Quality In Prognostic Studies Research Articles

Serum Inflammatory Markers Used in Cardiovascular Disease Risk Prediction Models: A Systematic Review.

The aim of this review was to perform a critical appraisal of serum inflammatory biomarkers used for the prediction of cardiovascular disease (CVD) risk. We conducted a systematic review of studies listed on MEDLINE and Scopus from January 2000 to December 2023, focused on the prognostic value of serum inflammatory biomarkers [i.e., C-reactive protein (CRP), interleukin-6 (IL-6), and tumor necrosis factor-α (TNF-α)] in individuals without known CVD. Eligible studies used a multivariate prediction model and included discrimination or risk reclassification analysis. The Quality in Prognostic Studies (QUIPS) tool was used to evaluate study quality and potential bias. Thirty-five studies (i.e., total 208,897 participants) that evaluated the added prognostic value of CRP, IL-6, TNF-α on CVD risk prediction were retrieved. Significant improvements in CVD risk model's predictive ability were observed in 7 out of 32 studies relating CRP and 1 out of 8 studies relating IL-6 with CVD risk. The single study found no added prognostic value of TNF-α use in CVD risk model. The integration of serum inflammatory biomarkers into CVD risk prediction models does not appear to improve risk discrimination models, suggesting that these biomarkers may act as surrogate markers, but not as predictors of atherosclerotic CVD.

Prognostic value of tertiary lymphoid structures (TLS) in digestive system cancers: a systematic review and meta-analysis

BackgroundExisting literature suggests that tertiary lymphatic structure (TLS) is associated with the progression of cancer. However, the prognostic role of TLS in digestive system cancers remains controversial. This meta-analysis aims to synthesize currently available evidence in the association between TLS and the survival of digestive system cancers.MethodsWe systematically searched three digital databases (PubMed, Embase, Web of Science) for articles published from database inception to December 23, 2022. Study selection criteria are based on PECO framework: P (population: patients with digestive system cancers), E (exposure: presence of TLS), C (comparator: absence of TLS), O (outcome: overall survival, OS; recurrence-free survival, RFS; disease-free survival, DFS). The Quality in Prognostic Studies (QUIPS) tool was used to assess risk of bias for included studies. The study protocol was registered with PROSPERO (CRD42023416307).ResultsA total of 25 studies with 6910 patients were included into the final meta-analysis. Random-effects models revealed that the absence of TLS was associated with compromised OS, RFS, and DFS of digestive system cancers, with pooled hazard ratios (HRs) of 1.74 (95% CI: 1.50–2.03), 1.96 (95% CI: 1.58–2.44), and 1.81 (95% CI: 1.49–2.19), respectively. Subgroup analyses disclosed a stronger TLS-survival association for pancreatic cancer, compared with other digestive system cancers.ConclusionTLS may be of prognostic significance for digestive system cancers. More original studies are needed to further corroborate this finding.

Physical measures of physical functioning as prognostic factors to predict outcomes in low back pain: Protocol for a systematic review

Background Low back pain (LBP) is a highly prevalent condition that substantially impairs individuals’ physical functioning. This highlights the need for effective management strategies to improve patient outcomes. It is, therefore, crucial to have knowledge of physical functioning prognostic factors that can predict outcomes to facilitate the development of targeted treatment plans aiming to achieve better patient outcomes. There is no synthesis of evidence for physical functioning measures as prognostic factors in the LBP population. The objective of this systematic review is to synthesize evidence for physical measures of physical functioning as prognostic factors to predict outcomes in LBP. Methods The protocol is registered in the International Prospective Register of Systematic Reviews and reported in line with the Preferred Reporting Items for Systematic Review and Meta-Analysis Protocols (PRISMA-P). Prospective longitudinal observational studies investigating potential physical prognostic factors in LBP and/or low back-related leg pain population will be included, with no restriction on outcome. Searches will be performed in MEDLINE, EMBASE, Scopus, CINAHL databases, grey literature search using Open Grey System and ProQuest Dissertations and Theses, hand-searching journals, and reference lists of included studies. Two independent reviewers will evaluate the eligibility of studies, extract data, assess risk of bias and quality of evidence. Risk of bias will be assessed using the Quality in Prognostic Studies (QUIPS) tool. Adequacy of clinical, methodological, and statistical homogeneity among included studies will decide quantitative (meta-analysis) or qualitative analysis (narrative synthesis) focused on prognostic factors and strength of association with outcomes. Quality of cumulative evidence will be evaluated using a modified Grading of Recommendations Assessment, Development, and Evaluation (GRADE). Discussion Information about prognostic factors can be used to predict outcomes in LBP. Accurate outcome prediction is essential for identifying high-risk patients that allows targeted allocation of healthcare resources, ultimately reducing the healthcare burden. Registration PROSPERO, CRD42023406796.

