Quasi-stationary Rossby Wave Research Articles

Zonal Wavenumber 3 Forces Extreme Precipitation in South America

Abstract The Southern Hemisphere climate and weather are affected by several modes of variability and climate phenomena across different time and spatial scales. An additional key component of the atmosphere dynamics that greatly influences weather is quasi-stationary Rossby waves, which attract particular interest as they are often associated with synoptic-scale extreme events. In the Southern Hemisphere extratropical circulation, the most prominent quasi-stationary Rossby wave pattern is the zonal wavenumber 3 (ZW3), which has been shown to have impacts on meridional heat and momentum transport in mid- to high latitudes and on the Antarctic sea ice extent. However, little is known about its impacts outside of polar regions. In this work, we use ERA5 reanalysis data on monthly time scales to explore the influence of phase and amplitude of ZW3 on temperature and precipitation across the Southern Hemisphere midlatitudes. Our results show a significant impact in various regions for all seasons. One of the most substantial effects is observed in precipitation over southeastern Brazil during austral summer, where different phases of the ZW3 force opposite anomalies. When using the ZW3 phase and amplitude as prior information, the probability of occurrence of precipitation extremes in this region increases up to three times. Additionally, we find that this ZW3 weather signature is largely independent of the zonally symmetric Southern Annular Mode (SAM); neither does it seem to be linked to El Niño–Southern Oscillation (ENSO) or Indian Ocean dipole (IOD) signal.

Rapid high-latitude cooling in the southeastern Pacific sector driven by North Atlantic warming during 1979–2013 in CESM1

During the 1979–2013 satellite observation period, the sea surface temperature (SST) has cooled substantially in the high-latitude Southern Ocean, with the most pronounced cooling tendency centered in the southeastern Pacific domain. Previous hypotheses have commonly ascribed the recent Southern Ocean cooling to either the tropical eastern Pacific cooling or North Atlantic and tropical Indian Ocean SST warming. However, the mechanisms underpinning significant cooling in the southeastern Pacific sector remain debatable. By diagnosing three pacemaker experiments with a state-of-the-art global climate model in which SSTs in the North Atlantic, tropical central-eastern Pacific, and tropical Indian Ocean-western Pacific are individually nudged to mimic the observed trajectory, we show that the North Atlantic dominates in the cold SST response of the southeastern Pacific sector during 1979–2013. Anomalous North Atlantic warming initiates a quasi-stationary Rossby wave response to a south-to-north cross-equatorial Hadley circulation strengthening, leading to an enhanced Amundsen Sea Low. As a result, due primarily to the increased low-level marine cloud cover, the net surface shortwave radiation reduction triggers rapid SST cooling in the southeastern Pacific domain. The southeastern Pacific cold SST anomalies are further maintained via the shortwave radiation-low-cloud-SST positive feedback on decadal timescales. Our results suggest that the shortwave radiation-low-cloud SST feedback is fundamental to the observed long-term cooling of the high-latitude Southern Ocean, with profound climate consequences worldwide.

Unraveling the Indian monsoon’s role in fueling the unprecedented 2022 Marine Heatwave in the Western North Pacific

An unprecedented marine heatwave (MHW) event occurred in the middle-high latitudes of the western North Pacific during the summer of 2022. We demonstrate that excessive precipitation thousands of kilometers away fuels this extreme MHW event in July 2022. In the upper atmosphere, a persistent atmospheric blocking system, forming over the MHW region, reduces cloud cover and increases shortwave radiation at the ocean surface, leading to high sea surface temperatures. Atmospheric perturbations induced by latent heat release from the extreme precipitation in the Indian summer monsoon region enhance this atmospheric blocking through the propagation of quasi-stationary Rossby waves. Our hypothesis is verified by using a numerical model that is forced with the observed atmospheric anomalous diabatic heating. This study sheds light on how a subtropical extreme event can fuel another extreme event at middle-high latitudes through an atmospheric teleconnection.

