Rainfall Measurements Research Articles

EVALUATION OF DAILY SATELLITE AND REANALYSIS OF RAINFALL DATA OVER SOUTH SUMATRA REGION

The limitations of good rainfall data due to constraints on direct measurements can be overcome by using satellite data or reanalysis data. The use of this data must, of course, go through a validation process first. This research aims to evaluate daily data from the Tropical Rainfall Measurement Mission (TRMM) version 3B42RT (TRMM_3B42RT) and European Center for Medium-Range Weather Forecasts (ECMWF) Reanalysis 5 (ERA5) data against data collected from 17 rain gauges in the Sumatra region South. Evaluation is carried out based on the Correlation Coefficient (CC), Root Mean Square Error (RMSE), Mean Absolute Error (MAE), and Mean Bias Error (MBE) values between the data. In addition, the estimation capabilities of TRMM_3B42RT and ERA5 were evaluated based on the Probability of Detection (POD), False Alarm Ratio (FAR), and Critical Success Index (CSI) values. The results show a very high correlation between TRMM_3B42RT and ERA5 with rain gauge data, especially in terms of monthly data. These values (monthly data) for TRMM_3B42RT and ERA5 data are 0.3-0.9 and 0.2-0.9, respectively. The RMSE values of TRMM_3B42RT and ERA5 data in monthly analysis are 75-250mm/month and 100-180mm/month, respectively. The forecasting performance of TRMM_3B42RT and ERA5 shows good results, especially for moderate rainfall in daily data and heavy rainfall in monthly data. The results of this analysis show tha the monthly data TRMM_3B42RT is more in line with the station data and can be used in further research.

Extreme rainfall in Dakar (Senegal): a case study for September 5, 2020

West African countries frequently experience extreme rainfall events during the monsoon season. On September 5, 2020, a significant event occurred in the Dakar region of Senegal with daily rainfall totals exceeding 90 mm, causing widespread flooding and displacing 1,000's of people. Despite the severity of this event, the physical mechanisms driving such extreme rainfall remain unexplored. This study aims to investigate the physical mechanisms associated with this event using multiple data sources, including satellite rainfall estimate products (GPM-IMERG, CHIRPS) and reanalysis data (ERA-5). By analyzing wind fields and mid-tropospheric moisture content from reanalysis data, we examined the synoptic-dynamic evolution of the atmosphere and the movement of the cyclonic vortex that transported moisture to the affected region, resulting in substantial rainfall measurements exceeding 100 mm. The analysis also revealed that a vortex over the ocean slowed down the vortex near Senegal, prolonging the rainfall over a total period of 10 h. Additionally, this study presents a comprehensive comparative analysis of state-of-the-art satellite rainfall estimates, assessing their accuracy and reliability in capturing extreme rainfall events both spatially and at specific rainfall gauges situated in Dakar. This evaluation revealed that while satellite rainfall estimates are valuable, they tended to underestimate (up to 40%) the actual rainfall observed at the Dakar-Yoff station. Furthermore, extreme value analysis showed that there is a tendency to underestimate return levels for high-intensity events, with some cases showing underestimations by up to twice the actual values. Thus, this research advances our understanding of extreme rainfall events in West Africa and improves our knowledge of satellite-based rainfall estimates, contributing to future monitoring and preparedness. Furthermore, these findings highlight the importance of monitoring cyclonic systems associated with African Easterly Waves, contributing to a better understanding of extreme rainfall events in West Africa.

Improving Rainfall Prediction Accuracy in the USA Using Advanced Machine Learning Techniques

