Risk Factors For 1-year Mortality Research Articles

Single vs Double Lung Transplantation in Older Adults: A Propensity-Matched Analysis

BackgroundSingle lung transplantation (SLT) is associated with worse long-term outcomes than bilateral lung transplantation (BLT) but is often performed for older adults at risk of not tolerating BLT. Research QuestionHow do the outcomes of SLT and BLT compare among older adult recipients? Study Design and MethodsThe Scientific Registry of Transplant Recipients database (2005-2022) was queried for lung transplant recipients aged ≥65 years. Patients were stratified by whether they underwent BLT or SLT, and propensity matched. Baseline characteristics and morbidity were compared with frequentist statistics. Survival was analyzed via Kaplan-Meier estimation. Risk factors for mortality were identified with Cox regression. ResultsOf 9,904 included patients, 4,829 (48.8%) underwent SLT. SLT patients had lower lung allocation scores (39.6 v. 40.6, p<0.001), more interstitial lung disease (74.4% v. 64.6%, p<0.001) and lower rates of bridging (0.7% v. 2.4%, p<0.001). Groups did not differ significantly by sex, body mass index, or donor characteristics. Propensity matching resulted in 2,539 patients in each group. On matched analysis, SLT patients had shorter lengths of stay (14 v. 18 d), lower reintubation rates (14.7% v. 19.8%), and less postoperative dialysis use (4.2% v. 6.4%) (all p<0.001). SLT patients had comparable survival at 30-days (97.6% v. 97.3%, p=0.414) and 1-year (85.5% v. 86.3%, p=0.496), but lower survival at 5-years (45.4% v. 53.4%, p<0.001) on matched analysis. SLT was a risk factor for 5-year mortality (adjusted hazard ratio: 1.19, p<0.001). InterpretationIn older adults, SLT is associated with less morbidity and comparable early survival relative to BLT, but lower five-year survival. SLT is reasonable to perform in older adults at high risk for BLT.

The intra-aortic balloon pump as a rescue device: Do we need to shift our strategy for cardiogenic shock rescue after cardiac surgery?

ObjectiveThe intra-aortic balloon pump (IABP) is widely used to rescue patients from complications following cardiac surgery. Given improvements in rescue strategies over the past decade, the appropriateness of IABP must be reexamined. This study assessed the risk factors, outcomes, and predictors of survival of rescue IABP placement. MethodsPatients receiving an isolated rescue IABP during or after cardiac surgery from 2012 to 2020 were studied. All adult patients undergoing cardiac surgery except transplantation and primary mechanical circulatory support (MCS) procedures were included. ResultsOf 10,591 patients, 397 (3.7%) received a perioperative IABP, including 182 (45.8%) with rescue IABP placement. The indications for rescue IABP were postcardiotomy shock (n = 66; 36.3%), failure to wean off cardiopulmonary bypass (n = 58; 31.9%), myocardial ischemia (n = 30; 16.5%), cardiac arrest (n = 25; 13.7%), and ventricular arrhythmia (n = 3; 1.6%). The in-hospital failure to rescue rate was 17.6% (n = 32 of 182) with a 90-day survival of 80.8% and 1-year survival of 76.9%. The most common etiology of mortality was ongoing cardiogenic shock (61.9%; n = 26 of 42). IABP use for >4 days and cardiac arrest as an indication for IABP were risk factors for 1-year mortality (adjusted hazard ratio, 2.68 [95% confidence interval (CI), 1.31-5.50] and 2.69 [95% CI, 1.11-6.54], respectively). ConclusionsRescue IABP following cardiac surgery is associated with increased early and 1-year mortality. Prolonged IABP use beyond 4 days or cardiac arrest as an indication portended a significantly worse prognosis. Rescue IABP may not be the optimal first-line temporary MCS for all patients, as the level of support provided might not match the severity of cardiogenic shock. Alternative MCS strategies should be considered early.

Prognostic value of first 24-hour urine output in patients with acute myocardial infarction in intensive care units: a retrospective study based on the MIMIC-IV database.