Inherited Thrombophilia Gene Mutations and Risk of Venous Thromboembolism in Cancer: A Systematic Review and Meta-Analysis

Inherited thrombophilia and cancer are both recognized risk factors for venous thromboembolism (VTE). In the general population, the risk of thrombosis is increased in patients with inherited thrombophilia, but the role of inherited thrombophilia on the risk of cancer-associated VTE remains controversial. The objective of this study was to summarize and determine whether cancer patients with inherited thrombophilia gene mutations have an increased risk of developing VTE. We conducted a systematic literature search in Medline, EMBASE and Cochrane Central databases, as well as references of included studies from inception until September 26 th 2022. We included observational (cohort or case-control) and interventional studies comprising of human adult cancer patients who were tested for any inherited thrombophilia gene mutation. The outcome was objectively confirmed symptomatic or asymptomatic first VTE (upper or lower limbs deep vein thrombosis, pulmonary embolism, and/or splanchnic or cerebral vein thrombosis) occurring after a cancer diagnosis. Two reviewers independently screened the titles/abstracts and full texts of all potentially eligible articles. Pooled odds ratios (OR) and 95% confidence intervals (95% CI) were estimated using Mantel-Haenszel random-effects models. We used the Quality in Prognostic Studies (QUIPS) risk of bias tool to assess study risk of bias. A total of 4274 studies were screened for eligibility. Thirty-six studies involving different cancer types and treatments were included in the systematic review, of which 28 studies were included in the meta-analysis (Figure 1). Among studies included in the meta-analysis, 9 studies included various cancer types while the remaining 19 studies were in selected cancer types (3 lung, 3 myeloma, 2 brain, 2 bladder, 2 breast, 2 gynecologic, 1 testicular, 1 lung or gastrointestinal, 1 pancreas, 1 colorectal and 1 breast or gastrointestinal). There were 18 cohort (11 prospective and 7 retrospective) and 10 case-control studies. The following seven inherited thrombophilia gene mutations were meta-analyzed: ABO blood type, Factor V Leiden (FVL), Methylenetrahydrofolate Reductase (MTHFR) C677T, Plasminogen-Activator Inhibitor-1 (PAI-1) 4G/5G, Prothrombin Factor II G20210A, Vascular Endothelial Growth Factor (VEGF) C634G and VEGF C2578A. In cancer patients with non-O blood types, FVL and Prothrombin Factor II G20210A mutations, the risk of VTE was significantly increased with ORs of 1.56 (95% CI: 1.28-1.90), 2.28 (95% CI: 1.51-3.48) and 2.14 (95% CI: 1.14-4.03), respectively, compared to patients with O blood and wild types (Table 1). In addition, heterozygous and homozygous MTHFR C677T were associated with ORs of 1.50 (95% CI: 1.00-2.24) and 1.38 (95% CI: 0.87-2.22), respectively (Table 1). Among those with heterozygous and homozygous PAI-1 4G/5G, VEGF C634G and VEGF C2578A, no significant increase in the odds of VTE and moderate to considerable heterogeneity were observed (Table 1). Few studies had low risk of bias, except for studies of ABO blood group, which predominantly had low risk of bias. In conclusion, this meta-analysis provides evidence that non-O blood type, FVL, Prothrombin Factor II G20210A and heterozygous MTHFR C677T significantly increase the risk of VTE in cancer patients. However, there is moderate to high risk of bias in the currently available data, further well-designed studies are needed.

Blood Biomarkers and Risk of Venous Thromboembolism in Cancer Patients: A Systematic Review and Meta-Analysis

