Holocene Climate Variability Research Articles

Process Simulation and Technical Evaluation Using Water-Energy-Product (WEP) Analysis of an Extractive-Based Biorefinery of Creole-Antillean Avocado Produced in the Montes De María

The annual increase in the world’s population significantly contributes to recent climate change and variability. Therefore, researchers, engineers, and professionals in all fields must integrate sustainability criteria into their decision-making. These criteria aim to minimize the environmental, social, economic, and energy impacts of human activities and industrial processes, helping mitigate climate change. This research focuses on developing scalable technology for the comprehensive use of avocados, adhering to sustainability principles. This work presents the modeling, simulation, and the WEP (Water-Energy-Product) technical evaluation of the process for obtaining bio-oil, chlorophyll, and biopesticide from the Creole-Antillean avocado. For this, the extractive-based biorefinery data related to water, energy, and products are taken from the material balance based on experimental results and process simulation. Then, eight process parameters are calculated, and eleven technical indicators are determined. Later, the extreme technical limitations for every indicator are demarcated, and an evaluation of the performance of the indicators is carried out. Results showed that the process has a high execution in aspects such as fractional water cost (TCF) and energy cost (TCE), as well as solvent reuse during extraction processes (SRI) and production yield, noting that the mentioned indicators are above 80%. In contrast, the metrics related to water management (FWC) and specific energy (ESI) showed the lowest performance. These discoveries support the use of optimization techniques like mass process integration. The energy-related indicators reveal that the process presents both benefits and drawbacks. One of the drawbacks is the energy source due to the high demand for electrical energy in the process, compared to natural gas. The specific energy intensity indicator (ESI) showed an intermediate performance (74%), indicating that the process consumes high energy. This indicator enables us to highlight that we can find energy aspects that require further study; for this reason, it is suitable to say that there is potential to enhance the energy efficiency of the process by applying energy integration methods.

The 4.2 ka event is not remarkable in the context of Holocene climate variability

The “4.2 ka event” is a commonly described abrupt climate excursion that occurred about 4200 years ago. However, the extent to which this event is coherent across regional and larger scales is unclear. To objectively assess climate excursions in the Holocene we compile 1142 paleoclimate datasets that span all continents and oceans and include a wide variety of archive and proxy types. We analyze these data to determine the timing, significance and spatial imprint of climate excursions using an objective method that quantifies local, regional and global significance. Site-level excursions in temperature and hydroclimate are common throughout the Holocene, but significant global-scale excursions are rare. The most prominent excursion occurred 8200 years ago, when cold and dry conditions formed a large, significant excursion centered in the North Atlantic. We find additional significant excursions between 1600 and 1000 years ago, which agree with tree-ring data and annual-scale paleoclimate reconstructions, adding confidence and context to our findings. In contrast, although some datasets show significant climate excursions 4200 years ago, they do not occur in large, coherent spatial regions. Consequently, like most other periods in the Holocene, the “4.2 ka event” is not a globally significant climate excursion.

Patterns of centennial to millennial Holocene climate variation in the North American mid-latitudes

Patterns of centennial to millennial Holocene climate variation in the North American mid-latitudes

Phytoliths in bamboos from eastern and north-eastern India: Implications in distinguishing different ecoclimatic conditions and in deciphering Late Holocene climate variability

To develop a phytolith (biogenic silica) reference and to understand the eco-climatic indicative values of some grass silica short cells (GSSCs) occurring in the bamboos (Bambusoideae grasses), one of the chief floral components of eastern and north-eastern parts of India, we studied 44 modern bambusoid grasses and 26 surface soils from different eco-climatic zones covering both the plains and mountainous regions. Of the diverse phytoliths retrieved from the bamboos, Saddle tall and Saddle collapsed were the most abundant types (except in Yushania maling) and these types were also common in surface soil phytolith assemblages of the eastern and north-eastern parts of India. To assess the environmental sensitivity of most consistent morphotypes, we categorized two commonly occurring GSSC morphotypes namely Saddle tall into three groups based on their length and Saddle collapsed into two groups based on their length to width ratio respectively. Pearson’s correlation analysis, principal component analysis (PCA), and redundancy analysis (RDA) were used to understand if these morphotypes could distinguish different eco-climatic conditions. Variability of Saddle tall and Saddle collapsed types (both morphometric and abundance) in bamboos growing in these parts of India is a function of mean precipitation of the wettest quarter (MPWeQ) and mean temperature of the driest quarter (MTDQ). The present results served as a baseline for reevaluating the interpretations of a Late-Holocene fossil phytolith record from the eastern Himalaya further validating the potential of Saddle tall and Saddle collapsed types in reconstructing past climate variability in a wide geographical region.