To investigate the effect of first 24-hour (24-h) urine output (UO) on in-hospital and 1-year mortality in patients admitted to intensive care units due to acute myocardial infarction. This was a retrospective cohort study based on the medical information mart for intensive care IV database involving patients admitted to intensive care units due to acute myocardial infarction. Patients were classified as low UO (LUO), high UO (HUO), and middle UO with a first 24-h UO below 800ml, over 2500ml, or in between, respectively. The primary outcome was in-hospital mortality and the secondary outcome was 1-year mortality. A total of 4337 patients were involved. Taking middle UO group as reference, after adjusting for confounders including age, gender, height, weight, comorbidity, occurrence of cardiogenic shock, revascularization, blood pressure, creatinine, N-terminal pro-brain natriuretic peptide, and use of loop diuretics, LUO was independently associated with higher in-hospital mortality [odds ratio 4.05, 95% confidence interval (CI): 3.12-5.26], while HUO was an independent protective factor (odds ratio 0.52, 95% CI: 0.35-0.77). In the multivariant Cox regression model, LUO was an independent risk factor for 1-year mortality (hazard ratio 2.65, 95% CI: 2.16-3.26), while HUO did not show significant association. In patients admitted to intensive care units due to acute myocardial infarction, first 24-h UO <800ml was a strong predictor for higher in-hospital and 1-year mortality, while first 24-h UO over 2500ml was associated with lower in-hospital mortality but not long-term mortality.

Prognostic value of CT body composition analysis for 1-year mortality after transcatheter aortic valve replacement.

To investigate the value of body composition indices derived from pre-procedural computed tomography (CT) in predicting 1-year mortality among patients who underwent transcatheter aortic valve replacement (TAVR). We assessed consecutive patients who underwent TAVR between June 2016 and December 2021 at a single academic medical center. Skeletal muscle and subcutaneous fat area at the T4, T12, and L3 levels on pre-procedural CT were measured. The association between body composition and 1-year mortality was evaluated using Cox proportional hazard regression analysis. Finally, 408 patients were included (185 men and 223 women; mean age, 81.7 ± 5.1 years; range, 62-98 years). Post-procedural death occurred in 13.2% of patients. The muscle-height index and fat-height index at the L3 level were more strongly correlated with those at the T12 level (r = 0.765, p < 0.001 and r = 0.932, p < 0.001, respectively) than with those at the T4 level (r = 0.535, p < 0.001 and r = 0.895, p < 0.001, respectively). The cumulative 1-year mortality rate was highest for patients with both sarcopenia and adipopenia (26%), followed by those with adipopenia only(17%), those with sarcopenia only (12%), and those with neither sarcopenia nor adipopenia (8%, p = 0.002). Multivariable analysis revealed that body composition at the T12 level was an independent risk factor for 1-year mortality (hazard ratio: 4.09, 95% confidence interval: 2.01-8.35) in patients with both sarcopenia and adipopenia (p < 0.001). Sarcopenia or adipopenia assessed with CT at the thoracic level may be valuable for stratifying 1-year all-cause mortality in patients who undergo TAVR. Skeletal muscle and subcutaneous fat mass indices at the level of T12, measured on pre-procedural CT, have value for risk stratification of 1-year all-cause mortality in patients who undergo transcatheter aortic valve replacement. Sarcopenia and adipopenia are associated with the prognosis of patients undergoing transcatheter aortic valve replacement. Body composition at the T12 level was an independent risk factor for 1-year all-cause mortality. Sarcopenia or adipopenia assessed at T12 with pre-procedural CT is valuable for risk stratification.

Durable left ventricular assist devices following temporary circulatory support on a microaxial flow pump with and without extracorporeal life support

BackgroundCirculatory support with a catheter-based microaxial flow pump (mAFP) plays a major role in the treatment of severe cardiogenic shock. In most patients who fail to recover while on temporary mechanical circulatory support (tMCS) and who are not eligible for heart transplantation, durable left ventricular assist device (dLVAD) implantation is usually considered a reliable option. This study aimed to describe the outcome of dLVAD therapy following mAFP support and to identify predictors of mortality. MethodsThis was a retrospective analysis of data from a multicenter registry on patients who underwent dLVAD implantation following tMCS with a mAFP between January 2017 and October 2022 (n = 332) from 19 European centers. ResultsPatients were supported with an Impella 5.5 (n = 92), 5.0 (n = 153) or CP (n = 87) and were transitioned to a HeartWare HVAD (n = 128) or Heartmate 3 (n = 204) during the same period. One hundred and twenty-five patients (39.2%) also required extracorporeal life support before and/or during mAFP therapy. The 30-day and 1-year survival were 87.8% and 71.1%, respectively. The following risk factors for 1-year mortality were identified: age (odds ratio [OR], 1.02), specifically age over 55 years (OR, 1.09), body mass index >30 kg/m2 (OR, 2.2), female sex (OR for male sex, 0.43), elevated total bilirubin (OR, 1.12), and low platelet count (OR, 0.996). ConclusionsBased on the identified risk factors, a risk score for estimating 1-year mortality was calculated to optimize patient selection for dLVAD implantation.