Patients with cancer have an increased risk of venous thromboembolism (VTE). Currently, several VTE risk prediction tools have been developed to identify candidates for primary VTE thromboprophylaxis. However, the availability of reliable and highly discriminatory prediction models for VTE risk assessment in cancer patients is limited, warranting further improvement of VTE risk stratification strategies. The implementation of biomarkers in risk assessment models might lead to refined VTE risk prediction, but it remains to be more comprehensively investigated. In this systematic review and meta-analysis, we aimed to evaluate and summarize all candidate biomarkers and their association with cancer-associated VTE. We conducted an electronic search in Medline, EMBASE and Cochrane central databases for studies that evaluated biomarkers in adult patients with cancer from inception to September 26 th 2022. We included observational and interventional studies reporting on subsequent VTE occurring after a cancer diagnosis. The baseline or index event of the biomarker measurements had to be definitively and uniformly applied to all enrolled patients. Two reviewers independently screened titles, abstracts and full-text articles for inclusion. Median differences (for continuous measures) and Odds Ratios (OR) (for dichotomous cut-off measures) with 95% confidence intervals (95% CI) were estimated and pooled using random-effects models. We assessed each studies risk of bias using the Quality in Prognostic Studies (QUIPS) risk of bias tool. Our search identified 4274 studies that were screened for inclusion (Figure 1). Following the screening, 109 studies (with 520 biomarker measurements) met the inclusion criteria and were included in the systematic review. Of these, 51 studies (with 174 biomarker measurements) were included in the meta-analysis. The majority of the studies were cohort studies (n=47; 32 prospective and 15 retrospective), while the other 4 studies were nested case-control studies. Eighteen studies had a study population of mixed cancer types and the remaining studies had a study population of specific cancer types, including: lung (n=6), gynecologic (n=5), breast (n=3), stomach (n=3), lymphoma (n=2), myeloma (n=2), ovarian (n=2), pancreas (n=2), brain (n=1), colorectal (n=1), gastrointestinal (n=1), genitourinary (n=1), gynecologic or breast (n=1), head and neck (n=1), liver (n=1), and prostate (n=1). We calculated the median difference and 95% CI for 23 different biomarkers. Cancer patients who experienced subsequent VTE events had significantly higher pre-treatment factor VIII activity, peak thrombin, platelet count and prothrombin fragment F1+2 levels compared to patients who did not experience VTE events (Table 1). Pre-treatment d-dimer levels were also higher in cancer patients who developed VTE, however, considerable heterogeneity was observed (Table 1). Contrastingly, pre-treatment hemoglobin, lag time - thrombin generation, prothrombin time and time to peak thrombin levels were significantly lower in those experiencing VTE events compared to patients who did not experience any events (Table 1). D-dimer levels on day-1 after cancer surgery were reported in two studies which, when pooled, revealed that cancer patients with subsequent VTE had higher d-dimer levels post-operatively compared to those with no events (Table 1). Moreover, pre-treatment hemoglobin levels 100 g/L was significantly associated with future VTE risk [OR: 1.42 (95%CI: 1.03-1.97), I 2=0%, n=11] while neutrophil lymphocyte ratio 3 was associated, yet insignificant [OR: 1.60 (95%CI: 0.99-2.60), I 2=43%, n=4]. Pre-treatment platelet count 350 x 10 9/L and white blood count levels 11 x 10 9/L were not significantly associated with future VTE risk [OR: 0.84 (95%CI: 0.66-1.06), I 2=0%, n=9 and 1.32 (0.86-2.03), I 2=56%, n=8, respectively]. From the 51 studies included in the meta-analyses, 27 studies had a low risk of bias, 19 studies had a moderate risk of bias and 5 studies had a high risk of bias. In conclusion, nine blood biomarkers were found to be significantly associated with VTE in cancer patients. Their utility as predictors of VTE in thrombotic risk assessment models may help in optimising VTE prediction and should be further explored in future studies.

Associations between basic physiological observations recorded pre-thrombectomy and functional outcome: a systematic review and meta-analysis

IntroductionMechanical thrombectomy results in more favourable functional outcomes for patients with acute large vessel occlusion (LVO) stroke. Key clinical determinants of thrombectomy outcome include symptom severity, age and time from onset to treatment, but associations have also been reported with baseline physiological observations including systolic/diastolic blood pressure (SBP/DBP), blood/serum glucose, atrial fibrillation and conscious level. As these items are routinely available during initial emergency assessment, they might help to inform early prehospital and hospital triage decisions if evidence consistently shows associations with post-thrombectomy outcome. We undertook a meta-analysis of studies reporting pre-thrombectomy physiological observations and functional outcome.MethodPRISMA guidelines were followed to search electronic bibliographies, select articles and extract data. Medline, PubMed, Cochrane HTA, Cochrane Central and Embase were searched. Included articles were observational or interventional thrombectomy studies published between 01/08/2004-19/04/2023 reporting 3-month modified Rankin Scale, split as favourable (0–2) and unfavourable (3–6). A modified version of the Quality in Prognostic Studies (QUIPS) tool was used to assess risk of bias. RevMan 5 was used to calculate Inverse Variance with Weighted Mean Differences (WMD) and Mantel-Haenszel Odds Ratios (OR) for continuous and categorical factors respectively.ResultsThirty seven studies were eligible from 8,687 records. Significant associations were found between unfavourable outcome and higher blood/serum glucose as a continuous (WMD = 1.34 mmol/l (95%CI 0.97 to 1.72); 19 studies; n = 3122) and categorical (OR = 2.44 (95%CI 1.9 to 3.14) variable; 6 studies; n = 5481), higher SBP (WMD = 2.98 mmHg (95%CI 0.86 to 5.11); 16 studies; n = 4,400), atrial fibrillation (OR = 1.48 (95%CI 1.08 to 2.03); 3 studies; n = 736), and lower Glasgow Coma Scale (WMD = −2.72 (95%CI −4.01 to −1.44); 2 studies; n = 99). No association was found with DBP (WMD = 0.36 mmHg (95%CI −0.76 to 1.49); 13 studies; n = 3,614).ConclusionBasic physiological observations might assist early triage decisions for thrombectomy and could be used in combination with other information to avoid futile treatment and ambulance transfers. It is important to acknowledge that data were only from thrombectomy treated patients in hospital settings and it cannot be assumed that the predictors identified are independent or that modification can change outcome. Further work is needed to establish the optimal combination of prognostic factors for clinical care decisions.

