Rationale & ObjectiveThe management and outcomes of kidney transplant recipients have evolved over the past three decades. This study of U.S patients whose first kidney allograft failed sought to understand long-term trends in subsequent waitlisting, re-transplantation, and all-cause mortality. Study DesignRetrospective cohort study. Setting & ParticipantsPatients recorded in the United States Renal Data System (USRDS) whose first kidney allograft failed between 1990 and 2019. ExposureThe 5-year period in which the allograft failure occurred: 1990-1994, 1995-1999, 2000-2004, 2005-2009, 2010-2014, or 2015-2019. Outcomes1) Waitlisting for re-transplantation, 2) re-transplantation, and 3) all-cause mortality following first allograft failure. Analytical ApproachCompeting risk survival analyses using the approach described by Fine and Gray were used for the outcomes of waitlisting and re-transplantation. Cox proportional hazards models were used for the outcome of all-cause mortality. ResultsThe absolute number of patients whose allograft failed and started dialysis increased from 3,197 in 1990 to 5,821 in 2019. Compared to 1990-1994, the rate of waitlisting for a second transplant increased with each subsequent 5-year period, peaking between 2005-2009 before decreasing again subsequently. The rate of re-transplantation following allograft failure decreased by 9%, 14%, 18%, 7%, and 11% in the sequential 5-year eras; and the mortality rate was 25% lower in 2015-2019 (HR=0.75, 95% CI, 0.72-0.77) compared to 1990-1994. Women had a reduced rate of waitlisting (HR 0.93, 95% CI 0.91-0.95) and lower rate of re-transplantation (HR 0.93, 95% CI 0.91, 0.95) compared to men. Compared to White patients, African-American and Hispanic patients had significantly lower rates of waitlisting, re-transplantation, and mortality. LimitationsRetrospective data that lacks granular clinical information. ConclusionsDuring the past three decades, among patients whose first kidney allograft failed and subsequently initiated dialysis, the rates of waitlisting for re-transplantation increased while the rates of re-transplantation and mortality decreased. Race-, ethnicity-, and sex-based disparities in waitlisting and re-transplantation were observed and warrant further investigation.
Read full abstract