Creating or recruiting new riparian forests to improve Lower Putah Creek (LPC) ecosystem functions is challenging under the modified stream flow regime developed after historic gravel mining and installation of Monticello Dam upstream. Hydrologic connectivity between riparian trees, shallow groundwater, and the low flow channel is essential towards maintaining these forests and related habitats through the annual summer and multi-year drought periods typical in this Sacramento Valley region of California. Despite increased average summer flows, significant mature cottonwood and willow tree mortality along the LPC riparian areas below the Putah Creek diversion dam in 2014 raised concerns over the soil and hydrologic factors affecting riparian vegetation survival. A forensic analysis was conducted combining annual canopy coverage fractions and tree ring studies with daily soil-water balances, low flow records, and available groundwater level Information from the past few decades to determine the key hydrologic factors affecting riparian tree survival along the LPC. The 2011-2016 drought was linked with greater than prior average soil-water deficits in 2012-2015 and lower initial soil-water storage on March 1 of 2012 and 2014 that would be expected to stress the trees. However, such stress was not apparent in decreased tree ring spacing during this period from mature (40-50years old), deceased, and living trees. Tree canopy coverage declined dramatically (by as much as 50% as compared to the previous decade average) only in the summer of the 2014 despite a ~ 35% increase in average summer flows from 2011 to 2014. However, the regional water table aquifer levels declined at an average rate of ~ 35mm/day in 2014 (as compared to ~ 17mm/day in previous decade) and by several meters overall between 2011 and 2016 suggesting that deceased trees lacked access to the water table aquifer or lateral stream seepage. The increased rates of water table decline and overall depth may be associated with a large increase in adjacent irrigated almond orchard areas in 2014-2016. Knowledge of the dynamic hydrologic factors controlling sustainability of riparian trees should better inform and guide future tree restoration efforts along the LPC.