Quick Sequential Organ Failure Assessment Research Articles

Quick Sequential Organ Failure Assessment (qSOFA) and Performance Status Scoring Systems as Prognostic Predictors in Pneumococcal Community-Acquired Pneumonia

Quick Sequential Organ Failure Assessment (qSOFA) and Performance Status Scoring Systems as Prognostic Predictors in Pneumococcal Community-Acquired Pneumonia

Moving Beyond Systemic Inflammatory Response Syndrome and Bacteremia: Are Modern Critical Care Calculators Useful in Predicting Debridement, Antibiotics, and Implant Retention Treatment Outcomes in Periprosthetic Joint Infection?

BackgroundIn critically ill periprosthetic joint infection (PJI) patients, surgeons need to balance the need for aggressive, definitive treatment against the health state of a potentially unstable patient. A clear understanding of the association between treatment outcomes and assessment scores for sepsis would benefit clinical decision-making in these urgent cases. The current study evaluates the effect of critical illness on debridement, antibiotics, and implant retention (DAIR) outcomes, as defined by systemic inflammatory response syndrome (SIRS) and, for the first time, by contemporary markers quick Sequential Organ Failure Assessment (qSOFA) and Modified Early Warning Score (MEWS). MethodsWe retrospectively identified 253 patients who underwent DAIR for PJI at a single institution between 2017 and 2021. The SIRS, qSOFA, and MEWS scores were calculated based on variables on admission. A DAIR treatment failure, defined as reoperation or mortality, was measured at 90 days and two years. Univariate analysis was used to determine the association between elevated critical care scores and DAIR failure. ResultsThe DAIR treatment success was 59% at two years, with hip procedures and Charlson comorbidity index (CCI) ≥ 1 independently associated with higher odds of DAIR failure. There were 43 patients (16%) who presented with SIRS, however, only four (2%) had positive qSOFA scores. Neither SIRS nor qSOFA were predictive of DAIR failure. For knees only, elevated MEWS scores were predictive of 90-day DAIR failure (P = 0.019). ConclusionOver one in six patients undergoing DAIR for PJI presented with SIRS, while only one in 50 had a positive qSOFA. The SIRS and qSOFA scores were not predictive of DAIR failure. Elevated MEWS scores were associated with DAIR failure at 90 days postoperatively in knee PJIs only, and should be confirmed in a larger cohort. Our results suggest that SIRS is not predictive of DAIR outcomes, possibly because it overestimates the proportion of critically ill patients.

Factors Associated With Death at 30 Days and Evaluation of Clinical Risk Scores Among Patients With Cancer Admitted With Postchemotherapy Infection in Uganda: A Prospective Cohort Study

Abstract Background Little is known about outcomes from cancer chemotherapy–-associated infections in sub-Saharan Africa. Accordingly, among patients with cancer admitted with postchemotherapy infection in Mbarara, Uganda, we aimed to determine (1) the 30-day case fatality rate, (2) factors associated with mortality rate, and (3) clinical risk score performance. Methods We enrolled participants aged ≥18 years if they (1) received cancer chemotherapy within the past 30 days, (2) were admitted to the oncology ward, and (3) were prescribed intravenous antibiotics. We used Cox proportional hazards regression to determine predictors of death at 30 days and calculated the area under the receiver operating characteristic curve (AUC) for each clinical risk score. Results Among 150 participants, 67 (45%) were female, and the median (interquartile range) age was 56 (43–66) years. Esophageal cancer (18%) and pneumonia (42%) were the most common cancer and infection, respectively. Death occurred within 30 days in 63 participants (42%). Quick Sequential Organ Failure Assessment (qSOFA) score ≥2 (adjusted hazard ratio, 2.51 [95% confidence interval, 1.42–4.44]; P = .001), and Universal Vital Assessment (UVA) score >4 (2.13 [.08–4.18, P = .03) were independently associated with death at 30 days. An Eastern Cooperative Oncology Group (ECOG) score ≥3 was similarly independently associated with death at 30 days in the qSOFA and UVA models. The AUCs for qSOFA and UVA scores were 0.70 (95% confidence interval, .63–.79) and 0.72 (.64–.80), respectively. Conclusions In participants with postchemotherapy infection in Mbarara, Uganda, the case fatality rate was high. ECOG, qSOFA, and UVA scores were associated with death at 30 days.

Scoring model for the diagnosis of colorectal perforation and its differentiation from gastroduodenal perforation.