The key aim of this research project is to design and evaluate advanced machine learning models for increasing accuracy in rainfall forecasting over the USA. We intended to investigate nonlinear relationships typical of the atmospheric variables using state-of-the-art ML methods for more accurate rainfall predictions. For this research project on rainfall forecasting in the USA, we utilized an extensive dataset that comprises historical rainfall data collected from the National Oceanic and Atmospheric Administration (NOAA) and other meteorological agencies. The main dataset we use in this paper consists of daily rainfall measurements across various geographical locations of the USA, thus capturing the wide-ranging historical data necessary for both training and validation of the model. Besides measuring rainfall, we included meteorological data from sources such as NOAA's Global Historical Climatology Network and NASA's Modern-Era Retrospective Analysis for Research and Applications. These datasets further provided key variables that are known to affect rain, including temperature, humidity, wind speed, and atmospheric pressure. The performance metrics used in this research work for the models considered include accuracy, precision, recall, and F1 score. The above table shows that the Random Forest Classifier outperformed the other models, achieving perfect accuracy. That indicated that it rightly classified all the instances in the test set. The Logistic Regression and Support Vector Machine models gave a quite good performance by giving above average accuracy but had lower precision and recall for the rainfall prediction. Accurate rainfall forecasting has direct consequences on agriculture, greatly empowering farmers and agricultural planners to make more effective decisions regarding planting, harvesting, and crop management. The forecasts of rainfall are also of critical importance in disaster management regarding planning for flood emergencies. Moreover, precise forecasting of rainfall, particularly in sustainable water resources management, presents the most important data in planning for and conserving these resources.

Performance Assessment of Satellite-Based Precipitation Products in the 2023 Summer Extreme Precipitation Events over North China

In the summer of 2023, North China experienced a rare extreme precipitation storm due to Typhoons Doksuri and Khanun, leading to significant secondary disasters and highlighting the urgent need for accurate rainfall forecasting. Satellite-based quantitative precipitation estimation (QPE) products like Integrated Multi-Satellite Retrievals for GPM (IMERG) and Global Satellite Mapping of Precipitation (GSMaP) from the Global Precipitation Measurement (GPM) Mission have great potential for enhancing forecasts, necessitating a quantitative evaluation before deployment. This study uses a dense rain gauge as a benchmark to assess the accuracy and capability of the latest version 7B IMERG and version 8 GSMaP satellite-based QPE products for the 2023 summer extreme precipitation in North China. These satellite-based QPE products include four satellite-only products, namely IMERG early run (IMERG_ER) and IMERG late run (IMERG_LR), GSMaP near-real-time (GSMaP_NRT), and GSMaP microwave-infrared reanalyzed (GSMaP_MVK), along with two gauge-corrected products, namely IMERG final run (IMERG_FR) and GSMaP gauge adjusted (GSMaP_Gauge). The results show that (1) GSMaP_MVK, IMERG_LR, and IMERG_FR effectively capture the space distribution of the extreme rainfall, with relatively high correlation coefficients (CCs) of approximately 0.77, 0.75, and 0.79. The IMERG_ER, GSMaP_NRT, and GSMaP_Gauge products exhibit a less accurate spatial pattern capture (CCs about 0.66, 0.73, and 0.67, respectively). Each of the six QPE products tends to underestimate rainfall (RBs < 0%). (2) The IMERG products surpass the corresponding GSMaP products in serial rainfall measurement. IMERG_LR demonstrates superior performance with the lowest root-mean-square error (RMSE) (about 0.38 mm), the highest CC (0.97), and less underestimation (RB about −6.37%). (3) The IMERG products at rainfall rates ≥ 30 mm/h, GSMaP_NRT and GSMaP_MVK products at rainfall rates ≥ 55 mm/h, and GSMaP_Gauge products at ≥ 40 mm/h showed marked limitations in event detection, with a near-zero probability of detection (POD) and a nearly 100% false alarm ratio (FAR). In this extreme precipitation event, caution is needed when using the IMERG and GSMaP products.

The spatiotemporal and dependency analysis of selected meteorological parameters and normalized difference vegetation index with aerosol optical depth over east Africa

