Urban tree canopy (UTC) coverage, or area, is an important metric for monitoring changes in UTC over large areas within a municipality. Several methods have been used to obtain these data, but remote sensing image classification is one of the fastest and most reliable over large areas. However, most studies have tested only one or two classification methods to accomplish this while using costly satellite imagery or LiDAR data. This study seeks to compare three urban tree canopy cover classifiers by testing a deep learning U-Net convolutional neural network (CNN), support vector machine learning classifier (SVM) and a random forests machine learning classifier (RF) on cost-free 2012 aerial imagery over a small southern USA city and midsize, growing southern USA city. The results of the experiment are then used to decide the best classifier and apply it to more recent aerial imagery to determine canopy changes over a 10-year period. The changes are subsequently compared visually and statistically with recent urban heat maps derived from thermal Landsat 9 satellite data to compare the means of temperatures within areas of UTC loss and no change. The U-Net CNN classifier proved to provide the best overall accuracy for both cities (89.8% and 91.4%), while also requiring the most training and classification time. When compared spatially with city heat maps, city periphery regions were most impacted by substantial changes in UTC area as cities grow and the outer regions get warmer. Furthermore, areas of UTC loss had higher temperatures than those areas with no canopy change. The broader impacts of this study reach the urban forestry managers at the local, state/province, and national levels as they seek to provide data-driven decisions for policy makers.
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