Shallow lake response to Holocene climate variation in south-central Minnesota, USA

Sedimentary deposits in lakes across the upper Midwest record the co-evolution of climate and biogeochemistry since the retreat of the Laurentide Ice Sheet at the end of the last glacial period. Here, we report on a Holocene lake sediment record from Chub Lake, a shallow (3 m depth) eutrophic lake system in south-central Minnesota. High-resolution elemental data from scanning XRF along with variations in organic matter, carbonate minerals, clastic material, biogenic silica, charcoal, and carbon isotopes reveal internally consistent patterns of hydroclimatic influence on this shallow lake system from 11,300 years BP to present. In particular, authigenic carbonate mineral formation and preservation in Chub Lake appears to be well suited as a moisture proxy beginning around 9700 BP up until ∼2300 BP, when a combination of more humid climates and basin-infilling change the hydrology of Chub Lake. This work emphasizes the importance of evaluating shallow lake sediment records both as important archives of climate proxies and case studies on how changing climates impact aquatic systems.

Looking at the modern landscape of submediterranean Greece through a palaeoecological lens

The importance of understanding the long-lasting legacy of past land use on modern ecosystems has long been acknowledged. However, the magnitude and persistence of such legacies have been assessed only occasionally. Northern Greece has been a gateway of farming into mainland Europe during the Neolithic, thus providing a perfect setting to assess the potential impact of land-use history on present-day ecosystems. Additionally, the marked Holocene climatic variability of the southern Balkans makes it possible to investigate climate-vegetation-land use interactions over long timescales. Here, we have studied a sediment record from Limni Vegoritis (Northern Greece) spanning the past ∼9000 years using palaeoecological proxies (pollen, spores, stomata, microscopic charcoal). We aimed to reconstruct long-term vegetation dynamics in submediterranean Greece, to assess the environmental factors controlling them and to establish the legacies of the long history of land use in the modern landscape. We found that the Early Holocene afforestation, mainly oak woodlands, was delayed because of suboptimal moisture conditions. Later, colder and drier conditions during the rapid climate change centred around the ‘8.2 ka event’ triggered woodland opening and the spread of wooded (Juniperus) steppe vegetation. First indicators of farming activities are recorded during this period, but their abundances are too low to explain the concurrent large deforestation episode. Later, pinewoods (probably dominated by Pinus nigra) with deciduous Quercus spread and dominated the landscape for several millennia. These forests experienced repeated multi-centennial setback-recovery episodes associated with land-use intensification, but pines eventually declined ∼2500–2000 years ago during Classical times under heavy land use comprising intense pastoralism. This was the starting point for the present-day landscape, where the main ‘foundation’ taxon of the ancient forests (Pinus cf. nigra) is missing, therefore attesting to the strong imprint that historical land use has left on the modern landscape.

Holocene climate variability in Slovenia: A review

The Slovenian climate has undergone significant fluctuations, and an understanding of the past climate is necessary to improve models and recognise long-term patterns. The cryosphere environment, such as ice core samples, provides valuable palaeoclimate data. Palynology and dendroclimatology are also effective ways to study long-term changes in vegetation and reconstruct past climates using pollen and tree proxies. Sediment cores from various locations in Slovenia have been studied to understand past environmental changes. Borehole temperature profiles as well as historical records were also used to reconstruct past climate conditions. Studies have shown specific periods when climatic changes likely played a major role, but a complete timeline of the Slovenian climate throughout the Holocene has not yet been fully developed.