Intrinsic variables associated with low back pain and lumbar spine injury in fast bowlers in cricket: a systematic review

BackgroundLumbar spine injuries in fast bowlers account for the greatest missed playing time in cricket. A range of extrinsic and intrinsic variables are hypothesised to be associated with low back pain and lumbar spine injury in fast bowlers, and an improved understanding of intrinsic variables is necessary as these may alter load tolerance and injury risk associated with fast bowling. This review critically evaluated studies reporting intrinsic variables associated with low back pain and lumbar spine injury in fast bowlers and identified areas for future investigation.MethodsOVID Medline, EMBASE, SPORTDiscus, CINAHL, Web of Science and SCOPUS databases were last searched on 3 June 2022 to identify studies investigating intrinsic variables associated with low back pain and lumbar spine injury in cricket fast bowlers. Terms relevant to cricket fast bowling, and intrinsic variables associated with lumbar spine injury and low back pain in fast bowlers were searched. 1,503 abstracts were screened, and 118 full‐text articles were appraised to determine whether they met inclusion criteria. Two authors independently screened search results and assessed risk of bias using a modified version of the Quality in Prognostic Studies tool.ResultsTwenty-five studies met the inclusion criteria. Overall, no included studies demonstrated a low risk of bias, two studies were identified as moderate risk, and twenty-three studies were identified as high risk. Conflicting results were reported amongst studies investigating associations of fast bowling kinematics and kinetics, trunk and lumbar anatomical features, anthropometric traits, age, and neuromuscular characteristics with low back pain and lumbar spine injury.ConclusionInconsistencies in results may be related to differences in study design, injury definitions, participant characteristics, measurement parameters, and statistical analyses. Low back pain and lumbar spine injury occurrence in fast bowlers remain high, and this may be due to an absence of low bias studies that have informed recommendations for their prevention. Future research should employ clearly defined injury outcomes, analyse continuous datasets, utilise models that better represent lumbar kinematics and kinetics during fast bowling, and better quantify previous injury, lumbar anatomical features and lumbar maturation.Trial registrationOpen Science Framework https://doi.org/10.17605/OSF.IO/ERKZ2.

How to spot the recurring lumbar disc? Risk factors for recurrent lumbar disc herniation (rLDH) in adult patients with lumbar disc prolapse: a systematic review and meta-analysis.

Despite a fast-growing evidence-base examining the relationship of certain clinical and radiological factors such as smoking, BMI and herniation-type with rLDH, there remains much debate around which factors are clinically important. We conducted a systematic review and meta-analysis to identify risk factors for recurrent lumbar disc herniation (rLDH) in adults after primary discectomy. A systematic literature search was carried out using Ovid-Medline, EMBASE, Cochrane library and Web of Science databases from inception to 23rd June-2022. Observational studies of adult patients with radiologically-confirmed rLDH after ≥3 months of the initial surgery were included, and their quality assessed using the Quality-In-Prognostic-Studies (QUIPS) appraisal tool. Meta-analyses of univariate and multivariate data and a sensitivity-analysis for rLDH post-microdiscectomy were performed. Twelve studies (n=4497, mean age:47.3; 34.5% female) were included, and 11 studies (n=4235) meta-analysed. The mean follow-up was 38.4 months. Mean recurrence rate was 13.1% and mean time-to-recurrence was 24.1 months (range: 6-90 months). Clinically, older age (OR:1.04, 95%CI:1.00-1.08, n=1014), diabetes mellitus (OR:3.82, 95%CI:1.58-9.26, n=2330) and smoking (OR:1.80, 95%CI:1.03- 3.14, n=3425) increased likelihood of recurrence. Radiologically, Modic-change type-2 (OR:7.93, 95%CI:5.70-11.05, n=1706) and disc extrusion (OR:12.23, 95%CI:8.60-17.38, n=1706) increased likelihood of recurrence. The evidence did not support an association between rLDH and sex; BMI; occupational labour/driving; alcohol-consumption; Pfirmann- grade, or herniation-level. Older patients, smokers, patients with diabetes, those with type-2 Modic-changes or disc extrusion are more likely to experience rLDH. Higher quality studies with robust adjustment of confounders are required to determine the clinical bearing of all other potential risk factors for rLDH.