Distinguishing colorectal from gastroduodenal perforations is clinically important and challenging. We aimed to establish a scoring model based on objective findings (excluding computed tomography findings) for the diagnosis of colorectal perforation and its differentiation from gastroduodenal perforation. Patients diagnosed with colorectal or gastroduodenal perforations between January 2014 and December 2021 were retrospectively studied. Univariate and multivariate analyses were performed to identify independent variables, and a scoring model was developed based on these variables. Among 131 eligible patients, 64 (48.9%) were in the colorectal group and 67 (51.1%) were in the gastroduodenal group. White blood cell count, C-reactive protein, and quick Sequential Organ Failure Assessment score were identified as independent clinical variables associated with the diagnosis of colorectal perforation, which differentiated colorectal perforation from gastroduodenal perforation, and were used to develop a new scoring model. The scores ranged from 0 to 5, with an area under the receiver operating characteristic curve of 0.846. The probabilities of colorectal perforation with scores of 0, 1.5, 2, 3, 3.5, and 5 were 3.2, 20, 55.6, 81.8, 73.9, and 82.4%, respectively. The new scoring model may help in treatment selection and perioperative management of patients with gastrointestinal perforation.

CD64 Expression on Neutrophils (nCD64) as a Biomarker in Adult Patients With Sepsis: A Cross-Sectional Study.

Introduction Neutrophils that are at rest exhibit very low expression of CD64, the high-affinity immunoglobulin fragment crystallizable γ receptor I, which is also found in monocytes. Neutrophils that have been exposed to endotoxins or are infected express more CD64. Objectives The aim of this study was to assess the CD64 biomarker expression on neutrophils using the flow cytometry method and its comparison with total leukocyte count, C-reactive protein (CRP) level, and blood culture sensitivity test in the diagnosis of sepsis in adults. Materials and methods Using the quick Sequential Organ Failure Assessment (qSOFA) scoring criteria, 94 blood samples from individuals with clinical indications of sepsis were included in this investigation. Samples were collected in K2 EDTA (ethylenediaminetetraacetic acid) vacutainers and analyzed for neutrophil CD64 (nCD64) levels using BD FACSLyricTM flow cytometer (BD, Franklin Lakes, NJ) within 24 hours of collection. Total leukocyte count, CRP levels, and blood culture sensitivity tests were also assessed simultaneously. Results Majority of the patients, i.e., 29 (30.9%), belonged to the age group of 19 to 35 years, with a female preponderance. The mean total leukocyte count was 19.49 ± 8.12 x 103/µL, mean CRP level was 81.19 ± 56.33 mg/dL, and the mean nCD64 expression - median fluorescence intensity was 197.26 ± 79.56. A positive blood culture was found in 59 (62.8%) cases. Neutrophils showed bright expression of nCD64 in 39 (41.5%) patients, dim expression in 35 (37.2%) patients, and moderate expression in 20 (21.3%) patients in the present study. The correlation between nCD64 expression with CRP, total leukocyte count, and blood culture sensitivity test was statistically significant (p=0.001). nCD64 expression showed a sensitivity of 93.2% and specificity of 91.4% for diagnosing sepsis, with an area under the curve (AUC) of 0.973. This proves nCD64 to be a highly effective biomarker compared to conventional methods. Conclusion nCD64 has a higher sensitivity and specificity as compared to total leukocyte count, CRP levels, and blood culture sensitivity test in the diagnosis of sepsis. It is an effective and rapid test that can enhance sepsis diagnostic accuracy, when combined with other biomarkers. Multicentric research needs to be conducted to validate these findings.

Enhancing Sepsis Care at an Academic Emergency Department in a Resource-Constrained Setting: A Quality Improvement Initiative.

The early recognition of sepsis and septic shock is crucial for improved patient outcomes. Quality improvement programs have ameliorated processes and outcomes in the care of patients with sepsis and septic shock. This study aimed to improve the proportion of patients receiving antibiotics within 1 hour of triage and compliance with sepsis bundles. A multidisciplinary sepsis task force was created to monitor and improve sepsis care. The program lasted 24 months from January 1, 2018, to December 31, 2019. A unique screening criterion was created by combining items from the systemic inflammatory response syndrome, quick sequential organ failure assessment, and National Early Warning Score systems. Thereafter, a sepsis flowsheet was implemented in the emergency department for monitoring. The measures between the first 12 months and the last 12 months were compared. The proportion of patients receiving antibiotics within 1 hour of triage improved from 44% to 84%, intravenous crystalloid administration within 3 hours improved from 62% to 94%, serum lactic acid measurement within 3 hours improved from 62% to 94%, and vasopressor initiation within 6 hours improved from 76% to 94%. The mortality rates decreased from 32% to 21% between the 2 study periods. This program emphasizes the impact of a structured quality improvement program on the process and outcomes of care.

