Abstract The serotonin 1A receptor has been linked to both the pathophysiology of major depressive disorder (MDD) and the antidepressant action of serotonin reuptake inhibitors. Most PET studies of the serotonin 1A receptor in MDD used the receptor antagonist radioligand, [carbonyl-11C]WAY100635; however the interpretation of the combined results has been contentious owing to reports of higher or lower binding in MDD with different outcome measures. The reasons for these divergent results originate from several sources, including properties of the radiotracer itself, which complicate its quantification and interpretation; as well as from previously reported differences between MDD and healthy volunteers in both reference tissue binding and plasma free fraction, which are typically assumed not to differ. Recently, we have developed two novel hierarchical multivariate methods which we validated for the quantification and analysis of [11C]WAY100635, which show better accuracy and inferential efficiency compared to standard analysis approaches. Importantly, these new methods should theoretically be more resilient to many of the factors thought to have caused the discrepancies observed in previous studies. We sought to apply these methods in the largest [11C]WAY100635 sample to date, consisting of 160 individuals, including 103 MDD patients, of whom 50 were not-recently-medicated and 53 were antidepressant-exposed, as well as 57 healthy volunteers. While the outcome measure discrepancies were substantial using conventional univariate analysis, our multivariate analysis techniques instead yielded highly consistent results across PET outcome measures and across pharmacokinetic models, with all approaches showing higher serotonin 1A autoreceptor binding potential in the raphe nuclei of not-recently-medicated MDD patients relative to both healthy volunteers and antidepressant-exposed MDD patients. Moreover, with the additional precision of estimates afforded by this approach, we can show that while binding is also higher in projection areas in this group, these group differences are approximately half of those in the raphe nuclei, which are statistically distinguishable from one another. These results are consistent with the biological role of the serotonin 1A autoreceptor in the raphe nuclei in regulating serotonin neuron firing and release, and with preclinical and clinical evidence of deficient serotonin activity in MDD due to over expression of autoreceptors resulting from genetic and/or epigenetic effects. These results are also consistent with downregulation of autoreceptors as a mechanism of action of selective serotonin reuptake inhibitors. In summary, the results using multivariate analysis approaches therefore demonstrate both face and convergent validity, and may serve to provide a resolution and consensus interpretation for the disparate results of previous studies examining the serotonin 1A receptor in MDD.
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