Prognostic factors associated with failure of total elbow replacement: a protocol for a systematic review

IntroductionTotal elbow replacement (TER) has higher failure rates requiring revision surgery compared with the replacement of other joints. Understanding the factors associated with failure is essential for informed decision-making between...

Prognosis difference between HER2-low and HER2-zero breast cancer patients: a systematic review and meta-analysis.

HER2-low breast cancer (BC) is proposed to be a special population of patients with an immunohistochemistry (IHC) score of 1 + or 2 + and non-amplified in situ hybridization (ISH) results. The role and prognostic impact of HER2-low BC is still controversial. This meta-analysis aims to explore the prognostic difference between of HER2-low and HER2-zero characteristic in BC patients. A meta-analysis was conducted using the Preferred Reporting Items for Systematic Reviews and Meta-Analyses (PRISMA) guidelines and eligible studies were search in PubMed, Web of Science and EMBASE databases. Quality assessment of included studies were performed by Quality in Prognostic Studies (QUIPS) tool. Hazard ratios (HRs) and corresponding 95% confidence interval (CI) for overall survival (OS) and disease-free survival (DFS) were pooled in a meta-analysis. Furthermore, subgroup analysis, sensitivity analysis, and analysis for publication bias were conducted. Eighteen studies comprising a total of 93,317 patients were included for meta-analysis. BC patients with HER2-low characteristic have longer OS (HRs 0.87, 95% CI 0.81-0.93, p < 0.0001) and DFS (HRs 0.82, 95% CI 0.73-0.93, p = 0.001) compared to those with HER2-zero characteristic. Subgroup analysis indicate that the source of heterogeneity may come from the hormone receptor (HR) status group. Although, the publication bias was detected, sensitivity analysis and the trim-and-fill method analysis demonstrated the stability and reliability of the results. HER2-low BC patients have longer OS and DFS compared to HER2-zero BC patients, and its prognostic value is consistent among different HR status patients. Whether HER2-low breast cancer is an independent subtype of breast cancer is still a subject of ongoing research, and more studies are needed to fully understand the molecular and clinical features of this subtype.

Dead-Space Ventilation Indices and Mortality in Acute Respiratory Distress Syndrome: A Systematic Review and Meta-Analysis.

Acute respiratory distress syndrome (ARDS) is associated with high ventilation-perfusion heterogeneity and dead-space ventilation. However, whether the degree of dead-space ventilation is associated with outcomes is uncertain. In this systematic review and meta-analysis, we evaluated the ability of dead-space ventilation measures to predict mortality in patients with ARDS. MEDLINE, CENTRAL, and Google Scholar from inception to November 2022. Studies including adults with ARDS reporting a dead-space ventilation index and mortality. Two reviewers independently identified eligible studies and extracted data. We calculated pooled effect estimates using a random effects model for both adjusted and unadjusted results. The quality and strength of evidence were assessed using the Quality in Prognostic Studies and Grading of Recommendations, Assessment, Development, and Evaluation, respectively. We included 28 studies in our review, 21 of which were included in our meta-analysis. All studies had a low risk of bias. A high pulmonary dead-space fraction was associated with increased mortality (odds ratio [OR], 3.52; 95% CI, 2.22-5.58; p < 0.001; I2 = 84%). After adjusting for other confounding variables, every 0.05 increase in pulmonary-dead space fraction was associated with an increased odds of death (OR, 1.23; 95% CI, 1.13-1.34; p < 0.001; I2 = 57%). A high ventilatory ratio was also associated with increased mortality (OR, 1.55; 95% CI, 1.33-1.80; p < 0.001; I2 = 48%). This association was independent of common confounding variables (OR, 1.33; 95% CI, 1.12-1.58; p = 0.001; I2 = 66%). Dead-space ventilation indices were independently associated with mortality in adults with ARDS. These indices could be incorporated into clinical trials and used to identify patients who could benefit from early institution of adjunctive therapies. The cut-offs identified in this study should be prospectively validated.

Prognostic role of early prostate specific antigen changes after [177 Lu]Lu-PSMA radioligand therapy of metastasized prostate cancer: A meta-analysis.