Regional Controls on Climate and Weather Variability on the Southwest Coast of Peru

Southwestern Peru has an arid climate typical of subtropical west coasts bordering cold ocean currents. Mountain runoff is barely able to sustain urban needs and motivates this research. Using high-resolution satellite reanalysis products, the meso-scale climate and weather variability are explored via point-to-field regression. A time series spanning 1970–2022 of Tacna area (18 S, 70.2 W, 570 m) rainfall, potential evaporation, wind, and weather parameters were evaluated for thermodynamic and kinematic features. Although sea breezes draw marine air inland, they simultaneously generate low-level divergence and subsidence aloft. Potential evaporation in early summer causes water deficits that are rarely offset by late summer runoff from the Andes Mountains. Winter (May–September) showers from passing cold fronts are more frequent during El Niño. Warming of the tropical east Pacific accelerates subtropical westerly winds that lift over the coastal plains. Quasi-stationary Rossby wave patterns amplify transient troughs at 70 W, but the winter showers rarely exceed 4 mm/day due to low-level stability from negative heat fluxes over cool seawater offshore. Two winter wet spells were studied using satellite and surface data (July 2002, July 2009). Light showers were prominent in elevations from 400 to 900 m. An early summer dry spell was considered (November 2020), wherein southeast winds, coastal upwelling, and low dewpoint temperatures coincided with La Niña conditions. A rain-gauge transect showed that summer convection stays east of the Andes escarpment and seldom benefits the coastal plains. Thus, water resources in Tacna are strained beyond the carrying capacity.

Local-scale circulation associated with enhanced poleward moisture transport for Meiyu-Baiu heavy rainfall over western Japan

Heavy rainfall events in western Japan during early July have become more frequent, yet the underlying mechanism behind this trend during the late stage of the Meiyu-Baiu rainy season remains unclear. Our long-term analysis of short-duration events revealed that a quasi-stationary Rossby wave train enhances the poleward transport of moisture from the western Pacific, contributing to the frequent occurrence of heavy rainfall events over western Japan. The local-scale circulation over the East China Sea plays a substantial role in producing this quasi-stationary Rossby wave train, which is closely linked to enhanced deep convection over the Kuroshio warm current, characterized by a distinct sea surface temperature (SST) front. The coarse resolution of both the model and SST data may hinder the ability of climate simulations to capture the local-scale circulation, underscoring the importance of quasi-stationary atmospheric circulation for a better understanding of heavy rainfall events through poleward moisture transport.

Midwinter breakdown of ENSO climate impacts in East Asia

The El Niño-Southern Oscillation (ENSO) influence on the East Asian winter monsoon (EAWM) exhibits remarkable non-stationarity on subseasonal timescales, severely limiting climate predictability. Here, based on observational and reanalysis datasets, we identify a robust subseasonal variability in the EAWM response to ENSO, with a notable synchronous break in mid-January lasting about 10 days. We suggest that this breakdown is largely caused by interference from the abrupt phase reversal of the ENSO-driven North Atlantic Oscillation (NAO), which occurs about a week earlier in early January. During El Niño years, the NAO phase transition from positive to negative triggers a rapid change in the mid-latitude atmospheric circulation via the quasi-stationary Rossby wave adjustment. This results in the strengthening of the Siberian high, which produces strong northerly wind anomalies over East Asia, while the anomalous western North Pacific anticyclone weakens and shrinks to the south, eventually leading to the collapse of the teleconnection.

Large-Amplitude Quasi-Stationary Rossby Wave Events in ERA5 and the CESM2: Features, Precursors, and Model Biases in Northern Hemisphere Winter

Abstract High-amplitude quasi-stationary Rossby waves (QSWs) have been connected to extreme weather events. By identifying particularly high-amplitude QSW events (QWEs) over Europe and North America, we study their characteristics in ERA5 data and in ensemble simulations from the CESM2 general circulation model. The CESM2 reproduces the overall statistics of QWEs, with ERA5 results within the ensemble spread. The ensemble spread is large, indicating a strong influence of internal variability. Composites of meridional wind anomalies for QWEs show a phase preference in both ERA5 and CESM2, resembling the climatological wave pattern. This is partly due to the definition of QSWs; with the day-of-year climatological meridional wind removed when identifying QSWs, the phase preference remains, albeit with a weaker signal. Significant tropical Pacific precipitation anomalies are seen 5–15 days before observed QWEs; the location of these anomalies is broadly reproduced in CESM2, but the magnitude is substantially underestimated and the time scale is biased. We find a narrowed and strengthened jet stream over the Pacific at the early stage of European QWEs, which may create enhanced waveguidability; this signal is generally reproduced in the models. Overall, the CESM2 can simulate QWEs; differences between the model ensemble mean and the reanalysis could result from model bias or internal variability, although biases are not reduced in CESM2 simulations forced with observed SSTs.