Outcome of patients with solid malignancies considered for intensive care unit admission: a single-center prospective cohort study.

To identify the predictors and outcomes of ICU triage decisions in patients with solid malignancies (SM) and to investigate the usefulness of the National Early Warning Score (NEWS) and quick Sequential Organ Failure Assessment (qSOFA) score at triage. All patients with SM for whom ICU admission was requested between July 2019 and December 2021 in a French university-affiliated hospital were included prospectively. Of the 6262 patients considered for ICU admission, 410 (6.5%) had SM (age, 66 [58-73] years; metastases, 60.1%; and performance status 0-2, 81%). Of these 410 patients, 176 (42.9%) were admitted to the ICU, including 141 (80.1%) subsequently discharged alive. Breast cancer, hemoptysis, and pneumothorax were associated with ICU admission; whereas older age, performance status 3-4, metastatic disease, and request at night were associated with denial of ICU admission. The NEWS, and the qSOFA score in patients with suspected infection, determined at triage performed poorly for predicting hospital mortality (area under the receiver operating characteristics curve, 0.52 and 0.62, respectively). Performance status 3-4 was independently associated with higher 6-month mortality and first-line anticancer treatment with lower 6-month mortality. Hospital mortality was 33.3% in patients admitted to the ICU after refusal of the first request. Patients with SM were frequently denied ICU admission despite excellent in-ICU survival. Poor performance status was associated with ICU admission denial and higher 6-month mortality, but none of the other reasons for denying ICU admission predicted 6-month mortality. Physiological scores had limited usefulness in this setting.

Predictive value of the CURB-65, qSOFA, and APACHE II for in-hospital mortality in patients with acute exacerbation chronic obstructive pulmonary disease.

This study aimed to evaluate the efficacy of Quick Sequential Organ Failure Assessment, Confusion, Urea, Respiratory Rate, Blood Pressure, and Age Above or Below 65 Years (CURB-65), and Acute Physiology and Chronic Health Evaluation (APACHE) II in predicting the in-hospital mortality of patients with acute exacerbation of chronic obstructive pulmonary disease (AECOPD). This retrospective study was conducted on 1583 hospitalized patients diagnosed with AECOPD from 2017 to 2019. Appropriate clinical data were retrieved from medical records from the time of admission up until the patients were discharged. The patients' most severe physiological condition and laboratory data within the first 24 hours of admission were used to determine CURB-65, Quick Sequential Organ Failure Assessment, and APACHE II scores. The accuracy of these 3 instruments in predicting the in-hospital mortality of patients with AECOPD was compared. It was observed that patients who had died had significantly higher APACHE II and CURB-65 scores (P < .05). Binary logistic regression analysis confirmed their significant association with mortality. The APACHE II score had a sensitivity of 91.6% and a specificity of 89.2%, while CURB-65 had a sensitivity of 94% and a specificity of 67.2%. The receiver operating characteristic curves for APACHE II and CURB-65 showed high predictive accuracy (area under the curve, 0.965 and 0.882, P < .001), respectively. Mortality rates substantially increased with higher scores (P < .001), reaching 38.2% for APACHE II scores ≥16 and 15.8% for CURB-65 scores ≥2. Our findings reveal a clear link between higher mortality rates and higher APACHE II and CURB-65 scores. The receiver operating characteristic curves' strong predictive ability highlights the dependability of these scoring systems in assessing the risk of in-hospital mortality, making them useful tools for predicting the outcomes in critical care.

Comparative analysis of scoring systems for predicting mortality in Fournier gangrene: single center, 15years experience.

