In order to reveal the shale oil production mechanism and production efficiency under the energy-depleted development mode, experiments on expulsion oil based on imbibition and elastic energy release under high temperature and pressure were carried out, and nuclear magnetic resonance on-line monitoring was used to observe the production characteristics of shale oil. The experimental results show that the imbibition-expulsion oil mainly occurs in the small-size pore-throat system. Under the condition of high temperature and pressure, the oil-expulsion efficiency is generally less than 2% affected by pore pressure, which is significantly different from the conventional imbibition experiment results. Although elastic-energy expulsion oil occurs in different sizes of pore-throat systems, the oil-expulsion efficiency in large size pore-throat systems is more sensitive to temperature. Overall, the total elastic-energy oil-expulsion efficiency is significantly positively correlated with reservoir physical properties, production differential pressure and temperature, and negatively correlated with crude oil viscosity. Comprehensively considering various geological factors affecting oil-expulsion efficiency, the shale oil production efficiency evaluation model under the energy-depleted development mode is constructed, and the movable oil porosity of shale oil development section in the study area is evaluated. The results show that there is a good positive correlation between movable oil porosity and oil production intensity. The movable oil porosity of dry layer is generally lower than 0.5% and that of poor oil layer is between 0.5% and 1.5%. When the movable oil porosity is between 1.5 and 2.5%, it can be determined as the type II oil layer, and for more than 2.5%, it is the type I oil layer. The single-well evaluation results show that the shale oil “sweet spots” of the Lucaogou Formation in Jimsar Sag are mainly distributed in P2l22−1∼ P2l22−3 and P2l12−1∼ P2l12−3, which is in good agreement with the current development status.
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