The unprecedented rise in atmospheric aerosols, coupled with their intricate interactions with the environment through a wide array of physical, chemical, and biological processes, has profoundly impacted global climate. Their presence in the atmosphere scatters and absorbs solar radiation, thus altering the amount of sunlight reaching the Earth's surface. These direct effects, along with the indirect effects of aerosols, have significantly altered atmospheric temperatures, land surface processes, global surface temperature, hydrological cycle, and ecosystems. Understanding the complex interplay between aerosols and climatic variables necessitates a multidisciplinary approach, such as dependency modeling. Addressing these challenges, the current study conducts a spatiotemporal correlational analysis of selected key meteorological parameters with aerosol optical depth over East Africa (EA) using multisensory data from Moderate-resolution Imaging Spectroradiometer (MODIS), Modern-Era Retrospective analysis for Research and Application (MERRA-2) model, and Tropical Rainfall Measurement Mission (TRMM). Employing a weighted least squares regression (WLS) model, the study quantifies trends in the time series of climatic variables and Normalized Difference Vegetation Index (NDVI), further utilizing a statistical dependency modeling technique for correlational analysis. The trend analysis reveals a significant decreasing trend in surface wind speed (SWS) in most months, with sporadic positive trends attributed to anthropogenic activities, notably biomass burning, observed in January. Spatial trend analysis of Precipitation Rate (PR) displays heterogeneity, with significant negative trends in January and March, and positive trends in February, April, November, and December. Negative trends during May to August are attributed to increased anthropogenic activities, while enhanced positive trends in May correlate with low aerosol optical depth (AOD) during this period. Surface air temperature (SAT) exhibits diverse variations across the region, with dry months recording higher averages and trends than wet months. The study notes heterogeneous correlations in NDVI over the study area, with positive and negative correlations observed in different regions. Specifically, positive correlations are noted along the coastal and Lake Victoria regions, attributed to improved PR enhancing vegetation cover in these areas.

Assessing rainfall threshold for shallow landslides triggering: a case study in the Alpes Maritimes region, France

AbstractIn this work, we use a statistical approach for modeling shallow landslide rainfall thresholds (Caine 1980) with a case study for the Alpes-Maritimes region (France). Cumulated rainfall / duration (ED) thresholds are obtained with the CTRL-T algorithm (Melillo and al. 2018) for different non-exceedance probabilities from a landslide and two climatic datasets. This tool allows to automatically define rainfall events that might trigger landslides, ensuring robustness and objectivity in this process. The first climate dataset stores high resolution gridded rainfall data (1km resolution, hourly), which provides rainfall data with high temporal and spatial accuracy. This dataset, coming from radar data, is calibrated with rainfall gauges, ensuring a higher accuracy of the rainfall measurements. It provides the rainfall records directly used in the threshold construction The second dataset contains lower resolution gridded rainfall, snow, temperature, and evapotranspiration data (8km resolution, daily); it enables to assess the region’s climate through parameters imported in CTRL-T. The thresholds are then validated using a method designed by Gariano and et al. (2015). Several improvements are made to the initial method. First, evapotranspiration values approximated in the process are replaced by values from the second climate dataset, the result accounting best for the regional climate. Then, computing duration values used for isolating events and sub-events for each mesh point allows to consider the heterogeneity of the Alpes-Maritimes climate. Rainfall thresholds are eventually obtained, successively from a set of probable conditions (MRC) and a set of highly probable conditions (MPRC). The validation process strengthens the analysis as well as enables to identify best performing thresholds. This work represents novel scientific progress towards landslide reliable warning systems by (a) making a case study of empirical rainfall thresholds for Alpes-Maritimes, (b) using high-resolution rainfall data and (c) adapting the method to climatically heterogeneous zones.

Measuring Amazon Rainfall Intensity With Sound Recorders

AbstractGround weather observations are scarce in many parts of the globe, hampering effective climate monitoring and disaster management. In the Amazon basin, this occurs due to its remoteness and the challenging measurement of rainfall within the forest. Innovative rainfall estimation methods are thus requested to fill this gap. Here we present an approach to estimate rainfall based on sound measurements. We identified the best frequency range to estimate rainfall occurrence and intensity, trained classification and regression models with sound and rain gauge data collected in the Central Amazon during 9 months. By training a random forest classifier/regression model based on power spectrum values it was possible to identify and satisfactorily estimate hourly rainfall rates in two vegetation environments distinct from the training site, located 30 km from it. The proposed method is a promising approach for future weather monitoring in remote tropical areas.