Evaluating middle to late Holocene climate variability from δ18O of aquatic invertebrate remains in southwestern Greenland

Holocene paleotemperature records from ice-free margins of Greenland suggest spatiotemporal heterogeneity in the timing of key climate transitions following retreat of the Greenland Ice Sheet. However, the paucity of high-resolution climate records from this region limits our understanding of the timing, spatial variation, and drivers of Holocene climate variability. Here, we present a middle to late Holocene climate reconstruction based on δ18O of aquatic invertebrate (chironomid and cladoceran) remains and sediment geochemistry from lake sediments to elucidate millennial to submillennial-scale drivers of climate in southwestern Greenland. We establish that our site, Arrowhead Lake, is a through-flowing basin with an integrated signal of annual meteoric water with no evidence of significant evaporative enrichment. Core sediment geochemistry captures the transition from minerogenic-dominated to organic-rich sediments ∼8 cal ka BP. Chitin-based δ18O measurements of both chironomid head capsules and ephippia exhibit similar temporal variability through the record, broadly decreasing from 8.2 cal ka BP to present, concurrent with decreasing summer insolation and regional Neoglacial cooling. A simplified assumption that temperature is the sole driver of changes in isotopes of precipitation yields an estimated average temperature change from the middle to late Holocene at Arrowhead Lake of 2.1–3.0 °C, comparable to existing estimates of middle to late Holocene temperature decline in western Greenland. Depleted δ18O values after 3.3 cal ka BP correspond to the onset of Neoglacial cooling and independent evidence for a slowdown of the West Greenland Current, and suggests that both temperature and sea-ice variability were important controls on isotopic variability at this site. Highly depleted isotopic values at 8.2 cal ka BP followed by high isotopic variability in the early part of the middle Holocene suggests that our record may capture regional 8.2 ka cooling. This new isotope record provides insight into climate influences during the middle and late Holocene along the western Greenland margin that are important for understanding how ongoing melt of the Greenland Ice Sheet and amplified warming in the Arctic may impact the climate system.

Hydroclimatic changes on multiple timescales since 7800 y BP in the winter precipitation–dominated Central Asia

Central Asia (CA) is one of the world's most significant arid regions, which is markedly impacted by global warming. A better understanding of the dynamical processes governing its Holocene climate variability is critical for a better understanding of possible future impacts of climate change in the region. To date, most of the existing CA paleoclimate records are from the summer precipitation-dominated eastern CA (ECA), with few records from the winter precipitation-dominated western CA (WCA). Here, we present a precisely dated (~6‰) and highly resolved (<4-y) record of hydroclimatic variations from the WCA covering the period between 7,774 and 656 y BP. Utilizing multiple proxies (δ18O, δ13C, and Sr/Ca) derived from a stalagmite from the Fergana Valley, Kyrgyzstan, we reveal a long-term drying trend in WCA, which is in contrast with the wetting trend in ECA. We propose that different responses of winter and summer westerly jets to seasonal solar insolation over the past 8,000 y may have resulted in an antiphased precipitation relationship between the WCA and ECA. Our data contain dominant quasiperiodicities of 1,400, 50 to 70, and 20 to 30 y, indicating close connections between the WCA climate and the North Atlantic. We further identified a series of droughts and pluvials on centennial-to-decadal timescales, which may have influenced regional societies and trans-Eurasian culture exchanges during historical and prehistorical times.

Oxygen isotopes in orangutan teeth reveal recent and ancient climate variation

Studies of climate variation commonly rely on chemical and isotopic changes recorded in sequentially produced growth layers, such as in corals, shells, and tree rings, as well as in accretionary deposits—ice and sediment cores, and speleothems. Oxygen isotopic compositions (δ18O) of tooth enamel are a direct method of reconstructing environmental variation experienced by an individual animal. Here, we utilize long-forming orangutan dentitions (Pongo spp.) to probe recent and ancient rainfall trends on a weekly basis over ~3–11 years per individual. We first demonstrate the lack of any consistent isotopic enrichment effect during exclusive nursing, supporting the use of primate first molar teeth as environmental proxies. Comparisons of δ18O values (n=2016) in twelve molars from six modern Bornean and Sumatran orangutans reveal a high degree of overlap, with more consistent annual and bimodal rainfall patterns in the Sumatran individuals. Comparisons with fossil orangutan δ18O values (n=955 measurements from six molars) reveal similarities between modern and late Pleistocene fossil Sumatran individuals, but differences between modern and late Pleistocene/early Holocene Bornean orangutans. These suggest drier and more open environments with reduced monsoon intensity during this earlier period in northern Borneo, consistent with other Niah Caves studies and long-term speleothem δ18O records in the broader region. This approach can be extended to test hypotheses about the paleoenvironments that early humans encountered in southeast Asia.