Approximately 10%-20% of prostate cancers progress to metastatic and castration-resistant forms (mCRPC). Radioligand (RLT) therapy with [177 Lu]Lu-prostate-specific membrane antigen (PSMA) is an emerging treatment for metastasized mCRPC and its efficacy is assessed not only but also by prostate specific antigen (PSA) measurement after 12 weeks or more after treatment. Our aim was to evaluate the role of early PSA measurement after RLT in predicting overall survival (OS) of mCRPC patients. A systematic search on PubMed, Web Of Science and Scopus was performed from January to December 2022. PRISMA guidelines for prognostic studies was adopted. Risk of bias was assessed using quality of prognostic studies (QUIPS). Twelve studies at low-intermediate risk of bias, were included in the meta-analysis (1646 patients, mean age 70 years). About 50% of patients showed a PSA decline after 1-2 of [177 Lu]Lu-PSMA, and more than 30% reported a PSA decline ≥50%. The median OS range for patients with any PSA decline was 13-20 months, while for patients with stable or increased PSA, the median OS fell to 6-12 months. The OS rate for a PSA decline after the one-two [177 Lu]Lu-PSMA cycles was 0.39 (95% CI: 0.31-0.50), while OS for a PSA decline ≥50% was 0.69 (95% CI: 0.57-0.83). A PSA decline is observed in almost 50% of mCRPC patients after 1-2 [177 Lu]Lu-PSMA cycles, with a significantly longer OS compared to stable or increased PSA levels, respectively. Accordingly, any PSA decline after 1-2 cycles of therapy should be regarded as a favourable prognostic factor for OS.

Prognostic factors of adherence to home-based exercise therapy in patients with chronic diseases: A systematic review and meta-analysis.

Patients with a chronic disease may have an increased risk of non-adherence to prescribed home-based exercise therapy. We performed a systematic review with the aim to identify variables associated with adherence to home-based exercise therapy in patients with chronic diseases and to grade the quality of evidence for the association between these prognostic factors and adherence. Cohort studies, cross-sectional studies and the experimental arm of randomized trials were identified using a search strategy applied to PubMed, Embase, PsychINFO and CINAHL from inception until August 1, 2022. We included studies with participants ≥18 years with a chronic disease as an indication for home-based exercise therapy and providing data on prognostic factors of adherence to home-based exercise. To structure the data, we categorized the identified prognostic factors into the five WHO-domains; (1) Patient-related, (2) Social/economic, (3) Therapy-related, (4) Condition-related, and (5) Health system factors. Risk of bias was assessed using the Quality in Prognostic Studies (QUIPS) tool. Prognostic factors of adherence were identified and the quality of the evidence between the prognostic factors and adherence were graded using the Grading of Recommendations Assessment, Development, and Evaluation (GRADE) framework for predictor studies. We performed a meta-analysis of the obtained information. A total of 57 studies were included. Within patient-related factors moderate- and high-quality evidence suggested that more self-efficacy, exercise history, motivation and perceived behavioral control predicted higher adherence. Within social-economic factors moderate-quality evidence suggested more education and physical health to be predictive of higher adherence and within condition-related factors moderate- and low-quality evidence suggested that less comorbidities, depression and fatigue predicted higher adherence. For the domains therapy-related and health-system factors there was not enough information to determine the quality evidence of the prognostic factors. These findings might aid the development of future home-based exercise programs as well as the identification of individuals who may require extra support to benefit from prescribed home-based exercise therapy. https://www.crd.york.ac.uk/prospero/display_record.php?RecordID=277003, identifier PROSPERO CRD42021277003.

Risk factors for length of NICU stay of newborns: A systematic review.

The improvement in survival of preterm infants is accompanied by an increase in neonatal intensive care unit (NICU) admissions. Prolonged length of stay in the NICU (LOS-NICU) increases the incidence of neonatal complications and even mortality and places a significant economic burden on families and strain on healthcare systems. This review aims to identify risk factors influencing LOS-NICU of newborns and to provide a basis for interventions to shorten LOS-NICU and avoid prolonged LOS-NICU. A systematic literature search was conducted in PubMed, Web of Science, Embase, and Cochrane library for studies that were published in English from January 1994 to October 2022. The PRISMA guidelines were followed in all phases of this systematic review. The Quality in Prognostic Studies (QUIPS) tool was used to assess methodological quality. Twenty-three studies were included, 5 of which were of high quality and 18 of moderate quality, with no low-quality literature. The studies reported 58 possible risk factors in six broad categories (inherent factors; antenatal treatment and maternal factors; diseases and adverse conditions of the newborn; treatment of the newborn; clinical scores and laboratory indicators; organizational factors). We identified several of the most critical risk factors affecting LOS-NICU, including birth weight, gestational age, sepsis, necrotizing enterocolitis, bronchopulmonary dysplasia, and retinopathy of prematurity. As only a few high-quality studies are available at present, well-designed and more extensive prospective studies investigating the risk factors affecting LOS-NICU are still needed in the future.

Prognostic Value of Cardiac MRI and FDG PET in Cardiac Sarcoidosis: A Systematic Review and Meta-Analysis.