One-year mortality risk in older individuals with femoral intertrochanteric fracture: a tertiary center in China

BackgroundThe accelerated growth of older individuals worldwide has increased the number of patients presenting with fragility hip fractures. Having a hip fracture can cause excess mortality, and patients with hip fracture have a higher risk of death than those without hip fracture. Most studies have treated hip fracture as a single, homogeneous condition, but hip fracture includes two major anatomic types: intertrochanteric fracture and femoral neck fracture. Few studies have specifically evaluated 1-year mortality risk in older individuals with femoral intertrochanteric fracture. The aim of this study was to evaluate 1-year mortality and factors associated with mortality in older individuals with femoral intertrochanteric fracture.MethodsA retrospective review was conducted of 563 patients ≥ 65 years old who underwent surgery for femoral intertrochanteric fractures at our institution between January 2010 and August 2018. Patient demographics, comorbidities, and treatment were collected by retrospective chart review. Age, sex, Body Mass Index (BMI), American Society of Anesthesiologists (ASA) classification, Charlson comorbidity index (CCI), Arbeitsgemeinschaft Für Osteosynthesefragen (AO) fracture classification, haemoglobin value at admission, time to surgery, operation time, and intraoperative blood loss were risk factors to be tested. Multivariable logistic regression was used to evaluate associations between variables and death.ResultsAmong the 563 patients, 49 died within 1 year after surgery, and the 1-year mortality rate was 8.7%. Multivariate analysis identified age > 80 years (OR = 4.038, P = 0.011), haemoglobin < 100 g/l (OR = 2.732, P = 0.002), ASA score ≥ 3 (OR = 2.551, P = 0.005), CCI ≥ 3 (OR = 18.412, P = 0.018) and time to surgery > 14 d (OR = 3.907, P = 0.030) as independent risk factors for 1-year mortality. Comorbidities such as myocardial infarction and chronic pulmonary disease were associated with 1-year mortality after adjusting for age > 80 years and time to surgery > 14 days.ConclusionsPatients over 80 years old with haemoglobin < 100 g/l, ASA score ≥ 3, CCI ≥ 3, and multiple comorbidities, especially myocardial infarction and chronic pulmonary disease before surgery, are at a higher risk of 1-year mortality. Doctors should pay more attention to these vulnerable patients, and a surgical delay greater than 14 days should be avoided.

Development and validation of a nomogram model for all-cause mortality risk in patients with chronic heart failure and atrial fibrillation

BackgroundAs the global aging process continues to accelerate, heart failure (HF) has become an important cause of increased morbidity and mortality in elderly patients. Chronic atrial fibrillation (AF) is a major risk factor for HF. Patients with HF combined with AF are more difficult to treat and have a worse prognosis. The aim of this study was to explore the risk factors for 1-year mortality in patients with HF combined with AF and to develop a risk prediction assessment model.MethodsWe recruited hospitalized patients with HF and AF who received standardized care in the Department of Cardiology at Shengjing Hospital of China Medical University from January 2013 to December 2018. The patients were randomly divided into modeling and internal validation groups using a random number generator at a 1:1 ratio. Multivariate Cox regression analysis was used to identify risk factors for all-cause mortality during a one-year follow-up period. Then, a nomogram was constructed based on the weights of each index and validated. Receiver operating characteristic curve, the area under the curve (AUC), decision curve, and calibration curve analyses for survival were used to evaluate the model’s predictive and clinical validities and calibration.ResultsWe included 3,406 patients who met the eligibility criteria; 1,703 cases each were included in the modeling and internal validation groups. Eight statistically significant predictors were identified: age, sex, New York Heart Association cardiac function class III or IV, a history of myocardial infarction, and the albumin, triglycerides, N-terminal pro-b-type natriuretic peptide, and blood urea nitrogen levels. The AUCs were 0.793 (95% confidence interval: 0.763–0.823) and 0.794 (95% confidence interval: 0.763–0.823) in the modeling and validation cohorts, respectively.ConclusionsWe present a predictive model for all-cause mortality in patients with coexisting HF and AF comprising eight key factors. This model gives clinicians a simple assessment tool that may improve the clinical management of these patients.

Sarcopenia is an independent risk factor for short-term mortality in patients undergoing transjugular intrahepatic portosystemic shunt.