Applicability of a Modified Gash Model for Artificial Forests in the Transitional Zone between the Loess Hilly Region and the Mu Us Sandy Land, China

Afforestation in the transitional zone between the loess hilly area and the Mu Us Sandy Land of China has reshaped the landscape and greatly affected eco-hydrological processes. Plantations are crucial for regulating local net rainfall inputs, thus making it necessary to quantify the closure loss of plantation species in drought and semi-arid areas. To quantify and model the canopy interception of these plantations, we conducted rainfall redistribution measurement experiments. Based on this, we used the modified Gash model to simulate their interception losses, and the model applicability across varying rainfall types was further compared and verified. Herein, Caragana korshinskii, Salix psammophila, and Pinus sylvestris plantations in the Kuye River mountain tract were chosen to measure the precipitation distribution from May to October (growing season). The applicability of a modified Gash model for different stands was then evaluated using the assessed data. The results showed that the canopy interception characteristics of each typical plantation were throughfall, interception, and stemflow. The relative error of canopy interception of C. korshinskii simulated by the modified Gash model was 8.79%. The relative error of simulated canopy interception of S. psammophila was 4.19%. The relative error of canopy interception simulation of P. sylvestris was 13.28%, and the modified Gash model had good applicability in the Kuye River Basin. The modified Gash model has the greatest sensitivity to rainfall intensity among the parameters of the C. korshinskii and S. psammophila forest. The sensitivity of P. sylvestris in the modified Gash model is that the canopy cover has the greatest influence, followed by the mean rainfall intensity. Our results provide a scientific basis for the rational use of water resources and vegetation restoration in the transitional zone between the loess hilly region and the Mu Us Sandy Land. This study is of import for the restoration and sustainability of fragile ecosystems in the region.

A New NDSA (Normalized Differential Spectral Attenuation) Measurement Campaign for Estimating Water Vapor Along a Radio Link

The Normalized Differential Spectral Attenuation (NDSA) technique was proposed years ago as an active method for measuring integrated water vapor (IWV) along a Ku/K-band radio link immersed (totally or partially) in the troposphere. The approach is of the active kind, as it relies on the transmission of a couple of sinusoidal signals, whose power is measured at the receiver, thus providing the differential attenuation measurements from which IWV estimates can be in turn derived. In 2018, a prototype instrument providing such differential attenuation measurements was completed and set up for a first measurement campaign aimed at demonstrating the NDSA method. By the end of June 2022, the instrument was profoundly modified and upgraded so that a second measurement campaign could be carried out from 1 August to 30 November 2022. The transmitter was placed on the top of Monte Gomito (44.1277°lat, 10.6434°lon, 1892 m a.s.l.) and the receiver on the roof of the Department of Information Engineering of the University of Florence (43.7985°lat, 11.2528°lon, 50 m a.s.l.). The resulting radio link length was 61.15 km. Four ground weather stations of the regional weather service were selected among those available. In this paper, we describe the upgraded instrument and present the outcomes of the new measurement campaign, whose purpose was mainly to compare the IWV estimates provided by the instrument with the ground sensor measurements of air temperature, air humidity, barometric pressure, and rainfall. In particular, we show that the temporal trends of the two IWV estimates are qualitatively consistent, and that the instrument is able to provide IWV estimates also in the presence of fog and rainfall. Conversely, a quantitative evaluation through comparison with IWV data from point weather station measurements appears challenging due to the significant spatial variability in temperature and relative humidity, even between couples of stations that are quite close to each other.

Quantifying the Wind‐Induced Bias of Rainfall Measurements for the Thies CLIMA Optical Disdrometer

AbstractThe wind‐induced bias of rainfall measurements obtained from non‐catching instruments is addressed in this work with reference to the Laser Precipitation Monitor (LPM) optical disdrometer manufactured by Thies CLIMA. A numerical simulation approach is adopted to quantify the expected bias, involving three different models with increasing complexity. Computational Fluid‐Dynamics simulation of the airflow field around the instrument with an embedded Lagrangian particle‐tracking module to obtain raindrop trajectories are performed by solving the Unsteady Reynolds Averaged Navier‐Stokes (URANS) equations and a Large Eddy Simulation (LES) model. URANS‐uncoupled, LES‐uncoupled, and LES‐coupled approaches are tested to assess the impact of modeling the airflow turbulent fluctuations in detail. Due to the non‐radially symmetric external shape of the instrument, various combinations of the wind speed and direction are considered. Catch ratios for monodisperse rain are obtained as a function of the particle Reynolds number and the wind direction and fitted to obtain site‐independent curves to support application of the simulation results. Based on literature expressions to link the drop size distribution of real rainfall events with the rainfall intensity (which instead depend on the local rainfall climatology at the measurement site), sample collection efficiency curves are obtained from the catch ratios of monodisperse rain. The resulting adjustment curves allow rainfall measurements to be corrected using either a real‐time or post‐processing approach. However, at high wind speed and assuming that the wind blows parallel to the instrument sensing area, the instrument may fail to report precipitation altogether.

