Abstract For most terrestrial plants, regeneration depends on the ability of seeds to germinate in the most favourable climatic conditions. Understanding seed germination phenology is thus crucial for predicting plant responses to environmental changes. However, a substantial gap persists regarding how microclimatic conditions influence germination in seasonal ecosystems. Here, we investigate the germination phenology of alpine plants in snowârelated microclimates as a tool for predicting the resilience of plant communities to climate change. We conducted a continuous seasonal experiment with fresh seeds to investigate germination phenology in 54 coâoccurring species from temperate and Mediterranean alpine communities. Using longâterm field microclimatic data series, we precisely mimicked two contrasting microclimatic regimes in growth chambers: (1) windy exposed edges with a snowâfree period in winter and warmer temperatures in summer (âfellfieldâ) and (2) sheltered areas with lengthy snow cover and cooler temperatures (âsnowbedâ). We validated the laboratory results with field sowing experiments to provide a complete picture of germination phenology. The analysis of phenology traits demonstrated that both communities displayed similar responses to microclimatic variation. Small microclimatic differences of 2â3°C a week, accumulated across a whole year in the laboratory, resulted in a quantifiable germination phenology delay in snowbed regime, with an average of 60 and 45 days for temperate and Mediterranean alpine respectively. The results from climatic chambers under realistic microclimatic regimes were consistent with the germination phenology registered from field experiments. We also observed macroclimatic effects manifested as reduced dormancy and increased autumn germination in Mediterranean alpine species. Synthesis. This study combines novel laboratory and field experimentation to tackle the understudied topic of germination phenology in habitats with sharp microclimatic gradients. Specifically, our findings suggest a predictable phenological shift in the germination of alpine plants along microclimatic gradients. In warmer conditions with reduced snow cover, alpine species are expected to advance germination 52 days on average, with potential disrupting effects on coldâadapted species with strict germination requirements. This highlights the role of germination phenology to determine plantâenvironmental relationships in midâlatitude ecosystems, with strong impact on plant establishment and extinction risks under local microclimatic gradients.
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