Sarcopenia is common in patients with cirrhosis and is a risk factor for increased mortality. Transjugular intrahepatic portosystemic shunt (TIPS) placement has been utilized in cirrhosis patients with decompensation . We investigated the role of sarcopenia in predicting mortality in patients undergoing TIPS. We conducted a single-center retrospective study of 232 patients with cirrhosis who underwent TIPS between January 2010 and December 2015. Sarcopenia was defined by the psoas muscle index (PMI) cutoff value, calculated based on dynamic time-dependent outcomes using X-tile software. Kaplan-Meier analysis demonstrated the difference in survival in the sarcopenia group versus the non-sarcopenia group. . Univariate and multivariate analyses were used to identify the relationship between sarcopenia and post-TIPS mortality during a follow-up period of 1 year. For TIPS indications, 111 (47.84%) patients had refractory ascites, 69 (29.74%) patients had variceal bleeding, 12 (5.17%) patients had ascites, and 40 (17.24%) for other indications. The mean PMI was 4.40 ± 1.55. Sarcopenia was defined as a PMI value of <4.36 in males, and <3.23 in females. Sarcopenia was present in 96 (41.38%) of patients. . Kaplan-Meier analysis showed thatsarcopenia is associated with worse survival (log-rank P < 0.01). Multivariate Cox regression analysis showed that sarcopenia is independently associated with worse survival during the 1-year follow-up period with an hazard ratio of 2.435 (95% CI 1.346-4.403) ( P < 0.01), after adjusting for age, BMI, indications for TIPS, etiology for cirrhosis, and MELD score and stratified by sex. Sarcopenia is an independent risk factor for 1-year mortality in patients undergoing TIPS and should be considered when patients are evaluated as a candidate for TIPS.

Preoperative risk factors for 1-year mortality in patients undergoing fenestrated endovascular aortic aneurysm repair in the US Aortic Research Consortium

BackgroundEarly survival (1-year) after elective repair of complex abdominal aortic aneurysms (AAA) or thoracoabdominal aortic aneurysms (TAAA) can be used as an indicator of successful repair and provides a reasonable countermeasure to the annual rupture risk based on diameter. We aimed to identify preoperative factors associated with 1-year mortality after fenestrated or branched endovascular aortic repair (F/BEVAR) and develop a predictive model for 1-year mortality based on patient-specific risk profiles. MethodsThe US-Aortic Research Consortium database was queried for all patients undergoing elective F/BEVAR for complex AAA (cAAA) or TAAA from 2005 to 2022. The primary outcome was 1-year survival based on preoperative risk profile. Multivariable Cox regression was used to determine preoperative variables associated with 1-year mortality overall and by extent of aortic pathology. Logistic regression was performed to build a predictive model for 1-year mortality based on number of risk factors present. ResultsA total of 2099 patients met the inclusion criteria for this study (cAAA: n = 709 [34.3%]; type 1-3 TAAA: n = 777 [37.6%]; type 4-5 TAAA: n = 580 [28.1%]). Multivariable Cox regression identified the following significant risk factors associated with 1-year mortality: current smoker, chronic obstructive pulmonary disease, congestive heart failure (CHF), aortic diameter >7 cm, age >75 years, extent 1-3, creatinine >1.7 mg/dL, and hematocrit <36%. When stratified by extent of aortic involvement, multivariable Cox regression revealed risk factors for 1-year mortality in cAAA (CHF maximum aortic diameter >7 cm, hematocrit <36 mg/dL, and current smoking status), type 1-3 TAAA (chronic obstructive pulmonary disease, CHF, and age >75 years), and type 4-5 TAAA (age >75 years, creatinine >1.7 mg/dL, and hematocrit <36 mg/dL). Logistic regression was then used to develop a predictive model for 1-year mortality based on patient risk profile. Appraisal of the model revealed an area under the curve of 0.64 (P < .001), and an observed to expected ratio of 0.85. ConclusionsThis study describes multiple risk factors associated with an increase in 1-year mortality after F/BEVAR. Given that elective repair of cAAA or TAAA is offered to some patients in whom future rupture risk outweighs operative risk, these findings suggest that highly comorbid patients with smaller aneurysms may not benefit from repair. Descriptive and predictive models for 1-year mortality based on patient risk profiles can serve as an adjunct in clinical decision-making when considering elective F/BEVAR.

Therapy aspects of peri-implant femoral fractures-a retrospective analysis of 64 patients.