Estimating Rainfall Intensity Using an Image-Based Convolutional Neural Network Inversion Technique for Potential Crowdsourcing Applications in Urban Areas

High-quality rainfall data are essential in many water management problems, including stormwater management, water resources management, and more. Due to the high spatial–temporal variations, rainfall measurement could be challenging and costly, especially in urban areas. This could be even more challenging in tropical regions with their typical short-duration and high-intensity rainfall events, as some of the undeveloped or developing countries in those regions lack a dense rain gauge network and have limited resources to use radar and satellite readings. Thus, exploring alternative rainfall estimation methods could be helpful to back up some shortcomings. Recently, a few studies have examined the utilisation of citizen science methods to collect rainfall data as a complement to the existing rain gauge networks. However, these attempts are in the early stages, and limited works have been published on improving the quality of such data. Therefore, this study focuses on image-based rainfall estimation with potential usage in citizen science. For this, a novel convolutional neural network (CNN) model is developed to predict rainfall intensity by processing the images captured by citizens (e.g., by smartphones or security cameras) in an urban area. The developed model is merely a complementary sensing tool (e.g., better spatial coverage) to the existing rain gauge network in an urban area and is not meant to replace it. This study also presents one of the most extensive datasets of rain image data ever published in the literature. The estimated rainfall data by the proposed CNN model of this study using images captured by surveillance cameras and smartphone cameras are compared with observed rainfall by a weather station and exhibit strong R2 values of 0.955 and 0.840, respectively.

Generating interpretable rainfall-runoff models automatically from data

A sudden surge of data has created new challenges in water management, spanning quality control, assimilation, and analysis. Few approaches are available to integrate growing volumes of data into interpretable results. Process-based hydrologic models have not been designed to consume large amounts of data. Alternatively, new machine learning tools can automate data analysis and forecasting, but their lack of interpretability and reliance on very large data sets limits the discovery of insights and may impact trust. To address this gap, we present a new approach, which seeks to strike a middle ground between process-, and data-based modeling. The contribution of this work is an automated and scalable methodology that discovers differential equations and latent state estimations within hydrologic systems using only rainfall and runoff measurements. We show how this enables automated tools to learn interpretable models of 6 to 18 parameters solely from measurements. We apply this approach to nearly 400 stream gaging sites across the US, showing how complex catchment dynamics can be reconstructed solely from rainfall and runoff measurements. We also show how the approach discovers surrogate models that can replicate the dynamics of a much more complex process-based model, but at a fraction of the computational complexity. We discuss how the resulting representation of watershed dynamics provides insight and computational efficiency to enable automated predictions across large sensor networks.

An ensemble neural network approach for space–time landslide predictive modelling

There is an urgent need for accurate and effective Landslide Early Warning Systems (LEWS). Most LEWS are currently based on temporally-aggregated measures of rainfall derived from either in-situ measurements or satellite-based rainfall estimates. Relying on a summary metric of precipitation may not capture the complexity of the rainfall signal and its dynamics in space and time in triggering landslides. Here, we present a proof-of-concept for constructing a LEWS based on an integrated spatio-temporal modelling framework. Our proposed methodology builds upon a recent approach that uses a daily rainfall time series instead of the traditional scalar aggregation. Specifically, we partition the study area into slope units and use a Gated Recurrent Unit (GRU) to process satellite-derived rainfall time series and combine the output features with a second neural network (NN) tasked with capturing the effect of terrain characteristics. To assess if our approach enhances accuracy, we applied it in Vietnam and benchmarked it against a modelling counterpart where we replaced the rainfall time series with the corresponding scalar representative of the cumulated precipitation. The corresponding duration was set at 14 days as it proved to produce the best performance. Our results show that our protocol leads to better performance in hindcasting landslides when making use of the rainfall as a continuous signal over time. While not tested here, our approach can be extended to rainfall obtained from weather forecasts, potentially leading to actual landslide forecasts.