Dynamical Drivers of the Exceptional Warmth over Siberia during the Spring of 2020

Abstract Much of Siberia experienced exceptional warmth during the spring of 2020, which followed an unusually warm winter over the same region. Here, we investigate the drivers of the spring warmth from the perspective of atmospheric dynamics and remote influences, focusing on monthly-time-scale features of the event. We find that the warm anomalies were associated with separate quasi-stationary Rossby wave trains emanating from the North Atlantic in April and May. The wave trains are shown to be extreme manifestations of the dominant modes of spring subseasonal meridional wind variability over the Northern Hemisphere. Using a large ensemble of simulations from NASA’s GEOS atmospheric model, in which the model is constrained to remain close to observations over selected regions, we further elucidate the remote drivers of the unusual spring temperatures in Siberia. In both April and May, the wave trains were likely forced from an upstream region including eastern North America and the western North Atlantic. Analysis with a stationary wave model shows that transient vorticity flux forcing over and downwind of the North Atlantic, which is strongly related to storm activity caused by internal variability, is key to generating the wave trains, suggesting limited subseasonal predictability of the Rossby waves and hence the exceptional Siberian warmth. Our observational and model analyses also suggest that anomalous tropical atmospheric heating contributed to the unusual warmth in Siberia through a teleconnection involving upper-troposphere dynamics and the mean meridional circulation. This tropical–extratropical teleconnection offers a possible physical mechanism by which anthropogenic climate change influenced the extreme Siberian warmth.

Large-amplitude quasi-stationary Rossby wave events in ERA5 and the CESM2: features, precursors, and model biases in Northern Hemisphere winter

Abstract High amplitude quasi-stationary Rossby waves (QSWs) have been connected to extreme weather events. By identifying particularly high amplitude QSW events (QWEs) over Europe and North America we study their characteristics in ERA5 re-analysis data and in ensemble simulations from the CESM2 general circulation model. The CESM2 reproduces the overall statistics of QWEs, with ERA5 results within the ensemble spread. The ensemble spread is large, indicating a strong influence of internal variability. Composites of meridional wind anomalies for QWEs show a phase preference in both ERA5 and CESM2, resembling the climatological wave pattern. This is partly due to the definition of QSWs; with the day-of-year climatological meridional wind removed when identifying QSWs, the phase preference remains, albeit with a weaker signal. Significant tropical Pacific precipitation anomalies are seen 5-15 days before observed QWEs; the location of these anomalies is broadly reproduced in CESM2, but the magnitude is substantially underestimated and the time scale is biased. We find a narrowed and strengthened jet stream over the Pacific at the early stage of European QWEs, which may create enhanced waveguidability; this signal is generally reproduced in the models. Overall, the CESM2 can simulate QWEs; differences between the model ensemble mean and re-analysis could result from model bias or internal variability, although biases are not reduced in CESM2 simulations forced with observed SSTs.

The Role of the North Atlantic Blocking High during Large-Scale Heavy Rainfall Events over Central India

Abstract Large-scale extreme rainfall events (LEREs) over central India are produced by monsoon low pressure systems (LPSs) when assisted by a secondary cyclonic vortex (SCV). Both the LPS and the SCV are embedded in a monsoon trough and form mainly during the positive phase of the boreal summer intraseasonal oscillation. Here, we observe that tropical–extratropical interactions exist during LEREs. Using ray tracing, we show that extratropical Rossby waves propagate to the Indian subcontinent during the summer monsoon season. Stationary Rossby wave rays originating over the North Atlantic Ocean reach India following approximately a great circle path at midtropospheric levels. This pathway appears to play an important role in tropical–extratropical interactions during LEREs. Seventy-seven percent of LEREs are preceded by a North Atlantic blocking high and 90% by a quasi-stationary central Asian high. The Atlantic blocking high triggers a quasi-stationary Rossby wave response and strengthens the downstream central Asian high. In turn, the quasi-stationary central Asian high facilitates Rossby wave breaking, transporting high-PV streamers and cutoffs equatorward. The central Asian high is in close proximity to the monsoon trough in the mid- and lower troposphere. It interacts with the monsoon trough over the northwest Indian subcontinent. The equatorial monsoon trough is strengthened due to the supply of dynamic forcing and static instabilities from the extratropics. This additional forcing from the extratropics creates an environment that is conducive for LEREs.