The incidence of peri-implant femoral fractures (PIFF) is increasing. Information regarding outcomes, timing of surgery, risk factors, and a clinically applicable treatment algorithm are lacking. The aim of this study was to identify outcome-related risk factors and to derive a treatment algorithm. Sixty-four PIFFs treated between 01.01.2006 and 31.12.2020 in a level I trauma centre were evaluated retrospectively for fracture pattern, surgical technique, risk factors, complications, and 1-year mortality. The study was approved by the ethics committee (No. 21-2714-104). One-year mortality was 24.1%. Surgical complications occurred in 4.7%, and general complications in 15.6% of the patients. General complications, low haemoglobin level at admission, elevated CHA2DS2-VASc, and Charlson score resulted in increased 1-year mortality. Time to surgery > 24h did not increase complication or mortality rates. The three predominant fracture patterns were fractures close or distal to cephalomedullary nails, close or proximal to distal lateral plates, and close or distal to sliding hip screws. Recommendations for surgical treatment were derived: Osteosynthesis should enable as much weight-bearing as possible; the initial implant should only be removed, if this is essential for the new osteosynthesis; lateral locking plates should span the whole femur; antegrade nails should have a cephalomedullary component to avoid consecutive femoral neck fractures; implants should overlap to reduce the risk of consecutive inter-implant fractures. Risk factors for 1-year mortality in patients with PIFFs were identified. A treatment algorithm and general principles for surgery of PIFFs were developed.

Outcome and microbiological findings of patients with cardiac implantable electronic device infection.

Infections associated with cardiac implantable electronic devices (CIEDs) are a multifactorial disease that leads to increased morbidity and mortality. The aim was to analyze patient-, disease- and treatment-related characteristics including microbiological and bacterial spectrum according to survival status and to identify risk factors for 1- and 3-year mortality in patients with local and systemic CIED infection. In a retrospective cohort study, we analyzed data from patients with CIED-related local or systemic infection undergoing successful transvenous lead extraction (TLE). Survival status as well as incidence and cause of rehospitalization were recorded. Microbiology and antibiotics used as first-line therapy were compared according to mortality. Independent risk factors for 1- and 3-year mortality were determined. Data from 243 Patients were analyzed. In-hospital mortality was 2.5%. Mortality rates at 30days, 1- and 3years were 4.1%, 18.1% and 30%, respectively. Seventy-four (30.5%) patients had systemic bacterial infection. Independent risk factors for 1-year mortality included age (OR 1.05 [1.01-1.10], p = 0.014), NT-proBNP at admission (OR 4.18 [1.81-9.65], p = 0.001), new onset or worsened tricuspid regurgitation after TLE (OR 6.04 [1.58-23.02], p = 0.009), and systemic infection (OR 2.76 [1.08-7.03], p = 0.034), whereas systemic infection was no longer an independent risk factor for 3-year mortality. Staphylococcus aureus was found in 18.1% of patients who survived and in 25% of those who died, p = 0.092. There was a high proportion of methicillin-resistant strains among coagulase-negative staphylococci (16.5%) compared to Staphylococcus aureus (1.2%). Staphylococci are the most common causative germs of CIED-infection with coagulase-negative staphylococci showing higher resistance rates to antibiotics. The independent risk factors for increased long-term mortality could contribute to individual risk stratification and well-founded treatment decisions in clinical routine. Especially the role of tricuspid regurgitation as a complication after TLE should be investigated in future studies.

Surgical treatment of displaced proximal humerus fractures is associated with decreased 1-year mortality in patients aged 65 years and older: a retrospective study of Medicare patients

BackgroundProximal humerus fracture (PHF) is a risk factor for 1-year mortality. This study aimed to determine if surgery is associated with lower mortality compared to nonoperative treatment following PHF in older patients. MethodsThis retrospective cohort study used the Medicare Limited Data Set. Patients aged 65+ with a PHF diagnosis in 2017-2020 were included. Treatment was classified as nonoperative, open reduction internal fixation (ORIF), total shoulder arthroplasty (TSA), or hemiarthroplasty. Multivariable logistic regression models examined (a) predictors of treatment type and (b) the association of treatment type with 1-year mortality, adjusting for patient demographics, comorbidities, frailty, and fracture severity among other variables. A subgroup analysis examined how the relationship between treatment type and 1-year mortality varied based on fracture severity. Adjusted odds ratios (aOR) and 95% confidence intervals (CI) are reported. ResultsIn total, 49,072 patients were included (mean age = 76.6 years, 82.3% female). Most were treated nonoperatively (77.5%), 10.9% underwent ORIF, 10.6% underwent TSA, and 1.0% underwent hemiarthroplasty. Examples of factors associated with receipt of operative (versus nonoperative treatment) included worse fracture severity and lower frailty. The 1-year mortality rate after the initial PHF diagnosis was 11.0% for the nonoperative group, 4.0% for ORIF, 5.2% for TSA, and 6.0% for hemiarthroplasty. Compared to nonoperative treatment, ORIF (aOR 0.55; 95% CI [0.47, 0.64]; P<.001) and TSA (aOR 0.59; 95% CI [0.50, 0.68]; P<.001) were associated with decreased odds of 1-year mortality. In the subgroup analysis, ORIF and TSA were associated with a lower 1-year mortality risk for 2-part and 3-/4-part fractures. ConclusionsCompared to nonoperative treatment, surgery (particularly TSA and ORIF) was associated with a decreased odds of 1-year mortality. This relationship remained significant for 2-part and 3-/4-part fractures after stratifying by fracture severity.