To compare 5 published scoring systems (Fournier gangrene severity index [FGSI], Uludag FGSI [UFGSI], age-adjusted Charlson Comorbidity Index [ACCI] and the Quick Sequential Organ Failure Assessment (qSOFA) and the Laboratory Risk Indicator for Necrotizing fasciitis (LRINEC) scores and to evaluate risk factors for outcome prediction in patients with Fournier gangrene (FG). Between 2010 and 2024, 311 patients were included in the study. The data of 276 survivors and 55 non-survivors were compared. Univariate and multivariate analyses were performed to determine which of the 5 scoring systems calculated according to demographic, laboratory and clinical data predicted mortality better. In addition, a cut-off value for these scoring systems was determined by ROC analysis. The mortality rate was 17.6% in FG patients. In all 5 scoring systems, univariate analyses showed higher values in non-survivor patients, while UFGSI and FGSI scoring systems were superior to other scoring systems in multivariate analyses (p < 0.001). ROC analysis using mortality-based sensitivity and specificity revealed that the optimal cut-off values for FGSI, UFGSI, ACCI, SOFA and LRINEC should be equal to or higher than 10, 12, 4, 2 and 8, respectively. UFGSI and FGSI scores had the highest AUC values among all scores. This was followed by ACCI, qSOFAand LRINEC. For a UFGSI score ≥ 12, the sensitivity was 84%, specificity 97%, PPV 85% and NPV 97%. Among the scoring systems used to predict mortality, UFGSI was the most accurate, while LRINEC was the least accurate.

The Prospective Analysis of Biomarkers in Sepsis: Correlation With Clinical Outcomes.

Background Sepsis is a medical emergency and necessitates immediate diagnosis and treatment to prevent the progression to severe sepsis, septic shock, and potentially mortality. Aim This study aims to study the diagnostic significance of conventional and new markers, interleukin-10 (IL-10), in predicting the severity of sepsis. Methodology A prospective observational study was conducted in the department of surgery in a tertiary care hospital in Pune, India. The study included 100 patients diagnosed with a quick Sequential Organ Failure Assessment (qSOFA) score of ≥2. Serum C-reactive protein (CRP), procalcitonin (PCT), and interleukin-10 (IL-10) levels were measured. Receiver operating characteristic (ROC) curves were plotted to assess the diagnostic performance of these biomarkers. Results The mean serum CRP level on day 7 was significantly higher than the baseline, day 1, and day 3 groups (p=0.0001). On analysis by repeated measure, the ANOVA test revealed that the mean CRP levels on day 7were significantly higher. The mean PCT levels on day 7, day 3, and day 1 groups were significantly lower than those on day 1, day 2, and day 2, respectively (p=0.0001). The mean p-value of 3.3 g/L CRP was significantly lower on day 1 than that on day 3. IL-10 levels showed a significant upward trend, rising from 5.21 pg/mL at baseline to 7.57 pg/mL by day 7, with a p-value of <0.0001. Our cohort population showed elevated IL-10 values on the day of admission in a total of 15 patients. In our study, we observed that 11 patients with elevated IL-10 levels progressed towardmultiple organ dysfunction syndrome (MODS) and four mortalities. IL-10 is a crucial marker for identifying patients with worsening surgical sepsis. Conclusion IL-10, CRP, and PCT have potential as prognostic markers in assessing and predicting disease severity.The dynamic changes in these biomarkers correlate strongly with clinical outcomes, suggesting their role in guiding treatment decisions.

Bacterial profile of wound site infections and evaluation of risk factors for sepsis among road traffic accident patients from Apex Trauma Centre, Northern India.

Background. Among the most significant yet often ignored health issues worldwide are trauma and accidental injuries. India accounts for 11% of global deaths in road accidents, the highest in the world, according to the World Bank report. There are limited data about the bacterial contamination of road traffic accident (RTA) wounds and their antibiotic susceptibility patterns. Materials and Methods. This prospective study was conducted in a tertiary care centre in northern India from January 2023 to January 2024. Wound deep swabs or aspirates were collected from RTA patients with traumatic injuries at different time intervals. Gram stain and culture were performed, and positive aerobic culture was subjected to antibiotic susceptibility testing. Organism identification was done using MALDI-TOF MS and routine biochemical tests. Blood samples were also collected to rule out bloodstream infections during follow-up if the patient became febrile or showed symptoms of systemic infection. Sepsis was defined in those patients who had two or more scores in the systemic inflammatory response syndrome criteria with a positive microbiological culture. Risk factors were evaluated for sepsis on the basis of the patient's vitals, injury characteristics, procalcitonin, Glasgow Coma Scale (GCS) score, need for mechanical ventilation and complete blood count, which were obtained from the patient's admission file. Results. A total of 189 wound samples were collected, of which 99 (52.38%) samples showed the growth of microorganisms. The aerobic isolates included 69 (69.69%) Gram-negative bacilli, of which the majority were Klebsiella pneumoniae, 28 (28.28%) Gram-positive cocci, of which the majority were Staphylococcus aureus and 2 (2.02%) anaerobic isolates. Among the Gram-negative isolates, none of the isolates were resistant to colistin. All S. aureus isolates were susceptible to vancomycin, teicoplanin and levonadifloxacin. Sepsis developed in 50 (26.45 %) patients. Significant risk factors evaluated for sepsis were a raised procalcitonin level, a low GCS score, a higher injury severity score, the need for mechanical ventilation and a raised quick sequential organ failure assessment score. Conclusion. It is essential to ascertain the profile of microorganisms isolated from RTA wounds in order to reduce antibiotic resistance and deliver efficient treatment.

