0.913-0.991, P <0.001), was significantly higher than that of the PNI or the APACHE II score on the third day. The new model is as follows: PA3 = APACHE II score (on the third day) × 0.421 - PNI × 0.204. The PNI combined with the APACHE II score on the third day could well predict the 30-day mortality risk of critically ill patients with TB.

Risk Factors for Postoperative Major Morbidity, Anastomotic Leakage, Re-Surgery and Mortality in Patients with Colonic Perforation.

Background/Objectives: This study aimed to determine the risk factors associated with postoperative major morbidity, anastomotic/suture leakage, re-surgery and mortality in patients undergoing emergency surgery for colonic perforation. Methods: A total of 204 adult patients treated surgically for colonic perforation from 2016 to 2021 at the University Hospital Erlangen were included in a retrospective analysis. Patient demographics and pre-, intra- and postoperative parameters were obtained and evaluated among various outcome groups (in-hospital major morbidity, anastomotic/suture leakage, re-surgery and 90-day mortality). Results: Postoperative in-hospital major morbidity, anastomotic/suture leakage, need of re-surgery and 90-day mortality occurred in 45%, 12%, 25% and 12% of the included patients, respectively. Independent risk factors for in-hospital major morbidity were identified and included the presence of any comorbidity, a significantly reduced preoperative general condition, the localization of perforation in the right hemicolon and the need for an intraoperative blood transfusion. The only independent risk factor for anastomotic/suture leakage was the presence of any comorbidity, whereas no independent risk factors for re-surgery were found. An age > 65 years, a significantly reduced preoperative general condition and the need for an intraoperative blood transfusion were independent risk factors for 90-day mortality. Conclusions: Our study identified risk factors impacting postoperative outcomes in patients undergoing emergency surgery for colonic perforation. These patients should receive enhanced postoperative care and may benefit from individualized and targeted therapeutic approaches.

Novel cortisol trajectory sub-phenotypes in sepsis

BackgroundSepsis is a heterogeneous syndrome. This study aimed to identify new sepsis sub-phenotypes using plasma cortisol trajectory.MethodsThis retrospective study included patients with sepsis admitted to the intensive care unit of Zhongshan Hospital Fudan University between March 2020 and July 2022. A group-based cortisol trajectory model was used to classify septic patients into different sub-phenotypes. The clinical characteristics, biomarkers, and outcomes were compared between sub-phenotypes.ResultsA total of 258 patients with sepsis were included, of whom 186 were male. Patients were divided into two trajectory groups: the lower-cortisol group (n = 217) exhibited consistently low and slowly declining cortisol levels, while the higher-cortisol group (n = 41) showed relatively higher levels in comparison. The 28-day mortality (65.9% vs.16.1%, P < 0.001) and 90-day mortality (65.9% vs. 19.8%, P < 0.001) of the higher-cortisol group were significantly higher than the lower-cortisol group. Multivariable Cox regression analysis showed that the trajectory sub-phenotype (HR = 5.292; 95% CI 2.218–12.626; P < 0.001), APACHE II (HR = 1.109; 95% CI 1.030–1.193; P = 0.006), SOFA (HR = 1.161; 95% CI 1.045–1.291; P = 0.006), and IL-1β (HR = 1.001; 95% CI 1.000–1.002; P = 0.007) were independent risk factors for 28-day mortality. Besides, the trajectory sub-phenotype (HR = 4.571; 95% CI 1.980–10.551; P < 0.001), APACHE II (HR = 1.108; 95% CI 1.043–1.177; P = 0.001), SOFA (HR = 1.270; 95% CI 1.130–1.428; P < 0.001), and IL-1β (HR = 1.001; 95% CI 1.000–1.001; P = 0.015) were also independent risk factors for 90-day mortality.ConclusionThis study identified two novel cortisol trajectory sub-phenotypes in patients with sepsis. The trajectories were associated with mortality, providing new insights into sepsis classification.

The Values of PDK1 and LDH Levels in Patients with Sepsis and Septic Shock: A Prospective Observational Study.

Metabolic changing is the significant host stress response during sepsis, but there is increasing evidence that uncontrolled metabolic reprogramming is a contributing factor to sepsis. Nevertheless, its association with outcome in patients with sepsis has been poorly investigated. As the key enzyme of metabolic reprogramming, the clinical value of PDK1 and LDH in patients with sepsis will be investigated in this study. We collected serum from 167 ICU patients within 24hours of admission for a single-center prospective observational study. The levels of PDK1 and LDH were detected by enzyme-linked adsorption method. Pearson or Spearman coefficient for correlation analysis between PDK1, LDH and clinical indicators. Areas under the ROC curves for evaluation of mortality prediction. Kaplan-Meier survival curve analysis was performed, and Cox proportional hazards model was performed to determine the risk factors for 28-day mortality. The PDK1/LDH in the septic shock group was statistically different between both the sepsis group and ICU control group, and had good correlation with ScvO2 and lactate. In predicting 28-day mortality in patients with sepsis, the best AUC was observed for PDK1/LDH, and was higher than the AUC for PDK1, lactate, and SOFA. Additionally, patients with lower PDK1/LDH had markerablely higher 28-day mortality. The multivariate Cox proportional hazards model revealed that PDK1/LDH < 0.1808 were the independent risk factors for 28-day mortality in sepsis. The level of PDK1/LDH at admission was markedly decreased in patients with septic shock, which can serve as a novel independent prognostic biomarker for predicting mortality.