Associations Between COVID-19, Delirium, and 1-Year Mortality: Exploring Influences on Delirium Incidence in COVID-19 Patients.

This study investigated the relationship between coronavirus disease 2019 (COVID-19), delirium, and 1-year mortality. Factors associated with delirium in COVID-19 patients were identified, along with the influence of psychotropic medications on delirium. The study used the South Korean National Health Insurance Service database. Adult COVID-19 patients diagnosed between October 2020 and December 2021 were included, with a propensity score-matched control group. Time-dependent Cox regression assessed associations among COVID-19, delirium, and mortality. Logistic regression analyzed the impact of psychotropic medications on delirium incidence. The study included 832,602 individuals, with 416,301 COVID-19 patients. COVID-19 (hazard ratio [HR], 3.03; 95% confidence interval [CI], 2.92-3.13) and delirium (HR, 2.33; 95% CI, 2.06-2.63) were independent risk factors for 1-year mortality. Comorbidities, insurance type, and residence were also related to mortality. Among COVID-19 patients, antipsychotic use was associated with lower delirium incidence (odds ratio [OR], 0.38; 95% CI, 0.30-0.47), while mood stabilizers (OR, 1.77; 95% CI, 1.40-2.21) and benzodiazepines (OR, 8.62; 95% CI, 7.46-9.97) were linked to higher delirium incidence. COVID-19 and delirium are risk factors for 1-year mortality. Some factors associated with delirium in COVID-19 patients are modifiable and can be targeted in preventive and therapeutic interventions.

The association between sarcopenia, defined by a simplified screening tool, and long-term outcomes.

Sarcopenia and frailty are frequently observed in older adult patients and linked to unfavorable postoperative outcomes. Identifying low muscle mass and function is primary for diagnosing sarcopenia. The simpler screening, which excludes muscle mass measurement, exhibited strong predictive capabilities in identifying sarcopenia. This research explored the association between sarcopenia, as defined by the C3 formula, and long-term outcomes in older adult cancer patients who underwent surgery. Surgical cancer patients aged 60 and older were enrolled. Sarcopenia was identified using the C3 formula, assessing muscle strength through handgrip strength, physical performance via a 6-m walk test, and nutrition status via the Mini Nutritional Assessment-Short Form. Long-term outcomes were evaluated with the Barthel Index for activities of daily living (B-ADL) at 3 months, as well as 1-year mortality rates. The study enrolled 251 patients, with 130 classified as sarcopenic according to the C3 formula. Compared with nonsarcopenic patients, patients with sarcopenia exhibited a higher frequency of moderate to severe disability (B-ADL ≤70) 3 months postdischarge (19.5% vs 5.2%; P = 0.001) and elevated 1-year mortality rates (29.5% vs 14.9%; P = 0.006). No significant differences were observed in infection rates, hospital stay duration, or in-hospital mortality. Distant organ metastasis (HR = 3.99; 95% CI = 2.25-7.07) and sarcopenia defined by the C3 formula (HR = 1.78; 95% CI = 1.01-3.15) were identified as independent risk factors for 1-year mortality. The simplified sarcopenia screening tool was associated with increased rates of moderate to severe disability 3 months postdischarge and higher 1-year mortality rates compared with nonsarcopenic patients.

Predictors of 1-year mortality after gastrectomy for gastric cancer.

One-year mortality is important for referrals to specialist palliative care or advance care planning (ACP). This helps optimize comfort for those who cannot be cured or have a lower life expectancy. Few studies have investigated the risk factors for 1-year mortality after gastrectomy for gastric cancer (GC). A total of 1415 patients with gastric cancer (stages I-IV) who underwent gastrectomy between 2005 and 2020 were included. The patients were randomly assigned to the investigation group (n=850) and validation group (n=565) in a 3:2 ratio. In the investigation group, significant independent prognostic factors for predicting 1-year survival were identified. A scoring system for predicting 1-year mortality was developed which was validated in the validation group. Multivariate analysis revealed that the following seven variables were significant independent factors for 1-year survival: age ≧78, preoperative comorbidity, total gastrectomy, postoperative complication (Clavien-Dindo classification CD≧3a), stage III and IV, and R2 resection. While developing a 1-year mortality score (OMS), an age ≧78 was scored 2, preoperative comorbidity, total gastrectomy, and postoperative complication (CD≧3a) were scored 1, and stage III, IV, and R2-resection were scored 2, 3, and 3, respectively. OMS 3 had a sensitivity of 91% and a specificity of 66% for predicting death within 1year. In the validation group, OMS 5 had a sensitivity of 55% and a specificity of 93% for predicting death within 1year. OMS may provide important information and help surgeons select the timing of ACP in patients with GC.