Taylor expansion of the correlation metric for an individual forecast evaluation and its application to East Asian sub-seasonal forecasts

This study develops a skill evaluation metric for an individual forecast by applying a Taylor expansion to the commonly-used temporal correlation skill. In contrast to other individual forecast evaluation metrics, which depend on the amplitude of forecasted and observed anomalies, the so-called “association strength (AS) skill” is less affected by the anomaly amplitude and mainly depends on the degree of similarity between the forecasted and the observed values. Based on this newly developed index, the forecast skill is evaluated for an individual case, then, a group is categorized with respect to the AS skill. The cases with the highest AS skill exhibit the highest correlation skill than any group randomly selected, indicating that the AS skill is a powerful metric to evaluate the non-dimensionalized forecast skill. This strategy is adopted for the subseasonal East Asian summer precipitation forecasts produced by the UK Met Office’s ensemble Global Seasonal forecast system version 5 (GloSea5). In the group with the highest AS skill of the East Asian summer precipitation index (i.e., highest AS cases), the geopotential height anomalies showed quasi-stationary Rossby waves from the North Atlantic to East Asia. The spatial distribution of the dominant subseasonal anomalies for cases with the highest AS is distinct from the cases or groups with the lowest AS skill. Furthermore, the dominant pattern with the highest AS is not solely explained by any well-known typical subseasonal climate patterns, such as the Madden–Julian Oscillation, circumglobal teleconnection pattern, Pacific-Japan pattern, or the Summer North Atlantic Oscillation. This implies that the excitation of well-known climate patterns only partly contributes to increasing the mid-latitude climate predictability in the GloSea5.

Monthly variations of forcing mechanisms of austral summer precipitation in subtropical Argentina

Summer precipitation is a crucial variable for Subtropical Argentina (STAr) from a social and economic perspective. Monthly forcing mechanism variations of subregional summer precipitation over STAr are studied. Most subregional precipitation anomalies are related to a convection dipole between eastern STAr and the South Atlantic Convergence Zone (SACZ) region. In this sense, wet (dry) conditions in subregions of eastern STAr are associated with anomalous low-level anticyclonic (cyclonic) tropospheric circulation in southeastern Brazil. The anomalies are mainly associated with a teleconnection via Rossby wave train that propagate through the South Pacific, which is link to El Niño Southern Oscillation (ENSO) phenomena in December, to enhanced convection in the western tropical Pacific in January, and to conversion of mean flow kinetic energy in January and February. Also, the anomalous low-level anticyclonic tropospheric circulation in southeastern Brazil (wet conditions in eastern STAr) is related to anomalous Walker cell caused mainly by an active convection core in the western Pacific basin probably owing to the Madden-Julian Oscillation (MJO) phases 6 and 7. In addition, dry (wet) conditions in subregions of southwestern STAr in January and February are associated with an anomalous low-level tropospheric anticyclonic (cyclonic) circulation over Patagonia and the Argentinian Sea. The tropospheric anticyclonic circulation anomaly center in February appears to be generated by vorticity flux convergence owing to a quasi-stationary Rossby wave activity from the previous month (January) that generates positive geopotential height anomalies over Patagonia and surrounding areas.

Circulation and Soil Moisture Contributions to Heatwaves in the United States

Abstract Extreme heat events are a threat to human health, productivity, and food supply, so understanding their drivers is critical to adaptation and resilience. Anticyclonic circulation and certain quasi-stationary Rossby wave patterns are well known to coincide with heatwaves, and soil moisture deficits amplify extreme heat in some regions. However, the relative roles of these two factors in causing heatwaves is still unclear. Here we use constructed circulation analogs to estimate the contribution of atmospheric circulation to heatwaves in the United States in the Community Earth System Model version 1 (CESM1) preindustrial control simulations. After accounting for the component of the heatwaves explained by circulation, we explore the relationship between the residual temperature anomalies and soil moisture. We find that circulation explains over 85% of heatwave temperature anomalies in the eastern and western United States but only 75%–85% in the central United States. In this region, there is a significant negative correlation between soil moisture the week before the heatwave and the strength of the heatwave that explains additional variance. Further, for the hottest central U.S. heatwaves, positive temperature anomalies and negative soil moisture anomalies are evident over a month before heatwave onset. These results provide evidence that positive land–atmosphere feedbacks may be amplifying heatwaves in the central United States and demonstrate the geographic heterogeneity in the relative importance of the land and atmosphere for heatwave development. Analysis of future circulation and soil moisture in the CESM1 Large Ensemble indicates that, over parts of the United States, both may be trending toward greater heatwave likelihood.