Differential expression of plasma cytokines in sepsis patients and their clinical implications.

Sepsis, which is characterized by acute systemic inflammation and is associated with high rates of morbidity and mortality, presents a significant challenge in health care. Some scholars have found that the sequential organ failure assessment (SOFA) and quick SOFA scores are not ideal for predicting severe sepsis and mortality. Microbial culture takes a long time (2-3 d) and provides no information for early diagnosis and treatment. Therefore, new diagnostic methods for sepsis need to be explored. To assess cytokine levels in the plasma of sepsis patients and identify potential biomarkers for diagnosing sepsis. Ten sepsis patients admitted to the emergency department within 24 h of onset were enrolled as the observation group, whereas ten noninfected patients served as the control group. Of the 10 noninfected patients, 9 hypertension combined with cerebral infarction, 1 patients with vertiginous syndrome. Plasma Cytokines were measured using the Bio-Plex Pro™ Human Chemokine Panel 40-plex. Differentially expressed cytokines in plasma of sepsis and nonsepsis patients were analyzed using Gene Ontology (GO) functional enrichment and Kyoto Encyclopedia of Genes and Genomes (KEGG) pathway analyses. Interleukin (IL)-16, granulocyte-macrophage granulocyte-macrophage colony-stimulating factor (GM-CSF), CX3CL1, CXCL9, CXCL16, CCL25, and CCL23 plasma levels were significantly increased in sepsis patients. GO analysis revealed that these cytokines were mainly associated with cellular structures such as intermediates, nuclear plaques, adhesion plaques, lateral plasma membranes, and cell matrix junctions. These genes were involved in various molecular functions, such as cytokine activity, receptor ligand activity, and signal receptor activator activity, contributing to various biological functions, such as leukocyte chemotaxis, migration, and chemotaxis. KEGG analysis indicated involvement in cytokine cytokine receptor interactions, chemokine signaling pathways, virus-protein interactions with cytokines and cytokine receptors, and the tumor necrosis factor signaling pathway. Elevated serum levels of IL-16, GM-CSF, CX3CL1, CXCL9, CXCL16, CCL25, and CCL23 in sepsis patients suggest their potential as diagnostic biomarkers for sepsis.

Serum Interleukin-6 as an Early Indicator of Trauma Complications.

Trauma is a major global health issue, associated with high mortality and complications like inapparent hypoxia, fat embolism syndrome (FES), sepsis, and multiple organ dysfunction syndrome (MODS). Early identification of high-risk patients is crucial but challenging. Serum interleukin-6 (IL-6), a key inflammatory cytokine, has shown potential as a biomarker for predicting adverse outcomes in trauma. IL-6 levels typically increase rapidly following trauma, peaking within 12 to 24 hours. Despite its potential role, there is limited research on the effectiveness of IL-6 as an early marker for trauma-related complications. This study aims to assess whether monitoring serum IL-6 levels at specific intervals after trauma can aid in early risk assessment and predict the development of these complications. This prospective observational cohort study at North Eastern Indira Gandhi Regional Institute of Health and Medical Sciences (NEIGRIHMS) included 119 trauma patients aged 19-65 years, admitted within 12 hours of injury. Venous blood samples (5 mL each) were collected at 12 and 24 hours for IL-6 and C-reactive protein (CRP) analysis. Injury severity score (ISS) was assessed for all the patients upon arrival to the emergency department at NEIGRIHMS and was categorized as mild, moderate, severe, and very severe. Inapparent hypoxia, FES, sepsis, and MODS were assessed using pulse oximetry, Gurd's criteria, quick sequential organ failure assessment (qSOFA) score, and Marshall's multiple organ dysfunction score, respectively. Among the participants, 21.85% developed complications; primarily inapparent hypoxia. Serum IL-6 levels were significantly elevated in individuals with complications at both 12 hours (p < 0.001) and 24 hours (p < 0.001) post-trauma. At the 12-hour mark, serum IL-6 demonstrated a sensitivity of 92.3% and a specificity of 78.5%, with a cut-off value of 37.26 pg/mL. By 24 hours, the sensitivity increased to 96.2% and the specificity to 87.1%, with a cut-off value of 55.08 pg/mL. Patients with MODS had the highest IL-6 levels, with medians of 270.87 pg/mL at 12 hours and 826.10 pg/mL at 24 hours. A strong correlation was observed between serum IL-6 at 24 hours and the ISS(rs = 0.725, p < 0.001). At 12 hours, there was a moderate correlation between serum IL-6 and CRP (rs = 0.488, p < 0.001). By 24 hours, this correlation strengthened to a strong level (rs = 0.749, p < 0.001). The significant association of serum IL-6 levels with both ISSand CRP highlights its potential role in assessing trauma severity. The high sensitivity and specificity of IL-6 at the 24-hour make it a valuable biomarker for the early detection of trauma-related complications.