Oxygen isotopes in orangutan teeth reveal recent and ancient climate variation.

Studies of climate variation commonly rely on chemical and isotopic changes recorded in sequentially produced growth layers, such as in corals, shells, and tree rings, as well as in accretionary deposits-ice and sediment cores, and speleothems. Oxygen isotopic compositions (δ18O) of tooth enamel are a direct method of reconstructing environmental variation experienced by an individual animal. Here, we utilize long-forming orangutan dentitions (Pongo spp.) to probe recent and ancient rainfall trends on a weekly basis over ~3-11 years per individual. We first demonstrate the lack of any consistent isotopic enrichment effect during exclusive nursing, supporting the use of primate first molar teeth as environmental proxies. Comparisons of δ18O values (n=2016) in twelve molars from six modern Bornean and Sumatran orangutans reveal a high degree of overlap, with more consistent annual and bimodal rainfall patterns in the Sumatran individuals. Comparisons with fossil orangutan δ18O values (n=955 measurements from six molars) reveal similarities between modern and late Pleistocene fossil Sumatran individuals, but differences between modern and late Pleistocene/early Holocene Bornean orangutans. These suggest drier and more open environments with reduced monsoon intensity during this earlier period in northern Borneo, consistent with other Niah Caves studies and long-term speleothem δ18O records in the broader region. This approach can be extended to test hypotheses about the paleoenvironments that early humans encountered in southeast Asia.

Lake Tanganyika basin water storage variations from 2003–2021 for water balance and flood monitoring

Lake Tanganyika in East Africa contains 17% of the free freshwater on the Earth's surface and provides important ecosystem services to ∼13 million people in the region. It is one of the great lakes in East Africa for which a significant rise in water level between 2019 and 2020 led to flooding, with major environmental consequences and social impacts. This study focused on the Lake Tanganyika basin water balance between 2003 and 2021 to assess the influence of recent climate variability on lake water level variations (due in particular to the floods of 2020 and 2021) and to explore early warnings of flooding in the lake's surrounding lowlands. This process is performed using remote sensing data. For the computation of the basin's water balance, we compared variations in the watershed total water storage (TWS) with the basin water flux calculated using rainfall, evaporation (E), evapotranspiration (ET) and discharges data. The space–time variations in rainfall, E and ET were analyzed by decomposing their time series into trend and seasonal signals and applying (only for rainfall) multivariate statistical analysis to the decomposed signals. For flood mapping, we calculated the MNDWI spectral water index from Sentinel–2 images acquired between 2017 and 2022. Our study showed that the basin water balance is closed when rainfall from Era5 is combined with E and ET from GLEV and MOD16A2, respectively. During the 2003–2021 period, over the entire watershed, water losses of ∼70 km³ due to lake E were offset by an increase in water inflows of ∼100 km³ in the rest of the watershed. During the period from 2003 to 2021, the E rate from the lake was stable overall, while the ET and rainfall mainly in the Malagarasi basin increased significantly. The surface water storage (SWS), which represents the variation in lake water volume derived from altimetry measurements, corresponds to 41.8% of the TWS, groundwater storage corresponds to 57.7% of the TWS, and the soil moisture is less than 0.5%. The TWS strongly correlated with the SWS (∼91%), with a one-month lag in the SWS variations in response to the TWS fluctuations. Therefore, the SWS in May, when the flood risk is the highest, was estimated using TWS in February, March and April with accuracies of 85%, 94% and 95%, respectively. This valuable information could be integrated into flood management tools, particularly for areas such as Gatumba city and the Ruzizi Delta Nature Reserve, which were heavily affected by the May 2021 floods.

