Monogenic diabetes is caused by rare mutations in genes usually implicated in beta cell biology. Common variants of monogenic diabetes genes (MDG) may jointly influence the risk of young-onset type 2 diabetes (YOD, diagnosed before the age of 40 years) and cardiovascular and kidney events. Using whole-exome sequencing data, we constructed a weighted polygenic risk score (wPRS) consisting of 135 common variants (minor allele frequency >0.01) of 34 MDG based on r2>0.2 for linkage disequilibrium in a discovery case-control cohort of 453 adults with YOD (median [IQR] age 39.7 [34.9-46.9] years) and 405 without YOD (median [IQR] age 56.7 [50.3-61.0] years), followed by validation in an independent cross-sectional cohort with array-based genotyping for YOD and a prospective cohort of individuals with type 2 diabetes for cardiovascular and kidney events. In the discovery cohort, the OR of the 135 common variants for YOD ranged from 1.00 to 2.61. In the validation cohort (920 YOD and 4910 non-YOD), top-10%-wPRS was associated with an OR of 1.42 (95% CI 1.03, 1.95, p=0.033) for YOD compared with bottom-10%-wPRS. In 2313 individuals with type 2 diabetes (median [IQR]: age 53.4 [45.4-61.7] years; disease duration 4.0 [1.0-9.0] years) observed for a median (IQR) of 17.5 (14.4-21.8) years, standardised wPRS was associated with increased HR for incident cardiovascular events (1.16 [95% CI 1.06, 1.27], p=0.001), kidney events (1.09 [95% CI 1.02, 1.16], p=0.013) and cardiovascular-kidney events (1.10 [95% CI 1.03, 1.16], p=0.003). Using the 'bottom-20%-wPRS plus baseline disease duration <5 years' group as referent, the 'top-20%-wPRS plus baseline disease duration 5 to <10 years' group had unadjusted and adjusted HR of 1.60 (95% CI 1.17, 2.19, p=0.003) and 1.62 (95% CI 1.16, 2.26, p=0.005), respectively, for cardiovascular-kidney events compared with 1.38 (95% CI 0.97, 1.98, p=0.075) and 1.06 (95% CI 0.72, 1.57, p=0.752) in the 'bottom-20%-wPRS plus baseline disease duration ≥10 years' group. Common variants of MDG increased risk for YOD and cardiovascular-kidney events.
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