Retrospective analysis of Acinetobacter baumannii bacteraemia risk factors, complications and mortality in a tertiary university hospital in Saudi Arabia.

Introduction. There are many multidrug-resistant isolates of the nosocomial pathogen, Acinetobacter baumannii, causing severe healthcare-acquired infections in terminally ill patients with high mortality and morbidity rates. Aim. This study aims to retrospectively analyse A. baumannii bacteraemia (ABB) cases in Saudi Arabia, where the information is sparse regarding the prevalence, risk factors, clinical disease, antibiotic regimen, antibiotic susceptibility, treatment outcomes and mortality associated with this infection. Methods. A retrospective chart review was conducted between 1 January 2015 and 31 December 2022 to identify all patients aged 14 years and above with ABB. Demographic and clinical data, as well as results from laboratory analyses, were collected from patients' electronic charts. Statistical analyses were performed on the data to identify factors associated with 90-day mortality. Results. Of the 122 ABB cases, 71 (63.4%) died. The factors that were found to be associated with 90-day mortality were the Charlson Comorbidity Index, Pitt bacteraemia score, quick Sequential Organ Failure Assessment score (P<0.001 for each), hospital ward (P<0.02), short duration of antibiotic treatment (P<0.01) and higher age (P<0.05). The most common source of infection was central line-associated bloodstream infection in 52.7%. Also associated with mortality were inappropriate antimicrobial therapy (P<0.02) and empirical use of colistin (P<0.05). In many patients, ABB was caused by carbapenem-resistant A. baumannii [(CRAB), 69.6%], and 74.4% of those patients died. Conclusion. To prevent ABB-associated mortality, an appropriate regimen and duration of treatment are necessary. Hospitals should also practice proper hygiene to prevent the spread of ABB. CRAB is a growing threat in hospitals in Saudi Arabia, especially in the critical care setting, and carries a very high risk of mortality.

NEWS, NEWS2, and qSOFA accuracy in predicting sepsis-related mortality in acute myeloid leukemia: a retrospective single-center analysis.

Acute myeloid leukemia (AML) treated with intensive chemotherapy carries a high risk of severe infection. The development of reliable assessment tools to promptly identify patients at risk of developing critical illness is essential to prevent delays in intensive care unit (ICU) admission. This study evaluated the accuracy of quick Sequential Organ Failure Assessment (qSOFA) score, National Early Warning Score (NEWS), and NEWS2 score in predicting ICU admission and sepsis-related mortality in this population. A retrospective analysis was conducted, including 365 episodes of febrile neutropenia in 126 patients. The results showed that all three scores-qSOFA, NEWS, and NEWS2-demonstrated good accuracy for all outcomes, with area under the receiver-operating characteristic curve values for sepsis-related mortality of 0.812, 0.858, and 0.848, respectively. In addition, the scores exhibited excellent accuracy in predicting ICU admission and the composite outcome of ICU admission or sepsis-related mortality. To our knowledge, this is the first study to evaluate the accuracy of NEWS in a population of patients with AML who did not undergo stem cell transplantation. These findings suggest that NEWS and NEWS2 are effective tools for identifying patients with AML at high risk of clinical deterioration during febrile neutropenia, supporting their use in clinical practice.

The Respiratory Adjusted Shock Index at Admission Is a Valuable Predictor of In-Hospital Outcomes for Elderly Emergency Patients with Medical Diseases at a Japanese Community General Hospital.