Transition from temporary microaxial left ventricular assist devices to durable mechanical circulatory support systems

Abstract Background Circulatory support with a catheter-based microaxial temporary left ventricular assist device (tLVAD) plays a major role in the treatment of severe cardiogenic shock. In most patients who fail to recover while on temporary mechanical circulatory support (tMCS), durable left ventricular assist device (dLVAD) therapy is usually considered a reliable option. The aim of this study was to identify outcome predictors after the transition from a catheter-based microaxial tLVAD to dLVAD. Methods This is a retrospective analysis of data from a multicentre registry on patients who were transitioned from a catheter-based microaxial tLVAD to a dLVAD between 01/2017 and 10/2022 (n=341) from 19 European high-volume centres with regard to survival and outcome up to one year after dLVAD implantation. Results Patients were supported with an Impella 5.5 (92), 5.0 (155), CP (92), or 2.5 (2) and transitioned to Heartmate 3 (205), a HeartWare HVAD (129) or EXCOR VAD (7) during the same period. The Impella was implanted via the axillary artery in 245 (71.8%), the femoral artery in 93 (27.3%), and via direct access to the aorta in three (0.9%) patients. One hundred and thirty-three (40.5%) patients additionally required extracorporeal life support before and/or during Impella therapy. The aetiology of cardiogenic shock necessitating tMCS was most commonly acute myocardial infarction (31.7%), followed by acute decompensation of ischaemic (28.4%) or dilated cardiomyopathy (27.0%). The 30-day and 1-year survival were 87% and 70%, respectively. The uni- and multivariable analysis included 312 patients with an at least 1-year follow-up or death within the first year after dLVAD implantation. The following risk factors for 1-year mortality were identified: age (OR 1.02), specifically age over 55 years (OR 1.09), BMI &amp;gt;30 kg/m² (OR 2.2), female sex (OR for male sex 0.4), as well as elevated total bilirubin (OR 1.13) and low platelet counts (OR 0.996). Conclusions During preoperative conditioning, efforts should be undertaken towards normalising platelet counts and liver function. Using the identified risk factors as a basis, we created a risk score to estimate 1-year mortality to optimise patient selection for dLVAD implantation, with the aim of improving the outcome in this critical patient population.Normogram 1y-mortality prediction scoreCIF death grouped by quartiles of score

Outcomes of geriatric periprosthetic distal femur fractures: comparison of fixation versus reconstruction.

Comparing outcomes of periprosthetic distal femur fractures treated with open reduction internal fixation (ORIF) versus distal femoral replacement (DFR). Three major academic hospitals within one metropolitan area. Retrospective. 370 patients >64 years old with periprosthetic distal femur fractures were identified and 115 were included (65 ORIF vs 50 DFR). ORIF with locked plating versus DFR. One-year mortality, ambulatory status at 1 year, reoperations, and hospital readmissions. No differences were seen between ORIF and DFR cohorts with respect to demographics or medical history, including Charleston Comorbidity Index. DFR was associated with longer hospital stay (6.09 days ORIF vs 9.08 days DFR, p<0.001) and more frequent blood transfusion (12.3% ORIF vs 44.0% DFR, p<0.001). Logistic regression analysis using propensity score matching (PSM) demonstrated no statistically significant difference in reoperation, hospital readmission, ambulatory status at 1-year, or 1-year mortality between the two cohorts. Lastly, applying Bayesian model averaging using PSM to identify risk factors for 1-year mortality demonstrated that increasing age, length of index hospital stay, and 90-day hospital readmission were significantly associated with 1-year mortality, regardless of type of surgical treatment. Rehospitalization, reoperation, ambulatory status and 1-year mortality are no different between ORIF and DFR in the treatment of geriatric periprosthetic distal femur fractures when PSM is applied to mitigate selection bias. Further study is warranted to elucidate functional outcomes, long-term sequelae, and costs of care related to these treatment options to better guide treatment planning. Therapeutic Level III. See Instructions for Authors for a complete description of levels of evidence.

Impact of Chronic Kidney Disease and Dialysis on Outcome after Surgery for Infective Endocarditis.

