This paper investigates the effectiveness of Green and Blue Infrastructure (GBI) in managing non-point source pollution in the 120 km2 catchment of the Vargem das Flores reservoir, which supplies water to 600,000 inhabitants in the Belo Horizonte metropolitan area, Brazil's third-largest metropolis. A calibrated water quality model within the Storm Water Management Model (SWMM) was used to simulate total suspended solids (TSS) and nutrients loads under different future land use scenarios. The first scenario reflects maximum urban development according to current legislation. An alternative scenario was proposed considering the protection of forest remnants and the adoption of the most cost-effective GBI techniques in newly developed areas. Results indicated a substantial contribution of diffuse pollution to the reservoir's water quality degradation, mainly due to TSS loads transported from the most urbanized subcatchments. The application of bioretention cells to treat 12.6 km2 new impervious areas effectively mitigated diffuse pollution, removing 52.1% of TSS, 19.5% of total phosphorus (TP), and 17.1% of chemical oxygen demand (COD) loads flowing into the reservoir. The GBI implementation would maintain pollutant loads similar to current levels despite the increased urbanization.
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