Background: The respiratory adjusted shock index (RASI) is a risk score whose usefulness in patients with sepsis and trauma has previously been reported. However, its relevance in elderly emergency patients with medical diseases is yet to be clarified. This study assessed the usefulness of the RASI, which can be evaluated without requiring special equipment, to provide objective and rapid emergency responses. Methods: In this retrospective study, we recruited patients with medical diseases, aged 65 years or older, who were transported to the emergency room from Tokushima Prefectural Kaifu Hospital and underwent arterial blood gas testing from 1 January 2022 to 31 December 2023. We investigated the association of the RASI with other indices, including the lactate level, National Early Warning Score 2 (NEWS2), Shock Index (SI), Sequential Organ Failure Assessment (SOFA) score, quick SOFA (qSOFA) score, and systemic inflammatory response syndrome (SIRS). Results: In this study, we included 260 patients (mean age, 86 years), of whom 234 were admitted to the hospital; 27 and 49 patients died within 7 and 30 days of admission, respectively. The RASI was positively correlated with the lactate level, NEWS2, SI, and increase in the SOFA score (p < 0.001). The RASI was higher in patients with a SIRS or qSOFA score ≥ 2 than in those without (p < 0.001). It predicted death within 7 and 30 days of admission with an area under the curve (AUC) of 0.80 (95% confidence interval [CI]: 0.73-0.87), sensitivity of 96.3%, and specificity of 53.6% when the cutoff value was set to 1.58 and with an AUC of 0.73 (95% CI: 0.66-0.81), sensitivity of 69.4%, and specificity of 70.6% when the cutoff value was set to 1.83, respectively. Conclusions: The RASI is a simple indicator that can be used for predicting in-hospital outcomes in elderly emergency patients with medical diseases. Larger prospective studies based on this study are needed.

Continuous sepsis trajectory prediction using tensor-reduced physiological signals

The quick Sequential Organ Failure Assessment (qSOFA) system identifies an individual’s risk to progress to poor sepsis-related outcomes using minimal variables. We used Support Vector Machine, Learning Using Concave and Convex Kernels, and Random Forest to predict an increase in qSOFA score using electronic health record (EHR) data, electrocardiograms (ECG), and arterial line signals. We structured physiological signals data in a tensor format and used Canonical Polyadic/Parallel Factors (CP) decomposition for feature reduction. Random Forests trained on ECG data show improved performance after tensor decomposition for predictions in a 6-h time frame (AUROC 0.67 ± 0.06 compared to 0.57 ± 0.08, p=0.01\\documentclass[12pt]{minimal} \\usepackage{amsmath} \\usepackage{wasysym} \\usepackage{amsfonts} \\usepackage{amssymb} \\usepackage{amsbsy} \\usepackage{mathrsfs} \\usepackage{upgreek} \\setlength{\\oddsidemargin}{-69pt} \\begin{document}$$p = 0.01$$\\end{document}). Adding arterial line features can also improve performance (AUROC 0.69 ± 0.07, p<0.01\\documentclass[12pt]{minimal} \\usepackage{amsmath} \\usepackage{wasysym} \\usepackage{amsfonts} \\usepackage{amssymb} \\usepackage{amsbsy} \\usepackage{mathrsfs} \\usepackage{upgreek} \\setlength{\\oddsidemargin}{-69pt} \\begin{document}$$p < 0.01$$\\end{document}), and benefit from tensor decomposition (AUROC 0.71 ± 0.07, p=0.01\\documentclass[12pt]{minimal} \\usepackage{amsmath} \\usepackage{wasysym} \\usepackage{amsfonts} \\usepackage{amssymb} \\usepackage{amsbsy} \\usepackage{mathrsfs} \\usepackage{upgreek} \\setlength{\\oddsidemargin}{-69pt} \\begin{document}$$p = 0.01$$\\end{document}). Adding EHR data features to a tensor-reduced signal model further improves performance (AUROC 0.77 ± 0.06, p<0.01\\documentclass[12pt]{minimal} \\usepackage{amsmath} \\usepackage{wasysym} \\usepackage{amsfonts} \\usepackage{amssymb} \\usepackage{amsbsy} \\usepackage{mathrsfs} \\usepackage{upgreek} \\setlength{\\oddsidemargin}{-69pt} \\begin{document}$$p < 0.01$$\\end{document}). Despite reduction in performance going from an EHR data-informed model to a tensor-reduced waveform data model, the signals-informed model offers distinct advantages. The first is that predictions can be made on a continuous basis in real-time, and second is that these predictions are not limited by the availability of EHR data. Additionally, structuring the waveform features as a tensor conserves structural and temporal information that would otherwise be lost if the data were presented as flat vectors.

Surgical Management for Patients with Toxic Megacolon due to Ulcerative Colitis.

