Determining a suitable “dry sowing and wet emergence” water control program for cotton fields in the arid regions of Northwest China is of great significance in saving water resources, improving economic efficiency, and promoting sustainable development of agriculture. The objective of this study was to analyze the effects of different “dry sowing and wet emergence” water control treatments on dry matter accumulation, chlorophyll fluorescence, yield quality, and water productivity of cotton, and to determine the optimal “dry sowing and wet emergence” water control program for cotton growth in arid areas. A two-year experiment was carried out in 2021 and 2022 in mulched drip-irrigated cotton fields, with a total of 13 treatments of different seedling water quantities (2021: 67.5 mm, 90 mm, 112.5 mm; 2022: 6 mm, 10.5 mm, 15 mm) and different drip frequencies (frequencies means number of drops at seedling stage) (2021: one, two, three times; 2022: two times, four times) in the “dry sowing and wet emergence”. Results indicated a positive correlation between increased seedling water quantity and growth indexes. High seedling water quantity treatment demonstrated a 14.33% higher cotton yield than the low seedling water quantity treatment. In comparison with low-frequency treatment, the high-frequency treatment exhibited significantly larger cotton plant height, dry matter accumulation, and yield. Over two years, the average values increased by 8.69%, 16.4%, and 15.91%, respectively, with a 14.55% increase in the coefficient of photochemical quenching of the leaf blade (qP). The high frequency and larger amount of seedling water quantity treatments showed significantly higher irrigation water productivity, with increases of 39.2% and 70.2% compared to the winter irrigation control treatment. In summary, the appropriate “dry sowing wet emergence” water regulation mode (the first drip: 15 mm, the second drip: 4.5 mm, the third drip: 22.5 mm, the fourth drip: 15 mm) can ensure crop yield quality under the premise of significantly reducing the agricultural irrigation water, which can provide certain theoretical support for the green, efficient, and sustainable development of the local cotton industry.
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