Detection and evaluation of anthropogenic impacts on natural forest ecosystems from long-term tree-ring observations

Anthropogenic interventions lead to various direct and indirect impacts on natural ecosystems that are often hindered by natural long-term variability, and thus their detection and evaluation remain challenging. Ecological systems are strongly affected by climate variations that typically exhibit long-term correlations capable of imitating or hindering external trends in finite-time observations, thus complicating their detection and correct attribution to either anthropogenic interventions or natural variability. Here we focus on the quantitative assessment of the alterations in the tree-ring width (TRW) of four tree species in response to the changes in the soil water regime following a drainage experiment in a dwarf-shrub type peatland forest. We consider the long-term effects of the intervention, focusing on two characteristic quantities: the durations of clusters when significant discrepancies with relevant controls could be observed in every single consecutive year, and relative trends in the data reflecting long-term, gradual changes in the ecosystem. By extrapolating pre-drainage TRW dynamics and adjusting for recent climate variations using a multivariate model, we simulate surrogate data series that act as additional controls for the post-drainage time period. By comparing the long-term dynamics of the observational TRW data series against both natural and surrogate controls over several decades following the drainage experiment, we evaluate long-term alterations and gradual trends in the tree growth dynamics and reassess the statistical significance of these effects, taking into account long-term correlations in the natural TRW variations. Our results also indicate pronounced alterations in the drought stress response characterized by significant negative trends in the tree growth dynamics following the 2010 heatwave and associated flash drought in the drained area, while no similar effect could be observed in the undrained area, indicating that the increased productivity of the forest ecosystem following the drainage likely comes at the cost of its reduced drought stress resilience.

Effects of climate trends and variability on tree health responses in the Black Sea and Mediterranean forests of Türkiye

To adapt forest ecosystems and forest management to climate change, it is essential to know which forest regions and which tree species are resilient to climate variability and which ones are possibly affected most by past and anticipated future changes. In this contribution, for the main forest regions of Türkiye and six tree species, recent climate variability and trends were quantified and statistically correlated to record tree defoliation and vitality. Climate variables considered are maximum temperature (Tmax), minimum temperature (Tmin), mean temperature (Tmean), and total precipitation (Prcp), which are compared to forest health responses recorded as part of the International Cooperative Programme on Assessment and Monitoring of Air Pollution Effects on Forests (ICP Forests) on 277 plots across forests along the Black Sea and Mediterranean regions. In addition, long-term data on satellite measurements of the normalized difference vegetation index (NDVI) were extracted for the same 277 plots for the period 2008–2020. Firstly, 30 years (1991–2020) of reanalysis of climate variables from ECMWF were extracted for all plots; secondly, individual correlations and cross-correlations of climate variables and tree health and vitality were computed for the period 2008–2020 (significance level of 95%) for the four most dominant species from the Black Sea forests (F. orientalis, Q. cerris, P. sylvestris, P. orientalis) and two species from Mediterranean forests (P. brutia and C. libani). Temperature showed a stronger effect on most species than precipitation. Finally, time-lagged correlations were analyzed for seven-time lags (significance level of 95%) to evaluate legacy effect. The analysis revealed that different tree species from the two regions show different responses to climate variables. Species in the Mediterranean region are more resistant to droughts and climatic variations. Legacy effects of defoliation and NDVI have lasted for at least 2 years.

Weakened Increase in Global Near‐Surface Water Vapor Pressure During the Last 20 Years

AbstractIt is well known that global warming increases the atmospheric water vapor content, which results in substantial changes in the hydrological cycle. Using five observational data sets, the results show that an increasing trend of near‐surface water vapor pressure (AVP) over land and ocean was significant from 1975 to 1998, while such an increasing trend in AVP subsequently weakened from 1999 to 2019. This phenomenon is associated with decreased oceanic evaporation and land surface evapotranspiration in response to recent climate variations. One consequence of such a phenomenon is a large increase in near‐surface vapor pressure deficit (VPD), which in turn increases atmospheric demand for water vapor and thus aridity and drought over land. This result emphasizes the importance of water vapor change under global warming.