Heat Extremes Driven by Amplification of Phase-Locked Circumglobal Waves Forced by Topography in an Idealized Atmospheric Model.

Heatwaves are persistent temperature extremes associated with devastating impacts on human societies and ecosystems. In the midlatitudes, amplified quasi-stationary Rossby waves have been identified as a key mechanism for heatwave occurrence. Amplified waves with preferred longitudinal locations lead to concurrent extremes in specific locations. It is therefore important to identify the essential components in the climate system that contribute to phase-locking of wave patterns. Here, we investigate the role of dry atmospheric dynamics and topography in causing concurrent heatwaves by using an idealized general circulation model. Topography is included in the model experiments as a Gaussian mountain. Our results show that amplified Rossby waves exhibit clear phase-locking behavior and a decrease in the zonal phase speed when a large-scale localized topographic forcing is imposed, leading to concurrent heat extremes at preferred locations.

Subseasonal Meteorological Drought Development over the Central United States during Spring

AbstractDiagnosis of rapidly developing springtime droughts in the central United States has mostly been made via numerous individual case studies rather than in an aggregate sense. This study investigates common aspects of subseasonal “meteorological drought” evolution, here defined as persistent precipitation minus evapotranspiration (P− ET) deficits, revealed in early (1 April–15 May) and late (16 May–30 June) spring composites of 5-day running mean JRA-55 reanalysis data for three different central U.S. regions during 1958–2018. On average, these droughts are initiated by a quasi-stationary Rossby wave packet (RWP), propagating from the western North Pacific, which arises about a week prior to drought onset. The RWP is related to a persistent ridge west of the incipient drought region and strong subsidence over it. This subsidence is associated with low-level divergent flow that dries the atmosphere and suppresses precipitation for roughly 1–2 weeks, and generally has a greater impact on the local moisture budget than does reduced poleward moisture transport. The resulting “dynamically driven” evaporative demand corresponds to a rapid drying of the root-zone soil moisture, which decreases around 40 percentiles within about 10 days. Anomalous near-surface warmth develops only after theP− ET deficit onset, as does anomalously low soil moisture that then lingers a month or more, especially in late spring. The horizontal scale of the RWPs, and of the related drought anomalies, decreases from early to late spring, consistent with the climatological change in the Pacific Rossby waveguide. Finally, while this composite analysis is based upon strong, persistentP− ET deficits, it still appears to capture much of the springtime development of “flash droughts” as well.

Wave trains of 10–30-day meridional wind variations over the North Pacific during summer

AbstractThe present study investigates the intraseasonal oscillations over the North Pacific during summer based on the ERA-Interim reanalysis dataset. It is shown that the main component of intraseasonal variations in meridional wind is dominated by 10–30-day variability. Zonally-oriented wave trains are identified over the North Pacific at this band, with a zonal wavenumber 6. The wave trains exhibit an equivalent-barotropic structure, with the maximum amplitude in the upper troposphere, and are manifested as quasi-stationary Rossby waves with the energy dispersing eastward. The wave trains do not show a phase-locking feature, that is, they have no preferred geographical locations in the zonal direction. Furthermore, energy analyses suggest that the intraseasonal waves gain energy through baroclinic energy conversion, while the barotropic energy conversion plays a negligible role. The present results have implications for better understanding and forecasting weather and climate in North America, since the intraseasonal waves over the North Pacific may act as precursory signals for extreme events occurring over North America.