Background There is no consensus regarding the relative prognostic value of cardiac MRI and fluorodeoxyglucose (FDG) PET in cardiac sarcoidosis. Purpose To perform a systematic review and meta-analysis of the prognostic value of cardiac MRI and FDG PET for major adverse cardiac events (MACE) in cardiac sarcoidosis. Materials and Methods In this systematic review, MEDLINE, Ovid Epub, CENTRAL, Embase, Emcare, and Scopus were searched from inception until January 2022. Studies that evaluated the prognostic value of cardiac MRI or FDG PET in adults with cardiac sarcoidosis were included. The primary outcome of MACE was assessed as a composite including death, ventricular arrhythmia, and heart failure hospitalization. Summary metrics were obtained using random-effects meta-analysis. Meta-regression was used to assess covariates. Risk of bias was assessed using the Quality in Prognostic Studies, or QUIPS, tool. Results Thirty-seven studies were included (3489 patients with mean follow-up of 3.1 years ± 1.5 [SD]); 29 studies evaluated MRI (2931 patients) and 17 evaluated FDG PET (1243 patients). Five studies directly compared MRI and PET in the same patients (276 patients). Left ventricular late gadolinium enhancement (LGE) at MRI and FDG uptake at PET were both predictive of MACE (odds ratio [OR], 8.0 [95% CI: 4.3, 15.0] [P < .001] and 2.1 [95% CI: 1.4, 3.2] [P < .001], respectively). At meta-regression, results varied by modality (P = .006). LGE (OR, 10.4 [95% CI: 3.5, 30.5]; P < .001) was also predictive of MACE when restricted to studies with direct comparison, whereas FDG uptake (OR, 1.9 [95% CI: 0.82, 4.4]; P = .13) was not. Right ventricular LGE and FDG uptake were also associated with MACE (OR, 13.1 [95% CI: 5.2, 33] [P < .001] and 4.1 [95% CI: 1.9, 8.9] [P < .001], respectively). Thirty-two studies were at risk for bias. Conclusion Left and right ventricular late gadolinium enhancement at cardiac MRI and fluorodeoxyglucose uptake at PET were predictive of major adverse cardiac events in cardiac sarcoidosis. Limitations include few studies with direct comparison and risk of bias. Systematic review registration no. CRD42021214776 (PROSPERO) © RSNA, 2023 Supplemental material is available for this article.

Prognosis of adults and children following a first unprovoked seizure.

Prognosis of adults and children following a first unprovoked seizure.

OGC P22 The Use of miRNAs in Predicting Response to Neoadjuvant Therapy in Oesophageal Cancer

Abstract Background Oesophageal cancer (OC) is the ninth most common cancer worldwide. Patients receive neoadjuvant therapy (NAT) as standard of care, but less than 20% of patients with oesophageal adenocarcinoma (OAC) or a third of oesophageal squamous cell carcinoma (OSCC) patients, obtain a clinically meaningful response. Being able to predict which patients will respond to chemotherapy and chemoradiotherapy before they receive this treatment will prevent patients undergoing unnecessary procedures that may reduce their quality of life and help source alternative treatment options faster. This will allow rational treatment decisions to be made, thus improving patient outcome and quality of life. Epigenetic mechanisms involving microRNAs that regulate gene expression during cancer have been implicated as a viable non-invasive potential solution to improving the accuracy of patient allocation to treatment. The expression levels of microRNAs within the body can change throughout the course of neoadjuvant therapy. In this study, we aim to determine the use and accuracy of microRNAs as biomarkers of response to NAT in patients with OAC or OSCC. Methods A systematic review was conducted. Using the PICO framework focused research questions and inclusion and exclusion criteria were developed. Online databases MEDLINE, EMBASE, Web of Science and the Cochrane library were searched to identify studies conducted from January 1st 1990 onward. The included studies investigated the expression of microRNAs taken before treatments to predict response to neoadjuvant therapy in patients with OAC and OSCC. Studies analysing OAC, OSCC or both together were considered separately. Quality and risk of bias was assessed using the Quality in Prognostic Studies (QUIPS) assessment tool. Results 11,656 articles were identified, out of which 63 articles met the inclusion criteria and 15 were deemed eligible after full-text review. Across the 15 studies included in this systematic review, a panel of 20 microRNAs were identified as predictors of good or poor response to NAT. Specifically, miR-99b, miR-451 and miR-505 showed the strongest ability to predict response to NAT in OAC patients along with miR-193b in OSCC patients. This review has provided evidence suggesting that microRNAs may be robust biomarkers for predicting response to NAT by differentiating between responders and non-responders. However, the utilization of singular microRNAs to predict response to NAT is unlikely to be as sensitive or specific as looking at the microRNA expression profiles of multiple microRNAs. Conclusions The ability to predict OC in patients that will respond to NAT is vital to improve clinical outcomes whilst reducing treatment associated morbidity. MicroRNAs are valuable biomarkers of response to NAT in patients with OC. However, more research is needed to understand the effects different types of chemotherapy and chemoradiotherapy have on the predictive value of microRNAs; studies also require greater standardisation in how response is defined. Finally, validation studies are required to see the translation of such biomarkers in clinical practise.