Study of Recent Climate Variability in Guinean Coast: Case Study of Bingerville and La Mé in Côte D’Ivoire

Study of Recent Climate Variability in Guinean Coast: Case Study of Bingerville and La Mé in Côte D’Ivoire

Organic layers preserved in ice patches: A new record of Holocene environmental change on the Beartooth Plateau, USA

Growing season temperatures play a crucial role in controlling treeline elevation at regional to global scales. However, understanding of treeline dynamics in response to long-term changes in temperature is limited. In this study, we analyze pollen, plant macrofossils, and charcoal preserved in organic layers within a 10,400-year-old ice patch and in sediment from a 6000-year-old wetland located above present-day treeline in the Beartooth Mountains, Wyoming, to explore the relationship between Holocene climate variability and shifts in treeline elevation. Pollen data indicate a lower-than-present treeline between 9000 and 6200 cal yr BP during the warm, dry summer and cold winter conditions of the early Holocene. Increases in arboreal pollen at 6200 cal yr BP suggest an upslope treeline expansion when summers became cooler and wetter. A possible hiatus in the wetland record at ca. 4200–3000 cal yr BP suggests increased snow and ice cover at high elevations and a lowering of treeline. Treeline position continued to fluctuate with growing season warming and cooling during the late-Holocene. Periods of high fire activity correspond with times of increased woody cover at high elevations. The two records indicate that climate was an important driver of vegetation and treeline change during the Holocene. Early Holocene treeline was governed by moisture limitations, whereas late-Holocene treeline was sensitive to increases in growing season temperatures. Climate projections for the region suggest warmer temperatures could decrease effective growing season moisture at high elevations resulting in a reduction of treeline elevation.

Multidecadal-to-interannual modulations of Late Holocene climate variations reconstructed from oxygen isotope ratios of a 237-year-long lived fossil coral in Kikai Island, southwestern Japan

For this study, to elucidate the East Asian monsoon variations on seasonal, interannual, and decadal timescales during the Late Holocene, we generated a 237-year-long time series of bimonthly resolved oxygen isotope ratios (δ18O) from a 3.5–3.2 ka Porites coral in Kikai Island, southwestern Japan. The coral data clearly show seasonal-to-interdecadal variations reflecting seawater temperature and salinity variations for 237 years, which can be a robust benchmark with respect to subtropical Pacific climate variability during the Late Holocene. Along with modern and fossil coral records published earlier from Kikai Island and Okinawa Island, the time-weighted δ18O averages for overlapped 14C ages demonstrate that the annual and summer values had slightly increased by <0.2‰ for 6–3 ka and that the winter values had increased by ∼0.2‰ for 6–5 ka and decreased by ∼0.2‰ for 5–3 ka. The result indicates that the mean climate state around the island had been almost stable on a centennial-to-millennium timescale throughout the transition from the Middle to Late Holocene, but with several short-term cooling excursions of ∼1 °C at 4–3 ka. On interdecadal-to-interannual timescales, amplitudes of the fossil coral δ18O variations for winter and summer were similar or larger at 3.5–3.2 ka relative to today, revealing significant periodicities at 36–38 years, 20–21 years, 6–9 years, and 3–4 years by spectral analysis at 95% confidence intervals. Furthermore, winter and summer coral δ18O time series of the respective periodic components indicate that interannual variations of SST (and/or seawater δ18O) around the island have changed on interdecadal and decadal timescales, which have been modulated on a multidecadal timescale of approximately 60–90 years/cycle. These results imply that the relationships of the East Asian winter and summer monsoon to the El Niño/Southern Oscillation and Pacific Decadal Oscillation dominant in the North Pacific might have been modulated by or associated with the Atlantic Multidecadal Oscillation dominant in the North Atlantic during the Late Holocene.