The Atlantic Multidecadal Variability Phase Dependence of Teleconnection between the North Atlantic Oscillation in February and the Tibetan Plateau in March

AbstractThe Tibetan Plateau (TP), referred to as the “Asian water tower,” contains one of the largest land ice masses on Earth. The local glacier shrinkage and frozen-water storage are strongly affected by variations in surface air temperature over the TP (TPSAT), especially in springtime. This study reveals that the relationship between the February North Atlantic Oscillation (NAO) and March TPSAT is unstable with time and regulated by the phase of the Atlantic multidecadal variability (AMV). The significant out-of-phase connection occurs only during the warm phase of AMV (AMV+). The results show that during the AMV+, the negative phase of the NAO persists from February to March, and is accompanied by a quasi-stationary Rossby wave train trapped along a northward-shifted subtropical westerly jet stream across Eurasia, inducing an anomalous adiabatic descent that warms the TP. However, during the cold phase of the AMV, the negative NAO cannot persist into March. The Rossby wave train propagates along the well-separated polar and subtropical westerly jets, and the NAO–TPSAT connection is broken. Further investigation suggests that the enhanced synoptic eddy and low-frequency flow (SELF) interaction over the North Atlantic in February and March during the AMV+, caused by the southward-shifted storm track, helps maintain the NAO pattern via positive eddy feedback. This study provides a new detailed perspective on the decadal variability of the North Atlantic–TP connection in late winter to early spring.

A New Detection Scheme of Wave-Breaking Events with Blocking Flow Configurations

AbstractBlocking flow configurations, which tend to accompany strong circulation anomalies and therefore can cause extreme weather conditions, have recently been studied in relation to large-scale wave breaking (WB). Although WB events have been detected often from an instantaneous morphology perspective, the present study proposes a new approach for the detection from a wave-activity perspective in focusing on its accumulation, saturation, and release. This evolution of wave activity is theoretically equivalent to anomalous potential vorticity (PV) flux with its sign changing from negative to positive, which is utilized in this study to detect WB events that accompany high-amplitude height anomalies and blocking flow configurations. As in previous studies, a given WB event is classified into a high pressure type or low pressure type depending upon the sign of the primary PV anomaly center and further into an eastward or westward type depending upon the longitudinal movement of that center. The new method applied to the wintertime Northern Hemisphere shows that a WB event with a blocking anticyclone is likely to accompany an eastward-moving PV anomaly center, occurring mostly under anticyclonic westerly shear. By contrast, a WB event with a strong cyclonic anomaly mostly accompanies the eastward-moving PV anomaly center under cyclonic westerly shear. Composite analysis confirms the consistency between the sign-changing anomalous PV flux and convergence/divergence of wave-activity flux of quasi-stationary Rossby wave trains around the WB region.

Atmospheric Subseasonal Variability and Circulation Regimes: Spectra, Trends, and Uncertainties

AbstractThe globally integrated subseasonal variability associated with the two main atmospheric circulation regimes, the balanced (or Rossby) and unbalanced (or inertia–gravity) regimes, is evaluated for the four reanalysis datasets: ERA-Interim, JRA-55, MERRA, and ERA5. The results quantify amplitudes and trends in midlatitude traveling and quasi-stationary Rossby wave patterns as well as in the equatorial wave activity across scales. A statistically significant reduction of subseasonal variability is found in Rossby waves with zonal wavenumber k = 6 along with an increase in variability in wavenumbers k = 3–5 in the summer seasons of both hemispheres. The four reanalyses also agree regarding increased variability in the large-scale Kelvin waves, mixed Rossby–gravity waves, and westward-propagating inertio-gravity waves with the lowest meridional mode. The amplitude and sign of trends in inertia–gravity modes with smaller zonal scales and greater meridional modes differ between the ERA-Interim and JRA-55 datasets on the one hand and the ERA5 and MERRA data on the other. An increased variability in the ERA-Interim and JRA-55 accounts for positive trends in their total subseasonal variability.

Arctic sea-ice loss intensifies aerosol transport to the Tibetan Plateau

The Tibetan Plateau (TP) has recently been polluted by anthropogenic emissions transported from South Asia, but the mechanisms conducive to this aerosol delivery are poorly understood. Here we show that winter loss of Arctic sea ice over the subpolar North Atlantic boosts aerosol transport toward the TP in April, when the aerosol loading is at its climatological maximum and preceding the Indian summer monsoon onset. Low sea ice in February weakens the polar jet, causing decreased Ural snowpack via reduced transport of warm, moist oceanic air into the high-latitude Eurasian interior. This diminished snowpack persists through April, reinforcing the Ural pressure ridge and East Asian trough, segments of a quasi-stationary Rossby wave train extending across Eurasia. These conditions facilitate an enhanced subtropical westerly jet at the southern edge of the TP, invigorating upslope winds that combine with mesoscale updrafts to waft emissions over the Himalayas onto the TP.