IoT-Based Rainfall Monitoring System to Detect Rainy Flood for Coastal Areas of Bangladesh

Flood disasters in Bangladesh’s coastal regions have been a major source of worry due to their damaging effects on both the natural world and people. For this natural disaster to be tracked and efficiently controlled, rainfall measurement must be precise and trustworthy. The rain gauge, which has acquired global acceptability, is the most commonly used instrument for measuring rainfall. This study presents the design and experimental evaluation of a cloud-based sensor-based rain gauge for the real determination of total rainfall and rate. An ultrasonic sensor is connected to a round water container, a round rainwater acquisition, a Bluetooth module, and a data processing unit for data collecting and processing in the proposed recommendation sensor-based rain gauge. Improved rainfall evaluation and detection methods have been created using cutting-edge sensor data processing techniques. Throughout a local rainfall event, the performance of the electronic sensor-based rain gauge is assessed and contrasted with that of a hand-made rain gauge. The experimental results show that the suggested system offers an accurate reading of rainfall quantity and rate per unit of time and area, real-time rainfall monitoring, and reliable and consistent analysis. The created method is made to maintain rainy floods in Bangladesh’s coastal regions by storing rainfall data. The system is anticipated to help the region establish an efficient rainy flood monitoring system. Overall, the suggested digital sensor-based rain gauge offers a useful and trustworthy instrument for managing and monitoring rainfall in Bangladesh’s coastal regions in real-time. GUB JOURNAL OF SCIENCE AND ENGINEERING, Vol 9(1), 2022 P 52-57

Analysis of Rainfall Variability Using Precipitation Concentration Index for a Catchment

The PCI is a critical metric to assess the distribution and concentration of precipitation over a specified period. By analyzing historical rainfall data, this research aims to identify trends and patterns in precipitation concentration, shedding light on potential implications for water resource management and hydrological systems. The methodology involves calculating the PCI for different temporal scales and regions, allowing for a comprehensive assessment of rainfall variability. The findings contribute to a deeper understanding of precipitation dynamics, facilitating informed decision-making in climate-sensitive sectors. There are simple rainfall measures that can be used to provide information on variability and, therefore, on the climate state. These mainly include annual and monthly rainfall data and averages, which can be used to assess rainfall seasonality, variability, and the frequency of extreme events.

Raindrop size distributions of summer monsoon rainfall observed over Eastern India

The present study aims to quantify the raindrop size distributions (RSDs) of Indian summer monsoon (ISM) rainfall over a tropical eastern Indian station, Rourkela using five years (2018–2021) of Thies disdrometer measurements. The RSD measurements of ISM rainfall at Rourkela are segregated into active and break spells using the standardized rainfall anomalies over the study area. The RSDs characteristics of active and break spells are analyzed and their empirical relations, which are appropriate for precipitation estimation algorithms, are also reported. A significant annual and monthly variations in RSDs is noticed between the active and break spells of the ISM rainfall over the study region. The probability distribution function (PDF) RSDs parameters (rainfall rate, liquid water content, mass-weighted mean diameter, and normalized intercept parameter) demonstrated clear distinctions between active and break spells. The active spells showed higher rainfall amounts, large mass-weighted mean diameter, and smaller normalized intercept parameters over the break spells. A further segregation of active and break spells into stratiform and convective types revealed more large size drops in convective (stratiform) precipitations of active (break) spells. Occurrence of higher rainfall amounts and large size raindrops in the active spells over the break spells can be attributed to the presence of abundant moisture and convective activity in active spells. Furthermore, the radar reflectivity-rainfall rate (Z–R), shape and slope (μ–Λ), and mass-weighted mean diameter-rainfall rate (Dm-R) relations established for the active and break spells could aid in improving the precipitation estimations of over the study region.