Holocene climate variability and the effect of anthropogenic activities on the vegetation landscape of western-central Mexico

Atmospheric forcings control climate variability and at the same time control vegetation distribution and forest fires during the Holocene. Paleoenvironmental studies are scarce in western Mexico, particularly those documenting vegetation change, landscape dynamics, and fire regimes. This study presents a vegetation and fire occurrence reconstruction in the Etzatlán-Magdalena paleolake, western Mexico, during the Holocene. The reconstruction relies on fossil pollen, macrocharcoal and microcharcoal analyses of a clay sediment core. In the early Holocene (10–5.8 ka), climatic conditions were humid between 10 and 9 ka, represented by cloud forest of Liquidambar, Juglans, and Betulaceae. After 9 ka Quercus forest expanded and a trend towards warm conditions was detected, associated with high fire activity, suggesting the presence of a dry forest. Fire episodes at local and regional scale had a long-term negative effect on temperate and cloud forests. In the middle Holocene (5.8–2.1 ka), temperate forest was replaced by dry forest, indicating a drier climate. In the late Holocene (2.1–0.3 ka), the expansion of disturbance taxa and the low local fires indicated an open landscape and dry conditions. Human activity was documented by an increase of Cheno-Amaranthaceae, Poaceae and microcharcoal concentration after 3.5 ka. This research provides relevant information on the vegetation dynamics in a region with a long history of human settlement.

Mid-Holocene climate-glacier relationship inferred from landforms and relict lake sequence, Southern Zanskar ranges, NW Himalaya

The geomorphological disposition of (para/peri) glacial landforms, elemental geochemistry, and optical chronology of the relict lake sediment in the Southern Zanskar ranges, northwest Himalaya are used to understand the relationship between glacial dynamics and the lake sedimentation during the mid-Holocene climate variability. Following the Last Glacial Maxima (LGM), pulsating deposition of outwash gravels until the early Holocene overwhelmed the Zanskar valley. The obstruction of Tsarap Chu (chu = river) by alluvial fans during the mid-Holocene led to the development of Padum Lake. In the present study, cirque glacier moraines representing three minor glacial advances were mapped along with sedimentological details and dated using Optically Stimulated Luminescence (OSL) dating technique. The oldest cirque glacier advance - Padum Cirque moraine-3 (PDCm-3) is dated to 11.4 ± 0.9 ka. The succeeding advance (PDCm-2) is dated to 5.3 ± 0.6 and 4.8 ± 0.8 ka whereas, the younger cirque glacier advance (PDCm-1) remains undated. The mid to late Holocene climate variability inferred using major and trace element geochemistry of the relict Padum lake sediments supported by optical chronology indicates six centennial to millennial-scale climatic phases. The prominent warmer phases are represented by decreased mineralogical fine grain flux (low K/Ti, Fe/Si, and Al/Si) with a corresponding increased coarse grain flux (higher Ti/Al and Sr/Al ratios). These phases are dated between 5.9 and 5.5 ka (phase-I), 3.8 and 3.4 ka (phase-IV), and 2.8 and 2.5 ka (phase-VI). The increased mineralogical finer fraction (higher K/Ti, Fe/Si, and Al/Si) between 5.5 and 5.1 ka (phase-II) and 3.4 and 2.8 ka (phase-V) indicate reduced meltwater flux during cooler phases. The intervening phase-III (5.1–3.8 ka) is characterized by increased mineralogical coarse grain flux (decreasing K/Ti, Fe/Si, Al/Si) suggesting gradual warming. The oscillatory climate at millennial scale was further used to understand glacier dynamics. The PDCm-2 advance in the lake record corresponds to the first major cooling (5.5 and 5.1 ka; phase-II) and continued until ∼3.8 ka. Using geochemical data of lake record, a major recession is inferred after 3.8 ka that persisted until around 3.4 ka (phase-IV). Similarly, the undated younger cirque glacier advance (PDCm-1) is assigned to the second cooling event (3.4 and 2.8 ka; phase-V). Thereafter, the cirque glaciers receded, most likely under increasing dryness and fluctuating climate (2.8–2.5 ka, phase-VI). After ∼2.6 ka, the development of ice-wedge pseudomorphs indicates the onset of permafrost conditions that degraded after ∼2.5 ka implying an increase in air temperature. The lake sedimentation terminates with the deposition of multiple younger alluvial fan facies. The climate variability shows a close correspondence with regional climate records suggesting that marginal glacier advancements were triggered by enhanced moisture via atmospheric rivers and cooler winter temperatures. The study highlights the potential of relict lake sediment in association with para- and peri-glacial landforms to reconstruct the pattern of minor glacier responses to climate variability during the Holocene.