Potential Impact of Direct Versus Indirect Central Venoarterial Extracorporeal Membrane Oxygenation (VA-ECMO) Cannulation in Refractory Postcardiotomy Cardiogenic Shock.

Background Central venoarterial extracorporeal membrane oxygenation (VA-ECMO) is a commonly employed strategy to support patients in refractory postcardiotomy cardiogenic shock (RPCS). This support can be provided using either indirect central ECMO (icECMO) with a closed thorax or direct central ECMO (dcECMO) with an open thorax. Methods This single-center retrospective analysis included 60 patients undergoing central VA-ECMO for RPCS from January 2019 to December 2020. The primary endpoint of this study is to compare 30-day survival outcomes between the icECMO and dcECMO approaches in RPCS patients. Secondary endpoints include the evaluation of adverse events and the identification of predictors that influence 30-day mortality. Results The study included 60 patients, 25 received icECMO and 35 treated with dcECMO due to RPCS. The icECMO group demonstrated significantly better 30-day survival rates (icECMO; 10 [40%] vs. dcECMO; 5 [14.3%], log-rank test; p=0.042). Despite comparable ECMO flow rate and ECMO RPM (rotations per minute) in the first day between the study groups ([icECMO; 4.5 l/min vs. dcECMO; 4.6 l/min, p=0.124], [icECMO; 3510 rpm vs. dcECMO; 3800 rpm, p=0.115], respectively), lactate levels were significantly higher in the dcECMO group on the 1st and 3rd post-extracorporeal life support (ECLS) days (p=0.006 and p=0.008, respectively). Gastrointestinal ischemia was more common in the dcECMO group (p=0.036). Successful ECMO weaning was more frequent in the icECMO group (56% vs. 22.9%, p=0.014). Multivariable logistic regression identified arterial lactate on the first day with a cutoff 4 mmol/las an independent risk factor for 30-day mortality with Exp(B) of 8.9 (p=0.007). Conclusions Our findings suggest a potential survival advantage with the icECMO technique in patients undergoing central ECMO cannulation after RPCS. However, larger prospective studies are essential to confirm this observation.

Outcomes after open and endovascular treatment for mesenteric artery embolism patients: a retrospective inverse probability of treatment-weighted analysis.

This study aims to evaluate outcomes in patients with mesenteric artery embolism (MAE) who received primary endovascular therapy (EVT) or laparotomy, and investigate risk factors for 30-day mortality. A retrospective analysis of 94 MAE patients who underwent two different treatment strategies was undertaken. An inverse probability of treatment weighting (IPTW) method was used to balance the confounding effects of baseline clinical data. Logistic regression analysis was performed to compare the outcomes according to type of treatment regimens before and after IPTW. Univariate and multivariable analysis were conducted to determine the risk factors for 30-day mortality. Twenty-eight MAE patients received primary EVT, and 66 Open Surgery (OS). Logistic regression analysis showed that there was no significant difference between the EVT and OS group in 30-day mortality rate before (odds ratio [OR] 0.477, 95% confidence interval [CI] 0.170 to 1.340, P = 0.160), and after IPTW (OR 0.647, 95% CI 0.210 to 1.993, P = 0.449). After IPTW, it revealed that the rates of second-look surgery (OR 36.727, 95% CI 5.407 to 249.458, P < 0.001) and hospital stay [> 30 days] (OR 0.006, 95% CI 0.000 to 0.363, P = 0.014) were different in the two groups. D-dimer (> 4mg/L) and procalcitonin (> 0.5 ng/mL) were the independent risk factors for 30-day mortality in MAE patients postoperatively (P < 0.05). In this retrospective study, MAE patients who performed primary EVT had no obvious difference in 30-day mortality rate compared to those who received OS; but it was conducive to reducing prolonged hospital stays. An increase in procalcitonin level and higher D-dimer were associated with short-term poor prognosis in patients with MAE.

Associations Between Severe Influenza-Complicated Thromboembolism Events, Intensive Care Unit Stays and Mortality, and Associated Risk Factors: A Retrospective Cohort Study.

A retrospective cohort study was conducted, recruiting consecutive patients with TE events admitted to the ICU between December 2015 through December 2018 at our institution in Taiwan. The study included a group of 108 patients with severe influenza and a control group of 192 patients with severe community-acquired pneumonia. Associations between complicated TE, length of ICU stay, and 90-day mortality were evaluated using logistic regression analysis, and risk factors were identified using univariate and multivariate generalized linear regression analyses. TE event prevalence was significantly higher in ICU patients with severe influenza than in ICU patients with severe CAP (21.3% vs. 5.7%, respectively; p < 0.05). Patients with severe influenza who developed TE experienced a significant increase in the ratio of mechanical ventilation use, length of mechanical ventilation use, ICU stay, and 90-day mortality when compared to patients without TE (all p < 0.05). The comparison of severe CAP patients with and without TE revealed no significant differences (p > 0.05). The development of thromboembolic events in patients with severe influenza or severe noninfluenza CAP is linked to influenza infection and hypertension (p < 0.05). Furthermore, complicated TE and the severity of the APACHE II score are risk factors for 90-day mortality in ICU patients with severe influenza (p < 0.05). Patients with severe influenza and complicated TE are more likely to have an extended ICU stay and 90-day mortality than patients with severe CAP. The risk is significantly higher for patients with a higher APACHE II score. The results of this study may aid in defining better strategies for early recognition and prevention of severe influenza-complicated TE.