Prognostic factors for persistent pain after a distal radius fracture: a systematic review.

The aim of this systematic review was to synthesize the evidence regarding prognostic factors for persistent pain, including Complex Regional Pain Syndrome (CRPS), after a distal radius fracture (DRF), a common condition after which persistent pain can develop. Medline, Pubmed, Embase, Psychinfo, CINAHL, BNI, AMED and the Cochrane Register of Clinical Trials were searched from inception to May 2021 for prospective longitudinal prognostic factor studies investigating persistent pain in adults who had sustained a DRF. The Quality in Prognostic Studies (QUIPS) tool and Grading of Recommendations, Assessment, Development and Evaluation (GRADE) framework were used to assess the strength of evidence. A search yielded 440 studies of which 7 studies met full eligibility criteria. From five studies we found low evidence for high baseline pain or an ulnar styloid fracture as prognostic factors for persistent pain, and very low evidence for diabetes or older age. From two studies, investigating an outcome of CRPS, there was low evidence for high baseline pain, slow reaction time, dysynchiria, swelling and catastrophising as prognostic factors, and very low evidence for depression. Sex was found not to be a prognostic factor for CRPS or persistent pain. The associations between prognostic factors and persistent pain following a DRF are unclear. The small number of factors investigated in more than one study, along with poor reporting and methodological limitations contributed to an assessment of low to very low strength of evidence. Further prospective studies, investigating psychosocial factors as candidate predictors of multidimensional pain outcomes are recommended.

Torque teno virus load as marker of rejection and infection in solid organ transplantation - A systematic review and meta-analysis.

Balancing immunosuppression to prevent rejection in solid organ transplant (SOT) recipients remains challenging. Torque teno virus (TTV), a commensal non-pathogenic virus, has been proposed as marker of functional immunity: higher loads correspond to over-immunosuppression, and lower loads to under-immunosuppression. This review offers an overview of the current evidence of the association between TTV-load and infection and rejection after SOT. A systematic literature search strategy, deposited in the PROSPERO registry, resulted in 548 records. After screening, 23 original and peer-reviewed articles were assessed investigating the association between TTV-load, infection and/or rejection in SOT. The Quality in Prognostic Studies (QUIPS)-tool was used to assess the risk of bias. Meta-analysis with random-effects was performed on results with similar outcomes and exposure measures. Most of the included studies involved retrospective cohorts in which the TTV-load was measured longitudinally, within the first 2years post-transplantation. Infection outcomes differed between studies and included viral, bacterial, parasitic and fungal infections. Rejection was defined by biopsy confirmation or initiation of rejection treatment. Twelve out of 16 studies reported an association between high TTV-load and infections, whereas 13 out of 15 reported an association between low TTV-load and rejection. Meta-analysis showed an increased risk of infection (OR: 1.16, 95% CI: 1.03-1.32; HR: 1.05, 95% CI: 0.97-1.14) and a decreased risk of rejection (OR: 0.90, 95% CI: 0.87-0.94; HR: 0.74, 95%CI: 0.71-0.76) per 1 log TTV-load increase. The qualitative assessment showed varying risks of bias in the included studies. This systematic review and meta-analysis indicates that blood TTV-load measured within the first 2years after SOT is associated with the risk of infection or allograft rejection, although substantial risk of bias in the studies included warrant cautious interpretation. The results in this review provide a rationale for larger, prospective, studies into TTV as marker of infection and rejection after SOT.

CT-IGFBP-4 as a Predictive Novel Biomarker of Ischemic Cardiovascular Events and Mortality: A Systematic Review.

Methods The electronic databases PubMed, medRxiv, ScienceDirect, and Google Scholar were searched for relevant literature from inception to the 10th of December, 2021. Thus, retrieved literature was screened by title and abstract, followed by full-text screening based on the eligibility criteria. The risk of bias was accessed using the quality in prognostic studies (QUIPSs) tool. The data on cardiovascular outcomes about CT-IGFBP-4 levels were studied and the results were synthesized. Results Five studies with a total of 1,417 participants were included in our study. The studies reported a low risk of bias. The mean age of the participants was 66.14 and more than 65% were males. Elevated CT-IGFBP-4 levels were associated with poor cardiovascular outcomes and increased mortality in severely ill patients. In contrast, there were no significant findings in the case of stable patients. Sandwich ELISA using lithium-heparin plasma provided a better detection limit of 0.15 ng/ml, low cross-reactivity (<2%), and generated linear results between 12 and 500 ng/ml. Conclusion CT-IGFBP-4 is an efficient biomarker for the prediction of MACE and mortality in patients with severe ischemic cardiovascular events.