Infective endocarditis (IE) carries a heavy burden of morbidity and mortality in chronic kidney disease (CKD) and hemodialysis (HD) patients. We investigated the risk factors, pathognomonic profile and outcomes of surgically treated IE in CKD and HD patients. We preoperatively identified patients with CKD under hemodialysis (HD group) and compared them with patients without hemodialysis (Non-HD group). Furthermore, we divided the cohort into four groups according to the underlying stage of CKD, with a subsequent outcome analysis. Between 2009 and 2018, 534 Non-HD and 58 HD patients underwent surgery for IE at our institution. The median age was 65.1 [50.6-73.6] and 63.2 [53.4-72.8] years in the Non-HD and HD groups, respectively (p = 0.861). The median EuroSCORE II was 8.0 [5.0-10.0] vs. 9.5 [7.0-12.0] in the Non-HD vs. HD groups (p = 0.004). Patients without CKD had a mortality rate of 5.6% at 30 days and 15.5% at 1 year. Mortality rates proportionally rose with the severity of CKD. Among HD patients, 30-day and 1-year mortality rates were 38.1% and 75.6%, respectively (p < 0.001). Staphylococcus aureus IE was significantly more frequent in the HD group (p = 0.006). In conclusion, outcomes after surgery for IE correlated with the severity of the underlying CKD, with HD patients exhibiting the most unfavorable results. Pre-existing CKD and staphylococcus aureus infection were independent risk factors for 1-year mortality.

CRP/albumin ratio in predicting 1-year mortality in elderly patients undergoing hip fracture surgery.

In the literature, rates of up to 37.1% have been reported for 1-year mortality after hip fractures. In this study, we aimed to determine whether the C-reactive protein/albumin ratio (CAR) is an independent risk factor for 1-year mortality after hip fracture and whether CAR, neutrophil/lymphocyte ratio (NLR), CRP, albumin level, and other parameters have an effect on mortality and morbidity. Over a 3-year period, 480 patients aged 65 years and older who underwent hemiarthroplasty for hip fracture were analyzed. A univariate logistic regression analysis was performed to identify prognostic factors for 1-year mortality. Significant variables were re-evaluated using binary logistic regression analysis. The number of patients who died within 1 year postoperatively was 95 (27.7%), and the median age was 85 years. In the receiver operating characteristic analysis (ROC) for 1-year mortality after hip fracture, the optimal cut-off value of CAR was found to be 1.03. The area under the curve (AUC) for mortality was 0.843, the sensitivity was 65.3%, and the specificity was 92.7% [95% confidence interval (CI), 0.791-0.895; p < 0.001]. The optimal cut-off value for CRP was 2.85, the AUC was 0.838, the sensitivity was 70%, and the specificity was 89% (95% CI, 0.785-0.890; p < 0.001). The optimal cut-off value of NLR for postoperative intensive care unit (ICU) admission was determined to be 6.64. CAR was a predictive factor for 1-year postoperative mortality and postoperative ICU admission, whereas NLR was a predictive factor for postoperative ICU admission.

The impact of malperfusion patterns in elderly patients undergoing surgery for acute type A aortic dissection.

The aim of this study is to investigate the outcome of elderly patients with surgically treated acute type A aortic dissection (ATAAD) complicated by malperfusion. Patients ≥70 years old who underwent surgical treatment for ATAAD between January 2000 and December 2020 were enrolled in this study and stratified by their specific Penn Classification into 4 different subgroups, where Penn Abc was defined as multilevel malperfusion. Short- and long-term outcomes were investigated. Multivariable binary logistic regression was performed to identify risk factors for 1-year mortality. Four hundred elderly patients underwent surgical treatment for ATAAD. A total of 204 (51%) patients had no evidence of malperfusion (Penn Aa), 106 (26.5%) had localized organic malperfusion (Penn Ab), 44 (11%) patients had systemic malperfusion (Penn Ac) and 46 (11.5%) suffered from multilevel malperfusion (Penn Abc). For the latter, in-hospital mortality was 70% (P < 0.001). Age (P < 0.006) and multilevel malperfusion (P < 0.001) were independent risk factors for 1-year mortality. Patients with multilevel malperfusion showed the worst 1-year survival (P < 0.001). In the case of Penn Aa, in-hospital mortality was 13% (P < 0.001). Surgery may lead to satisfactory results in the absence of malperfusion, even in octogenarians. Elderly patients with multilevel malperfusion show very poor surgical outcome. In these patients, the decision for surgery should be taken with caution. Operation, if performed, should be carried out by experienced teams only.