The present study reviewed cases of Toxic megacolon (TM) treated in our department, summarized the timing and technique of surgery, and considered key points for surgical management. This single-center retrospective study included the medical records of patients clinically diagnosed with TM who underwent surgery between 1985 and 2020. The diagnostic criteria and screening scores for sepsis, such as the systemic inflammatory response syndrome (SIRS) criteria, quick Sequential Organ Failure Assessment (qSOFA) score, and Modified Early Warning Score (MEWS), were validated. The preoperative clinical features and perioperative findings were also investigated. There were eight male and six female patients. Nine patients (64.3%) satisfied the criteria for toxemia proposed by Narabayashi, and 10 patients (71.4%) fulfilled the SIRS criteria. A positive qSOFA score was confirmed in 1 patient (7.1%). The MEWS was high in 2 patients (14.3%). Intestinal perforation occurred in 2 patients (14.3%), and 1 of them died from disseminated intravascular coagulation. The mortality rate of TM with perforation was 50%. Eleven patients (78.6%) underwent total colectomy with end ileostomy. TM does not have well-defined diagnostic criteria, in addition to developing sometimes as borderline or fulminant cases, and must be recognized at an early stage, taking various findings into consideration. The criteria proposed by Narabayashi and the SIRS criteria, which met in a high percentage of our cases, are recommended as indicators for determining the toxicity of TM. It is also important to consider surgery in the early stages of TM, even if clinical findings do not meet all the criteria.

UNNECESSARY USE OF ANTIMICROBIALS – COMPARISON OF THE PREDICTIVE PERFORMANCE OF QSOFA AND APACHE SCORE FOR EVALUATION OF DISEASE PROGNOSIS PATTERNS IN CRITICAL ILLNESS

In critical care, accurate prognosis assessment, including antimicrobial therapy, is vital for guiding treatment decisions. The Acute Physiology and Chronic Health Evaluation (APACHE) and quick Sequential Organ Failure Assessment (qSOFA) scores are widely used for predicting patient outcomes. Yet, their relative performance and potential implications for antimicrobial stewardship need further exploration. Objective: To evaluate the disease prognosis patterns in critically ill patients by comparing the predictive performance of APACHE and qSOFA scores and to explore their correlation with antimicrobial misuse. Methods: A comparative study was conducted at the National Hospital and Medical Center in Lahore from January to November 2023. The study included 138 critically ill patients. Demographic information, clinical parameters, and medical history were collected, explicitly focusing on APACHE and qSOFA scores recorded at admission and during follow-up. Statistical analysis, including Pearson's and Spearman's correlation coefficients and logistic regression models, was performed using RStudio to assess the predictive ability of these scores for disease progression and patient outcomes. Results: The analysis revealed a moderate positive correlation (r=0.51) between qSOFA and APACHE-II scores, suggesting that both scores align in assessing the severity of illness in critically ill patients. The predictive models indicated that combining qSOFA and APACHE-II scores enhanced the accuracy of predicting critical outcomes, such as shortness of breath (SOB), with a combined model AUC of 0.659 compared to 0.601 for the APACHE-II model alone. Conclusion: The findings underscore the value of integrating multiple clinical scoring systems in managing critically ill patients. Such integration can aid in more judicious use of antibiotics, potentially mitigating the risk of antimicrobial resistance. The study advocates incorporating these insights into clinical guidelines and decision-making processes in critical care settings.

Novel biomarkers to identify complicated course of febrile neutropenia in hematological patients receiving intensive chemotherapy.

Febrile neutropenia (FN) is a common consequence of intensive chemotherapy in hematological patients. More than 90% of the patients with acute myeloid leukemia (AML) develop FN, and 5%-10% of them die from subsequent sepsis. FN is very common also in autologous stem cell transplant recipients, but the risk of death is lower than in AML patients. In this review, we discuss biomarkers that have been evaluated for diagnostic and prognostic purposes in hematological patients with FN. In general, novel biomarkers have provided little benefit over traditional inflammatory biomarkers, such as C-reactive protein and procalcitonin. The utility of most biomarkers in hematological patients with FN has been evaluated in only a few small studies. Although some of them appear promising, much more data is needed before they can be implemented in the clinical evaluation of FN patients. Currently, close patient follow-up is key to detect complicated course of FN and the need for further interventions such as intensive care unit admission. Scoring systems such as q-SOFA (Quick Sequential Organ Failure Assessment) or NEWS (National Early Warning Sign) combined with traditional and/or novel biomarkers may provide added value in the clinical evaluation of FN patients.