Enhanced Spatio-Temporal Modeling for Rainfall Forecasting: A High-Resolution Grid Analysis

Rainfall serves as a lifeline for crop cultivation in many agriculture-dependent countries including India. Being spatio-temporal data, the forecasting of rainfall becomes a more complex and tedious process. Application of conventional time series models and machine learning techniques will not be a suitable choice as they may not adequately account for the complex spatial and temporal dependencies integrated within the data. This demands some data-driven techniques that can handle the intrinsic patterns such as non-linearity, non-stationarity, and non-normality. Space–Time Autoregressive Moving Average (STARMA) models were highly known for its ability to capture both spatial and temporal dependencies, offering a comprehensive framework for analyzing complex datasets. Spatial Weight Matrix (SWM) developed by the STARMA model helps in integrating the spatial effects of the neighboring sites. The study employed a novel dataset consisting of annual rainfall measurements spanning over 50 (1970–2019) years from 119 different locations (grid of 0.25 × 0.25 degree resolution) of West Bengal, a state of India. These extensive datasets were split into testing and training groups that enable the better understanding of the rainfall patterns at a granular level. The study findings demonstrated a notable improvement in forecasting accuracy by the STARMA model that can exhibit promising implications for agricultural management and planning, particularly in regions vulnerable to climate variability.

Evaluation of wind turbine blades’ rain-induced leading edge erosion using rainfall measurements at offshore, coastal and onshore locations in the Netherlands

The impingement of rain drops on wind turbine blades determines leading edge erosion (LEE) which is a factor driving high maintenance costs. In order to better quantify rain-induced LEE, we carried out detailed rainfall measurements, by means of disdrometers, in conjunction with wind speed measurements. Measurements were performed at three different Dutch sites, encompassing an offshore, a coastal and an onshore location. Based on rainfall and wind speed measurements, and assuming a virtual 15 MW wind turbine, we estimated the blade’s LEE using a fatigue-based model. Developed by means of different published rotating arm erosion data, our fatigue model relates the measured rainfall characteristics to the LEE incubation period, here assumed as the leading edge protection (LEP) system’s end of life. Assuming a polyurethane LEP system, results indicate that the blades’ incubation period is around 3.9 years at the offshore location, 6.6 years at the coastal location and 8.3 years at the onshore location. These results are connected to the higher wind speeds during rainfalls, and higher occurrences of very intense rainy events which, according to the measurements, progressively occur at the onshore, coastal and offshore locations.

AttUnet_R_SFT: A Novel Network to Explore the Application of Complex Terrain Information in Satellite Precipitation Estimating

AbstractAccurate rainfall measurement with a precise spatial and temporal resolution is essential for making informed decisions during disasters and conducting scientific studies, particularly in regions characterized by intricate terrain and limited coverage of automated weather stations. Retrieval of precipitation with satellite is currently the most effective means to obtain precipitation over large‐scale areas. The key to enhancing the accuracy of precipitation estimation and forecasting in regions with complex terrain lies in effectively integrating satellite data with topographic information. This paper introduces a deep learning approach called AttUnet_R_SFT that utilizes high temporal, spatial, and spectral resolution data obtained from the Fengyun 4A satellite, and incorporates the Deep Spatial Feature Transform (SFT) layer to incorporate geographical data for estimating half‐hourly precipitation in northeastern China. We assess it by compared to operational near‐real‐time satellite precipitation products demonstrated to be successful in estimating precipitation and baseline deep learning models. According to the experimental findings, the AttUnet_R_SFT model outperforms practical precipitation products and baseline deep learning models in both identifying and estimating precipitation. The main enhancement of the model performance is shown in the windward slope of the Greater Khingan Mountains as a result of the successful incorporation of geographical data. Hence, the suggested framework holds the capability to function as a superior and dependable satellite‐derived precipitation estimation solution in regions characterized by intricate terrain and infrequent rainfall. The findings of this study indicate that the utilization of deep learning algorithms for satellite precipitation estimation shows potential as a fruitful avenue for further research.

Evaluation of GSMaP Rainfall Data in the Aceh Region

Rainfall measurement data in the field is quite limited, however, satellite data obtained by remote sensing methods are widely available. However, its accuracy must still be tested using observational rainfall data. The objective of this research was to validate GSMaP satellite estimated rainfall data with Automatic Rain Gauge (ARG) rainfall data at rain stations dispersed over Aceh Province's west-central region, as well as to identify the primary drivers for GSMaP data error. ARG and GSMaP data sources. A comparison of GSMaP data accuracy using a combination of Pearson and RMSE tests shows that GSMaP performance is very low in the dry and transition seasons and significantly better in the rainy season. GSMaP, on the other hand, is still unable to offer sufficient precise rainfall estimation data for each season. Meanwhile, a comparison by elevation shows that GSMaP data is not fully reliable.